Surf Forecasts:
Napier - Hardings Road surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 0.5ft (0.2m), 2s period, NNW swell with 1 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Napier - Hardings Road this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Napier - Hardings Road in the next 16 days are 0.2m 2s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 8s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 0.5ft (0.2m) 2s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Napier - Hardings Road over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s headed our way for the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, this is a tough stretch for Napier – Hardings Road. That first record we’ve got shows a tiny 0.3ft wrap from the NE on Thursday 16th July, with combined wave energy at just 4 – that’s pretty weak. The water is running a bit colder than usual for this time of year at 55°F. But honestly, that small bump is still tagged as poor surf conditions, so it’s not going to be worth paddling out.
What follows is a long, dry spell that runs all the way through to the end of Saturday 25th July. There are plenty of glassy mornings and clean, cross-off afternoons in there, but there’s literally no swell registering on the chart for most of that time. Frustrating, I know. It’s just flat, clean, and empty.
Now, Saturday 25th July finally brings us the most hopeful window in the whole outlook. After the weekend, the morning shows a modest 3ft swell from the ENE with a short period of 5 seconds, pushed by a moderate cross-shore breeze from the NW. The combined energy is still only 47 – moderate at best. Not a standout by any means. The better bet that same day is the afternoon session. The wind swings offshore from the SW at 6 mph, cleaning things right up, and there’s a 2ft ENE swell with a slightly better 7-second period. The energy reads at 58, still moderate, but that offshore wind will be the key – it’ll make for clean, small waves on the point.
There’s nothing else in the entire 16-day run that even comes close to that Saturday 25th afternoon as the best on offer. The rest of the second week is a mix of even smaller, wind-chopped, and sloppy lumps. Sunday 26th July drops right back to a 0.3ft NE swell. Tuesday 30th July morning has a 2ft windswell from the N with a 4-second period – short and weak, with a cross-shore chop. By the time we hit Friday 31st July, there’s a 0.7ft NNW windswell and then a 1ft NNW swell in the afternoon, again with a short, weak period.
Honestly, if the swell on Saturday 25th afternoon firms up a little, that’s your session. For a sheltered point break like this, a clean 2ft with offshore wind is as good as it gets in this stretch. The rest of the time, you’re better off waiting for a better forecast.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu afternoon, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon afternoon, min 7°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | S 20 | SSE 20 | S 8 | SSE 19 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | S 5 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:06PM1.94m | 7:37AM1.76m | 8:01PM1.91m | 8:31AM1.75m | 8:53PM1.86m | 9:22AM1.73m | 9:45PM1.79m | 10:12AM1.70m | 10:37PM1.72m | 11:02AM1.66m | 11:28PM1.66m | 11:54AM1.63m | 00:19AM1.60m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:29AM0.04m | 1:42PM0.01m | 2:23AM0.04m | 2:37PM0.04m | 3:16AM0.07m | 3:31PM0.11m | 4:07AM0.12m | 4:25PM0.19m | 4:57AM0.18m | 5:18PM0.27m | 5:46AM0.26m | 6:10PM0.34m | ||||||||
 |  | | | | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — |
 | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:08 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 18 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 14 | 11 |
Feels °C | 15 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 17 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 |
| kJ | 221 | 422 | 627 | 596 | 537 | 394 | 367 | 282 | 195 | 189 | 115 | 81 | 79 | 73 | 47 | 40 | 19 | 8 | 21 | 10 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | S 16 | S 7 | SSE 10 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | SSE 24 | SSE 22 | SSE 21 | S 17 | SSE 20 | SSE 19 | SSE 19 | SSE 20 | SSE 7 | SE 6 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 5 | SSE 5 |
| kJ | 6 | 5 | 53 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 114 | 154 | 88 | 23 | 38 | 72 | 72 | 151 | 19 | 14 | 23 | 22 | 3 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | — | S 16 | S 19 | S 19 | S 19 | SSE 6 | — | — | SSE 21 | S 16 | — | S 20 | SSE 6 | SSE 18 | SSE 19 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | ESE 5 |
| kJ | 4 | — | 5 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 4 | — | — | 42 | 19 | — | 196 | 12 | 64 | 72 | 60 | 29 | 26 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | S 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 6 | S 8 | — | — | — | — | S 5 |
| kJ | 3 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 112 | 249 | — | — | — | — | 22 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 89 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 40 | 20 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Napier - Hardings Road Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Napier - Hardings Road provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Napier - Hardings Road can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Napier - Hardings Road surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Napier - Hardings Road) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Napier - Hardings Road may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Napier - Hardings Road is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Napier. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Napier. Napier has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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