Surf Forecasts:
Napier - Hardings Road surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 0.5ft (0.2m), 9s period, ENE swell with 8 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Napier - Hardings Road this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Napier - Hardings Road in the next 16 days are 0.2m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 8s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 0.5ft (0.2m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Napier - Hardings Road over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve gotta be straight with you—this stretch for Napier’s Hardings Road is a flat spell. There’s barely a ripple on offer for the whole 16-day window, from now through to the 21st of September. The swell is tiny, barely registering, and the combined wave energy is in the weak range, peaking at just 8 (the highest reading we see is 8 on the 9th of September morning). The water’s sitting at 55°—a bit colder than normal for this time of year, with the anomaly at 2° cooler, so you’ll want a good steamer.
We kick off Sunday the 6th with a pathetic 0.3ft of east swell, period a weak 10 seconds, and the wind is cross-on from the north at 6 mph. That’s poor surf all day, no two ways about it. Monday the 7th is a little cleaner in the afternoon with a moderate offshore from the SSW at 16 mph, but the swell is still only 0.7ft. Tuesday the 8th morning is clean offshore but completely flat—zero swell energy. Wednesday the 9th morning goes glassy, but that 0.3ft east swell with a 16-second period just isn’t enough to wrap around into this sheltered east-facing point. It’s a long-period groundswell, but there’s no height to it.
The rest of the week and into the second week? More of the same. Thursday the 10th afternoon sees a tiny bump of 1ft from the NNW with a 3-second period—that’s windswell, and it’s just not gonna do anything. Most days are clean with cross-offshore winds, especially from the west, but the swell never gets above 0.3ft or 0.7ft. By the 19th and 20th of September, we’re back to flat conditions with no swell energy at all. The 21st of September morning shows 1.0ft from the north-northeast, 4-second period, but it’s still poor.
This is a sheltered point break, inconsistent at the best of times, and in this 16-day forecast, there’s nothing worth paddling out for. The crowds can be frequent here, but honestly, nobody’s gonna be in the water. If you’re desperate for a surf, you’re better off waiting for a proper east swell and a clean offshore wind—this stretch just doesn’t have the juice. Hang tight, mate. Forecasts can change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun afternoon, min 5°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, fresh winds from the SSW by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, fresh winds from the W by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | E 10 | N 3 | NE 5 | ENE 6 | SE 8 | SE 8 | E 16 | E 17 | E 16 | E 15 | E 16 | E 17 | NNW 3 | ENE 8 | E 9 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:41PM1.71m | 1:10AM1.61m | 1:40PM1.71m | 2:10AM1.59m | 2:38PM1.72m | 3:09AM1.59m | 3:36PM1.72m | 4:07AM1.60m | 4:32PM1.73m | 5:03AM1.61m | 5:28PM1.73m | 5:58AM1.65m | 6:20PM1.73m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:03PM0.19m | 7:21AM0.17m | 8:02PM0.16m | 8:21AM0.14m | 9:00PM0.13m | 9:22AM0.11m | 9:57PM0.11m | 10:20AM0.09m | 10:54PM0.11m | 11:14AM0.09m | 11:48PM0.12m | 12:06PM0.11m | 00:40AM0.15m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | |  |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — |
 | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:59 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 4 | 9 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | — | NE 4 | NE 5 | ENE 6 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SSE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 8 | S 8 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3 | 266 | 227 | 196 | 151 | 93 | 74 | 62 | 28 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | S 16 | — | — | E 16 | E 17 | E 16 | E 15 | E 9 | E 17 | NNE 3 | ENE 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 13 | E 13 | S 19 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | — | — | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 28 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 9 | S 17 | SSW 10 | — | — | — | — | E 15 | NE 9 | NE 9 | E 16 | E 13 | E 9 | E 15 | SE 7 | E 14 | E 14 | E 8 | E 9 | E 13 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 23 | 10 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | — | N 3 | SSW 3 | SSE 5 | SW 4 | SW 4 | SW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | — | SSW 2 | — | — | — | WSW 3 | WSW 3 |
| kJ | 2 | — | 4 | 1 | 18 | 21 | 14 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | 4 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 26 | 42 | 91 | 89 | 91 | 2 | 2 | 167 | 1 | 1 | 90 | 1 | 23 | 96 | 26 | 26 | 91 | 46 | 122 | 254 | 218 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Napier - Hardings Road Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Napier - Hardings Road provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Napier - Hardings Road can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Napier - Hardings Road surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Napier - Hardings Road) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Napier - Hardings Road may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Napier - Hardings Road is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Napier. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Napier. Napier has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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