Surf Forecasts:
Napier - Hardings Road surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 18 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 10s period, E swell with 16 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Napier - Hardings Road this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Napier - Hardings Road in the next 16 days are 0.3m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 10s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 1ft (0.3m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Napier - Hardings Road over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, it’s Rusty here. Let’s have a good look at the next couple of weeks for the Napier region, specifically that little point at Hardings Road. Gotta be straight with you – this stretch is looking like a proper waiting game. The models have us in a bit of a flat spell for the best part of the first week, and that’s just how it goes sometimes.
To give you an idea, there’s basically nothing surfable from this Sunday, the 16th, right through until around Saturday the 22nd. We’re talking a solid week of no waves worth paddling out for. The water temp is sitting at 53°F which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so if you are just going for a splash, you’ll feel that bite.
Now, that little point at Hardings Road (Napier) is sheltered from the east, which is where any swell will be coming from, but it’s just not showing any energy. We’ll see a tiny pulse on Saturday the 22nd, maybe a 0.3ft ripple, but that’s not surf. The wind’s mostly offshore or cross-off, which would be perfect if there was anything to ride, but there just isn’t. It’s frustrating, I know.
We get into the middle of next week, around the 24th and 25th, and there’s a bit more movement, but it’s still small and jumbled. The swell energy is only moderate at best, with one reading hitting 36 on Tuesday the 25th, but the waves themselves are weak and short-period. Not really worth getting excited over. The east wind on the 24th makes it choppy, though the afternoon does swing around to the west and cleans things up a touch. It’s still tiny, small stuff.
The one moment that looks like it could offer a proper wave, and I mean a proper wave, is the morning of Friday the 28th. That’s the standout in this whole run. We’ve got 3ft of east swell with a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy reads 72, which is the best we’re going to see in this window. The wind is fresh and offshore from the southwest, which will have the point holding up clean and lined-up. It’s not a big day, but it’ll be the best shape and push we’ve had in over a week. It’s a beginner-friendly size, but for a point break with an offshore breeze, there’s going to be some fun ones to be had. If you can only get out once in the next two weeks, make it that Friday morning.
After that, it eases off again into the 29th and 30th, with more clean but tiny surf and only moderate energy. The period on the 30th stretches out to 11 seconds, which is nice, but there just isn’t the size to carry it. It’s a slow, drawn-out end to the period. Honestly, it’s a month for patience and maybe getting the gear ready for a better day down the track. For now, keep an eye on that Friday the 28th – that’s your window.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 11°C on Tue morning, min 5°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 7°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 9 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | E 10 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | S 12 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | E 15 | E 14 | ESE 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:26PM1.79m | 8:55AM1.74m | 9:16PM1.74m | 9:41AM1.73m | 10:05PM1.69m | 10:28AM1.70m | 10:54PM1.65m | 11:17AM1.65m | 11:43PM1.60m | 12:09PM1.60m | 00:30AM1.55m | 1:01PM1.56m | 1:17AM1.49m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:12PM0.11m | 2:46AM0.14m | 3:04PM0.18m | 3:34AM0.20m | 3:56PM0.26m | 4:22AM0.28m | 4:46PM0.32m | 5:10AM0.34m | 5:36PM0.38m | 5:58AM0.39m | 6:25PM0.42m | 6:44AM0.43m | 7:15PM0.45m | ||||||||
6:58 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | |
— | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | |
mm | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 18 | 12 |
Feels °C | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 9 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 10 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 13 |
169 | 146 | 245 | 330 | 339 | 159 | 88 | 222 | 540 | 486 | 348 | 216 | 159 | 110 | 69 | 45 | 31 | 43 | 20 | 10 | 17 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 20 | SSE 8 | S 19 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 9 | E 10 | — | SSE 15 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SE 8 | SE 13 | S 17 | S 18 | ESE 10 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 14 | SSE 12 |
7 | 19 | 182 | 168 | 184 | 136 | 91 | 16 | — | 148 | 53 | 22 | 166 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 24 | 19 | 14 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | S 19 | S 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 9 | SE 14 | S 12 | ESE 8 | SSE 17 | — | E 15 | E 14 | SE 10 |
— | — | — | — | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 41 | 7 | 70 | 26 | 29 | — | 4 | 4 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 3 | SSW 4 | S 10 | S 19 | SSE 9 | SW 3 | SW 3 | SSW 3 | SW 4 | SW 4 | SW 3 | SW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 4 | — |
3 | 19 | 226 | 7 | 1467 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 167 | 171 | 176 | 2 | 225 | 2 | 217 | 238 | 230 | 225 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 91 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 1 | 16 | 23 | 23 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Napier - Hardings Road Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Napier - Hardings Road provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Napier - Hardings Road can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Napier - Hardings Road surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Napier - Hardings Road) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Napier - Hardings Road may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Napier - Hardings Road is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Napier. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Napier. Napier has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











