
Surf Forecasts:
Napier - Hardings Road surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 7 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period, NE swell with 62 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Napier - Hardings Road this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Napier - Hardings Road in the next 16 days are 0.8m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Fri 7th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Napier - Hardings Road over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the Napier area.
I’ll be straight with you, this is a flat spell. We’re looking at a long stretch of nothing. The first record doesn’t show up until the 31st of July, and honestly, it’s barely a whisper. There’s a solid gap of just about nothing after that, with a few tiny pulses that won’t get you excited. The only real glimmer of hope is a pulse that shows up in the second week, but it’s a long way out.
The overall picture is a bit grim. The only break on the radar is Napier – Hardings Road, a sheltered point break that’s inconsistent. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, but even then, you’ll be waiting for scraps.
Starting off on Friday, July 31st, the afternoon has a tiny 1ft NE swell bumping in with a short period of 5 seconds. The combined energy is a weak 14, and there’s a cross-shore wind from the NW at 12 mph. The water temp is sitting at 54°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year. It’s pretty poor.
Then we get a long dry spell. Most of the first week of August is completely flat or has negligible, knee-high dribble. The morning of Saturday, August 1st offers a 1.0ft easterly swell with a 10-second period, and the wind is offshore from the SW at 12 mph. The energy is still only 19, so it’s clean but tiny. The next few days are just a series of 0.3ft to 0.7ft pulses with no power.
The morning of Friday, August 7th sees a bit of a change. The wind turns glassy from the W at 3 mph, and the swell nudges up to 1ft from the NE. The period is a very short 4 seconds, so it’s gutless. The energy is only 4. It’s a pretty morning for a paddle, but not a surf.
The one standout for the whole period is the morning of Thursday, August 13th. The combined swell energy jumps to a moderate 202, with a 3ft east swell running on a 10-second period. The wind is a cross-onshore from the N at 9 mph, which will make it a bit lumpy. This is a pulse of energy, but it’s over a week away, so keep your expectations in check. It’s the only time the energy gets into the three-digit range.
The following days, the 14th and 15th of August, settle back down to small, clean 2ft to 2ft easterly swells with offshore winds, but the energy is back down to the 50-52 range. It’s clean, but you’ll be on a longboard searching for a bump.
So, to sum it up: the first week and a half is a write-off. The morning of the 13th of August is the only window that has any real substance, but it’s a long-range call and the wind isn’t perfect. If you’re desperate, the 14th and 15th offer clean, tiny waves. It’s a tough outlook, but that’s winter for you.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 5°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 5°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | E 18 | E 10 | E 10 | SSE 14 | E 16 | E 15 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | SW 6 | SE 7 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 11 | ENE 3 | SE 11 | E 18 | NNE 4 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
7 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:01PM1.55m | 7:25AM1.45m | 7:45PM1.56m | 8:09AM1.49m | 8:29PM1.59m | 8:52AM1.53m | 9:14PM1.61m | 9:34AM1.57m | 9:59PM1.63m | 10:17AM1.61m | 10:46PM1.64m | 11:05AM1.65m | 11:36PM1.65m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:18AM0.30m | 1:25PM0.29m | 2:02AM0.27m | 2:10PM0.27m | 2:45AM0.25m | 2:57PM0.27m | 3:29AM0.25m | 3:44PM0.27m | 4:14AM0.25m | 4:33PM0.28m | 5:00AM0.26m | 5:24PM0.29m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | |
5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
Feels °C | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 11 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | SE 8 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 7 | SSE 16 | SSE 17 | SE 17 | SE 17 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 11 |
86 | 59 | 35 | 126 | 60 | 155 | 114 | 92 | 59 | 53 | 15 | 24 | 387 | 381 | 302 | 295 | 114 | 73 | 67 | 55 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | ESE 15 | E 10 | SE 16 | SSE 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | E 13 | E 13 | SE 12 | SE 11 | E 12 | E 12 | E 12 | E 11 | ENE 3 | SE 15 | SE 15 | ENE 4 |
7 | 22 | 19 | 38 | 115 | 72 | 93 | 43 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 16 | E 18 | SE 16 | E 10 | SE 14 | E 16 | E 15 | E 14 | E 13 | — | S 13 | SSE 15 | — | — | — | — | SSE 16 | — | E 18 | SE 13 |
10 | 6 | 38 | 9 | 48 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | — | 13 | 21 | — | — | — | — | 25 | — | 6 | 28 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | W 3 | SW 3 | SW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 |
7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 14 | 14 | 14 | 193 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 1 | 1 | 91 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Napier - Hardings Road Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Napier - Hardings Road provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Napier - Hardings Road can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Napier - Hardings Road surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Napier - Hardings Road) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Napier - Hardings Road may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Napier - Hardings Road is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Napier. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Napier. Napier has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











