Surf Forecasts:
Napier - Hardings Road surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, NE swell with 58 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Napier - Hardings Road this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Napier - Hardings Road in the next 16 days are 0.9m 6s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 12s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Napier - Hardings Road over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, grab a coffee and settle in, 'cause we're having a proper look at Napier – specifically Hardings Road, a sheltered little point break.
This is one of those frustrating outlooks where the ocean just isn't playing ball. We've got a solid 16-day window to work with, but for a good long stretch, there's simply nothing doing. The whole first week is basically a write-off. From Friday the 28th of August right through until around Monday the 7th of September, the swell is tiny, the wind is messy, or both. It's mostly cross-on or choppy, with swell heights barely getting past 2ft, and most days it's down around 0.3ft to 1ft. The combined swell energy is painfully low, often only single or low double digits (like 21 or 35 at best, then falling away to almost nothing). It's "poor surf conditions" written all over it, and honestly, the finder isn't recommending a single session. It's a lean run for the area.
Now, there's a flicker of something better in the second week. Things start to look a little more promising around Tuesday the 8th of September. The wind swings offshore from the SSW in the afternoon, which is a major positive for this spot – it'll clean things right up. The swell is still small (1ft) from the ENE, and the combined energy bumps up to 49 points – weak, but at least it's an improvement. The real standout, though, is Wednesday the 9th of September. The morning session is an absolute gem. We're talking glassy conditions – dead calm, with a light W wind at 3 mph. The swell is 1ft from the ENE with a long period of 10 seconds, so it'll be a real little groundswell runner. The energy is moderate (33 points). For a sheltered point like Hardings, that long period ENE swell and glassy wind is about as perfect as it gets for the tiny stuff. It's the best on offer, no question. Expect it to be inconsistent, though, and for a beginner-friendly spot like this, small onshore crowds are always possible.
After that, we're back to tiny, clean but near-flat conditions for the rest of the run. A few afternoons see glassy conditions again, like Thursday the 10th, but the waves are barely there. The following weekend shows a fresh offshore breeze on Saturday the 12th, but it's too strong and the swell is still 0.7ft.
So, for the hardcore loggers, the window is that Wednesday morning, the 9th of September. For everyone else, you're waiting for the next proper swell. The water temp is about average for this time of year. Keep an eye on the charts, though – things can change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Sat night, fresh winds from the W by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed afternoon, min 6°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Sun night, calm by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | ENE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | ENE 5 | NE 6 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
26 | 19 | 27 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 36 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:17AM1.39m | 5:42PM1.51m | 6:06AM1.44m | 6:28PM1.55m | 6:53AM1.50m | 7:15PM1.60m | 7:39AM1.57m | 8:00PM1.64m | 8:24AM1.63m | 8:47PM1.67m | 9:08AM1.68m | 9:35PM1.67m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:10PM0.32m | 11:27AM0.30m | 11:58PM0.28m | 12:12PM0.26m | 00:44AM0.24m | 12:57PM0.23m | 1:30AM0.22m | 1:43PM0.22m | 2:15AM0.21m | 2:32PM0.22m | 3:00AM0.21m | 3:23PM0.23m | |||||||
— | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 18 | 14 |
Feels °C | 11 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 4 | SSE 12 | NE 5 | SE 11 | ENE 5 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 13 | SSE 14 | SSE 14 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 |
13 | 29 | 27 | 32 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 93 | 81 | 37 | 96 | 99 | 66 | 34 | 34 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 12 | SE 14 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | E 9 | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | SE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 |
6 | 1 | 37 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 24 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 17 | E 10 | E 13 | — | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | S 18 | — | — | — | — | — | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
59 | 2 | 3 | — | 17 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | ENE 5 | N 3 | NE 5 | N 4 | N 4 | NE 7 | — | — | — | WSW 3 | — | WNW 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
26 | 19 | 5 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 36 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 14 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 1 | 16 | 54 | 100 | 116 | 34 | 14 | 169 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 16 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Napier - Hardings Road Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Napier - Hardings Road provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Napier - Hardings Road can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Napier - Hardings Road surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Napier - Hardings Road) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Napier - Hardings Road may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Napier - Hardings Road is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Napier. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Napier. Napier has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











