Surf Forecasts:
Napier - Hardings Road surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 5s period, NE swell with 29 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Napier - Hardings Road this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Napier - Hardings Road in the next 16 days are 0.7m 5s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 10s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Napier - Hardings Road over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve gotta be straight with you – this 16-day outlook for Napier’s Hardings Road is a tough one. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with hardly a ripple worth getting wet for. The first real hope doesn’t even show up until Tuesday the 14th, and even then, it’s barely a whisper.
The water’s sitting at a chilly 55°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit if you’re even thinking about it.
The overall pattern is flat. There’s a massive gap from now, Friday the 10th, all the way through to Monday the 13th with absolutely zero surf on offer. Just clean, empty ocean. The first sign of life comes on Tuesday the 14th, but it’s as weak as it gets. We’re talking a tiny 2ft to 2ft swell from the NE, with a period of just 4 seconds – that’s pure wind chop, no energy to speak of. The combined energy is a pathetic 8 on Tuesday morning and 29 in the afternoon. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore, making it choppy and messy. Not worth the paddle.
We get a bit more of the same on Wednesday the 15th with even smaller waves, then nothing again. There’s a slight blip on Monday the 20th, with a 1.0ft to 2ft swell from the ENE to E, period creeping up to 6-7 seconds. The energy is still low at 39, and the wind is light, keeping it clean. But it’s still tiny and inconsistent.
The best chance in this whole forecast is a tiny window on Tuesday the 21st in the afternoon. We get a 2ft swell from the NE, but the period jumps to 10 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell pulse, even if small. The combined energy hits 82 (moderate). The wind is light cross-shore, so it’ll be a bit lined up. It’s not a standout by any stretch, but it’s the only time the ocean has any real pulse in it. For a beginner spot like this, it’s just about surfable, but don’t expect any power.
The rest of the run into the 25th is flat again. Honestly, this is a blank run. The spot is inconsistent at the best of times, and this forecast proves it. If you’re desperate for a splash, the 21st afternoon is your only shot, but keep your expectations on the floor. For the rest of us, it’s a good time to fix the ding and wait for the next system.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 10°C on Fri afternoon, min 4°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | S 11 | S 10 | ESE 9 | ENE 4 | NE 4 | ENE 4 | ENE 6 | ENE 4 | NE 5 | NE 5 | NE 5 | ESE 15 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:44AM1.68m | 2:14PM1.75m | 2:41AM1.71m | 3:11PM1.82m | 3:41AM1.73m | 4:09PM1.88m | 4:41AM1.76m | 5:09PM1.92m | 5:40AM1.77m | 6:09PM1.94m | 6:39AM1.77m | 7:06PM1.94m | 7:37AM1.76m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:34PM0.32m | 7:55AM0.27m | 8:34PM0.28m | 8:53AM0.24m | 9:34PM0.23m | 9:55AM0.20m | 10:33PM0.17m | 10:56AM0.13m | 11:32PM0.11m | 11:54AM0.06m | 00:31AM0.07m | 12:48PM0.02m | 1:29AM0.04m | ||||||||
 |  | | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | |
 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 |
 | 5:02 | — | — | 5:04 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:05 | — | — | 5:06 | — | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:07 | — | 5:07 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 10 |
Feels °C | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 3 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ENE 4 | ENE 6 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 15 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 |
| kJ | 778 | 471 | 334 | 232 | 181 | 119 | 116 | 98 | 65 | 43 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 29 | 125 | 371 | 505 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | S 20 | S 20 | S 17 | S 15 | S 14 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | ENE 4 | S 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | ENE 4 | NE 5 | NE 5 | ESE 16 | ESE 19 | S 16 | S 5 |
| kJ | 93 | 43 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 116 | 71 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 36 | 5 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 16 | S 20 | SSW 10 | S 16 | S 14 | S 6 | — | S 18 | S 16 | SSW 13 | S 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 7 | E 6 | S 8 | — | NE 5 | — | — | S 16 |
| kJ | — | 47 | 32 | 18 | 127 | 106 | 19 | — | 6 | 5 | 32 | 12 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 | NE 4 | N 4 | WNW 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 470 | 156 | 59 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 167 | 176 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 93 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 23 | 20 | 89 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Napier - Hardings Road Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Napier - Hardings Road provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Napier - Hardings Road can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Napier - Hardings Road surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Napier - Hardings Road) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Napier - Hardings Road may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Napier - Hardings Road is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Napier. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Napier. Napier has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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