
Surf Forecasts:
Napier - Hardings Road surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 11s period, E swell with 114 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Napier - Hardings Road this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Napier - Hardings Road in the next 16 days are 0.7m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 9s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Napier - Hardings Road over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, folks. Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
Alright, I’ll level with you. We’re looking at a pretty grim run of surf for the Napier area. The next two weeks are mostly a write-off, with barely a ripple to get excited about. There’s a long quiet stretch from now, with the first real sign of life not showing up until Friday the 31st of July, and even that’s a marginal one.
The water’s running a bit colder than normal for this time of year, about 54°, which is a bit colder than usual for the time of year. Not a dealbreaker, but you’ll want a good hood.
The first decent chance we get is on Friday the 31st of July, in the afternoon. The wind swings to a cross-offshore from the WNW at 12 mph, cleaning things up nicely. A tiny swell from the East pushes in at 2 ft, with a period of 11 seconds. The combined energy is a weak 115, so it’s not going to be powerful, but that long period will give it a bit of shape. It’s a point break, so a long-period groundswell like this might actually work better here than at a beach. Hardings Road is usually a sheltered spot, so this is probably your best bet for a surf—if you can call it that. It’s just a little wave. But with the wind this clean, it’s the only standout in the whole window. Be aware that crowds are often a thing here, so you might have some company for the meagre offerings.
Saturday the 1st of August has a morning session with a tiny 1 ft swell from the East, clean with a cross-offshore WSW wind, but the energy is a paltry 34. The afternoon kicks up a 10-second period from the SW, but it’s only 1.0 ft. It’s the best of a bad bunch.
After that, the rest of the run is a dead zone. From Sunday the 2nd of August all the way through to Wednesday the 12th of August, there’s virtually nothing. A few tiny 0.3 ft pulses with long periods but no energy to speak of. The wind is offshore or cross-offshore for most of it, so it’s clean, but clean conditions don’t matter if there’s no wave to ride.
The only thing worth paddling for is the Friday afternoon session. Don’t get your hopes up, but if you’re desperate, that’s your window.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 6°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon afternoon, min 4°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Sun afternoon, calm by Mon morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | NNW 3 | N 3 | NE 4 | NE 5 | E 11 | E 18 | E 10 | E 11 | E 10 | SSE 11 | E 15 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | SSE 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 114 | 6 | 34 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 5:32PM1.53m | 5:51AM1.40m | 6:17PM1.53m | 6:38AM1.42m | 7:01PM1.55m | 7:25AM1.45m | 7:45PM1.56m | 8:09AM1.49m | 8:29PM1.59m | 8:52AM1.53m | 9:14PM1.61m | 9:34AM1.57m | 9:59PM1.63m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:19AM0.39m | 11:48PM0.39m | 12:00PM0.35m | 00:33AM0.34m | 12:42PM0.31m | 1:18AM0.30m | 1:25PM0.29m | 2:02AM0.27m | 2:10PM0.27m | 2:45AM0.25m | 2:57PM0.27m | 3:29AM0.25m | 3:44PM0.27m | ||||||||
7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | |
— | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — | — | 5:21 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
Feels °C | 6 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 0 | -1 | -3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | E 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 12 | E 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 |
514 | 467 | 425 | 279 | 209 | 161 | 119 | 114 | 59 | 34 | 59 | 157 | 196 | 138 | 94 | 139 | 3 | 231 | 788 | 778 | 726 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | S 10 | S 19 | S 18 | — | SSW 13 | NE 5 | SE 15 | ESE 15 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | — |
10 | 2 | 7 | 6 | — | 17 | 14 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 38 | 31 | 28 | 62 | 60 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 7 | S 9 | — | S 18 | S 16 | SE 16 | SE 15 | E 18 | SSE 10 | E 11 | E 10 | S 15 | E 15 | E 14 | E 13 | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 1 | 2 | — | 24 | 20 | 10 | 36 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NNW 3 | N 3 | NE 4 | NNW 3 | NW 2 | — | SSW 2 | SSW 3 | SW 3 | — | — | — | — | SE 12 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 7 | — | — | — | — | 135 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 42 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 171 | 218 | 3 | 230 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hawkes Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Napier - Hardings Road Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Napier - Hardings Road provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Napier - Hardings Road can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Napier - Hardings Road surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Napier - Hardings Road) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Napier - Hardings Road may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Napier - Hardings Road is 6 km (4 miles) from the city of Napier. If you plan a holiday in Hawkes Bay, look for hotels and other accommodation in Napier. Napier has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










