El Medano Surf Break

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

Issued: 6 am 07 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
22.5° C

Normal for this time of year

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 19s period, SSW swell with 391 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 16s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The surf forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 0.7m 19s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 8s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Wed 8th Jul)1ft (0.3m) 16s
Best Surf 7PM (Wed 8th Jul)1ft (0.3m) 16s
Most Powerful 1PM (Sat 11th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I've gotta be straight with you – for El Medano, the next couple of weeks are a write-off for a decent paddle. We're looking at a long, dry spell with no real surf on offer.

The outlook kicks off on Tuesday, the 7th of July, but honestly, it's not worth paddling out. The swell is tiny, barely 1ft from the SSW, and that cross-on wind is just going to mess it up. The energy is weak (73), and we're looking at poor, lumpy conditions. That's the story for several days. The water temp is around 73°, which is about normal for this time of year.

We've got a gap with absolutely nothing worth recommending until we hit Tuesday, the 21st of July. Even then, the swell picks up to 6ft from the NE, but the energy, while moderate (795), is still paired with cross-on winds. That's poor surf. It's not until Wednesday the 22nd of July that we see a slight glimmer. On the Wednesday afternoon, we finally get a bit of glassy wind with the wind swinging to the SE, and a 6ft NE swell showing moderate energy (411). It's the only session in the whole 16 days that rates a mention as even "expect good surf conditions". The swell period is short at 8 seconds, so it won't be groundswell quality, but at least it'll be clean. For a spot that rarely breaks, this is the standout, but it's still only a 6ft swell so it's rideable for most.

For the rest of the time, the wind is relentless from the ENE and NE, and even when the swell gets up over 5ft, the quality is trashed. It's a beach and reef set-up, and with that constant cross-on wind and poor shape, it looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing if you ask me. Don't hold your breath.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Wed morning, min 22°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NE on Tue morning, calm by Wed afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Fri morning, min 20°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Fri night, fresh winds from the ENE by Sun afternoon).

Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
NE
5
0.3
SSW
18
0.2
SSW
17
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
15
0.4
SSW
15
0.3
SSW
21
0.6
SSW
20
0.6
SSW
19
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
17
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
31
61
29
53
51
53
53
51
83
77
74
89
298
295
246
326
227
269
263
222
218
Wind (km/h)
30
NE
5
ENE
10
NE
20
NE
5
ENE
10
NNE
20
ENE
20
ENE
15
NE
15
ENE
15
ENE
5
NE
10
ENE
25
ENE
25
NE
25
ENE
30
ENE
25
NE
25
ENE
30
ENE
25
NE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
7:13PM1.66m
7:58AM1.52m
8:18PM1.60m
9:08AM1.53m
9:33PM1.58m
10:20AM1.60m
10:50PM1.62m
11:27AM1.71m
11:59PM1.71m
12:26PM1.85m
00:58AM1.80m
1:20PM1.99m
1:52AM1.88m
Low Tide
12:52PM0.54m
1:37AM0.44m
1:58PM0.57m
2:43AM0.46m
3:16PM0.56m
3:56AM0.44m
4:34PM0.47m
5:06AM0.39m
5:44PM0.34m
6:08AM0.30m
6:45PM0.20m
7:03AM0.21m
7:39PM0.07m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:15
7:15
7:16
7:16
7:16
7:16
7:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:06
9:06
9:06
9:05
9:05
9:05
9:05
 mm
Temp °C
30
28
29
31
29
27
25
25
23
23
23
22
23
23
23
23
23
22
23
24
22
Feels °C
25
28
28
28
30
28
24
25
24
22
23
23
23
22
20
21
21
19
19
21
20
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
SSW
18
0.3
SSW
18
0.2
SSW
17
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
0.7
NE
5
0.4
SSW
15
0.8
ENE
5
0.4
ENE
5
0.6
SSW
20
0.6
SSW
19
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
17
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
14
Energy kJ
31
61
29
53
51
53
53
51
27
77
33
11
298
295
246
326
227
269
263
222
218
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
11
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
11
0.4
SSW
16
0.2
WNW
6
0.4
SSW
15
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.5
S
14
0.5
S
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
13
0.4
SW
12
0.1
S
19
0.2
S
18
Energy kJ
10
9
9
2
2
83
3
72
70
81
93
93
65
58
57
37
7
25
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
NE
7
0.1
W
7
0.1
S
10
0.1
S
10
0.1
NW
9
0.2
S
12
0.2
WNW
9
0.3
SSW
21
0.1
SW
11
0.4
NE
5
0.2
WNW
8
0.3
NW
8
0.2
WNW
8
0.2
WNW
7
0.1
S
19
0.1
S
19
0.2
S
18
Energy kJ
2
1
2
2
3
11
8
89
5
6
6
10
6
5
7
7
25
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
NE
5
0.6
ENE
4
0.6
NE
5
0.9
NE
5
0.9
NE
5
0.6
NE
5
0.9
NE
5
0.9
ENE
5
1.1
NE
5
0.9
NE
5
1.2
NE
5
0.8
NNE
5
0.5
NE
4
0.6
NE
5
0.4
NE
4
0.4
NNE
8
0.7
ENE
4
0.9
NE
5
0.8
NE
4
1.1
ENE
5
1
NE
5
Energy kJ
30
13
17
36
36
18
39
45
69
39
74
33
9
19
5
21
13
31
22
54
45
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Distance (km)
1274
1274
714
19
19
528
19
19
11
19
17
17
19
11
17
11
19
11
11
11
11
Best forecast wave conditions in Tenerife
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Spain (Africa)
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
9
8
7
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
6
8
6
5
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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