El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 28 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
24.8°C
1.4° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period, NE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 1 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with 547 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period with NE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The surf forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 13s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 1.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 9s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Thu 3rd Sep)4.5ft (1.4m) 8s
Best Surf10AM (Thu 3rd Sep)4.5ft (1.4m) 8s
Most Powerful 4AM (Tue 1st Sep)3.5ft (1.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. It’s Rusty here, and I gotta tell you straight: El Medano is looking like a flat spell for the foreseeable future. Don't get your hopes up for any proper rides.

We’re starting from August 28th, and there’s nothing but poor surf conditions for over a week. The swell is a total no-show most days, and when there’s a tiny pulse, the wind is just wrecking it. The first record is Friday morning, August 28th, but you’d be wasting your time with a meagre 4ft swell from the NE, hitting that beach and reef setup at such a short period of just 5 seconds, with a fresh 19 mph cross-shore wind. The combined energy is weak at just 87. Don't even think about it.

This rough run continues day after day. The wind is either a strong cross-onshore or a fresh breeze, just making everything lumpy and choppy. There's a little more energy in the water from August 31st onward, with a long period 17-second SSW swell pushing the combined energy into the moderate range (343-642), but it’s all useless because the wind is constantly onshore and messy. For those bigger days, the swell is just over 3ft, so not dangerous, but the quality is terrible.

You get a tiny reprieve on Saturday afternoon, September 5th, but it’s barely worth mentioning. The swell drops right off to 2ft from the NNE with a short period. The wind goes glassy, so the surface is clean, but the waves are poor. The score is a 1 out of 10 kind of day—surfable but very ordinary. The next morning, Sunday September 6th, is similar with a weak 2ft NE swell and glassy conditions, but again, it’s just not doing anything. The combined energy is a measly 81.

After that, we’re looking at another long dry spell. From Monday afternoon, September 7th, right through to the end of the forecast on September 12th, every session shows either poor surf conditions or tiny waves with weak energy. There’s a few moments with clean, cross-off winds on September 8th and 9th, but the swell is only 0.7ft to 1ft—completely flat.

The water temperature is about average for the time of year at this spot. But honestly, for the whole 16-day window, there are zero standout options. El Medano rarely breaks anyway, and this blank run is pretty normal for the area. If you see some wind, the beach and reef setup might be more interesting for a kite session than for paddle surfing. Don't hold your breath on the forecasts changing anytime soon.

Rusty, signing out.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Fri morning, min 23°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NE on Fri afternoon, light winds from the NE by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 24°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Tue afternoon, light winds from the NNE by Wed night).

Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
NE
5
1.4
NE
6
1.5
NE
6
1.2
NE
5
1.2
ENE
7
1.1
NE
7
0.4
SSW
17
0.5
S
16
0.6
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
17
0.9
SSW
17
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
1.1
NE
9
1.4
NE
8
1.5
NE
8
1.3
NNE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
63
120
136
74
120
140
95
135
186
307
433
452
446
513
376
366
289
189
274
282
192
Wind (km/h)
30
NE
40
ENE
30
NE
30
NE
35
ENE
25
NE
20
NE
25
ENE
25
NE
20
ENE
25
ENE
25
NE
30
NE
40
ENE
25
NE
25
NE
40
ENE
15
NE
5
E
25
ENE
5
NNE
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
glassy
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
2:23PM2.06m
2:43AM1.90m
2:54PM2.09m
3:14AM1.92m
3:26PM2.08m
3:47AM1.91m
4:00PM2.01m
4:21AM1.86m
4:37PM1.90m
5:00AM1.77m
5:20PM1.75m
5:47AM1.66m
6:15PM1.57m
Low Tide
8:37PM0.07m
8:40AM0.12m
9:07PM0.04m
9:12AM0.11m
9:38PM0.06m
9:46AM0.14m
10:10PM0.11m
10:22AM0.20m
10:47PM0.22m
11:04AM0.30m
11:29PM0.35m
11:55AM0.43m
00:23AM0.51m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:41
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:31
8:30
8:30
8:28
8:27
8:25
8:24
 mm
Temp °C
25
25
23
25
25
24
25
25
24
26
26
25
27
28
26
28
27
25
26
26
25
Feels °C
20
20
19
21
22
22
23
23
22
24
25
24
23
24
24
24
23
22
25
25
29
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for El Medano:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our El Medano surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Nearest locationNearest