El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 pm 08 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
23.5° C
0.5° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 6s period, NE swell with 196 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 1.6m 6s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 9s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful10PM (Sun 9th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Straight up, the next couple of weeks are going to test your patience. We’ve got a long stretch of onshore winds and messy, cross-onshore surf that’s going to keep the flags up on the beach. The good news is, there’s a window of proper glassy conditions on the horizon, but it’s a bit of a wait.

The first week is a write-off. From Saturday the 8th through to about the 19th, it’s all NE and ENE winds, mostly fresh and cross-onshore, keeping the surf lumpy and choppy. Swell heights float around the 2ft to 5ft mark, but with that wind, it’s not worth paddling out. The energy is weak to moderate, with values mostly in the 100-250 range, so there’s not much push anyway. This is a spot that rarely breaks clean, and this stretch is proving it. Honestly, for the first ten days, you’re better off finding something else to do.

Now, here’s the standout. On Thursday the 20th, the wind drops out completely. We’re talking glass. The morning shows a light SE breeze, and by the afternoon it’s dead calm. The swell flips to a proper SSW groundswell with a long period of 15 seconds, pushing wave heights to 3ft. The combined energy jumps into the strong range, hitting 416 in the morning and 477 in the afternoon. This is the day. El Medano is a beach and reef setup, and a long-period SSW swell like this is exactly what it needs. The water is a warm 74°, which is about normal for this time of year. This is the one to circle.

The following day, Friday the 21st, still has some life in the morning with a lighter ENE breeze and the same long-period SSW swell, but the afternoon wind kicks back in and turns it messy. After that, it’s back to the onshore slop for the rest of the window, with the swell fading out. So, one solid day on offer. Make it count.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sat morning, min 22°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Sat night, fresh winds from the ENE by Mon afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Thu morning, min 23°C on Tue morning). Mainly strong winds.

Saturday
8
Sunday
9
Monday
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
NE
5
1.4
NE
6
0.9
NE
5
1.4
NE
5
1.1
NE
5
1.4
NE
6
1.5
NNE
6
1.2
NE
6
1.5
NNE
6
1.4
NE
5
1.2
NE
5
1.2
NE
6
1.3
NNE
6
1.2
NE
6
1.7
NNE
6
1.5
NNE
6
1.3
NE
6
1.3
NE
6
1.3
NE
6
1.5
NE
6
1.3
NE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
35
114
47
110
57
143
164
98
154
106
79
102
115
88
196
139
108
119
128
148
145
Wind (km/h)
15
NE
20
ENE
20
NE
20
ENE
30
ENE
25
NE
25
ENE
35
ENE
25
NE
10
ENE
40
ENE
25
NE
15
NE
35
NE
25
NE
30
NE
35
ENE
30
NE
30
NE
35
NE
25
NE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
10:03AM1.54m
10:48PM1.52m
11:21AM1.67m
00:00AM1.64m
12:21PM1.85m
00:56AM1.77m
1:12PM2.02m
1:43AM1.88m
1:57PM2.15m
2:26AM1.95m
2:39PM2.22m
3:06AM1.97m
3:19PM2.22m
3:44AM1.94m
Low Tide
4:29PM0.52m
5:00AM0.50m
5:46PM0.36m
6:05AM0.37m
6:44PM0.19m
6:57AM0.24m
7:34PM0.05m
7:42AM0.13m
8:17PM-0.05m
8:23AM0.07m
8:58PM-0.08m
9:02AM0.05m
9:36PM-0.04m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:31
7:31
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:51
8:50
8:49
8:47
8:46
8:46
8:45
 mm
Temp °C
30
27
26
26
26
24
24
24
23
25
25
24
26
26
25
28
27
27
28
28
25
Feels °C
27
26
25
24
23
21
22
20
20
21
21
23
22
22
23
24
23
24
24
24
21
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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