El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 03 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
24.4°C
0.8° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 12s period, S swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 6s period, NNE swell with 293 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 12s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The surf forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 2.0m 6s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 4s period and expected on Friday (Sep 04) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Fri 4th Sep)1.5ft (0.5m) 12s
Best Surf 4AM (Fri 4th Sep)1.5ft (0.5m) 12s
Most Powerful10AM (Sun 6th Sep)6.5ft (2.0m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, I’ll tell ya straight up – it’s pretty bleak out there for us right now. I’ve scanned the whole 16-day window, and honestly, there’s just no good surf on offer at El Medano. This break rarely breaks to begin with, and the forecast doesn’t do us any favours.

Right now, starting Thursday morning the 3rd of September, we’ve got a tiny 2ft SSW swell grinding in, but a NE cross-breeze has it looking messy and unrideable. The water’s sitting at 75.9°, which feels fairly normal for this time of year – nothing crazy in the temp anomaly there. Throughout the first week, the swell stays weak and shifty, anywhere from 1ft to 3.3ft, and the wind is almost always cross or cross-onshore, keeping the surface chopped up.

There is a brief, faint glimmer on the morning of Friday the 4th – glassy conditions, dead calm, with a 1.6ft S swell. It’s surfable, but very ordinary, and only scores a minimal nod. Then again, on Saturday the 12th of September, we get another glassy moment in the afternoon with 4.3ft of NNE windswell. But with a period of just 5 seconds, it’s gutless and won’t hold shape – not worth getting your hopes up.

The rest of the run, right through to Friday the 18th, is plagued by moderate to strong onshore breezes and tiny swell. The combined energy levels rarely crack three digits, sitting mostly between 38 and 406 at its highest, but that bigger number on the 6th is just messy 6.6ft windswell with a 6-second period and strong cross-onshore wind – a real dog’s breakfast. That kind of setup, with poor surf quality and strong wind, makes this a spot that’s honestly more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

If you’re dead-set on paddling out, the glassy Friday the 4th morning is your best (and only real) bet, but keep expectations low. This is one of those stretches where a blank run is more normal for the area. Forecasts can change, but right now there are no good surf options in this 16-day window.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Sat afternoon, min 23°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, strong winds from the ENE by Sat afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Sun morning, min 25°C on Tue night). Mainly strong winds.

Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
S
12
0.5
S
12
0.5
S
12
0.4
SSW
12
0.4
SSW
11
1.1
NE
5
0.8
NE
5
2
NNE
6
1
NE
6
1.1
NE
6
1.2
NE
6
1.3
NE
6
1.1
NE
6
1.7
NNE
6
1.3
NE
6
1
NE
6
0.5
NE
8
0.5
NE
8
1.3
NNE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
135
135
76
72
72
45
40
72
38
293
71
80
113
108
90
207
101
60
29
29
213
Wind (km/h)
10
NE
15
ENE
15
NE
5
SSE
10
ENE
30
ENE
35
ENE
40
ENE
15
NE
25
NE
40
ENE
30
NE
30
NE
40
ENE
30
NE
40
NE
40
ENE
30
NE
20
NE
35
ENE
20
NE
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
6:15PM1.57m
6:49AM1.53m
7:34PM1.42m
8:20AM1.47m
9:22PM1.38m
10:01AM1.53m
10:55PM1.48m
11:17AM1.70m
11:58PM1.64m
12:12PM1.89m
00:46AM1.78m
12:58PM2.05m
1:27AM1.90m
Low Tide
11:55AM0.43m
00:23AM0.51m
1:07PM0.56m
1:44AM0.64m
2:55PM0.60m
3:34AM0.65m
4:38PM0.50m
5:00AM0.54m
5:46PM0.33m
5:59AM0.39m
6:37PM0.16m
6:45AM0.24m
7:19PM0.03m
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:45
7:45
7:46
7:46
7:47
7:47
7:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:24
8:23
8:22
8:22
8:20
8:19
8:17
 mm
Temp °C
25
25
25
24
25
30
29
31
30
31
31
29
30
29
27
29
29
27
27
27
25
Feels °C
26
26
26
26
28
29
25
25
28
27
27
24
25
24
25
25
25
26
24
24
22
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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