El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 07 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
24.4°C
0.8° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period, NE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, NNE swell with 232 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period with NE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The surf forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 1.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 10s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Sat 12th Sep)3.5ft (1.0m) 6s
Best Surf 1AM (Sat 12th Sep)3.5ft (1.0m) 6s
Most Powerful 1PM (Sat 12th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right, grab a seat, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks. Honestly, it’s a tough stretch for El Medano. We’re looking at a real dry spell, with barely anything worth paddling out for, and the wind just won’t play ball.

The first week is a write-off. From Monday 7th September right through to the morning of Saturday 12th, it’s a constant battle with a fresh cross-onshore breeze, mostly from the NE and ENE. Swell is small and weak, with a combined energy barely hitting three digits (126 on Monday arvo), and the wave comment is just “poor surf conditions” – you know the drill, lumpy, choppy, and messy. Nothing to get excited about.

Saturday morning the 12th might offer a tiny glimmer. We get a bit of a drop in the wind to a light breeze, with a 4ft swell from the NNE. It’s still cross-on, and the energy is moderate (305), but the forecast only gives it a marginal nod. It’s a gamble at best, and definitely not a standout. That afternoon it’s back to the choppy stuff.

We then hit another gap of a few days with no real hope. The wind stays onshore or cross-shore, and the swell stays tiny. The afternoon of Sunday 13th sees a brief moment of glass, with a 2ft swell, but it’s so small it’s barely a ripple.

From the 14th onwards, the swell direction swings to the SSW, which is the optimum direction for El Medano, but the size just isn’t there. We’re looking at tiny, knee-high waves for most of that second week. The real kicker is that while the period gets long – hitting 14 to 18 seconds, which is proper groundswell – the height is pathetic. You’ll see the combined energy climb into the 200s and even 300s, which suggests there’s energy out there, but it’s just not translating to rideable waves on the beach. The wind stays a problem, mostly cross-onshore.

There’s a sniff of something on Monday morning 21st September, with a marginal call and a gentle cross-shore breeze, but again, it’s only 2ft from the SSW. You’d be chasing ankle-biters. For a spot that rarely breaks and has a beginner-friendly rating, this is a very long, quiet period. Honestly, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing with these consistent cross-onshore winds and small, weak swell. No standout sessions here, I’m afraid.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Tue morning, min 24°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 22°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Thu afternoon, calm by Fri night).

Mon
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
NE
6
1
NE
6
0.9
NE
5
1
NE
5
0.8
NE
5
1.1
NE
5
1.2
NE
7
1.1
NE
5
1.3
NE
5
1
NE
7
1
NE
5
1.2
NE
7
0.9
ENE
7
1
NE
6
1.3
NNE
8
0.9
NE
4
1.2
NE
5
1
NNE
8
0.5
NE
7
0.3
NE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
126
62
35
47
35
60
156
64
84
88
41
127
81
67
226
29
74
120
25
9
Wind (km/h)
35
ENE
30
NE
30
NE
30
ENE
30
NE
35
NE
30
NE
30
NE
30
ENE
30
ENE
25
ENE
25
ENE
20
ENE
5
ENE
10
ENE
25
ENE
10
NE
10
NE
5
SW
5
NNE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
glassy
glassy
High Tide
11:58PM1.64m
12:12PM1.89m
00:46AM1.78m
12:58PM2.05m
1:27AM1.90m
1:38PM2.16m
2:05AM1.98m
2:16PM2.20m
2:39AM2.00m
2:52PM2.16m
3:13AM1.98m
3:26PM2.07m
3:45AM1.92m
Low Tide
5:46PM0.33m
5:59AM0.39m
6:37PM0.16m
6:45AM0.24m
7:19PM0.03m
7:25AM0.13m
7:56PM-0.04m
8:02AM0.06m
8:31PM-0.06m
8:38AM0.04m
9:04PM-0.02m
9:12AM0.07m
9:35PM0.07m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:47
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:20
8:19
8:17
8:16
8:15
8:15
8:13
 mm
Temp °C
28
28
31
31
30
29
28
26
26
26
24
24
25
24
26
26
24
25
24
25
Feels °C
26
26
27
28
26
25
25
24
23
24
24
22
24
25
24
25
24
27
27
27
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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