El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 pm 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
22.5° C
0.4° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 20s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SSW swell with 427 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 16s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The surf forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 9s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Wed 8th Jul)1ft (0.3m) 16s
Best Surf10AM (Sat 11th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 20s
Most Powerful 7AM (Mon 13th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


Rusty here again. Looking at this El Medano stretch in feet and miles per hour.

To be honest, the whole 16-day window looks mostly like a washout. The winds are relentless from the east-northeast, making it choppy and lumpy nearly every day. The swell is mostly weak or short period, and this spot rarely breaks anyway. There’s a big stretch of poor to non-existent surf conditions.

The one real standout, the only real chance for clean waves, comes on the morning and afternoon of Saturday, July 11th. The wind goes dead calm – glassy conditions – which is a miracle here. Swell is a tiny 2ft from the SSW with a very long period of 20 seconds (dropping to 19 seconds in the afternoon). That long period means smooth, long lines, but the height is tiny. For a beach and reef break, that period might make it a bit straight, but the glassy surface is the big win. The wave energy is moderate for the region.

Sunday morning, July 12th, the swell is slightly bigger at 2ft, but the wind comes back onshore light from the east-northeast.

Everything after that gets hit by moderate to fresh cross-onshore winds, with swell getting bigger but staying messy. Later in the week (around July 21st), we see swell hitting 6ft from the north-northeast, but the wind is a fresh 25 mph from the east-northeast, turning it into a lumpy, blown-out mess. The period is short at 8 seconds, so it’s just a bumpy windswell. The combined energy (up to 664) shows there’s lots of water moving, but with that wind and short period, it’s a kite surfing scene, not a paddle surfing one.

Honestly, if you want a clean wave, you’ve got one day: Saturday, July 11th. The rest is either flat or a blown-out mess.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Wed morning, min 21°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat morning, min 21°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
1
ENE
5
0.4
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
15
0.4
SSW
15
0.3
SSW
21
0.6
SSW
20
0.6
SSW
19
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
17
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
S
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
53
51
53
53
54
83
77
72
89
298
295
246
326
227
269
263
284
218
207
137
87
Wind (km/h)
15
ENE
10
ENE
10
NE
25
NE
25
ENE
25
NE
25
ENE
25
ENE
10
NE
5
E
5
SSE
5
NNE
10
ENE
15
ENE
15
NE
20
ENE
15
ENE
25
ENE
15
ENE
35
ENE
25
NE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
8:18PM1.60m
9:08AM1.53m
9:33PM1.58m
10:20AM1.60m
10:50PM1.62m
11:27AM1.71m
11:59PM1.71m
12:26PM1.85m
00:58AM1.80m
1:20PM1.99m
1:52AM1.88m
2:09PM2.10m
2:41AM1.91m
Low Tide
1:58PM0.57m
2:43AM0.46m
3:16PM0.56m
3:56AM0.44m
4:34PM0.47m
5:06AM0.39m
5:44PM0.34m
6:08AM0.30m
6:45PM0.20m
7:03AM0.21m
7:39PM0.07m
7:52AM0.14m
8:30PM-0.02m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:15
7:16
7:16
7:16
7:16
7:18
7:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:06
9:06
9:05
9:05
9:05
9:05
9:05
 mm
Temp °C
29
27
26
25
25
22
23
23
22
23
23
23
23
23
22
23
23
22
23
23
22
Feels °C
28
28
27
24
24
21
22
21
21
26
26
26
23
23
23
22
23
20
20
19
19
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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