El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 pm 11 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
22.2° C
0.1° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 19s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, NNE swell with 432 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 19s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The surf forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 1.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Sat 11th Jul)1.5ft (0.4m) 19s
Best Surf 7PM (Sat 11th Jul)1.5ft (0.4m) 19s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sat 18th Jul)6ft (1.8m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


Hey, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening at El Medano for the next couple of weeks. It’s a tough forecast, I won’t lie. The ocean has some energy, but the wind’s gonna be a pain in the backside for almost the entire run.

The only window that’s got anything going for it is Saturday afternoon, July 11th. The morning has a little bit of a messy cross-shore breeze, but by the afternoon it goes glassy. We’re talking small surf, only 2ft, coming from the SSW on a 19-second period. That’s long-period groundswell with a combined energy reading of 364, so it’ll have some life. Water temp is 72°, right where it should be for this time of year. This spot, a beach and reef setup, *rarely breaks*, so a clean 2ft wave is a treat. It’s a beginner-friendly wave, but with that long period, it might break a little straight. Crowds can show up *sometimes*, but with the small size it shouldn’t be a zoo.

Then, from Sunday the 12th of July all the way through to Sunday the 26th of July, it’s a no-go. It’s cross-on wind day after day, mostly from the ENE and NE, blowing anywhere from 15 to 30 mph, and even hitting 31 mph by the end. The swell gets big on the 20th of July, with a 7ft NNE swell, but it’s blowing 19 mph cross-on (combined energy of 1151). That’s too big for beginners and the wind will turn it into a lumpy, blown-out mess - more of a kite surf setup than a paddle surf one. The rest of that stretch is all poor quality, choppy, and messy.

So there you have it. Your one and only looker is the afternoon of Saturday, July 11th at El Medano for some clean, glassy little waves. The rest? A long stretch of wind-affected, poor surf. Sometimes it’s just like that in these parts.

Stay safe, keep an eye on the forecast.
Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat morning, min 21°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu morning, min 23°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the NE on Tue night, strong winds from the ENE by Thu afternoon).

Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
20
0.6
SSW
19
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
17
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
S
13
0.4
SSW
13
1
ENE
5
0.9
NE
5
1.3
NE
5
1.5
ENE
6
1.2
NE
7
1.3
NE
8
1.4
NE
8
1.3
NE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
298
295
246
326
227
269
263
305
218
207
137
87
55
50
43
86
154
152
188
238
262
Wind (km/h)
5
SSW
5
SW
15
ENE
15
ENE
15
ENE
15
ENE
15
ENE
15
ENE
20
NE
20
ENE
25
ENE
25
NE
25
ENE
35
ENE
25
NE
35
NE
40
NE
30
NE
25
NE
30
ENE
20
NE
Wind State
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
11:27AM1.71m
11:59PM1.71m
12:26PM1.85m
00:58AM1.80m
1:20PM1.99m
1:52AM1.88m
2:09PM2.10m
2:41AM1.91m
2:56PM2.17m
3:27AM1.91m
3:42PM2.18m
4:12AM1.86m
4:26PM2.13m
Low Tide
5:44PM0.34m
6:08AM0.30m
6:45PM0.20m
7:03AM0.21m
7:39PM0.07m
7:52AM0.14m
8:30PM-0.02m
8:39AM0.10m
9:17PM-0.04m
9:23AM0.10m
10:03PM-0.01m
10:06AM0.15m
10:47PM0.07m
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:16
7:16
7:18
7:18
7:18
7:18
7:20
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:05
9:05
9:05
9:05
9:04
9:04
9:04
 mm
Temp °C
23
23
23
23
23
22
23
23
22
23
24
23
25
26
24
27
26
25
26
26
24
Feels °C
25
26
25
22
22
21
22
22
21
22
22
20
22
22
20
22
21
23
23
23
23
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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