El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 26 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
22.7° C
0.1° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, NNE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 6s period, NNE swell with 286 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with NE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The surf forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 1.9m 6s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 8s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 01) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Sat 1st Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 6s
Best Surf10AM (Sat 1st Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 7s
Most Powerful10PM (Fri 31st Jul)6ft (1.9m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk El Medano in feet and degrees.

It’s a tough stretch ahead. From Sunday the 26th of July right through to Friday the 7th of August, the conditions are mostly a write-off. Day after day of cross-onshore winds from the NE and ENE, with the swell either too small or too messy to bother with. The wave energy runs from weak to moderate (330 at the start, for example), but it’s all blown out – choppy, lumpy, and just ugly. There’s hardly a window worth chasing.

Then, out of nowhere, we get a bright spot. On Saturday the 1st of August, the morning goes glassy – dead calm – with a 4.6ft NNE swell running at about 7 seconds. The combined energy sits at 289 (moderate), and for the first time it’s called “expect good surf conditions.” That’s the one. Water temp is around 72.9° with a tiny anomaly, so about normal for the season. That Saturday morning session is your best bet. El Medano is a beach and reef setup that rarely breaks, so when it fires like this, it’s special. Crowds can show up sometimes, so be ready for company.

After that, it’s back to the grind. Sunday the 2nd gives us a clean but tiny 1.3ft SSW groundswell with a very long 13 second period – “surfable but very ordinary.” That long period groundswell can make a beach break run straight. The rest of the week into the 10th is more of the same: cross-onshore wind and mediocre surf. There’s a big energy spike on Thursday the 6th afternoon (544 – strong), but with strong cross-onshore wind, it’s just a mess.

So, the real standout is Saturday morning, 1st of August. The rest? A long, dusty wait.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sun afternoon, min 21°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Fri afternoon, min 22°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Fri morning, light winds from the SSW by Fri night).

Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
NE
8
0.9
NE
8
1.2
NE
9
0.6
NE
8
0.6
NE
8
1.4
NE
8
1.1
NNE
8
0.9
NE
4
1.3
NNE
5
0.6
NE
5
1.3
ENE
5
1.4
NNE
5
1.1
NE
6
1.5
NE
6
1.1
NE
6
1.4
NNE
7
1.6
NE
6
1.7
NNE
6
1.4
NNE
7
1
NE
7
0.3
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
299
120
220
53
36
236
138
29
83
18
86
106
72
143
86
175
209
209
203
102
42
Wind (km/h)
30
NE
35
ENE
25
NE
20
ENE
25
ENE
20
ENE
20
ENE
25
ENE
20
NE
20
ENE
30
ENE
15
NE
25
NE
30
NE
20
NE
15
NE
30
NE
30
ENE
5
S
15
WSW
15
SE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
on
High Tide
12:30PM1.59m
00:55AM1.52m
1:10PM1.70m
1:33AM1.60m
1:46PM1.81m
2:07AM1.68m
2:20PM1.90m
2:39AM1.73m
2:52PM1.97m
3:11AM1.77m
3:23PM2.00m
3:43AM1.78m
3:55PM2.00m
Low Tide
6:49PM0.46m
6:54AM0.46m
7:27PM0.36m
7:31AM0.37m
8:02PM0.28m
8:04AM0.29m
8:35PM0.22m
8:36AM0.24m
9:07PM0.18m
9:07AM0.21m
9:38PM0.16m
9:38AM0.21m
10:09PM0.17m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:24
7:24
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:00
8:59
8:58
8:58
8:57
8:57
8:55
 mm
2
Temp °C
24
25
23
23
24
22
23
23
22
24
25
24
26
26
26
28
29
28
26
29
33
Feels °C
19
21
21
22
22
20
22
22
20
22
23
24
23
24
25
26
25
29
27
31
31
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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