El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 08 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
24.1°C
0.5° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 11 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, NNE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, NNE swell with 292 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 10PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period with NNE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The surf forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 1.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 9s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Fri 11th Sep)4.5ft (1.4m) 7s
Best Surf10PM (Fri 11th Sep)4.5ft (1.4m) 7s
Most Powerful 7PM (Sat 12th Sep)5ft (1.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Gonna be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at El Medano are looking pretty bleak for the most part. Let’s get into it.

The pattern for the next 16 days is dominated by poor surf conditions. We’re starting with a run of lumpy, choppy, cross-onshore junk from Tuesday the 8th right through Friday the 11th. Swell is tiny, short-period windswell from the NE, only around 3 ft to 4 ft, and the wind is just ruining it. The water temp is sitting at 75°F, which is only about 0.9°F above average, so it’s pretty normal for the time of year.

Now, there is one little window that catches my eye. Saturday the 12th is the only real standout in the whole forecast. Saturday morning and afternoon we get a brief moment of hope. The wind goes glassy, with a 4 ft swell from the NNE and a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (287), and it’s gonna be clean. This is the best on offer by a long shot. It’s a small window, but if you can get out there, you’ll find some fun little waves. Mind you, El Medano is a beach and reef setup, and it’s usually a beginner spot, but it’s also inconsistent and rarely breaks, so when it does, it’s a treat. The swell direction from the NNE is not the optimum SSW, so it won’t be perfect, but with glassy conditions, it’ll be surfable. Crowds are possible here, so expect some company.

After Saturday, it’s a long, slow slide into misery. Sunday the 13th the swell drops off to 2 ft, and while it’s glassy in the morning, it’s just too small. Monday the 14th is flat. Then from Tuesday the 15th through to the end of the 16-day window, we’re stuck with tiny, weak energy from the SSW. The combined energy values are all under 100, and the swell is barely 1 ft. Even the long-period groundswell that shows up around the 16th and 17th is too small to do anything. The wind is mostly light and cross-onshore or glassy, but it’s just not enough. This is a tough stretch.

Forget about the second week, it’s a write-off. There’s simply no swell to work with.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the Saturday the 12th window. That’s your only chance.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 23°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Thu morning, light winds from the NE by Thu night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Fri afternoon, min 23°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
NE
5
0.7
NE
5
0.9
NE
5
1.1
NE
7
1.1
NE
5
1.3
NE
5
0.9
ENE
7
0.9
NE
6
1
NE
6
0.9
ENE
7
1.3
NNE
7
1.3
NNE
8
1.3
NNE
8
1.2
NNE
8
0.6
NE
8
0.6
NE
8
0.5
NE
8
0.4
NE
8
0.4
NE
8
0.4
SSW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
64
23
42
122
53
92
78
61
75
78
155
209
197
192
43
44
34
21
17
56
Wind (km/h)
30
ENE
30
NE
25
NE
15
ENE
35
NE
35
ENE
35
ENE
15
NE
15
ENE
25
ENE
5
SW
5
ESE
5
NE
5
NNE
5
ESE
10
E
0
ENE
5
SSE
10
SSW
5
ENE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross
glassy
on
glassy
glassy
cross
cross-on
High Tide
00:46AM1.78m
12:58PM2.05m
1:27AM1.90m
1:38PM2.16m
2:05AM1.98m
2:16PM2.20m
2:39AM2.00m
2:52PM2.16m
3:13AM1.98m
3:26PM2.07m
3:45AM1.92m
4:00PM1.92m
Low Tide
6:37PM0.16m
6:45AM0.24m
7:19PM0.03m
7:25AM0.13m
7:56PM-0.04m
8:02AM0.06m
8:31PM-0.06m
8:38AM0.04m
9:04PM-0.02m
9:12AM0.07m
9:35PM0.07m
9:46AM0.14m
10:05PM0.20m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:48
7:50
7:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:19
8:17
8:16
8:15
8:15
8:13
8:12
 mm
Temp °C
30
29
29
27
26
25
26
24
24
25
23
25
25
24
25
25
24
25
25
25
Feels °C
28
27
26
28
25
21
23
24
22
23
25
27
28
27
27
27
28
27
27
27
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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