El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 21 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
24.1° C
0.8° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 21 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 12s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 21 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period, SSW swell with 371 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 12s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The surf forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 0.9m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 21) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 8s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1PM (Sun 23rd Aug)1.5ft (0.5m) 12s
Best Surf 1PM (Sun 23rd Aug)1.5ft (0.5m) 12s
Most Powerful 7AM (Fri 21st Aug)3ft (0.9m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming up at El Medano. I gotta be straight with you—this stretch is a tough one. This spot rarely breaks at the best of times, and the next 16 days are mostly a case of watching, waiting, and hoping.

The story right now is a whole lot of onshore wind messing things up. For days and days, we’ve got a stiff breeze from the ENE smacking the waves, leaving them choppy and lumpy. Swell heights are tiny, just 1.0ft to 3ft, with short periods that just don’t have any push. The combined wave energy is in the doldrums, sitting at weak to moderate levels (395 down to just 32), and that tells you all you need to know—there's no power in the water. For a beginner beach and reef setup like this, it’s just not gonna be any fun.

There’s a little tease on Sunday the 23rd afternoon. The wind drops right off, turning glassy, and we get a tiny 2ft SSW swell with a 12-second period. That longer period gives it a bit more shape, and the clean conditions mean it’ll be rideable for a longboard or a foamie. The energy is weak (86), so you’ll be hunting for waves, but at least it’ll be pretty out there.

That little window closes fast. Monday the 24th is also glassy with the same tiny 2ft S swell, but again, it’s very ordinary. After that, the wind picks back up and we’re right back to messy, cross-onshore junk for the rest of the week and into the next. We even see some strong breezes hitting 28 mph, which is just horrible for surfing.

Now, there is one day that actually stands out as a real gamble. If you’re patient, mark Tuesday morning, the 1st of September. The wind goes glassy again, and we’ve got a 3ft SSW groundswell rolling in with a very long 15-second period. The combined energy jumps up to a solid 586, so there’s proper power in the water. The catch is that long period and a SSW direction means it might break a bit straight on this beach, but the clean conditions and that energy make it the absolute best on offer. If you’re keen, that’s your morning to be out there, but be aware it’s over a week away and forecasts can shuffle.

The rest of the 16-day run? More wind, more tiny chop, and swells that just don't align. Honestly, for a spot that rarely breaks and has this much wind, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of it. The blank spells here are just part of the deal—when it’s off, it’s off.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on that first of September morning.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Fri morning, min 22°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Fri morning, calm by Sun afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Mon afternoon, min 22°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun night, fresh winds from the ENE by Wed afternoon).

Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
SSW
13
0.5
SSW
12
0.5
SSW
12
0.5
S
12
0.5
S
12
0.5
S
12
0.5
S
11
0.5
S
11
0.5
S
11
0.4
SSW
11
0.4
SSW
11
0.3
SSW
11
0.8
NE
4
0.9
NE
5
1.1
NE
5
1.5
NE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
366
351
239
181
135
95
85
83
73
72
71
65
62
61
39
39
22
24
35
59
131
Wind (km/h)
25
ENE
30
ENE
20
ENE
20
ENE
15
E
20
ENE
5
NE
5
WSW
5
ENE
5
E
5
NE
15
NE
15
ENE
20
ENE
20
NE
15
NE
35
ENE
25
NE
25
NE
40
ENE
35
NE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
8:26AM1.32m
9:25PM1.22m
10:09AM1.33m
11:00PM1.27m
11:23AM1.44m
11:57PM1.39m
12:12PM1.58m
00:37AM1.51m
12:49PM1.73m
1:11AM1.64m
1:22PM1.87m
1:42AM1.75m
1:53PM1.98m
2:12AM1.83m
Low Tide
3:02PM0.76m
3:34AM0.79m
4:47PM0.71m
5:03AM0.71m
5:50PM0.60m
5:56AM0.59m
6:32PM0.47m
6:35AM0.46m
7:06PM0.34m
7:08AM0.34m
7:38PM0.23m
7:39AM0.24m
8:07PM0.13m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:39
7:39
7:39
7:39
7:41
7:41
7:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:38
8:37
8:37
8:36
8:35
8:34
8:32
 mm
Temp °C
26
26
24
24
24
23
23
23
23
24
25
24
24
24
23
25
25
24
25
25
24
Feels °C
22
24
23
23
24
23
24
25
26
27
27
25
24
24
23
23
22
22
24
21
20
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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