El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 24 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
24.4°C
1.1° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period, SSW swell with 259 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 0.7m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 8s period and expected on Monday (Aug 24) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 7AM (Mon 31st Aug)2.5ft (0.7m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer in the local waters.

Right now, and for the rest of the month, it’s a real struggle. El Medano is a beach and reef setup that *rarely breaks*, and you can see why over these next days. We’re looking at a stretch of poor to very ordinary conditions starting Monday the 24th of August and running for nearly two full weeks. The wind is mostly a cross-onshore breeze, gusty, and messy, ruining whatever little swell there is. The wave energy early on is weak, around 77 (moderate energy), but it’s paired with horrible wind and tiny 2ft to 1ft swell with a short period. Not worth paddling out for.

Through the end of August and into the first days of September, the swell bumps up a little, but it’s still plagued by cross-onshore winds and energy values climbing into the hundreds – moderate at best. The surf remains poor. By the 3rd of September, we see a bigger pulse with combined energy hitting 1054 (strong), but again, the wind is cranking 15 to 25 mph from the NE, making it messy and lumpy. Not a single standout in this whole run until early September the 7th.

Here’s the thing though – Monday morning the 7th of September is still poor, but Monday afternoon the 7th of September gives us a glimmer. The wind drops to a glassy 5 mph from the ESE. Swell is tiny, only 2ft from the NE with a period of 10 seconds, and the energy is weak at 71, but it’s *glassy*. You might score a few ordinary, small waves if you’re desperate, but it’s nothing to get excited about.

The real promise, if you can call it that, comes Tuesday the 8th of September. Glassy conditions again – 3 mph E wind – but the swell is dropping to just 1ft from the NE at 9 seconds, combined energy at a measly 34 (weak). It’s tiny, clean, and about as small as it gets.

Honestly, for the entire 16-day window, there is not one good, solid, quality surf day. The break rarely works as it is, and the wind is nearly always onshore and strong. If you’re a kite surfer, the afternoons with strong cross-onshore winds and moderate swell from the 2nd of September onward might look interesting – but for a paddle surfer, it’s a long, quiet spell. Forecasts can change, and it tends not to stay this poor forever, but for now, I’d park the board.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Mon morning, min 22°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Thu morning, min 22°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Wed night, strong winds from the NE by Fri afternoon).

Monday
24
Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
S
12
0.5
S
12
0.4
SSW
11
0.4
SSW
11
0.4
SSW
11
0.4
SSW
11
0.3
SSW
11
0.3
SSW
11
0.3
SSW
10
0.9
NNE
4
1
ENE
4
1.3
NE
5
1.3
NE
5
1.5
NE
6
1.5
NE
6
1.1
NE
7
1.1
NE
7
1.2
NE
5
1
NE
7
0.4
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
72
72
43
41
40
39
23
22
21
31
42
90
89
143
156
140
126
80
104
87
184
Wind (km/h)
20
ENE
25
ENE
25
NE
25
ENE
20
ENE
20
ENE
20
NE
20
ENE
15
NE
25
NE
35
ENE
35
NE
25
NE
40
ENE
25
NE
30
ENE
30
ENE
30
NE
15
NE
25
ENE
25
NE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
12:12PM1.58m
00:37AM1.51m
12:49PM1.73m
1:11AM1.64m
1:22PM1.87m
1:42AM1.75m
1:53PM1.98m
2:12AM1.83m
2:23PM2.06m
2:43AM1.90m
2:54PM2.09m
3:14AM1.92m
3:26PM2.08m
3:47AM1.91m
Low Tide
5:56AM0.59m
6:32PM0.47m
6:35AM0.46m
7:06PM0.34m
7:08AM0.34m
7:38PM0.23m
7:39AM0.24m
8:07PM0.13m
8:10AM0.17m
8:37PM0.07m
8:40AM0.12m
9:07PM0.04m
9:12AM0.11m
9:38PM0.06m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:39
7:41
7:41
7:41
7:41
7:43
7:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:36
8:35
8:34
8:32
8:31
8:30
8:30
 mm
Temp °C
25
25
24
24
24
23
24
24
23
26
25
24
25
26
24
25
26
24
26
27
28
Feels °C
25
25
23
22
23
23
23
23
21
24
23
21
20
22
21
22
23
23
24
27
26
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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