El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 12 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
23.9°C
0.2° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, NNE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, NE swell with 413 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period with NNE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The surf forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Friday (Sep 18) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sat 12th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Best Surf10AM (Sat 12th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Most Powerful 7PM (Thu 17th Sep)6ft (1.9m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what the next couple of weeks are shaping up like for this stretch of coast.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – it’s looking pretty bleak for the next week or so. We’ve got a long dry spell on our hands with hardly anything to get excited about. The only real chance to paddle out comes on Friday, the 18th of September, with a bit of a pulse of energy. That morning looks like the standout of the whole 16-day window if you can be patient.

Friday 18th September, Morning

It’s all about El Medano. We’ll have a 5ft swell rolling in from the NNE, and the real beauty here is the wind – dead calm, glassy conditions. That’s the kind of morning that makes you forget about the flat spells. The combined wave energy is sitting at a moderate 573, so there’s enough push to get a few fun ones. The swell period is around 10 seconds, which isn't long-period groundswell, but it should give you some decent shape. Just a heads up though, this break rarely breaks and it’s inconsistent, so you might have to work for your waves. Also, it can get a crowd sometimes, so if you see a few cars, don’t be surprised.

Rest of the Window

Honestly, that Friday morning is your best bet. The Saturday morning (19th) before it and the Sunday (20th) come back with tiny, weak energy – barely a ripple. The combined energy drops to between 45 and 68, just not worth suiting up for. After that, we’re looking at a long stretch of poor conditions. From the 21st right through to the 27th, there’s consistently low swell, onshore winds, and lumpy water. The energy stays under 140, and the wind is never cooperating. It’s a proper dry spell.

So to sum it up: if you’re itching for a surf, mark Friday the 18th on your calendar for a glassy morning session at El Medano. For the rest of the time? Leave the board in the car, or maybe take up something else because it’s not looking good for paddle surfing.

Stay salty,
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Mon afternoon, min 23°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Tue morning, min 24°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, fresh winds from the NE by Wed morning).

Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
NNE
8
0.8
NE
7
1.4
NNE
8
1.1
NNE
8
0.6
NE
8
0.6
NE
8
0.5
NE
8
0.4
NE
8
0.4
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
13
0.9
NE
8
0.3
SSW
18
0.4
SSW
16
0.5
S
16
0.5
SSW
16
0.5
SSW
14
1.3
ENE
8
1.5
NNE
8
1.4
NNE
10
0.5
S
13
0.4
SSW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
199
64
232
145
35
42
31
20
56
54
86
61
87
131
137
120
187
322
394
87
53
Wind (km/h)
5
WSW
20
ENE
15
NE
10
E
15
E
5
ENE
5
SSW
10
SW
10
ENE
10
ENE
10
ENE
20
NE
35
NE
35
ENE
20
NE
20
NE
30
ENE
15
NE
0
SSE
0
NE
5
ENE
Wind State
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross-on
High Tide
2:52PM2.16m
3:13AM1.98m
3:26PM2.07m
3:45AM1.92m
4:00PM1.92m
4:16AM1.82m
4:33PM1.75m
4:49AM1.70m
5:08PM1.57m
5:24AM1.56m
5:49PM1.39m
6:11AM1.41m
6:51PM1.24m
Low Tide
8:38AM0.04m
9:04PM-0.02m
9:12AM0.07m
9:35PM0.07m
9:46AM0.14m
10:05PM0.20m
10:20AM0.25m
10:35PM0.34m
10:56AM0.39m
11:07PM0.50m
11:37AM0.55m
11:46PM0.65m
12:33PM0.69m
00:47AM0.78m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:48
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:15
8:13
8:12
8:10
8:09
8:08
8:07
 mm
Temp °C
26
27
27
26
26
25
27
28
28
31
31
30
30
29
25
25
24
23
24
24
23
Feels °C
27
27
26
27
28
28
29
29
30
32
31
30
24
25
24
21
21
24
26
26
25
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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