El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 28 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
23.3° C
0.7° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 13s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period, NNE swell with 213 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 13s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The surf forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 1.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 01) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7AM (Sun 2nd Aug)1.5ft (0.4m) 13s
Best Surf 7AM (Sun 2nd Aug)1.5ft (0.4m) 13s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sat 1st Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer.

Well, to be honest, the next 16 days are a tough stretch for El Medano. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with very little to get excited about. The pattern is dominated by a persistent cross-onshore wind from the ENE and NE, which keeps things choppy and messy for the vast majority of the period. The wave energy is mostly weak to moderate, and the swell direction is coming from the NE, which is not the optimum SSW direction for this spot.

The first real glimmer of anything surfable doesn’t show up until Sunday, 02 August in the morning. That’s a gap of several days with no real recommendations. On that morning, we get a glassy moment with a light SSW breeze, swinging to a 1ft swell from the SSW with a very long period of 13 seconds. The combined swell energy is low, at 93. The water temperature is around 74°, which is about 1° warmer than normal, so pretty average for this time of year. The conditions are described as “surfable waves but very ordinary” – they’re small, clean, and that long period will give it some shape, but it’s a tiny wave. For a beginner-friendly break like El Medano, it’s okay, but hardly a standout. The swell is so small it’s safe for anyone.

After that, we’re straight back into poor conditions. The cross-onshore winds return for the rest of the week. There’s a bit more energy around 08 August with a combined energy of 551 and a 6ft swell from the NE, but the wind is cross-on from the NE at 15 mph, making it choppy and blown out. That’s the biggest swell of the period, but the quality is poor, so it’s not one to chase.

The best of a bad bunch is that Sunday morning session. It’s a true standout only because it’s the only window with clean, glassy conditions, but it’s tiny. For the rest of the 16 days, it’s a write-off. If you’re a kitesurfer, the strong, consistent cross-onshore winds on the bigger days (like 05 August into 06 August, with swell up to 6ft and strong breeze) might look more interesting than paddling.

Hang in there, folks. Forecasts can change, and it tends not to stay this poor for long.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Thu morning, min 22°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Tue night, strong winds from the ENE by Thu afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Fri morning, min 24°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NE on Fri afternoon, calm by Sun night).

Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NE
7
0.4
NE
7
1
NE
5
1.4
NNE
5
1.4
NE
6
1.6
NE
6
1.1
NE
6
1.1
NE
6
1.1
NE
7
1.1
NE
7
1.3
NE
6
1
NE
6
0.8
NE
8
0.6
NE
8
1.1
NE
8
0.4
SSW
13
0.5
S
13
0.5
S
13
0.5
S
12
0.5
S
12
0.4
SSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
19
15
51
102
123
159
77
95
111
102
104
66
69
46
143
59
90
85
76
77
50
Wind (km/h)
25
ENE
20
ENE
25
NE
20
ENE
35
ENE
25
NE
35
NE
45
ENE
30
NE
20
NE
35
NE
30
NE
15
ENE
10
E
10
NE
5
SSW
10
E
10
NE
10
NE
30
NE
30
NE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
High Tide
1:46PM1.81m
2:07AM1.68m
2:20PM1.90m
2:39AM1.73m
2:52PM1.97m
3:11AM1.77m
3:23PM2.00m
3:43AM1.78m
3:55PM2.00m
4:16AM1.78m
4:28PM1.95m
4:51AM1.74m
5:04PM1.88m
Low Tide
8:02PM0.28m
8:04AM0.29m
8:35PM0.22m
8:36AM0.24m
9:07PM0.18m
9:07AM0.21m
9:38PM0.16m
9:38AM0.21m
10:09PM0.17m
10:11AM0.24m
10:42PM0.20m
10:47AM0.30m
11:18PM0.26m
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:26
7:28
7:28
7:28
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:58
8:58
8:57
8:57
8:55
8:54
8:54
 mm
Temp °C
23
23
23
25
26
25
29
29
28
30
30
28
26
26
25
25
27
28
31
32
32
Feels °C
21
22
23
23
23
24
26
27
23
26
25
25
26
29
28
28
29
26
30
28
26
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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