El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 23 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
22.7° C
0.2° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period, NNE swell with 403 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 2.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 24th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for El Medano.

To be straight with you, the next week and a half is a write-off. From Thursday the 23rd of July right through to Friday the 31st of July, it’s a tough watch. The wind is howling out of the ENE and NE, smashing the sea surface into a choppy mess. The swell is mostly short-period windswell, around 6 to 8 seconds, and the combined energy gets up there (355 to 411) but it’s all for nothing with that strong cross-onshore breeze. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t arrive until Saturday the 1st of August. The wind finally drops, swinging light WSW and cross-offshore in the morning, and then going dead flat calm, glassy in the afternoon. That’s the magic word. The swell is still small, around 4 ft to 5 ft from the NNE and NE, with combined energy around 144 to 201. It’s not going to blow your mind, but it’s clean. This is the standout in the whole run: Saturday afternoon. The combined energy is moderate (201), the swell is a modest 5 ft from the NE, and with the wind completely off and glassy, it’ll be rideable and fun for a beginner.

Sunday the 2nd of August keeps that clean theme going, with a light SW cross-offshore breeze in the morning and another glassy afternoon. The swell drops off a bit, reaching 3 ft from the NNE in the morning, and then a tiny 2 ft but with a much longer period of 13 seconds from the south in the afternoon. That’s a proper groundswell, but it’s barely breaking. The energy is moderate (170) but the size is just too small.

After that, from Monday the 3rd of August, the wind picks right back up from the ENE and NE, and we’re back to the same old story of poor, cross-onshore conditions for the rest of the forecast.

So, if you’re keen, the only windows worth paddling out for are Saturday the 1st and maybe Sunday the 2nd of August. Saturday afternoon with that glassy, clean face is the best on offer. The rest of the 16 days is a long stretch of nothing.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu morning, min 22°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the NE on Wed night, strong winds from the ENE by Sat afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sun morning, min 22°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NE on Sat night, light winds from the ENE by Tue morning).

Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
NE
6
1.6
NE
6
1.3
NE
6
1.3
NE
6
1.4
NE
6
1.8
NE
7
1.5
NE
8
1.9
NE
7
1.8
NE
7
1.5
NE
8
1.4
NE
9
0.9
NE
9
1.5
NNE
8
0.7
NE
8
0.9
NE
5
0.6
NE
8
0.4
NE
7
1.1
NNE
8
1.2
NNE
5
1
NE
5
1.3
NNE
5
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
80
172
141
130
157
301
270
315
292
313
321
132
307
60
38
36
21
138
61
51
99
Wind (km/h)
30
ENE
40
ENE
30
NE
40
NE
45
ENE
35
NE
30
NE
50
ENE
35
NE
30
NE
45
ENE
35
NE
30
NE
30
ENE
20
NE
15
ENE
25
ENE
20
ENE
10
NE
35
ENE
25
NE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
9:26AM1.39m
10:01PM1.33m
10:40AM1.42m
11:15PM1.35m
11:42AM1.49m
00:12AM1.43m
12:30PM1.59m
00:55AM1.52m
1:10PM1.70m
1:33AM1.60m
1:46PM1.81m
2:07AM1.68m
2:20PM1.90m
2:39AM1.73m
Low Tide
3:47PM0.70m
4:14AM0.68m
5:05PM0.65m
5:21AM0.63m
6:03PM0.56m
6:12AM0.55m
6:49PM0.46m
6:54AM0.46m
7:27PM0.36m
7:31AM0.37m
8:02PM0.28m
8:04AM0.29m
8:35PM0.22m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:22
7:22
7:24
7:24
7:24
7:26
7:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:00
9:00
9:00
9:00
8:59
8:58
8:58
 mm
Temp °C
27
27
24
27
27
24
26
26
24
25
25
23
24
25
23
24
24
23
24
25
24
Feels °C
22
22
20
21
21
20
20
20
19
20
19
20
21
22
22
23
22
22
24
22
25
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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