El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 29 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
24.9°C
1.4° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, NE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 1 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with 547 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 4PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 13s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The surf forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 1.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 9s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 1AM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Thu 3rd Sep)2ft (0.6m) 13s
Best Surf 7PM (Thu 3rd Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Most Powerful 1AM (Tue 1st Sep)3.5ft (1.0m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's shaping up for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, if you're looking for waves, this is a tough stretch. We've got a long, frustrating run of poor conditions ahead. The first real sniff of anything worthwhile doesn't show up until Friday the 4th of September. Before that, from now through Thursday the 3rd, it's pretty much a write-off. Expect onshore winds, lumpy chop, and not much to get excited about.

The only window with a bit of promise is Friday the 4th of September and the morning of Saturday the 5th. On Friday morning, El Medano will be seeing a little 2ft swell out of the south with a 12-second period. The combined energy is weak (107), so don't expect much push, but the wind will be light offshore (WSW at 9 mph). That'll clean things right up, making for some small, tidy waves. By Friday afternoon, the wind drops even more with a slight air, and it'll stay clean. Saturday morning the 5th might be your best bet if you want a total glass-off – the wind goes glassy, with a tiny 1ft SSW swell. It's not going to be big, but for a beginner or someone wanting a longboard, that could be a very pleasant session if you can find a bank that holds it. Keep in mind, El Medano rarely breaks and it can get crowded sometimes, so you'll need to be on it.

After that little window, it all turns to custard from Saturday afternoon onwards right through to the end of the forecast period. We're back into lumpy cross-shore winds and messy, choppy surf. By Sunday the 13th of September, the energy drops to almost nothing (9), so don't hold your breath.

So, to sum it up: the standout is the morning of Saturday the 5th of September for a possible glassy, clean but tiny session at El Medano. Friday the 4th is your other option with a little more size. Everything else is a non-starter.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Mon morning, min 22°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 24°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon).

Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
NE
5
1.2
NE
5
1
NE
7
1
NE
7
0.4
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
17
0.8
SSW
17
1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
1.5
NE
8
1.2
NE
8
1.3
NNE
8
0.6
SSW
13
1.2
NNE
8
0.9
NNE
8
0.9
NNE
7
0.4
SSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
61
79
107
104
89
186
307
404
547
446
513
376
297
277
196
208
133
154
88
96
46
Wind (km/h)
30
NE
30
ENE
20
NE
15
NE
25
ENE
30
NE
20
NE
25
ENE
25
NE
30
ENE
40
ENE
25
NE
20
NE
35
ENE
15
NE
5
ENE
5
SSE
5
SW
10
SSW
5
SSW
5
SW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
cross
cross
glassy
High Tide
2:54PM2.09m
3:14AM1.92m
3:26PM2.08m
3:47AM1.91m
4:00PM2.01m
4:21AM1.86m
4:37PM1.90m
5:00AM1.77m
5:20PM1.75m
5:47AM1.66m
6:15PM1.57m
6:49AM1.53m
7:34PM1.42m
Low Tide
9:07PM0.04m
9:12AM0.11m
9:38PM0.06m
9:46AM0.14m
10:10PM0.11m
10:22AM0.20m
10:47PM0.22m
11:04AM0.30m
11:29PM0.35m
11:55AM0.43m
00:23AM0.51m
1:07PM0.56m
1:44AM0.64m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:43
7:45
7:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:30
8:30
8:28
8:27
8:25
8:24
8:23
 mm
Temp °C
25
25
24
25
25
24
26
25
24
26
27
25
27
27
25
25
25
25
26
26
26
Feels °C
21
22
22
23
23
22
25
23
22
22
23
23
25
24
25
27
28
28
28
29
30
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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