El Medano Surf Break

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

Issued: 6 pm 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
22.4° C

Normal for this time of year

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SSW swell with 366 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 16s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The surf forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 7s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4PM (Wed 8th Jul)1ft (0.3m) 16s
Best Surf 4PM (Wed 8th Jul)1ft (0.3m) 16s
Most Powerful 7AM (Mon 13th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you. We're looking at El Medano, and honestly, it's a tough stretch. The forecast is pretty grim for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, the water temperature is sitting at 72°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so that's one thing we don't have to worry about.

The main issue is that El Medano is a beach and reef break that rarely breaks, and the conditions we're getting just aren't cooperating. The swell direction is mostly from the SSW, which is not the optimum direction for this spot. Starting on Monday, July 6th, we've got a tiny 4ft swell from the NE with a pitiful period of 5 seconds and a cross-on wind. The energy is weak (112), and it's all just messy. We're looking at a long, dry spell here. From Monday right through to Saturday, July 11th, the surf stays poor. The swell is tiny, the wind is mostly cross-on, and it's choppy. There's a short window on Wednesday afternoon, July 8th, where the wind goes glassy, but with only 1ft of swell, it's barely a ripple. The wave energy is moderate (107) but the size just isn't there.

Then, into the second week, things don't really improve. The pattern stays the same: small, weak swell and onshore or cross-onshore winds. The only real change comes on Monday, July 20th, where we see a 5ft swell from the NE, but again, it's a short period of 5 seconds and the wind is a moderate cross-onshore. The energy is moderate (294), but the quality is still poor. This setup is so wind-affected and weak that honestly, it looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The bottom line, and I hate to say it, is there are no standouts here. The best you can hope for is a quick, glassy session on Wednesday afternoon, July 8th, but don't expect much. For the rest of the 16 days, it's a write-off. This is one of those times where you just have to be patient and wait for the charts to change.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Tue morning, min 24°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 21°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Mon
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
NE
5
0.2
SSW
18
0.8
NE
5
0.3
SSW
18
0.7
NE
5
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
1.2
NE
5
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
15
0.4
SSW
15
0.3
SSW
21
0.6
SSW
20
0.6
SSW
19
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
17
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
54
31
31
61
29
53
51
76
53
51
83
77
72
89
298
295
246
326
227
269
263
Wind (km/h)
10
ENE
10
NE
25
NE
10
ENE
10
NE
20
ENE
5
SSW
5
NNE
20
NE
20
ENE
15
NE
15
ENE
15
ENE
5
NE
10
ENE
15
ENE
20
NE
20
NE
20
ENE
25
NE
25
ENE
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
glassy
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
6:20PM1.72m
6:57AM1.53m
7:13PM1.66m
7:58AM1.52m
8:18PM1.60m
9:08AM1.53m
9:33PM1.58m
10:20AM1.60m
10:50PM1.62m
11:27AM1.71m
11:59PM1.71m
12:26PM1.85m
00:58AM1.80m
Low Tide
00:42AM0.41m
12:52PM0.54m
1:37AM0.44m
1:58PM0.57m
2:43AM0.46m
3:16PM0.56m
3:56AM0.44m
4:34PM0.47m
5:06AM0.39m
5:44PM0.34m
6:08AM0.30m
6:45PM0.20m
7:03AM0.21m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:15
7:15
7:16
7:16
7:16
7:16
7:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
9:06
9:06
9:06
9:06
9:05
9:05
9:05
9:05
 mm
Temp °C
26
27
30
29
29
30
28
27
25
25
23
23
23
22
23
23
22
24
24
22
23
Feels °C
27
27
25
28
28
28
30
29
24
25
24
23
23
23
24
24
21
23
23
20
21
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
NE
4
0.2
SSW
11
0.2
SSW
18
0.3
SSW
18
0.2
SSW
17
0.3
SSW
16
0.7
NE
5
0.6
NE
5
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
16
0.4
SSW
15
0.7
NE
5
0.6
ENE
5
0.6
SSW
20
0.6
SSW
19
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
17
0.7
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
16
Energy kJ
21
13
31
61
29
53
23
19
53
51
83
77
27
17
298
295
246
326
227
269
263
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSW
12
0.2
SSW
18
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
11
0.2
S
11
0.1
S
11
0.3
SSW
16
0.3
SSW
16
0.2
WNW
6
0.2
WNW
6
0.4
SSW
15
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
14
0.4
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
13
0.3
SSW
12
Energy kJ
27
31
10
9
9
2
51
53
3
3
72
70
81
61
61
65
58
57
28
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
NE
8
0.1
NE
8
0.1
NE
7
0.2
WNW
8
0.1
W
7
0.1
S
11
0.1
S
10
0.1
NW
9
0.1
NW
9
0.2
S
12
0.2
WNW
6
0.3
SSW
21
0.4
NE
5
0.2
SSW
16
0.2
WNW
8
0.2
WNW
8
0.2
WNW
8
0.2
WNW
7
0.1
S
19
Energy kJ
10
2
2
6
1
2
2
3
3
11
3
89
10
25
6
6
6
5
7
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
NE
5
0.7
NE
5
0.8
NE
5
0.6
ENE
4
0.7
NE
5
0.9
NE
5
0.9
NE
5
1.2
NE
5
0.9
ENE
5
0.9
ENE
5
0.7
NE
5
0.9
NE
5
1.1
NE
5
0.9
NNE
5
0.7
NE
5
0.4
ENE
4
0.6
NE
4
0.5
NE
4
0.7
NE
4
0.9
NE
5
0.6
NE
4
Energy kJ
54
23
30
13
23
38
31
76
51
47
28
38
69
47
27
6
16
8
21
35
13
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Distance (km)
34
113
282
1274
714
19
0
19
19
19
11
19
17
17
11
11
11
11
11
11
19
Best forecast wave conditions in Tenerife
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Spain (Africa)
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
5
9
8
9
7
7
6
6
6
5
5
4
5
5
4
9
7
5
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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