El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 pm 03 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
22.7° C
0.2° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 6s period, NE swell with 320 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 2.1m 6s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 9s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 1PM (Wed 5th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for our stretch of coast.

Straight up, it's a tough beat for the next 16 days. We've got a run of over two weeks where the conditions are just not gonna give us anything worth paddling out for. The wind is a constant problem, locking in from the NE and ENE, and it's nearly always cross-onshore, which is going to ruin any chance of a clean face. The swell is mostly short-period, weak windswell, and the energy levels are weak to moderate at best. Honestly, there isn't a single standout session in the whole forecast.

Starting from Monday the 3rd of August right through to the end of the outlook on Tuesday the 18th of August, it's the same story. We see small, messy, short-period swell from the NE, NNE, or ENE, with combined energy readings mostly in the 100s and 200s (moderate wave energy) but with all that wind, it's just lumpy and choppy. The best-looking swell heights hover around 3 ft to 5 ft, but with the period barely cracking 8 seconds, there's no power behind it. The winds are a killer – fresh to strong cross-onshore breezes all the way through.

For the handful of days like Monday the 10th and Wednesday the 12th, the energy drops into the double digits (64 and 94), which is just weak. Even when the combined energy pushes into the 300s on the 15th and 17th of August (still moderate energy), the wind never lets up. You’ll be looking at a lot of bumpy, blown-out surf.

If you are absolutely desperate, El Medano is a beach and reef break that rarely breaks anyway, and it's best with a SSW swell – which we aren't getting. The water temp is around 73°, which is about average for this time of year, not that it matters with the poor quality.

Honestly, this whole stretch looks better suited for a kite than a paddle board. Save your energy and wait for a change in the pattern. It tends not to stay this poor forever, so fingers crossed for the next update.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Mon morning, min 27°C on Wed night). Mainly strong winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Thu morning, min 24°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NE on Thu morning, light winds from the NE by Sat morning).

Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Friday
7
Saturday
8
Sunday
9
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
NE
5
1.6
NE
6
1.3
NE
6
1.6
NE
6
1.8
NE
6
1.5
NE
6
2
NE
6
1.9
NE
6
1.6
NE
6
1.8
NE
6
1.4
NE
6
1.3
NE
8
1.2
NE
7
1.3
NE
7
1.2
NE
8
1
NE
8
1.4
NE
6
1.1
NE
6
0.9
NE
7
1.1
NE
5
1.3
NE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
93
150
96
163
202
131
286
269
169
214
138
181
147
167
164
120
147
77
73
64
108
Wind (km/h)
30
NE
35
NE
40
NE
45
NE
45
NE
40
NE
45
NE
45
NE
40
NE
40
NE
45
NE
25
NE
35
NE
30
ENE
20
NE
10
NE
25
ENE
10
NNE
15
NE
25
ENE
15
NE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
5:04PM1.88m
5:30AM1.69m
5:45PM1.77m
6:17AM1.61m
6:37PM1.64m
7:16AM1.54m
7:46PM1.52m
8:34AM1.49m
9:17PM1.47m
10:03AM1.54m
10:48PM1.52m
11:21AM1.67m
00:00AM1.64m
Low Tide
10:47AM0.30m
11:18PM0.26m
11:28AM0.37m
00:01AM0.35m
12:17PM0.47m
00:53AM0.45m
1:23PM0.55m
2:05AM0.54m
2:53PM0.59m
3:35AM0.57m
4:29PM0.52m
5:00AM0.50m
5:46PM0.36m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:28
7:28
7:30
7:31
7:31
7:31
7:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:54
8:53
8:52
8:52
8:52
8:51
8:50
 mm
Temp °C
32
32
31
31
31
31
31
31
29
30
29
27
30
29
29
29
28
26
26
26
24
Feels °C
26
27
26
23
23
25
24
24
23
24
24
24
24
25
26
25
25
26
26
25
22
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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