El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 am 31 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
23.0° C
0.3° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period, NE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 7 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, NE swell with 255 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period with NE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The surf forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 1.6m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 10s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 01) at 7AM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sat 1st Aug)3ft (0.9m) 7s
Best Surf10AM (Sat 1st Aug)3ft (0.9m) 7s
Most Powerful 1PM (Fri 7th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

Honestly, mate, it's a pretty grim run for the next 16 days around El Medano. The whole window is a write-off for a proper surf. We're looking at a solid 16-day stretch with no real surfable waves on offer, so if you're a surfer, you might want to find something else to do for a while.

The only time the conditions even come close to *not* being terrible is on the morning of Saturday, August 1st. The swell from the NE is a tiny 3 ft, with a period of just 7 seconds – that's short-period slop, not really groundswell. But the wind has gone glassy, which is a massive positive. The wave energy is moderate (113), but the whole thing is way too small and wonky to get excited about. It's a "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions" kind of moment, and even then, the score is a 1 at best.

For the rest of the period, the wind is a constant problem. It's mostly cross-onshore from the NE or ENE, blowing at 9 to 28 mph, which is just killing any chance of a clean wave. The swell is always there, but it's weak, short-period windswell from the north, and it's being thrashed by the wind. The combined swell energy ranges from 67 to 439, but it's all junk. The water temperature is a comfortable 73°, which is about normal for the time of year, but you wouldn't know it from the surf.

I wouldn't even bother looking at the long-range stuff – the second week of August is the same story: fresh to strong cross-onshore winds and messy, lumpy waves. The setups here are more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing at this point.

This is a classic blank run for this area. Forecasts can change, but right now, it's a total no-go.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Fri morning, min 25°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the NE by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Mon morning, min 24°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NE on Wed morning, light winds from the NE by Wed night).

Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
NE
7
0.9
ENE
7
0.9
NE
7
0.9
NE
7
0.3
SSW
15
0.3
SSW
15
0.4
SSW
13
0.5
S
13
1.1
NE
6
1.4
NE
6
1.3
NE
5
1.1
NE
6
1.7
NE
6
1.3
ENE
5
0.9
NE
5
1.2
NE
5
1.5
ENE
6
1.1
NE
5
1.1
NE
6
1.2
NE
6
1.3
NE
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
43
83
82
69
42
42
59
90
69
119
94
80
198
97
40
85
143
60
83
109
141
Wind (km/h)
20
ENE
25
ENE
15
E
5
W
10
E
10
NNE
15
NE
15
ENE
20
NE
35
NE
30
ENE
40
NE
45
NE
40
NE
30
NE
40
NE
35
ENE
25
NE
30
ENE
35
ENE
30
NE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
3:23PM2.00m
3:43AM1.78m
3:55PM2.00m
4:16AM1.78m
4:28PM1.95m
4:51AM1.74m
5:04PM1.88m
5:30AM1.69m
5:45PM1.77m
6:17AM1.61m
6:37PM1.64m
7:16AM1.54m
7:46PM1.52m
Low Tide
9:38PM0.16m
9:38AM0.21m
10:09PM0.17m
10:11AM0.24m
10:42PM0.20m
10:47AM0.30m
11:18PM0.26m
11:28AM0.37m
00:01AM0.35m
12:17PM0.47m
00:53AM0.45m
1:23PM0.55m
2:05AM0.54m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:26
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:28
7:30
7:31
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:57
8:55
8:54
8:54
8:53
8:52
8:52
 mm
Temp °C
30
28
26
26
27
28
30
30
29
32
31
30
28
28
26
27
26
26
28
28
28
Feels °C
28
27
26
28
28
24
28
29
27
27
25
25
22
24
23
22
22
24
23
23
24
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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