El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 16 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
23.3° C
0.1° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 20 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 15s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 20 Aug, 10PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 14s period, SSW swell with 449 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 15s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The surf forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 1.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 8s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Thu 20th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 15s
Best Surf 1AM (Thu 20th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 15s
Most Powerful10PM (Thu 20th Aug)3.5ft (1.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's break down what's cookin' at El Medano.

Truth is, the pickin's are slim. We've got one sweet little window, and then the wind just wrecks everything for weeks. That persistent cross-onshore breeze is the story, and it ain't a good one for a guy looking to paddle.

The only real standout is this Sunday afternoon, August 16th. El Medano is gonna get a clean 2ft SSW groundswell with a super long 16 second period. The wave energy is moderate (320), and the real deal is the glassy 5 km/h ENE wind. That's an absolute gift. It's small, but it'll be perfect, clean little waves for the beginner crew or anyone who just wants a fun, easy session. The water's about 74°, right on average for the season.

Here's the downer. From Monday morning the 17th on through the end of the month, it's a long, grim outlook. Swell hangs around, swinging from SSW to weak short-period NE windswell, but it's constantly hammered by those cross-onshore winds. The energy gets strong (over 400 at one point), but it's all blown-out chop. With that wind and surf mix, this spot starts looking like a kiteboarding zone, not a surfer's dream. There's just nothing else in the guidance that's consistent enough to get excited about.

Bottom line: You've got one golden, glassy chance on Sunday the 16th. After that, it's a long blank stretch with nothing but messy, windy conditions for the next two weeks.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sun afternoon, min 22°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Fri afternoon, min 23°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the ENE by Fri afternoon).

Sun
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSW
16
0.5
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
13
0.5
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
14
0.6
S
16
1
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
SSW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
276
176
353
237
301
247
184
149
357
296
376
277
181
449
366
351
239
181
135
95
Wind (km/h)
5
ENE
25
NE
20
ENE
25
ENE
15
NE
10
ENE
20
ENE
15
NE
20
NE
15
ENE
5
NNW
20
ENE
25
ENE
10
NE
10
ENE
25
ENE
20
NE
10
NE
20
ENE
10
NE
Wind State
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
4:35PM2.00m
4:57AM1.77m
5:12PM1.82m
5:34AM1.66m
5:51PM1.63m
6:14AM1.53m
6:37PM1.44m
7:07AM1.40m
7:42PM1.28m
8:26AM1.32m
9:25PM1.22m
10:09AM1.33m
11:00PM1.27m
Low Tide
10:47PM0.18m
10:55AM0.28m
11:22PM0.33m
11:35AM0.42m
11:58PM0.49m
12:20PM0.57m
00:42AM0.63m
1:22PM0.70m
1:49AM0.75m
3:02PM0.76m
3:34AM0.79m
4:47PM0.71m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:35
7:37
7:37
7:37
7:39
7:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:44
8:43
8:42
8:40
8:39
8:38
8:37
 mm
Temp °C
25
23
24
25
23
24
25
25
25
25
24
25
25
25
25
26
24
24
25
24
Feels °C
27
22
22
23
22
23
24
27
26
27
26
23
24
24
26
25
22
25
25
25
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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