El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 12 am 11 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
23.9°C
0.2° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period, NNE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 13 Sep, 7AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, NNE swell with 207 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period with NNE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The surf forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 10AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 1.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 13) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 9s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 12) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10AM (Sat 12th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 7s
Best Surf10AM (Sat 12th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 7s
Most Powerful 7AM (Sun 13th Sep)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this is a tough run. The 16-day window for El Medano is looking pretty bleak, with no real quality surf on the cards. There’s a lot of weak, short-period windswell and the wind is mostly a problem, so the paddle just ain’t worth it for most of the month.

The first few days are a write-off. We've got poor surf and fresh cross-onshore winds keeping things lumpy and choppy. The combined energy is weak to moderate at best, with values like 128 and 127, but the quality is just not there.

A couple of mornings – Saturday, September 12th and Sunday, September 13th – offer a glimmer of hope with glassy conditions, but don't get excited. The swell is still small and short-period, only about 4ft to 4ft from the NNE. That gives us a combined energy around 200-244, so there's some movement, but it's messy and ordinary. The wind is the only thing that makes it worth a look for the absolute die-hards.

After that, it's a long, dry stretch. From Monday, September 15th all the way through to the end of the window on September 25th, the swell drops right off. Heights hover around 0.7ft to 2ft. The wind shifts around but rarely offers a clean offshore. A few mornings like the 20th and 22nd see glassy conditions, but there’s just no water moving – the energy plummets to under 100 most days. It’s a flat spell for sure.

The one break we’ve got, El Medano, is a beach and reef setup that only breaks rarely, and this period proves it. This is a normal blank run for this area – the forecasts can change, but right now it’s a no-go for paddling. If you’re into kite surfing, the stronger breezes on the 17th and 25th might look interesting.

The water temperature sits at 75°, which is about average for this time of year.

No standouts here, folks. Save your energy.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sat morning, min 23°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Fri afternoon, calm by Sun morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Tue afternoon, min 24°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the ENE by Wed afternoon).

Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
NE
6
1
NE
6
1.3
NNE
7
1.3
NNE
7
0.8
NE
7
1.3
NNE
8
1.2
NNE
8
0.6
NE
8
0.6
NE
8
0.5
NE
8
0.4
NE
8
0.4
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
13
0.4
SSW
12
0.3
SSW
18
0.4
SSW
16
0.5
S
16
0.5
SSW
16
0.5
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
S
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
54
80
173
193
71
187
168
38
42
31
21
56
54
50
61
87
131
137
120
163
92
Wind (km/h)
15
ENE
30
ENE
5
NNE
5
W
25
ENE
15
ENE
0
ESE
15
ENE
5
ESE
5
SSE
5
ESE
5
ENE
10
NE
10
ENE
15
NE
20
NE
20
ENE
25
NE
30
ENE
35
ENE
15
NE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
on
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
2:16PM2.20m
2:39AM2.00m
2:52PM2.16m
3:13AM1.98m
3:26PM2.07m
3:45AM1.92m
4:00PM1.92m
4:16AM1.82m
4:33PM1.75m
4:49AM1.70m
5:08PM1.57m
5:24AM1.56m
5:49PM1.39m
Low Tide
8:02AM0.06m
8:31PM-0.06m
8:38AM0.04m
9:04PM-0.02m
9:12AM0.07m
9:35PM0.07m
9:46AM0.14m
10:05PM0.20m
10:20AM0.25m
10:35PM0.34m
10:56AM0.39m
11:07PM0.50m
11:37AM0.55m
11:46PM0.65m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:48
7:48
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
7:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:15
8:15
8:13
8:12
8:10
8:09
8:08
 mm
Temp °C
24
25
24
26
26
25
26
25
25
28
27
28
31
32
31
30
28
25
25
25
23
Feels °C
25
21
24
26
24
26
26
26
27
29
30
29
30
31
29
27
27
24
22
22
22
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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