El Medano Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.04° N 16.54° W

El Medano Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 6 pm 10 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Medano sea temperature is
23.7° C
0.6° 

El Medano surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Medano surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 17 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 10AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SSW swell with 353 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 17 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Medano this week:

The surf forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Medano in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 9s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 10PM.

Wave TypeTime (WEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Mon 17th Aug)2.5ft (0.7m) 15s
Best Surf 4AM (Mon 17th Aug)2.5ft (0.7m) 15s
Most Powerful10AM (Mon 17th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Medano over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it's a pretty grim start. For the first week, from Monday 10th August right through to Sunday 16th August, it's a write-off. The wind is hammering in from the ENE and NE, 12 to 25 mph, and it's cross-onshore all the way. The swell is short-period, weak stuff, under 4 ft, and the energy is weak. The water temp is sitting at 75°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year. But honestly, it's just messy and lumpy, not worth paddling out for.

Now, there's a glimmer of hope if you're patient. Things start to change around the 17th, but it's still not great. Then on Tuesday morning, 18th August, we get a window of opportunity at El Medano. The wind goes glassy, just a whisper from the WSW at 3 mph. The swell is a clean 2 ft from the SSW, with a nice long period of 14 seconds—that's proper groundswell. The energy picks up to a moderate level, but the waves are small. This is a spot that rarely breaks, so when it does, you gotta pay attention. It's a beach and reef setup, so that long period should wrap in nicely. The crowds are sometimes a thing here, but with the size, it shouldn't be too hectic. It's a beginner-friendly wave at this size, so it's a good one for the learners.

Wednesday 19th August morning is a bit of a gamble - the wind is onshore from the ESE, so it's a no-go for me. The next real standout is Thursday 20th August. The morning is glassy again, with a calm wind from the WSW. Same SSW swell, 3 ft at 14 seconds, and the energy is strong. The afternoon looks even better, with a light S wind keeping it glassy and the energy even stronger. That's the pick of the whole outlook. The water temp is still around that average mark, so no surprises there.

The last few days of the forecast see the swell backing off, dropping to 1 ft and lower by the 23rd and 24th, with the cross-onshore wind returning. The energy just fades away to weak levels. Friday 21st and Saturday 22nd might offer a marginal wave, but it's nothing to get excited about. The 25th sees a spike in period to 19 seconds, but the wind is messy again.

So, to wrap it up: The first week is a total loss. The best surf is on Thursday 20th August, with glassy conditions and a clean 3 ft SSW groundswell. Tuesday 18th August is a smaller, more beginner-friendly option. Don't hold your breath for the second week.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Thu morning, min 22°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Fri afternoon, min 23°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Thu afternoon, light winds from the NNE by Sun morning).

Mon
10
Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
ENE
6
1.1
NE
6
0.8
NE
5
0.9
NE
5
1
NE
5
0.9
NE
5
1.1
NE
5
1.1
NE
6
1.2
NE
6
1.2
NE
6
1.2
NE
6
1.2
NE
6
1
NE
7
1.4
NE
6
1.3
NE
6
0.9
ENE
7
0.5
SSW
16
0.5
SSW
17
0.7
SSW
16
0.5
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
84
80
32
36
53
39
67
69
102
105
96
113
93
151
128
93
151
162
276
126
Wind (km/h)
35
ENE
25
NE
20
NE
30
ENE
20
NE
20
NE
35
ENE
20
NE
35
NE
40
ENE
30
NE
40
NE
40
NE
30
NE
30
ENE
35
ENE
30
NE
5
NNE
25
ENE
20
NE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
00:56AM1.77m
1:12PM2.02m
1:43AM1.88m
1:57PM2.15m
2:26AM1.95m
2:39PM2.22m
3:06AM1.97m
3:19PM2.22m
3:44AM1.94m
3:57PM2.14m
4:21AM1.87m
4:35PM2.00m
Low Tide
6:44PM0.19m
6:57AM0.24m
7:34PM0.05m
7:42AM0.13m
8:17PM-0.05m
8:23AM0.07m
8:58PM-0.08m
9:02AM0.05m
9:36PM-0.04m
9:40AM0.08m
10:13PM0.05m
10:18AM0.17m
10:47PM0.18m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:33
7:33
7:33
7:35
7:35
7:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:49
8:47
8:46
8:46
8:45
8:45
8:44
 mm
Temp °C
25
23
24
24
23
25
25
24
28
27
27
28
29
26
25
26
24
25
25
23
Feels °C
21
20
22
21
21
22
21
22
24
22
24
22
24
23
22
23
21
24
23
21
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  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Medano Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Medano provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Medano can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Medano surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Medano) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Medano may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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