El Comedor Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – the outlook for El Comedor over the next 16 days is a real heartbreaker. This is a world-class reef setup that only works when it's glassy, and the wind gods are just not playing ball. The entire forecast window is a write-off for clean, quality waves. Every single day we've got onshore or cross-onshore winds messing it up, and the wave state is constantly described as "poor surf conditions." It's a long, frustrating stretch.

Let's start from Friday, July 31st. We've got a 5 ft swell from the NNE at 7 seconds, but a 9 mph NE wind is blowing cross-on, making it choppy. The combined energy is moderate (234), but it's all for nothing with that wind. That trend continues right through the first week. Saturday and Sunday, August 1st and 2nd, see winds from the N at 9-12 mph, blowing straight onshore, with swell dropping to 4 ft. The water temp is about average for the time of year, but that's small comfort.

Into the second week, the pattern doesn't shift. Monday, August 3rd, has a light breeze, but it's still onshore from the NNE, spoiling the 5 ft swell. The energy is moderate (232), but it's a waste. By Wednesday, August 5th, the swell drops off to 3 ft with a short period, and the energy is weak (68). The wind is still a problem.

There is a glimmer of something bigger on the horizon. From around Monday, August 10th, the swell starts to build. By Tuesday, August 11th, we're looking at a 6 ft swell from the NNE with a 10-second period, and the combined energy jumps to a strong 523. The problem is, the wind is howling at 16 mph from the NNE. It's onshore in the morning and cross-onshore in the afternoon. This is a case of serious swell energy, but it's going to be a complete mess. For a reef break like El Comedor, which is an expert-only spot even on a good day, this is basically a no-go. The combination of strong onshore wind and a steep, powerful reef break is more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

The last days of the forecast, from August 12th to 15th, keep the swell between 5 ft and 6 ft, but the wind stays relentless from the N or NNE at 12-19 mph. The energy is moderate to strong (262 to 327), but it's all locked up in rough, choppy conditions. There is not a single standout session in this entire 16-day window. The only thing you can do is wait for a change in the forecast and hope those winds swing offshore.

Rusty.

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