El Comedor Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s happening at El Comedor. I’ve looked at the numbers and honestly, it’s a tough stretch ahead. The surf is on the menu, but the conditions are making it hard to swallow for most of the next two weeks.

The overall pattern is dominated by a relentless onshore wind. From the get-go on Saturday the 25th, we’ve got a fresh breeze blowing straight onto the reef, with a 8ft swell from the NNE. The water is sitting at 73°, which is about average for this time of year. The combined energy of all swells directed here is moderate (660), but with that wind and a short period of 8 seconds, it’s just messy. The scores are a flat zero all the way through. The wind barely lets up, staying onshore or cross-onshore for the entire 16-day window.

For the first week, from Saturday the 25th right through to Thursday the 31st, it’s a write-off. Swell heights drop from 8ft down to 4ft, and the period shortens to 6 seconds, which is just wind chop. The wave comment says it all: “poor surf conditions.” This is an expert-only reef break, so even when the swell is around 5ft to 6ft, the onshore wind makes it a dangerous, bumpy mess.

The first hint of a change comes on Sunday the 2nd of August. The morning shows a 5ft swell with a better 8-second period, and the wind finally drops to a light breeze. The score ticks up to 1, with a note of “marginal surf forecast.” It’s not good, but it’s the first sign of life. The combined energy is moderate (338). By Tuesday the 5th of August, the swell direction shifts to the NNW, which is the optimum direction for this spot, and the period jumps to 11 seconds. The swell height drops to 3ft, but the energy is still moderate (452). The wind is a gentle breeze, but it’s still onshore, so the waves will be clean but small.

The real standout, if you can call it that, is on Friday the 7th of August. We get a 6ft swell from the NNE with a 10-second period. The combined energy is strong (664). But here’s the catch: the wind is still a moderate onshore breeze at 16 mph. It’s the biggest swell of the outlook, but the conditions will be rough. For a reef break, this is borderline for experts only, and not enjoyable. The period is decent, but the onshore wind will ruin the shape.

Honestly, for a paddle surfer, there is no standout session here. The reef is exposed, and the wind is almost always on it. If you’re a kite surfer, the setup from the 25th to the 27th, with 8ft+ of swell and strong onshore wind, looks much more interesting than anything for a surfboard. The gap between now and the first marginal day on the 2nd of August is a full 8 days of poor surf. The blank run is real, but this spot is consistent, so it won’t stay this way forever. Keep an eye on the forecasts.

Rusty.

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