El Comedor Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's size up what we've got for the next couple of weeks.

Alright, we're looking at an extended stretch of what I'd call "frustrating" conditions here. The swell is coming in, no doubt about it, but it's just not lining up. The wind is a real problem. For the first week and a half, from Saturday the 18th right through to the end of July, we're looking at a persistent onshore or cross-onshore flow from the north and north-northeast, gusting at 12 to 16 mph. That's just going to tear up any potential. The swell is showing up, but it's a short-period, 7 to 8 second wind swell, so it's going to be a choppy, messy mess. The wave energy builds from a moderate 178 (moderate) early on up to a strong 1514 (very strong) by the 27th, but none of that matters when the wind is howling onshore. The water temp is about 73°, which is a touch above the norm for this time of year, but you won't be thinking about that when you're getting blown off your board.

Then, we get a sniff of something better. The best bet across the entire 16-day window is at El Comedor. The morning of Tuesday, July 28th is the standout. The wind swings around to the northwest, dropping to a gentle 9 mph breeze, but it's still cross-on. The swell is a solid 10 ft from the north-northeast, with a period stretching to 9 seconds. That's a lot of water, pushing a combined energy of 1408 (very strong). Now, this is a reef break, and it's an expert-only wave. That size is going to be heavy, powerful, and well over the 8 ft mark, so only the experienced crew should even be looking at it. The wind is the best we'll see, but it's not perfect. If you're a top-tier surfer, this is the one morning to be out there, but be aware, it's a spot that's usually crowded, and with this quality, it will be packed.

Honestly, for the rest of the run, it's a grind. The afternoon of the 28th sees the wind turn fully offshore, but the swell drops to 8 ft, and the forecast says it's only marginal. We get a few more days of choppy, poor conditions. The first couple of days of August look a little better for the wind, with light breezes from the east, but the swell is still at 6 ft to 6 ft, and the forecast is still calling it marginal. The 1st of August morning has a light cross-shore from the east at just 3 mph, which is about as glassy as it gets, but the swell is a weak 6 ft from the north at 8 seconds. It's a long shot, but it's the cleanest the ocean will look all period.

So, bottom line: if you're an expert, mark your calendar for the morning of the 28th of July at El Comedor. For everyone else, it's a waiting game. The first week and a half are a washout, and the second week offers only a slim chance of a clean, small wave. It's a tough call, but that's the reality of it.

Rusty.

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