Surf Break

Lat Long: 23.25° N 106.46° W

El Bajo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 27 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Bajo sea temperature is
31.0°C
2.4° 

El Bajo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Bajo surf forecast from 28 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 29 Oct, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 31 Oct, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period, SW swell with 1,001 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 27 Oct, 11PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Bajo this week:

The surf forecast for El Bajo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Oct 27) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Bajo in the next 16 days are 1.4m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 31) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Oct 28) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Tue 27th Oct)3ft (0.9m) 16s
Best Surf 2AM (Thu 29th Oct)3.5ft (1.1m) 15s
Most Powerful11PM (Sat 31st Oct)4.5ft (1.4m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Bajo over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 80mm), heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 29°C on Tue afternoon, min 22°C on Wed afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Fri afternoon, min 24°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
27
Wednesday
28
Thursday
29
Friday
30
Saturday
31
Sunday
1
Monday
2
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
2
2
1
3
3
2
2
2
1
3
2
1
3
2
0
2
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
17
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
16
1.1
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
0.8
SW
18
1.3
SW
15
1.4
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
1.3
SW
15
1.3
SW
16
1.3
SW
16
1.2
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
427
375
432
427
406
525
560
546
512
485
472
375
743
894
589
763
793
773
648
558
543
Wind (km/h)
15
NNE
15
WNW
5
E
10
ENE
25
ESE
10
E
10
ESE
20
SE
15
ESE
15
SSE
5
SSW
10
ENE
5
W
15
WNW
10
NNE
5
W
20
WNW
10
NNW
10
WNW
25
NW
15
N
Wind State
cross-off
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross-off
on
cross-on
cross
on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
8:21AM1.89m
9:49PM1.39m
8:49AM1.85m
10:38PM1.25m
9:19AM1.77m
11:43PM1.11m
9:49AM1.63m
10:17AM1.46m
9:23AM1.25m
5:51AM1.30m
3:47PM1.18m
Low Tide
3:19PM-0.01m
2:47AM0.77m
4:00PM0.06m
3:09AM0.87m
4:47PM0.20m
3:23AM0.97m
5:48PM0.36m
7:30PM0.51m
9:45PM0.54m
11:29AM1.03m
10:55PM0.53m
thunderstorm
part cloud
rain showers
light rain
heavy rain
mod rain
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:07
—
—
6:07
—
—
6:09
—
—
6:09
—
—
6:09
—
—
6:09
—
—
6:11
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
5:30
—
—
5:30
—
—
5:29
—
—
5:28
—
—
5:28
—
—
5:27
—
—
5:27
—
 mm
3
—
18
3
17
7
6
13
13
1
4
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
27
29
28
24
23
23
24
27
26
26
27
26
26
27
27
26
27
27
26
28
27
Feels °C
28
30
30
27
23
24
26
28
27
28
29
30
29
29
30
29
29
29
29
27
28
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the El Bajo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Bajo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Bajo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Bajo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Bajo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Bajo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Sinaloa? If you are looking for accommodation near El Bajo, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Sinaloa, consider staying in Mazatlan which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 81 km (50 miles) away

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