El Bajo Surf Break

Lat Long: 23.25° N 106.46° W

El Bajo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 12 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's El Bajo sea temperature is
31.4° C
2.4° 

El Bajo surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


El Bajo surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 14s period, SSW swell with 1,447 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for El Bajo this week:

The surf forecast for El Bajo over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at El Bajo in the next 16 days are 1.9m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Mon 13th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 14s
Best Surf11PM (Thu 16th Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 14s
Most Powerful 2AM (Fri 17th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for El Bajo over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Wed night. Warm (max 30°C on Thu afternoon, min 26°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
2
0
2
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SW
14
1
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
13
0.7
SW
13
0.6
SW
18
0.8
SSW
12
0.6
SSW
12
0.6
SW
16
0.6
SW
16
1.1
SSW
11
1.5
SSW
13
1.9
SSW
14
1.9
SW
12
1.7
SSW
11
1.7
SW
10
0.7
SW
18
0.6
SW
19
0.6
SW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
418
402
362
347
309
222
175
252
199
106
208
163
280
722
1447
1064
645
603
300
229
203
Wind (km/h)
20
WNW
20
WNW
0
NE
15
WSW
15
WSW
5
SE
10
SW
15
WSW
5
ESE
10
SW
10
WNW
10
NE
10
WSW
20
W
5
N
10
SW
20
WNW
10
N
15
WNW
25
WNW
5
NNW
Wind State
on
on
glassy
on
on
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
off
cross-on
on
cross-off
cross-on
on
cross
cross-on
on
cross
on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
8:24AM1.35m
6:46PM1.82m
9:02AM1.39m
7:35PM1.86m
9:38AM1.41m
8:20PM1.85m
10:13AM1.42m
9:04PM1.78m
10:46AM1.41m
9:46PM1.66m
11:18AM1.41m
10:28PM1.49m
11:49AM1.40m
11:11PM1.30m
Low Tide
12:54PM0.97m
2:10AM-0.09m
1:42PM0.91m
2:51AM-0.11m
2:26PM0.86m
3:30AM-0.05m
3:10PM0.82m
4:07AM0.06m
3:54PM0.80m
4:39AM0.22m
4:40PM0.80m
5:07AM0.40m
5:31PM0.81m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:26
5:26
5:28
5:28
5:28
5:28
5:30
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:54
6:54
6:53
6:53
6:53
6:53
6:52
 mm
1
3
2
1
4
3
5
Temp °C
29
30
29
30
30
29
29
30
29
29
29
29
29
30
29
29
30
29
29
30
29
Feels °C
30
31
32
33
32
33
32
32
33
32
31
33
33
33
32
33
32
32
32
30
30
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the El Bajo Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for El Bajo provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at El Bajo can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our El Bajo surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (El Bajo) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for El Bajo may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Sinaloa? If you are looking for accommodation near El Bajo, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Sinaloa, consider staying in Mazatlan which is 8 km (5 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 81 km (50 miles) away

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