The Bowl Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look ahead at what we’ve got cookin’ for The Bowl. It’s a reef setup that loves a good NW swell, and we’ve got a wild ride of a forecast, from flat spells to some absolute monsters.

We start off with a bit of a wait. The first few days are a write-off – Thursday and Friday we’re dealing with messy, blown-out conditions from strong cross-off winds and a messy sea state. Then Saturday and Sunday bring oversized, junky swell and howling winds. It’s not gonna be pretty at all, and honestly, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing with that much wind and chop. A surfer’s gotta be patient.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Monday the 14th. The Bowl sees a drop in size to a manageable 5ft from the west with a moderate offshore wind. That’ll clean things up nicely for the afternoon, with moderate wave energy (593) – a nice, gentle start to the week.

But the true standout, the one you’ve gotta circle on the calendar, is Tuesday the 22nd of September. This is an all-timer on the cards. We’re talking a massive 18ft swell from the WNW with a very long 13-second period. That’s a proper groundswell with serious energy (9644). Now, a 13-second period at a reef break is a beautiful thing – long, drawn-out lines. The kicker is a gentle offshore SSW breeze. This is an *exceptional* day for expert surfers only; this swell is well over 8ft, so it’s definitely not for the faint of heart or beginners. The water temp has been sitting around average for the time of year, so a good 3/2 wetsuit will do the job.

Before that big day, there’s a solid session on Friday the 18th. An 8ft WNW groundswell with a moderate offshore S wind – excellent conditions for experienced surfers (2015 combined energy). That’s a strong, punchy wave without the sheer terror of the 22nd.

And then, after the big blow, we get a treat for the 23rd. The swell drops to 6ft from the WNW, with light cross-off winds. The afternoon of the 23rd is pure magic though: glassy conditions from the ESE, a 4ft WNW swell with moderate energy (637). That’s your sneaky good, low-key session to finish off the run.

After that, the 24th and 25th still offer swell in the 10ft to 15ft range, again for experts, but the winds start to get a bit iffy with cross-shore breezes and lower quality marks.

So, to sum it up: the next week is a write-off. Don’t bother until Monday the 14th for a small, clean wave. Lock in the 18th for a very good, solid session for experienced surfers. But the absolute gem, the one that’s worth the wait, is the morning of the 22nd of September – a true big-wave paradise with perfect offshore wind. Be ready.

Rusty.

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