Duds Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – the next 16 days around Duds Reef are looking pretty grim. We’ve got a solid run of onshore and cross-shore winds that are just gonna mess things up. The water temp is sitting at 80°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real chance we see is on the morning of Tuesday, July 28th. We’ve got a 6ft swell coming from the east, with a period of 13 seconds. That's a decent groundswell, and the wind is a cross-offshore breeze, which will keep the surf clean. The combined energy is pretty meaty at 1459, so there’s some power behind it. This is our standout, but it’s still a marginal call – the waves are getting up there, over 5ft, so it’s bordering on being too much for beginners. The east swell direction isn't ideal for the optimum SSE direction this spot loves, but with clean conditions, it’s worth a look.

The afternoon of the same day sees the swell bump up to 7ft and the energy jumps to 1757. That’s solid, but it’s getting into expert territory. The wind holds clean, so if you’re an experienced surfer, that Tuesday afternoon window is the best on offer.

After that, it’s a slow decline. Wednesday the 29th brings a 7ft swell from the ENE, but with a cross-onshore wind and a risk of thunderstorms, it’s chop city. The period drops to 11 seconds, and the energy is still strong at 1338, but the wind is just not your friend. From Thursday the 30th all the way through to the end of the forecast on the 9th of August, it’s basically a write-off. The swell hangs around, but it’s almost always cross-shore with strong winds, making it lumpy and messy. A few sessions have a swell over 5ft, but the wind is so bad it’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session.

The only other tiny glimmer is the morning of Wednesday, August 5th. We get a tiny 1ft swell from the SSW with a very long 15-second period, and the wind is cross-offshore, so it’s clean. But the energy is weak at 248, and it’s such a small, long-period swell that it’s probably only going to break on the reef at a very specific tide. Not really a goer.

So, the bottom line: Tuesday, July 28th is your best bet. The morning is okay for intermediates, the afternoon is for the experts. After that, you’re waiting a long time for anything decent. Sometimes the forecasts change, but right now, this is a pretty blank run for Duds Reef.

Rusty.

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