Duds Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s break down Duds Reef for the next couple of weeks. Gotta be honest, it’s looking pretty grim. Persistent cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions are the name of the game, and we’ve got a long stretch of nothing much to get excited about.

The first real chance to surf doesn’t show up until Saturday, July 11th. Before that, from Wednesday the 8th through Friday the 10th, the surf is poor with a fresh cross-shore breeze and lumpy cross-chop. Swell is running between 5ft and 6ft from the east, but with 22 mph winds tearing it up, it’s not worth paddling out. Wave energy is moderate, between 393 and 637.

Saturday the 11th of July finally gives us a tiny window. The morning is still messy, but the afternoon sees a shift. The wind goes cross-offshore from the NE at 19 mph, and the conditions clean right up. Swell is a tiny 2ft from the SW, but with a very long period of 18 seconds. That’s real groundswell, and it’ll have some punch for its size. The combined energy is a moderate 605. It’s a marginal call, but if you’re keen, that afternoon is your best bet for the whole first week.

From Sunday the 12th all the way through to Tuesday the 22nd, it’s back to the same old story. Swell stays small, mostly under 3ft, from the SSW or S, but the wind never gives you a break. It’s almost always a cross-shore from the ENE at 16 to 22 mph, keeping the surface lumpy. Wave energy bumps up around the 19th and 20th of July, hitting a moderate 795, but the conditions are still poor. There’s a slight chance on the morning of Monday, July 20th, with a cleaner look from a NE cross-offshore breeze at 12 mph. Swell is only 3ft from the S with a 14-second period. It’s the best of the second week, but still very marginal.

So the standout – such as it is – is the afternoon of Saturday, July 11th. That’s the only time the wind lines up and the swell has some real length to it. For the rest of the run, you’re battling the wind or waiting on weak, short-period junk. A tough stretch for Duds Reef. Forecasts can change, so don’t lose all hope, but right now it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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