Duds Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Duds Reef is offering over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, we're staring down a pretty grim stretch for Duds Reef. This is a reef break that's fairly consistent, and it opens up to swells from the SSE, but for the next 16 days, the winds are just a total killer. From Tuesday, July 7th, all the way through to Tuesday, July 21st, it's a relentless run of cross-shore breezes, mostly from the ENE, with speeds between 16 mph and 25 mph. That's going to keep things lumpy, choppy, and just plain messy. There's really nothing worth paddling out for in that whole first two-week block. The swell energy is moderate, hitting values like 795 (moderate), but it doesn't matter when the wind's ruining the surface.

The wave comment for every single one of those sessions is "poor surf conditions," so that tells you everything. The swell direction is often swinging between E and SSW, but it's never aligning right with the wind to give us anything clean. Expect a blank run of about 13 days with no real surf on offer.

Now, there is a tiny glimmer on the very last day of the window. On Wednesday, July 22nd, we see a slight change. The swell height picks up to 3 ft from the SW with a period of 17 seconds. That is a proper long-period groundswell. The combined energy jumps up to 1022, pushing into the strong range. But here's the catch—the wind is still a fresh 19 mph cross-shore from the ENE. The conditions are described as "marginal" at best, with the same lumpy cross-chop. It's still not good for a paddle session. Given the size is only about 3 ft, it's not a big-wave day, but the long period will make it a bit more powerful on the reef. Anyone who charges it on that day will have to battle the bumpy surface for a few turns.

To sum it up: for the next 16 days, forget the surfboard at Duds Reef. From July 7th to July 21st, it's a total write-off. And that last day on July 22nd is just a tease—still too windy for anything decent. A setup like this, with that constant cross-shore wind and moderate swell, would honestly be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Rusty.

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