Carrubo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. It’s Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for this stretch, and I gotta be straight with you: it’s looking bleak. We’ve got a solid 16-day window, but the surf is going to be a no-show for the vast majority of it. The swell window is basically shut, and what little energy rolls in is weak, short-period slop. It’s the kind of forecast that makes you want to take up golf, but we don’t do that here.

The only spot on the map that’s even getting a mention is Carrubo. It’s a beginner-friendly, fairly consistent break, which is a bit of a silver lining because if anything’s going to work, it’s this place. The water temperature is sitting at 85°F, which is a whopping 6°F warmer than average for this time of year. That’s not just a little warm, that’s a hot tub. It’s very unusual, so you can ditch the wetsuit for sure. We’re looking at primarily light winds and glassy conditions in the mornings, but the issue is there’s just no swell to push through.

The first real sign of anything is on Friday afternoon, August 7th. There’s a cross-shore breeze at 16 mph, and the swell is a pathetic 1ft from the WSW. The period is a measly 3 seconds, and the combined energy is only 3. That’s not surf, that’s wind chop. The wave comment says it all: poor surf conditions. The wind is going to make it messy, and it’s not worth paddling out for.

From there, it’s a dead zone. The next ten days are filled with clean, glassy mornings but with zero swell. It’s a frustrating tease. We’re looking at a solid stretch of no recommendations from the 8th all the way through the 17th. The wind is light and offshore at times, but the ocean is flat. The energy readings are all blanks or zeros. You could water-ski on it, but that’s about it.

Finally, we get a tiny pulse again on Tuesday afternoon, the 18th. Carrubo sees a small 1ft westerly swell with a period bumping up to 5 seconds. The combined energy is still minimal at 10. But here’s the catch, the wind is howling from the WSW at 12 mph. It’s a cross-shore breeze that’s going to chop that ankle-biter right up. It’s better than nothing, but just barely.

The following day, the 19th, has a whisper of a hope. The morning is glassy, and there’s a 0.3ft swell. The period is still a short 4 seconds, so it’s basically just a ripple. The afternoon shows a tiny 0.7ft WSW, still with that cross-shore wind at 12 mph. It’s more of the same.

We roll into the final days, the 21st and 22nd, and the swell direction shifts slightly to the SSW, with a period of 5 seconds. But the heights are still less than 0.7ft. The energy readings are a 1 or a 2—so weak it’s not even worth discussing. We even have some rain and a risk of thunderstorms on the 21st, but that won’t help the surf.

So here’s the bottom line. The entire 16-day window is a dud. The only break that’s mentioned, Carrubo, is only getting the ghost of swells that are too small and too short-period to do anything. The break is fairly consistent, but it can’t create waves from nothing. This is one of those times when you just have to accept that the ocean is taking a break. Hey, forecasts change, and this place is fairly consistent, so a blank run like this won’t last forever. But for now, the boards are staying in the car. This is Rusty, signing off.

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