Carolles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the menu for Carolles over the next couple of weeks. I'll be straight with you, it's a lean stretch.

Right off the bat, looking at the whole 16-day window, the honest truth is there’s not a single session that scores high enough to get me truly excited. The swell energy just isn't there in any meaningful way. The first real surfable waves don't show up until late on Sunday, the 31st of August, and even then, we're talking about a quick pulse before it fades again. There are then gaps of several days with nothing worth mentioning. Carolles is a beach and reef setup, and with the small, weak energy on offer, it’s not looking great for a paddle. With the wind patterns we see, this setup honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of the period.

The water temp here is running at 70°F, which is a whopping 7°F warmer than average for this time of year – very unusual, you’d almost think it was late summer in the tropics.

Let's run through the few moments where the numbers almost line up. The first bit of interest is on Sunday the 31st of August. The morning has a 4ft swell from the W, but it’s getting hammered by a 22 mph cross-onshore wind from the W, making a mess of things. The afternoon cleans up a bit with an offshore WNW wind at 16 mph, dropping the swell to a 3ft from the WNW with a period of 10 seconds. The wave energy is moderate at 209, but it’s still not enough to call it good.

We get a brief window on Monday the 1st of September. The morning is glassy – dead calm, a SSE breeze at 3 mph – but the swell has dropped to a tiny 2ft from the WNW. The energy is weak at 52. You might find a tiny, clean little wave, but it's only for the most patient longboarder.

There's a small uptick on Saturday the 5th of September. The morning brings a 3ft swell from the WNW with a decent 11-second period, giving moderate energy (197). The wind is a cross-onshore from the NNW at 9 mph though, so it'll be a bit bumpy. A slight chance for a fun wave if you're not picky.

Looking way out to Tuesday the 8th of September, we see a 3ft swell from the WNW with an 11-second period and 135 energy. The wind is a cross-offshore from the S at 12 mph, so the surface might be clean. It's a long way off, so take it with a grain of salt, but it's the best-looking prospect in the second week.

Honestly, there are no standouts here. The forecast confidence is low for anything good. It's a real flat spell for Carolles. Keep the board waxed, check back in a few days, and hope the models change their tune. This is Rusty, signing off.

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