Blue Holes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s heading our way for the next couple of weeks. We’ve only got one break to talk about, and that’s Blue Holes – a reef setup that really needs the right combination of swell and wind to fire. The forecast is a real mixed bag, so let’s walk through it.

The outlook kicks off on Monday 6 July with some solid, long-period groundswell. Monday morning brings a clean 6 ft swell from the WSW with a period of 15 seconds – proper long lines. The wind is light offshore from the ENE, so the surface will be glassy. The combined energy is strong at 1624, meaning there’s plenty of push. This is great for experienced surfers, but the long period will make it a bit walled at this reef. Crowds are sometimes a thing here, so you might have a few out. Water temps are about average for the time of year. Monday afternoon turns sour though – the wind swings SSW and gets cross-onshore at 9 mph, making things choppy. The swell jumps to 8 ft but the quality drops.

Tuesday 7 July starts with a bang – 10 ft swell from the WSW and a 16-second period, with clean conditions thanks to a light cross-offshore breeze from the SE. That’s a lot of water moving, with combined energy of 3692, and honestly, this is way too big for most. Experts only, and even then, it’s gonna be a handful. That afternoon, the wind picks up to 16 mph from the south, cross-shore, and the swell drops to 8 ft, but it’s messy.

Wednesday 8 July sees the swell drop back to a cleaner 6 ft in the morning, with a moderate cross-offshore breeze from the NNE keeping things tidy. But the wind swings onshore by the afternoon, and the quality tanks.

Thursday 9 July is a write-off – onshore winds, choppy, poor conditions all day. Not worth paddling out.

Friday 10 July morning offers a glimmer: 6 ft swell, clean, with a cross-offshore, breeze from the SE But the combined energy is down to 903, so it’s weaker. That afternoon, the wind pumps up to mph from the SSE,19 mph creating a lumpy cross-chop. Forget it. Saturday 11 July is flat in the morning – just 2 ft –, but, the afternoon sees a jump to 7 ft SSW. from the SW with a moderate cross-shore chop. Not great. Now here’s a standout: Sunday 12 July morning. The swell comes back to 10 ft from the SW, with a 16-second period and a clean cross-offshore breeze from the east. The combined energy is a massive 4106 – that’s very strong. The wind and tide are favorable, but that size is pure expert territory. This is the best on offer if you’re a very experienced surfer and you can handle a solid reef break with some crowd potential.

Monday 13 July is another solid option. Morning offers 6 ft from the SW, 16-second period, with a moderate offshore wind from the east. Energy at 2092 – strong and clean. The afternoon stays good with a light cross-offshore breeze. Tuesday 14 July repeats the pattern: 7 ft in the morning with a clean offshore from the ENE, then 7 ft in the afternoon with light cross-offshore flow. Both mornings and afternoons are clean and worth a look.

From Wednesday 15 July onward, things start to fade. The swell drops below 6 ft, the wind becomes inconsistent, and by Thursday 16 July afternoon, onshore wind makes it choppy. Friday 17 July is wet and messy with cross-onshore wind and rain. Saturday 18 July is even worse – 19 mph winds from the south, lumpy, poor. Sunday 19 July offers some hope with clean 5 ft swell in the morning and afternoon, but the energy is low.

The final week sees small clean waves on Monday 20 July and Tuesday 21 July. Tuesday morning stands out as the last real highlight: 5 ft from the SW, 16-second period, with a moderate offshore from the east. Combined energy of 1031, clean, and excellent conditions for experienced surfers. Worth a dawny if you’re keen.

So, to sum it up: the best windows are Sunday 12 July morning and Monday 13 July through Tuesday 14 July for the biggest, cleanest swell. After that, it’s smaller but still clean on a few mornings. No surf for the first few days of the forecast – we start straight into Monday 6 July action. There’s no second week standout that really blows my hair back, but Tuesday 21 July morning is a decent little bonus for the patient.

Stay safe out there, and don’t paddle out if you’re not ready for the size.

Rusty.

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