Blue Holes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right on, this is Rusty, and I've got the lowdown for Blue Holes. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a mixed bag - some real gems, but also some nasty, blown-out stuff to sit out. The standout windows are pretty clear, so let's paddle through it chronologically.

Right off the bat, Monday the 27th gets a 8 ft swell out of the southwest, so there's size on the table, but a strong 16 mph cross-off wind from the southeast has it looking pretty average. The combined energy is pumping at 2135 (moderate-to-strong), but it's described as marginal due to tide. I'd probably wait it out.

Tuesday the 28th is where it gets interesting. The morning sees a 7 ft SW swell, but that 19 mph offshore wind from the east is what we want to see. It's a "fresh offshore and clean" setup, which is a good sign, but the period of 15 seconds means it's a long-period groundswell. That makes it better for a reef setup like Blue Holes, but even then, it might be a bit walled. The afternoon, though? That’s the call. The wind drops to a light 6 mph cross-off from the ESE, the swell holds at 7 ft, and it's clean. The combined energy is 1697 (moderate-to-strong). This is one of the true standouts for the period.

Wednesday the 29th has a smaller 4 ft to 5 ft southwest swell with a very long period of 18 seconds. The morning has a strong 19 mph offshore from the northeast, so it’s clean but the swell is small and very long-period. That long period (over 15 seconds) means it’ll wrap in nicely at a reef like this, but it might get a bit straight on the takeoff. The afternoon is a write-off with a 3 mph onshore wind.

The big standout is Friday the 31st of July. Friday morning has that g lassy condition you dream about. A 3 mph westerly glass-off, with a 6 ft southwest groundswell running 18 seconds. The combined energy is solid at 2024 (strong), and it’s described as excellent for experienced surfers. This one is a treat for those who know the lineup, but that 6 ft is perfectly manageable for strong intermediates too. The water temp is about average for the time of year.

Saturday the 1st of August and Sunday the 2nd have more size, with 8 ft to 7 ft swells, but the winds get messy. Saturday has a serious 19-22 mph cross-shore wind that is going to chop it up. Sunday cleans up a bit with a 16 mph cross-off, but it’s just not the quality of the Friday.

There’s a really solid run from Monday the 27th of July right through to Monday the 10th of August, but then we hit a nasty wall. From Tuesday the 11th of August onward, it gets ugly. Swells are huge (10 ft to 15 ft), periods are mid-range, but the wind is a problem. Strong cross-onshore and onshore winds from the west and southwest just blow the place out, with combined energy readings over 10,000 (very strong wave energy) for some of those days. That’s not paddle surfing; that’s a washing machine. If you’re a big-wave charger, you might look at the Wednesday the 5th to Friday the 7th period, but the conditions are going to be messy. For the rest of us, we’re looking at a blank run from the 11th onward.

The best bet, without a doubt, is Tuesday the 28th of July afternoon and Friday the 31st of July morning. Friday gets the glassy edge for me, but both are quality windows.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

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