Blue Holes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s take a look at what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve only got one spot on the radar, Blue Holes, and it’s a reef break that’s exposed to the swell. Right off the bat, the water’s feeling about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The pattern for the next 16 days is a bit of a rollercoaster. We’ve got a solid, long-period groundswell from the WSW that’s going to be pumping through the whole period. The energy is massive, with combined energy values hitting four digits throughout - that’s strong to very strong wave energy (2615). But here’s the catch: that swell is just too big for most of the time. The real standout is the beginning.

Wednesday morning, August 5th, is your best bet for a paddle. The swell is 8 ft from the WSW, with a very long 16 second period, and the wind is a light cross-offshore from the SE. The water’s going to be clean. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The energy is powerful (2615). The combination of that long period groundswell and clean conditions means the reef will be handling it well. Crowds are possible here, so don’t expect solitude.

The rest of the first week gets gnarly. The swell jumps up to 10 ft on Thursday, and the wind is onshore, making it messy. Friday morning, August 7th, has a moment of glassy conditions with that 8 ft swell, but it’s still a lot of wave for most. The weekend, August 8th and 9th, is a write-off for surfing. The swell is huge, up to 13 ft, and the wind is howling from the south. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddling one.

The second week doesn’t offer much relief. The swell stays above 8 ft for most of the time, with the wind often onshore or strong. The mornings of August 13th and 14th have clean offshore winds, but the swell is still 8 ft and 8 ft, and the energy is high (2931, 3039). It’s still only for the experienced crew. The long period (16-17 seconds) means the sets will be powerful and well-spaced, but at a beach break it would be a challenge. On a reef like Blue Holes, it’s a different story.

The final few days, from August 16th onward, the swell is just too big again, 10 ft to 13 ft, with cross-on winds. Not a good time to be in the water with a board.

So, to sum it up: Wednesday morning, August 5th, is the clear winner. It’s the one time the swell is manageable and the wind is your friend. After that, it’s a long wait for the next real clean window, and even then, it’s only for the guys who can handle a serious reef.

Rusty.

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