Blue Holes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what the ocean’s got in store for us at Blue Holes over the next couple of weeks. It’s a reef break, exposed to that southwest groundswell, so it’s all about timing the winds and the size.

First up, the water is sitting at 69°, which is pretty much dead average for this time of year. No surprises there.

The next few days are a write-off. Saturday the 8th is a mess – strong cross-onshore winds and a lumpy 13ft to 15ft of southwest swell. That’s not surf, that’s a washing machine. The energy is through the roof, but it’s all for nothing with conditions like that. Sunday the 9th is still too big, with a 13ft southwest swell and a 17-second period, but at least the morning has a bit of cross-off wind. Still, it’s way over the limit for this place.

Monday the 10th is still messy and onshore, so we don’t get a look in. It’s a rough start, but hang tight.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th are still pumping. We’re looking at 15ft and 10ft of southwest swell with 16-second periods, but the energy is still massive. The forecast notes say the wind and tide are favorable, but the swell is just too big for Blue Holes. It’s a lot of water moving, and for this break, it’s just going to be a close-out.

The first real window of opportunity opens up on Thursday the 13th. The swell has dropped to a more manageable 8ft from the southwest with a 15-second period. The wind goes offshore from the east in the morning, and the conditions are clean. This is looking like the best of the first week. It’s still solid size, but it’s doable for the experienced crew. The afternoon gets a bit cross-shore, so the morning is the call.

Friday the 14th is another good one. The morning has a fresh offshore breeze and a clean 8ft southwest swell. The afternoon is even better with a light cross-off wind. This is shaping up to be a solid run.

Saturday the 15th, the swell starts to ease. The morning has a clean 6ft southwest swell with a gentle offshore wind, but the energy is dropping off. The afternoon turns to junk with a cross-onshore wind, so stick to the morning.

Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th are looking marginal. The swell is around 6ft to 6ft, but the winds are all over the place – cross-shore, onshore, or just light and messy. Not ideal.

Then the swell kicks back up. Monday afternoon the 17th sees a 10ft southwest swell with a long 18-second period, but the wind is straight onshore. Tuesday the 18th is similar, with a strong cross-onshore and lumpy conditions. It’s just too big and messy again.

The next standout is Wednesday the 19th. We’ve got a big 13ft southwest swell with a 17-second period, and the morning is glassy with light southeast winds. But just like last week, it’s predicted to be too big for Blue Holes. The wind is clean, but the size is the limiting factor. Thursday the 20th is in the same boat – a clean 12ft to 10ft southwest swell, but it’s still too big.

After that, the forecast gets a bit more uncertain and the surf quality drops off. The swell backs down into the 7ft to 8ft range, but the winds are mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the conditions look poor. The second week is a bit of a washout, with nothing really calling out to me.

So, to sum it up: If you’re an experienced surfer, Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th are your days. Clean, offshore winds, solid 8ft southwest swell, and good energy. That’s the best of the bunch. The rest of the time is either too big, too messy, or just plain marginal. Keep an eye on the charts, because a forecast can change, but for now, that’s the call.

Rusty out.

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