Blue Holes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s break down what’s coming for Blue Holes.

Water temp is about 68°, right on the money for this time of year—nothing out of the ordinary. The forecast starts with a bit of a struggle. Tuesday morning, September 1st, we’ve got some clouds, a light cross-shore breeze from the south at 6 mph, and a 6ft WSW groundswell with a very long period of 16 seconds. The energy is strong (1675), but the call is marginal. It’s a reef, so that long period will wrap in, but it’s just okay. By afternoon, the wind jumps to 19 mph from the south, making it lumpy and cross-chop—not worth it.

Wednesday and Thursday are a mess with onshore winds. Friday’s worse, with the swell hitting 8ft, but the wind is all wrong. Saturday morning, September 5th, sees a big 10ft WSW swell, but it’s blown out with strong onshore winds. Hard pass.

Now, Sunday morning, September 6th, the swell is still 10ft from the SW, period 13 seconds, and the energy is massive (3364). The wind is a clean cross-off from the SE at 16 mph, so the waves will be clean. But 10ft is a lot of water—this is for experienced surfers only. Monday, September 7th, has a huge 10ft WSW groundswell, period 17 seconds, and energy at 5036. The morning wind is off from the ENE at 16 mph, making for clean conditions. Again, big and powerful—only for the crew who know what they’re doing.

Tuesday, September 8th, still has a 10ft SW swell in the morning, with offshore winds from the ENE at 16 mph, clean. But it’s still too big for most. By afternoon, the swell drops to 8ft, and the wind goes cross-off from the SE—better, but still a solid wave.

The real standout is Wednesday, September 9th. The morning has a 6ft WSW swell with offshore winds from the NE at 22 mph—clean, but that wind is strong. The afternoon, though, is the pick of the run. The wind drops to 6 mph from the NE, cross-off, and the waves are 7ft from the WSW, period 14 seconds. The energy is moderate (1859), and conditions are clean. This is a solid, fun session for experienced surfers. The swell direction is WSW, and the optimum for Blue Holes is SW, so it’s a little off, but still good.

Thursday, September 10th, has an 8ft WSW swell with a long 17-second period and moderate energy (3308), but the wind is cross-shore from the NNW at 16 mph, creating a bit of chop. Not the best.

Friday, September 11th, is a no-go with strong southerly winds. Saturday morning, September 12th, is worth a mention—clean cross-off winds from the ESE at 6 mph, and an 8ft WSW swell, period 13 seconds. Good for experienced surfers, but the afternoon gets blown out.

From Sunday, September 13th, through to the end of the forecast on the 16th, it’s pretty much all onshore or strong winds, with messy conditions. The swell hangs around, but the wind just won’t cooperate.

So, the best on offer is Wednesday afternoon, September 9th, at Blue Holes. It’s a reef break, consistent, and that light offshore wind will give you clean lines on a 7ft WSW swell. It’s not for beginners, but if you’ve got the skills, it’s your session. The crowds are sometimes there, but with these conditions, it might be worth the gamble.

Rusty.

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