Blue Holes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next 16 days for our little corner of the world. The focus is on one spot: Blue Holes.

First up, a quick note on the water. The ocean temperature is sitting at 69°, which is about 1° cooler than normal for this time of year. Nothing wild, just a touch on the nippy side.

We’ve got a slow start, but things kick off properly on Friday afternoon, July 24th. The swell is coming in from the southwest at 4ft with a solid 13-second period, and the combined energy is moderate (518). The wind is out of the east at 9 mph, blowing straight offshore. That’s going to be clean and lined up. Expect very good surf conditions. This is the first real standout of the period.

Saturday morning, July 25th, is a bit of a letdown. The wind swings northeast and cranks up to 19 mph, making it a cross-offshore breeze, and the surf quality drops. But hold on—Saturday afternoon looks like a total redemption. The wind dies right down to 3 mph from the north-northeast, turning it glassy. The swell holds at 4ft from the west-southwest, with a 13-second period and moderate energy (515). That afternoon glass-off is going to be magic.

Sunday, July 26th, is a classic morning session. A light 3 mph southerly breeze, glassy conditions, and a clean 2ft swell from the southwest with a very long 16-second period. The energy is moderate (474). The long period means those waves will have some real push, even at that size, and the sets will be clean and well-spaced. It’s a good day for a reef break like this.

Now, we hit a bit of a lull with some mixed conditions and marginal surf through the middle of the week, but the real standout pops up again on Friday, July 31st. Friday morning, the swell jumps to 7ft from the west-southwest, with a 17-second period. The combined energy jumps to strong (2517). The wind is offshore from the northeast at 16 mph, keeping it clean. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The waves will have serious power.

Looking further ahead into the first week of August, things get big. Really big. Saturday morning, August 1st, sees a massive 10ft west-southwest swell with an 18-second period and a combined energy of 4904. The wind is offshore, but the swell is too big for this break. This is for experts only, and even then, it’s going to be a handful. The same goes for Wednesday, August 5th, when a 13ft swell hits, and Thursday, August 6th, with a 16ft monster. The energy numbers are through the roof (8618 and 15808 respectively), but the comments say it’s too big for the break. If you’re a hellman, you might look at it, but for the average surfer, this is a pass.

The weekend of August 7th and 8th stays oversized, with 10ft to 13ft swells and offshore or glassy winds, but again, the size is the limiting factor. The waves will be there, but they’ll be meaty and challenging.

So, to sum it up: the best windows are Friday afternoon July 24th, Saturday afternoon July 25th, Sunday morning July 26th, and Friday morning July 31st. After that, it’s big, powerful, and mainly for the experienced crew.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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