Blue Holes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks. We’ve got one spot to work with, so let’s get into it.

The overall pattern is a bit of a mixed bag, with some decent windows of opportunity but plenty of wind and chop to deal with. The first real standout looks like it’s going to be early next week.

We start off on Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th of July with some solid 6ft to 6ft swell from the WSW, but the wind is a problem. It’s mostly cross or cross-off with a fresh breeze, so the surf is there but it’s going to be pretty lumpy and marginal. Not worth getting too excited about. Friday the 17th is a write-off with strong winds and a risk of thunderstorms, so don’t bother.

The weekend gets a bit more interesting, but not in a good way for most. Saturday the 18th sees the swell jump up to 8ft, and then a big 12ft on the afternoon, both from the WSW. That’s serious, heavy swell (combined energy of 2370 to 4640) and with a cross-onshore wind, it’s going to be a messy, powerful beast. This is strictly for experts only, and even then, the conditions are choppy. Sunday the 19th is still big, around 8ft, but the wind drops to a gentle breeze, making it slightly cleaner but still a heavy swell for most.

Now, for the real highlight. Monday the 20th of July is the one to circle. The swell drops to a much more manageable 6ft from the SW, with a 13-second period, and the morning brings a light cross-offshore breeze from the SE. That’s going to deliver clean, fun waves at Blue Holes – a consistent reef break that’s exposed to the SW. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there. The combined energy is moderate (1001), and with the light winds, it’s the best combo of the whole forecast. Crowds can be a factor here sometimes, so get out early.

The rest of the week into the 22nd and 23rd of July keeps the swell around 6ft to 8ft, and the wind flips around to offshore or cross-off, which is a solid sign. The morning of the 23rd has a fresh offshore, and the afternoon of the 23rd is glassy with a light breeze and clean conditions – that’s a very promising window for experienced surfers. The swell period gets up to 16 seconds on the 23rd morning, which is a long-period groundswell, so expect some power and longer lulls between sets.

The second week, from the 24th onwards, the swell drops off. The 24th and 25th have some smaller 4ft to 5ft waves, but the wind is mostly good, with some clean morning windows. The 26th of July is small, only 3ft, but the morning is clean. The 27th and 28th of July look very promising for a smaller, cleaner session, with a gentle offshore breeze and clean waves, especially the afternoon of the 28th with a tiny 5 km/h offshore wind. That’s a classic long-period groundswell (16-18 seconds) so the sets will be well-spaced and lined up.

So, the best bet is Monday the 20th morning for the best combo of size and conditions, with the afternoon of the 23rd of July as a close second for that clean, glassy feel. The long-range stuff from the 27th and 28th is worth watching but less certain.

Rusty.

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