Blue Holes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got the goods on the surf outlook for the next couple of weeks. It’s a wild ride, but we’ve gotta be patient.

The first decent window opens up on Monday, 7th September, and the standout spot is Blue Holes, a reef break that’s exposed to the SW swell. The water’s sitting at 68°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year – nothing unusual there.

Monday morning kicks off with a solid 10ft SW groundswell, with a deep 17-second period. That’s a long-period swell, so it’s packing serious energy – the combined energy reading is 5587, which is strong. The wind is a cross-offshore SE breeze at 19 mph, keeping things clean. But here’s the catch: the swell is over 8ft, so this is expert-only territory. It’s too big for beginners, and even for the experienced crew, it’s a heavy session. The reef setup should handle the long period better than a beach break, but it’s a beast. The crowd factor is “sometimes,” so you might have some company, but it’s worth it if you’re on it.

Monday afternoon, the wind swings to a cross-shore SSE at 22 mph, and the swell drops to 8ft – still big, but the conditions turn poor. The forecast says it’s a write-off, so don’t bother.

Tuesday morning, 8th September, the swell is 8ft from the SW, 16-second period, and the wind is cross-off at 19 mph. Clean again, but the wave comment flags marginal tide issues. It’s borderline, but the energy is still high at 3171. Not a standout, but worth a look if you’re desperate.

The real gem comes Thursday, 10th September. Morning session: 6ft WSW swell, 15-second period, and the wind is offshore from the ENE at 12 mph. This is clean, clean, clean. The combined energy is 1280, which is moderate, but the conditions are described as “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” The 6ft height is a sweet spot – not too big for most, but still punchy. The offshore wind will groom it nicely. This is the pick of the first week, for sure. For beginners, it’s getting close to the 5ft threshold, but it’s manageable.

Thursday afternoon, the wind turns cross-on and the quality drops to zero.

The forecast then gets messy for a stretch. From Friday 11th through to Wednesday 16th September, there’s a run of marginal or poor conditions. The winds are mostly cross-on, and the swell hangs around 5ft to 8ft, but the energy stays moderate. Nothing exciting. The morning of Monday 14th September has a light cross-shore, but the swell is 7ft and the rating is low.

Then, on Friday 18th September, we get another spike. Friday morning: 12ft SW swell, 16-second period, with a light cross-shore wind at 6 mph. The combined energy is a massive 5960 – very strong. The wave comment says “wind and tide favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break.” Again, over 8ft, so expert-only. The light wind is a bonus, but the size is intimidating.

The next morning, Saturday 19th, the swell drops to 8ft, but the wind is strong cross-on, so it’s poor.

Later, on Monday 21st September, the morning shows a 7ft WSW swell with a very long 19-second period, and a light onshore wind. The energy is 4491 – strong. The comment says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” but the long period is notable. The afternoon jumps to 10ft from the SW, again huge, with an onshore wind. Both are too big for most.

The rest of the window into the second week – Tuesday 22nd September – is a write-off with strong winds and poor surf.

So, to wrap it up: the best on offer is Thursday morning, 10th September, at Blue Holes, with 6ft of clean, offshore wind. For the big-wave hunters, the Monday 7th September morning and Friday 18th September morning are the heavy hitters, but only for experts. There’s a big gap of poor conditions between Friday 11th and Wednesday 16th, so don’t get your hopes up in that stretch.

Rusty out.

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