Austinmer Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here.

Alright, let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for a proper paddle at Austinmer Beach. We’ve got a lot of small, weak, and messy conditions lining up, with a couple of bigger pulses that are just going to be too much for this stretch of sand. It’s a classic case of everything being out of whack.

We start off this Friday arvo with a small 5ft south-southeast swell, but it’s on a short 9-second period and the east wind is chopping it up. The combined wave energy is weak at 320, so it’s not doing us any favors. Saturday morning cleans up a touch with a light northerly and a drop to 3ft, but it’s still pretty average. The energy drops right off into Sunday with a tiny 2ft southerly swell and a cross-shore breeze making a mess of it. The first real window of anything resembling decent surf is Monday morning – a 4ft northeast swell with a longer 11-second period and light NNW offshores. It’ll be clean, but the energy is still only moderate at 296, so expect a few fun ones, not a standout.

Then it just flat-lines for a few days. Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday are all pretty hopeless – tiny swells, onshore breezes, and wave energy in the weak zone, with readings like 77 and 126. That’s a dull stretch.

Now, here’s where things get interesting. Next Wednesday the 16th, the swell cranks up huge – we’re talking 10ft to 12ft of south swell. The combined energy is off the charts at 1810 and 2085. But hold your horses. That’s way too big for Austinmer. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s going to be a washing machine. The wind is a fresh cross-shore, making it lumpy and chaotic. This isn’t a day for the average punter; it’s a day to watch from the car park.

Thursday the 17th is still solid at 7ft, but still too big and messy. It eases to a cleaner 4ft on Friday the 18th with light offshore winds, and that’s probably your best bet in that first week – a proper clean-up after the storm. But even then, it’s not a classic.

The second week is a real letdown. From the 19th through the 23rd, the swell fades to almost nothing, with wave energy down around 50 to 100. You’re looking at ankle-biters and glassy but totally surfable waves. There’s a brief pulse of easterly swell around the 24th and 25th, but it’s still not great, and it gets too big again (over 7ft) with onshore winds. The period is short, around 7-8 seconds, so it won’t have any punch.

The one standout in the whole run is the morning of Saturday the 26th. You get a 7ft northeast swell with a light ENE breeze and glassy conditions. The energy is strong at 894. But again, at that size, it’s right on the edge for Austinmer. It’s a powerful, clean peak, but you’d want your wits about you.

Water temp is sitting at 64°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year. Not a drama.

For gettin’ a wave, Friday the 18th morning looks like the most user-friendly day – clean, chest-high, and some power behind it. The 26th is the other one with real size and clean conditions, but it’s a step up in difficulty. Everything else is either too small, too messy, or too big.

Honestly, if I was a kitesurfer, I’d be licking my lips at the forecast for the 16th and 17th – plenty of wind and a solid swell. But for us paddle surfers, it’s about picking the eyes out of a pretty average forecast. Hang in there.

Rusty.

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