Arpoador Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what Arpoador’s got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, it’s a bit of a slow start. The first few days are pretty ordinary with choppy, messy conditions and not much to get excited about. The water temp is sitting at 73°, which is actually a touch warmer than we’d normally expect for this time of year. That’s a nice little bonus.

We’ve got to wait until the morning of Thursday, the 17th of September to see things start to turn. Thursday morning brings a clean 4ft swell from the SSE (9 seconds) with a light E wind blowing cross-offshore – that means clean lines and open faces. The combined swell energy is moderate (329), so there’s enough push to make it fun. This is a solid, cruisy option for the beginner-friendly Arpoador, but don't expect it to be empty – crowds are often around here. Thursday afternoon holds similar size but gets a touch more energy, though the morning is definitely your best window.

Saturday the 19th is a bit of a write-off, but then we get a standout. The morning of Sunday, the 20th of September, looks like the pick of the first week. We’re looking at a 5ft swell from the E (7 seconds) with glassy conditions – that’s a 5 km/h NNE wind, dead glass – and the combined energy is strong (441). It’s a bit of a short-period swell, but the glassy wind and decent size will make for some super clean, fun waves. If you can get out early, that’s your session.

After Sunday, it drops right off. From Monday the 21st all the way through to Thursday the 24th, there’s very little surf on offer – a real lull with tiny, weak waves and mostly poor conditions. It's a proper gap of three to four days where you're really not missing anything.

Then, we start looking at the second week. The morning of Friday the 25th of September is worth noting. A clean 4ft swell from the S with a long 13-second period, and a light NNE offshore wind. That’s a proper groundswell, with good shape and energy (combined energy of 424). This kind of longer-period swell can be a bit straight for the beach breaks, but Arpoador is a point, so it should handle it beautifully. Best on offer for that weekend.

Moving into the end of the month, the morning of Tuesday the 29th of September is the real highlight of this whole 16-day run. You’ll see a 4ft S swell with a really long 12-second period and a light NNW cross-offshore breeze that will keep things super clean. The combined energy is very strong (726), and it’s forecast for "very good surf conditions." This is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s still a couple of weeks out, so it’s promising but not locked in yet, but if it fires, it’s going to be a ripper.

The following morning, Wednesday the 30th of September, backs it up nicely with a glassy 3ft S swell (11 seconds), still with good energy (268). A great way to finish the run.

So, to sum it up: Sunday the 20th is your early standout for clean, fun waves, but the long-range call for Tuesday the 29th is the one that’s got me keen. Get out there when you can.

Rusty.

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