Arpoador Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what Arpoador's got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks. We're in for a bit of a mixed bag, but there's some real promise on the horizon if you're patient.

First up, the start of this run is a bit of a slow burn. The water here is sitting at 72°, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year, nothing wild there.

Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th are pretty much write-offs. We're looking at tiny, choppy junkyard surf with cross-onshore winds. The energy is barely there (37) and the waves are just a dribble. Not worth getting wet for.

Saturday the 25th morning is where we finally see a glimmer. The wind goes glassy, and we get a cleaner 1 ft swell from the south with a 10-second period. The energy picks up to a moderate 290. It's a small window, but that glassy morning will be the best of the early days for a beginner-friendly wave.

Sunday the 26th morning is also a beauty. Clean, cross-offshore breeze and a long-period 2 ft south swell (14 seconds) pushing through. The energy is solid at 374. That long period means the waves will have some shape and the sets will be spaced out, making it easier to get outside. The crowds at Arpoador are often there, so expect some company.

We then hit a bit of a lull from Monday the 27th through the end of July. The swell stays small, mostly under 3 ft, and the conditions are just "ordinary" or poor. Not much to get excited about.

Now, hang tight for the first week of August, because that's where the real action is. Tuesday the 4th morning looks promising. A clean offshore wind meets a 5 ft south swell (11 seconds) with a strong energy reading of 473. That's a proper surfable size with good conditions.

But the standout, the one you want to circle on your calendar, is Wednesday the 5th. The morning session is looking like a proper event. We've got glassy conditions and a 10 ft swell from the east-southeast. That's a big wave, folks. The energy is a massive 2177, which is very strong. This is for experienced surfers only – beginners, stay on the sand. The period is 9 seconds, so it's a windswell, but with that size and glassy wind, it's going to be a wild ride.

Thursday the 6th morning is a close runner-up. Clean offshore winds and a 7 ft swell from the east-southeast, with energy at 1121. Still big and powerful, but a notch down from Wednesday. That morning offshore wind will be key.

So, to boil it down: the first week is a slog. The best early offerings are the glassy mornings on the 25th and 26th. The absolute standout is the morning of Wednesday the 5th of August, but it's a heavy, expert-only session. The morning of Thursday the 6th is also a great, powerful option if Wednesday is too big for you.

Stay safe out there, and keep your eyes on the horizon.

Rusty

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