Surf Forecasts:
Arpoador surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 12s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, S swell with 2,440 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 13s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Arpoador this week:
The surf forecast for Arpoador over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Arpoador in the next 16 days are 2.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Friday (Aug 28) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Arpoador over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, legend. Rusty here with the look ahead for Arpoador. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but things build into some real nice windows later on, so don’t write this week off yet.
Right now, Friday morning is where it’s at. Clean lines rolling in with 3ft of S swell, period a solid 12 seconds, and that NE offshore breeze keeping the surface glassy. The combined energy is moderate at 408, and with the swell direction lining up from the SE optimum, this is the standout session of the whole outlook. Arpoador’s a beginner-friendly spot, and with the offshore wind and clean conditions, it’s gonna be a fun one—just be prepared for crowds, as it can get busy here often. The water temp is about average for this time of year.
Friday afternoon drops off a touch, still clean but cross-off wind and smaller 3ft SSE swell, energy down to 283. Marginal tide concerns might mess with the shape, so it’s more of a wait-and-see.
Saturday morning gets small—2ft S swell with light offshore wind, but the energy is weak at 109 and conditions are ordinary. Saturday afternoon offers a bump in size to 4ft but from the E with a short 7-second period, meaning bumpy and weak. Not worth rushing for.
Sunday and Monday stay small and weak, with the best being Sunday morning’s 3ft ESE swell and offshore NNE breeze, but energy is only 87. Everything through Monday is either poor or barely surfable. Take a few days off.
Tuesday morning sees a cross-on breeze and 3ft ESE swell with 9-second period, but conditions are labelled poor. Not your day.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Wednesday the 2nd of September, a proper pulse arrives—7ft to 8ft S swell with a long 13-14 second period. The combined energy jumps to 1730 and 2008, which is strong. However, the wind is onshore from the SW and SSW, so the surf will be messy and hard to manage. This size is pushing into expert territory, especially at a beach-and-reef setup like Arpoador. The long period means it’ll jack up fast and close out sections, not ideal for beginners. Worth a look if you’re experienced and don’t mind battling onshore chop.
Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th offer cleaner conditions. Swell drops to 5-5ft from the S, period around 10-11 seconds, with cross-off ENE to E breezes. Combined energy sits around 446-617, solid moderate energy. Expect good surf conditions—clean, manageable, and plenty of fun for intermediate surfers. This is your second-best window of the outlook.
Saturday the 5th keeps the S swell at 3ft to 3ft, clean and cross-off, but energy drops to around 259-298. Ordinary but still rideable.
Sunday the 6th, morning glass-off conditions with no wind and S swell at 3ft, period stretching to 14 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell, and combined energy is 435—moderate. Glassy, clean, and the long period will make the waves stand up nicely, but at a beach break it might break too straight and close out. Still, for a point or reef setup like Arpoador, it should offer some sweet, hollow walls. Strong chance of crowds here.
Into the second week, Monday the 7th drops off fast with onshore SW wind by the afternoon ruining it. Tuesday the 8th offers a tiny 1ft glassy morning but with barely any energy at 80. Wednesday the 9th sees a bump of 5ft E swell but with short 8-second period and onshore SE wind—scrappy and choppy, might be more fun for the kite crew than paddle surfing.
Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th start small and ordinary, but Friday afternoon brings a sudden pulse of 6ft SSE swell with a short 6-second period and offshore NNE breeze. Clean but the period is so short it’ll be weak and crumbly—still surfable, but not the standout.
Saturday the 12th closes the window with 6ft ESE swell and onshore WSW wind—poor conditions, choppy and messy.
So, to sum it up: Friday 28th morning is the one you circle on the calendar—clean, fun, beginner-friendly waves with offshore wind. Thursday 3rd and Friday 4th are your next best bets for solid, clean surf. The big swell on Wednesday 2nd is powerful but messy, only for those with skills and a high tolerance for chop.
Keep an eye on that glassy Sunday 6th morning as well—could be sneaky good if the long period sets line up.
Stay stoked, check the charts again closer to the day.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Sat morning, min 19°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 27mm), heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 34°C on Mon afternoon, min 19°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | S 12 | SSE 12 | E 7 | S 11 | E 7 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | S 7 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
599 | 299 | 236 | 154 | 58 | 124 | 198 | 78 | 58 | 30 | 42 | 44 | 90 | 94 | 47 | 149 | 1723 | 2001 | 918 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | on | glassy | off | off | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:33AM1.25m | 3:16PM1.24m | 3:09AM1.30m | 3:43PM1.24m | 3:41AM1.31m | 4:10PM1.19m | 4:13AM1.26m | 4:38PM1.10m | 4:50AM1.17m | 5:09PM0.98m | 5:42AM1.05m | 5:52PM0.86m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:19PM0.23m | 9:31AM-0.08m | 9:44PM0.23m | 9:57AM-0.04m | 10:05PM0.26m | 10:22AM0.05m | 10:21PM0.29m | 10:45AM0.18m | 10:29PM0.32m | 11:02AM0.34m | 10:31PM0.34m | 10:55AM0.50m | 1:04PM0.50m | 10:39PM0.37m | |||||
— | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 27 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 32 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 24 | 22 | 33 | 34 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 |
Feels °C | 19 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 34 | 32 | 30 | 31 | 24 | 24 | 33 | 34 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 18 | 18 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | S 12 | SSE 12 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 |
599 | 299 | 236 | 68 | 51 | 49 | 50 | 78 | 58 | 30 | 42 | 44 | 90 | 94 | 47 | 16 | 1723 | 2001 | 918 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SSE 11 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SSW 6 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | — | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 |
34 | 33 | 47 | 123 | 58 | 34 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 15 | — | 7 | 7 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 9 | S 10 | S 6 | SW 5 | — | S 8 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 6 | — | E 7 | — | E 7 | E 8 | — | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | SW 4 | SSW 6 | S 7 | — | — | — |
89 | 76 | — | 154 | — | 124 | 198 | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 33 | 149 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 116 | 116 | 193 | 116 | 156 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Rio de Janeiro | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Arpoador Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Arpoador provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Arpoador can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Arpoador surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Arpoador) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Arpoador may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Arpoador is 14 km (9 miles) from the very large city of Niteroi. If you plan a holiday in Rio de Janeiro, look for hotels and other accommodation in Niteroi. Niteroi has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as cheap car hire and transport links.











