Arpoador Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's look ahead at what's on the menu for Arpoador.

The next 16 days start off pretty flat and sad. We're looking at a gap of almost no real surf for the first couple of days. Saturday the 5th is a write-off with tiny 2ft SSE swell and cross-off wind, just not worth getting wet.

Sunday's not much better. We get a pulse of 3ft S swell on Sunday morning but it's cross-on and messy. By Sunday afternoon the swell jumps to 7ft from the south with a short, weak period of 8 seconds – that's moving into big, ugly territory for a beginner spot like this.

Monday the 7th morning still looks a bit messy with 6ft S swell and onshore wind, but the real news comes Monday afternoon. The wind drops to glassy calm, and we get a clean 6ft south swell with a 10-second period. The energy is moderate (622), and that glassy surface is absolutely perfect for the beginner-friendly waves here. This is a genuine standout – the first real window of quality.

Tuesday the 8th morning holds clean with a 6ft SSE swell and cross-off breeze. Another good session. The rest of the week is a mixed bag of small, ordinary waves and the odd clean moment, like Wednesday morning's glassy 3ft SE swell and Thursday morning's clean 3ft S groundswell with a 12-second period (285 energy). That long period will help the shape.

Next week, the real fire lights up. On Monday the 14th afternoon, we get glassy conditions again with a solid 7ft south swell and a 12-second period. Energy is strong (1203) and it's described as very good conditions. This is another one to circle.

Then Tuesday the 15th morning is the full standout of the whole outlook. We're looking at an 8ft SSE groundswell with a very long 15-second period and NNE offshore wind. The energy is pumping hard at 2880. The file says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers," and I agree – this is a powerful, clean swell for the crew that knows what they're doing. For beginners, 8ft is too big, so this one is for the experts only.

After that, the swell hangs around in the 5ft to 7ft range through the following week, with clean windows on Thursday the 17th morning (5ft SSE, 13 sec, cross-off) and Friday the 18th afternoon (3ft SSE, 12 sec, cross-off). Saturday the 19th morning is glassy but small at 3ft S. The final standout pops on Sunday the 20th morning with 7ft ESE swell, 8-second period, and clean cross-off wind – energy at 798 – a good way to wrap up the run.

Arpoador is fairly exposed and can get crowded ("often" crowded), so for the best windows, especially the Monday afternoon and Tuesday morning standouts, expect company. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Summing it up: Monday afternoon the 7th, Monday afternoon the 14th, and Tuesday morning the 15th are your true targets. Get on them.

Rusty.

Read more