Aoshima Harbour Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, takin' a look at the charts for our neck of the woods. Lookin' a bit grim, to be honest. The water's a warm 85°F, a touch above normal for this time of year, but you won't be feelin' it with the wind blowin'.

We're starting off real quiet. Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd are duds. Sunday afternoon at Aoshima Harbour (Aoshima-Harbour) has a weak 3ft swell from the ESE with a cross-shore wind, and the energy is just 443 – nothin' to get excited about. Monday the 3rd brings a bit more size, up to 5ft, but the wind turns cross-onshore and it's lumpy. The wave energy jumps to 1060, but the quality is just not there.

Then things get properly wild. From Tuesday the 4th onwards, we're lookin' at a solid storm sequence. The swell starts pumpin', hittin' 8ft on Tuesday, but the wind is onshore and the conditions are listed as poor. The wave energy climbs into the thousands, but it's all for nothin'. By Wednesday the 5th, we're talkin' 13ft to 16ft swells from the ESE, with the energy over 13,000. This is heavy, powerful stuff, but the wind is a fresh onshore breeze, makin' it a total washin' machine. This is big, unruly, and messy – not a paddle surfer's playground.

The peak of this sour note hits towards the end of the week. Thursday the 6th through Saturday the 8th sees absolutely massive swell, with heights between 15ft and 28ft. The combined energy is off the charts, into the 78,000 range. The notes say the swell is too big for this break, and with strong to near-gale force onshore winds, it's a no-go zone. Honestly, this setup is lookin' far more interestin' for kite surfers than paddle surfers.

The foul weather and heavy swell lingers through the rest of the first week and into the second. From the 9th to the 11th of August, we're still dealin' with strong cross-onshore winds and 10ft to 13ft swells, with the energy stayin' in the 3,000 to 9,000 range. The conditions are consistently poor.

Finally, we see a light at the end of the tunnel. The 12th of August, a Wednesday morning, looks like the first real chance in a while. The wind is light and onshore, and the swell drops to a more manageable 7ft from the east with a 12-second period. The energy is 2261, which is moderate. The wind is light, so it might be a bit bumpy, but at least you won't be gettin' blown off your board. It's a marginal call, but the best we've seen in a while. The 13th, 14th, and 15th stay small, with 4ft to 5ft swells and light winds, but the energy drops back down below 700, and the quality is poor. We finish out the 16th and 17th with buildin' wind and poor conditions again.

So, to sum it up: the first week and a half is a write-off. The only standout, if you can call it that, is Wednesday the 12th of August. It's not perfect, but it's the only window where the swell is down and the wind is light enough to maybe get a few grovelly ones. Don't get your hopes up for anythin' before that.

Rusty.

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