Aiguaoliva Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let me tell you straight up: we’ve got a long, quiet stretch ahead for Aiguaoliva. This is a reef break that rarely breaks and it’s living up to that name right now. There’s a solid 16 days of forecast, but the first recommendation doesn’t even show up until the very end of the run, and for most of that time there’s just nothing worth paddling out for.

The first spot of interest comes very late in the game. From the 28th of July right through until the 12th of August, it’s all tiny slop, short-period dribble, or flat spells. Swell heights barely scrape 2 ft, with periods of only 3 to 5 seconds – that’s windswash, not groundswell. The combined energy of all swells sits in the single digits or low teens (4 to 67), which is weak to barely moderate. Water temperature is a very unusual 83°F with a 6°F anomaly – much warmer than average for this time of year, which is a real talking point for the area.

The first real standout, and the only one worth mentioning, is on Wednesday afternoon, the 12th of August. That afternoon, a small bump of 3 ft swell from the ENE shows up. The period is still short at 5 seconds, but the combined energy jumps to 67 (moderate) – the highest all forecast. The wind is cross-offshore from the SW at 6 mph, so the surface will be clean. Aiguaoliva needs an optimum swell from ENE, and this is the only time the direction matches that. Even so, it’s a rare break that rarely breaks, so it’s a notable event. Expect small, clean, low-tide style reef waves. This is for the experienced crew who know the spot; beginners will find it too small and tricky.

Before that, the only calm, glassy moments are Friday morning, 31st July (1 ft, SE, 4 seconds, glassy, combined energy 5) and Sunday morning, 2nd August (2 ft, SE, 5 seconds, glassy, combined energy 10) – but the swell is tiny, the period is short, and the energy is weak. It’s a clean, small paddle but not surfable.

So, the honest call: don’t get your hopes up for most of this window. The one chance is the 12th of August afternoon. It’s a long way out, so treat it as promising but not locked in. For the rest, it’s a blank run, which is normal for a break that rarely breaks. When it’s this flat and small, the setup might look more interesting for kiters than paddle surfers on the afternoons with cross-onshore winds.

Rusty.

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