Villa Gesell Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you, looking at Villa Gesell over the next couple of weeks – honestly, it's a rough run. This is a sandbar set-up that's wide open to whatever the ocean throws at it, and for the most part, it's throwing a lot of messy wind at us. We're staring down a long gap with barely a ripple worth mentioning for the first week.

The water is sitting at 50°F, which is a touch warmer than the long-term average for this time of year – that anomaly's a bit over half a degree up. Not a massive deal, but a small plus if you're tough enough to get in.

Now, there is one window that stands out, but it's a weak one. Monday the 13th of July morning has a tiny glimmer of something. We've got a light cross-offshore wind from the NNW at 6 mph, and the expected surf quality is good. The swell is coming from the ESE at 3ft with a period of 12 seconds – that's a groundswell, which for this exposed sandbar might mean the waves are a bit fat. The combined swell energy is moderate at 269.

Don't get excited on the size, it's small, but the conditions will be clean and glassy for a bit. For a beginner-friendly break like this, that's your best shot all week. Crowds are "sometimes" here, so with nothing else on, you might bump into a few other keen locals. That 3ft wave is well within the beginner range.

After that, the surf drops right off again for days. There's almost nothing of note until we get to the far end of the outlook. Monday the 20th of July sees a small bump with a 3ft S swell, but the wind is howling WSW at 19 mph in the arvo, making it unsurfable. The actual best chance in the second week might be Tuesday the 21st of July. Morning and afternoon both have NNW and NW offshore winds at 12 mph, with a clean 3ft swell from the SSE. The combined energy is moderate (191 and 184). It's not big, maybe a little more push than that Monday before, but still a small wave day for the beginners.

Looking further out, around the 24th and 25th of July, we see the swell size jump up significantly – we're talking 8ft to 10ft from the SSE and ESE. That's big. The combined energy hits strong to very strong, with values up to 2652. But the wind is cross-onshore at 12-22 mph, turning the whole thing into a lumpy, choppy mess. For this exposed sandbar, that's a no-go for paddling. The set-up starts to look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Overall, this is a sparse forecast. The first week is almost a write-off, with just that one 3ft clean session on the 13th. The second week offers a few more windows of clean, offshore wind but with small waves. If you're desperate, keep an eye on the 21st. Otherwise, the forecasts might change, but as it sits, it's a tough slog for us paddle surfers.

Rusty.

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