Tres Palmas (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – this forecast is about as flat as a long weekend pancake. We’re looking at a pretty grim stretch ahead.

The outlook starts with a big fat zero. From Sunday the 30th of August right through to Saturday the 5th of September, there’s simply no swell to speak of. It’s a whole week of flat, clean conditions but absolutely nothing to ride. The water temp is sitting at a toasty 86°F, about 2°F warmer than usual for this time of year, which is notable but not a huge help when there are no waves.

The first whispers of life show up on Wednesday the 2nd of September, but it’s barely a ripple. We’re talking about a 0.3ft swell from the north with a period of 11 seconds, which is a long period for a wave that small – it’s just not enough to do anything meaningful. The combined energy is a measly 2 (weak). Even when we get a bit of a north-northeast swell creeping in on Thursday the 3rd at 0.7ft, the energy only climbs to 11. Still a total non-event.

We get a little bump around Monday the 7th of September, with a 1ft swell from the north-northeast. The energy starts to tick up to 26, but the period is short at 8-9 seconds. The wind is a cross-off from the southeast at 12-16 mph, which is messy. It’s still poor surf conditions across the board.

The best we see in this entire 16-day window is on Thursday the 10th of September. The swell finally pushes up to 2ft from the north-northeast, with a period of 11 seconds. The combined energy hits 100 (moderate). That’s the pick of the bunch, but let’s be real – 2ft is small. The morning is glassy with clear skies and no wind, which is a rare treat. Tres Palmas (Rincon) is a reef break, so that long-period groundswell will work well here, but even so, it’s a small day. Afternoon gets a bit messy with a north cross-off at 9 mph. This is the one to watch if you’re desperate, but don’t expect much.

After that, it fades back down to 1-2ft through to the 14th, with pretty weak energy readings – all in the teens and twenties. The whole run is consistently "poor surf conditions" on the data, and with a break that’s "inconsistent" to begin with, it feels like a long wait.

Honestly, there isn’t a standout day in this lot. For a spot like Tres Palmas, which needs a proper WNW groundswell to light up, this persistent tiny north-northeast stuff is just not what it wants. The best bet is Thursday the 10th of September, during the glassy morning, if you’ve got a longboard and low expectations.

Rusty.

Read more