Tres Palmas (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s be real about the next sixteen days at Tres Palmas.

First off, the water temperature is sitting at 84°, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year—nothing wild, but you won’t need a wetsuit.

The long and short of it is this: we’ve got a dry spell coming. The forecast shows no real surf energy pushing in for the first week and a half. From Thursday the 9th through to Monday the 20th of July, the combined energy numbers are basically flat—zero to single digits, with the biggest reading being a weak 16 (moderate energy). The swell heights barely tickle the 1ft mark, and the period is short, under 10 seconds for most of that run. It’s a lot of poor surf conditions, with only a few brief windows of glassy or clean cross-off wind. The morning of the 16th looks glassy with a 1ft N swell at 9 seconds, and the 17th morning is glassy with a 1ft N swell at 7 seconds, but it’s honestly just ankle-biters. There’s a couple of afternoons with a light offshore breeze, like the 10th and 15th, but the swell just isn’t there.

The one tiny glimmer is the afternoon of the 11th of July, where we get a 0.3ft N swell with a 13-second period (a long-period groundswell) and a cross-offshore wind, but the combined energy is a paltry 4. That’s not enough to ride.

You’re looking at a gap of over a week with nothing worthwhile. The first real hint of any change doesn’t even show up until the 20th, and even then it’s all zeros. From the 20th morning through to the 24th of July, the data is all dashes—no swell height, no period, no energy. Just flat calm.

Best on offer? Honestly, there isn’t one. This is a blank run. For a spot like Tres Palmas, which is an advanced reef break that’s already inconsistent and rarely breaks, this stretch of nothing is a bit more normal for the area. The optimum swell direction is WNW, but we’re seeing nothing but tiny N and NNE pulses. If you’re desperate for a paddle, wait for one of those glassy mornings around the 16th or 17th, but don’t expect a wave. The setup is more interesting for kite surfing right now than paddle surfing.

Rusty.

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