Tres Palmas (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it's gonna be a tough stretch. We're looking at a long, dry spell with barely a ripple to speak of. For the first week, from Friday the 3rd through to Thursday the 9th of July, the wave energy is essentially non-existent. You'll see combined swell energy figures sitting between 0 and 6, which is about as flat as it gets. The water temp is sitting at a warm 84°F, which is right about average for this time of year, but that's about the only thing going for us. The swells we do see are tiny – 0.7ft at best – and coming from the north, which isn't the ideal WNW direction for Tres Palmas (Rincon). The winds are often light and even glassy at times, which would be brilliant if there were any waves to surf. But there aren't. It's a real bummer.

We stay flat through to the end of the first week. Friday the 10th of July gives us a sniff of something, but it's still just a 0.3ft pulse from the north. The energy is a pathetic 2, so don't get your hopes up. This nada continues through the weekend of the 11th and 12th. Honestly, it's looking like a write-off for the first ten days or so. You'd be better off with a cold one and a snorkel.

Now, let's look further out. The second week brings a little more life, but it's still a marginal outlook. Wednesday the 15th of July sees a 0.3ft north swell with combined energy at just 2, and a moderate offshore wind from the ENE, which will at least keep the surface clean on the tiny bumps. Thursday the 16th is flat again.

The real "standout" – and I use that term loosely – might be Friday the 17th of July. We get a 0.3ft swell from the north, but the period stretches to 12 seconds. That's a long-period groundswell, which is a good sign for a reef setup like Tres Palmas. The combined energy is a paltry 3, so it's not going to be a day of legends, but that longer period will give any little bump more shape. Expect light cross-shore winds in the morning and a clean afternoon.

Honestly, the whole 16-day run is looking very quiet. With such minimal swell, the lack of consistency is less of a surprise and more the norm for a flat spell like this. If we get anything, it'll be those few days around the 17th and 18th of July with that long-period, tiny groundswell. Keep your expectations on the floor and your eyes on the horizon. The forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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