The groyne Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for The Groyne over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – it’s a bit of a slow burn for the first week and a half, but there’s a little glimmer of hope way out there.

The overall pattern is pretty quiet. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, weak swell with choppy, cross-shore winds that are just going to mess things up. The early days are a real write-off. For the first ten days, there’s nothing that’s going to get you out of bed. We’re talking about a gap of nearly a week and a half with no real surf to speak of.

Wednesday morning, the 2nd, offers a tiny bit of east swell at 1.6ft, but it’s only got a combined energy of 63 (weak). The cross-off wind will keep it clean, but it’s just too small and ordinary. After that, it's a straight-up run of poor surf conditions. Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday... all the same story. Small, weak swells, barely 1.3ft to 2ft, and the wind is either cross or cross-on, turning the surface into a washing machine. The afternoon of Saturday the 5th sees a bit of a bump to 4.3ft, but it’s a fresh 30 km/h cross-wind, making it lumpy and nasty. Sunday morning the 6th is clean with a cross-off breeze, but it’s still only 2.6ft and weak (55 energy). The following week is more of the same – small, messy, and frustrating.

Now, the lone standout. It’s a long way off, but Sunday morning, the 13th of September is the one to circle on the calendar. We’ve got a solid 4.6ft east-northeast swell coming in with a period of 8 seconds. That’s a moderate energy (237) and it’s building. The real kicker is the glassy, flat-calm conditions – wind at 5 km/h from the east. That’s a total score for clean, lined-up waves. The Groyne is a reef break, so a longer period swell like this (8 seconds is decent) will hold its shape and offer some proper waves. The swell direction from the ENE is a good match for the optimum SE direction here, so it should wrap in nicely. Keep in mind, this is a pretty consistent spot, so you won’t be waiting forever. But with a 4.6ft swell, it’s still in the beginner-friendly range, so it won’t be too heavy.

The water is currently a bit chilly, sitting at 68.4°, which is 1.8° colder than normal for this time of year. The morning of the 13th will be a bit of a gamble, but the potential is there for a really fun session. The following Thursday morning, the 17th, also has a similar 4.6ft ENE swell, but the wind is a cross-shore, which is not as good as glassy. The 13th is the clear winner.

Stay tuned, and keep an eye on the forecasts. Until next time, get some.

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