The groyne Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s shapin’ up for The Groyne in the next 16 days.

The pattern is a long, flat spell with one real gem hidden in there. The water temp is about 69°F, which is a touch below normal for this time—about 1°F cooler than average, so nothin’ dramatic, but it’s a bit on the brisk side.

We start Wednesday, 12th August, with a piddly 2ft easterly swell at 9 seconds. The early morning is glassy—clear sky and a light WNW breeze at 3 mph, so it’s clean but tiny. The energy is weak (77). By afternoon, the wind turns cross-onshore from the NNE at 12 mph, and it gets choppy and messy. Not worth the effort. Thursday through Sunday the 16th is a total dud. Swell stays under 3ft, with short-period junk and onshore winds killin’ any chance of shape. The energy is low, mostly under 100. Saturday the 15th bumps up to 4ft, but it’s accompanied by rain showers and a lumpy, cross-onshore mess. No thanks.

Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th get bigger—up to 7ft on Tuesday—but the wind is still cross-onshore, choppy, and the energy jumps to 510. That’s got some grunt, but with the wind, it’s more of a kite-surfing show than a clean paddle session.

Here’s the moment you’ve been waitin’ for. The morning of Friday, 21st August. Dead calm—NNE wind at 0 mph, glassy as a mirror. A 5ft easterly swell at 9 seconds, with energy at 330. The swell direction is east, which is close to the optimum southeast for this reef. The Groyne is a fairly consistent reef break, good for intermediates. With that glassy surface, the waves will be clean and fun. Crowds can be a factor sometimes, so get there early. This is the best shot you’ve got—clean, solid, and no wind.

After that, Saturday the 22nd through Wednesday the 27th fades back into smaller, wind-affected slop. The 22nd and 23rd have 4ft to 4ft easterly swell at 10 seconds, but the wind is onshore or cross and choppy. Monday the 24th has a brief offshore from the west at 9 mph with 3ft swell, but it’s weak. The 26th afternoon shows a clean offshore from the WSW with a 4ft NNE swell, but it’s only 5 seconds—short and weak. Not a gem.

So, plain and simple: the first week is a bust, with a long gap of nothing good until that Friday the 21st morning. That’s your one true standout. After that, it’s back to small and ordinary. Keep your fingers crossed for the long-range, but right now, that Friday is the day.

Rusty.

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