The groyne Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for The groyne (reef) over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a pretty bleak run. There’s nothing on offer for the first several days, and the whole 16-day window is looking ordinary. The groyne is *fairly consistent* normally, so this is a real dry spell. The water temp is sitting right around average for the time of year at 70°, so nothing unusual there.

We start off Thursday the 10th with a messy 8 ft SE swell, but a solid 22 mph cross-on wind makes it a total write-off. The energy is moderate (698), but that wind just ruins it. Friday the 11th through Sunday the 13th keep the same story: cross-on winds, lumpy and choppy, with swell dropping from 6 ft down to 3 ft. The combined energy fades from 366 to 90, and the period is short (6–7 seconds), so it’s weak and wind-affected.

Monday the 14th offers a tiny 3 ft swell with an onshore light breeze, but it’s still poor. Tuesday the 15th morning is the closest thing to a highlight – glassy conditions with a tiny 3 ft E swell (54 energy). It’s surfable but very ordinary. The rest of the week stays tiny and choppy.

Thursday the 17th sees a little bump to 5 ft from the ESE, but the period is just 7 seconds and the wind is onshore – still poor. The following week stays small, with a few glassy mornings on the 19th and 22nd, but the swell is barely there (2 ft–2 ft). The 20th has a 7 ft SE swell, but the wind is cross-shore or cross-on, and the period is short (6 seconds), so it’s marginal at best.

The real kicker is the 22nd: a 2 ft SE swell with a very long 11-second period. That’s groundswell, and at a reef break like The groyne, it could offer something clean if the wind plays ball, but it’s tiny and the cross-on breezes will still mess it up. The last few days of the month are a dribble of 1.0 ft to 2 ft with some cross-off wind on the 25th, but the swell is just too small to care about.

Bottom line: There’s nothing you’d paddle out for with any real enthusiasm. The groyne is exposed, but the wind is consistently wrong and the swell is either too small or too wind-affected. If you’re desperate, the glassy Tuesday the 15th morning is the least bad option, but it’s a long way from good. Might be one to skip.

Rusty.

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