The groyne Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the coming days at The Groyne.

This forecast is a bit of a slow burner. The first few days have some swell, but the conditions are pretty ordinary. The best window of clean surf looks like it'll be the morning of Saturday the 11th, and again later in the second week. The water temperature is hovering around 69°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year.

Friday the 10th isn't great. We've got a 6ft swell from the SE, but it's coming with a cross-shore wind and a bit of chop, making it feel messy. The combined wave energy is moderate (1006), but don't get too excited. The afternoon looks even worse with rain and cross-onshore winds.

Saturday the 11th is our first real standout. The morning session is the pick of the week. The swell drops to 3ft, but it's from the SE with a solid 11-second period indicating some proper groundswell energy. The wind is a light cross-offshore, meaning the waves will be clean. The combined energy is moderate (231). This is a good window for an intermediate surfer.

Sunday the 12th is still surfable, with clean conditions in the morning from a NW wind, but the swell is dropping to 3ft, and the energy is weakening (199). It's ordinary but you could get a few.

From Monday the 13th, the bottom falls out. The swell drops to 2ft on Monday and then peters out to almost nothing for several days in a row. Monday the 13th through to Wednesday the 15th sees very weak energy (63 down to 16), with poor surf conditions. That's a solid gap of small, weak waves.

The swell returns on Thursday the 16th, but it comes with a vengeance and a side of strong wind. We're looking at a 7ft to 8ft SE swell, but it's being hammered by a fresh to strong cross-onshore wind. The wave energy jumps to strong (510 to 691), but the quality is poor. This setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It's big and messy, and at 8ft, it's only for experts anyway.

This pattern of big, windy swell continues through to Sunday the 19th. The 18th of July sees a huge 12ft swell with very strong energy (3391), but again, it's cross-onshore and choppy. Definitely not for the faint-hearted.

We finally get a break in the wind on Tuesday the 21st. The morning looks promising with a 4ft swell from the E and a clean offshore wind from the WNW. The energy is moderate (220). This is another solid window for a surf.

The rest of the forecast into the 25th shows the swell dropping back to tiny, clean conditions, but there's not enough energy to get excited about. The glassy afternoons on the 23rd and 25th might offer a sneaky log, but it's small.

So, for the best surf, lock in the Saturday morning 11th of July for a clean, fun-sized wave. The other chance is the Tuesday morning 21st of July for another clean session with a bit more size. The rest is either too small, too windy, or too big and messy.

Rusty.

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