The groyne Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty, and let's have a look at what's on offer for The Groyne over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we've got a bit of a slow start. There's some swell coming through on Friday 10 July, but it's not looking like a good time to paddle out. The waves are 6ft but with a 10-second period and a cross to cross-on wind, it's choppy and messy. The combined wave energy is a hefty 1062, but that's just raw power with no shape. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

The real window opens up on Saturday 11 July. The morning is the pick of the whole forecast. We've got a clean 3ft swell from the SE, with a solid 11-second period, and the wind is a light cross-off from the SSW. It's going to be clean, glassy, and surfable. The wave energy is a moderate 231, which is just right. Don't be fooled by the small size – this is a quality reef break, and with that light wind, it's going to be a real treat. The afternoon on Saturday sees the waves drop to 2ft from the ESE with a longer 13-second period, but the wind swings onshore, killing the vibe.

Sunday the 12th is more of the same – small, clean waves in the morning (3ft, ESE, 11 seconds) with a light cross-off wind, but it's just ordinary. The energy is down to 215. The stand-out, though, is still Saturday morning. It's the only time everything lines up with clean wind and a decent swell direction.

The rest of the first week is a bit of a write-off. The swell drops right off through Monday and Tuesday, with miserable, tiny waves and poor conditions. By Wednesday the 15th, the wind is up and the swell is a pathetic 0.7ft.

Then we get a burst of energy on Thursday 16 July, but it's a total waste. The swell jumps to 6ft in the morning, then 8ft in the afternoon from the SSE, with a short, choppy 9-10 second period. The wind is a fresh to strong cross-shore at 22-25 mph, making it pure chaos. The combined energy is 535 in the morning and a massive 1844 in the afternoon. This is way too big for beginners and the conditions are dangerous for anyone. Honestly, with that wind and chop, it’s more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The bad run continues right through to the end of the week. From Friday 17 July to Sunday 19 July, we have moderate to strong cross-shore winds and messy, lumpy conditions. The waves are between 4ft and 5ft with a 12-13 second period, but it's all blown out. The energy is high (541 to 817), but the quality is zero.

Finally, there's a glimmer of hope on Monday 20 July. The morning is glassy – dead calm wind from the SW – with a clean 3ft SE swell at 11 seconds. The energy is a moderate 213, and it's described as "good surf conditions." This is a much better bet, but it's over a week away. The afternoon sees the wind swing onshore, ruining the session.

After that, the surf drops back to tiny, non-surfable waves for the rest of the forecast. The 25th of July looks like a glassy, flat lake.

So, if you're looking for a wave, the absolute best bet is Saturday 11 July morning. The only other half-decent window is the Monday 20 July morning, but it's a long way off and less certain. The middle of the second week is a write-off.

Rusty.

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