The groyne Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gonna level with you – this forecast for The Groyne is a real mixed bag, and honestly, mostly a bag of frustration. We've got a long, quiet spell to get through before anything worthwhile shows its face.

Right now, and for the next nine or ten days, it's a tough watch. The swell that's around is small and weak, and the wind's just not playing ball. From the very start on Friday the 3rd, we’ve got a tiny 2ft swell from the ESE creeping in, but the wind is a messy cross-offshore. It's surfable but ordinary, not worth getting excited about. That sets the tone for the week ahead. Saturday the 5th is poor, with rising winds. Sunday the 6th kicks up a bit more size, with swell hitting 5ft on Sunday morning and climbing to 6ft Sunday afternoon, but it's all short-period windswell and the wind is a fresh cross-shore. It’s gonna be lumpy and choppy, not the clean lines we want. The energy is moderate, hitting 254 in the morning and 331 in the afternoon, but without clean wind, it’s just messy. The conditions stay poor right through Monday the 7th, with lumpy 8ft swell and strong cross-onshore winds. That size is getting into the too-big-for-beginners territory, but the quality is so bad it's unappealing for everyone.

We finally get a glimmer of hope on Wednesday the 8th. The swell drops back to a more manageable 6ft, but here's the kicker – the period jumps to 11 seconds. That's a proper groundswell, carrying real energy. The combined energy shoots up to 833, which is strong. But, the wind is still a moderate cross-shore, keeping the conditions marginal. It’s a tease. Thursday the 9th morning looks the cleanest of this whole stretch, with a cross-offshore wind and a 5ft swell, but the marginal tag sticks with it.

Then, from around Friday the 10th through to the 15th of July, the swell completely flatlines. We're looking at tiny ankle-biters, below 2ft, with hardly any energy. For nearly a week, there’s nothing to recommend. It’s a proper dead spell.

Now, for the one true standout, and it's a long-range call. The Groyne is a reef break here, and its optimum swell direction is from the SE. Way out on Saturday the 18th of July, there’s a pulse of energy on the charts. The swell is predicted to come in at 3ft from the SE with a very long period of 12 seconds. The combined energy reads 167, which is moderate but feels like more with that period. That’s the kind of groundswell that really suits a reef setup like The Groyne, offering proper shape and power. The problem? The wind is forecast to be a fresh cross-shore from the SSE at 19 mph, which will ruin it. Poor conditions. So, it’s a promising signal that might get cleaned up, but as of now, it’s a no-go.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off with onshore slop and tiny surf. The second week is flat as a pancake. The only thing on the horizon is that late pulse on the 18th, which needs a huge wind improvement to be worthwhile. A frustrating outlook, but forecasts can change, and a reef like The Groyne can turn on with the right window. Keep your eyes peeled.

Rusty.

Read more