Surf Forecasts:
Stockton Beach surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 17 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 9s period, S swell with 355 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 17 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Stockton Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Stockton Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Stockton Beach in the next 16 days are 1.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 1PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Stockton Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Grab the board, but maybe not too quick. The next couple of weeks are looking like a real mixed bag for Stockton Beach. We’ve got a fair bit of waiting around to do, with only a couple of proper standout windows where it’s all going to line up. The ocean is going to be mostly small and junky, but trust me, there’s a glimmer of real quality if you’re patient.
First up, this Sunday the 16th is a no-go. It’s tiny and the wind is all wrong, with a cross-onshore breeze chopping up what little there is. The water is sitting at 63°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year, so you’ll want the rubber regardless.
Monday the 17th will at least be glassy in the morning. The swell is a weak 3ft from the ESE, but with clean conditions it’s surfable, just not worth getting too excited about. That glassy window is short-lived, as the afternoon goes onshore and turns to chop.
We’ve got a real flat spell from Tuesday the 18th through the 26th. The swell drops away, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, keeping things messy. The energy is weak, with values often below 100 (like 34, 50, 72). There’s a moment on Friday the 21st with a light offshore breeze and clean 2ft waves, but it’s still not worth a paddle. The one standout during this stretch is Saturday the 29th, which is the real highlight.
That Saturday morning is the pick of the entire period. The swell jumps to 6ft from the ENE, with moderate energy at 764. But the real kicker is the wind—it’s glassy. Clean, lined-up waves are coming your way. This is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s a bit much for beginners, but for the rest of you, it’s going to be fun.
Before that, there’s a pulse on Friday the 28th morning. The swell comes up to 5ft from the S with a long 11-second period, and the energy is strong (450). Offshore winds will have it clean, but it’s not quite the standout that Saturday is.
After that, the swell fades quickly into Sunday the 30th and Monday the 31st, with smaller, messier conditions again. So, the plan is simple: wait for that glassy Saturday morning. It’s the best on offer.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Warm (max 20°C on Thu morning, min 13°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 6 | S 7 | S 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 11 | ESE 7 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | ENE 7 | S 5 | S 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 140 | 117 | 78 | 102 | 99 | 99 | 108 | 117 | 111 | 99 | 221 | 124 | 59 | 40 | 25 | 29 | 30 | 24 | 15 | 47 | 355 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | on | on | on | glassy | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:48AM1.45m | 10:54PM1.46m | 11:30AM1.42m | 11:35PM1.30m | 12:12PM1.39m | 00:16AM1.16m | 12:59PM1.36m | 1:04AM1.03m | 1:52PM1.34m | 2:06AM0.94m | 2:52PM1.35m | 3:30AM0.91m | 3:55PM1.38m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:49PM0.36m | 5:12AM0.28m | 5:38PM0.44m | 5:46AM0.37m | 6:30PM0.53m | 6:20AM0.46m | 7:31PM0.60m | 6:59AM0.54m | 8:45PM0.63m | 7:47AM0.60m | 10:07PM0.62m | 8:49AM0.64m | 11:13PM0.55m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — |
 | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 13 | 17 | 14 | 15 |
Feels °C | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 18 | S 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | S 9 | ESE 7 | S 8 | S 11 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | S 9 |
| kJ | 102 | 117 | 78 | 102 | 78 | 99 | 33 | 55 | 103 | 99 | 221 | 124 | 59 | 40 | 25 | 29 | 30 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 355 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | SSE 18 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 12 | ESE 14 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | S 8 | S 8 | E 11 | E 10 | SE 7 | S 12 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | S 9 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 8 | 102 | 72 | 81 | 80 | 35 | 10 | 71 | 111 | 58 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 16 | SSW 13 | S 12 | E 9 | S 18 | S 10 | S 9 | S 15 | — | S 14 | — | E 9 | E 10 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | 25 | 40 | 21 | 53 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | — | 4 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 6 | ESE 6 | — | — | ESE 7 | — | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 3 | — | NW 3 | — | NW 3 | SSW 5 | S 5 | — |
| kJ | 140 | 58 | — | — | 99 | — | 108 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 47 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 124 | 98 | 46 | 0 | 192 | 82 | 120 | 138 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 0 | 2 | 97 | 2 | 24 | 31 | 31 | 2 | 214 | 11 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Stockton Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Stockton Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Stockton Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Stockton Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Stockton Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Stockton Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Stockton Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 33 km (20 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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