Stockton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, straight up – we’ve got one main break to focus on for the next couple of weeks, Stockton Beach. It’s a classic exposed stretch, picking up a good SE swell, and the water temp is sitting at about 66°, which is dead average for this time of year. No surprises there.

The pattern kicks off with a decent swell, but here’s the catch – for the first few days it’s just too big for a comfortable paddle. Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th of July are pumping out a solid 8 ft to 7 ft SSE/SE swell with a moderate cross-shore wind, and while it’s super consistent and the wave energy is strong (3288 dropping to 862), it’s only for the experienced crew. Beginners, sit this one out.

Then, things clean right up. Friday the 10th of July is the first real standout. The swell drops to a very surfable 5 ft from the SE, and the wind goes glassy in the arvo – dead calm with 3 mph southerly. That’s as clean as it gets. Wave energy is still solid (549 to 525), the period is 10 seconds, so you’re getting proper shaped waves with nice gaps between sets. This is the best on offer in the first week – no crowds guarantee if you get out there, but Stockton can get busy sometimes, so get in early.

Saturday the 11th still has clean conditions with a lighter 4 ft swell from the SE, but it’s smaller and the energy drops off (333 to 256). Still fun, but not the highlight.

Now, here’s the gap. From Sunday the 12th through to Wednesday the 15th of July, it goes flat and average. Heights drop to 1 ft to 2 ft, energy is pitiful (under 100), and there’s nothing worth paddling for. A solid five-day lull.

But hold on – things turn around hard. Thursday the 16th of July is a serious standout. A 7 ft S swell rolls in with a 12-second period, and you’ve got light offshore winds (WNW at 9 mph) – that is expert territory, clean and powerful. Wave energy jumps to 1411. If you’ve got the skills, that morning is your window.

Friday the 17th is even bigger – 10 ft from the S with 13-second period and strong energy (3007). But again, that’s too big for anyone but the hardcore. It’s a beast.

The weekend of the 18th and 19th of July sees the swell back down to 6 ft to 3 ft, and with glassy conditions on the Saturday arvo (ESE at 3 mph), that’s a solid session for intermediate surfers. Energy is moderate (835 to 557), and the waves will have shape.

After that, the swell fades again through the 20th to the 23rd, with only marginal waves and low energy. The last few days of the outlook show small, weak swell and poor conditions.

So to wrap it up: your absolute best windows are Friday the 10th of July for a clean, fun 5 ft SE swell, and the morning of Thursday the 16th for a bigger, cleaner 7 ft S swell for the experienced crew. Everything else is either too big, too small, or just ordinary. Get on it while it’s good.

Rusty.

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