Stockton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Stockton Beach over the next couple of weeks.

It’s a quiet start, but don’t lose hope – there’s some serious size on the way, and a few real clean windows if you pick your days right. The first few days are pretty ordinary with small, weak swell and only the odd moment of glassy conditions, but nothing you’d rush out for. The real action kicks off later in the month.

Wednesday 22nd and Thursday 23rd are small and messy. Waist-high at best, with a weak combined energy of only 138 (Wednesday morning) and 67 (Thursday morning). Thursday morning does have clean, gentle offshore wind from the west, but the swell is just too tiny – 2ft from the east with a short 9-second period. Not worth paddling out.

Friday 24th is where it gets interesting. Friday morning sees a big jump in swell – 8ft from the south, with a chunky 10-second period and combined energy of 1378 (that’s moderate wave energy). But here’s the catch: that’s too big for this break. Stockton Beach is an exposed beach setup, and at that size, it’s going to be a washing machine. The wind is cross-off from the WSW, so it’s clean, but honestly, this is looking more like a kite surfer’s session than a paddle surfer’s one. The afternoon drops to 7ft but picks up a cross-on wind, making it choppy.

Saturday 25th morning is the first real standout. The swell drops to a much more manageable 6ft from the south, with a 11-second period – that’s a proper groundswell, so the waves will have some grunt. Combined energy is 697 (moderate). On top of that, we’ve got clean offshore wind from the WNW. The break is fairly consistent and exposed to the south swell, which lines up nicely with the optimum direction. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so a 3/2 wetsuit should do. This is your best bet of the whole outlook – don’t sleep on it.

Sunday 26th morning is also very good: 5ft south swell, 11-second period, light offshore WSW wind, and clean conditions. Combined energy 509 (moderate). Another solid morning, but the Saturday morning has a touch more size and power, so that’s the pick.

Monday 27th drops off again – 4ft south swell with a short 8-second period, weak energy (178), and only cross-off wind. It’s surfable but nothing special.

Tuesday 28th and Wednesday 29th are flat and poor. Tiny waves, onshore winds, and rain showers on the 29th. Don’t bother.

Thursday 30th is another big spike – 8ft south swell with a 12-second period, combined energy 1959 (strong wave energy). That’s expert-only territory, and with cross-on winds from the NE, it’s going to be messy and dangerous. Again, more for the kite crew.

Friday 31st morning is a nice rebound: 5ft south swell, 10-second period, clean offshore wind from the west, combined energy 440 (moderate). That’s a good, solid session for intermediate surfers.

After that, the first week of August fades into small, weak surf again. Saturday 1st and Sunday 2nd are tiny (2ft to 2ft), and Monday 3rd sees another spike of 7ft from the south, but that’s too big again for Stockton and the wind is cross-off. Tuesday 4th through Thursday 6th have waist-to-chest-high swell (5ft to 6ft) but with moderate cross-off winds, so it’s marginal – not terrible, but not the clean lines we saw on Saturday 25th.

Bottom line: The standout is Saturday 25th July morning – 6ft south groundswell with offshore wind and clean conditions. Sunday 26th morning is a close second. After that, Friday 31st morning is worth a look. Everything else is either too small, too big, or too windy. Get out there on the 25th and you’ll be stoked.

Rusty.

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