Stockton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty.

Alright, let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks at Stockton Beach. To be straight with you, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. There’s some size early on, but the winds and the raw power of the swell are going to be working against us for the most part. We’ve got a few windows where it cleans up, and one or two days that really stand out, but you’ve got to pick your moments.

The water temp is sitting at 66° which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so a decent wetsuit is all you need.

The first real chance is Thursday the 10th. We’ve got a solid SSE swell pushing 8ft, and the wind is swinging offshore from the SW in the morning. The energy is strong, with readings around 1143 in the combined energy. It’s going to be a powerful, clean day, but honestly, that size is pushing it for this stretch of sand. It’s not a beginner’s day. The afternoon drops slightly to 7ft with a bit more south in it, and the wind goes more cross, but it’s still got plenty of push. This is the pick of the first week.

Friday the 11th is smaller, around 6ft, with some clean morning conditions and a cross-off breeze, but it feels like the swell is already on the way out. It’s surfable, but nothing to get overly excited about.

Then we hit a flat spell. From the 12th through the 18th, it’s pretty grim. There’s a bump on the 12th, 3ft with a glassy morning, but the energy is weak. The rest of that stretch is a struggle – small, messy, and mostly onshore. The 15th has a tiny 1ft blip, and the most interesting thing about the 18th is that a 5ft southerly bump shows up in the afternoon with glassy conditions, but it’s short-period and pretty raw. You’d be surfing it just to get wet.

Now, here’s the standout. Saturday the 19th. The swell kicks back in big time from the SSE at 10ft in the morning. That’s a serious amount of water, with combined energy readings of 1809 – that’s strong to very strong. The wind is cross but not howling. This is a big, powerful day. The afternoon is still solid at 8ft with the same SSE direction. This is expert territory. If you don’t have your confidence up, watch from the sand. This is the one to circle on the calendar, but it’s a week and a half away, so treat the details with a bit of caution.

After that, it fades out again. Sunday the 20th has a 6ft, but the wind is cross-on from the ENE in the afternoon, so it’s messy. The following week is a whole lot of nothing – small, weak swells and mostly onshore winds.

The one last glimmer is Wednesday the 23rd. We get a clean, glassy morning with about 4ft of ESE swell. The wind is almost nothing, so it’ll be smooth as a lake. It’s not big, but it might be the most user-friendly wave of the whole window. That’s your one for a longboard and a quiet paddle.

So, bottom line: The best bets are Thursday the 10th for size and power, and Wednesday the 23rd for clean, smaller waves. If you’re an expert, the 19th is your day. Otherwise, keep an eye on the charts – it tends not to stay this average for long.

Rusty.

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