Stockton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what we've got coming down the line for Stockton Beach.

The week kicks off with a big pulse of southerly swell, but honestly, it's a bit of a mixed bag. We're looking at a window from Thursday the 9th right through to the weekend of the 12th and 13th that has the best potential for a decent wave. Get ready for a bit of a wait before that, though.

Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th are a write-off for the average surfer. We're talking a solid 8 ft to 10 ft of SSE swell with a period of 10 to 11 seconds. That's a massive amount of energy – way too much for this exposed stretch of beach. It's a no-go for anyone but the most experienced chargers, and even then, the wind is messy. This is one of those times where it might be more interesting for the kite crew than us paddle surfers.

The real action starts to clean up on Wednesday morning the 8th, but that swell is still too big at 8 ft. You'd want to be an expert or have a very big board.

Alright, here’s the standout: Thursday the 9th of July. That's your day. The swell has dropped to a much more manageable 5 ft to 6 ft from the ESE and SE with a long period of 10 to 11 seconds. The wind is going glassy and cross-offshore. This is going to be clean, with good shape. It’s the best on offer, hands down.

Friday the 10th keeps the fun rolling. Look for 5 ft SE swell with offshore wind in the morning, keeping things clean. The afternoon gets a bit bumpy with the cross-onshore wind, so get it early.

The weekend of the 11th and 12th fades out gradually. Saturday has 4 ft to 4 ft of leftover SE swell with offshore to cross-offshore winds. It’s small but clean. Sunday is even smaller, dropping to 2 ft to 3 ft. Still clean in the morning, but you’ll need a longboard.

After that, the models show a real lull right through to Tuesday the 15th. Swell drops to under 3 ft, and while the wind stays clean, the wave energy is weak. It’s pretty flat.

Then we get a spike of bigger S swell on the 17th, hitting 7 ft to 7 ft with a 11-second period. The morning of the 17th looks glassy, but again, that’s expert-only territory at Stockton.

The second week offers a glimmer on the 19th. Sunday morning the 19th has a promising 5 ft SE swell with a very long 12-second period and clean cross-offshore wind. That’s a long-range standout to keep an eye on, but it's still a promise, not a guarantee.

So, if you want the best waves: Thursday the 9th of July is your standout. Clean, solid, and lined up. Go get it.

- Rusty

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