Stockton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what Stockton Beach has cookin’ over the next couple weeks. It’s not exactly pumping right away, but there’s a big pulse of energy way down the line that’s got me talking.

The first real surf comes Wednesday morning, 12 August. A south swell at 4ft with a 10-second period, coming from the south. Water temp’s 64°F, a bit colder than usual for this time of year—you’ll notice it. Combined energy is moderate at 268. Wind’s from the west-northwest at 9 mph, cross-offshore, keeping things clean. Not a bad start, but nothing special.

Wednesday afternoon sees the swell drop to 3ft, still south with a 9-second period. Wind goes west at 9 mph, offshore and clean. Energy drops to 167, so it’s weak. Surfable, but ordinary.

Thursday morning, 13 August, brings a bit more kick—south-southwest swell at 4ft, but the period’s short at 7 seconds. Wind is southwest at 9 mph, cross-off, and it stays clean. Energy nudges up to 288. It’s the best early option, but that short period means the waves won’t have much shape. Thursday afternoon gets wrecked by onshore wind, so skip it.

Friday morning, 14 August, has a small 3ft south swell with a 7-second period, but the wind goes glassy—light west at 3 mph. Combined energy is only 149, so it’s weak, but if you want a sneaky clean session, this is your moment. By afternoon, onshore wind kills it.

Saturday 15 August and Sunday 16 August are total write-offs—rain showers, onshore winds, and choppy mess. Swell picks to 5ft on Saturday morning with energy up to 470, but it’s all junk. Not worth paddling out.

The next week stays poor through to the end of August 23. Small swells, onshore winds, and ordinary conditions. Monday 24 August morning has a hint of hope with a light 3ft east-northeast swell, 10-second period, and light offshore wind from the west-southwest at 3 mph. Energy is 157, so it’s weak, but it’s clean. Still, just a tease.

Now, the big standout. Thursday 27 August. This is the one. A solid south swell rolls in at 10ft—yes, that’s serious size—with a 10-second period. Combined energy is a massive 2418, which is strong-to-very-strong energy. Wind is offshore from the west at 6 mph, glassy and clean. But look, this is Stockton Beach—an exposed beach break. At 10ft, it’s for experienced surfers only. Beginners, don’t even think about it. The period is moderate at 10 seconds, so it won’t be too weird, but at that size, it’s a big, powerful ocean. Thursday afternoon drops to 8ft, with the wind turning cross-onshore from the southeast, making it messy. Still big, but quality drops.

Overall, the whole 16-day window is pretty flat and average except for that one big day on Thursday 27 August. If you’re experienced, mark it. For everyone else, it’s a long wait. Forecasts can change, but that’s the story right now.

Rusty.

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