
Surf Forecasts:
Stockton Beach surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, SE swell with 2,633 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 6 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Stockton Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Stockton Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Stockton Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 10AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 7PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Stockton Beach over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, this is Rusty checking in with a look at the waves on the way for our stretch of coast.
We’re looking at a real mixed bag over the next two and a half weeks, with some periods of solid swell but also some serious size that’ll shut the place down. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.
The first real action kicks off Monday, July 6th, but it's a bit of a rough start. A big 10-foot SSE swell rolls in with 10-second period and a very strong 1548 combined wave energy. Light rain and a stiff 15 mph SSE wind have it cross-on and choppy. Honestly, it’s not worth paddling out; break conditions are poor.
Things clean up considerably on Tuesday the 7th, but the swell is still huge. We’re looking at 10-foot plus, with the wave energy climbing into the four-digit range. The wind swings to the SSW, and we get clean, cross-off conditions. The swell is just too big for this break though – expert territory only.
Finally, the size starts to ease back. Wednesday morning the 8th sees a still-chunky 8-foot SE swell, but the wind is a gentler 9 mph from the SSW, leaving it clean. Even so, it’s a powerful, solid wave. The size drops further into the 7-foot to 6-foot range over Thursday and Friday.
It’s on Friday the 10th that we get our first true standout. The swell has dropped to a much more manageable 6-foot from the SE with a 10-second period, and wave energy is still a moderate 597. Crucially, the wind goes offshore from the WSW in the morning at 9 mph. That’ll groom the faces to perfection. Expect very good, clean surf. The afternoon stays nice with light cross-off breezes. This is the window.
Saturday the 11th will still be fun for a beginners or longboard session as the swell fades to 4-foot, but it’s nothing special. Then we hit a long, flat spell. From Sunday the 12th right through to Tuesday the 14th, the swell drops right away to barely a ripple. We’re talking 1-foot with a combined energy of just 16. A couple of days of straight nothing, but that’s normal for this area and forecasts can change.
A new, weaker S swell tries to build on the 14th and 15th, with 4-foot and clean conditions, but it’s really just ordinary.
Now, hold on to your boardies, because we have a very distant, but massive, event on the cards. On Thursday the 16th a new SW swell arrives, and it builds into a very substantial 16-foot S groundswell by Friday the 17th. The wave energy for that Friday morning is a massive 15399 – that’s an enormous amount of power with a very long 14-second period. With a SE wind creating a cross-on breeze, the surface will be messy on top of already huge surf. This is not a paddle-in day. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Only the most experienced and heavily equipped charger would even think about it.
The swell slowly winds down over the weekend and into the next week. Saturday the 18th sees a cleaner 7-foot from SSE, with morning onshore wind. After a few days of clean cross-off wind on the 19th and 20th with 4-foot swell, another pulse of S swell hits on the 21st. The period is a ridiculously long 19 seconds, which is best suited for a point or reef break. At a beach break like this, it’ll likely be too straight and difficult.
So to wrap it up: Friday the 10th is the one to circle for clean, fun waves. Everything before that is too big or wind-affected, and everything after is either flat or an absolute monster.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 14°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1532 | 1412 | 1923 | 2328 | 2633 | 2629 | 1639 | 1227 | 944 | 869 | 742 | 614 | 597 | 592 | 424 | 266 | 265 | 186 | 176 | 125 | 47 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:47PM1.32m | 00:36AM1.43m | 1:35PM1.36m | 1:31AM1.33m | 2:29PM1.43m | 2:35AM1.24m | 3:28PM1.51m | 3:48AM1.18m | 4:29PM1.62m | 5:04AM1.16m | 5:30PM1.73m | 6:15AM1.19m | 6:28PM1.83m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:33PM0.62m | 7:10AM0.38m | 7:36PM0.61m | 7:55AM0.41m | 8:47PM0.58m | 8:47AM0.44m | 10:03PM0.52m | 9:44AM0.45m | 11:16PM0.43m | 10:44AM0.44m | 00:23AM0.32m | 11:45AM0.42m | 1:21AM0.22m | ||||||||
6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | |
— | 4:59 | — | — | 4:59 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | |
mm | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 17 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 14 | E 14 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | — | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 |
16 | 15 | 1550 | 1809 | — | 2097 | 1639 | 1227 | 944 | 869 | 742 | 614 | 597 | 592 | 424 | 266 | 148 | 186 | 176 | 125 | 47 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SE 14 | — | — | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | — | S 19 | S 18 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 |
— | — | — | 276 | — | — | 69 | 241 | 218 | 6 | 6 | 5 | — | 7 | 7 | 151 | 265 | 62 | 23 | 6 | 6 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 15 | S 23 | — | S 16 | — | — | E 16 | S 16 | S 15 | ESE 12 | S 15 | S 16 | SSE 8 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 10 | — | 5 | — | — | 5 | 5 | 4 | 85 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | — | SW 4 | — | — | N 4 | NW 3 | NNW 3 | WNW 3 |
1532 | 1412 | 1923 | 2328 | 2633 | 2629 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 15 | — | — | 12 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 294 | 223 | 46 | 2 | 98 | 187 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 57 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Stockton Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Stockton Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Stockton Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Stockton Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Stockton Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Stockton Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Stockton Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 33 km (20 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.










