Stockton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Stockton Beach over the next couple of weeks. Straight up, it’s a pretty grim start. We’ve got a long dry spell to get through before anything actually worth paddling out for shows up.

The first real flicker of life doesn’t come until Friday morning, August 7th, but honestly, it’s nothing to get excited about. We’re looking at a weak 2ft SSE swell with a short 10-second period. The combined energy is weak (114), and while the 64° water is running about a degree and a half cooler than usual for this time of year. The morning has a light offshore breeze which keeps it clean, but the wave comment says it all – surfable, but very ordinary. Afternoon gets worse as that wind swings onshore.

The whole weekend and into the following week is pretty much a washout. Saturday and Sunday offer tiny, weak swell with periods under 10 seconds, and the winds aren’t cooperating. There’s a glassy moment Saturday morning, but the swell is only 1ft. You’d be struggling to even get a ride.

We then hit a stretch from Monday, August 10th, right through to Tuesday, August 18th, where there isn’t a single worthwhile recommendation. That’s over a week of poor conditions. We get some decent offshore winds on Monday afternoon, but the swell is tiny and the wind is howling at 25 mph, making it a battle to even get out. We see a bit of size pop up Thursday afternoon, August 13th, with a 7ft S swell and a big jump in energy (943). The wind is fresh offshore, but the comment warns that the swell is too big for this break. And it just gets bigger from there. Friday, August 14th, sees a solid 8ft S swell with a long 12-second period and very high energy (1490), but again – too big. Definitely an expert-only zone if it even breaks properly. The rest of that week and into the next stays messy with strong winds, making it more of a windsurfing or kiting setup than a clean surf one.

Finally, after all that waiting, we get a genuine standout on Friday, August 21st. The morning session is looking like the clear winner of this whole forecast. Swell settles to a nice 5ft from the E with a long-period 13-second groundswell. That’s proper energy (764), and the winds are near glassy out of the NW. The text says to expect very good surf conditions. This is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s a couple of weeks out, so take it with a pinch of salt, but if it holds, it’ll be worth the wait. Just remember, that longer period swell might be a bit straight at this beach break, so look for a bank that can handle it. The afternoon gets choppy when the seabreeze kicks in though.

Saturday morning, August 22nd, has another pulse of size – 8ft from the S – but it’s back into the "too big" category with massive energy (1599), so likely only for the brave if it’s even rideable.

So, to wrap it up: the next week and a half is a total dud. Don’t even bother. The real standout is that Friday, August 21st morning. Mark it down and hope the forecast stays sweet.

Rusty.

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