Stockton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for our local stretch.

To be straight with you, the next week or so is looking pretty flat and quiet. We’ve got a long gap with barely a wave worth paddling for. The real action, if you can call it that, is tucked away at the very end of the forecast. Hang tight, because the good stuff is a long way off.

Monday 3rd August morning is your best early bet. Stockton Beach is showing a clean 4 ft wave from the SE with a solid 11-second period. Winds are light cross-off from the NNW, so it’ll be tidy. The combined energy reading is 311, so there’s some moderate grunt in the water. Water temp is 64°, which is about normal for this time of year. Looks okay, but it’s only a brief window – the arvo goes downhill with more wind.

After that, the surf drops right off. From Tuesday 4th right through to Monday 10th August, we’re looking at tiny, poor conditions. Most mornings have some offshore or clean wind, but the swell is just too small – mostly under 2 ft and weak energy readings (often under 100). Not worth getting the wetsuit wet for.

We get a little bump on Tuesday 11th August morning – 3 ft from the S, 9 seconds, clean offshore from the WNW. Still only moderate energy (184), but it’s the best of a pretty mediocre spell. The rest of that week stays small and ordinary.

Now, here’s the standout if you’ve got patience: Friday 14th August morning. Stockton Beach is looking at 10 ft of S swell. That’s a massive jump. The combined energy hits 2078 – that’s very strong. But this is a heads-up: at 10 ft, this is expert territory. The winds are light from the NNW, keeping it clean, but this break is exposed and that size will be too much for most. Not beginner friendly at all. The afternoon drops to 8 ft, still big and powerful.

Saturday 15th August morning is the best all-round option for stronger surfers. We get 5 ft from the SSE, moderate offshore wind from the W at 12 mph, and a combined energy of 396 – solid moderate energy. It’s still a bit big for beginners, but for anyone comfortable in that range, this is clean and punchy.

After that, it fades again into small stuff through to the end of the window.

So, the only real standout window is Friday 14th and Saturday 15th August. Friday is massive and for experts only; Saturday is the pick for strong intermediates and above. Everything else is a write-off. Crowds are possible at Stockton when it’s good, so expect company if you head out.

Stay patient.

- Rusty

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