Surf Forecasts:
Stockton Beach surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, S swell with 2,918 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Stockton Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Stockton Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 14s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Stockton Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Monday (Sep 21) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Stockton Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, giving you the lowdown in feet and miles per hour.
The first bit of action is pretty weak. Monday morning, September 14, has a few clean lines, but it's tiny. We're talking about 2ft of south swell. The water temp is sitting around 65°, pretty normal for this time of year. The energy in the water is low, just 212. It's a bit of a nothing session.
After that, get ready for a long dry spell. From Monday afternoon, it goes flat and ordinary all the way through the end of the week. No point even looking at it for a few days.
Now, if you're a serious charger, mark your calendar for Wednesday the 16th. The models are showing a big pulse of south energy. We're looking at 10ft in the morning, jumping to a solid 12ft in the afternoon. The combined energy is massive—1772, then 2391. That's a lot of power. The wind is clean and offshore, but this is strictly for experts. It's too big for most of us. It stays big through Thursday the 17th, so if you've got the nerve, that Wednesday-to-Thursday window is your one big standout.
That big pulse drops off into Friday the 18th. The morning sees much more manageable 5ft waves, with a light offshore breeze from the NW making it glassy. The energy is a moderate 356. It's not the biggest day, but it's the best option for the average surfer looking for a clean, fun session.
After that, it fades into the weekend and the following week. The long-range stuff around the 22nd and beyond looks choppy, with onshore winds and short-period, messy waves. Nothing worth getting excited about.
So, the takeaway: the big, heavy standout is the mid-week swell on the 16th and 17th for experts only. For everyone else, the Friday morning on the 18th is your call for clean, manageable surf. Then it's back to watching the forecast.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 23°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Mon night, fresh winds from the SSW by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | NE 6 | S 10 | ESE 4 | S 8 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 10 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 85 | 91 | 17 | 15 | 650 | 1453 | 2482 | 2291 | 1924 | 825 | 436 | 322 | 300 | 207 | 108 | 106 | 57 | 40 | 25 | 19 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:25PM1.32m | 10:48AM1.50m | 11:03PM1.19m | 11:27AM1.46m | 11:44PM1.07m | 12:11PM1.41m | 00:35AM0.98m | 1:02PM1.36m | 1:45AM0.92m | 2:03PM1.34m | 3:16AM0.92m | 3:09PM1.34m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:26PM0.31m | 4:24AM0.32m | 5:12PM0.39m | 4:55AM0.41m | 6:01PM0.48m | 5:28AM0.51m | 6:59PM0.55m | 6:08AM0.59m | 8:08PM0.59m | 7:03AM0.67m | 9:25PM0.58m | 8:16AM0.71m | 10:30PM0.52m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — |
 | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 21 | 23 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 21 | 19 | 17 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 29 | 30 | 25 |
Feels °C | 17 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 25 | 24 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | S 9 | NE 7 | E 14 | — | E 13 | S 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | ENE 4 |
| kJ | 85 | 45 | 14 | 15 | 2 | 4 | — | 3 | 1375 | 825 | 436 | 322 | 300 | 207 | 108 | 106 | 57 | 40 | 25 | 4 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | SSE 10 | S 10 | ENE 7 | E 14 | ENE 14 | — | — | E 13 | S 19 | E 13 | SSE 18 | SSE 18 | SSE 16 | SSE 16 | SSE 17 | ENE 4 | S 17 | S 17 | S 10 |
| kJ | 3 | 34 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 20 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 3 | 32 | 102 | 91 | 87 | 95 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 19 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 12 | E 13 | E 14 | — | — | — | — | E 13 | E 13 | S 19 | E 12 | E 12 | NNE 4 | ESE 7 | E 12 | SSE 16 | — | E 9 | S 17 |
| kJ | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 25 | — | 1 | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 4 | NE 6 | NW 2 | ESE 4 | S 8 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | — | — | ENE 2 | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 2 |
| kJ | 23 | 91 | 1 | 11 | 650 | 1453 | 2482 | 2291 | 1924 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 278 | 2 | 24 | 1387 | 98 | 736 | 833 | 124 | 46 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 2 | 99 | 42 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Stockton Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Stockton Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Stockton Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Stockton Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Stockton Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Stockton Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Stockton Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 33 km (20 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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