Stockton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s heading our way for Stockton Beach.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – the next few days are a write-off. We’re looking at a flat spell all the way through the start of the period. The swell is a measly 0.6ft to 0.3ft, and even that’s just a weak S’ly pulse with combined energy barely registering (26). Forget about it. That’s a solid gap of no surf until the middle of Wednesday the 15th.

Now, Wednesday the 15th morning is where things get a little wild. The swell jumps to 8ft from the S with a short period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy hits a massive 1210. By the afternoon it’s 8ft and 2096. That’s a lot of power, but honestly, this is too big for the open beach. The wind is cross-off, which is clean, but the forecast is telling us this swell is too big for this break. This is expert-only territory, and even then it’s going to be a close-out mess. I’d be looking at kites out there, not paddle boards. The wind is a moderate breeze, but the swell is just too much.

By Thursday the 16th, we’re still in the 7ft to 7ft range from the S, but the period drops to 8 seconds and the wind is fresh and cross-shore. The energy is still high (860 then 575), but the conditions are described as poor with lumpy cross-chop. Not our day.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th see the swell drop to 3ft and 5ft, but the wind is turning cross-onshore and choppy. The energy is weak (138-334). Nothing to get excited about.

The real standout, the one worth circling on your calendar, is Tuesday the 21st. The wind goes glassy – dead calm – in the morning, and the swell is 4ft from the E with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is a moderate 302. The forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s the cleanest window we’ve got. It’s a small, clean wave, perfect for a longboard or a funboard. It’s not a world-class day, but after a week of nothing and junk, it’s the best on offer.

The other decent shout is Monday the 27th. The wind is 15 km/h offshore from the W, and the swell is 3ft from the E with a very long period of 12 seconds. The energy is 260. That’s a clean, glassy morning. The long period means it’ll be a bit more powerful and lined up, but at a beach break it might break a little too straight. Still, that’s a solid morning for a surf.

So, to wrap it up: forget the first week. Wednesday the 15th is for experts only, and it’s a big, angry mess. The best bet for a clean, fun surf is Tuesday the 21st, with the glassy morning. Monday the 27th is a solid backup with offshore wind. The water is sitting at 19°C, which is about average for the time of year, so no wetsuit drama.

Stay patient, and grab that Tuesday morning.

Rusty.

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