Stockton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start along this stretch, but there’s some promise later on. The first week is mostly small and messy, with a few windows of clean surf if you’re keen. Real action cranks up from the second Thursday, when things get serious.

For Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th, forget it – tiny 1 ft to 3 ft swell with weak energy (42 to 119), and mostly onshore or glassy but no power. Not worth paddling out. Friday the 7th morning is surfable but ordinary, with a 2 ft SSE swell, clean northwest cross-off breeze and energy up to 116 – you’ll get something, but it’s nothing to write home about.

Saturday the 8th morning sees glassy 1 ft SSE swell, but again, barely a ripple. Sunday the 9th morning bumps up to 3 ft east swell, clean cross-off wind, energy at 116 – still small but rideable on the right gear.

Now, Monday the 10th morning is a cracker for wind but not swell – we’ve got a strong 25 mph WNW cross-off, but only 3 ft ENE swell. That’s more of a windsurf or kite day; paddle surfing is a struggle. Monday afternoon cleans right up with a fresh offshore, but the swell drops back to 2 ft.

Then we start seeing real swell building. Tuesday the 11th morning: 4 ft south swell, clean offshore WNW wind at 12 mph, moderate energy at 349. Conditions are good, and the crowd is possible – get on it if you can. The south swell direction suits Stockton Beach (SE optimum).

Wednesday the 12th holds at 3 ft south, clean offshore, energy down a bit at 120 – still surfable but ordinary.

Now here’s the standout: Thursday the 13th morning – this is the pick of the whole outlook. We’ve got a solid 7 ft south swell, clean WSW cross-off breeze at 6 mph, and very strong wave energy at 705. That’s proper groundswell with a 9-second period, so the waves will have shape and power. Water temp is 64°, about average for this time of year. This one is for experienced surfers – over 5 ft, so it’s too big for beginners. The break can get crowded sometimes, but it’s worth the company.

Friday the 14th morning is also strong: 5 ft south swell, clean cross-off wind, energy at 510. Very good surf conditions, but again, intermediates should be cautious.

Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th show continued swell between 5 ft and 6 ft, but the wind goes cross or cross-onshore, making it messier. Good for experts who don’t mind a chop.

Monday the 17th drops a bit but stays punchy with 4 ft to 3 ft and strong cross-onshore wind – not great for paddling, might be more fun for kites.

Tuesday the 18th morning brings back clean, cross-off conditions with a 5 ft SSE swell (period 10 seconds) and solid energy at 546 – another very good session for confident surfers. Wednesday the 19th morning holds at 4 ft SE, clean, moderate energy at 350.

And finally, Thursday the 20th morning is glassy – zero wind, 3 ft SE swell, energy at 253, and good conditions. A nice clean finish, if you can get out.

Overall: the 13th and 18th mornings are your true standouts – big, clean, powerful south swells. The first week is a wait-and-see. Don’t bother with the beach break until that Thursday.

Rusty.

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