Stockton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got the full rundown on the outlook for Stockton Beach. Let’s get straight into it.

The next few days are a bit of a mixed bag, but we’ve got a couple of windows that are worth getting excited about. The pattern starts off a little rough, but hang tight—it gets better.

Stockton Beach is a fairly consistent, exposed beach break that works best with swell from the SE. The water temp is about average for this time of year, no major anomalies to shout about.

We’re looking at Saturday the 18th and things are a bit messy. The swell is around 5 ft from the SE, but with a cross-on wind from the SSE at 12 mph, it’s choppy and the surf is poor. Combined wave energy is moderate at 251. Not worth paddling out.

Sunday the 19th sees a rise in swell to 7 ft from the E, with a period of 11 seconds. That’s a decent groundswell, but the wind is still cross-on from the SE, making it choppy. The energy jumps to a strong 1005, but it’s still marginal at best. The afternoon drops to 6 ft with a lighter breeze, but it’s still cross-on and fairly choppy.

Now, Monday the 20th is where things get interesting. The morning is looking glassy—wind from the ENE at only 3 mph, and the swell is 5 ft from the E at 10 seconds. The combined energy is a solid 556, and the conditions are set to be very good. This is the standout of the first week. The wind is glassy, so the waves will be clean. The afternoon is a bit more onshore, so the morning is your window.

Tuesday the 21st morning is clean with a cross-off wind from the NNW, swell around 4 ft from the E, and energy at 303. Good surf, but the afternoon turns choppy again.

Wednesday the 22nd drops off to 2 ft, and the rest of the week stays small. Thursday the 23rd is tiny, with a 2 ft swell and a brief pulse of short-period S swell in the afternoon, but it’s poor.

Friday the 24th morning brings a bit more life: 5 ft from the S with a clean cross-off wind from the S at 9 mph. Energy is 285, and the surf is good. The afternoon goes glassy, but the swell drops to 4 ft.

The weekend of the 25th and 26th is small and clean, but nothing to write home about. Swells under 2 ft most of the time.

Then we get into the second week. The real standout is Friday the 31st of July. The morning is looking at a massive 12 ft swell from the S, with a period of 12 seconds and a very strong combined energy of 6434. The wind is light and cross-off from the WNW. However, the forecast notes that the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. At over 8 ft, this is only for experts, and even then, it might be overwhelming. The crowd factor is “sometimes,” so if you’re a seasoned charger, you might find a few takers, but the size is the big caveat. The afternoon is similar, with an 12 ft swell from the S and onshore wind, making it messy.

Saturday the 1st of August is still huge, with a 10 ft swell from the SSE in the morning and 8 ft in the afternoon. Again, too big for most, and the wind is onshore or cross-on.

Sunday the 2nd of August has a massive 13 ft S swell with glassy conditions in the morning. Energy is a whopping 5906. Once again, the size is the main story—this is for experts only, and even then, it’s massive.

Overall, the best on offer is Monday the 20th of July morning—clean, glassy, 5 ft E swell, and good energy. After that, if you’re a strong surfer, Friday the 31st of July morning has the size and clean wind, but it’s a serious step up.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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