Stockton Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about what Stockton Beach has cookin’ over the next couple weeks.

Alright mate, to be straight with you – this stretch is in a bit of a flat spell for the better part of the first half. There’s no surf worth paddlin’ for until Sunday the 23rd, and even then it’s real marginal. But don’t you worry, we’ve got a promising little window opening right at the tail end of the month.

Through the first week, it’s a tough watch. Friday the 21st through most of Saturday sees tiny, weak 0.7 ft to 2 ft slop with short-period windswell – cross-offshore breezes keep it clean, but there’s just nothing to ride. Saturday afternoon goes glassy, but with only 0.7 ft of S swell at 9 seconds, that’s barely a ripple. Then Sunday the 23rd morning, we get a glassy calm and a little bump of S swell at 3 ft, 11-second period – but the comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” so it’s a catch-what-you-can session. The combined wave energy is still weak at (162) – just not enough push.

Monday the 24th through to Wednesday the 28th is a mix of small 2 ft to 3 ft waves, mostly cross-onshore or onshore winds, and choppy conditions. A bit of offshore wind on Wednesday the 26th morning keeps things clean, but at 2 ft and 8-second period with weak energy (100), you’re really just out for the glide. Not a standout by any stretch.

The best chance for any decent surf comes as we head into the last days of August and the first of September. Monday the 31st of August morning – that’s the one to circle. We’ve got a solid 5 ft of ENE swell, 7-second period – short period, sure, but the combined energy is moderate to strong (421), and we’ve got offshore wind from the WSW keeping the surface clean. The commentary says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s the best read we’ve seen. It’s a beach break here, so with that shorter-period swell it’ll be a bit fat and closey, but with offshore winds you can find a few punchy runners. The water’s a bit colder than average at 63° – not drastically so, just that late-winter chill.

After that, Tuesday the 1st of September gets blown out by a fresh southerly and Wednesday the 2nd is clean but small. Thursday the 3rd has a bit of ENE swell pushing 3 ft with moderate energy (352) and light cross-shore wind – it’s tagged as “marginal,” so keep the expectations low. After that, it fades into tiny clean waves through Friday and Saturday.

So if you’re itching for a paddle, the early days are a write-off. Hold out for Monday the 31st of August – that’s your best shot at something that actually feels like surfing. It’s not huge, but with clean offshore wind you’ll get some fun walls.

Rusty.

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