San Vicente Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer.

Right now, there’s not much doing. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a struggle, to be honest. We’re talking about a long stretch of small, weak, and messy conditions. It’s the kind of run where you’re checking the forecast every day hoping something changes. The first real pulse of energy doesn’t show up until Monday the 27th, and even then, it’s not a day to get overly excited about.

The only spot on the radar is San Vicente Rivermouth. The water temperature is sitting at 71°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nice for a paddle, but it won’t make up for the lack of decent waves.

Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are write-offs. We’ve got a weak, short-period windswell from the WNW, but it’s all cross-onshore wind and chop. Sizes are tiny, around 3 ft to 4 ft, and the combined wave energy is pathetic, barely registering in the 40s and 90s. Not worth the wet suit.

The only period that might get your heart beating a little is Monday morning, July 27th. A new NNW swell pushes through, with a 10-second period and a solid 5 ft of size. The combined energy jumps to 401 (moderate energy), which is the best we’ll see all outlook. The wind is a light cross-onshore from the NNE at only 3 mph, so it’ll be clean with just small wind ripples. Monday morning is the standout here – not a world-class day, but in this bleak outlook, it’s the one to aim for. The afternoon though, the wind swings to the ENE at 12 mph and ruins it.

The rest of the week is a mix of small, weak, and cross-shore or cross-onshore winds. Tuesday the 28th has some energy (264 and 206), but the wind is fiddly. Wednesday and Thursday drop off into the 2 ft to 2 ft range with pitiful energy. Friday the 31st and Saturday August 1st go glassy, but the swell is barely a ripple – 1 ft and 0.7 ft. It’s flat.

We get a tiny bump on Sunday August 2nd, with a 4 ft to 4 ft NNW swell, but it’s short period (7-8 seconds) and onshore, so it’ll be a messy, drifty mess. The combined energy is moderate (142-163), but the quality is poor.

Another small window appears on Monday August 3rd morning. Glassy conditions with a 3 ft NNW swell, period 7 seconds. The energy is low, but the glassy wind makes it surfable in a very ordinary way. The rest of that week is a snooze-fest of tiny, weak waves and poor conditions.

The very end of the outlook, Saturday August 9th, shows a pulse of 7 ft from the NW, which is only for the experts. The combined energy hits 521 (strong to very strong), but the wind is a cross-onshore 9 mph breeze and it’s labelled as rain showers. At that size, with the wind, this setup is looking more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, the honest truth: the best surf on offer is Monday morning, July 27th at San Vicente Rivermouth, with a 5 ft NNW swell, 10-second period, and light, near-offshore wind. It’s a short window, but it’s the only real standout. After that, keep an eye on Monday August 3rd morning for a glassy session on tiny waves. Otherwise, it’s a long wait.

Rusty.

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