Saint Annes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s cut to the chase. I’ve looked at the charts for the next couple of weeks, and it’s a bleak one. We’ve got a long, flat, and messy run ahead of us.

Looking at the whole 16-day window, there are no good surf options on the table. This is one of those periods where you’d be better off waxing your dinner plates. The few times there’s any pulse of energy, the wind and conditions just chop it all to bits. We’re looking at a solid stretch of poor surf.

For Saint Annes (Jersey), the first real chance of anything rideable is on the morning of the 10th. The swell is tiny, at 3ft from the SSW, with a period of 17 seconds. That long-period groundswell has some potential, but it’s only pushing in a moderate energy reading. The water temp is about 63°, which is normal for the time of year. However, a cross-shore WNW breeze at 10 mph will have it looking a bit lumpy, and the call is marginal. It’s not worth the drive.

The rest of the first week is a blur of cross-shore winds and junky, short-period windswell. Saturday the 12th sees the swell push to head-high, but it’s a weak 7-second period and cross-onshore winds are going to make it a complete mess. That’s not surfing, that’s just getting beat up.

There’s a small spike in energy around Sunday the 13th with a 5ft swell, but again, the period is a meager 8 seconds and the wind is on it. By the afternoon, the swell jumps to 8ft with strong energy, but it’s from the WNW with a fresh cross-shore breeze – a recipe for a blown-out, lumpy, unsurfable crater. It’s more of a washing machine than a wave.

The following week continues the trend. There’s some slightly cleaner potential on the morning of the 15th with a light offshore SW wind, but the swell is still just around 4ft with a 9-second period. It might be the least bad option, but it’s still sitting in marginal territory.

As we get further out, the story doesn't change. There’s a pulse of long-period swell—16 to 19 seconds—on the 18th and 19th, but the height is mostly under 3ft, and the energy is weak. Then, on the 18th afternoon and the 19th, we see some bigger swell again (up to 8ft), but these are short-period, wind-driven swells with poor winds. Those waves will be closing out and messy, with a lot of whitewater. Not for the faint of heart, and honestly, not for anyone.

For the rest of the window, from the 20th through the 25th, it settles back into a pattern of small, weak swell around the 3ft mark, with light but mostly cross-onshore winds. It’s all very lackluster and poor. If you look hard, you might catch a dribble on a high tide, but it’s not something I’d recommend planning your day around.

The only real takeaway from this whole forecast is that if I had to pick one, the late morning of the 24th with a light, 3 mph onshore wind and some clouds could be the most glassy, but the swell is just way too small to make it worthwhile.

I know it’s not what you want to hear. But sometimes the ocean just says no. It’s a blank run, and it’s pretty normal for this area when it gets like this. Forecasts can change, and there’s a lot of water moving out there, so hang in there. This will pass.

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