Saint Annes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here.

Honestly, looking at the next couple of weeks, it’s a bit of a bleak stretch for a proper paddle. We’ve got a long run of poor surf ahead, and the conditions are going to keep things messy. But don’t write it off completely, because there’s a glimmer right at the end of the forecast window that could make it all worthwhile.

The next week and a half are looking pretty flat and blown out. Through the 9th and 10th, the swell is tiny, just knee-high slop at 2ft to 2ft, with the energy pretty weak (279-406). The wind is all over the place, cross-shore and choppy. It’s not going to be any fun on the Malibu. The swell does pick up a bit from the 12th onwards, but it’s short-period wind swell (7-8 seconds) and the wind gets stronger, with the 13th and 14th seeing some 8ft close-outs under a fresh cross-shore breeze (828-940). That’s not surf for a normal human—that’s just a washing machine, and with that size and short period, it’s strictly for the experienced crew, if anyone even gets out. For the most part, this period is a write-off. If you’ve got a kite, the 13th and 14th afternoons with that 15-20 mph cross-shore and 8ft of lumpy swell might be your jam, but it’s not for the paddle crew.

We’ve got a bit of a gap there with nothing on offer at all until we get to the morning of the 22nd. That’s the standout of the whole window, the day to circle on the calendar. It’s still a week and a half away, so treat it as promising rather than locked in, but the models are showing a proper pulse. Saint Annes is the spot. The morning of the 22nd sees the swell jump up to 6ft from the NW with a longer 8-second period, and the energy is strong (1103). The wind swings to a light cross-offshore breeze, which is going to clean it right up. This is the real deal—a proper, clean, head-high plus day on the reef at Saint Annes. The direction is good, there's some proper energy in the water, and that light wind will be making it glassy. Just keep in mind the swell direction is a little off the optimum, and with a longer period swell on a reef, it might be a bit more lined up. Paddling out should be easier with those longer lulls, but the crowd factor is something to be aware of. After that morning session, the wind picks up hard out of the NW in the afternoon, so make the most of the clean window. The following morning on the 23rd also looks decent, with a 4ft swell and similar clean cross-offshore wind, but the energy is a bit weaker (597). Still, a solid option for a repeat.

As for the water, it’s about average for this time of year, so a steamer is still your best mate.

So, sit tight through the slop, and get ready for that Tuesday the 22nd. That’s the one.

Rusty.

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