Rivermouth_Wailuku Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with you – we’re looking at a pretty ordinary stretch ahead. The only break on the radar is Rivermouth_Wailuku, a reef set-up that’s *fairly consistent*, but the conditions are just not playing ball. Over the next 16 days, there’s not a single moment where I’d say “get the board and go.” The whole period is a write-off for decent surf.

Starting Wednesday 15 July, we’ve got some clouds and rain showers, with a cross-onshore wind at 9 mph. The swell is a weak 3 ft from the ENE, with a short period of 7 seconds, and the combined energy is a low 108 (weak). It’s poor surf – choppy and messy. That sets the tone.

Through Thursday 16 and Friday 17 July, the wind picks up a bit to 12 mph, still cross-onshore, and the swell hangs around 3 ft to 4 ft, with period still a short 6 to 7 seconds. Energy builds a little to 134 and 226, but it’s still in the weak to moderate range. The water is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual. The break is *often* crowded, but honestly, with these conditions, even the crowds won’t be stoked.

Saturday 18 July stays clear, but the wind is moderate cross-onshore at 12 mph, and the swell is 4 ft to 5 ft, period at 8 seconds. Combined energy hits 318 (moderate), but the quality is still described as “poor surf conditions.” It’s a beach-and-reef setup, and with the cross-onshore breeze, it’s looking more like a kite-surfing session than a paddle one.

The pattern continues right through to the end of July. Each day brings a cross-onshore wind (mostly ENE at 9 to 12 mph), with swell heights between 3 ft and 5 ft, and periods mostly stuck at 6 to 8 seconds – short-period windswell. The combined energy ranges from 139 to 516, but it’s never enough to overcome the chop. Even on Monday 27 July, when the period jumps to 14 seconds (a long-period groundswell), the energy spikes to 516, but the wind is still cross-onshore at 12 mph, and the swell height is only 3 ft – that long period will just make the sets more spaced out and the break too straight for a beach setup. Not ideal.

By Tuesday 28 July, we see a 13-second period swell at 4 ft, with energy at 615 (strong), but the wind is still cross-onshore at 12 mph, reinforcing the poor surf call. The optimum swell direction for this reef is NNE, but we’re getting ENE and E swells – not matching up, which is a killer.

There is no standout period. No day where the wind turns offshore, no glassy morning, no clean lines. The entire 16-day window is a bust. Occasionally, when a break is *fairly consistent* like this one, you can hope for a change, but here it’s just a blank run of poor conditions. The forecast confidence is high for the near term, and it’s not looking good. For the second week, the same story holds – small, short-period, cross-onshore junk.

Sorry, mates. Keep the boards in the shed. This one’s a dud.

Rusty

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