Pea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve had a good look at what’s coming our way for Pea Break. This is a reef setup, exposed to the southwest, and right off the bat, the water temp is sitting at 64° with a negligible anomaly – so pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off, honestly. We’ve got a solid 8ft to 12ft southwest swell rolling in, but the wind is a mess. Tuesday morning the 1st has 9 mph cross-shore winds, so it’s already a little choppy, and it only gets worse. Wednesday the 2nd morning is a no-go with 19 mph cross-onshore winds and lumpy conditions. Wednesday afternoon cleans up a bit with a cross-off shore breeze, but the swell is still messy and it’s only a marginal call. Thursday the 3rd is a wipeout – strong onshore winds and a 25 mph blast in the afternoon. Friday the 4th morning is a bit better, with a 16ft southwest swell and clean conditions, but the wind is still fresh. Friday afternoon is where things start to look interesting: a 16ft WSW swell with a 16-second period (groundswell, that’s long period) and a gentle cross-shore breeze. The combined energy is massive at 11896 (strong energy), but it’s still a marginal call due to tide. That big period and size will make it a powerful, clean wave for experienced surfers, but it’s too big for beginners.

The weekend, the 5th and 6th, is a no-go – strong winds and messy conditions. Saturday the 5th has a 20ft swell but 37 mph winds, so that’s just dangerous. Sunday the 6th is a bit cleaner but still cross-shore chop.

Now, here’s where it gets good. Monday the 7th looks promising: a 15ft to 16ft SW swell with a very long 16-18 second period, and light winds, just a little cross-onshore ripple. The energy is off the charts, hitting 15499 (very strong). That’s a big, powerful groundswell – perfect for a reef like this, but it’ll be a heavy paddle out. Tuesday the 8th is the real standout. Morning glassy conditions with a 12ft WSW swell and 15-second period, and the wind is dead calm from the east at 3 mph. The clarity is excellent, and the water will be clean. Afternoon cleans up nicely as well. That’s your best window for a solid, clean session.

The second week gets a bit patchy. Wednesday the 9th has a 7ft swell but moderate cross-shore winds, so it’s not great. Thursday the 10th is blown out. Friday the 11th has a 13ft swell with clean cross-off winds, but the wind is strong, making it a marginal call. The 12th and 13th are smaller, but the 13th morning is glassy with a 7ft swell – a nice, clean, smaller day for those who want to avoid the big stuff. The 14th picks up again with a 10ft SW groundswell and clean afternoon conditions.

But the real standout in the second week is Tuesday the 15th. Morning brings a 15ft SSW swell with a 15-second period and a gentle 9 mph cross-off breeze from the east-northeast. The combined energy is a massive 14642 (very strong). That’s exceptional, expert-level surf. The swell direction is a bit south of the optimum, but it’s still a powerful, clean wave. Afternoon holds up with a 12ft swell and clean conditions. This is a serious swell for experienced surfers only.

Wednesday the 16th tails off with a smaller 7ft swell and lumpy cross-shore winds.

So, if you’re looking for the best of the bunch, I’d say Tuesday the 8th morning is your golden window – glassy, clean, and a solid 12ft groundswell. Tuesday the 15th is also a cracker, but it’s a long way out and a bit more uncertain, so keep an eye on that one. The big swell on the 4th afternoon is also worth a mention, but it’s a bit of a gamble with the tide.

Rusty, signing off.

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