Pea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's talk about what's coming up over the next couple of weeks at Pea Break.

First off, the water's sitting at about 65°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, but you'll notice it’s a little more comfortable than usual.

Right now, there’s a bit of a wait before it gets good. Wednesday the 2nd is a write-off. We’ve got a lumpy 12 ft SW swell but that 19 mph cross wind is just killing it. By Wednesday afternoon the wind drops a bit, but the quality is still marginal. Thursday the 3rd is completely blown out with onshore winds, so don’t even bother.

Friday the 4th is where things start to look interesting. The morning is still pretty average with that cross wind, but the afternoon is the first real highlight of the outlook. The swell is a solid 16 ft from the WSW with a moderate combined wave energy of 11909 – that's serious power. The wind drops to a gentle 9 mph cross breeze, which will clean it up a little, but honestly, 16 ft at Pea Break is big. This is advanced territory, and you need to know what you're doing out there.

Saturday and Sunday are a mixed bag with strong winds and rain, but keep an eye on Sunday afternoon the 6th. That 12 ft swell from the WSW has a period of 17 seconds – that's a proper long-period groundswell – and combined energy of 9880. The wind is a light cross-offshore breeze. Pea Break is a reef, so that long period will wrap in nicely, offering some really well-shaped waves. It's still on the bigger side, but the quality is there.

Monday the 7th morning is another standout. Glassy conditions with a light 6 mph S breeze and a 12 ft SW swell (16-second period, 7034 energy). It’s described as exceptional for expert surfers, and I’d agree. That’s a clean, powerful wave. Tuesday the 8th morning is similar, with a light 6 mph ESE breeze and a 13 ft WSW swell (16-second period, 7726 energy). The crowd situation at Pea Break can get busy *sometimes*, so for these clean, high-quality windows, expect company.

We hit a bit of a lull from Wednesday the 9th through to Sunday the 13th. The swell drops and the winds aren’t cooperating. There are a few mornings with decent period, like Friday the 11th, but the wind is too strong. Saturday the 12th morning has a light 3 mph wind and a 12 ft WSW swell (15-second period, 5376 energy), which is clean, but it's not firing like the earlier days.

Now, around Tuesday the 15th, things get wild. We’re looking at a massive 25 ft to 26 ft WSW swell with combined energy readings over 26000. That is *huge* energy. The files say it’s too big for this break, and I have to agree. This is only for the most seasoned charger, and even then, it’s extreme. Wednesday the 16th is still massive, in the 20 ft range.

The absolute best of the whole outlook, and it's a long way out, is Thursday the 17th. This is the one to circle on your calendar. The morning session has glassy conditions – zero wind, a 13 ft WSW swell with a 17-second period, and combined energy of 11129. This has all the ingredients for an absolutely epic day at Pea Break: clean, long-period, powerful groundswell. It’s a promising long-range call, but with conditions that perfect, it’s a dream scenario.

So, to sum it up: the best bets are Friday the 4th afternoon, Sunday the 6th afternoon, Monday the 7th morning, and Tuesday the 8th morning. The absolute standout, if the forecast holds, is the morning of Thursday the 17th.

Rusty.

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