Pea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a mixed bag coming up at Pea Break over the next couple of weeks—some solid, heavy groundswell runs, but the wind is going to be the main character for much of it. Water temp is sitting at 64°F, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

The first decent window kicks off on Tuesday morning, September 15. Pea Break is a reef setup, more for the experienced crew, and we’ll see a solid 10ft SW groundswell with a long 14-second period. The combined energy is pumping hard at 3665 (moderate to strong). The cross-off wind from the east at 9 mph will keep the surface clean, so it’s worth a look for the advanced surfers. Tuesday afternoon stays clean with similar size and direction, just a slight shift to a light southerly breeze.

Wednesday, September 16, starts a bit ugly. The northeast wind picks up to 16 mph and goes cross, chopping up the 7ft SW swell—that’s a pass for me. But by Wednesday afternoon, the wind drops right off to a light 3 mph cross-off from the east-northeast, and the swell settles to 5ft. That combo will produce some very good, clean waves for the late session.

Thursday, September 17, and Friday, September 18, are absolute write-offs. Onshore winds, rain, and lumpy conditions with poor surf. The swell gets big again on Friday afternoon at 8ft from the WSW but it’s blown out, so no good. That nasty wind pattern holds through Saturday, September 19, with strong cross-onshore winds and big, messy 12ft WSW swell. Not surfable.

Now, Sunday, September 20, is a standout. Early morning delivers glassy conditions (zero wind) and a clean 7ft SW groundswell (12-second period, moderate combined energy of 1412). That is one of the best windows of the whole outlook—clean, lined-up, and for experienced surfers. It’s a real breath of fresh air after the week’s blowout. Crowds can pop up here sometimes, so keep that in mind.

Monday, September 21, and Tuesday, September 22, see the swell back up to 8ft to 10ft, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, so it’s messy and marginal. Not worth paddling out unless you’re desperate. The pattern stays poor through Wednesday, September 23, with stronger onshore winds and lumpy conditions.

Then we get a major pulse. Thursday morning, September 24, shows a big 12ft SW swell with a 16-second period, cross-off wind from the south-southwest at 19 mph, and combined energy surging to 5959 (strong). The morning is clean, but it’s pushing big. Thursday afternoon, the swell jumps to 18ft from the SW with an 18-second period—rocket energy at 20539 (very strong). The wind is clean cross-off, but that’s too much size for this break unless you’re an absolute charger; the data says it’s too big.

Friday, September 25, is the biggest of the run. Morning is glassy with a massive 20ft SW swell (18-second period, combined energy 23950—very strong). Again, too big for Pea Break. But Friday afternoon is a true standout: 18ft SW swell, 17-second period, combined energy 17241, with a clean cross-off breeze. That’s exceptional for expert surfers only. The wave quality, size, and wind are all firing on all cylinders.

Saturday, September 26, the swell drops to 12ft, but the wind goes cross and messy, so it’s marginal. Sunday, September 27, afternoon shapes up better with a light cross breeze and an 12ft SW swell, but the morning is cross-onshore and choppy. Monday, September 28, stays cross-onshore and poor, despite solid swell. Tuesday, September 29, looks marginal with cross-off wind and dropping swell.

Into the final days of the outlook, Wednesday, September 30, we finally get a clean offshore wind (SE at 16 mph) and a small 3ft SW swell, but it’s pretty weak. For the most part, the best shot is Sunday morning September 20, and for the big-wave crew, Friday afternoon September 25. The rest is either blown out or too big.

Rusty.

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