Pea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the forecast for our little patch.

Alright, listen up. We've got a bit of a mixed bag coming our way. It's gonna be a real test of patience, but there are a couple of windows where this place will absolutely sing. The water’s sitting at 66°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real chance to get wet is Tuesday afternoon, July 14th. Pea Break is seeing a solid 10-foot swell from the southwest, with a long 14-second period, giving it some serious grunt (combined energy of 3326). The wind is a light cross-shore from the northeast, so it'll be a little bumpy but not terrible. The real issue is the tide; it's a bit of a gamble, so you'll need to pick your session.

Wednesday the 15th is a write-off. Strong onshore winds will make a mess of the 7-foot to 8-foot swell. Don't even bother.

Now, Thursday the 16th is where it gets interesting. The morning sees a 10-foot swell from the west-southwest with a light cross-offshore breeze from the south-southwest. The wave energy is pumping (4309), and the wind is keeping things clean. The afternoon is even better: the wind drops to a light breeze, making it glassy. This is one of the best windows in the whole forecast for experienced surfers. The 10-foot swell will be powerful and clean.

Friday the 17th is a mess again with onshore wind, and Saturday the 18th is a massive no-go. We're talking an 18-foot swell on Saturday morning with a fresh cross-onshore wind from the west. That's huge, lumpy, and dangerous. The combined energy is a massive 10187, but it's just unsurfable. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for the kite surfers than paddle surfers.

The rest of that week and into the next is a frustrating mix of strong winds and junky conditions. There's a lot of swell, between 8 feet and 12 feet, but the wind is always either cross, cross-on, or onshore, leaving it chopped up and lumpy. You'll see it, you'll want it, but the wind will ruin it.

The real standout, and the one to circle on your calendar, is Wednesday, July 22nd. The morning session is an absolute gem. We've got a 10-foot southwest swell, a long 14-second period, and a light offshore breeze from the east-southeast. The wave energy is strong (3511) and the conditions will be clean and perfect for experienced surfers. This is the best day of the entire outlook.

The rest of that week is a bit of a letdown, with the wind turning onshore again. Then, on the 27th, we get a nice little surprise. Monday morning and afternoon both see a small, clean, long-period swell. It's only 3 feet, but it's from the southwest with a 17 to 18-second period and a gentle offshore breeze from the south-southeast. This will be a long, slow, fun day for logs and fish.

Finally, the long-range stuff on the 29th looks promising but is less certain. Wednesday the 29th has a big 13-foot west swell with a 12-second period (8415 energy) in the morning. The wind is a gentle cross-shore, so it might be workable, but keep an eye on it. The afternoon drops to 8 feet but with a very long 18-second period, which could be magic at this reef if the light cross-onshore wind doesn't mess it up.

So, to sum it up: the clear winner is the morning of Wednesday, July 22nd. That's as good as it gets. Thursday the 16th afternoon is a close second.

Rusty.

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