Pea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ out there at Pea Break. This is a solid reef set-up that’s gotta be treated with respect—advanced only, and it doesn’t break all that often, so when it does, you pay attention. The water temp is sittin’ right around 65°, so pretty much dead average for this time of year down here—no surprises.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but don’t let that fool you. Monday morning the 14th kicks things off with a chunky 12 ft swell out of the WSW, period a nice long 14 seconds, and the wind is off from the ESE. That means clean, lined-up waves. But this is big—over 8 ft—so only for the experienced crew. The combined energy is massive at 4686, so there’s plenty of grunt in the water. Monday afternoon keeps that same energy, just a touch bigger at 4998 combined energy, still offshore from the SSE.

Tuesday the 15th drops a little to 10 ft, still a solid WSW groundswell at 14 seconds. Morning wind is cross-off from the east, still clean enough. Afternoon goes clear with a light southerly cross-off—real nice, but still only for the experts.

Wednesday the 16th is where things get interesting. Swell backs off to 7 ft in the morning, period 13 seconds, clean from the NE cross-off. But Wednesday afternoon—that’s the standout for the first week. Glassy conditions, wind from NNE at just 3 mph, and a 5 ft SW swell at 13 seconds. That’s the combo you dream about. Combined energy around 1100, so not overwhelming, but the glassy surface will have those reef lines lookin’ like mirrors. For the advanced surfer who knows the take-off zones, this is your session.

After that, Thursday the 17th turns nasty—onshore NNW winds, 5 ft but messy, poor conditions. Friday the 18th has a 5 ft swell but with rain and fresh cross-shore winds, lumpy as. Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th are both blown out with cross-on winds, even though there’s plenty of SW swell—10 ft—it’s just not clean.

We’ve got a real rough patch from the 21st through the 24th. Westerly cross-onshore winds, rain showers, lumpy 10 ft swells, and combined energy in the 3000–4000 range. Not for paddling. That kind of wind and size on a reef break like this is more of a kite-surfing proposition than a surfing one.

But hold on—Friday the 25th is the big one. Morning starts glassy, no wind, with a 13 ft SW swell at 15 seconds. That’s 14821 combined energy—serious power. Then Friday afternoon goes off: 18 ft SW groundswell, 19-second period, offshore cross-off from the SSW at 12 mph. That’s 21445 combined energy. This is truly exceptional, but we’re talkin’ big-wave territory. Expert only, and you’d want to know every rock and rip. Saturday the 26th is still pumping with a 15 ft SW swell in the morning, ESE offshore at 16 mph—clean but huge, 11926 combined energy. Afternoon drops to 13 ft, still tidy.

Sunday the 27th sees a drop to 8 ft, still a 15-second period, but the wind goes fresh cross-off from the ESE. Clean, but the energy drops to around 2885. It’s a comedown but still rideable for the experienced. Monday the 28th and Tuesday the 29th have 10–12 ft SW swells, but winds start swinging cross-on or cross, dropping the quality.

The real standout from the whole outlook is Wednesday afternoon the 16th for pure glassy perfection, and then Friday the 25th for the big-swell connoisseurs. That Friday is the one you circle on the calendar—long-range, so keep an eye on it, but if it holds, you’ll be telling stories.

Rusty.

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