Pea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got some solid pulses of swell, but we’ll have to work for the clean ones. The biggest issue is that a lot of the decent size comes with cross-shore or onshore winds, which will mess things up. But there are a few windows where it all lines up, and that’s where we need to be.

The first real call is Wednesday morning, August 26th. It’s not perfect, but it’s the start of the run. We’re looking at a solid 15ft of WSW swell with an 18-second period, which is a proper groundswell. The wind is a cross-off from the SSW at 16 mph, so it’ll be a bit textured but still rideable. The combined energy is strong, hitting 13576. It’s an advanced wave for sure, this size and power will be pushing hard on the reef. Water temp is 65°F, which is about normal for this time of year. The wind will be up, but it’s the best we’ve got right now.

Thursday, August 27th, the swell backs down a touch to 13ft, but the period drops to 15 seconds. The morning is cross-off again, but the afternoon clears up with a proper offshore from the SSE at 19 mph. That will clean it right up, but it’s going to be a powerful 12ft by then. The energy is still moderate at 6691 for the morning, but it drops to 5020 by the afternoon. It’s still good, but not as strong as Wednesday.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. Friday the 28th, the swell drops fast to 7ft and the energy falls off a cliff to 1357. It’s offshore, but it’s small and weak. Saturday the 29th is a bit bigger again in the afternoon, 10ft with a 17-second period, and the energy picks up to 4589, but the wind goes cross-off from the East. It’s okay, but nothing special. Sunday the 30th is a write-off with onshore winds.

Monday the 31st has some fun-looking waves in the afternoon with 10ft and a 16-second period, but the wind is cross. It’s not clean, but it’s not terrible. Then we get a nice surprise on Tuesday morning, September 1st. The forecast is for excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers. It’s 8ft of WSW swell with a 15-second period, and the wind is a gentle offshore from the SE. The energy is moderate at 3204. This is a much cleaner option than the bigger, wind-affected days. This would be a good pick for the week.

The middle of the week falls apart. Wednesday the 2nd is poor with onshore winds and lumpy conditions. Thursday the 3rd is cross-shore and choppy. Not worth your time.

But then, hold onto your board. The real standout is Friday morning, September 4th. The swell jumps back up to 15ft from the SW with a 15-second period, and the combined energy is massive – 14867. That’s strong to very strong energy. The wind is a moderate cross-shore, which is a bit of a letdown, but the size and power are there. It’s going to be a heavy, powerful wave. This is for experts only.

The following week starts to show some promise, but it’s further out so we’re less certain. Saturday and Sunday the 5th and 6th are small and cross-shore. Then, the big one to watch is Monday morning, September 7th. The forecast is for exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers. We’re looking at 12ft of SW swell with a 17-second period, and the wind is a light offshore from the SE. The energy is strong at 7961. This is the one. Clean, powerful, and lined up. That’s a proper stand-out.

After that, there’s some more size on Tuesday the 8th, but the wind is onshore and choppy. Then Wednesday the 9th sees another big pulse, with 18ft in the morning and a strong 10774 energy, but it’s rainy and cross-off. The afternoon cleans up a bit, with 16ft and 11946 energy, and a gentler cross-off. It’s big and powerful, but the conditions will be challenging. The period drops to 14 seconds, so it’s less organized than the Monday swell. The 10th is still big, but the energy fades.

So, if I’m calling it, the two true standouts are Tuesday morning, September 1st for a clean, manageable session, and Monday morning, September 7th for the big, clean, expert-level groundswell. The Friday the 4th has the size, but the wind will make it a battle. The early part of the run, Wednesday the 26th, is worth a look if you’re keen and experienced, but it’s not as clean as the others.

Keep an eye on that second week – it’s got potential, but it’s a long way out. Things could change.

Rusty.

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