Pea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, it’s Rusty here. Let’s break down what we’ve got for Pea Break over the next couple weeks.

Right off the bat, we’re into a bit of a rough patch. Saturday afternoon the 15th kicks off with an 8ft WSW swell, but it’s coming in under a cross-on light breeze and the quality is marginal at best. The water’s sitting at 66°, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year. Combined swell energy is moderate (2029). For an advanced reef break like Pea Break, this is not the time to get excited.

The next couple of days, Sunday 16th through to Monday afternoon the 17th, are just plain ugly. Fresh to strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy, messy conditions with big, crumbly swell. A 16ft wave on Monday afternoon with a strong cross-shore is a write-off. Forget about it.

Tuesday morning the 18th is the first real glimmer of hope. The swell drops a touch to 15ft from the WSW, period bumps up to 16 seconds – that’s a solid groundswell. The wind flips offshore (WNW) with a gentle breeze. Combined energy is very strong (9212). It’s big, over 8ft, so this is strictly for experts only. The tide and conditions are marginal, so pick your time.

Wednesday 19th is mixed – morning is a washout, but Wednesday afternoon cleans up slightly with a gentle cross-shore and a 15ft WSW swell, still with that long 15-second period. It’s marginal but workable for the brave.

Now, Thursday 20th through Friday 21st sees the swell settle a bit. Thursday is cross-shore and choppy, not great. But look at Friday afternoon the 21st – that’s something special. A 13ft SW swell with a 14-second period, combined energy at a very strong 5842, and the wind goes glassy (ENE 3 mph). The forecast calls for excellent conditions for experienced surfers. This is the standout for the first week. Pea Break will be absolutely clean, powerful, and lined up. Expect crowds – it’s a spot that can get busy when it’s good.

Saturday 22nd and Sunday 23rd continue the mellowing trend. Saturday afternoon is glassy with an 8ft SW swell – excellent surf. Sunday stays clean with 7ft to 8ft SW swell and glassy to light offshore winds. This is a beautiful run for strong intermediate to advanced surfers.

Then we hit a real gap. From Monday 24th through to Wednesday 26th, it’s blown out. Strong winds, messy seas, poor conditions across the board. No go.

Thursday 27th is marginal at best with onshore winds and a dropping swell.

The last hope in the period is Sunday the 30th. Saturday the 29th is not great, but Sunday morning the 30th has a 13ft WSW swell with a 16-second period, combined energy very strong (7758), and the wind is cross-off (SSW 12 mph), keeping things clean for the experts. Sunday afternoon is still big but with a moderate cross-shore, marginal but worth a look for the diehards. That’s the only real long-range bright spot, though it’s a way off – make of it what you will.

So, to sum it up: the best on offer is Friday afternoon the 21st with glassy conditions on a solid SW groundswell. After that, the weekend of the 22nd and 23rd is your next best bet for cleaner, smaller surf. The rest is either too big and windy, or just a waiting game.

Rusty.

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