Pea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get this out there. First up, the outlook for Pea Break (Southwest) for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a proper run of surf on the cards, but it’s gonna take some patience and a good eye to pick the right windows. The start of the period is a total mess – there’s plenty of energy in the water, but a lot of it is just angry, blown-out slop. We’re looking at a real mixed bag.

The Early Grind (Sunday 16th through to Tuesday 18th)

The next few days are a write-off. Sunday is big, with 10ft of WSW swell, but the wind is howling cross-on at 22 mph, making it lumpy and basically unsurfable. The energy is moderate to strong (3605), but it’s just not happening. Monday looks even worse, with the swell jumping to 12ft and then 16ft, and the wind going near gale-force. This is a full-on blown-out session, not a surf. Tuesday morning cleans up slightly, with a big 15ft groundswell (period 16 seconds) and lighter cross-on winds. It still has that fair-weather chop, but it’s the first day that’s not entirely hopeless. The energy is strong (9072), but it’s a lot of water moving. This is still a case of “look, don’t touch” unless you’re seriously keen on a battle.

The Mid-Week Hope (Wednesday 19th to Friday 21st)

Things start to get more interesting around Wednesday afternoon. The swell holds at 15ft, but the wind swings to a light cross-off. That’s the first real sign of life, and the surf report calls it “clean”. It’s still big – over 8ft, so this is expert territory. By Thursday, the swell eases slightly to 12ft-13ft, still with that solid 16-second period. The morning is crossed up, but the afternoon cleans right up with a cross-off breeze. This is where it starts to feel more like a surf.

The Standout Window (Friday 21st)

Alright, this is the one. Friday afternoon is the standout of the week. The swell is a solid 15ft from the SW, and the period is a long 17 seconds – proper groundswell. But the kicker is the wind. It’s forecast to go totally glassy in the afternoon. Combine that with the strong wave energy (10302) and you’ve got a recipe for something special. This is a serious, heavy, expert-only reef break, and with it being glassy, it’s going to be as good as it gets. It’s also fairly consistent, but you can expect a crowd for this one.

The Drop-Off (Saturday 22nd to Monday 24th)

After Friday’s fireworks, the swell backs right off over the weekend. We drop to 8ft, which is a lot more manageable. Saturday is just okay – light winds, but a bit of cross-chop. Sunday looks cleaner with a cross-off breeze and 8ft of SW swell. It’s a fun size, but not the same quality as Friday. Monday, however, is another blow-out. The wind is strong again and cross-shore, leaving the surf a mess, even at a smaller 6ft.

The Second Week (Tuesday 25th onwards)

The second week starts rough. Tuesday is all blown out, with near gale-force winds and messy conditions. Not worth it.

The next potential highlight is Wednesday 26th. The swell jumps back up to a big 15ft from the WSW, with strong energy (11283). But the wind is a fresh cross-shore breeze, which is going to add a lot of chop. It’s a powerful, lumpy day, maybe a score for the experts if the tide lines up, but it’s not going to be clean.

Thursday 27th eases a bit to 12ft with a cleaner cross-off wind. It’s a better option, but the energy is less. Then, we get another hopeful window in the forecast. The final Friday and Saturday, the 28th and 29th, look promising. We see 8ft to 10ft of SW groundswell, and mornings have light offshore winds, with the afternoons going cross-off. The combination of a clean ocean and solid swell makes this look like a great, and much more user-friendly, period. It’s a long way out, so treat it as a promising idea rather than a guaranteed session.

Overall, the big standout is Friday afternoon. The glassy conditions on top of a long-period, 15ft SW groundswell at this spot will be magic. The other window around the 28th and 29th also looks good, but it’s less certain. For everything else, keep your expectations low and pick your moments.

Rusty

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