Pea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at what’s on the cards over the next couple of weeks.

Alright, listen up. The next 16 days are a bit of a mixed bag for us here. We’ve got some serious size coming in from the southwest, but the wind is going to be the deciding factor on whether it’s a classic session or an absolute washout. The water temp is sitting at a mild 66°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for the time of year.

Our main focus has got to be Pea Break. It’s a reef setup that only really works for the advanced crew, so if you’re not confident in big, powerful surf, this isn’t your spot.

The action starts this Saturday afternoon, July 11. We’ve got a solid 10ft SW groundswell rolling in, with a 13-second period giving it plenty of punch. The wind is a light cross-offshore, setting it up clean. The wave energy is chunky (3208), a fair bit of grunt behind it. This is your first proper window, and it looks good for those who can handle it.

Sunday, July 12, the swell builds. Morning sees 10ft SW, but the comments hint at some tide issues, and the energy is up (4762). The real standout is Sunday afternoon. We’re looking at a bigger 12ft SW groundswell with a very long 17-second period. The energy is massive at 8192. Winds are still light and cross-off. This is a top-tier opportunity for experienced surfers, but that long period means the sets will be far apart and the lines will be long and racy. It’ll be a dream on this reef if you’re dialled in.

Monday, July 13, keeps the 12ft SW swell running with a 16-second period (6285 energy). Morning winds are light and cross-off, keeping things clean. The afternoon gets a bit messy with a light cross-shore wind, so hit it early.

Tuesday, July 14, is still a solid 10ft SW with that long period. Morning winds are a light cross-off from the NE. The water is clean. A very good option for a mid-week session.

Then things turn ugly. From Wednesday, July 15, through Saturday, July 18, a big nor'west wind event kicks in. Wednesday brings a howling 35 km/h cross-on wind for a messy 8ft swell. It gets worse with 40 km/h onshore winds and rain Thursday and Friday. Saturday, July 18, sees a massive 16ft SW swell hit, but it’s being thrashed by 45 km/h cross-winds. The energy numbers are off the charts (16068), but for paddle surfing, it’s a complete write-off. This stretch looks more interesting for the kite crew than anyone else.

We get a beautiful reprieve on Sunday, July 19. The wind goes glassy, completely dead. That 12ft SW groundswell from the last few days is still showing, but with a crystal-clean surface and zero wind. This will be a stunning, clean session for the experienced surfers. The wave energy is solid at 5092. This is your real standout for the cleaner conditions in the second week.

Monday, July 20, is a mixed day. Morning is a bit weaker and shorter-period (7ft, 10 seconds), but Monday afternoon, the wind goes dead glassy again, and we have a 10ft SW swell. An excellent late-afternoon glass-off.

From Tuesday, July 21, onwards, the wind turns onshore again from the north-west. The swell stays big – 10ft to 13ft – but the conditions are marginal with onshore and cross-onshore winds. The period stays long (14-17s), but the surface will be choppy. Thursday, July 23, sees a very solid 13ft SW (9736 energy) but with a 15 km/h cross-on wind. It’s a lot of power but not clean.

The final weekend, July 25-26, looks to clean up again. Saturday is cross-shore and messy, but Sunday, July 26, brings back that light cross-off wind from the south. We have a 10ft to 12ft SW swell with a 14 to 16-second period. The wave energy is thumping (6687). It’s a fitting end to the period, offering up a final window of quality waves for the experts.

So, to cut the rope: Saturday the 11th afternoon, Sunday the 12th afternoon, and that glassy Sunday the 19th are your absolute best bets. The 19th is the purest of the lot if you can wait.

- Rusty

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