Pea Break Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s cooking for Pea Break over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag. The first few days are a bit of a write-off, but if you’re patient, there’s some serious groundswell heading our way. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is just about average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the 5/4 just yet.

The week kicks off on Thursday morning, the 23rd, with a solid 8 ft SW swell running at a very long 14 seconds. But the wind is a cross-shore from the NE at 12 mph, which is putting a chop on it. The energy is massive – 2432 – but the conditions are just marginal. The real gem on Thursday is the afternoon. The wind drops to a glassy 3 mph from the north, and the swell drops to a still significant 8 ft. That’s clean, glassy, and powerful. For the experienced surfer, that’s your window.

Friday, the 24th, is a letdown. The swell drops to 5 ft and the wind is off, but it’s a cross-shore breeze that’s just not cleaning it up. The energy is moderate (872) but the conditions are marginal. Saturday the 25th is a complete write-off – onshore winds and choppy, messy surf. Scores are zero across the board.

Sunday the 26th sees a jump in size, but there’s a catch. The morning brings 13 ft of WSW swell, but the wind is a strong 25 mph from the SSW. That’s a big, powerful swell (3669 energy) but it’s blowing off. The afternoon is bigger again at 16 ft (7811 energy), with a cross-offshore wind. It’s clean, but 16 ft is huge – this is for experts only, and even then, it’s a beast.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Monday the 27th is a standout. The morning delivers an 12 ft SW swell with a 12-second period, and the wind is a light offshore from the SSE at 6 mph. The water is clean, the energy is pumping (4082), and the conditions are excellent for experienced surfers. That’s the best session of the first week, no question. The afternoon holds similar quality, just a touch more wind.

The middle of the week gets messy again. Tuesday the 28th has 8 ft swell but cross-shore winds chop it up. Wednesday the 29th is even worse with strong onshore winds. Thursday the 30th has some long-period swell, but the wind is cross-onshore, leaving it marginal.

But hold on to your boards. Friday the 31st is a major call. The morning brings an 12 ft WSW swell with a very long 18-second period, and the wind is a light cross-offshore from the SSE. The energy is a staggering 7384, and the conditions are described as exceptional for expert surfers. That’s a long-period groundswell, so it will be powerful and clean, perfect for a reef setup like Pea Break. The afternoon is similar, just a bit more wind.

Saturday the 1st of August is another big one. The morning is clean with an 12 ft SW swell, but the afternoon is the standout. The wind goes offshore from the ESE at 16 mph, and the swell picks up to 13 ft with a 15-second period. The energy hits 8994, and the conditions are exceptional for experts. That’s a world-class window.

Sunday the 2nd of August keeps the swell pumping at 13 ft with a solid offshore breeze. It’s a big, powerful, clean swell for experts. The energy is in the 6000s. After that, the swell starts to drop through Monday and Tuesday the 3rd and 4th, but it’s still in the 8 ft to 13 ft range with clean conditions, though the wind picks up a bit.

Then things go south. From Wednesday the 5th of August onwards, the wind goes onshore, first strong then gale-force. The swell is still big, but it’s getting blown out. By Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th, we’re looking at heavy onshore winds and rain. The surf will be massive but completely unsurfable. That’s a solid stretch of poor conditions to end the outlook.

The Bottom Line: The absolute standouts are Monday the 27th of July (morning) and Friday the 31st of July (morning) for the first week, and Saturday the 1st of August (afternoon) for the second week. That’s your big, clean, powerful groundswell. Everything else is either marginal, blown out, or too big to handle unless you’re a seasoned charger.

Stay safe out there, and don’t be a hero in the gale-force stuff.

Rusty.

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