Spot x Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a solid run of swell on the cards for Spot x, but it’s going to take a bit of patience to get through the early days.

The pattern starts with a massive pulse of energy slamming into the reef. A huge, powerful SW groundswell is on the way, with a very long period of 15 to 16 seconds. The combined energy readings are massive, hitting over 20,000 (20545) initially, which is some serious, heavy water. But there’s a catch. The wind is howling from the SSW at 31 mph, making it a near-gale cross-onshore mess. It’s going to be blown out and dangerous. The water is sitting at 67°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

The first few days are a write-off for a relaxed paddle. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th of August have solid swell, but the wind is either too strong or onshore, making the surf poor. Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th are no better, with the swell being too big for this break and the wind still howling. We don’t get a real window of opportunity until Thursday the 13th of August. The afternoon shows a long period 17-second SW groundswell holding at 13ft, and the wind finally swings to a light SW onshore. It’s still onshore, but the light breeze makes it “marginal” rather than a total loss.

Now, the standout moment. Friday the 14th of August is the first true gem. The morning brings a 12ft SW groundswell (16 second period) with a light NE cross-offshore wind. The combined energy (6080) is moderate, but the conditions are described as clean and exceptional for experts. The wind is light, the air is clear, and the swell direction is right. This is your best bet for the whole forecast. The afternoon is also very good, holding at 10ft with a light NNE cross-off. It’s clean and excellent for experienced surfers.

Saturday the 15th of August is another good one. The swell eases slightly to 10ft from the WSW (14 seconds), but the wind is a light N cross-off. The afternoon is the pick, with clear skies and a light breeze. It’s an excellent option for experienced surfers.

After that, things get dicey again. The wind picks up on Sunday the 16th, and we get a big pulse of 18ft swell on Monday the 17th of August, but it’s crossed up and messy. Then a big, long-period WSW swell (17 seconds) hits on Wednesday the 19th of August, with a clean N cross-off. The combined energy (20166) is strong, but the swell is too big for this break, pushing it into expert-only territory. The wind is light, but the size is the limiting factor.

The final week is a mixed bag. We see some solid 18ft to 20ft swell on the weekend of the 22nd and 23rd of August, but the wind is consistently onshore or cross-onshore, keeping the surf blown out and poor. There’s a window on the 23rd with a clean N cross-off, but the 20ft swell is once again too big for this reef.

Bottom line: The best surf of the 16-day window is on Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th of August. Friday morning is the absolute standout. The swell is a solid 10ft to 12ft from the SW, the period is long, and the wind is light and offshore. This is where you want to be. The rest of the period is either too big, too windy, or both.

Rusty.

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