Spot x Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what Spot X is offering up over the next couple of weeks. It’s a mixed bag, so we’ll have to pick our moments.

The good news is, there’s a proper run of groundswell on the way. The bad news is, the wind is going to be a real struggle for a lot of it. We’re looking at a solid southwest swell train, but the early days are messy. The real quality kicks in around Monday the 7th.

We start off on Saturday the 5th with a 10-foot WSW swell but it’s got a W wind smashing it. That’s a cross-on mess, so you can forget about it. Sunday the 6th is a little better, but still lumpy with cross-shore winds. Nothing to get excited about.

Now, Monday the 7th. This is where it gets interesting. Monday morning at Spot X, the wind swings to a light cross-offshore from the SE, and we’ve got a long-period 12-foot groundswell from the southwest. The period is a very solid 16 seconds, which means proper lines. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 65°F, so you won’t need the thickest wetsuit. This is the standout for the whole window. It’s big, over 8 feet, so this is for experienced crew only. The combined swell energy is massive at 6307. Monday afternoon gets ruined by a fresh SSE wind, so don’t sleep in.

Tuesday the 8th is another cracker. Morning has a 13-foot swell with a cross-off wind from the ESE—still clean and powerful (energy 8296). But the real gem is Tuesday afternoon. The wind drops right off to a glassy offshore from the ENE at just 3 mph. That is a magic window, with 12 feet of southwest groundswell, long 16-second period, and the combined energy at 7126. Expert-only, but perfect if you can handle it.

Wednesday the 9th stays clean with offshore winds, but the swell drops to 10 feet. Still solid, and the wind stays offshore, so it’s a good option for experienced surfers who didn’t get out on the main days.

From Thursday the 10th onwards, the swell backs off to the 5-to-7-foot range, and the winds get messy again—cross-shore and onshore. A few windows of light wind on the 14th and 16th might offer a cleaner wave, but the size is nothing special. The morning of the 16th gives us glassy conditions with an 8-foot swell, but it’s not the same quality as that first run.

Then things get wild. From the 17th, the swell pumps back up to 10 feet and 15 feet, but it’s all onshore wind garbage. By the 19th, we’ve got a massive 18-foot swell with onshore winds—total write-off, even for the hardiest hellman. The combined wave energy hits 14554 on the 19th morning, but it’s a washing machine. This setup, with that much wind and swell on a reef, looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, the pick of the fortnight is clear: Monday the 7th morning and Tuesday the 8th morning and afternoon at Spot X. That’s where the magic sits.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

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