Spot x Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m lookin’ at the next couple weeks for Spot x. It’s a reef setup, real consistent, exposed to the southwest swell, and it likes the swell coming from the west-southwest.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a rough start. Monday morning, the 3rd of August, is a bit of a tease. We’ve got a 6ft swell from the southwest, with a very long period of 15 seconds, and the wind is a cross-off from the north-northeast at 15 mph. The water’s about average for this time of year, and the wave energy is already strong (1305). But the word is, it’s marginal. Monday afternoon turns messy with a cross-shore wind and a cross-chop, so that’s a pass.

Tuesday, the 4th, is a write-off. Onshore winds and a building 12ft swell from the west-southwest with poor conditions. Don’t even bother.

Now, Wednesday the 5th is where it starts to get interesting for a few days. The swell drops a little, but it’s still a solid 15ft from the west-southwest, with a 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell. The wave energy is very strong (over 10,000). The morning has a gentle cross-onshore breeze, so it’s a bit lumpy, but the afternoon cleans up with a cross-shore breeze and clear skies. It’s still marginal due to the size, but this is big, powerful stuff. For the experienced surfer, Wednesday afternoon is the standout of the first week – just know that a 15ft swell on a reef is no joke.

Thursday the 6th gets a bit windier, with a fresh breeze and a lumpy cross-chop, and the swell drops a hair. Conditions are iffy.

Friday the 7th through Sunday the 9th is a mess of onshore winds and big, messy swell. A lot of this is just poor surf conditions. Saturday the 8th has a massive 18ft swell from the southwest, but it’s cross-onshore and choppy. The afternoon improves a touch, but it’s still a beast.

The week of the 11th is where the real monsters roll in. Monday the 10th is still cross-onshore and messy. But Tuesday the 11th… wow. The morning is clean, with a cross-off wind from the east-southeast at 12 mph, and a 23ft southwest swell with a 15-second period. The wave energy is off the charts (21898). The guidance says it’s too big for this break, and at 23ft, it’s experts-only, and only if the tide is right. This is a world-class, very dangerous day. The afternoon is lumpy with a fresh cross-shore. This is the best on offer for the whole period, but only for the most experienced, and it’s a week away, so keep an eye on the forecasts.

Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th drop back to 15ft, with clean cross-off winds in the mornings. Thursday afternoon the 13th is a gem – glassy conditions with a 3 mph cross-off breeze from the east-southeast, and the wave energy is still high (9216). That’s a beautiful, clean window for the experienced surfer.

Friday the 14th brings another giant – 25ft, 19-second period – too big again for most.

Saturday the 15th, the swell comes back to 16ft, with a light cross-off from the east at 6 mph. Clean, glassy, and a lot more manageable. This is a solid, expert-level day.

The last few days, from the 16th to the 18th, drop in size. The 17th and 18th have clean conditions, with the 18th offering a 15ft swell from the west-southwest and a 17-second period. That’s a long, clean groundswell. For the better part of the second week, if you’re an expert, the mornings are your friend.

To sum it up: The first week is mostly too big and messy until the 5th, then a clean window on the 13th. The real standout is Tuesday the 11th and Friday the 14th, but those are massive, dangerous swells. The 15th and 18th offer the best combination of size and cleanliness for experts. Beginners, this is not your month.

Rusty.

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