Spot x Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s coming up here for Spot x. This is a solid, exposed reef break that’s very consistent, so when the swell shows, it shows. The water temp is about average for this time of year, no big anomaly to talk about.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but hold on because there’s plenty of action on the way, mainly built around a long-period SW groundswell.

Alright, let’s start with Tuesday the 15th. The morning is the pick of the first few days. We’ve got a clean 10ft SW swell with a 14-second period pushing in, combined energy is a hefty 3665 (strong wave energy), and the wind is a gentle offshore breeze out of the ENE. The surf is glassy and clean—excellent for experienced surfers. This is proper, powerful stuff. That wind is a major positive. Afternoon gets a bit more tricky with a cross-onshore breeze messing with the face, but the morning alone is worth getting out of bed for.

Wednesday the 16th sees the swell backing off to 7ft, but the morning has a strong offshore cross-off wind that will keep it tidy, though it’s a bit windier. The real treat is the Wednesday afternoon: glassy conditions, a clean 5ft swell, and a combined energy of 1097 (moderate). It’ll be super fun, clean waves. Crowds are sometimes possible here, so you might have company, but it’d be worth it.

Thursday the 17th is a write-off with messy cross-shore winds that get stronger, and the wave quality drops. Friday the 18th is a no-go too—big groundswell but howling 31 mph cross-off winds and poor conditions.

Now, we hit a long gap of poor or marginal conditions. Saturday 19th through to Monday 23rd is a tough stretch: strong winds from the west and northwest, onshore or strong cross-shore, and the swell is either too big for the wind or just a mess. The combined energy values are huge (3665, 5286, 6330), solid wave energy, but the wind absolutely kills it. It’s not for paddling, but with that setup, it might be more interesting for kite surfing.

Then we get to a proper standout window, but you have to be an expert. On the morning of Thursday the 24th, we’ve got a clean-ish cross-shore wind with a 13ft SW swell and a 15-second period. Combined energy is 6665 (very strong wave energy). It’s huge and lumpy, but for the very experienced, there’ll be some deep-water lines. The afternoon has worse wind.

But the real star of the show, the absolute standout, is Friday the 25th. The morning bumps up to 18ft of SW swell with an incredibly long 18-second period. The combined energy is a monstrous 20093 (extremely powerful). The wind is a fresh cross-shore out of the SSE. This is a beast. The forecasts even note that the swell is predicted to be too big for this break, which is a fair warning—this is expert-only territory. Even the afternoon is sitting at 16ft with 18-second period and 15852 energy. For the pros, this is a once-in-a-while session. For everyone else, it’s a day to watch from the cliffs.

The following Saturday the 26th drops to 12ft, but it’s choppy. On the 28th (Monday), things look a bit more manageable with 10ft SW swell and 16-second period, combined energy 4258 (strong), and clean offshore winds from the NNE. That’s another solid morning for experienced surfers, but it’s over a week away, so keep an eye on it.

So the main takeaway: Tuesday 15th morning is your first clean, powerful session. The absolute big one is Friday 25th for experts only. The week in between is messy and windy. Stay patient.

Rusty.

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