Spot x Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get stuck into the outlook for Spot x.

We've got a solid run of surf on the horizon, but it's a tale of two halves. The first week or so offers some excellent, manageable waves, especially for the more experienced crew. The second week really kicks up a notch with some serious size, but a lot of it is going to be blowing out or just too big for comfort. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, just a pleasant start.

Right out of the gate, Friday the 24th afternoon is looking sweet. The swell is a clean 5 ft from the SW, and with a light NNE cross-off breeze, it's going to be glassy. The combined energy is moderate (805), and the 12-second period is a nice, solid groundswell. This is a perfect warm-up.

Saturday the 25th is a bit of a write-off. The morning is blown out by a strong N wind at 19 mph, and by the afternoon the wind shifts and the conditions get lumpy. Sunday the 26th is a flat-out no-go for paddle surfing. We’ve got a massive 15 ft to 16 ft SW swell, but it’s being hammered by a strong onshore wind. The wave energy is seriously high (5,649 to 10,998), but it’s a washing machine. This would be a kite surfer's dream, not a surfer's.

Monday the 27th sees the swell dropping to 10 ft to 12 ft, but the wind is still cross-shore and messy. There are some rideable waves, but the quality is poor.

Now, here’s where it gets good for the experienced folks. Tuesday the 28th is the standout of the first week. The morning is a dream: 10 ft of SW groundswell at 14 seconds, with a clean offshore breeze from the ENE. The wave energy is strong (3,346), and the conditions are described as "excellent for experienced surfers." The afternoon is just as good with a lighter cross-off breeze. If you’ve got the chops, this is the day.

Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th continue the good run. Wednesday morning has a 5 ft swell with a very long 17-second period, which is a proper groundswell, but it might be a bit straight for the beach. The afternoon is a better bet with 7 ft and a clean offshore wind. Thursday afternoon is another beauty: 5 ft of SW swell with a massive 19-second period, glassy with a cross-off breeze. The wave energy is still strong (3,266).

Friday the 31st holds good conditions again, with both morning and afternoon sessions offering clean, 8 ft SW swell. The afternoon is the pick with a gentle cross-off breeze.

Now for the absolute standout of the entire forecast. Saturday the 1st of August is the one to circle. The morning session is firing: 12 ft of SW groundswell at a long 17 seconds, with a light cross-off breeze. The wave energy is very strong (6,786). This is rated as "exceptional for expert surfers." It’s big, powerful, and clean. The afternoon is a close second at 10 ft with a light offshore. This is a day for the big-wave crew.

Sunday the 2nd of August brings a storm risk and a strong N wind, which will mess up the 7 ft to 8 ft swell. The morning might be okay, but the afternoon is a write-off with onshore winds and lumpy conditions.

The second week from Monday the 3rd onward is a real mixed bag. The swell is constantly pumping, but the wind is all over the place. Monday the 3rd is blown out, and Tuesday the 4th has a 13 ft to 20 ft swell but with a cross-onshore wind, making it a messy, choppy mess.

From Wednesday the 5th through Saturday the 8th, the ocean goes absolutely nuts. We’re talking 23 ft to 26 ft SW swell with wave energy readings of 10,637 to 39,801. This is only for the most hardcore big-wave chargers and even then, the wind is often onshore, making it a dangerous, blown-out slop. A few days have favorable wind but the swell is "too big for this break," so it’s a miss. Friday the 7th afternoon and Saturday the 8th also have clean cross-off winds, but with 13 ft to 26 ft of swell, it’s still a very serious ocean.

In short, don't miss the 28th of July or the 1st of August. Everything else is either a gamble or for the truly insane.

Rusty.

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