Spot x Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s take a look at the forecast for Spot x.

The water temperature at Spot x is sitting at 67.6°, which is a solid 4° warmer than we’d expect for this time of year. That’s noticeably warm, like a late summer blessing.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a massive pulse of swell arriving, but it’s a real mixed bag. The first few days are a write-off for quality surfing. The wind is howling from the west, smashing the swell sideways. The energy is massive, with a combined energy reading of 7360 on Friday morning, but it’s all for nothing with that 19 mph cross-onshore wind. It’s going to be a lumpy, blown-out mess. That trend continues straight through the weekend.

The real standout, and the only time I’d get excited, is way out on Saturday, August 15th. The morning is looking clean with clear skies, a moderate cross-shore breeze from the NNW at 16 mph, and a 16.4ft swell from the west. The period is a solid 13 seconds, which is a nice groundswell. The combined energy is moderate at 7665. This is a big, powerful swell, over 8.2ft, so this is strictly for experts only. It’s too big and dangerous for anyone else. With the break being a very consistent reef, and the swell direction matching the optimum WSW, this could be a proper session. Just be aware that crowds are possible here.

The following week is a long, slow fade. The wind stays mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell drops. The best you’ll see are some marginal conditions. On Thursday, August 13th, the afternoon shows a 13.1ft SW swell with a very long 17-second period and a gentle onshore breeze. The energy is moderate at 9644, but that long period at a reef could mean some clean, lined-up waves. It’s a marginal call, but worth a look if you’re desperate. The same goes for Friday, August 14th, where the wind goes clean cross-off from the north, but the swell is smaller at 9.8ft to 11.5ft.

The run from the 16th to the 22nd is mostly poor to marginal. There’s a glimmer on Monday, August 17th, with a clean cross-off wind and a 16.4ft WSW swell, but the energy is strong at 13201. It’s a big swell with a long period of 16 seconds, so again, experts only. After that, it’s just choppy, blown-out, or undersized. The last few days see the swell drop to 7.2ft to 9.8ft, with light cross-onshore winds, but it’s just not clean enough to get excited about.

Overall, the best and only real standout is the morning of Saturday, August 15th. It’s a big, powerful, expert-only day with clean conditions. Get on it if you’ve got the skills.

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