Spot x Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s talk about the next few weeks at Spot x. This is a reef break that loves a good WSW swell, so let’s see what’s coming.

The water’s sitting at 67°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nice little bonus.

We’ve got a big gap of nothing worth paddling out for right at the start. Saturday, August 1st, is a write-off – messy cross-on winds and 13ft of choppy slop. That morning score is a zero. The afternoon might look a bit better on paper, but the conditions are still marginal. Sunday August 2nd is cleaner, with a moderate offshore breeze from the NE and 10ft of SW swell (13-second period, 3475 combined energy). That’s solid, but it’s a big wave; 10ft at this reef is for experienced surfers only. Still, clean and lined up, it’s a decent session if you’ve got the skills.

Monday August 3rd drops to 6ft, but the wind is fresh and cross-off, so it’s not terrible – just not a standout. The real action starts to build from Tuesday August 4th, but the wind turns onshore or cross-on, and the swell gets big and messy. Wednesday August 5th sees 16ft of WSW swell (11575 combined energy) with rain and cross-on winds – that’s a lot of water moving but blown out. Thursday and Friday are even worse with strong winds, and Saturday August 8th is an absolute monster: 28ft of swell (26825 combined energy) with near-gale cross-on winds. That’s not surfable, it’s a survival mission. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing through this whole mid-week stretch.

The only true standout in this whole forecast is the morning of Thursday, August 13th. That’s when we get 12ft of SW swell (19-second period, 13112 combined energy) with a clean, moderate offshore wind from the NE. That’s exceptional surf for experts – long-period groundswell, perfect direction, glassy conditions. The energy is strong, and the period is very long, so on a reef like this, the waves will be thick, powerful, and well-shaped. Just be aware that long-period swells can make paddling out easier between sets, but the sets themselves will be heavy. This is the best on offer, no question.

The afternoon of the 13th also looks clean, but the swell is a touch smaller. The morning is the pick.

After that, we fade out. Friday August 14th has 10ft and clean winds, but it’s a step down. Saturday August 15th is lumpy again, and the final Sunday August 16th sees 18ft of swell with fresh cross-on winds – too big and messy for a good paddle session.

So, to sum it up: the first week is mostly a write-off, then there’s a short window of cleaner but big surf around the 2nd, but the real gem is the morning of August 13th. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. Keep an eye on it – long-range, but promising.

Rusty

Read more