Spot x Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

First up, we’ve got a solid run of swell heading our way, and it’s all pointing at Spot x, a reef setup that’s very consistent and exposed to that WSW to SW groundswell. Water temp is sitting at 65°, which is about average for this time of year – nothing weird going on there.

Monday morning kicks things off with a solid 12ft swell out of the WSW, period hanging at 14 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is a clean cross-off from the ESE, so the face should be pretty tidy. Combined energy is pumping at (4686), so there’s plenty of grunt. It’s a bit big for beginners, but experienced surfers will find something. Monday afternoon gets a little messier as the wind swings more cross, and the quality dips.

Tuesday morning is where it starts to get good. Still a solid 10ft from the WSW, but now we’ve got a clean offshore breeze from the east at 12 mph, making for moderate offshore and clean conditions. The combined energy (3869) is still strong. This is a proper window for the intermediate crew to get amongst it. Tuesday afternoon lightens up with a tiny cross-on breeze, so not as clean but still surfable.

Wednesday morning sees the swell drop to 7ft, but we’ve got a clean offshore from the NE at 12 mph – again, moderate offshore and clean, with (1387) energy. Wednesday afternoon is the real standout early in the period: 5ft of swell, but the wind goes glassy from the NNE at just 3 mph. That’s about as good as it gets for clean conditions. The reef will be offering nice, lined-up waves.

Thursday and Friday turn a bit average. Thursday morning is cross and messy, and by afternoon a fresh cross-shore kicks up to 19 mph – lumpy and not worth it. Friday sees a new pulse of long-period 17-second swell hit, but with a fresh cross-shore at 19 mph and light rain, it’s messy. The combined energy is high (2489) but the wind just ruins it.

The weekend Saturday and Sunday have some size – 10ft and 8ft – but the wind is cross-on or cross, so expect choppy, lumpy conditions. Not the best for a clean session.

Then we hit a rough patch from Monday 21st through to Thursday 24th. The swell stays solid – 10ft almost every day – but the wind is onshore or cross-on from the west at 15-19 mph, with rain showers and poor quality. This is a blank run for clean surf. The reef might have power, but it’s just not worth paddling out unless you’re a glutton for punishment.

Now here’s the real standout: Friday the 25th. This is a monster. Forecast is calling for 13ft in the morning from the SW with a 15-second period and glassy wind at just 3 mph. The combined energy is a massive (14821). This is exceptional, but it’s for experts only – anything over 8ft at this reef will be a handful. By afternoon, it jumps to 18ft with a 19-second period, which is huge. Wind is cross-on, so it might be a bit lumpy, but the power is staggering (21445). This is a day for the big-wave crew only.

Saturday the 26th still has plenty of size – 15ft in the morning with a clean cross-off from the ESE, and by afternoon the wind goes offshore from the east, with 13ft and (8339) energy. Clean and powerful. Sunday the 27th drops to 8ft but the cross-off wind holds, so it’s still clean, if not as punchy.

Monday the 28th has 10ft from the SW, but with light onshore wind – not ideal but might be worth a look if the tide lines up.

Tuesday the 29th turns ugly again with a strong onshore cross at 22 mph and lumpy conditions.

So, calling it: the best windows are Wednesday afternoon the 16th for glassy, clean fun waves, and the absolute standouts are Friday the 25th and Saturday the 26th for expert-level, heavy groundswell with clean wind. That Friday session is something else.

Rusty

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