Spot x Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Spot x. This is a reef setup, exposed to the swell, and it’s normally very consistent around here. The water temp is sitting at about 66°, which is pretty average for the time of year—nothing unusual there.

We’ve got a rough start though. Sunday the 26th is a write-off. Big, messy 18ft swell from the SW with a strong cross-onshore wind. That’s just ugly. Then Monday the 27th is still struggling—around 11-12ft dropping to 10ft, but the wind stays cross-shore, so it’s a bit of a chop fest. Not worth paddling out for anything special.

Now, Tuesday the 28th is where it gets interesting. Morning shows 10ft SW swell (14-second period) with a light cross-off wind from the east. Clean conditions. But the standout is Tuesday afternoon: the wind goes glassy—WSW at just 3 mph—and the swell settles to a clean 8ft. The energy is solid right here (3551), and for a reef break, that period and direction are working nicely. This is the pick of the first week. Clean, glassy, proper chest-to-head-high waves. It’s for experienced surfers though—8ft on a reef is no joke. And with crowds sometimes around, you’ll want to be sharp.

Wednesday the 29th stays clean with a cross-off breeze, but the swell drops to about 8ft then 7ft. Fun, but not the standout. Thursday the 30th sees the swell down around 6-6ft, still clean in the morning, but the wind goes cross in the arvo, so it gets a little bumpy.

Then we hit a rough patch. Friday the 31st through to Saturday the 1st of August is blown out—onshore winds, rain, and messy, lumpy surf. Sunday the 2nd of August (a week from now) shows some promise: morning has around 11-12ft SW swell (14-second period) with a light cross-off from the SE, clean. That’s a decent one. But the real long-range standout looks like Monday the 3rd of August. Morning has around 8ft SW swell with a clean offshore breeze from the ENE at 12 mph, and then Monday afternoon goes glassy again—ENE at just 3 mph, about 8ft, same long-period SW groundswell. That’s clean, lined-up reef waves. Excellent for experienced surfers.

There’s also Tuesday the 4th of August morning—10ft, 16-second period, glassy SSW wind. But the arvo gets a cross-on breeze and gets a little choppy. Still, that morning session is a beauty.

After that, the second week gets more interesting in size but less clean. Wednesday the 5th has 10ft and clean morning winds, but the swell gets big and challenging. From the 8th of August onward, the swell absolutely pumps—21ft, 24ft, even 31ft on the 9th. The energy numbers are insane (53800 on the 9th). But these are expert-only waves. The wind and tide are favorable for the break at times, but at these sizes, it’s huge, raw, and very powerful. Not for the faint-hearted. The end of the forecast, around the 10th of August, still has around 18-20ft SW groundswell but with cross-onshore winds, so it’s lumpy and messy again.

Best on offer: Tuesday 28th July afternoon for the glassy, clean 8ft SW groundswell at a reef. And Monday 3rd August afternoon for another glassy window with clean 8ft SW swell. Those are the two to circle.

Rusty.

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