Spot x Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right now, Spot X is the only break in play – a reef setup that’s very consistent and open to a WSW swell. Water’s at 64°F, right around average for this time of year. We’ve got a patchy run ahead, but there are a couple of windows that’ll get you out of bed.

Tuesday morning starts with 10ft of SW groundswell at 14 seconds. The energy is strong – 3665 – and with a light offshore ENE breeze, it should be clean and lined up. This is proper reef surf, not for beginners at this size. The afternoon gets cross-onshore, so hit it early.

Wednesday is a better call. Swell drops to 7ft, but the wind swings offshore from the NE – 25 km/h in the morning, then easing to almost nothing in the afternoon. Energy drops to 1398 and 1241, but those clean conditions will have it looking fun. A solid, clean day for the intermediate surfer.

Thursday morning drops to 5ft, WSW direction, with a cross-off breeze keeping things tidy. But the afternoon turns ugly – cross-shore winds, lumpy, and the swell backs off. That’s the end of the first run.

We’ve got a gap from Thursday afternoon through to Sunday morning. Friday and Saturday are a total washout. Big, messy, blown-out – 11ft of SW groundswell on Saturday but with strong cross-onshore winds, it’s a washing machine. Not worth paddling out. If you’ve got a kite, Saturday looks more interesting than your board.

Sunday morning the wind goes glassy – zero. Swell is still solid at 7ft, WSW at 12 seconds, energy around 1412. Clean and glassy – that’s a standout. The afternoon turns onshore and mushy, so get on it early.

Monday kicks back up – 10ft of SW at 15 seconds, energy jumping to 3820. But the wind is cross-onshore, so the surface will be rippled. Not the cleanest, but there’s push.

Tuesday drops to 8ft at 14 seconds with onshore wind. Average.

Then we hit a lull. Wednesday through Friday the swell holds around 7ft but winds are cross-onshore and choppy. By Thursday afternoon it’s 18ft at 18 seconds – way too big for the reef, and bumpy. Friday morning is even bigger – nearly 20ft of SW at 18 seconds with glassy winds. That’s a monstrous groundswell, well over the size limit for this break. Experts only, if even.

Saturday the 26th is one of the best. Swell drops to 11ft, still SW at 16 seconds, with a clean offshore NE breeze at 20 km/h. Energy is 5512 – strong but manageable. This is the standout window for the crew that knows their stuff.

Sunday the 27th holds at 10 to 11ft, clean in the morning but onshore in the afternoon. Worth an early session.

Monday the 28th is the other big one. 11ft of SW groundswell at 16 seconds, energy cranking at 5731, with light cross-off winds and clean conditions. This is exceptional, expert-level surf. Big, powerful, lined-up reef waves. The long period means long gaps – best on the points or reefs.

After that, Tuesday the 29th goes downhill fast – 7ft but cross-onshore and lumpy. Wednesday the 30th is small, just 3ft, with a clean morning but nothing to get excited about.

So overall, the standouts are Sunday the 20th for a clean, glassy, medium-sized session, and then Saturday the 26th and Monday the 28th for the big, powerful, clean groundswell days. Those last two are the real deal, but they’re a week out, so treat them as promising but not locked in.

Rusty.

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