Spot x Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, how's it going? Rusty here. Let's break down the next couple of weeks for Spot x. It's a reef break that's very consistent, so it's always got something to offer, but the conditions are going to be all over the place.

The water's sitting at 66°F right now, which is about a degree and a half warmer than you'd normally expect for the end of July. A nice little surprise.

Wednesday, July 29th we're starting off with a solid 8ft SW groundswell (13-second period). The wind is a clean offshore from the NE at 12 mph, and the combined energy is pumping at 2671. That's a lot of power. It's a clean, offshore morning, but the wave comment says it's for experienced surfers, which makes sense on a reef at that size. The afternoon eases up a touch to 7ft SW with a light offshore breeze, keeping it really clean.

Thursday, July 30th the swell drops a bit to 6ft SW, but the wind swings. Morning is a cross-offshore from the NNE at 16 mph, keeping it reasonably clean, but the afternoon gets a cross-shore breeze from the NNW at 9 mph, which will put a bit of a crinkle on the face. The energy is moderate at 1795.

Friday, July 31st is where the trouble starts. The swell jumps up to 10ft SW with a long 16-second period, but the wind cranks up to 19 mph from the NW. That's a fresh cross-shore, and the energy is a strong 4914. The afternoon gets even uglier with a risk of thunderstorms and a cross-onshore wind at 22 mph. This one's a write-off for a paddle.

Saturday, August 1st is a bit of a tease. We've got a big 13ft SW swell with a moderate 14-second period and a cross-shore wind from the SSE at 12 mph. The energy is into the strong range at 6662. The afternoon *really* gets going with a 16ft SW, 16-second groundswell, and the energy is a massive 10901. But that cross-shore wind will make it a lumpy, challenging beast. It's a big day for the experienced crew only.

Sunday, August 2nd is a proper standout. The swell is still a solid 10ft SW, but the morning has a clean offshore from the NE at 12 mph. The energy is strong at 3555. Then, the afternoon turns to absolute magic—a glassy 3 mph NNE breeze and a 10ft SW swell. That's as good as it gets for this spot. The sets will be long and clean. This is the best on offer for the first week.

Monday, August 3rd morning is another gem. A 7ft SW swell with a long 15-second period and a glassy 3 mph W wind. Energy is moderate at 1726. It's a beautiful, clean morning. The afternoon gets a bit messy with a cross-onshore wind from the SSW.

From Tuesday, August 4th through to Thursday, August 8th, the forecast turns gnarly. We're looking at a series of very large swells between 12ft and 20ft, with strong onshore and cross-onshore winds. The combined energy is constantly in the 6000-11000+ range. This is not paddle surf territory. If you've got a kite, this might be your window, but for a surfboard, it's a hard pass.

Monday, August 10th afternoon has a massive 16ft WSW swell, with an 18-second period and the energy cranked up to 15354. The wind is onshore, but the wave comment says the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. So, it's a no-go, even for the experts.

The last real standout is Wednesday, August 12th morning. A 20ft WSW swell, 17-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze from the SE at 6 mph. The energy is a colossal 20256. Again, the comment says it's too big for this break. For the absolute elite big-wave chargers, it might be a look, but for most of us, it's a spectator sport.

So, to wrap it up: the best window is Sunday, August 2nd and Monday, August 3rd morning. Sunday afternoon with glassy conditions is the absolute pick of the 16 days. After that, it's a lot of big, windy, blown-out surf until the middle of the second week, where it just gets too big.

Rusty.

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