Spot x Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s look at what’s coming up for Spot x.

The next few days are a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s some serious size on the way if you’re willing to wait. We’ve got a solid run of swell starting now, but the wind is going to be the main character for a while.

Kicking off Monday the 27th, we’ve got a chunky 12ft SW swell (12-second period) rolling in, but that southerly cross-shore at 12 mph is putting a chop on it. The wave energy is moderate (3588), but the conditions are just marginal. Not a write-off, but you’ll be working for it. Tuesday the 28th looks better: the swell drops a touch to 10ft, but the period stretches to 14 seconds, and with an ESE light breeze, it’s cross-off and clean. This is the pick of the early week – solid, powerful groundswell, and the water temp is sitting at 66°, which is about a degree warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s a touch on the mild side.

Wednesday the 29th is a gem for the morning. A light offshore from the NE at 9 mph, 8ft SW swell, 13-second period – clean, groomed lines. The wave energy is moderate (2823). This is the kind of day you rearrange your schedule for. It’s a reef break, and with that long period, expect the sets to have some serious push and nice long walls. The wind stays light offshore into the afternoon, dropping to 7ft, but still clean.

Thursday the 30th holds clean with a cross-off breeze and 6ft swell. It’s smaller, but tidy. Friday the 31st is where the ocean gets a bit wild. An 12ft, 17-second groundswell hits, but the wind cranks up to 19 mph from the NW, making it cross and lumpy. By the afternoon, forget it – rain showers and a strong cross-onshore, blown out.

Now, the standout window. Saturday the 1st of August sees a big 16ft SW swell (15 seconds) with moderate cross-shore winds. The combined energy jumps to strong (10557). This is big, powerful, and for experienced surfers only – beginners should sit this one out. The wind is a bit messy, but it’s surfable for the brave. Sunday the 2nd of August, however, is the real star. A clean offshore from the ENE at 16 mph, with an 12ft, 13-second SW swell. The conditions are set for exceptional surf for experts. The wave energy is still strong (5427), and with that offshore wind, the reef at Spot x will be firing. This is the best of the whole run.

The following week gets a bit more unpredictable. Monday the 3rd is clean again in the morning, but the swell drops. Tuesday the 4th has an 12ft, 17-second groundswell with glassy light winds in the morning – that’s a promising, long-period groundswell that will run deep and fast along the reef. But be aware, those long-period swells can make beach breaks close out, but here at the reef, it’s going to be a treat. Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th are blown out by strong winds, but Thursday the 6th morning is a real surprise: glassy conditions with an 12ft, 15-second WSW swell. That’s exceptional for experts, but the window is tight.

The rest of the second week, from the 7th of August onwards, is mostly a write-off. Strong to gale-force winds, rain, and messy onshore conditions. There’s a massive 18ft, 17-second SW swell on the 11th of August, but it’s predicted to be too big for the break, and the energy is extreme (16490). That’s a kite-surfing day, not a paddle-surfing day.

Overall, the best bets are Tuesday the 28th, Wednesday the 29th, and Sunday the 2nd of August. The standout is Sunday the 2nd – offshore wind, solid groundswell, and clean lines. Get on it.

Rusty.

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