Spot x Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board and let’s talk about the next stretch at Spot x. It’s a reef break, very consistent, exposed to the west-southwest, and it’s built for that direction. We’ve got a wild couple of weeks ahead, with some serious juice, but also some real windows of greatness if you pick your moments.

The water temp is sitting at 67°F, which is a touch warmer than usual for late July, so a springy might not even be needed for a while. The main story is the swell – it’s pulsing from the SW and WSW for the whole period. There’s a lot of power in the water, but the wind is going to be the deciding factor between magic and messy.

The first real opportunity kicks off on Saturday afternoon, the 1st of August. The swell is a solid 15ft from the southwest with a long 16-second period, and the energy is strong, checking in at 9370. It’s cross-shore with a gentle breeze, so it’ll be a little lumpy but far from horrible. It’s a better prospect than the morning, which was choppier at 13ft with a moderate cross-onshore.

Then we get to the standout. Sunday morning, the 2nd of August, is where you want to be. We’ve got a clean 10ft SW swell with a 13-second period, and the wind is offshore from the northeast at 12 mph. That’s the recipe for some proper, lined-up reef waves. The energy is moderate at 3475, but the conditions will make it feel a whole lot better. This is the pick of the first week. Get on it early.

Monday the 3rd also looks fantastic. The swell eases a bit to 6ft in the morning, but it’s glassy with a slight air, and the energy is a weak 1426. The afternoon bumps up to 7ft with the same 16-second period, still glassy. This is clean, user-friendly surf. Not the biggest, but pure and perfect for getting your fill.

Now, brace yourselves. From Tuesday the 4th through the weekend, it gets wild and woolly. The swell stays big, 10ft to 18ft, but the wind swings onshore and gets strong. We’re looking at fresh to strong cross-onshore winds and poor, lumpy conditions. This stretch is blown out. The energy is massive, with values like 6758, 13652, and up to 21463, but it’s all for nothing when it’s like that. If you’re a kite surfer, this might be your time, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a no-go. This messy, blown-out period runs from the 4th right through to the 9th.

After that chaos, things start to settle. Sunday the 9th sees the swell peak at a huge 26ft, but it’s still onshore and unruly. Monday the 10th of August is our next big moment. The swell is still a meaty 15ft from the SW with a 15-second period, and the wind is light cross-offshore from the southeast. The energy is strong at 8402, and the forecast flags it as exceptional for experts. This is the other big standout. It’ll be powerful, but clean. This is one for the experienced crew only, as anything over 8ft is expert territory. After that, the swell drops back down to the 10ft range on Tuesday and Wednesday, but the wind goes onshore again, gale-force at times, making it a write-off.

Looking further out, the second week is a bit of a tease. The swell stays solid, with a big pulse arriving from the 13th onwards. The energy readings are huge, hitting 21062 and even 53278, which is very strong energy. But the wind remains predominantly cross-onshore and strong, keeping the surf messy and blown out. There are some promising windows on the horizon, but it’s a long way out and the long-range outlook is less certain. Keep your eyes peeled, but don’t hold your breath.

So, to sum it up: Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 10th are your days. Mark them in the calendar. The rest is either a washout or for the big-wave chargers when it settles just right.

Rusty, signing off.

Read more