The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and we’ve got a proper run of swell on the cards for The Three Bears. This is a reef setup that’s always a consistent little performer when the conditions line up, and there’s a heap to get excited about if you’re an experienced surfer. The water temp is sitting at 67°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no dramas there.

We kick things off on Friday the 3rd with a solid start. Morning’s got some cloud cover but the wind is light offshore from the east at 9 mph, and the swell is a clean 7 ft from the WSW with a nice long period of 14 seconds. The combined energy is pumping at 1553, so there’s heaps of push. This is excellent surf for experienced crew – the wave energy is moderate to strong, and the offshore breeze will keep things glassy. Friday afternoon turns even better: the wind swings north at a glassy 3 mph, the swell drops just a touch to 6 ft but still from the WSW, period holding at 14 seconds. That combo is pure heaven – you’ll be out there wondering why you’re not skipping work.

Saturday the 4th is a step down. The swell holds around 6 ft to 6 ft with longer periods up to 17 seconds, but the wind picks up from the NNE at 19 to 22 mph, creating cross-off conditions that are strong and a bit tricky. The combined energy is big at up to 1970, but the forecast flags it as marginal. It’ll be clean but powerful – only for those who can handle the breeze.

Sunday the 5th is a write-off. Strong cross-onshore wind from the NW up to 25 mph, and rain. Swell drops to 3 ft to 4 ft, periods are still decent but the wind is a mess. Not worth paddling out.

Now, here’s where it gets really interesting. Monday the 6th through to Tuesday the 7th – that’s the standout window. Monday morning brings a punchy 10 ft swell from the WSW with a 15-second period and combined energy of 3970. The wind is cross-off from the SE at 19 mph, so it’s clean, but at 10 ft this is expert territory only. Monday afternoon the energy jumps to 4686, still 10 ft and clean with a lighter 12 mph breeze. Then Tuesday the 7th is the pick of the whole run: morning has clear skies, offshore wind from the ESE at 12 mph, a 10 ft swell with a 16-second period, and combined energy at 4116. That is big, clean, and powerful – a dream day for those who can handle it. The water is clean and the sets will be long and lined up. Tuesday afternoon eases to 8 ft but still excellent.

Wednesday the 8th still pumps – 7 ft to 8 ft, long 17-second period, clean cross-off wind in the morning. But by afternoon the wind turns cross-shore from the south at 16 mph, and the forecast flags it as marginal due to chop. Thursday the 9th bounces back with clean 7 ft swell in the morning, light SSE wind at 6 mph – excellent again. Friday the 10th sees the swell drop to 5 ft but offshore wind from the ESE keeps it clean and fun.

From Saturday the 11th onwards, the swell slowly backs off into the 4 ft to 5 ft range with shorter periods, and the wind stays fresh from the east and south-east. Still clean for the most part, but nothing special. Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th bring a new pulse – 7 ft to 7 ft from the WSW and SW, with 16-second periods and strong offshore winds from the east. Combined energy is over 2000, so there’s muscle, but the wind is fresh and the forecast says marginal. Worth a look for the brave.

Tuesday the 14th holds 7 ft to 8 ft, clean cross-off wind, but the energy is dropping. Everything after that is a slow fade.

Then on Saturday the 18th, we get a wildcard – a big 16 ft to 18 ft swell from the WSW, but the wind is light cross-onshore. Combined energy is huge – over 9700 – and the forecast gives it a high score due to the size and manageable wind. That’s massive, only for absolute experts, and it’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it.

Best on offer? No question – Tuesday the 7th morning is the standout: 10 ft, 16-second groundswell from the WSW, offshore wind, and combined energy of 4116. Monday the 6th is a close second if you want that raw power.

The Three Bears is a reef, so that long-period swell will wrap in nicely, but it can get a bit straight at beach breaks – here, it’ll barrel. Crowds can happen sometimes, so get in early.

There’s a gap from Sunday the 5th into Monday, but the rest of the run is solid. It’s not often you see a stretch this consistent.

That’s the story. Catch ya out there.

Rusty

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