The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for The Three Bears. This is a reef break that’s consistent and best for beginners, but we’re looking at a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. The water temp is sitting at 66°F with a 1°F anomaly, so pretty much bang on average for the time of year.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start. Friday the 24th is a write-off with poor conditions and a moderate cross-off breeze, so don’t bother paddling out. Saturday the 25th isn’t much better—cross-shore winds and poor surf keep it flat and ugly. Sunday the 26th brings a real thumping: a 10ft onshore swell from the west with a short period of 8 seconds and a near gale. The combined energy hits 1117 (moderate), but with that wind, it’s a mess. That’s not for paddling; that’s kite-surfing territory if anything.

Monday the 27th is still messy with cross-shore winds and 10ft swell, but it’s a bit more manageable. Still, not a standout.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Tuesday the 28th is the real standout. Morning brings a clean 6ft swell from the WSW with a 14-second period, offshore ENE wind at 12 mph, and excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The combined energy is 1426 (moderate). The afternoon? Absolute glass. 6ft from the SW, 14-second period, and 3 mph NE wind. That’s the kind of session you remember. The swell direction matches the optimum SW, and the reef will handle that long period beautifully.

Wednesday the 29th keeps the good vibes going. Morning is clean with a 6ft SW swell (17-second period, 1885 energy) and a cross-off breeze. The afternoon clears up with 6ft WSW swell, 16-second period, and light offshore wind. Excellent again.

Thursday the 30th is solid too. Morning has 5ft SW swell (16 seconds, 1576 energy) with clean offshore E wind. That’s a nice, mellow session. The afternoon gets a bit cross-shore, but still a decent wave.

Friday the 31st offers a bigger 7ft WSW swell in the morning (16 seconds) with a cross-off breeze, but it’s marginal. The afternoon pumps up to 8ft WSW (17 seconds) with a light cross-shore wind—that’s a powerful wave, but only for experts at that size.

Saturday the 1st of August has a clean morning: 8ft WSW swell (16 seconds, 2615 energy) with offshore E wind. That’s excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon gets a bit cross-onshore, but it’s still worth a look.

Sunday the 2nd is a bit smaller and cleaner, with 6ft and 4ft swells through the day. A nice option if you want to avoid the crowd.

Then we get a massive spike. Monday the 3rd of August is a monster. Morning sees a 16ft W swell (11 seconds, 6182 energy—strong). That’s way too big for this break, a real beast. The afternoon is even bigger: 15ft W swell at 14 seconds with a combined energy of 16345 (very strong). The wind is cross-off, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this reef. Only for the most experienced, and even then, be careful.

After that, the bottom falls out. Tuesday the 4th through Saturday the 8th of August is a long stretch of poor surf, with onshore gales, rain, and blown-out conditions. Don’t plan on getting wet.

So, to sum it up: Tuesday the 28th is the best on offer—clean, glassy, beautiful 6ft SW swell. The whole period from the 28th to the 1st of August is solid, with Tuesday being the absolute peak. The long-period swells in that window are perfect for this reef. The 3rd of August is a giant, but only for the brave. After that, it’s a dust-off.

Rusty.

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