The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The Three Bears is the only break on the table for the whole 16-day window, and it’s a consistent reef setup that’s exposed to southwest swell, so it’s got potential even if the conditions get a bit wild. Water temperature is sitting at 65°F with a 1°F anomaly, so it’s essentially normal for this time of year – nothing to worry about there.

The first real standout is Friday morning, August 21st. We’ve got a solid 8ft swell coming from the WSW, with a long period of 15 seconds, and the wind is light offshore from the east at 6 mph. That’s going to give you clean, glassy lines rolling into the reef. The combined wave energy is pumping at 2772 (moderate to strong), and this is a consistent, exposed spot that loves a SW swell. The offshore wind will keep the faces smooth, and the long period will give you some proper push. This is your best early window – for experienced surfers only, as it’s a touch big.

Friday afternoon gets a bit messy as the wind swings cross-shore from the SSW at 9 mph, making it marginal. Saturday and Sunday are dominated by onshore and cross-shore winds, with the swell hanging around 6ft to 7ft, but the quality drops off – not worth the paddle.

Monday morning, August 24th, has a slight chance of being clean with a north wind at 9 mph, but the swell is at 7ft from the WSW with a period of 14 seconds, and the energy is still moderate (1796). It’s a cross-shore wind, so conditions are just okay, but not a standout.

The middle of the week gets rough. Tuesday through to the end of the month sees poor conditions with cross-onshore winds and lumpy seas. Wednesday, August 26th, is a big one: swell hits 15ft with a 18-second period, and energy goes through the roof (13415), but the wind is cross-onshore and the wave quality is poor. That’s more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing day.

Now, a real highlight appears on Thursday morning, August 27th. The wind is light cross-offshore from the SSE at 9 mph, and the swell is a solid 10ft from the WSW with a 15-second period. The combined energy is 4244 (strong). The conditions are excellent for experienced surfers – clean, powerful, and with that long-period groundswell. This is your best window in the second half of the outlook.

Friday morning, August 28th, also looks good with a light offshore from the east at 9 mph, and a 7ft WSW swell at 13 seconds. The energy is moderate (1297), and it’s clean – a nice option for a smaller day.

Monday morning, September 1st, is another standout. The wind is glassy from the WSW at just 3 mph, and the swell is 10ft from the WSW with a 16-second period. The combined energy is 3659 (strong). This is a powerful, clean setup for experienced surfers – the long period means it’ll be breaking with real authority at the reef, and the glassy conditions will make it a dream.

After that, the outlook gets patchy. The first week of September has a lot of onshore and cross-onshore winds, with the swell staying around 7ft to 10ft, but the quality is poor. Saturday morning, September 5th, offers a last chance: a 8ft swell from the SW at 14 seconds, with a cross-offshore wind from the ESE at 12 mph. The energy is strong (3859), and it’s clean – but it’s a long-range call, so don’t bank on it.

Overall, the best windows are Friday morning, August 21st, Thursday morning, August 27th, and Monday morning, September 1st. The Three Bears is a consistent reef that can handle big swell, but the wind is the key – when it’s offshore, it’s magic. When it’s not, it’s a battle.

Rusty.

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