The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

The only game in town for the next 16 days is The Three Bears, a reef break that’s consistent and works best on a southwest swell. The early part of the forecast is a mixed bag, but there are a couple of windows where it’ll be worth paddling out.

We start off Wednesday, September 9th, with some solid southwest groundswell. The morning has 8ft swell from the WSW with a very long 15-second period, and an easterly offshore breeze keeping things clean. The wave energy is pumping hard at 2334 (moderate energy). It’s a touch on the bigger side, but the clean conditions make it a good session for confident beginners. The afternoon cleans up even more with a gentle offshore breeze and the swell holding at 7ft. The energy is still strong (2035), and the surf is glassy. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Thursday the 10th sees the swell drop to 5ft, and the wind turns messy. The morning has a cross-offshore breeze, but the period is still a solid 14 seconds. The wave energy is down to 1097 (weak to moderate). It’s rideable, but nothing special.

Friday the 11th is a write-off. The wind is cross or cross-off, and the swell is average. The energy is moderate (1938-2572), but the quality is lacking.

From Saturday the 12th right through to Tuesday the 15th, the winds go onshore or cross-shore, and the swell runs big – 8ft to 8ft. The wave energy climbs into the very strong territory (2601-3204). It’s going to be a messy, choppy ocean. This stretch is more for kite surfers than paddle surfers. The raw power is there, but the wind will ruin it for us.

Now, Monday the 14th morning is a real standout. Even though the swell is 8ft, we get a 15-second period from the WSW and a clean, gentle offshore breeze from the ENE. The energy is 2487 (strong). This is a clean, powerful, long-period groundswell session. This is the best on offer for the first week. It’s an expert-level wave due to the size, but it will be peeling beautifully.

The next clear window comes on Wednesday the 16th. The morning sees the swell drop to 6ft, still from the WSW with a 14-second period, and a moderate offshore breeze from the east. The wave energy is 1319 (moderate). Conditions are clean and the sets will have some punch. This is a solid pick for intermediate surfers.

After that, we hit a long, rough patch. From Thursday the 17th through to Sunday the 20th, the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, often strong. The wave energy spikes to massive levels on the 20th and 21st (5351-11535), but it’s blown out and messy. There’s a huge 13ft+ swell on the 21st, but the wind is cross-shore and cross-onshore, making it a washed-out, dangerous beast.

The forecast ends on a promising note. Monday the 21st morning has a 13ft swell from the WSW with a 16-second period, and the wind is a moderate cross-shore. The energy is enormous (6824). It’s marginal, but for expert chargers, there will be bombs.

The real final highlight is Wednesday the 23rd. The morning brings back the clean conditions. A 7ft, 14-second WSW groundswell with a gentle offshore breeze from the east. The energy is 1722 (moderate). This is a beautiful, clean, quality reef wave. This is the best in the second week, promising but can’t be locked in this far out.

So, to sum it up: the absolute standout is Monday the 14th morning for the clean, powerful size. The backup is Wednesday the 16th morning for a cleaner, smaller window. The end of the run on Wednesday the 23rd looks like a belter too.

Rusty.

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