The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a solid run of surf on the cards at The Three Bears, but you’ll have to be patient through the early part of the period. The forecast kicks off on Thursday, August 20th, but conditions are a bit ugly with a 10ft WSW swell and a strong cross-onshore wind. The water sits at 66°, which is about a degree and a half warmer than usual for this time of year—nothing crazy, but a touch on the balmy side. The combined swell energy is very strong at 4161. It’s a messy start, so I’d sit this one out.

The real action starts to clean up on Friday, August 21st. Early morning we get a crisp ESE offshore breeze, 8ft of WSW groundswell, and a very long period of 15 seconds. The combined energy is still pumping at 2772. This is proper groundswell stuff, and for a reef like The Three Bears, that long period is going to line up some really nice, powerful walls. It’s going to be a bit hefty for beginners, but for experienced surfers, this is the standout window. The wind is light and clean, making for some excellent conditions.

Saturday morning, August 22nd, is still rideable with a 7ft swell, but the wind swings cross-shore and the energy drops to 2228. It’s not terrible, but nowhere near as good as Friday. By Saturday afternoon the wind picks up to 19 mph, and conditions get lumpy. Sunday is a write-off with strong cross-shore winds and messy waves.

The next real highlight hits on Monday, August 24th. The morning brings a light NE cross-offshore breeze, a 7ft WSW swell, and a great 14-second period. The energy is moderate at 1744, but the clean conditions and solid swell will make for a super fun session. This is another excellent window for experienced surfers, and the crowds are only there sometimes, so you might score a bit of space.

Tuesday, August 25th, sees the swell drop to 5ft, but the wind turns onshore and choppy, so it’s a pass. Things go downhill fast from Wednesday, August 26th, through to the end of August. We get a massive 13ft WSW swell and near-gale force onshore winds, with combined energy spiking to a massive 14336. That’s way too big and messy for paddle surfing—this setup is more interesting for kite surfers. The conditions stay rough and unruly through the rest of the month.

Now, a glimmer of hope: on Friday, August 28th, the morning goes glassy with a calm wind. The swell is a manageable 7ft with a 13-second period and 1514 energy. That’s a clean, glassy morning for experienced surfers, and it’s a real treat after the stretch of bad weather. Grab it if you can.

The first week of September is a mixed bag. The swells are consistently in the 8ft to 12ft range, but the wind is mostly onshore or strong cross-onshore, making for poor, lumpy conditions. The best bet in the second week is Friday, September 4th, with a 10ft WSW swell, a gentle offshore wind, and a 15-second period. The combined energy is 4015. It’s a big, long-period groundswell, and the offshore wind will make it clean, but this is strictly for experts. The conditions are still a bit marginal with the wind, so keep expectations in check.

Overall, the standouts are clear: Friday morning, August 21st, and Monday morning, August 24th, are your best bets. The glassy morning on August 28th is a bonus. The rest is either blown out, too big, or just average.

Stay sharp, and keep an eye on that Friday morning slot.

Rusty.

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