The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what The Three Bears is serving up for the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a rollercoaster, so let’s get into it.

We’re starting off with a bit of a wait. Wednesday and Thursday morning have some swell, but it’s a bit junky with a cross-onshore breeze and questionable conditions. The water’s running a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, which is a small bonus for the first session you get into.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up Thursday morning. The wind swings around to a cross-offshore ENE breeze, cleaning up that 8ft SW swell. The energy is building, and it’s breaking with some proper shape. This is the kind of session where you want to be out there. Thursday afternoon, the wind goes onshore again, so make the most of that morning window.

Friday is the standout of this first stretch. The morning has that same cross-offshore NE wind with a 8ft WSW swell, but it's Friday afternoon that has me fired up. The wind drops to almost nothing, leaving it glassy with a 8ft WSW swell. It’s going to be smooth and lined up. This is the one to circle.

The weekend gets a bit more testing. Saturday morning has a strong cross-offshore breeze making things clean but a bit skittish. Sunday’s wind gets stronger and while it’s still cross-off, it looks less appealing. The swell is there but the quality drops off.

Then we hit a proper block of ugly. Monday onwards brings in strong winds, rain, and a jump in swell size. By Monday afternoon, we’re looking at 15ft of onshore slop – that’s not for paddling, that’s a washing machine. The energy readings are huge, but it’s all for nothing with the wind blowing straight onshore and the whole thing turning into a beast. This stretch from Monday right through the following weekend is blown out and messy. There’s plenty of power in the water, but it’s not surfable for anyone with sense. For a couple of days there, this might be more interesting for the kite crew than for us.

The only break in that chaos is a tiny window on the 25th. The swell has dropped to 5ft, the wind goes offshore for the morning, and it looks clean again. It’s a small window, but it’s something.

All in all, your best bets are Friday afternoon this week, and then a promise of cleaner, smaller waves early next week. The long-range stuff looks promising but it’s a long way out, so don’t book your flights. Stay stoked, check the forecasts, and be ready to move when the wind plays ball.

Rusty.

Read more