
Surf Forecasts:
The Three Bears surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 6 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, W swell with 9,775 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Three Bears this week:
The surf forecast for The Three Bears over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Three Bears in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AWST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Three Bears over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's get into it. We’ve got a wild ride ahead for The Three Bears, so let’s cut through the noise and find the windows.
The first few days are a bit of a mixed bag. Friday afternoon kicks things off but the wind is howling onshore from the west at 22 mph with storm clouds about. The water’s running a touch warmer than normal for this time of year at 67°F, and there’s plenty of energy in the water, but it’s going to be messy.
Saturday morning cleans up a little – the wind drops and swings to the south, but it's still cross-shore, making things a bit lumpy. The swell is a solid 8ft from the WSW with a 15-second period. Saturday afternoon looks better, with the wind turning cross-offshore, and the swell bumps up to 10ft. This is when the Three Bears starts to show its teeth, with clean conditions. This is a good option for experienced surfers.
Sunday is the call. The morning has clean conditions with a cross-offshore breeze, and a solid 8ft of WSW swell. But the standout is Sunday afternoon. The wind drops to a light 3 mph cross-offshore, the sky is clear, and you’ve got 7ft of clean, lined-up swell with a 13-second period. It’s not the biggest, but it’ll be the cleanest surf we’ve seen. The Bears is a reef, so this long-period swell will wrap in nicely. This is the one to circle.
Monday continues the trend, with light offshore winds in the morning and glassy conditions in the afternoon. The swell drops to 5ft, but it’s clean with a long 15-16 second period. This is a great window for beginners or anyone wanting an easy session.
Then the wheels fall off. Tuesday sees the wind swing onshore from the southwest at 22 mph, and the swell jumps back up to 8ft. It’s a washing machine. Wednesday morning has a bigger 12ft swell, but the wind is cross-shore and messy. It’s a no-go.
Thursday and Friday are a washout. Strong winds, rain, and building swell. By Friday, we’re looking at 13ft+ and howling onshore winds. Forget it.
The weekend is when things get serious. Saturday sees the swell pump up to 20ft, but with a near-gale cross-onshore wind, it’s a complete mess. Sunday is even bigger, with 20ft+ of WSW swell and a period stretching out to 18 seconds. This is a colossal amount of energy – we’re talking serious, serious power. The problem is the wind is still onshore, and this swell is way too big for this break. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s likely to be a close-out. If you’re a kitesurfer, this might be your playground, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a hard pass.
The following Monday, the 10th of August, things start to settle. The wind turns cross-offshore from the southeast, and the swell eases to a still-chunky 10ft. It’s clean and powerful – a much better prospect. After the chaos of the weekend, this will feel like a gift.
After that, it fades. Tuesday the 11th has some rideable 7ft swell, but the wind is up and it’s messy. From the 12th onwards, it’s a story of more big, raw, and blown-out surf. The 14th and 15th see another massive pulse of 20-21ft swell, with strong onshore winds. This is not for surfing.
So, here’s the bottom line. The standout is Sunday afternoon, August 3rd – small, clean, and perfect for the reef. The other real highlight is Monday morning, August 10th – a powerful, clean 10ft swell after all the wind. Everything else in this 16-day window is either too small, too windy, or too big. There’s a stretch from the 5th to the 9th where we’re just sitting it out. Stay patient, and keep an eye on that second Monday.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SW on Fri night, light winds from the ENE by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 14°C on Mon afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, strong winds from the NW by Thu morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | W 16 | WSW 16 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
3421 | 2355 | 3114 | 4334 | 3095 | 1862 | 1427 | 1212 | 924 | 1054 | 1279 | 4090 | 3428 | 3197 | 6048 | 6486 | 6112 | 5195 | 9775 | 8715 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:21AM0.63m | 1:43AM0.36m | 10:38AM0.56m | 1:37AM0.41m | 10:45AM0.48m | 1:49AM0.47m | 10:16AM0.40m | 2:23AM0.53m | 3:21AM0.59m | 4:32AM0.65m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 6:20PM0.15m | 6:22PM0.18m | 4:02AM0.35m | 6:23PM0.21m | 5:33AM0.37m | 6:18PM0.25m | 7:25AM0.38m | 5:55PM0.26m | 3:32PM0.23m | 2:52PM0.14m | ||||||||||
— | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | |
5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | |
mm | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
Temp °C | 19 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
Feels °C | 12 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | — | — |
3421 | 2355 | 3114 | 4334 | 3095 | 1862 | 1427 | 1212 | 924 | 1054 | 1279 | 4090 | 3428 | 3197 | 6048 | 6486 | 6112 | 5195 | — | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | N 4 | — | — | WSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | 761 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | SW 8 | — | — | — | NE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 4 | — | — | WNW 5 | — | NW 6 | W 16 | WSW 16 |
148 | 358 | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | — | 120 | — | 411 | 9775 | 8715 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 269 | 467 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 366 | 269 | 224 | 224 | 220 | 630 | 366 | 1686 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Margaret River | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Three Bears Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Three Bears provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Three Bears can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Three Bears surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Three Bears) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Three Bears may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Three Bears is 64 km (40 miles) from the city of Bunbury. If you plan a holiday in Margaret River, look for hotels and other accommodation in Bunbury. Bunbury has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











