The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got one spot to look at—The Three Bears—and it’s a reef break that takes a solid SW groundswell. The water temp is sitting at 67°F, pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises there. This place is a consistent little wave for beginners, but when it gets up, it’s only for experienced surfers.

Wednesday morning kicks things off with a beauty. The swell is a clean 8ft from the WSW, and the period is a very long 17 seconds—that’s proper groundswell energy right there. The combined energy is strong at 3697. Best of all, it’s glassy, dead calm wind. For an exposed reef, that’s about as good as it gets. The waves will be lined up, but with a period that long, it’ll be a bit straight on a beach break; on a reef like this, it’ll hold its shape beautifully. This is the standout session. Wednesday afternoon gets a bit bumpy with a light cross-shore, but the swell bumps up to 10ft with similar period and energy at 3865—still big, clean enough, but the wind adds a wrinkle.

Thursday morning turns cross-on with a 9 mph breeze, dropping the quality. Swell dips to 8ft, period 14 seconds, energy moderate at 2350. It’s choppy. Thursday afternoon goes onshore at 6 mph, 7ft swell, period 14 seconds, energy down to 1775. Not great.

Friday morning brings a cleaner cross-off wind at 12 mph, swell down to 5ft, period 13 seconds, energy weak at 824. It’s clean but small. Friday afternoon is a cross-shore mess with 16 mph winds and only 5ft swell. Poor.

Saturday morning sees some hope: light cross-off wind at 6 mph, 5ft swell from the SW, period 13 seconds, energy weak at 733. The note says expect very good conditions—so take that as a clean, fun little window if you’re a beginner. Saturday afternoon goes cross-shore and lumpy again.

Sunday morning is a gem: glassy calm, 7ft swell from the WSW, period 15 seconds, energy moderate at 2151. Excellent for experienced surfers. That’s your second standout—clean, lined-up, proper reef surf. Sunday afternoon gets cross-shore chop.

Monday morning: glassy again, 8ft swell, period 16 seconds, energy strong at 3068. Another excellent early window. Monday afternoon gets a light cross-shore, still okay but not magic.

Tuesday has offshore winds all day—ENE at 12 mph in the morning, then lighter E at 6 mph in the afternoon. Swell holds at 7ft, period 15 seconds, energy around 1950-1960. Clean, offshore, solid. That’s a full day of good waves.

Then it goes pear-shaped. Wednesday the 15th through the rest of the forecast turns windy, rainy, and messy. Swell jumps up to 16ft and 20ft on the 19th and 20th, with combined energy over 15,000—that’s very strong—but the wind is onshore gale force or near-gale. It’s just blown out. Too big and too wild for paddle surfing here; honestly, that setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than anything else.

So, the best on offer: Wednesday morning, July 8, glassy with an 8ft long-period groundswell—that’s the pick. Sunday morning, July 12, glassy with 7ft, 15-second swell—second best. Tuesday, July 14, clean offshore winds all day. After that, it’s a long stretch of poor conditions from July 15 right through the 23rd, so get out early.

Rusty.

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