The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty again. Let’s talk The Three Bears in feet and miles per hour for the imperial-minded crew.

This is a reef break, good for beginners when it’s small, and it breaks consistently. The swell is all coming from the southwest. Water temp is about normal for this time of year.

First up, Friday the 4th. Don’t bother. Morning is a total mess with a strong 19 mph cross-on shore and a lumpy 13 foot swell. The combined energy is a massive 5158, but it’s just a blown-out disaster. Afternoon is a little better but still choppy with 12 foot waves. Not worth it.

Saturday the 5th is a total write-off. Rain, thunderstorms, and howling onshore winds up to 25 mph, with 10 foot messy surf.

Sunday the 6th is the first sign of life. The wind turns clean cross-off from the SSE at 25 mph, but it’s still strong. The swell drops to 12 feet. The energy is 3786. It’s clean, but for experienced surfers only. Afternoon is similar with 8 foot waves.

Monday the 7th is the first real winner. Morning has a light 6 mph breeze from the SE, clean conditions, and a solid 10 foot groundswell with a long 16 second period. Combined energy is 3957. That’s excellent for experienced surfers. The long period makes for powerful, well-shaped reef waves. Afternoon gets a bit criss-cross, but the morning is gold.

Tuesday the 8th is the absolute best day of the whole stretch. Morning has a moderate offshore from the ESE at 12 mph, a clean 10 foot swell with a 17 second period, and energy of 5464. That’s exceptional. Then the afternoon goes glassy – dead calm, 3 mph wind, same 10 foot swell. This is a once-in-a-forecast kind of day. Perfect reef waves.

Wednesday the 9th is another good one. Morning is clean with a cross-off breeze and 8 foot swell. Afternoon goes glassy with 8 foot waves. Not as big as Tuesday, but still very fun.

Thursday the 10th has smaller surf at 5 to 5 feet, but morning is clean and afternoon is glassy. Good for the beginners.

Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th are no-gos. Friday gets blown out, and Saturday is a full-on gale with 40 mph onshore winds and heavy rain. The swell hits 10 feet but it’s a washing machine.

Sunday the 13th is poor, lumpy, and cross-on.

Monday the 14th is marginal with a 7 foot chop.

Second week: Tuesday the 15th starts strong. Morning has a light 3 mph SE wind, clean, with 8 feet of long-period groundswell at 17 seconds. Energy is 3771. That’s excellent for experienced surfers. A hidden gem.

Wednesday the 16th is another standout. Morning has a moderate offshore from the ENE at 12 mph, 12 feet of swell at 16 seconds, and a massive 5522 energy. That’s exceptional. Afternoon goes glassy again with 10 feet. This is on par with Tuesday the 8th.

Thursday the 17th fades, and Friday the 18th is a small, clean morning with 5 feet – a good beginner window.

Saturday the 19th is far out but looks promising. Glassy calm with 10 feet of long-period groundswell and 5287 energy. Exceptional, but it’s a long way off.

So yeah, the two days to circle on the calendar are Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 16th. Everything else is either blown out or for the smaller-wave crew.

Rusty.

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