The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up for The Three Bears. This is a reef break that’s consistent and exposed to the SW swell, so it picks up a lot of energy. The water temp is sitting at 66° right now, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

We’ve got a decent run of surf starting on Tuesday the 28th. Tuesday morning is looking pretty good with a 6ft SW swell, a long 14-second period, and a light ENE breeze keeping things clean. The combined energy is solid at 1587 (moderate wave energy), and while it’s a bit on the bigger side, it’s still manageable for experienced surfers. Tuesday afternoon turns glassy with a light SW wind, same swell size, and it’s going to be super clean.

Wednesday the 29th holds in there with a 5ft to 6ft WSW swell, periods stretching from 13 to 16 seconds. The winds are cross-offshore, so it’ll stay clean, but the quality might dip a little due to tide issues. Still, there’s plenty of wave energy (1356-1366) to keep things interesting.

Thursday the 30th drops off a bit. Swell backs down to 4ft, and while the winds are cross-off, the energy drops to 948-1125. It’s surfable but not the standout.

Now, Friday the 31st is a write-off. Strong cross-onshore winds, 7ft to 8ft of messy WSW swell, and energy jumping up to 2522-3285. It’s going to be choppy and lumpy. Not worth paddling out.

We get a bit of a reprieve on Saturday the 1st of August. Morning has a 10ft WSW swell with a cross-off SE wind, but the real gem is the afternoon. The wind swings to a light offshore from the E, the swell holds at 10ft, and the energy is pumping at 3714. That’s excellent wave energy for the experienced crew. The period is a moderate 14 seconds, so it’ll shape up nicely on the reef.

Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd are mixed. Swell drops to 5ft-7ft, winds are cross-off, but the energy is moderate. Decent if you’re keen, but not the best of the run.

Tuesday the 4th of August is another no-go. Strong onshore winds and an 8ft SW swell with an 18-second period sound enticing, but it’s blown out. Energy is high at 3691, but the wind kills it.

The standout for the entire forecast window is Wednesday the 5th of August. We’re looking at a massive 15ft to 13ft WSW swell, a very long 17-second period, and clean cross-off winds. The energy is off the charts – 10720 in the morning and 9076 in the afternoon. This is serious groundswell, and for a reef break like The Three Bears, that’s going to produce some long, powerful lines. This is for experts only. It’s too big for beginners and even intermediates will be in over their heads. The crowd might be a factor here since it’s a consistent spot, but on a day like this, it’ll be the experienced locals out.

Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th are messy again with strong onshore winds. The swell stays huge (10ft to 18ft), but the wind is blowing it apart. Friday the 7th afternoon has an 18ft WSW swell with a 19-second period and energy at 23282, but with a strong cross-onshore, it’s a no-go for paddle surfing. That kind of setup might be interesting for the kite crew, but not for us.

The final real highlight is Monday the 10th of August. Light cross-off winds, an 18ft to 16ft WSW swell, and periods of 11 to 14 seconds. The energy is massive (7910-11006), and the conditions are clean. This is exceptional, expert-level surf. The swell is big, but the wind is light and the reef will handle the power. Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th hold similar size but with cross-shore winds, so it’s a bit less groomed, but still big and powerful.

So, to sum it up: the best bets are Tuesday the 28th afternoon for a glassy session, Saturday the 1st of August afternoon for a big, clean swell, and the absolute standout is Wednesday the 5th of August – that’s the one to circle on the calendar. The 10th of August is also a cracker. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or just for the hellmen.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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