The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into what’s coming up for The Three Bears.

First up, this is a reef break that’s exposed to the SW swell, and it's usually a good spot for beginners when conditions play ball. Over the forecast period, the water temperature is running about average for the time of year, so nothing wild there.

The next few days look pretty average to be honest. Saturday and Sunday, the 11th and 12th of July, we’ve got a building SW swell, but the wind is cross or cross-on, so it’s going to be a bit lumpy and messy. The swell energy is moderate to strong, but the scores are low, and the wave comment says it’s marginal. Monday morning the 13th pushes up to 8ft, 16-second period from the WSW, with a decent energy reading, but that cross-on breeze keeps it from being clean. It’s a bit of a wait.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Tuesday the 14th of July is the standout. The morning starts with a clean cross-off breeze from the ENE, and by the afternoon we get glassy conditions with the wind dropping to almost nothing. The swell is a solid 7ft to 8ft, from the WSW, with a long 15-second period. This is a proper groundswell, and on a reef, that long period is going to set up some nice shaped lines. The wave comment calls it excellent for experienced surfers – at this size, it’s a bit much for beginners, but for the crew who know what they’re doing, it’s going to be clean and fun. Crowds can be an issue here sometimes, so get in early.

After that, the wind turns nasty. Wednesday the 15th through Saturday the 18th of July is a write-off. We’re talking strong to near-gale winds, massive swell (up to 15ft), and the wave comments are all “poor” or “blown out.” The energy spikes to huge levels, but the wind is howling cross-on. That’s not a surf session; that’s a kite-surfing day if you’re into that.

Sunday the 19th of July shows a drop in the wind, but it’s still cross-shore with a cross-chop, and the swell is still 10ft. It’s marginal.

Now, looking into the second week, there’s a glimmer. Monday the 20th of July morning has a glassy, 6ft SW swell with the wave comment saying “expect very good surf conditions.” It’s a smaller, cleaner window, but the confidence is lower this far out. Tuesday the 21st of July morning also looks promising with a clean 4ft SW swell and light offshore winds. The rest of the week sees some cleaner cross-off winds, but the swell is inconsistent and the scores are lower. The 24th of July Friday pushes up to 8ft from the WSW with a 15-second period and clean winds, but the marginal rating is worth noting – it’s a long-range call, so don’t bank on it just yet.

To sum it up: Tuesday the 14th is your best bet by a long shot. If you’re after a clean, long-period swell on a reef, that’s the one. The rest of the first week is a battleground, and the second week has potential but needs a lot of luck.

Rusty.

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