The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what The Three Bears has got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks.

We’re looking at a solid run of swell, but the wind is going to be the big talking point. Early on, we’ve got some proper size on the way with clean conditions, but then a long stretch of messy, onshore winds moves in before things clean up again in the second week. The water temperature is sitting at 67°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – not a game-changer, but a nice little bonus if you’re paddling out in a shorty.

### The Early Window (August 2nd)

The standout is definitely Sunday, August 2nd. This is the best bet early on. The morning kicks off with a 8 ft WSW swell, period a solid 13 seconds, and a light NE cross-off breeze. The wave energy is strong (1834). It’s clean, and it’s a good size for experienced crew. Then, the afternoon gets even better – the wind drops right back to 6 mph, cross-off, with a 7 ft WSW swell. The energy is still strong (1427) but the conditions are described as excellent. Get on it if you can.

### The Messy Middle (August 3rd – 7th)

Right after that, we hit a rough patch. Monday, August 3rd, the swell drops to 4 ft but the wind cranks up to 19 mph from the NNE, making it cross-on and lumpy by the afternoon. From Tuesday, August 4th, right through to Friday, August 7th, things get big and ugly. We’ve got a 10 ft to 12 ft WSW swell rolling in with period up to 18 seconds but the wind is onshore or cross-on, and strong. The combined energy readings are massive – hitting up to 7703 – but with that onshore wind, it’s going to be a washing machine. This stretch is going to be a write-off for a paddle surfer. Honestly, with that wind and size, you’d be better off dragging a kite out there.

### A Glimmer of Hope (August 8th)

Saturday, August 8th, shows a bit of a reprieve. The wind finally swings cross-shore (SSW) and the swell is still pumping at 15 ft in the morning and 13 ft in the afternoon. The energy is colossal (14336 in the morning). The waves will be big and lumpy with cross-chop, so it’s still only for the expert crew, but the quality is the best it’s been in days. It’s a 7/10 quality call for the afternoon.

### The Long Wait and Finale (August 9th – 17th)

After the 8th, it gets grim again. Sunday the 9th has some size but onshore wind, and then the 10th is a full-on write-off with rain and gale-force winds. The 11th of August has some early promise with a 10 ft SW swell and offshore wind, but the wind is 31 mph, which is just brutal for paddling. The 12th through the 14th is all cross and cross-shore winds with the swell sitting around 7 ft to 12 ft.

Things finally turn around for the last couple of days. Saturday, August 15th, we’ve got a 7 ft WSW groundswell with a 15-second period. The wind is a gentle NE cross-off, making for some clean lines. The energy is moderate (2235). Then, the real cherry on top is Sunday, August 16th. Glassy conditions – a 3 mph offshore from the ENE swinging to a light SW cross-on in the afternoon. We’ve got a 10 ft W swell. For the morning session, with that glassy offshore wind, this is going to be some of the cleanest, biggest surf of the whole outlook for experienced surfers.

And then the window closes with Monday, August 17th, offering a last hurrah: a 13 ft W swell with a moderate cross-off breeze and excellent conditions for the experienced surfer in the afternoon.

So, to sum it up: hit Sunday, August 2nd, or the glass-off on Sunday, August 16th. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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