The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way at The Three Bears over the next couple of weeks.

Right now, it’s a bit of a slow start. The first few days are a write-off – Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th are blown out with cross-onshore winds and messy, choppy conditions. The swell is there, around 7ft to 8ft, but it’s wind-affected and not worth paddling out for. The combined energy of all swells directed here is strong (2590) on Sunday morning, but the wind is just ruining it.

Things start to look up on Wednesday the 22nd. That morning, we’ve got a clean 7ft SW swell with a nice 13-second period and a gentle offshore breeze out of the east. The afternoon goes glassy, with a 7ft SW groundswell at 14 seconds. Combined energy is strong (1949). This is the standout of the whole run – clean, powerful, and the wind is either offshore or glassy. The water temp is about 67°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. This spot is a reef break, so it’s best for experienced surfers at this size. It’s also consistent, but be aware that it can get crowded sometimes.

Thursday the 23rd holds a smaller but still clean 5ft SW swell in the morning, with a light cross-offshore breeze. The afternoon looks even better with clean 5ft surf and a slight air. Combined energy is moderate (736). Good for a fun session.

Friday the 24th is smaller again, with 4ft to 4ft, but the wind stays clean and cross-offshore. It’s a good option for a longboard or a mellow session.

Saturday the 25th is a bust – strong winds from the north turning it into a choppy mess. Don’t bother.

Now, Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th, the swell comes back up, but the wind is onshore and howling at 28 mph. The surf will be big, 8ft to 10ft, but it’s going to be a lumpy, windblown mess. Only for the hardcore or possibly a kite session.

Tuesday the 28th is a redemption day. We get a clean 6ft SW swell with a moderate offshore breeze from the east. Combined energy is moderate (1075). The reef should be handling this nicely, and the wind is offshore. This is a solid call.

The next few days, from the 29th to the 30th, stay clean with offshore winds. The swell is a bit smaller, 4ft to 5ft, but the period is long – up to 19 seconds on the 30th afternoon. That very long period groundswell will be lining up nicely on the reef. Combined energy is moderate (1738). This is a classic, clean, long-period run.

Then we get a major spike on Friday the 31st. The morning is a 13ft W swell with a short period of 8 seconds – that’s a messy, short-period swell. The afternoon is a massive 18ft W swell with a 12-second period, and the combined energy is huge (8197). The wind is cross-offshore, keeping it clean. This is for experts only, and it’s a big, powerful ocean.

Saturday the 1st of August is a monster. The forecast is showing a 23ft WSW swell with a 17-second period – that’s an absolute beast. The wind is cross-offshore and clean. The combined energy is astronomical (26758). This is way too big for this break, even for experts. It’s likely unsurfable here, so be warned.

Sunday the 2nd is still big with a 12ft to 10ft swell, but the wind turns onshore in the afternoon, making it a lumpy mess. Monday the 3rd is a total washout with strong onshore winds and rain.

So, to wrap it up: the best windows are Wednesday the 22nd and Tuesday the 28th. Wednesday the 22nd is the real standout with a glassy afternoon and strong, clean groundswell. The second week has a promising run from the 29th to the 30th with clean, long-period lines, and then a massive, expert-only swell on the 31st. The 1st of August is too big for this spot.

Stay safe, and I’ll see you in the water.

Rusty

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