The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu.

The Three Bears (reef) is the only spot with any action in the 16-day window, and it’s a real mixed bag. The water’s sitting at 64°, which is bang on average for this time of year – nothing unusual there.

The first real chance of a decent wave comes on Saturday August 29th afternoon. Swell is 7 ft from the WSW with a juicy 17-second period, and the ESE wind is blowing offshore. That’s clean, powerful, and lined up. The combined energy is a meaty 2517, so there’s plenty of grunt. This is a standout for experienced surfers – the reef will handle that long-period groundswell beautifully.

Sunday August 30th morning is clean again with a cross-offshore ENE breeze, 8 ft WSW swell at 18 seconds. The energy is up to 3633, but the tide might be a factor. The afternoon on Sunday turns onshore with a light WNW breeze, so quality drops.

From Monday August 31st through to Saturday September 6th, it’s a write-off. Strong winds, onshore, rain, and blown-out conditions. The swell is there, but it’s a mess. This stretch is a solid gap of poor surf, nearly a full week of no-go.

Now, the good stuff comes back on Sunday September 7th. The morning shows 12 ft WSW swell, 17-second period, and a gentle cross-shore N breeze. The energy is 6578, and the score is the best in a while. It’s still a bit lumpy, but it’s getting there. Monday September 8th is similar but smaller.

The real standout of the entire forecast is Thursday September 10th afternoon. Glassy conditions with a 5 km/h N wind, 13 ft of WSW swell at 17 seconds, and energy at 8926. That’s exceptional for experts. The reef will hold that size, and with no wind, it’ll be as clean as it gets. The morning of the 10th is also clean, with a cross-offshore SE breeze.

Friday September 11th stays clean with cross-offshore winds, but the swell drops to 8-10 ft.

Then there’s a rough patch on Saturday September 12th with strong cross-shore winds.

But wait – Sunday September 13th afternoon is another absolute gem. Glassy conditions again, 15 ft WSW swell at 19 seconds, and energy at 16030. That’s massive, and it’s glassy. However, the swell is predicted to be too big for this break, so only the most experienced and confident should even think about it. The morning of the 13th is promising too, with a light cross-shore breeze and 8 ft at 22 seconds.

So, to wrap it up: Saturday August 29th afternoon and Thursday September 10th afternoon are your best bets. The 10th is the pick of the lot – glassy, heavy, and clean. The 13th is huge but potentially too big.

Rusty.

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