
Surf Forecasts:
The Three Bears surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 11 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 17,666 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 8 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Three Bears this week:
The surf forecast for The Three Bears over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 2PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 5.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 4.0m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Three Bears in the next 16 days are 6.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (AWST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 2PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 20ft (6.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Three Bears over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks are looking like a bit of a mixed bag around The Three Bears (Big Island). We’ve got some serious size coming, but the wind and conditions are going to be the big story. Don't get too excited about the first few days, it's going to be a bit of a grind.
Right off the bat, from Friday the 7th through the weekend, we’ve got a big, powerful WSW groundswell pushing in. We’re talking 12ft to 18ft of solid, long-period swell. The energy is through the roof, with combined energy values in the thousands – that’s a lot of water moving. But the wind is going to be the enemy here. It’s onshore and howling, 19 to 31 mph, and it’s just going to be blown out and messy. This is not our time. And honestly, with that size, it’s getting into the territory where only the most experienced crew would even be looking at it. This setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The start of next week, Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th, doesn't offer much relief. The swell stays big, 15ft to 16ft, and the wind is still strong and cross-onshore. It’s going to be lumpy, choppy, and just plain ugly. Even though there’s a ton of energy in the water, it’s not going to be organized. The forecast notes say the wind and tide might be favorable, but the swell is just too big for this break. We’ll have to sit this one out.
Then we get a bit of a breather. Wednesday the 12th the swell backs down to a more manageable 10ft, but the wind is still on it, so it stays bumpy. Thursday the 13th things start to look a little more interesting. The swell drops to 8-10ft and the wind eases right off. It’s still a bit cross-onshore in the morning, but by the afternoon it’s just a light breeze. The energy is moderate, and the long period (16-17 seconds) means there’s some good push behind it. It’s a step in the right direction.
Now, here’s where it starts to get good. Friday the 14th is looking like the first real standout. The swell is a clean 8ft from the WSW, and we finally get some offshore/cross-offshore wind from the NE. It’s a light breeze, so the surface is going to be clean. The conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the day to get out there. It’s not huge, but it’s got power and the wind is right. This is a solid option.
Saturday the 15th is a bit of a drop-off. The swell drops to 6ft, the period drops, and the wind goes a bit cross-shore. It’s surfable but not special. Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th the wind goes back onshore and the swell bumps back up to 10-12ft. It’s going to be choppy and lumpy again. We’re back to the poor conditions.
The middle of next week, Tuesday the 18th, we see a bit of a rebound. The swell is 12ft and the wind is light, but it’s a bit cross-shore. It’s workable, but not perfect.
Then we get to the real gem of this whole forecast. Wednesday the 19th, early in the morning. The wind is set to go completely glassy – zero wind. The swell is a consistent 12ft from the WSW with a long 16-second period. The conditions are called "exceptional" for expert surfers. This is the one. This is the day you set your alarm for. The energy is strong, the waves will have real power, and with the glassy surface, it’s going to be as good as it gets. This is the standout of the entire window.
After that, the end of the week and into the next weekend, it settles down. Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st see the swell ease to 8ft and then 6ft. The wind is more favorable, with some cross-offshore and clean conditions. It’s a nice way to finish the period, but the size is backing off. The long period on Saturday the 22nd with a smaller 5ft swell is a sign that the energy is really fading out.
So, to sum it up: the first half of this forecast is a write-off due to size and wind. Your windows are Friday the 14th, and the big one – that glassy Wednesday morning on the 19th. That’s the one to chase. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it, but it’s looking promising.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SW on Fri night, moderate winds from the WSW by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon morning, min 9°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (near gales from the SW on Mon afternoon, moderate winds from the SW by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 11 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
4484 | 5107 | 6190 | 11228 | 13215 | 10937 | 6425 | 4357 | 2346 | 3648 | 7220 | 15637 | 14867 | 10920 | 6829 | 4347 | 3714 | 2989 | 3030 | 4593 | 4760 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 5:41AM0.71m | 6:43AM0.76m | 7:39AM0.80m | 8:30AM0.81m | 9:16AM0.78m | 9:57AM0.72m | |||||||||||||||
Low Tide | 3:11PM0.05m | 3:43PM-0.02m | 4:20PM-0.06m | 4:58PM-0.07m | 5:36PM-0.04m | 6:09PM0.03m | 6:32PM0.12m | ||||||||||||||
7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | |
— | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | |
mm | — | — | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 8 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 6 | -2 | -1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | — | — | — | W 16 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | — | — | — | WSW 16 | — | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 |
4484 | — | — | — | 7207 | 10937 | 6425 | 4357 | 2346 | — | — | — | 8050 | — | 3485 | 4347 | 3714 | 2989 | 3030 | 4593 | 4760 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NW 12 | WSW 22 | NW 12 | WSW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 24 | SW 21 | — | WSW 17 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 6 | 308 | 5 | 332 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | 117 | — | 813 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 11 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | — | — | — | WNW 5 | WSW 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2790 | 5107 | 6190 | 11228 | 13215 | — | — | — | 98 | 3648 | 7220 | 15637 | 14867 | 10920 | 6829 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 269 | 366 | 1911 | 1797 | 1797 | 1911 | 224 | 477 | 269 | 2650 | 2018 | 2021 | 234 | 234 | 67 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Margaret River | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Three Bears Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Three Bears provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Three Bears can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Three Bears surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Three Bears) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Three Bears may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Three Bears is 64 km (40 miles) from the city of Bunbury. If you plan a holiday in Margaret River, look for hotels and other accommodation in Bunbury. Bunbury has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











