The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. I’m taking a look at the outlook for The Three Bears. It’s a reef break, exposed to the SW swell, and it’s consistent. For beginners, it’s a good spot, but we’ve got a rough patch to get through first.

The next week and a half is mostly a write-off, to be honest. From Thursday the 16th right through to about Sunday the 27th of July, it’s messy. Strong winds, cross-onshore, and lumpy conditions are the story. The combined swell energy is huge during that stretch – we’re seeing numbers like 2562, 7368, and even 8150 early on, but with those onshore winds, the quality is just poor. That Saturday the 18th and Saturday the 25th see some serious size, with waves hitting 16 ft and 13 ft, but again, it’s blown out and messy. That kind of power (7368 and 3876 combined energy) is only for the hardcore, and even then, the wind’s a problem. For most, that’s a big, ugly, no-go zone. Kite surfers might have a field day, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a hard pass.

Now, things start to shift around the 21st of July. We get a little cross-off wind, and by Wednesday the 22nd, we finally see our first real standout. The morning of the 22nd is clean with a light breeze, 6 ft of swell from the WSW at a solid 13-second period. The combined energy is a moderate 1167, and the conditions are clean for experienced surfers. That is the first window of quality. It’s not massive, but it’s clean.

The real gold, though, is the last few days of the month. The standout is definitely from Tuesday the 28th of July onwards. On the morning of the 28th, the wind goes offshore from the East, light at 6 mph, with 5 ft swell from the SW. Very clean. But the afternoon? That’s the magic moment. The wind drops to glassy conditions – a 6 mph glass-off from the SW, with a tiny 2 ft swell but a massive 20-second period from the WSW. The combined energy is still moderate at 802, but that period is incredibly long. At a reef break like The Three Bears, that’s going to produce some beautifully lined-up, smooth waves. It’s not big, but it will be epic.

And it keeps getting better into the end of the month. Thursday the 30th of July is the peak. Moderate offshore wind from the ENE at 16 mph, with 7 ft of WSW swell at a 19-second period. That’s a groundswell of serious quality. The combined energy is a very strong 4822, but the offshore wind will hold it together. That’s expert territory given the size (over 8 ft) and power, but for those who can handle it, it’s going to be excellent. Friday the 31st is also very good, with offshore winds and 7 ft swell.

So, to sum it up: suffer through the first ten days, the real surf kicks off on the 22nd, but the absolute standout windows are the glassy afternoon of the 28th and the big, clean offshore days on the 30th and 31st.

Rusty.

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