The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Alright, let’s talk about the Three Bears. The forecast is a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s one standout session that’ll have the crew frothing.

Right from the get-go, things are rough. Monday the 17th is a write-off with strong winds and messy, blown-out conditions on a solid 12ft to 15ft swell that’s carrying a huge wallop of energy (7313). The wind is howling onshore and it’s just ugly. Forget it.

Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th improve only slightly, with a big 13ft groundswell from the west on Tuesday, period hanging around 16 seconds. The wind is still cross-onshore though, so it’s choppy and marginal at best. The combined energy is very strong (7308) but the quality just isn’t there for a fun paddle.

We see some decent size carrying on through the rest of the week, with 10ft to 8ft swells, but the wind is never quite right. It’s either onshore or cross-onshore, making things messy. The energy values drop a bit but are still moderate to strong.

Now, here’s the one you’ve been waiting for. On Saturday morning, the 22nd of August, the stars nearly align. The swell drops to a more manageable 8ft, still a solid WSW groundswell with a period of 16 seconds. But the big, beautiful news is the wind – it turns glassy, with just a hint of air from the east. This is a reef break that’s exposed to the southwest swell, and with those conditions, it’s going to be clean, lined-up, and offering excellent quality for experienced surfers. The energy is still strong (2716) so there’s plenty of push. This is your best chance of the whole forecast, but be aware – crowds are possible here at the best of times, so get in early.

After that little gem, it falls apart again. Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th are back to poor, choppy conditions with the swell dropping and wind picking up. Then from Tuesday the 25th through to the end of the period, it gets wild again with some seriously big, stormy swells. We’re talking 12ft to 15ft swells with strong, messy cross-winds and energy numbers going through the roof (7597, 12282). This is big, powerful, and chaotic – for experts only, and even then, the conditions are poor. The longer period groundswells mean it’ll be fat and fast, better suited for a point or reef, but the wind is trashing it.

So to wrap it up: the big window from the start until Friday the 21st is mostly average. The absolute standout is Saturday the 22nd morning. After that, you’re looking at a gap of stormy, poor-quality surf until the very end of the month, with a few marginal days on the 29th and 30th, but nothing you’d get too excited about. The long-range stuff at the very end of August and start of September is big and messy – not worth planning a trip around.

Stay salty.

Rusty

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