The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s cookin’ at The Three Bears.

This reef break is pretty exposed to the southwest, so when the ocean decides to push, it’ll feel it. Right now, it’s a bit of a rough start, with the first few days looking pretty ugly. The water temp’s about 67°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

The first surf worth paddling out for isn’t until Monday the 27th in the morning. It’s a big drop from what we’re seeing beforehand. That southwest swell is hanging around 8 ft at 12 seconds, with combined energy of 1875 (moderate to strong), and we’ve got a cross-off wind cleaning things up. It’s a bit marginal though – tide might play games with ya. The afternoon drops to 6 ft, same period, with clean conditions. Not a standout, but it’s a start.

Now, Tuesday the 28th is where the magic starts to whisper. The morning shows an excellent window for experienced surfers: 6 ft of southwest groundswell at a long 14 seconds, with a gentle offshore breeze from the east. Combined energy is 1587. That’s a proper groundswell, which can sometimes make beach breaks close out a bit, but here at a reef, the shape should be damn good. The afternoon turns glassy as the wind drops to nothing. Still 6 ft at that long period. This setup looks sweet. The calm wind makes for perfect, clean lines. This is one of the best calls in the window.

Wednesday the 29th still holds some solid promise. Morning has cross-off wind with 5 ft of swell, period stretching to 14 seconds. Clean and rideable. The afternoon though, the period jumps to 16 seconds – very long period groundswell. That’s gonna put some serious energy into these waves. It’s excellent for experienced surfers. This is a real good day for anyone that knows how to handle that longer lull between sets.

We hit a bit of a lull from Thursday the 30th right through the end of the month. Swell drops out, winds turn onshore or cross, and the scores drop to zero. Not worth your time.

Then we see a pulse come back for Saturday the 1st of August. It’s back up to 10 ft in the morning, 8 ft in the afternoon, both from the southwest. Period is 15 seconds. It’s got cross-off wind so it’s clean, but it’s marginal for crowds – says “sometimes” crowded. That’s a bit of a beast for a beginner at 10 ft though – that’s expert territory. But the energy is massive (3719 in the morning, 3084 in the afternoon).

Sunday the 2nd of August is looking like the other big standout. The afternoon turns completely glassy, with 7 ft of southwest swell at a 13-second period. Combined energy sits at 1349. The calm wind and clean conditions on an excellent day? That’s as good as it gets in a 16-day window. This is a real treat.

From there, the next week (starting Monday the 3rd) stays pretty good but with a catch. The winds stay favorable for the most part, but the swell does some back-and-forth. Monday morning has 5 ft with a clean offshore wind – excellent for experienced surfers. The rest of the week is a mix of good-looking days (like Thursday the 6th with 10 ft and clean, light winds at 15 seconds – very strong energy of 4209) and some days where the wind swings onshore and ruins the party (like Tuesday the 4th and Friday the 7th). The whole second week of August has a lot of onshore or cross-onshore winds, and while the swell is consistent, the quality takes a dive. By Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th, we’re talking gale-force winds and heavy rain. Just stay out of the water.

Bottom line: If I had to pick the absolute best, it’s Tuesday afternoon the 28th – glassy, 6 ft, long-period swell, perfect. And the other one to circle is Sunday afternoon the 2nd of August – the same magic combo, but even better conditions. Don’t waste your energy on the rest of the second week unless you’re a glutton for messy, onshore slop.

Rusty.

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