The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a long stretch ahead, but it’s gonna be a rough ride for a while. The swell is pumping, but the wind is a nightmare for the first week or so.

The main spot on the radar is The Three Bears. This is a reef break, consistent, and it faces southwest. The first thing you need to know is the water is sitting at 67°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

Right now, we’re looking at a solid 10 ft swell from the WSW, with a very long period of 16 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, but the trouble is the wind. Thursday morning (August 6th) is a write-off. We’ve got a 19 mph NW wind hitting it cross-on, making the whole thing lumpy and poor. The combined energy is massive at 5061, but it’s not usable. It stays messy through Friday and Saturday, with the wind cranking onshore. Saturday morning (August 8th) is completely blown out by a 31 mph SW near gale, with a massive 16 ft swell. The energy is stupid high (10879), but that’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing. The size is too big for beginners, and honestly, for most of us.

The situation doesn’t let up. Sunday and Monday (August 9th & 10th) are still onshore and messy, with the swell staying over 10 ft and the wind gale-force at times. Tuesday (August 11th) is still cross-on and lumpy, with an 18 ft swell and a period of 17 seconds. The energy is 16320, but it’s way too big and blown out.

We finally get a break in the weather on Friday, August 14th. The morning looks clean with a light 6 mph ENE cross-off breeze. The swell has dropped to a more manageable 8 ft from the WSW, with a period of 16 seconds. The energy is down to 3035, and the conditions are clean. This is your best chance for a decent session, but it’s still a solid wave – best for experienced surfers. The afternoon is even cleaner with a 3 mph NE breeze. This is the standout of the whole outlook.

Saturday (August 15th) is a step down, with a slight cross-chop. Then we get another blast of strong wind from Sunday (August 16th) through to Tuesday (August 18th). The swell stays big (12 ft to 13 ft) and the wind is messy again.

Looking further out, Wednesday (August 19th) and Thursday (August 20th) show some promise. The wind is light, and the swell is still a solid 15 ft from the W with a 16-second period. The energy is around 9600 to 9840. The conditions are rated as marginal, but with light winds, it could clean up. This is a long-range call, so don’t hold your breath, but it’s worth keeping an eye on.

The final window on Friday, August 21st, shows a 13 ft swell with a gentle cross-onshore breeze. It’s not perfect, but it’s a solid option compared to the rest of the trash we’ve been looking at.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a total washout. The only real highlight is Friday morning, August 14th. Everything else is a battle against the wind or the size.

Rusty.

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