
Surf Forecasts:
The Three Bears surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 14 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, W swell with 9,464 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Three Bears this week:
The surf forecast for The Three Bears over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Three Bears in the next 16 days are 4.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.4m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AWST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Three Bears over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s shaping up for The Three Bears over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a lull. The forecast kicks off with a Tuesday morning session that’s got some cleanup, but the energy is pretty wild. The combined swell energy is sitting at 2147 (moderate to strong), and with a 7ft WSW swell running at 15 seconds, you’d think we’d be in business. The water is 66° – about average for this time of year – but the wind is a cross-off from the NE at 12 mph, which is keeping it clean. Problem is, the overall score tells me the tide is messing with the shape, so it’s a bit of a tease. Tuesday afternoon is actually better for experienced surfers, with 7ft and the same clean conditions, but the energy is still high.
Wednesday is a write-off. Strong winds from the north, 28 mph in the morning, and the swell is dropping. The afternoon gets even uglier with a strong cross-shore and cross-chop. Thursday is a no-go too – a 10ft swell coming in with a strong cross-onshore wind and rain. That’s big, messy, and only for the brave (or foolish). Friday morning offers a brief window: 6ft WSW swell with a light offshore wind from the WNW. It’s marginal, but the wind is light. The energy is still moderate (1081), so you might get a few, but the rain is on the horizon.
Then we hit a big gap. From Friday afternoon all the way through to the end of the month, the conditions are mostly poor. We’ve got a huge 16ft day on the 18th, but it’s accompanied by 28 mph onshore winds. That’s not surf, that’s a washing machine. The swell drops and rises again, but the wind just won’t play ball. The 22nd and 23rd have some waist-high leftovers, but the wind is either cross-on or onshore and strong. There’s a tiny window on the 23rd afternoon with a gentle cross-shore, but the swell is only 4ft and the energy is weak (758). It’s a long, bleak stretch.
Now, the reason you’re here. The real standout – and I mean the only true standout – is Wednesday, July 29th. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The morning brings a 10ft WSW swell, with a 17-second period, and the wind is offshore from the ENE at 9 mph. The combined energy is massive at 4998 (strong to very strong). That’s a proper groundswell, with long, powerful lines. The caveat is that this kind of period (over 15 seconds) can make the beach break a bit straight, but The Three Bears is a reef, so it should handle it beautifully. The afternoon is even better – glassy conditions, zero wind, and the same 10ft, 17-second swell. The energy is still huge (4927), and it’s described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a big swell, over 8ft, so it’s strictly for experts. The crowd? It says "sometimes," so expect a few others who’ve been waiting for this day.
For the second week, just remember: the only real shot is that last Wednesday. The rest is a waiting game. Don’t waste your energy on the junky days.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Warm (max 20°C on Wed night, min 12°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Thu morning, calm by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Fri morning, min 13°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Fri morning, near gales from the W by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | W 10 | W 13 | W 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | SW 12 | WSW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2147 | 1927 | 1396 | 1053 | 2008 | 1620 | 3296 | 2234 | 1230 | 880 | 688 | 4167 | 8284 | 8220 | 4890 | 2982 | 2117 | 649 | 673 | 343 | 768 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 9:14AM0.85m | 9:59AM0.82m | 10:38AM0.75m | 11:05AM0.65m | 10:57AM0.55m | 9:41AM0.47m | 4:03AM0.45m | 8:30AM0.44m | 4:08AM0.51m | ||||||||||||
Low Tide | 6:50PM-0.07m | 7:36PM-0.01m | 8:15PM0.08m | 8:36PM0.17m | 7:42PM0.26m | 6:27PM0.28m | 6:37AM0.44m | 5:39PM0.25m | |||||||||||||
7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | |
— | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Temp °C | 12 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | — | — | — | — | W 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | SW 12 | — |
2147 | 1927 | 1396 | 1053 | 2008 | 1620 | 3296 | 2234 | 1230 | 880 | 688 | — | — | — | — | 1849 | 2117 | 649 | 673 | 343 | — | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 14 | WSW 22 | WSW 18 | WNW 14 | W 8 | — | NNW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | — |
— | 8 | 45 | 759 | 18 | 5 | — | 211 | 165 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 331 | 104 | 291 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 14 | NW 14 | — | — | — | WNW 13 | WNW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 8 | 7 | — | — | — | 16 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NNE 4 | N 6 | NNW 7 | NW 7 | NNW 7 | — | — | WNW 6 | NW 6 | W 10 | W 13 | W 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | — | — | — | WNW 5 | WSW 8 |
— | — | 35 | 354 | 471 | 421 | 495 | — | — | 187 | 321 | 4167 | 8284 | 8220 | 4890 | 2982 | — | — | — | 56 | 768 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 0 | 78 | 755 | 220 | 241 | 224 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 183 | 658 | 654 | 366 | 269 | 33 | 4 | 33 | 207 | 269 | 33 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Margaret River | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Three Bears Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Three Bears provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Three Bears can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Three Bears surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Three Bears) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Three Bears may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Three Bears is 64 km (40 miles) from the city of Bunbury. If you plan a holiday in Margaret River, look for hotels and other accommodation in Bunbury. Bunbury has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










