The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's coming down the pipe for our little corner of the coast.

We’re looking at a fairly quiet start to this 16-day run, but it’s not all bad news. The surf is going to be pretty marginal for the first week, with a lot of lumpy, wind-affected days. But there’s a real standout on the horizon, so don’t write this period off just yet.

The Three Bears is our only show in town. It’s a consistent beginner-friendly reef break that’s exposed to the SW swell. The water temp is sitting at 65° right now, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.

Sunday 13th kicks off with a cloudy afternoon. There’s a solid 8ft SW groundswell with a very long 15-second period, packing a lot of punch (combined energy of 3265). But the wind is on it from the west at 12 mph, so the conditions are poor. Not one to bother with.

Monday 14th is a no-go for me. The swell hangs in at 8ft from the WSW with a 14-second period (energy around 2717-2756), but the wind is cross-off and the forecast calls it marginal. It’s just not clean enough to get excited about.

Tuesday 15th morning is where things finally start to look interesting. We’ve got a 8ft WSW swell with a 14-second period (energy 2230) and a clean offshore wind from the east at 16 mph. This is the first real window for experienced surfers to get out there. The waves will have good shape with that offshore flow. The afternoon turns to a cross-shore breeze though, so the morning is the call.

Wednesday 16th afternoon is a real gem if you can get in the water. The swell drops to 4ft from the WSW, 13-second period (energy 628), but the wind goes completely glassy from the WNW at 3 mph. Expect very clean, smooth waves. Perfect for a longboard or a funboard.

The next few days, Thursday 17th through Saturday 19th, are pretty ugly. The swell picks up again, with a 10ft WSW swell on Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th (energy 5023 and 4037), but the wind goes onshore and even near-gale strength. It’s blown out, lumpy, and poor. A total write-off. Sunday the 20th through Tuesday the 22nd is a bit better with some cross-off winds and a 7-8ft swell, but it’s still only marginal.

Now, the real highlight of this whole outlook is Saturday 26th September. We’re looking at a big, clean morning. An 12ft swell from the WSW with a very long 18-second period (energy 7301) and a clean cross-off breeze from the NE at 12 mph. That’s a lot of water moving. Because of the very long period and the size, this is a day for experts only at The Three Bears. The energy is massive (7301) and the shape should be incredible with that offshore wind. It’s a full week out, so keep an eye on the charts, but if it holds, this is the day to circle on your calendar.

Thursday 24th morning is also a good call for experienced surfers. An 8ft WSW swell with a 14-second period (energy 2606) and clean cross-off winds from the ESE at 9 mph. The morning on the 25th has a 10ft WSW swell with a 15-second period (energy 4924) and clean cross-off winds, but it's a bit more of a handful.

The final few days, Sunday 27th and Monday 28th, see the swell dropping off and the wind turning onshore and lumpy again. Not worth getting wet for.

Rusty.

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