The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s coming our way for The Three Bears (reef, exposed, beginner-friendly but watch the size). The water’s sitting at 67° which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year – about one degree up, so you’ll notice it’s a little less brisk than normal.

We’re starting off with a bit of a limp start. Friday the 17th is a write-off – messy cross-off wind in the morning, then it goes cross and lumpy in the afternoon. Not worth paddling out. Saturday the 18th is a big, fat no-go: strong onshore wind whipping up a solid 15ft swell with a short period – that’s not surf, that’s a washing machine. Sunday the 19th is still a bit rough, but the afternoon shows a glimmer: 7ft of WSW swell at 13 seconds, with a light breeze that’s just cross. It’s marginal, but there’s a chance for a patient surfer.

Now, Monday the 20th morning – that’s the first real clean window. 6ft from the WSW, 11 seconds, light cross-off breeze from the NE. The energy is moderate (822), and the face will be tidy. It’s a good beginner-to-intermediate session. Tuesday the 21st morning is a standout: 6ft of SW swell, 11 seconds, clean with a light cross-off from the SSE, energy sitting at 1079. The wind is kind, the waves have a bit of shape. This is the one to circle.

Wednesday the 22nd morning is a ripper too – 7ft of SW groundswell, 13 seconds, and a light offshore breeze from the east. That’s clean, lined-up, and the reef will handle that long period nicely. Energy is solid (1599). This is for experienced surfers – the size is getting up there, but the quality is excellent. Thursday the 23rd morning is another clean, shoulder-high option with light cross-off wind.

The weekend of the 26th–27th is a bit mixed. Sunday the 26th morning has 4ft and clean conditions, but it’s small. Monday the 27th morning has 6ft of longer-period swell (14 seconds) but a cross-on wind – still rideable, just not perfect.

Now, fast-forward to the end of the month. Friday the 31st is a treat: morning has 6ft, 14 seconds, clean cross-off from the ENE. Then the afternoon goes glassy, 5ft, 18 seconds – that’s a very long, clean groundswell. Energy is high (2386). The reef will love that period. Saturday the 1st of August is a big one: 10ft, 18 seconds, with clean cross-off wind. That’s big, powerful, and only for experienced surfers. Energy is massive (6778). This is the standout of the whole run – but it’s two weeks out, so keep an eye on it.

Overall, the best sessions are Tuesday the 21st morning, Wednesday the 22nd morning, and the glassy Friday the 31st afternoon. If you’re an expert, that Saturday the 1st of August is the one you’ll be dreaming about.

Rusty.

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