The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here with the outlook for The Three Bears. This is a reef break that’s consistent, exposed to the swell, and works best when the swell is coming from the SW. Water temps are running a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 66°F.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, with the first proper look coming in on Thursday the 13th of August. It’s not the best though – an 8ft WSW swell, but with a cross-onshore wind making things a bit bumpy. The energy is solid though, with combined swell energy of (4273). We’ll take what we can get, but it’s a bit on the tricky side.

Now, Friday the 14th of August is where the magic happens. Friday morning swings in with a clean, cross-offshore breeze from the NE, and we’ve still got a solid 8ft WSW swell running at a nice long 16 seconds. The energy is still strong at (3116). This is proper groundswell, and at a reef like The Three Bears, it’ll be holding up nicely. Then Friday afternoon? Forget about it. The wind goes glassy from the W, with the swell dropping a touch to 8ft, but that 15-second period means the waves will be pushing through with real power (2299). That afternoon session is going to be as clean as it gets, suited for the experienced crew given the size and long period.

Saturday the 15th of August looks okay, but not as good. A 7ft WSW swell with a 14-second period, but the NNE wind is a bit stronger as a cross-off. Still clean, but not that epic glass. Energy is dropping to (1534). Saturday afternoon the wind goes cross-shore, so it’ll be a bit bumpy.

Sunday the 16th of August sees the swell size back up to a 8ft WSW, but the wind picks up from the NNE at 19 mph, making it a clean but wind-affected session for the brave. Energy is back up to (2500). By Sunday afternoon, that wind is going to create some chop, so it’s not the pick.

The start of the following week, Monday the 17th, turns ugly. We’ve got a big 10ft to 13ft W/WSW swell coming in, but it’s blowing a near gale from the NW and WSW. This is blown out. (7324 to 8545 energy). This is a total mess. Tuesday the 18th stays big (13ft) and choppy with cross-onshore wind. Not good.

The next real standout comes on Thursday the 20th of August. Thursday morning is looking interesting with a big 13ft WSW swell, an 17-second period, and a light onshore wind from the W. The energy is massive at (8853). That’s a lot of power, and it’s a raw, heavy swell. This is a high-quality, experienced-only option, but the wind is going to make it a beast.

Friday the 21st of August is another gem. Friday morning is glassy from the SE, with a 10ft WSW swell and a 14-second period (3599). That’s clean and powerful for the experienced surfer.

After that, it gets a bit messy again with choppy winds and big swells through the rest of the period. The 23rd of August has some potential with a 10ft WSW swell, but the wind is tricky. The end of the run, around the 27th and 28th, is a write-off with big swells and strong winds.

For the absolute best on offer, it’s got to be Friday the 14th of August, afternoon session at The Three Bears. Glassy wind, 8ft of clean, 15-second groundswell from the WSW. That’s the one you wait for. The second best would be Friday morning the 14th, or Thursday the 20th for the heavy, big-wave crew.

There are gaps of poor conditions, but the consistent nature of this spot means windows of goodness always appear. Stay on it.

Rusty.

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