The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s get into it.

We’re starting on Tuesday, 14 July with the first real window at The Three Bears (Big Island). The water’s sitting at 66°, which is about normal for this time of year—nothing to write home about. The energy in the water is moderate, clocking in at 1935 for the combined swell energy. That’s a solid, clean 7 ft swell from the WSW, with a very long period of 15 seconds. This is proper groundswell, and for a reef setup like The Three Bears, that long period means the waves will have shape and power, but it might be a bit too straight-breaking for the bank. The wind is a gentle cross-off from the NE at 9 mph, so it’ll be glassy and clean. This is for experienced surfers only. It’s the standout of the entire period.

Wednesday the 15th starts with a strong breeze from the NNE at 28 mph, and while the swell is still 5 ft from the WSW with a 14-second period, that wind is going to mess things up. The cross-off conditions are there, but the wind strength is just too much. By the afternoon, it’s a cross-shore mess with 25 mph wind and poor conditions. Don’t bother.

Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th see the swell holding around 8 ft to 6 ft, but the wind turns onshore. The combined energy on Thursday morning spikes to 2958, so there’s a lot of raw power, but the wind is cross-onshore and it’s going to be choppy. These are marginal days at best, and only for the die-hards.

Saturday the 18th is a beast. A massive 16 ft swell from the west, with a combined energy of 7678. That’s huge. But it’s coming with a strong onshore wind at 22 mph. That’s not surfable for paddling. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, honestly. The same goes for Sunday the 19th, with 8 ft to 8 ft swells and onshore winds.

There’s a gap from Monday the 20th through Tuesday the 21st where conditions remain poor, with onshore winds and messy surf.

Then, Wednesday the 22nd shines again. A light breeze from the ESE at 6 mph, cross-off, with a 7 ft swell from the SW at 13 seconds. The combined energy is 1626, and it’s clean. Another excellent window for experienced surfers. This is the second standout.

From Thursday the 23rd through Tuesday the 28th, it’s a long stretch of marginal to poor conditions. The swell drops off, the wind is inconsistent, and the energy levels are low. There’s a small window on Monday the 27th with a long period 18-second swell at 3 ft, but it’s weak (688 energy) and only marginal.

Finally, Wednesday the 29th shows a promising but less certain long-range call. An 12 ft swell from the west with a combined energy of 5279, and a clean cross-off wind from the NE at 12 mph. The swell period is a bit short at 12 seconds, so it won’t be as clean as the earlier groundswells. The afternoon has a very long period 18-second wave at 7 ft, but with light cross-shore wind. This is a promising option for the end of the month, but keep an eye on it—forecasts can change.

If you’re after the best surf, aim for Tuesday the 14th and Wednesday the 22nd at The Three Bears. Everything else is either too windy, too big, or just messy.

Stay safe and score some waves.
Rusty.

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