
Surf Forecasts:
The Three Bears surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with 4,658 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 16s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Three Bears this week:
The surf forecast for The Three Bears over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Three Bears in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AWST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Three Bears over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about it. The first surf worth your time shows up Wednesday morning, July 29th. The Three Bears (Big Island) is the only spot lighting up across this whole 16-day run, so we’ll roll with it.
Wednesday morning: a 5ft SW swell, period around 13 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell, better shape but longer waits between sets. Water temp is 66°, nothing unusual for this time of year. Wind is NE at 12 mph, cross-offshore, keeping things tidy. Combined energy is moderate at 1366. Not a classic, but a fine start for the beginner-friendly reef.
Wednesday afternoon picks up to 6ft from the WSW, period stretching to 16 seconds – long period groundswell, packing more punch. Wind drops to 9 mph, still cross-off. This is the cleanest session early on. Energy sits at 1356. Good for the experienced crew.
Thursday morning drops to 4ft, but period stays long at 15 seconds from the WSW. Wind is NNE at 16 mph, cross-off, but the smaller size and breeze make it marginal. Energy drops to 938. Afternoon slips to 4ft, 14-second period, N wind at 9 mph just cross. Energy is 1047, but a little cross-chop shows up. Quality fades.
Friday the 31st: forget it. Morning has a 7ft WSW swell at 16 seconds, but wind is NW at 19 mph and cross-onshore – fresh and lumpy. Energy hits 2540. Afternoon gets worse: onshore wind at 25 mph from the WSW, 8ft swell, energy at 3559. Stay on land.
Saturday the 1st of August: morning 8ft WSW swell, 15-second period, S wind at 16 mph cross-off, clean. Energy is 2917. Afternoon bumps to 10ft, wind SSE at 12 mph, still cross-off, energy at 4334. This is big – experts only. Beginners, sit this one out.
Sunday the 2nd of August: morning 7ft WSW swell, 13-second period, NE wind at 16 mph cross-off. Energy 1623. Afternoon is the better call: swell drops to 6ft, wind lightens to 6 mph from the NE, cross-off, and it’s excellent for experienced surfers. Energy 1245. A clean, solid session.
Monday the 3rd of August: morning glass-off. Swell 5ft from the WSW, period 15 seconds, wind from the SSE at only 3 mph – glassy. Energy is 935. This is a beautiful, clean morning. The long period groundswell will wrap nicely into the reef. A real highlight.
Tuesday the 4th: 8ft WSW swell, long 17-second period, but morning wind is WNW at 6 mph and onshore. Energy jumps to 3859. Afternoon gets messy with SW wind at 22 mph cross-onshore, fresh and lumpy. Not the one.
The rest of the first week and into the second is mostly big, messy, or blown out. The 5th is 8ft with onshore or cross-on winds. The 6th of August is dangerous: 13ft WSW swell with NW winds up to 25-31 mph, strong to near gale. Energy between 7564 and 7895 – very strong. This is for experts only, and the wind ruins it.
The 7th of August morning: 21ft WSW swell, 14-second period, energy at a massive 16712. Wind is WSW at 16 mph onshore. The report says it’s simply too big for this break. Don’t even think about it.
The 8th and 9th of August stay big and stormy. 12ft to 21ft swells, strong winds, energy from 4986 to 17944. Avoid.
Now, the real standout: Thursday the 13th of August. Early morning: swell 18ft from the WSW, period 14 seconds, wind from the E at only 6 mph – offshore and clean. Energy is 10249. This is very strong energy and exceptional for expert surfers. Circle this date. The size is massive – 18ft – so only for very experienced, confident surfers. The offshore wind will groom it, and the reef will handle that long period groundswell. This is the best on offer across the whole 16 days. Afternoon is still big at 15ft, but wind goes cross-on from the SW, less clean.
The Three Bears is a consistent reef, but crowds can be a factor sometimes. With a few decent windows and that one massive day, it’s worth the trip if you’ve got the skills.
The second week cools off after that 13th, but nothing else in the window compares. Don’t expect much after that big day – it’s a long stretch of poor conditions.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Wed afternoon, strong winds from the SW by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 19 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
880 | 1356 | 1005 | 720 | 597 | 1837 | 2511 | 3421 | 3740 | 2917 | 4334 | 2946 | 1623 | 1245 | 1079 | 924 | 1257 | 1261 | 3859 | 2928 | 2864 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross | cross-off | on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 9:09AM0.73m | 9:37AM0.72m | 10:00AM0.68m | 10:21AM0.63m | 1:43AM0.36m | 10:38AM0.56m | 1:37AM0.41m | 10:45AM0.48m | 1:49AM0.47m | 10:16AM0.40m | 2:23AM0.53m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 6:10PM0.08m | 6:17PM0.11m | 6:20PM0.15m | 6:22PM0.18m | 4:02AM0.35m | 6:23PM0.21m | 5:33AM0.37m | 6:18PM0.25m | 7:25AM0.38m | 5:55PM0.26m | |||||||||||
7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | |
— | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 7 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 |
880 | 1356 | 1005 | 720 | 597 | 1837 | 2511 | 3421 | 3740 | 2917 | 4334 | 2946 | 1623 | 1245 | 1079 | 924 | 1257 | 1244 | 3859 | 2928 | 2864 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 18 | N 4 | WSW 22 | WSW 20 | WSW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 5 | NNE 4 | W 24 | SW 22 | WSW 19 | — | — | — |
486 | 6 | 47 | 218 | 428 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 3 | 11 | 120 | 1261 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 4 | N 4 | N 5 | N 5 | N 5 | NNW 5 | NW 4 | WNW 6 | WSW 6 | — | — | — | NE 4 | NNE 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 22 | 12 | 29 | 138 | 127 | — | — | — | 20 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 0 | 19 | 78 | 8 | 64 | 241 | 366 | 67 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 366 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Margaret River | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Three Bears Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Three Bears provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Three Bears can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Three Bears surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Three Bears) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Three Bears may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Three Bears is 64 km (40 miles) from the city of Bunbury. If you plan a holiday in Margaret River, look for hotels and other accommodation in Bunbury. Bunbury has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










