Surf Forecasts:
The Three Bears surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 13s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, W swell with 9,110 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 13s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Three Bears this week:
The surf forecast for The Three Bears over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Three Bears in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 7s period and expected on Friday (Jul 17) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AWST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Three Bears over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. I’m looking at the next couple of weeks for The Three Bears. It’s a reef break, exposed to the swell, and it’s a consistent spot, but don’t get too excited yet because the first few days are a write-off. We’ve got a big gap of poor conditions from the 17th to the 19th of July, with onshore winds, rain, and messy surf. The swell is there, but it’s just not clean. You’re not missing anything.
The first real light at the end of the tunnel comes on Monday morning, July 20th. We’ve got a clean 6ft set from the WSW, with a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the NNE. The combined energy is moderate (1024), and the water temp is about average for the time of year. This is a solid window for the more experienced crew – the wave quality is there, and the wind is doing us a favour. It’s not giant, but it’s clean.
Things get a bit heavy again mid-week, but then Thursday morning, July 23rd, is a standout. You’re looking at a clean 6ft from the SW, with a proper offshore wind from the East. The period is 14 seconds, so it’s a proper groundswell, with good energy (1058). This reef will handle that long period well, and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon holds up too, but the morning is the pick.
Now, looking further out, the end of the month is where it gets interesting. Wednesday afternoon, July 29th, and Thursday, July 30th are the real gems. On the 29th, we’ve got a 5ft, WSW swell at 17 seconds, with a light breeze and clean conditions. The energy is solid (2123). Then on Thursday the 30th, it gets even better: 5ft to 5ft, with a 20-second period, and the wind goes glassy on the afternoon. The energy is very strong (2900). This is as good as it gets on this reef. The swell direction is a perfect match for the spot, and the conditions are clean, clean, clean. It’s going to be a classic, long-period groundswell that will reel down the reef. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.
The first week of August looks like it’s getting messy again with onshore winds, so the 29th and 30th of July are your absolute targets. The long-range forecast for that is promising, but keep an eye on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri morning, min 15°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSW on Thu night, near gales from the WNW by Fri night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Wed morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSW on Sun night, fresh winds from the S by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | W 13 | W 12 | W 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 11 | WSW 14 | SW 11 | WSW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1230 | 895 | 742 | 4499 | 5445 | 8150 | 4756 | 2786 | 1844 | 1573 | 956 | 512 | 1247 | 799 | 622 | 1729 | 2209 | 1866 | 1553 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross | cross | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | off | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 11:05AM0.65m | 10:57AM0.55m | 9:41AM0.47m | 4:03AM0.45m | 8:30AM0.44m | 4:08AM0.51m | 4:37AM0.56m | ||||||||||||
Low Tide | 8:15PM0.08m | 8:36PM0.17m | 7:42PM0.26m | 6:27PM0.28m | 6:37AM0.44m | 5:39PM0.25m | 4:29PM0.21m | 4:03PM0.15m | |||||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — |
 | 5:30 | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — |
mm | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 2 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
Feels °C | 14 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | — | — | W 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 11 | WSW 14 | SW 11 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 14 |
| kJ | 1230 | 895 | 742 | — | — | 8150 | 4756 | 2786 | 1844 | 1573 | 956 | 512 | 215 | 799 | 586 | 1729 | 2209 | 1866 | 1553 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | WNW 12 | WNW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | WSW 14 | — | WSW 14 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 139 | 14 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 68 | 264 | — | 325 | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 12 | — | WNW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 14 | — | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 7 | N 5 | W 13 | W 12 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | — | WSW 14 | — | WSW 11 | — | SE 3 | — | ENE 4 |
| kJ | — | 115 | 61 | 4499 | 5445 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1247 | — | 622 | — | 5 | — | 10 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 9 | 86 | 170 | 269 | 654 | 366 | 224 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 33 | 4 | 5 | 64 | 33 | 8 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Margaret River | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Three Bears Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Three Bears provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Three Bears can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Three Bears surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Three Bears) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Three Bears may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Three Bears is 64 km (40 miles) from the city of Bunbury. If you plan a holiday in Margaret River, look for hotels and other accommodation in Bunbury. Bunbury has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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