The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the Three Bears.

Overall, we’ve got a run of solid SW groundswell on the cards, but the wind is gonna be the main character for most of it. A lot of the time, the breeze is gonna mess things up, especially for the bigger stuff. The standout is gonna be that Sunday afternoon window, where everything lines up just right for a glassy session.

We kick off on Wednesday, July 29th. The swell is already up around 5ft to 6ft from the SW/W, with a long 16 second period, so there’s plenty of energy in the water (1366). The wind is a cross-offshore from the NE, which keeps the faces clean, but the waves are a bit fat and the tide might be a factor. It’s a decent warm-up for the experienced crew, but not quite firing on all cylinders.

Thursday, July 30th, the swell drops a little to 4ft, but the wind swings around and gets messy. The morning is cross-off but the afternoon is a cross-onshore from the NNW, making it choppy and uninviting. Not worth paddling out for.

Friday, July 31st is a write-off. The swell pumps up to 7ft and then 8ft, but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore, turning it into a lumpy, blown-out mess. Leave the board in the car.

Now, Saturday, August 1st. The swell is pumping – 10ft to 12ft from the SW with a 15 second period, and the combined energy is massive (3818 to 4608). The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the SE. This is big, powerful stuff. Only for expert surfers. The waves will be heavy and challenging, but if you’ve got the nerve, the shape should be there. It’s a serious session.

But the true standout is Sunday, August 2nd. The swell is still a solid 7ft to 7ft from the WSW, with a nice 13-14 second period (1384 energy). The wind goes completely glassy in the afternoon. Dead calm. That’s the one. The ocean will be a mirror, and the waves will be clean, powerful lines. For experienced surfers, this is the best window of the whole forecast. The water temperature is about average for this time of year.

Monday, August 3rd, the swell backs off to 5ft. The wind is cross-off, but it’s just not as punchy. A small day for the longboard maybe.

Tuesday, August 4th, the swell jumps back up to 8ft with a very long 17 second period. The morning is clean with a cross-off, but the afternoon turns to heavy rain and a fresh cross-onshore, ruining it. The morning might be worth a look for the experts, but it’s a gamble.

From Wednesday, August 5th onward, it gets a bit wild. The swell stays big, between 7ft and over 16ft, but the wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, often from the SW, making it choppy and messy. The energy numbers are huge (over 11,000 at times), but the quality just isn’t there for paddle surfing. Early August, especially around the 8th, 9th, and 10th, the wind is howling with gale and near-gale force gusts. That’s kite-surfing territory, not a clean wave for a shortboard.

So, to wrap it up: Sunday, August 2nd afternoon is the one to circle. Get there early for the glass-off. The 7th and 8th offer huge, powerful swell, but you’ll be fighting the wind the whole way. The rest is a mixed bag of wind messing with some decent sized groundswell.

Rusty.

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