The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. For the next 16 days at The Three Bears, it’s a mixed bag of beastly swell and gnarly wind, with a couple of windows that could be seriously good if you’re an experienced surfer.

The first real chance to paddle out kicks off on Sunday, August 30th. We’ve got a solid 8ft swell from the WSW, with a very long 16-second period. The water is sitting at 64°, which is dead average for this time of year. The problem is a light cross-onshore breeze that’s messing with the surface a bit. The combined energy is through the roof at 2653, so there’s plenty of power, but the conditions are only marginal. It’s a soft start, not a standout.

The rest of the first week is pretty much a write-off. From Monday, August 31st through the end of the first week, we’ve got a hurricane of onshore and cross-shore winds, with speeds hitting 25 mph or more. Swell stays big, mostly in the 6-10ft range, but with all that wind, it’s a washing machine. The energy readings are huge, hitting 5456 on Friday, September 4th, but it’s no good for paddling. This is kite-surfing weather, not paddle surfing.

The real action, and what I’d call a standout, is shaping up for the second week. Look at Tuesday, September 8th, in the morning. We’ve got a 10ft groundswell from the WSW with a 16-second period, and here’s the kicker: a light, clean cross-offshore breeze from the NNE at just 9 mph. The report says “exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers,” and that’s no joke. The combined energy is a massive 5336. This is a call for experienced surfers only. The swell is too big for beginners. The wind is clean, and that long period at a reef break like The Three Bears means it could be absolutely firing. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

Wednesday, September 9th, is also worth a mention. Both morning and afternoon show 12ft swell from the WSW with a 16-second period. The wind is offshore or cross-offshore in the morning (NE 12 mph), and cross-shore in the afternoon (N 12 mph). The energy is massive, hitting 7043 in the afternoon. Again, expert territory, and the conditions should be good, though the afternoon might get a bit of a cross-chop.

After that, the wind turns back onshore from Thursday, September 10th, and the quality drops. There’s still a lot of swell, with readings over 10,000 on Saturday, September 12th, but the onshore breeze takes the shine off. It’s a long-range promise, so keep an eye on it, but don’t bet the house on it.

So, bottom line: The first week is a loss. The standout is Tuesday, September 8th, for the experts. Wednesday, September 9th, is a close second. If you’re not an expert, you’re waiting for a better window.

Rusty.

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