The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer.

Alright, the next week and a half is a bit of a mixed bag at The Three Bears. There’s a lot of swell around, but finding clean, rideable waves is going to take some patience. The swell direction is mainly from the WSW and W, which is a touch off the optimum SW, but it'll still wrap in at this spot. We’re looking at some powerful, very long-period groundswell, which is great for a reef setup like this – the waves will have serious push, energy values are often moderate to strong (7313, 7621), but the shape and the timing of sets will be key.

Monday the 17th is a complete no-go. The swell is huge at 12 ft to 16 ft, with a gale-force cross-onshore wind. That’s not surfable, it's a washing machine.

Tuesday the 18th is still messy. The wind is a moderate cross-onshore, so it's choppy. Swell is pulling a solid 12 ft to 13 ft, but it's too rough for a good time.

Wednesday the 19th improves a little. The swell drops to 10 ft. The wind is still cross-onshore, but it’s a gentler breeze. It’s marginal surf, but the energy is still strong (4471). You might find a few, but it’s not the pick of the trip.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Friday morning, August 21st. The wind goes completely dead, glassy. Zero wind, and the swell settles to a clean 8 ft from the WSW. The period is still a long 15 seconds, so there will be some nice lines but also longer lulls between sets. The water is currently a touch warmer than normal at 66°, which is a nice little bonus. This morning looks like the real standout for experienced surfers looking for clean, powerful reef waves. Conditions are excellent.

Saturday morning, August 22nd is another beauty. A slight breeze, glassy again, and a 7 ft WSW swell with a 16-second period. Another morning of clean, juicy waves. The crowds will likely be around, as this spot is known to get busy sometimes.

We get messy again Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th. Strong winds blow the place out.

Then, look ahead to Tuesday morning, August 25th. This is a different setup. The wind turns light and offshore from the East. That is the key. The swell drops to a more manageable 5 ft from the SW. It’s clean, and the conditions should be very good.

Avoid Wednesday and Thursday afternoons as the wind swings onshore. But Wednesday morning, August 26th is another cracker. Offshore wind again from the ENE, 8 ft WSW swell with a 16-second period. Clean, lined up, and powerful. This is another top pick for experienced folks.

Thursday morning, August 27th is also clean with an offshore breeze, though the swell size drops to 6 ft.

And then we get a bit of a wildcard for Saturday, August 29th. The swell jumps back up to 13 ft from the W with a very long 17-second period. The energy reading is massive (9730), meaning serious power. The wind is cross-shore, which will create some chop, but the scale of the swell is enormous. This is only for the experts, and it’s a "promising but less certain" call that far out. It could be a monster, or it could be messy.

The first week of September sees another pulse of strong swell (13 ft) and moderate cross-onshore winds, keeping things messy.

So, the top tip: Friday morning, August 21st, and Wednesday morning, August 26th. Clean, offshore or glassy wind, with solid, long-period groundswell. Saturday the 22nd morning is right there with them. For a tamer but still clean session, Tuesday morning, August 25th is your best bet. For the brave, watch for Saturday the 29th.

Signing off,
Rusty

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