The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks at The Three Bears are looking like a bit of a waiting game, to be honest. We’ve got a solid window of proper surf coming, but you’ll have to sit through some proper slop before the ocean cleans up its act. This is a consistent reef setup, so it's not a case of if, but when.

Right out of the gate, Monday the 3rd is not really on. There’s some chest-high swell, but a moderate breeze is messing it up, making things lumpy and cross-onshore. There’s a small window in the morning with the wind a bit more cross-off, but it’s still marginal, so not worth getting excited about.

Tuesday the 4th is a full write-off. The swell jumps up to the 8ft to 10ft range, but the wind is straight onshore, blowing hard. It’s just a wall of whitewater. Same story through Wednesday and Thursday, with the swell hovering around 10ft and the wind staying cross-onshore and messy. The energy is building though; by Wednesday it’s already clocking in at moderate to strong (6048), but it’s just not using it well. Friday the 7th is even worse, with strong onshore winds blowing 22-25 mph. This is not surfing weather.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Saturday the 8th still has that big, raw swell, around 13ft, but the wind switches to a cross-shore breeze. The energy is strong (12011), and while the conditions are still a bit rough, it’s a step in the right direction. Sunday the 9th drops a bit in size to 10ft, but the wind goes straight onshore again. It’s just average at best.

Then we get to the real standout. The second week has a proper pulse of energy. Monday the 11th sees a massive jump to 16ft of swell, with a long 15-16 second period. The wind is cross-offshore and it’s glassy clean. The energy reading is massive (17098), and this is the biggest, cleanest swell of the window. However, at this size, it's really only for the experts. It’s going to be a proper ledge. The following day, Tuesday the 12th, drops to a still-chunky 10ft with that same cross-off wind, and it’s clean. This is looking like a much more manageable, but still solid, day for the average surfer. The energy is moderate (4774), but the quality is there.

Wednesday the 13th morning is cross-off but a little smaller, then we get another massive spike on Thursday the 14th. This one is the king. The swell is predicted at 20ft with a very long 19-second period, and it’s clean with a cross-off wind. The energy reading is huge (25426). This is a proper groundswell, and it’s going to be a freight train. Again, pure expert territory. The end of the week, Friday the 15th, is the pick for me if you’re not a big-wave charger. The swell settles to 13ft, still with a good 16-second period, but the wind is light offshore in the morning. It’s still big, but with that clean, offshore texture, it’s going to be a proper session for those who know the reef.

The weekend and into the next week sees it ease down a bit. Saturday the 16th has cleaner, smaller 7ft swell with light winds. Then Sunday the 17th is another gem with 10ft and light offshore winds, glassy by the afternoon. And Monday the 18th keeps that quality with a 13ft groundswell and cross-off wind. All of these are good, but the standout days in that second week are Thursday the 14th for the sheer power, and Friday the 15th for the perfect combination of size and clean conditions.

So, be patient. The first few days are a mess. But don't sleep on that second week. It’s a long way out, so don’t book your flights yet, but it’s looking like it will fire.

Rusty.

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