The Three Bears Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.57° S 115.00° E

The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 am 16 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Three Bears sea temperature is
18.5° C
0.9° 

The Three Bears surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Three Bears surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 20 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 15s period, W swell with 7,394 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Three Bears this week:

The surf forecast for The Three Bears over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Three Bears in the next 16 days are 4.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 6s period and expected on Monday (Aug 17) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (AWST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Thu 20th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Best Surf11PM (Thu 20th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 16s
Most Powerful11PM (Mon 17th Aug)13ft (4.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Three Bears over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, you salty dogs, Rusty checkin' in with the lowdown.

We're sittin' on a mixed bag here at The Three Bears. The first couple days are a total bust for a decent paddle. Sunday the 16th is showing a solid 7ft of WSW groundswell with a long 15-second gap, but that fresh NNE wind is gonna have it looking like a washing machine. Stay on the beach for that one. The water's sitting at a pretty normal 65° for this time of year, so that's no drama. Monday the 17th is a full-on mess – gale-force cross-onshore winds and a junky 15ft wall of water. That's not surf, that's a washing machine. Tuesday the 18th keeps that massive energy (7308), but the morning onshore wind is gonna ruin it. A big no-go there.

We've got a gap of a few days through Wednesday and Thursday, where the quality is way too marginal to recommend. The swell is there, but the wind is just bullying the waves.

See, here's the silver linin'. Friday morning, August 21st, is a proper standout. The swell cools to a very manageable 8ft from the WSW, still with a pukka 14-second period, but the magic is that gentle offshore breeze from the ENE. That is gonna put a glassy face on that reef and give us some proper, clean lines. The combined swell energy is a solid 2968 – plenty of grunt. This is a beginner-friendly reef at low tide, but at 8ft, it's close to expert territory. It'll be excellent, but there might be a few other locals in the lineup – crowds are "sometimes" a thing here.

Saturday morning, August 22nd, is another absolute gem. You've got 7ft of glassy swell from the WSW. I said glassy! It's going to be slick as a mirror. The energy is a comfortable 1647. This is the session for your longboard – just pure, cruisy fun.

The following week gets real iffy again. Sunday the 23rd has another solid window of clean waves in the morning with a moderate offshore breeze and 8ft swell, but then the wind swings bad. By Monday the 24th, a stiff breeze kills it. There's a faint whisper of potential for Tuesday the 25th with glassy conditions again, but the swell is only 6ft and the weather looks unstable. The final weekend (Aug 29-30) is mostly a write-off with onshore gales. So, stick to the first week. That's where the treasure is.

Later, Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Mon afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Mon afternoon, light winds from the W by Tue morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
0
0
0
5
0
0
2
5
6
3
0
5
4
3
4
4
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
WSW
15
2.3
WSW
14
2.2
WSW
16
3.5
W
16
4.5
W
12
4
WSW
15
4
W
16
3.5
W
16
3
W
15
3
WSW
15
3.5
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
16
3
WSW
16
3
WSW
16
3
WSW
15
2.5
WSW
14
2.5
WSW
15
2.4
WSW
15
2
WSW
14
1.9
WSW
14
2.2
WSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2111
2197
2429
7313
5800
6993
7308
6395
4301
4720
6203
6940
4829
3852
3764
2968
2852
2381
1647
1402
2318
Wind (km/h)
35
NNE
35
N
35
NNW
50
WSW
50
WSW
25
SW
15
WNW
25
WNW
30
WNW
20
W
15
WSW
10
SW
15
SW
20
SW
10
ESE
15
ENE
5
NW
0
S
5
S
20
SSW
20
SE
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
off
off
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross
cross-off
High Tide
10:26AM0.43m
00:29AM0.47m
8:48AM0.38m
00:31AM0.53m
00:45AM0.56m
1:26AM0.58m
3:50AM0.59m
5:23AM0.61m
Low Tide
5:04PM0.29m
6:18AM0.37m
4:24PM0.26m
3:31PM0.21m
3:07PM0.16m
3:15PM0.12m
3:33PM0.10m
3:52PM0.08m
clear
clear
rain showers
mod rain
rain showers
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:58
6:56
6:56
6:54
6:52
6:52
6:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:50
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:53
5:54
 mm
2
7
2
1
1
2
2
Temp °C
17
19
19
18
14
14
14
15
16
17
16
16
16
16
15
13
15
15
15
16
15
Feels °C
10
13
14
10
4
5
11
9
9
14
12
14
13
13
11
10
14
14
14
13
10
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Three Bears Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Three Bears provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Three Bears can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Three Bears surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Three Bears) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Three Bears may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

The Three Bears is 64 km (40 miles) from the city of Bunbury. If you plan a holiday in Margaret River, look for hotels and other accommodation in Bunbury. Bunbury has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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