The Three Bears Surf Break

Lat Long: 33.57° S 115.00° E

The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 am 15 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's The Three Bears sea temperature is
18.3° C
0.7° 

The Three Bears surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


The Three Bears surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 17s period, WSW swell with 8,545 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Three Bears this week:

The surf forecast for The Three Bears over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at The Three Bears in the next 16 days are 4.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (AWST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Sat 15th Aug)6ft (1.8m) 13s
Best Surf 8PM (Sat 15th Aug)6ft (1.8m) 13s
Most Powerful 5PM (Mon 17th Aug)13ft (4.0m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Three Bears over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s in store for The Three Bears over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a classic reef set-up here that’s consistent, exposed to the south-west swell, and it’s a beginner-friendly wave when it’s small. Right now, the water temp is sitting at 65°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year – nothing unusual there.

The opening days are a bit of a mixed bag, but it’s not a total write-off. Saturday the 15th sees some clean 7 ft swell from the WSW with a 14-second period and a moderate cross-off breeze. The combined energy is a healthy 1534, so there’s some push behind it. The afternoon drops a touch to 6 ft, but the wind goes a bit cross-shore, getting a little lumpy. It’s surfable, but not the best of the run.

Sunday the 16th brings a bit more size, 7 ft to 8 ft, but a fresh breeze makes things messy, especially in the afternoon. The scores are low for those sessions – you’d be fighting the wind more than the wave.

Monday the 17th through to Thursday the 20th is pretty grim. We’re looking at a big pulse of swell, hitting 12 ft to 13 ft, and it’s coming with strong onshore and cross-onshore winds. Periods are long, 15 to 17 seconds, which gives it some serious power (energy readings are through the roof, over 8500 at one point), but with the wind howling, it’s blown out and dangerous. This is expert-only territory, and even then, the conditions are poor. For a beginner spot, this is a major red alert – stay out of the water.

Now, here’s where things get interesting. Friday the 21st of August is your standout for the first week. The swell drops back to 8 ft from the WSW with a 14-second period, but the magic is in the wind. We get a glassy 5 mph breeze from the NE in the morning. The description says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers” which fits – that 8 ft is pushing into expert territory, but the glassy surface will mean incredibly clean, lined-up waves. The energy is still strong at 2520. This is the one to circle for the early period.

Saturday the 22nd is the other real highlight. The swell is a friendlier 6 ft, still from the WSW, but we finally get offshore wind from the ESE at 10 mph. This brings the wave height down to a level that’s more manageable and the conditions are described as clean. The energy is still decent at 2426. This is your best bet for a solid, well-shaped session that won't punish you as much.

Sunday the 23rd offers another clean morning with 7 ft and a cross-off breeze, but the wind swings onshore in the afternoon. From Monday the 24th onwards, the swell starts to taper off, and the conditions go back to being mixed with chop and cross-shore winds through to the 26th. The energy drops below 900, so the juice is fading.

Looking into the second week, things look promising again. Thursday the 27th kicks off with a clean morning on 6 ft swell. Then Friday the 28th is a proper standout: 7 ft swell with a very long 18-second period and glassy conditions. Expect some powerful, clean groundswell lines. That long period will mean longer waits between sets, but the waves will be well-shaped and juicy. Saturday the 29th starts off glassy again with a smaller 4 ft, but the afternoon brings a sudden jump to 10 ft with an onshore breeze, which looks messy. That glassy morning on the 29th would be a nice, cruisy session.

The very end of the forecast, Sunday the 30th, looks like it closes out with another strong pulse of 10 ft to 12 ft swell and a fresh onshore blow – back to the rough stuff.

Overall, you’re looking at a rough start, a clean-up around the 21st and 22nd, a small lull, and then a return to good, clean conditions on the 27th and 28th. For a consistent spot like this, we get these windows fairly often, so don’t lose hope during the stormy days. The best wave of the pack is that Friday the 28th morning session – glassy, long-period, and clean. Get on it.

-- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 14°C on Mon afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, near gales from the WSW by Mon afternoon).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue night, min 13°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Tue night, light winds from the S by Thu night).

Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
4
1
1
2
0
0
0
5
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
2
4
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
WSW
14
1.9
WSW
13
1.9
WSW
13
2.2
WSW
15
2.3
WSW
14
2.2
WSW
16
3.5
W
17
4
WSW
17
4
WSW
15
4
WSW
16
3.5
WSW
16
3
WSW
16
3
WSW
15
3.5
WSW
15
3.5
WSW
16
3
WSW
16
2.5
WSW
15
2.3
WSW
15
2.5
WSW
14
2.4
WSW
14
2.1
WSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1534
1243
1294
2111
2197
2429
6076
8545
6655
7014
6633
4471
3452
5255
5531
4108
3022
2292
2494
2253
1746
Wind (km/h)
25
NNE
15
N
15
E
35
NNE
35
N
30
N
40
WSW
55
WSW
25
SW
15
W
25
WNW
35
WNW
25
WSW
25
SSW
20
WSW
25
WSW
25
WSW
10
SSW
5
NE
5
WSW
20
SE
Wind State
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
cross
cross
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
on
on
cross-on
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
10:52AM0.53m
00:33AM0.41m
10:26AM0.43m
00:29AM0.47m
8:48AM0.38m
00:31AM0.53m
00:45AM0.56m
1:26AM0.58m
3:50AM0.59m
Low Tide
5:51PM0.27m
4:56AM0.35m
5:04PM0.29m
6:18AM0.37m
4:24PM0.26m
3:31PM0.21m
3:07PM0.16m
3:15PM0.12m
3:33PM0.10m
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:58
6:58
6:56
6:56
6:54
6:52
6:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:50
5:50
5:51
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:53
 mm
2
6
5
2
2
Temp °C
16
17
17
17
19
19
18
14
15
14
15
16
16
15
15
15
16
15
15
15
15
Feels °C
11
15
17
10
13
14
10
3
5
9
9
9
10
10
11
12
11
11
14
14
12
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the The Three Bears Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for The Three Bears provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Three Bears can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Three Bears surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Three Bears) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Three Bears may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

The Three Bears is 64 km (40 miles) from the city of Bunbury. If you plan a holiday in Margaret River, look for hotels and other accommodation in Bunbury. Bunbury has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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