Surf Forecasts:
The Three Bears surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, W swell with 9,012 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Three Bears this week:
The surf forecast for The Three Bears over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 1.5m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Three Bears in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 7s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AWST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Three Bears over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you—this outlook for The Three Bears is a real mixed bag, and for most of the next week and a half, it’s pretty grim. The swell shows up, but the wind is an absolute nightmare for the first week, and the quality just isn’t there. We’ve got a long gap before anything worth paddling out for.
Looking at the whole 16-day window, the first real standout doesn’t arrive until Thursday the 23rd of July. Before that, from now right through to Wednesday the 22nd, the conditions are mostly poor, with strong cross-shore or onshore winds and messy, lumpy surf. There’s a couple of days with marginal surf, but nothing I’d recommend. The water temp is sitting around 66°, which is about average for this time of year—nothing unusual there.
The action finally turns on Thursday the 23rd of July. The Three Bears (reef) gets a solid 7ft to 7ft swell from the WSW, with a 13 to 14 second period—that’s a nice, long groundswell pushing in. The real kicker is the wind: light to gentle breezes from the ENE and NE, blowing cross-offshore. That’s going to make for clean, lined-up waves. The combined energy is strong, hitting 1686 (moderate to strong), so there’s plenty of power. This is for experienced surfers, as the size is on the edge of beginner territory. Crowds are possible here, so keep an eye out. This is the best on offer, by a long shot.
Friday the 24th of July is still pretty good, though the swell drops a touch to 5ft to 5ft from the SW and WSW, with periods around 13 seconds. The wind stays light from the NE and ENE, cross-offshore, keeping it clean. The combined energy drops to 700-784 (moderate). It’s a solid option, but not the standout of Thursday.
After Friday, the swell fades through the weekend, with waves dropping below 3ft and the wind turning more cross-off but stronger. By Monday the 27th of July, the wind swings back to a strong cross-onshore, and the whole setup gets messy again. The very end of the window, Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th, sees a pulse of long-period swell pushing 6ft to 6ft with a 17 to 21 second period—that’s very long-period groundswell. But the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and the conditions are reported as marginal at best, with a cross-chop. Not worth getting excited about.
So, call it: Thursday the 23rd of July is your real window. Clean, powerful, grunty swell. Don’t sleep on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 33mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Warm (max 21°C on Wed night, min 13°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, near gales from the W by Fri night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat night, min 13°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Sat night, calm by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wed 22 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | W 12 | W 14 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 14 | WSW 11 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1450 | 1580 | 2285 | 1110 | 861 | 656 | 4909 | 7576 | 7563 | 4021 | 2460 | 1901 | 1458 | 844 | 669 | 1193 | 645 | 1309 | 967 | 848 | 1077 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | on |
High Tide | 10:38AM0.75m | 11:05AM0.65m | 10:57AM0.55m | 9:41AM0.47m | 4:03AM0.45m | 8:30AM0.44m | 4:08AM0.51m | 4:37AM0.56m | |||||||||||||
Low Tide | 8:15PM0.08m | 8:36PM0.17m | 7:42PM0.26m | 6:27PM0.28m | 6:37AM0.44m | 5:39PM0.25m | 4:29PM0.21m | 4:03PM0.15m | |||||||||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | |  |  | | |  |  | | | |  | |  | | | |
 | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — |
 | 5:29 | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 |
mm | 2 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 |
Feels °C | 16 | 11 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | — | — | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 14 | WSW 11 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 |
| kJ | 1450 | 1580 | 2285 | 1110 | 861 | 656 | — | — | 7563 | 4021 | 2460 | 1901 | 1458 | 844 | 669 | 215 | 645 | 1309 | 967 | 848 | 1077 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 13 | — | NNW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 16 | — | — | WSW 14 | — | — | SW 16 | — |
| kJ | 17 | — | 183 | 231 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 42 | — | — | 325 | — | — | 206 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WNW 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 7 | NW 7 | — | — | WNW 7 | NW 7 | W 12 | W 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 14 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 316 | 861 | — | — | 254 | 393 | 4909 | 7576 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1193 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 320 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 177 | 224 | 269 | 366 | 269 | 224 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 86 | 224 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Margaret River | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Three Bears Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Three Bears provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Three Bears can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Three Bears surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Three Bears) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Three Bears may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
The Three Bears is 64 km (40 miles) from the city of Bunbury. If you plan a holiday in Margaret River, look for hotels and other accommodation in Bunbury. Bunbury has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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