The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s on offer. Just one spot lighting up the forecast for this 16-day window – The Three Bears. It’s a reef setup, beginner-friendly, and it’s got a decent run of swell coming its way from the southwest. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first bit of action we can talk about kicks off on Sunday the 6th of September. There’s a strong 8ft WSW swell rolling in, with a period of 12 seconds, so there’s some decent energy (combined energy of all swells directed here: 2378). But the wind is a cross-off from the SSE at 19 mph, which puts a bit of a chop on the face. The waves will be clean, but it’s not the day to get excited. By the afternoon, it drops to 6ft, but the period stretches out to 18 seconds, meaning the sets will be more spaced out. The wind stays cross-off, so it’s rideable, but marginal.

Monday morning the 7th sees the swell back up to 8ft, same 16-second period, with a gentler SE breeze. The waves are clean, but the wind is still cross-off, and the scores suggest it’s just okay. The afternoon gets a bit messier with a cross-shore wind.

Now, Tuesday the 8th is where things start to look up. That morning, we’ve got a solid 10ft WSW swell, 16-second period, and the wind swings offshore from the ESE at 19 mph. The water is clean, fresh offshore, and the sets will have real power. The combined energy is 4660, which is a solid pulse. This is a good window for anyone who’s comfortable with a bit of size. The afternoon holds up with similar conditions.

Wednesday the 9th is a cracker. The morning is still offshore, but the swell drops slightly to 8ft. The real gem is the afternoon: wind drops to a near-glass 3 mph from the east, the swell sits at 8ft, and the period is 15 seconds. The conditions are clean, glassy, and the wave quality is excellent for experienced surfers. This is a real standout, the best of the run so far.

Thursday the 10th stays clean, with a smaller 5ft swell and light winds in the afternoon. It’s a good day for a longer session, but the energy is lower (1097 to 1129).

The weekend takes a turn. Friday the 11th gets a cross-shore wind, and by Saturday the 12th, the wind shifts onshore from the WNW, making it choppy and messy. Sunday the 13th is a write-off with a strong onshore wind and rain.

We then have a gap of poor conditions until Tuesday the 15th. That morning looks promising again with a 7ft WSW swell, cross-off NE wind, and clean conditions. The afternoon is the real highlight: the wind goes glassy, 7ft swell, 14 seconds, and the energy is solid at 1783. This is a second standout, a perfect session for a surfer who wants a clean, punchy wave.

From Wednesday the 16th onwards, it gets ugly again with onshore winds and building swell. Thursday the 17th sees a 16ft swell from the west with a short period, which is a messy, dangerous mix. Friday the 18th is even bigger, with 16ft swell and 25 mph onshore winds—that’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing. The swell energy peaks at 12236, a massive amount of power, but it’s totally unsurfable.

The final week has a couple of flickers. Sunday the 20th of September has a massive 15ft WSW swell with a very long 20-second period, but the wind is onshore and the forecast says it’s too big for the break. Monday the 21st is a washout.

So, the two standout windows are: Tuesday morning the 8th of September with the 10ft offshore conditions, and Tuesday afternoon the 15th of September with the glassy, 7ft swell. Those are the ones to circle.

Rusty.

Read more