The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s shaping up for The Three Bears over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a lull. The forecast kicks off with a Tuesday morning session that’s got some cleanup, but the energy is pretty wild. The combined swell energy is sitting at 2147 (moderate to strong), and with a 7ft WSW swell running at 15 seconds, you’d think we’d be in business. The water is 66° – about average for this time of year – but the wind is a cross-off from the NE at 12 mph, which is keeping it clean. Problem is, the overall score tells me the tide is messing with the shape, so it’s a bit of a tease. Tuesday afternoon is actually better for experienced surfers, with 7ft and the same clean conditions, but the energy is still high.

Wednesday is a write-off. Strong winds from the north, 28 mph in the morning, and the swell is dropping. The afternoon gets even uglier with a strong cross-shore and cross-chop. Thursday is a no-go too – a 10ft swell coming in with a strong cross-onshore wind and rain. That’s big, messy, and only for the brave (or foolish). Friday morning offers a brief window: 6ft WSW swell with a light offshore wind from the WNW. It’s marginal, but the wind is light. The energy is still moderate (1081), so you might get a few, but the rain is on the horizon.

Then we hit a big gap. From Friday afternoon all the way through to the end of the month, the conditions are mostly poor. We’ve got a huge 16ft day on the 18th, but it’s accompanied by 28 mph onshore winds. That’s not surf, that’s a washing machine. The swell drops and rises again, but the wind just won’t play ball. The 22nd and 23rd have some waist-high leftovers, but the wind is either cross-on or onshore and strong. There’s a tiny window on the 23rd afternoon with a gentle cross-shore, but the swell is only 4ft and the energy is weak (758). It’s a long, bleak stretch.

Now, the reason you’re here. The real standout – and I mean the only true standout – is Wednesday, July 29th. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The morning brings a 10ft WSW swell, with a 17-second period, and the wind is offshore from the ENE at 9 mph. The combined energy is massive at 4998 (strong to very strong). That’s a proper groundswell, with long, powerful lines. The caveat is that this kind of period (over 15 seconds) can make the beach break a bit straight, but The Three Bears is a reef, so it should handle it beautifully. The afternoon is even better – glassy conditions, zero wind, and the same 10ft, 17-second swell. The energy is still huge (4927), and it’s described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a big swell, over 8ft, so it’s strictly for experts. The crowd? It says "sometimes," so expect a few others who’ve been waiting for this day.

For the second week, just remember: the only real shot is that last Wednesday. The rest is a waiting game. Don’t waste your energy on the junky days.

Rusty.

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