The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming our way over the next couple of weeks. The swell will be running, but finding clean, rideable waves is going to take some patience and a sharp eye on the wind.

The forecast starts on Saturday the 11th of July with a solid SW groundswell rolling into The Three Bears. It’s a consistent reef break, exposed to the swell, and the water temp is sitting at about 19°, which is pretty much average for this time of year – nothing wild going on there.

Saturday morning kicks off with a 6 ft swell from the SW at a long 13 seconds and a cross-off breeze. The combined wave energy is moderate (1008). It’s a bit marginal underfoot, but for a beginner-friendly spot, it could be worth a look early if you’re just wanting a paddle. Saturday afternoon sees the swell push to 7 ft from the WSW, period holding at 13 seconds, but the wind swings cross-shore and the energy jumps to moderate (1422). The texture gets a little bumpy – nothing special.

Sunday the 12th is a write-off. The morning has 7 ft WSW swell with a 14-second period but a light cross-onshore that puts small ripples on it. Combined energy is strong (2425) but the quality is marginal. By the afternoon, a moderate breeze kicks up and it gets choppy (2657 energy). Not worth suiting up.

Monday the 13th offers a glimmer. Morning session with 8 ft WSW swell and a very long 16-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy (3325). The wind is a light cross-shore, so there’ll be some texture, but the power is there. This is getting into expert territory size-wise. The reef setup here should handle that long period better than a beachie, keeping the lines a bit more organised. It’s the standout of the early week, but it’s far from perfect.

Now, Tuesday the 14th is the real highlight. Morning has 7 ft WSW swell at 15 seconds, and the wind turns cross-off from the ENE. Combined energy is strong (2147) and the waves are clean. Afternoon gets even better: clear skies, 7 ft WSW swell, 15-second period, and offshore wind from the ESE. Wave energy is moderate (1935), but the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the best on offer in the whole window. If you can get out Tuesday, that’s your day.

From Wednesday the 15th onwards, things go downhill fast and stay that way for a long stretch. Wednesday has a strong cross-shore breeze and a 6 ft WSW swell that’s lumpy. Thursday the 16th is blown out with strong winds and messy cross-chop on 8-8 ft swell. Friday the 17th is worse – strong onshore winds and a 10 ft W swell on Friday afternoon (3870 energy) that’s just messy. Saturday the 18th sees a 13 ft WSW swell with near gale-force winds (10128 energy) – absolute nightmare, blown out completely.

This poor run continues right through to the end of the forecast on Sunday the 26th of July. There’s a brief moment on Monday the 20th with a smaller 5 ft swell and light wind, but it’s marginal. Sunday the 26th has a 6 ft WSW swell at 16 seconds, but the onshore wind and strong energy (2550) mean it’s still poor.

So, to sum it up: the only true standout is Tuesday the 14th of July – both sessions, but especially the afternoon with clean offshore conditions and a solid 7 ft groundswell. Get in the water then, because after that, we’re looking at a week and a half of mostly poor, blown-out conditions.

Stay sharp, keep an eye on the forecast, and don’t get caught out by that wind.

Rusty.

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