The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a good look at what’s coming up for The Three Bears. It’s a consistent reef break that's ideal for beginners, set up to handle a solid SW groundswell. The water temp is sittin' around 67°, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year, so no surprises there. The overall pattern shows a bit of a rough and windy start before we get some absolute gems in the middle of the window, then things get messy again towards the very end.

Right off the bat, Saturday the 4th, we've got some issue. The swell is there at 6 ft from the WSW, but that strong NNE wind is making things cross-off. It’s clean, but the combined energy is weak (1970), and the score is low. It's rideable, but nothin' to write home about. Sunday the 5th is a write-off with rain and onshore wind makin' a mess.

Now, Monday the 6th? That's where it starts gettin' interesting. The swell jumps to a solid 10 ft from the WSW, with that long 15-second period. The combined energy is cranking (3520). It's still a bit windy in the morning with that cross-off SSE breeze, but by the afternoon it settles to a moderate breeze. This is big, powerful surf. At 10 ft, this is strictly for experienced surfers. It's clean, but the power is serious.

The real standout of the entire forecast, the one you circle on the calendar, is Wednesday the 8th. We’re looking at a beautiful 8 ft swell from the WSW with a very long 17-second period, and the combined energy is massive (3316). But the kicker? The wind is glassy. That’s right, a 5 km/h SSE breeze that’s practically nothin’. The morning session will be absolutely pristine. The wave comment says it all: excellent conditions for experienced surfers. This is that rare moment where size, power, and perfection all line up. Expect crowds to be possible because this is a day everyone will be talkin' about.

Tuesday the 7th morning is also a good call with 8 ft and clean cross-off winds, but that Wednesday morning is the peak. Tuesday afternoon turns choppy, so surf it early.

After that, Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th are brutal. Strong onshore winds and lumpy, messy conditions. Thursday’s swell is still 8 ft, but it’s blown out. Friday the 10th sees the wind howling at 28 mph and the period dropping to a pathetic 8 seconds, making it a complete mess. For that size and wind setup, this beach-and-reef spot looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddling.

Things clean up again Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th. Saturday has 8 ft waves with a clean cross-off wind, and Sunday the 12th drops to a more manageable 5 ft from the SW with a nice 12-second period and light winds. That’s a good session for the intermediate crew, nothing too crazy.

Monday the 13th is another highlight with a clean 7 ft swell and an offshore E wind. That’s proper, fun surfing.

From Tuesday the 14th onward, it’s a bit of a mixed bag with onshore winds and dropping swell. The period stays long enough for good shape, but the wind is the enemy. The 18th and 19th of July see a massive, short-period, onshore swell (15 ft on the 18th with a 10-second period). That’s a full-blown washing machine. Not for paddling.

So to sum it up: ignore the first few days. Your number one pick is Wednesday, July 8th at The Three Bears for that glassy, 8 ft WSW groundswell that will hold up beautifully on the reef. Tuesday the 7th morning and Monday the 13th are your solid backup plans.

Stay stoked.
Rusty.

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