The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into the outlook for The Three Bears. This is a consistent reef break that’s exposed to the swell, and it’s mostly a beginner-friendly wave, but it'll be pushing the limits for a lot of you this week.

We’ve got a classic setup with a blockbuster groundswell from the WSW, but the timing and conditions are going to be choosy. The water’s sitting at 64.8°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the thickest rubber.

The real standout is the first session. Monday morning is the one to get you out of bed. We’ve got clean conditions with a light, cross-off SE breeze blowing at 9 mph. The swell is pumping at 8.2 ft, but it’s a long-period groundswell (16 seconds), which means it’ll be packing a serious punch with a combined energy of 3705. This is quality, powerful surf, but it’s a solid size for a beginner spot. The wave comment says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers," and that’s the truth. If you’re not confident on a bigger board, this one is for the lads who can handle a steep take-off. The long period means the sets will be clean and the paddle out easier, but at a reef, you’ll need to respect the bottom.

The rest of Monday is a write-off. The afternoon turns messy with a cross-shore S wind, and the score drops off a cliff.

Tuesday (September 8th) is a close second. The morning session is clean with a true offshore wind from the ESE at 19 mph. The swell is even bigger at 9.8 ft, and the period is a very long 17 seconds. That’s a massive groundswell hitting the reef. The combined energy is 4717, which is very strong. This is big, powerful, and for experts only. If you’re a beginner, or even a confident intermediate, stay on the beach for this one. The offshore wind will make it look beautiful, but it will be a handful. The afternoon is still offshore, but the wind eases a bit.

Wednesday morning (September 9th) sees a slight drop to 7.5 ft, but the wind swings to a cross-off from the ENE at 22 mph. The energy is still serious at 2334, but the wind is a bit stronger, making it less clean than the previous days. The afternoon is windier but with a more favourable cross-off.

Thursday (September 10th) is a potential sleeper. The morning is a bit lumpy with a cross-off, but the afternoon is the real deal. The wind goes glassy, falling to 3 mph from the SSW. The swell is a more manageable 4.6 ft, but it’s a clean groundswell (15 seconds) with a combined energy of 1043. The wave comment is "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers," and with glassy conditions, the reef will be a beautiful, tapering line. This is the best option for intermediates who want a taste of the quality without the full-on 10 ft beatdown.

Friday (September 11th) is a drop-off. The morning is clean enough, but the afternoon brings a cross-on wind and a weird, very long period swell (18 seconds) that might be difficult to connect with on a point break. The energy is still high (2811), but the wind is against it.

Then we hit a rough patch. Saturday (September 12th) through Sunday (September 13th) is a complete write-off. Strong onshore winds and big, messy swell. The wave comment is "poor surf conditions" for every session. It’s a no-go zone. The swell is over 9.8 ft, but it’s blown out and ugly.

Monday (September 14th) offers a bit of a reprieve. The morning is clean with a cross-off ENE breeze, and the swell is a solid 7.9 ft. The energy is 2151. It’s not the best quality, but it’s a clean paddle.

Tuesday (September 15th) is another gem. The morning is glassy! A gentle SE breeze at 3 mph. The swell is 6.9 ft, and the wave comment is "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." This is a prime window. The long period (14 seconds) and glassy conditions will make the reef a delight. The afternoon turns choppy, so get it early.

The outlook for the second week (September

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