The Three Bears Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming our way.

Alright, so we've got a solid run of swell on the cards here for The Three Bears, a reef break that's a beginner-friendly spot. The water temp is sitting at 65°F which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The action kicks off on Tuesday morning, the 8th of September. We're looking at a solid 10 ft groundswell from the WSW, with a very long period of 17 seconds. The combined energy is massive at 4852, so there's a hell of a lot of power in the water. The wind is offshore from the ESE at 16 mph, which is a moderate breeze, but it's blowing clean. This is a big, powerful swell, and with a 17-second period, those sets are going to be meaty and well-spaced. It's a standout for experienced surfers, as the waves are going to be pushing over 8 ft, so this is for the crew who know what they're doing. Given the long period, the reef here will handle it much better than a beach break.

Tuesday afternoon stays similar, with the swell holding at 10 ft from the WSW, period dropping slightly to 16 seconds, and the wind still offshore from the E at 16 mph. The energy is still huge at 4051. It's still a big, powerful swell, excellent for the experienced.

Wednesday the 9th sees the swell drop a touch to 8 ft in the morning, still from the WSW with a 15-second period, but the wind picks up to a fresh offshore from the ENE at 22 mph. The energy is strong at 2334. The afternoon gets better with the wind easing to a light offshore breeze from the E at 6 mph, making for clean conditions. The swell is still a solid 7 ft with a long period, another good window for the skilled surfer.

Thursday the 10th the swell drops further to 5 ft, and the wind goes cross-offshore in the morning and cross-shore in the afternoon. The energy drops to moderate levels around 1111-1169. The conditions are so-so, more of a background day.

Friday the 11th looks better with the swell picking back up to 6 ft, and a light cross-offshore NNE breeze in the morning. The energy climbs back to a strong 2255. The afternoon sees a 5 ft swell with a very long 18-second period, but the wind goes cross-onshore, making it a bit bumpy. The morning is the pick here.

The weekend from Saturday the 12th into Sunday the 13th is a write-off. Strong onshore winds from the West and rain showers make for poor, choppy conditions. The swell is still there, but it's a mess. Best to leave the board in the car.

Monday the 14th gets interesting again. A clean 8 ft swell from the WSW with a 14-second period, and a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the NE in the morning. The energy is strong at 2561. This is another excellent session for the experienced crew, but the afternoon goes cross-onshore, so get it early.

Tuesday the 15th is a bit marginal with a cross-shore wind, and the swell drops to 8 ft. The energy is still strong, but the wind makes it lumpy.

The standout for the whole period is Wednesday the 16th. The morning is absolutely glassy. Calm winds, zero wind (0 mph), and a clean 6 ft swell from the WSW with a 14-second period. The energy is still strong at 1435. This is the cleanest, most perfect window we've got. The swell is still over 5 ft, so it's not for beginners, but for anyone with a bit of experience, this is the best on offer. The afternoon goes cross-onshore, so the morning session is the one to chase.

After that, things get messy again. From Thursday the 17th right through the rest of the 16-day window, strong onshore winds, near gale force winds on the 18th, and rain showers dominate. The swell is still big and powerful, but the wind is just going to ruin it. The 20th of September has a 8 ft swell with a cross-shore wind, but it's marginal at best. The 23rd has a similar story.

So, to sum it up: the best is the morning of Wednesday the 16th of September for the glassiest, cleanest conditions on a solid, long-period swell. The early part of the run (8th, 9th, and 14th) are also great for those who can handle the size. The rest of the time is a fight against the wind.

Rusty.

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