Papaya (Nahriya) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s cut through the noise and look at what the ocean’s got for us over the next couple of weeks. This is a tough stretch, no two ways about it. The swell is just tiny and the wind isn’t helping. We’re looking at a long, flat spell of small, weak surf that’s not going to be worth your time or energy.

The whole period starts off pretty grim. We’ve got a small, weak West-Northwest swell running from the 16th through the 28th, but it’s small. I'm talking ankle-to-knee high at best if you’re lucky. The energy in the water is weak, with values in the low double digits and even single digits for most of that time. For example, on the morning of the 17th the combined energy is only 93, and by the 19th it’s down to 21. It’s just dribbly, weak stuff with short periods of 6-8 seconds. The conditions are mostly messy too, with onshore and cross-onshore winds messing up what little texture there is. Honestly, from the 16th through the morning of the 29th, there is nothing to get excited about. That’s a solid two-week dry spell if you’re looking for a proper session.

Now, the one glimmer of hope in this whole forecast comes at the very end of the window, around Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th. The swell finally starts to show a pulse. On Saturday morning, we’re looking at 5ft of West-Northwest swell with a period of 7 seconds, and the energy jumps to 193. By the afternoon, it’s a bit stronger, 5ft with 8 seconds and energy at 226. This is the standout of the period—it’s not huge, but it’s three times the size of anything we've seen. The wind is forecast to be light and cross-shore, which will help keep things cleaner. It’s still small, but it’s something.

The only spot I’d even point you toward is Papaya (Nahriya) . It’s a fairly consistent, exposed beginner spot, so it will pick up whatever is out there. With that Westerly swell direction, it aligns with its optimum. But, and it’s a big but, this is not a day for anyone but the most patient. It's going to be small with onshore wind, so expect some chop. The light winds we are seeing will be a major bonus for keeping it surfable.

Let's be blunt: this is a period for equipment checks, maybe a paddle, and definitely not for getting your hopes up. The energy is just weak, and the waves are small. The highlight is that last weekend of August, and even then, it's small. There will be a lot of flat days between the 16th and the 28th, so don’t plan on anything until that final Saturday. The models will change, but right now, it’s slim pickings.

Rusty.

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