Nirvana Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee, 'cause we gotta talk about the next couple of weeks at Nirvana Beach. Straight up, the outlook is a bit of a bummer. Over the whole 16-day stretch, the models are calling it "poor surf conditions" every single day, and the score is a flat zero. That's a long, tough run. There's not a single standout swell in the mix, so we're just gonna ride out the waiting game.

Let's start at the beginning. The first record we have is for Tuesday, July 14th. The afternoon sees a weak WNW groundswell of 2ft with a short period of 6 seconds, and the combined energy is a measly 39. The wind is onshore from the WNW at 9 mph, so it's gonna be messy. The water temp is sitting at 82°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s the only small mercy.

Moving into Wednesday morning, July 15th, the swell picks up a tiny bit to 3ft from the same WNW direction, but the period is still short at 8 seconds. The wind is a light cross-onshore from the SW at 6 mph, which actually keeps it fairly clean with just small wind ripples. The energy’s still weak at 77. By the afternoon, the wind swings back onshore from the WNW at 9 mph, and the wave comment is "unknown," but it doesn't inspire confidence.

Thursday, July 16th, is more of the same. Morning session has a light cross-onshore SW wind at 6 mph with a 3ft, 8-second WNW swell. The energy creeps up to 107, which is at least moderate, but the surf quality is still poor. The afternoon turns onshore again with a 3ft, 7-second swell and energy dropping to 73.

The pattern stays locked in. From Friday, July 17th, through to Wednesday, July 29th, we're looking at tiny, weak swells ranging from 1ft to 5ft, with periods mostly between 5 and 8 seconds. The winds are a mix of light onshore or cross-onshore, often described as "gentle cross-onshore and fairly choppy" or "moderate cross-onshore and choppy." The energy values are mostly in the weak zone (10-99) or just barely into moderate (100-280) for a couple of days.

There is a slight pulse on Friday, July 24th, where the swell bumps up to 5ft from the WNW with a 8-second period, and the energy hits 280 in the morning. The wind is a cross-shore from the SSW at 9 mph, which is the best wind direction we see in the whole run, described as "gentle cross-shore with slight cross-chop." But even then, the wave comment is still "poor surf conditions." That 5ft is a little big for a beginner, but for an intermediate, it's not too scary. The problem is the quality just isn't there.

The next day, Saturday, July 25th, the swell is still 4ft, but the wind is back to a light cross-onshore. It's a tiny step up in energy, but it's just not clean.

Honestly, for a spot that's exposed and inconsistent, this is a pretty normal blank run. The setup is a beach, and with the constant onshore wind and weak, short-period swell, it's honestly looking more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. There's just no good surf on offer in this 16-day window. Don't throw the board in the rafters yet, though - forecasts can change, and it tends not to stay this poor forever.

Rusty.

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