Nirvana Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get straight into it. Rusty here.

Right off the bat, I’ll be honest with you – this is a tough stretch for Nirvana Beach. We’re looking at a real flat spell and it’s going to be a long wait for anything that even gets close to worth paddling out for. The 16-day outlook kicks off on Sunday, July 19, but there’s barely a ripple to start. For the first six days, through to Friday July 24, it’s tiny, messy, and mostly onshore or cross-onshore. Swell heights are stuck between 1 ft and 3 ft, with periods of just 5 to 7 seconds – that’s weak, windswell slop. The combined energy is all below 100 (maxing out at 49), which tells you just how limp the ocean is. The wind is a constant problem, too, mostly from the W or WSW, putting a chop on everything. You’d be fighting for ankle-biters if you even bother.

The water temp is sitting at 82 °F, with a anomaly of 2 °F, so it’s basically normal for the time of year – warm, but not weird.

The first real change shows up on Saturday July 25. The morning brings a little bump: 4 ft from the WNW with an 8-second period, and combined energy finally climbs to 151 (moderate). The wind is light from the SW, cross-onshore but only a light breeze, so it’s not completely blown out. It’s still not great surf – the wave comment calls it poor – but it’s the best we’ve seen. That afternoon the swell drops back to 4 ft with the same direction, but the wind swings onshore from the WNW. If you’re desperate for a paddle and you’re a beginner, Saturday morning is your only real window, but keep expectations low.

After that, it’s back to small, weak, and choppy again. Heights hover around 1 ft to 3 ft for the rest of July and into early August. The combined energy numbers are mostly in the teens to low 70s – weak. A standout moment? No. There is no standout in this whole forecast. The best on offer is Saturday July 25 morning, and even that’s a stretch to call “good.” The wind is never clean offshore for any length of time, and the swell direction is always WNW, which is fine for the exposed setup here, but the size and period just aren’t there.

The last day of the forecast, Monday August 3, has a brief moment of glassy conditions in the morning with the wind coming from the SW and a “glass” wind state – that’s a tease. But the swell is only 2 ft with a 5-second period, combined energy of 18. It’s glassy, but it’s basically flat. Not enough to ride.

So, in short: we’ve got a 16-day run with virtually no surf worth talking about. If you’re a beginner, the Saturday July 25 morning might give you a tiny, gentle wave, but don’t expect much more than a splash. The rest of the time, it’s a lake with a light chop. This is one of those periods where the ocean just goes quiet. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a drought.

- Rusty

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