Surf Forecasts:
Newcastle Beach surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 11s period, SSE swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 11s period, SSE swell with 6,763 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Newcastle Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Newcastle Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Newcastle Beach in the next 16 days are 5.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 10PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Newcastle Beach over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here with the Newcastle outlook. Let’s break it down.
We’re in for a bit of a quiet start, then a clean window, and then a huge pulse of swell that’s only for the brave. There’s a long gap of no real surf recommendations from Sunday, July 12th, through to Thursday, July 16th, so a few days of flat or poor conditions.
The first chance is Thursday afternoon, July 9th, at Newcastle Beach. It’s a beach and reef, very consistent. Water temp is about 66°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The swell is 6ft from the SE, period 10 seconds – a solid groundswell. The energy is moderate (633). The wind is a light onshore from the SE, so it’s a bit messy. “Slight air” doesn’t help much.
Friday morning, July 10th, is the better call. The swell is 6ft from the SE, 10-second period. Energy is moderate (527). The wind swings to a W 10 km/h cross-off, which is clean. “Light breeze” and “clean” conditions. This is a good session for a beginner-friendly spot, but it’s still a proper 6ft, so it’s got some push.
Saturday morning, July 11th, is a clean one. Swell is 4ft from the SE, period 9 seconds, with a NW 10 km/h offshore wind. Energy is moderate (398). Glassy, clean, fun little waves for a longboard.
Saturday afternoon the swell drops to 3ft from the ESE, 11-second period, with a NNW 15 km/h offshore wind. Energy is moderate (313). Still clean, but small.
Then the dead zone. Strong wind, no swell, poor conditions.
Thursday, July 16th, the big stuff arrives. Swell is 16ft from the SSE, 10-second period. The energy is massive (4755 to 5953). The wind is onshore and messy. This is not for surfing; it’s a washing machine. It’s more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Friday, July 17th, is even bigger – 18ft from the SSE, 11-second period, energy up to 7426. Cross-on wind and choppy. A total no-go.
Saturday, July 18th, is the peak: 20ft from the SSE, 12-second period, energy 9715. Still cross-on wind. Huge, dangerous.
Sunday, July 19th, is still massive at 18ft from the SSE, 12-second period, but the wind is finally offshore from the NNW at 10 km/h. “Clean” conditions. Energy is 9051. This is a monster groundswell for experts only. The beach is going to be a straight, fast closeout.
Monday, July 20th, is the standout. The swell drops to 10ft from the SE, 11-second period, with a NW 15 km/h offshore wind. Energy is strong (2362). “Excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” The wind is clean, the waves have power. This is the best day of the period.
Tuesday, July 21st, the swell is 6ft from the SE, 10 seconds, with a WNW cross-off wind. Energy is moderate (704). It’s a “marginal” forecast, but the wind is clean.
The rest of the window is a mixture of dropping swell and lumpy wind, with a brief rise on Thursday, July 23rd, to 8ft from the S, but with a strong cross wind and poor conditions.
Friday, July 24th, is a final chance. 6ft from the ESE, 10 seconds, with a WSW 15 km/h cross-off wind. Energy is moderate (1119). The wind is “clean.” It’s a marginal call, but could be a sneaky session.
Best Bet: Monday, July 20th. The 10ft SE swell, 11-second period, with clean NW offshore wind. Big, powerful, and for the experienced crew, it’s the best of the lot.
Second choice: Friday morning, July 10th. The 6ft SE swell with clean cross-off wind. Solid and fun.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, fresh winds from the WNW by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Tue afternoon, strong winds from the SSE by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thu 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | S 7 | S 12 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 11 | S 6 | S 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 602 | 502 | 513 | 580 | 408 | 225 | 193 | 261 | 134 | 59 | 23 | 40 | 42 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 184 | 2867 | 4755 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | off | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 3:48AM1.18m | 4:29PM1.62m | 5:04AM1.16m | 5:30PM1.73m | 6:15AM1.19m | 6:28PM1.83m | 7:17AM1.23m | 7:23PM1.91m | 8:13AM1.29m | 8:15PM1.95m | 9:04AM1.33m | 9:04PM1.94m | 9:52AM1.37m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:03PM0.52m | 9:44AM0.45m | 11:16PM0.43m | 10:44AM0.44m | 00:23AM0.32m | 11:45AM0.42m | 1:21AM0.22m | 12:44PM0.39m | 2:14AM0.14m | 1:41PM0.37m | 3:03AM0.09m | 2:35PM0.36m | 3:50AM0.09m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 |
 | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | 5:04 |
mm | 2 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Temp °C | 16 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 9 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 6 | S 9 | E 10 | — | — |
| kJ | 602 | 502 | 513 | 580 | 408 | 225 | 115 | 261 | 134 | 59 | 23 | 40 | 27 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 2 | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 14 | S 19 | S 20 | ESE 15 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSW 6 | SE 9 | ESE 8 | S 12 | SE 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 17 | E 10 | — | — |
| kJ | 25 | 114 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 169 | 193 | 61 | 23 | 6 | 21 | 7 | 42 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 2 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 17 | S 16 | S 20 | — | S 18 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | NE 5 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | S 12 | ESE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | — | S 18 | E 10 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 6 | 5 | 7 | — | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | — | 6 | 2 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 2 | NW 2 | W 3 | W 3 | W 3 | NW 3 | NW 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | — | WSW 2 | S 6 | S 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | 39 | 184 | 2867 | 4755 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 127 | 108 | 44 | 98 | 498 | 291 | 95 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Newcastle Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Newcastle Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Newcastle Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Newcastle Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Newcastle Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Newcastle Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Newcastle? If you are looking for accommodation near Newcastle Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Newcastle, consider staying in Newcastle which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Other places in and around Newcastle where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Catherine Hill Bay which is 30 km (19 miles) away, Port Stephens, Cessnock and Central Coast.
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