Newcastle Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at Newcastle Beach look pretty grim for the most part. We're staring down a long, flat spell with a few hints of something surfable, but nothing that'll get your heart racing. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first proper surf recommendation doesn't pop up until Monday, July 20th. That’s a solid week of nothing worth paddling out for. The early part of the week is flat as a tack, with tiny waves under 2ft and weak energy (35 and below). Wednesday the 15th throws a bit of size at us, with a 6ft S swell on the morning, but the wind is a messy cross-shore and the energy is moderate (755), and the surf report calls it marginal at best. The afternoon gets bigger (8ft) but the wind turns cross-onshore and it’s choppy. Thursday the 16th is similar – 6ft S swell but with a fresh cross-shore wind and lumpy conditions. It’s just not clean enough to be worth it.

From Friday the 17th through to Sunday the 19th, we're in that awkward zone where the swell drops right back to under 4ft, and the wind is onshore or cross-onshore. The energy is weak (under 300), and it’s mostly rain showers and poor conditions. Hard pass.

Now, the standout window. Monday, July 20th is the best we’ve got. The morning brings a clean 4ft E swell (energy of 273) with a light offshore NW breeze. Then the afternoon goes glassy, with a light NNW breeze and that same 4ft E swell pushing in with a 10-second period (energy of 302). This is your session. It’s not huge, but it’ll be clean and lined up. Newcastle Beach is a very consistent spot, so you can expect some waves. It’s also a beginner-friendly beach and reef setup, so it’s good for all levels, but keep in mind crowds are often here, so you’ll have company.

Tuesday the 21st is worth a mention, but it’s a step down. The morning is clean with a 3ft ENE swell but the winds are cross-offshore, and it’s rated as ordinary. The afternoon turns choppy, so hit that morning window if you’re desperate.

The second week from the 22nd onwards is a real mixed bag of tiny, ordinary waves. The swell direction sticks to E and ENE, but it’s small, mostly under 3ft. The wind is often light or offshore, so the conditions are clean, but the lack of size means it’s just not going to be exciting. The energy figures are weak (under 200). The best of that later period is Sunday, July 26th, with a clean 3ft E swell and a 12-second period (energy of 204), but it’s light rain and still very small.

Overall, if you’re chasing waves, your one true standout is Monday the 20th. It’s not a classic, but it’s the cleanest, most surfable day in a very flat outlook. The rest is mostly for the die-hards or the kite surfers if the wind picks up.

Rusty.

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