Newcastle Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Newcastle Beach has got cooking for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, Tuesday the 21st is looking like a bit of a tease. The morning has some clean lines with a 4ft easterly swell, period hanging around 10 seconds, and a light northerly cross-offshore breeze. The wave energy is moderate (325) and the water temp is sitting at 66°F, which is bang on average for this time of year. It’s a decent little window for a beginner-friendly wave, but the afternoon turns ugly quick when the wind swings east-northeast and gets fresh, so get in early.

Wednesday the 22nd is a step down in size – 3ft in the morning, 2ft in the afternoon – but both sessions have offshore wind. The energy is light (138 and 108), so it’s small and clean, very ordinary but still surfable if you’re on a log. Thursday the 23rd sees the swell drop even further, 2ft and 2ft, though the afternoon goes glassy with a light northwesterly. Pretty weak energy (65 and 53), not much to write home about.

Friday the 24th brings a new south swell, 4ft in the morning but with a cross-shore wind that messes it up. The afternoon jumps to 6ft but it’s cross-onshore, so it’s lumpy and not inviting. The combined energy hits 490 in the arvo, but the wind kills it.

Now, Saturday the 25th is where things get a bit more interesting. The morning has a solid 5ft south swell, 11-second period, and a moderate west-northwest offshore wind. That’s a clean, punchy wave with strong energy (566). This is one of the better windows in the whole outlook – consistent, offshore, and the swell direction is straight out of the south, which is the optimum for Newcastle Beach. The afternoon stays clean with 5ft and lighter offshore wind, but the morning is the pick.

Sunday the 26th is still fair in the morning: 4ft south swell, 11-second period, light west-southwest cross-offshore breeze, and clean conditions (337 energy). The afternoon turns onshore and messy, so another morning mission.

Monday the 27th is small again – 3ft in the morning, 3ft in the afternoon – but both are clean with offshore or light cross-offshore wind. Very ordinary, but a log will still get you a few grovelly ones.

Then there’s a real dry spell. Tuesday the 28th is junk with a fresh south wind and only 1ft. Wednesday the 29th, we get a massive spike in swell – 10ft in the morning, 8ft in the afternoon – but the wind is cross or cross-onshore, and the energy is monstrous (2689 in the morning). This is big, messy, and only for very experienced surfers, and even then the quality is marginal due to the wind.

Thursday the 30th is the standout for the second week. The morning is glassy, 8ft south swell, 8-second period, and the energy is extremely strong (1567). That’s a big, clean, powerful swell, but that short period means it’ll be a bit walled up and dumpy – expert territory only. The water temp is still average, but this is a proper winter swell with clean glass. If you’ve got the skills, this is the best on offer for the whole outlook.

Friday the 31st drops back to 4ft, but the wind is cross or cross-onshore, so it’s messy again. Saturday the 1st of August has a morning window with 5ft, glassy conditions, and a light west-northwest breeze. The energy is strong (527) and it’s clean – that’s a solid second option for the weekend. The afternoon turns cross-onshore and goes bad.

Sunday the 2nd has a clean morning with 4ft and a light cross-offshore wind, but the afternoon brings rain showers and a cross-onshore wind. The last few days of the outlook, from Monday the 3rd through Wednesday the 5th, are small and mostly messy, with the occasional offshore wind on the 4th and 5th, but the swell is tiny (3ft down to 2ft) and the energy is weak.

Overall, the best windows are Saturday the 25th morning for the clean, offshore south swell, and Thursday the 30th morning for the big, glassy, expert-only swell. The water is about average for winter, so a 4/3 will do you fine.

Catch ya out there.
Rusty

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