Newcastle Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Alright, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Newcastle Beach over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, the forecast is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got some small, clean windows early on, but a whole lot of lumpy, blown-out slop to wade through. The standout windows are tight, so you’ve gotta pick your moments.

The Overall Pattern

The surf kicks off small and clean, but the energy is pretty weak. Then we get a big pulse of south swell mid-week, but it’s absolutely hammered by strong onshore winds – not a pretty sight for a beach and reef setup like this. The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is pretty average for this time of year, nothing weird going on there. The main action is in the first week, with a couple of tidy mornings worth setting the alarm for. The second week looks mostly poor, with messy winds and mushy, short-period slop.

Monday 14th September

Monday morning is your best bet in this whole outlook, no question. Newcastle Beach is cleaning up with a light, cross-off breeze from the north at 6 mph. We’ve got a 0.7ft south swell, period of 12 seconds. It’s not big, but it’s got a bit of push from that longer period, and the combined swell energy is sitting at 158. It’s clean, surfable, and the crowds are ‘often’ here, but for a fun little session on the log or a mid-length, this is the pick. Get it while it’s good.

Tuesday 15th September

Tuesday morning is even smaller, dropping to 0.4ft of south swell with a 10-second period. The combined energy is a paltry 46. Wind is light and cross-off from the WNW at 6 mph, so it’s clean, but you’ll be hunting for the knee-high runners. Not a standout.

Wednesday 16th September

Now, Wednesday is where it gets serious, but not in a good way for paddling. We get a jump to a 10ft south swell, but it’s howling from the SSW at 22 mph in the morning, gusting to 25 mph in the arvo. That’s a fresh to strong breeze cross-on, and it’ll be absolute messy, lumpy chaos. The combined energy hits 1772 in the morning and 2391 in the afternoon – plenty of power, but the wind is ruining it. This is more of a kite surfer’s set-up than a paddle surfer’s.

Thursday 17th September

Thursday is a step down in wind, but it’s still not clean. Morning has a 10ft south swell with a cross breeze at 16 mph. The combined energy is huge at 3469, but it’s a cross-shore chop. The afternoon drops to 7ft from the SSE, but it’s onshore. Marginal at best, and definitely one for experienced surfers only if you can find a bank that works.

Friday 18th September

Friday morning is a proper return to form. A clean, offshore breeze from the NW at 3 mph. Swell drops back to 5ft from the SSE, period 9 seconds. The combined energy is 356, so moderate power. This is clean, offshore, and offers a solid, head-high wave. It’s the second standout of the week. The afternoon gets chopped out by an ENE breeze, so morning is the go.

Saturday 19th September

Saturday morning has a gentle offshore from the WNW at 9 mph and a smaller 3ft SSE swell. Clean, but small. Good for the log crew.

Sunday 20th September

Sunday morning is a clean, cross-off breeze, but only 2ft of south swell. Tiny.

Monday 21st September to Tuesday 29th September

From Monday the 21st onwards, the outlook gets grim. There’s a weird 0.6ft swell with a 16-second period on Monday morning – that’s a super long period groundswell, but no power (combined energy of 37). The rest of this week is a mix of short-period, blown-out junk. We get another spike of swell on the 22nd (6ft, combined energy 1044), but with onshore winds. The 24th of September has a morning window with a light cross-off and a 5ft NE swell (period of only 7 seconds), but that’s short-period and weak energy (369). The rest is just messy cross-shore wind and small, choppy conditions. The whole second week is a write-off, really. A long gap of poor surf until the very end.

So, to sum it up: Monday morning, 14th September is the real standout for a clean, fun session. Friday morning, 18th September is your second-best call with a bit more size and offshore wind. After that, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

Read more