Little Rincon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, it’s Rusty here, taking a long look at the charts for Little Rincon. I’ll be straight with ya – this forecast period is a tough one. For the next week and a half, the surf is basically flat or too weak to bother with. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, weak energy with swell direction that’s all wrong for this setup, and mostly onshore wind to boot. The water temp came in at 70° on the Sunday morning, which is 6° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, but it won’t make up for the lack of waves.

The first recommendation kicks off on Saturday, August 24th, but don’t get excited. The combined swell energy is only 59, which is weak. Swell is coming from the SSW at 1 ft with a period of 13 seconds. That long period groundswell is good for quality on a reef like this, but the size is tiny and the wind is onshore from the WSW at 6 mph. It’s not really going to work. The Saturday afternoon is even weaker energy at 131, but still poor.

Things don’t improve much through the following days. There’s a tiny uptick in energy on Friday, August 28th, with the swell picking up to 1 ft from the SSW at 19 seconds. That period is very long, which usually means better shape, but the combined energy is 234 – still only moderate – and the onshore breeze keeps it messy.

The first marginally surfable window appears on Saturday, August 29th. The morning shows a light offshore wind from the WSW at 6 mph, but the swell is still only 2 ft from the SSW at 17 seconds. It’s small and long-period, which means it might wrap in a little cleaner for this reef, but the break is inconsistent and the rating says it’s marginal. The combined energy is 346, which is moderate, but don’t expect much.

The real standout, if you can call it that, is the very last day of the forecast: Monday morning, September 7th. The wind goes glassy with a touch from the SW at just 3 mph, and the swell is 2 ft from the SSW at 16 seconds. The combined energy is only 149, still weak, and the conditions are described as “surfable but very ordinary.” That’s the best of a pretty poor bunch. This break can be inconsistent, so this small spike is notable for being the only time the wind and swell line up even a little.

Overall, there’s no punch here. The swell stays under 3 ft the whole time, with no real power. If you’re a beginner, you’re safe because it never gets too big, but you won’t have much to ride either. For the experts, well, it’s a long wait for a tiny window on September 7th.

Stick with it – forecasts can change, but right now it’s a long dry spell.

Rusty.

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