Little Rincon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you about this next stretch.

Look, I gotta be honest, this is a tough report to write. Pulling up the numbers for Little Rincon, and it's a pretty bleak picture for the next couple of weeks. We're looking at a long, dry spell.

The water's a bit of a talking point, though. It's sitting at 69°, which is a massive 6° warmer than usual for this time of year. That's very unusual, and honestly, pretty nice for a paddle when there's nothing else going on.

But the surf? It's just not happening. The entire first week, from Wednesday the 19th right through to the end of the month, is a total write-off. The swell is tiny and weak, with combined energy readings barely cracking 100 (167) on the best of those days, and mostly sitting in the 50-150 range. The direction is a stubborn SSW, which is completely wrong for this spot. We need a good WNW groundswell to get Little Rincon working, and the wind is just about the only thing that's clean, with a light offshore breeze from the SW or WSW most days. That's the only positive, but it doesn't matter when the waves don't exist.

The second week doesn't offer much hope either. The first hint of anything that even looks like a wave comes around Saturday the 29th, but even then, the forecast still calls it "poor surf conditions." The swell height barely nudges up to 2 ft, and while the energy jumps to 354, it's still from the wrong direction and the quality just isn't there. The wind stays clean, with a light offshore breeze, but it's not enough to save it.

The only flicker of something comes on Sunday the 30th of August, where the forecast switches from "poor" to just "marginal." The combined energy is still moderate at 268, with a 2 ft SSW swell and a 16-second period. That's a long period, but for a beach break, that long period usually means the waves are fat and hard to ride. The wind on that morning is still a light offshore, so it'll be clean, but don't get your hopes up.

Honestly, for the whole 16-day window, there are no standouts. No days where a surfer would look at this and get excited. The setups are small, weak, and from the wrong angle. If you're a kiter, this might be interesting on a few of those breezier afternoons, but for a paddle surfer, this is a long wait.

Hang in there, the forecasts can change, but right now, it's a flat spell. Rusty out.

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