Little Rincon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I’ve got the skinny for Little Rincon. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple weeks are looking grim. We’re staring down a long, flat stretch, and there’s hardly anything to get excited about.

We kick off on Wednesday, July 29th, and there’s just nothing going on. The swell is weak and messy, coming in from the SSW with a tiny 2ft push, but the wind is a cross-onshore, ruining any chance of a clean face. The combined wave energy is weak, sitting at 264, and the water is way warmer than normal for this time of year – about 69°, which is a big anomaly. It’s just poor conditions, and that’s the story for days on end.

From Thursday, July 30th, right through the weekend and into the start of August, the swell drops even further. We’re talking 2ft, 2ft, even shrinking down to 1ft. The wind stays onshore or cross-onshore, the period gets short and choppy, and the energy stays low, dipping into double digits. There’s a little 2ft on Saturday, August 1st, but it’s an onshore dud. Then Sunday, August 2nd, brings a 3ft from the west with a short 10-second period, still onshore. Nothing to paddle for.

The whole first week is a write-off. We then hit a real lull around Monday, August 3rd and Tuesday, August 4th, where the swell drops to a pathetic 1.0ft and wave energy falls below 100. This is as flat as it gets. The pattern doesn’t change much; we see persistent onshore wind and weak, crummy swell all the way through to mid-August.

There is a glimmer, but it’s a long way off. On Friday, August 7th, we get a tiny 1.0ft from the SSW, but the period jumps way up to 19 seconds. That’s very long-period groundswell, and the energy climbs to 119. But honestly, at that size and with a cross-onshore wind, it’s not going to do anything. The same goes for Saturday, August 8th, with a 1ft and an 18-second period. These long-period swells are better for reefs and points, but there’s no power behind them.

The real standout, if you can call it that, is the very end of the run. Sunday, August 9th, sees a 2ft from the SSW with a 15-second period and energy climbing to 198. Still, the wind is onshore, light, but onshore. That trend continues into Monday, August 10th, with the same 1ft to 2ft range.

Honestly, for the whole 16-day window, there is not a single day that offers a decent wave for surfing. The onshore wind never lets up, the swell is laughably small, and the energy is consistently weak. If you’re a kite surfer, this setup – light wind, small, choppy waves at a beach or reef break – might be worth a look, because there’s nothing here for a paddle surfer. The forecasts can always change, but this is a blank run that feels pretty normal for this area when there’s no swell coming.

Rusty.

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