Little Rincon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's be straight with you – the outlook for Little Rincon over the next 16 days is a tough one. We're looking at a long stretch of pretty poor surf conditions, with hardly anything to get excited about. The first few days are a write-off, and even as we move through the second week, the options are slim. The best we can hope for is a couple of brief windows where the conditions might be marginally better, but don't expect anything epic.

We start off on Wednesday, the 8th of July, with a small 2 ft swell from the SSW, but the wind is onshore and the wave quality is just poor. The combined energy is moderate (340), but it’s not doing us any favours. The water temp is about average for the time of year. This trend continues right through the first week. Thursday and Friday the 9th and 10th are the same story – small, weak swells, onshore wind, and poor surf. The swell drops to 2 ft and the combined energy falls into the low to moderate range (222 to 175). It’s a real drag.

We get a bit of a change on Saturday, the 11th of July, but it's not a good one. The swell is still tiny at 2 ft from the SSW, but the wind shifts to a light cross-onshore. The energy is weak (159). Still, the conditions are poor. This flat, weak pattern holds through the middle of the following week, with the swell energy dropping to just 58 on the 14th. It’s basically a full week of near-flat, messy conditions.

On Wednesday, the 15th of July, we see the swell direction shift to the west, but it's short-period windswell at 8 seconds and only 2 ft. The energy is moderate (150), but the onshore wind ruins it. Thursday the 16th is a little better, with a 3 ft west swell and a slightly longer period of 9 seconds, but again, the wind is onshore for the afternoon. The energy is moderate (167), but it's still a poor surf day.

The second week is really a struggle. The best looking window is likely Saturday, the 18th of July, with a 2 ft swell from the SW, but the period is a very long 18 seconds. This is a groundswell, but at a beach break, that long period can make it break too straight. The wind is a moderate cross-shore (12 mph), which creates a pretty nasty cross-chop. The combined energy is moderate (213), but the conditions are described as poor. That's not a great combination.

From Sunday, the 19th, all the way through to Thursday, the 23rd, it's the same old story. Tiny swells (1 ft to 2 ft) from the SW or SSW, with periods dropping from 17 seconds back to 13 seconds. The winds are mostly onshore or light cross-onshore, and the wave energy is weak to low-moderate (84 to 158). It’s a consistent run of poor surf. There’s a small rise on the 20th with a 2 ft swell from the SSW and a 16-second period, giving a moderate energy of 181, but the onshore wind kills it.

Honestly, I can't pick a standout. There isn't one. The whole period is a flat, wind-affected mess for Little Rincon. If you're desperate, the slightly bigger swell on the 16th (3 ft) might offer a few close-outs, but it's not worth the paddle. The conditions are so poor across the board that I wouldn't bother. The forecast can change, but as it stands, this is a blank run.

Rusty.

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