Little Rincon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board and listen up. It’s Rusty here, and I’ve got the lowdown on the next couple of weeks at Little Rincon.

Honestly, it’s a bit of a flat spell for the most part. The ocean’s going to be sleepy, and we’re looking at a lot of small, weak surf. The water’s sitting at a balmy 71°F right now, which is a good 7°F warmer than it should be for this time of year. That’s a wild anomaly, so you won’t need a thick suit.

The first real chance of anything rideable doesn't show up until Friday, September 20th. Before that, from the 11th through the 19th, it's just tiny and messy. We’re talking 1ft to 3ft of mostly west-northwest windswell, with short, weak periods. The wind stays light, but it's mostly cross-onshore, which will just chop up those already poor waves. You’ll be fighting for nothing out there.

That Friday the 20th, the swell ticks up just a touch to 2ft, but the energy is starting to build a little, around 263. It’s still not great surf, but it’s a start.

The most interesting day in the whole stretch is Monday, September 23rd. During the morning, the swell is still a modest 2ft but the period jumps, and the energy is up to 278, which feels like the ocean is at least waking up. It’s still marginal, but there might be a few half-decent ones.

But then, Monday afternoon is where things change. The wind picks up to a moderate 12 mph from the west-southwest, right onshore. The swell jumps to 6ft, but it’s a short-period 7-second west windswell. The energy jumps to 392, which is a lot of raw, messy power. This isn't a clean groundswell. It’s going to be a bumpy, blown-out mess. If it gets too big and messy, this reef break could get dangerous. Honestly, with that onshore wind and short-period swell, this spot might be more fun for the kiteboarders than us paddle surfers. That's a day to watch from the sand.

After that, it backs right down again. From the 22nd through the 26th, we’re back to the small stuff, 1ft to 2ft. The energy fades back down to the low 100s and even below 100 by the 26th. The swell direction stays from the southwest, but it’s just weak and not worth your time.

So, to keep it real: there's nothing that's a true standout here. The only days with *any* glimmer of hope are that Friday the 20th, and maybe that Monday morning on the 23rd of September. For the rest of the window, it's a whole lot of nothing, just small and weak. But that's the way it goes sometimes. Forecasts can change, and it won't stay this slow forever.

Keep the faith.

Rusty

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