Little Rincon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer down the line.

To be honest, mate, it’s a pretty flat and quiet run for the next sixteen days. There’s no real swell push to speak of, and the wind is mostly on it or cross-on, so conditions are messy. The first glimmer of anything rideable isn’t until Saturday the 18th, and even then it’s a struggle.

Wednesday 15th through Friday 17th – Forget it. Barely a ripple. The swell is tiny, around 1.0ft to 2ft, and the wind is on it or cross-onshore, making it a total write-off. Not worth paddling out.

Saturday 18th – Afternoon session at Little Rincon is the first sign of life. The swell is still small, only 1ft from the SW, but the wind turns light cross-off, which cleans things up a bit. Look, the waves are weak and the combined energy is just 91, so it’s surfable but very ordinary. It’s the best we’ve got after a gap of several days, but it’s not a standout.

Sunday 19th through Tuesday 21st – We’re back to poor conditions. The swell picks up a touch in height, up to 2ft on Tuesday afternoon, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore and the period is long (15-17 seconds), which tends to be straight and mushy on a setup like this. The energy is moderate (133 to 284), but all that energy is wasted with the wind ruining the shape. Not the day.

Wednesday 22nd to Friday 24th – More of the same. The swell stays small, 1.0ft to 2ft, and while the period is very long on the 24th (24 seconds), the wind is on it or cross-onshore, so it’s just a bumpy, jumbled mess. The 1ft on Friday morning with 24-second period is a classic case of a super long-period groundswell hitting a beach setup – it’ll break too straight and won’t offer much.

Saturday 25th to Tuesday 28th – The swell size starts to creep up, with heights reaching 3ft on Sunday morning the 26th and a combined energy of 344. That’s the most energy we see all run. But the wind is still onshore from the WSW, so it’s going to be chopped and not clean. The afternoon of the 26th improves slightly with cross-offshore wind, but it’s still only a marginal call. The best window is narrow.

Wednesday 29th to Thursday 30th – The run fizzles out. Swell drops back to 2ft to 2ft, winds are light but cross-onshore, and the energy is weak to moderate. Not a great way to end.

The water temperature is a touch warmer than normal, about 65°, which is nice for the skin, but it doesn’t help the waves.

The bottom line: There is no true standout in this forecast. The best chance at a wave is probably the Saturday 18th afternoon session for the cleanest conditions, or the Sunday 26th afternoon for the most energy. But honestly, neither of them is worth getting excited about. If you’re desperate, you might get a couple of grovelly ones, but I’d wait for the next system.

Rusty.

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