Little Rincon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get straight into it with what we've got for this stretch.

Looking ahead over the next two and a half weeks for our local reef, it's a pretty bleak picture overall. We're looking at a long, quiet period where the ocean just doesn't have much to offer. Honestly, the whole 16-day window is one long gap of nothing worthwhile. There’s no real swell on the table worth paddling out for. It’s going to be flat or close to it.

The only named break we have to work with is Little Rincon. It’s an advanced reef set-up that’s fairly consistent, but it just isn’t getting the love. The water's running about 70°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a solid 6°F warmer than the long-term average. You'd think that might be a nice bonus, but it's small comfort when there’s nothing to ride.

We’ll start with Wednesday the 9th of September. The morning is clear with a light 6 mph WSW breeze right on the face, but the swell is a tiny 1 ft from the SW with a long 19-second period. That's a long-period groundswell, but it’s got no size. The combined energy is weak at 129. It’s just not going to wrap in with any punch. The afternoon is much the same with 9 mph W winds.

Thursday the 10th to Saturday the 13th of September is more of the same. We see a tiny bump to 2 ft on Thursday morning from the SSW with a 17-second period and moderate energy of 225, but it's cross-onshore with a light breeze. The surf quality is poor. The swell stays small, mostly between 1 ft and 2 ft through the end of the first week, with the period dropping off. The winds are always light, but always on or cross-on. It's just no good.

Into the second week, from Monday the 14th of September, we see a slight lift to 3 ft from the west on some days, with periods dropping to 9-10 seconds, but the combined energy isn't bad for the area, hitting moderate values of 183 and 195 on the 13th and 14th. But with the light cross-onshore breeze, it's still poor quality surf. It looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The same story continues right the way through to the end of the outlook period. The swell stays small, the winds are light but never truly offshore, and every record says the surf quality is poor. For a break like Little Rincon, when it’s this quiet, it tends not to stay poor for long, and forecasts can change. But for now, honestly, leave the board in the car and go do something else.

Rusty.

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