Little Rincon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch ahead. The whole outlook is based on Little Rincon, a reef setup that prefers a WNW direction, and we’re just not gettin’ anything close to that. We’re stuck with a long run of tiny, weak swell from the SSW, blown by onshore breezes. Basically, it’s flat and messy for days.

We start on Saturday, August 29th. Little Rincon is seeing a tiny 2ft SSW swell with a 16-second period – that’s a long period groundswell, but it’s comin’ from all the wrong directions and the wind is on it. Combined energy is 329 (moderate), but don’t let that fool you. The water temp is 71°F, which is a whopping 8°F warmer than usual; that’s wild, like bathwater.

This flat spell drags on and on. Sunday the 30th through to the morning of Tuesday, September 8th, is just a whole lot of nothin’. Swell heights barely scrape 2ft, mostly wobblin' between 0.7ft and 2ft. The energy is weak, dropping into double digits many days. Winds are almost always onshore or cross-onshore from the SW or WSW. It’s a write-off. That’s a solid nine-day gap with nothin’ worth paddlin’ out for.

Then, on the afternoon of Tuesday, September 8th, we finally see a bump. Swell jumps to 4ft from the SSW, with a 13-second period. Energy hits 524 (moderate-strong). But the wind is still onshore from the W at 9 mph. The surf is still called “poor”. It’s not the one.

Wednesday, September 9th is the biggest of the whole run. Morning shows a 5ft SSW swell with a 10-second period, energy at 451. Still onshore wind though. That size is right on the edge of being too much for beginners, but with the wind chop, it’s only gonna be for the keen and the kooks on logs.

Now, hold on. Thursday morning, September 10th. This is your one true standout. Swell is only 2ft from the SW, but the period is a very long 17 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. Combined energy is 213 (moderate). Crucially, the wind goes glassy. Dead flat. Zero. That’s going to make for some clean, peeling lines over that reef, even if the swell is small. For a surfer who knows how to work a long period groundswell on a reef, this is the session to score. But be warned, crowds are possible here.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. Friday the 11th through to Sunday the 13th is just tiny, weak leftovers. Not worth gettin’ wet for.

So there you have it. This region is running on empty. If you’re jonesin’ for a paddle, the glassy morning on September 10th is your only real shot at something clean.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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