Le Petit Train Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I gotta be straight with you – it's a grim run for a while. The only break that's even showing up is Le Petit Train, and for a long stretch, it's just not working. We're looking at a solid string of days with poor surf conditions and not much to get excited about. The water is a toasty 78°, which is *much warmer than normal* for this time of year – feels like a bath out there, but with a lot of frustration.

Let's walk through it. The first real chance we see anything is on Saturday morning, the 22nd of August. The swell is a tiny 3 ft from the WNW with a period of 9 seconds, so not a lot of push. The ENE wind is cross-offshore, which will keep it clean, but the combined energy is only 151 (weak to moderate). It's surfable, but "very ordinary" is the name of the game. Not worth a special trip.

Then we hit a real dead zone. From Sunday the 23rd right through to Wednesday the 26th, it's mostly tiny, weak, or messy. We're talking ankle-biters with a lot of onshore wind. The swell drops to 1.0 ft and 1 ft, and the energy numbers are barely double digits. There's just nothing doing.

The only flicker of something bigger comes on Thursday the 27th of August. The swell jumps up to 8 ft from the west, with a 9-second period. The combined energy hits 1033 (strong), but here's the catch – the wind is a SW cross-shore and there's a risk of thunderstorms. The forecast says "marginal" and the score is low. With that size, it's getting into the "experts only" zone, and the wind is going to make it a lumpy mess. By the afternoon, the wind is a howling 28 mph onshore, and the swell is 10 ft – that's not surf, that's survival. Honestly, for a beach setup like Le Petit Train, this looks more interesting for the kite surfers than anyone with a paddle.

That big wind hangs around for a few days, with 25 mph onshore winds and 7 ft+ swell. The energy is high (768-664), but the quality is zero. The wind just kills it.

We finally get a little window of calm on Friday the 4th of September. The morning shows a 5 ft swell from the WNW with an 8-second period, and a light ENE wind that's cross-offshore. The energy is 322 (moderate). The conditions are expected to be good, and the wind is light, so it'll be clean. The light wind is a major positive. This is the only standout in the whole 16-day window. It's a long way off, so treat it as a promising idea, not a guarantee. For the afternoon, it drops to 5 ft and the wind swings north, making it a bit more glassy but the period improves to 9 seconds. Still worth a look.

So, for the next two weeks, your best bet is to mark that Friday morning, September 4th, on your calendar. Before that, it's a whole lot of waiting for a whole lot of nothing.

Rusty.

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