Le Petit Train Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get real about what’s cooking.

To be straight with you, the outlook over this 16-day stretch is pretty grim. I’m looking at Le Petit Train, and honestly, there’s nothing to get excited about for the vast majority of the forecast. We’re talking day after day of small, weak, and messy surf. The wind is almost always on it or cross-onshore, and the swell is tiny. The water temperature is sitting around 75°F, which is a whopping 5°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, and you’ll feel it like a warm bath, but it won’t save the waves.

We start on Friday, July 31st, and it’s a write-off. Rain showers and a cross-on breeze from the NW at 6 mph, with a tiny 1 ft swell from the WNW. The period is a short 8 seconds, and the combined energy is a measly 31 (weak). That’s a no-go. The whole first week is a bust. Saturday and Sunday see a bump to 2 ft from the NW, but the period drops to 6 seconds and the wind is onshore or cross-shore. It’s just junk. By Monday, August 3rd, we’re back to 1 ft, and the energy is down in the 30s.

This pattern of tiny, onshore slop holds steady through the entire first week and into the second. The wind is mostly from the NW, W, or WNW, and it’s almost always cross-onshore or onshore. The swell height rarely gets above 2 ft, and the period is usually short. It’s a real drought.

Now, there is one tiny flicker of hope. It comes on Sunday, August 9th, in the morning. We get a light offshore breeze from the SE at 3 mph, and the wave comment says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions." The swell is still only 2 ft from the W with a 9-second period, and the combined energy is 78 (still weak). It’s clean, but it’s not going to be a session you’ll remember. It’s the closest thing to a standout, but honestly, it’s just okay. On Monday, August 10th, the morning also has clean conditions with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NE, but the swell is smaller at 2 ft.

After that, it’s back to the same old story. The wind picks up, the swell stays tiny, and the period drains away. The last few days see a bit of a NW wind picking up to 19 mph, bringing rain showers, and the waves are just a mess. There’s a stretch of over a week with absolutely nothing worth paddling out for.

So, to sum it up: there’s a short window on the morning of Sunday, August 9th, that is your best bet. It’s clean, but the swell is tiny. If you have a log and you’re desperate, you might get a few. For the rest of us, it’s a long wait. The lack of any consistent swell is pretty normal for this area, so don’t hold your breath for a change.

Rusty.

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