Las Monjas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. We’re looking at a pretty grim stretch ahead for Las Monjas. The whole sixteen-day window is a total write-off for decent waves, so let’s get the bad news out of the way first.

The pattern is all cross-onshore wind, every session, from the first Friday morning right through to the end. The swell is almost exclusively from the north or north-northeast, which is about as wrong as it gets for a break that needs it from the northwest to really work. It’s not that there’s no energy – we see moderate energy building into the second week, hitting 627 (combined energy) by Saturday the 18th – but that energy is completely wasted. The wind just ruins everything.

We’ve got a long gap of nothing but poor surf conditions. From July 3rd right up until the last record on July 18th, every forecast is a zero out of ten. Not a single session with clean conditions. The first week shows some small, short-period lumps under 5 ft, with wind speeds from 6 to 16 mph keeping the surface messy. By Saturday July 11th afternoon, the period jumps to 12 seconds from the northwest, which is the right direction for a moment, but it’s tiny at 2 ft and still cross-onshore. A total tease.

The second week, from around July 14th onward, the swell starts to push up over 5 ft, hitting 7 ft by the morning of July 18th. The period slowly climbs to 8 seconds, and the energy gets strong. But none of that matters when the wind is howling from the north and northeast at 9–16 mph, onshore or cross-onshore every time. It’s going to be choppy, blown-out, and ugly.

Given the steady wind and the fact that Las Monjas is a reef setup, this is one of those times where the ocean is putting on a show for the kite crowd, not for paddle surfers. If you’ve got a kite, you might score. For the rest of us, it’s a solid pass for the full two weeks. The only honest advice here is to wait. Forecasts can change, but right now this run of poor surf looks stubborn.

Rusty.

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