Las Monjas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’re looking at a stretch that’s pretty grim for a while, so don’t get your hopes up too early. The only spot on the menu is Las Monjas, and for the first several days, the wind is a real problem. We’ve got a solid run of cross-onshore winds from the north, with speeds picking up to 16 mph, just shredding the surface. The swell is there, but it’s a messy, short-period windswell between 4 ft and 6 ft, and the water is choppy and ugly. The combined wave energy is moderate, hitting values like 227, 284, and even 435 on Saturday, but with that wind, it’s just not surfable. This is a reef break, but with constant north cross-onshore flow, it’s a write-off.

Thursday 10th and Friday 11th are a total loss. Saturday 12th has the biggest swell of this early block at 6 ft, but the wind is nasty from the NNW at 16 mph, making it a bumpy mess. Sunday 13th afternoon eases up a bit, with wind dropping to 6 mph, and the surf becomes merely “marginal” – a 1 for a reason. It’s still cross-onshore, so it’s not great.

Now, there’s a tiny window of hope. Monday 14th is the standout. The morning brings a glassy, clean surface with the wind going light and variable from the SE. The swell is a modest 4 ft from the NNE with an 8-second period, so you’ll get some fun, crumbly waves. The combined energy is moderate (265). The water is a warm 75°, which is about average for this time of year. In the afternoon, the swell drops to 2 ft but the period stretches to 12 seconds, giving it more shape. It’s a long-period groundswell for a reef, which is a good combo. This is the best you’ll see for a while. Expect some crowds, though, as it’s “sometimes” busy.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. Tuesday 15th and Wednesday 16th are poor, with tiny, weak waves and cross-onshore winds. The combined energy drops to a low 86 on Wednesday morning. Thursday 17th through Saturday 19th sees the wind pick up again, with swell rebuilding to 6 ft on Friday 18th, but the north wind is 12-16 mph and cross-onshore, making it a choppy wall of white water. The energy is strong (578 on Friday morning), but it’s for kite surfers, not paddle surfers.

The second week doesn’t offer much. Sunday 20th is the only other break in the gloom. The wind goes cross-offshore from the east at 6 mph, giving you clean conditions with a 4 ft wave from the north. The energy is light (169). It’s surfable, but very ordinary. Monday 21st through Wednesday 25th is a long run of cross-onshore and cross-shore winds, with some decent looking long-period groundswell (14 seconds on Tuesday 22nd) but the wind just ruins it. The energy values are high (472, 467) but it’s blown out. Friday 25th afternoon has a 2 ft, 12-second groundswell, but it’s marginal.

So, the only true standout is that glassy Monday 14th. If you can get out, that’s your day. The rest of the forecast looks like a long wait.

Rusty.

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