Kaolins Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's going on with Kaolins over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, this forecast is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a solid, quality reef break on our hands, but it’s going to take some patience to get the good ones. There are a few windows where the stars align, but for much of the outlook, you’ll be fighting the wind.

The water is sitting at a comfortable 66°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We kick things off on Tuesday, but it’s not much to write home about. Tuesday morning is glassy with a 3ft swell from the west, but the energy is weak (169) and the conditions are just ordinary. That clean morning window is a tease, as the afternoon turns to junk with a strong cross-onshore wind.

Wednesday and Thursday are a write-off. The swell drops right off, and those onshore winds just chop everything up. Save your energy.

Friday the 4th doesn’t look any better, with moderate cross-onshore winds and weak, messy waves. It’s a forgettable start to the weekend.

Now, Saturday the 5th is where we get our first real glimmer of hope. The morning brings a clean, cross-offshore breeze with a 3ft swell from the west at a decent 10-second period. The energy is building (145), and the conditions actually look surfable. It’s not pumping, but it’s clean and the break will have some shape. This is probably the pick for a fun, easy session.

Sunday the 6th is tricky. The morning has clean conditions from a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is small at 2ft. It’s a longboard day at best.

The Standout.

Monday the 7th morning is the one to circle on your calendar. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the west-southwest with moderate energy (301) and a clean, cross-offshore breeze from the north-northwest. The forecast says "expect good surf conditions," and I agree. This will be the best quality of the first week. It’s not huge, but it’s clean, fun-sized, and the reef will be working nicely. It won't be empty though, as this spot does get crowds sometimes, especially on a good day.

The following week is where things get interesting again. The 8th and 9th of September are mostly blown out again by afternoon onshores, but keep an eye on the swell building up.

The Second Week Standout.

Now, for the experts: look at Friday, the 11th of September. This is a late call, so don't lock it in, but the morning session is looking massive. We’re talking a 6ft west swell with very strong energy (737), and a gentle offshore breeze from the north-northeast. The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions." At that size, this is strictly for the advanced crew at Kaolins. It will be heavy and powerful, but clean. With strong energy like that and an offshore wind, this is the session of the outlook if it holds. Keep an eye on this one.

After that, things settle back down. The 12th and 15th of September offer some smaller, clean windows, but nothing compares to that Friday window. The 16th is small and clean-ish, but nothing special.

So, to sum it up: Early next Saturday (the 5th) for a fun, clean session, and definitely the morning of Monday the 7th for the best quality swell of the first week. For the big wave hunters, keep Friday the 11th in the back of your mind – it could be a day to remember.

Stay frothy,
Rusty

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