Kaolins Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a proper look at what’s coming our way. Honestly, I’ve got to be straight with you – the next week is a real struggle. We’re looking at a long, frustrating gap of flat, messy conditions until things finally start waking up.

The main spot on the radar is Kaolins, a reef break that needs a specific southwest swell and clean conditions. It’s an inconsistent wave, only for the advanced crew, but when it lines up, it can be magic. Right now the water is a touch warmer than normal at 69°.

For the next several days, from Monday the 17th to Monday the 24th, it’s just poor. Wave heights are tiny, mostly 0.7ft to 3ft, with cross-onshore winds and very weak combined energy (10 to 48). Not worth paddling out for. Tuesday the 25th is more of the same.

Now, we finally get a glimmer on Wednesday morning the 26th. We’ve got some glassy conditions and a little 3ft west swell pushing in. The combined energy is still only moderate (129), so it’s not much to write home about, but it’s clean. It’s surfable, just very ordinary.

Keep your eyes on Thursday the 27th of August. The morning is glassy again with a 7ft west-southwest swell. The period is short, only 7 seconds, so it’s not a groundswell, but the glassy wind and solid height make this the standout of the entire run. The combined energy is strong (417). However, this is 7ft, which is getting into expert territory at Kaolins, especially on a steep, inconsistent reef.

After that, the swell really jacks up, but the wind turns ugly. Friday the 28th brings 10ft and then 12ft swell from the west-southwest, but it’s onshore or cross-onshore with fresh winds. The energy is very strong (1221, 1806), but the quality is garbage. This is only for the hardcore, and honestly, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing with those winds and that power.

Into the second week, the weekend of the 29th and 30th stays big. Saturday the 29th has a 10ft west swell with a longer 11-second period and strong cross-shore wind – very strong energy (3030). It’s a big, lumpy ocean. Sunday morning the 30th is a touch smaller at 7ft, but still onshore. That period is still short.

Monday the 31st and into September, the size drops back to 4ft to 7ft, but cross-onshore winds dominate again. Nothing clean.

So, to sum it up: the one and only window that has the right look is Thursday morning the 27th of August at Kaolins. Glassy, 7ft west-southwest swell. It’s a reef, it’s inconsistent, and 7ft is a serious wave, but if you’re an advanced surfer, that’s the one to circle. Everything else is blown out or flat.

Rusty.

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