Kaolins Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu for the Kaolins, a pretty exposed reef break that needs the right swell from the southwest to really fire. It’s a spot for advanced surfers only, and it’s inconsistent, so we’re not looking at a constant rumble.

Straight up, we’ve got a long, dry spell ahead. The forecast starts with Monday the 24th of August and runs all the way through the first week of September with nothing worth paddling out for. From the 24th through to the 7th of September, the swell is tiny – mostly under 3 feet – and the wind is almost always on it or cross-on, making for lumpy, poor conditions. You’ll see some days with a bit more energy, like the 27th and 28th of August, where the swell pushes up to 5 to 6 feet, but the wind is straight onshore or fresh cross-onshore, wrecking any chance of a decent wave. The water temp is sitting at 65°F with a slight negative anomaly of -0.5°F, so pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year.

The real standout, and the only one worth getting excited about, shows up way down the line on the 8th of September – a Tuesday. This is far out, so take it with a pinch of salt, but it looks special. We’ve got a solid 8-foot swell rolling in from the WSW with a very long period of 17 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, packing massive energy. For a reef setup like Kaolins, that long period is a huge plus – it’ll wrap in and have some serious power. The wind is coming from the SE at 15 mph, which is a cross-shore breeze, just enough to keep the surface clean. This is definitely one for the experts only, as 8 feet with that period will be a heavy, challenging wave. It’s marked as marginal due to tide, so you’ll need to time it right, but this is the only window in the whole 16 days that looks like it might actually deliver.

Right, that’s the picture from here. Keep your eyes on that Tuesday the 8th, but don’t hold your breath until it gets closer.

Rusty.

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