Kaolins Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me break down the Kaolins outlook over the next two weeks or so. Honestly, it’s a rough stretch of small, weak swells and messy wind for most of it. From now until late August, there’s a big gap with almost nothing you’d want to paddle out for. The energy stays low, and the good windows are few and far between. The real standout only shows up right at the end of the period.

Between the 12th and the 13th, we’ve got tiny 2ft to 3ft swell from the WSW, but the wind is either cross or onshore, so it’s choppy and poor. The combined energy is between 60 and 165—weak to moderate, but the condition kills it. Thursday the 14th morning offers a little hope: a light NNW cross-off breeze, 3ft swell from the W, period around 9 seconds, energy at 106. It’s clean but still very ordinary. Saturday the 15th morning is similar with a light N cross-off wind, 3ft from the W, period 8 seconds, energy 131. Surfable, but not memorable.

After that, the energy drops off a cliff. From the 17th through the 22nd, we’re looking at 1ft to 2ft waves at best, often with fresh cross-onshore winds or onshores. The 18th has a clean offshore NNE wind, but the swell is barely 2ft and the energy is just 27. Not enough to push a surfboard. The 23rd morning gets glassy with a NE wind at 3 mph, but it’s flat—0.5m (2ft) from the W, energy 72. Glassy but empty.

The first real pulse comes on the 25th Tuesday morning. A 4ft swell from the W, period 8 seconds, combined energy jumps to 240. That’s moderate energy, but the wind is a fresh cross-shore from the NW at 19 mph, so it’s lumpy and messy. That’s more of a kite-surfing day than a clean surfing one.

Now, the clear standout is Thursday the 27th morning. We get a 5ft swell from the W, period 9 seconds, combined energy of 325—the strongest of the whole forecast period. The wind is light offshore from the ENE at 6 mph, so it’s clean, lined up, and solid. For an advanced reef break like Kaolins, this is the session to aim for. 5ft from the W with offshore wind is exactly what you want. Just know crowds are possible, and this is an advanced spot. That’s your one real gem across the whole 16 days.

So, in a nutshell: you’ve got a long, quiet run of nothing much until the 25th, and the only decent wave worth chasing hits on the 27th. If you’ve got patience, late August might deliver a fun morning.

Rusty

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