Kaolins Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Kaolins. I gotta be straight with ya – it’s a grim stretch for the most part. This is a tricky, advanced reef break that’s already inconsistent, and the forecast ain’t doing it any favours. We’re looking at a solid 16-day window, but the first week is pretty much a write-off. From Saturday the 29th of August right through to Thursday the 4th of September, it’s just one poor condition after another. Strong onshore and cross-onshore winds, messy, lumpy surf – not worth paddling out for. The swell hangs around 6 ft to 8 ft, but it’s all wind-affected and ugly. The combined energy swings from moderate to strong (731 to 1119), but with the wind howling from the WSW and SW at 25 mph, it’s a total loss.

There’s a little flicker of hope on Saturday the 5th of September morning. The wind drops right out – glassy conditions with a light 3 mph breeze from the WNW. The swell is small, only 3 ft from the west with a 9-second period, and the combined energy is weak (177). It’s surfable, but only just. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing wild there. Given it’s a reef and the sets will be pretty weak, it’s one for the logs or a longboard if you’re desperate.

Then we go into another grim patch until, hold on – Tuesday the 8th of September morning. This is where it gets interesting. The swell jumps to 10 ft from the west with a 10-second period, and the combined energy goes ballistic at 2839 – that’s very strong wave energy. The wind is light and cross-shore from the NW at 9 mph. That’s a powerful, raw swell. But here’s the thing: at 10 ft, this is strictly for experts only. Too big for anyone else. And it’s a reef, so it’ll be heavy. The period is solid, giving it plenty of punch, but at a beach break it might close out. On this reef, it could be a ripper if you’ve got the nerve. Crowds are possible here, so expect a few locals out.

But the true standout, the one that’s got my heart racing a little, is Wednesday the 9th of September morning. Glassy conditions again – a light 3 mph easterly breeze. The swell is a very clean 6 ft from the WNW with a 10-second period, and the combined energy is strong (1207). This is the best on offer. The direction is right on the money for the break, the wind is perfect, and the size is in that sweet spot for an advanced reef. It’ll be clean, powerful, and well-shaped. The water temp is still about average for the time of year, so grab a spring suit. This is the one to circle on the calendar. After that, it fades back into small, windy junk for the rest of the period.

So, overall, the first week is a bust. The second week has one monster day for the brave on the 8th, and one absolute gem on the 9th. Get on that if you can.

Rusty.

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