Kaolins Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you about what’s on the table for Kaolins over the next 16 days—it’s a long, quiet stretch, with a bit of a pulse right at the tail end. The water’s sitting at about 67°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so at least the dips will feel okay.

The outlook starts with a gap: from now right through to late August 27th, it’s a dead zone. Day after day of tiny, weak swell and messy onshore winds. Friday 14th kicks off with a 2ft west swell, but the wind’s cross-offshore from the north in the morning, so the waves are clean but just too small to paddle for. The afternoon turns onshore at 12 mph and it’s a total write-off. Saturday 15th is similar—3ft in the morning, clean but gutless, then the afternoon gets a bit of bump with a 3ft west swell but onshore winds at 16 mph making it choppy. The combined energy hits 209 then, which is moderate, but the quality is poor.

Sunday 16th through to the middle of the week just fades. Swells hover around 0.7ft to 2ft, mostly short-period west or west-southwest stuff, with winds swinging from glassy calm on Tuesday 18th morning (1ft, glass) to onshore junk by the afternoons. The energy numbers drop into the teens and tens—weak stuff. It’s a long run of days that are better spent doing something else. Even the glassy mornings like Tuesday 18th and Friday 21st only offer knee-high dribble.

The first and only real standout comes late in the game. Thursday 27th August—morning starts with a clean 5ft west swell, wind light and offshore from the east-northeast at 6 mph, the period a solid 10 seconds. Energy jumps to 771—strong wave energy. By afternoon it goes glassy, with the swell pushing 5ft from the west, period 9 seconds, energy 695. That’s solidly in the intermediate to advanced territory—over 5ft, it’ll be a handful for beginners. The 10-second period means decent shape, but it’s a long-period groundswell, so at a reef break like Kaolins it should line up nicely. Just keep in mind the spot’s inconsistent and sometimes crowded. Still, that afternoon window on the 27th is the one to circle—clean, glassy, proper swell. The following Friday morning, 28th, still has some waist-high leftovers at 3ft from the west-southwest, but the onshore wind builds by afternoon and it’s back to ordinary.

So, bottom line: don’t get excited until Thursday 27th August. That’s your winner. The rest is a long, flat stretch.

Later, Rusty.

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