Kaolins Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’.

To be straight with you, this is a tough stretch. We’ve got a long, lean run ahead. The first real sniff of anything rideable doesn’t show up until Thursday, July 3rd, and even then, it’s not much to write home about. The whole 16-day window is plagued by weak swell and messy wind, with only a couple of fleeting windows where it cleans up.

Let’s break it down. The only spot on the radar is Kaolins, a tricky reef setup that only works for advanced surfers and is inconsistent. It needs a south-west swell direction to really light up, and the water is running a touch warmer than normal at 66°F.

Come Thursday morning, July 3rd, we get a small pulse. Swell is a measly 3 ft from the west with a 10-second period, and the combined energy is moderate at 194. The good news? A light north-easterly offshore breeze (3 mph) will have the surface glassy. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. This is the closest thing to a highlight in the first week: clean but tiny.

Saturday morning, July 5th, is another look. Swell drops to 3 ft from the west (10 sec), combined energy at 127. Again, a light offshore breeze (ENE at 6 mph) cleans it up, but the wave height is getting marginal.

After that, it’s a slow bleed. From Sunday the 6th right through to the end of the second week, the swell barely pushes past 2 ft. Combined energy drops into the double digits and single digits—weak stuff. By the time we hit Tuesday, July 15th, we’re looking at 0.7 ft waves. The last few days (July 16th and 17th) stay flat and choppy.

For a reef break that’s already inconsistent, this is a dead run. Even the few clean windows are too small to get excited about. For the advanced crew at Kaolins, it’s a waiting game. The long-range doesn’t offer a standout—just a promise that this blank spell won’t last forever, but it sure feels like it right now.

Rusty out.

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