Kaolins Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – this forecast for Kaolins is a tough one. We're looking at a long stretch of nothing much to get excited about. The swell just isn't cooperating, and even when there's a tiny bump, the wind is usually working against us.

First thing to note, the water temp is sitting at about 67°, which is roughly 1° above normal – pretty much average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

Now, the first week is a write-off. From Wednesday, August 12th, right through to Monday, August 17th, the wave comment is consistently "poor surf conditions." The combined energy is weak, often sitting well under 100 (like 58, 77, 86), and the swell height barely pushes past 3 ft. Wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, making things choppy and unappealing. Thursday morning the 13th sees the peak of this tiny window with a 3 ft swell from the WSW, but it's coming in at only 10 seconds period and a cross-onshore wind. It's a no-go.

We then hit a real dead zone. From the 17th through the 22nd of August, the swell drops to a pathetic 1 ft to 2 ft, and the energy numbers are mostly in the teens and twenties (20, 10, 22, 54). It's nothing. You're better off finding something else to do. There are a few mornings with clean conditions from a cross-off or offshore breeze (like Monday the 17th and Thursday the 20th), but with no swell to push, it's just flat, glassy water.

Saturday the 22nd even brings in a fresh breeze at 22 mph, making it lumpy and useless for surfing, though that cross-on setup might look interesting for kite surfing if you're into that.

Heading into the final week, from Sunday the 23rd of August through to Thursday the 27th, there's still no real hope. The swell remains small, mostly 1 ft to 2 ft, and the period is short, around 7 to 8 seconds. The wind is still onshore or cross-onshore for most of it. A couple of mornings, like the 24th and 25th, we get a clean cross-off breeze, but again, the swell just isn't there (energy is 27 and 17). It's frustrating because the conditions would be clean if there was a wave.

So, to be brutally honest, there are no standouts in this entire 16-day window. The best on offer is a fleeting moment on Thursday morning the 20th with clean conditions and a 2 ft swell from the west, but that's a micro-session at best and not worth calling a highlight. Kaolins is a reef break that is already inconsistent and rarely breaks, and this forecast confirms a long blank run. Keep an eye on the charts, because in a spot like this, it tends not to stay poor forever, and forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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