Kaolins Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s cut to the chase. The long-range picture for Kaolins is a bit of a heartbreaker, to be honest. We’ve got a long stretch of poor, blown-out conditions before a few windows where it all comes together. Don’t get too excited about the first week, but there are a couple of sessions further out that look like they might actually be worth the paddle.

The first week is a write-off for good waves. We’re looking at mostly poor surf conditions right through the 30th and into the 4th of September. A lot of cross-onshore and onshore winds, with the swell hovering around that 2ft to 7ft mark. The energy is all over the place, from weak to strong, but it’s not doing us any favors with that wind direction. The swell direction is WSW, which isn't ideal for this break. The 30th and 31st are going to be particularly messy, with the wind blowing 12 to 19 mph. There's a bit of a lift on the morning of the 1st of September, with a glassy 3ft from the west, but the energy is still weak (169) and it’s gone by the afternoon. The water temp is running about average for this time of year, at 66°F.

The morning of Saturday the 5th of September is the first real standout. It’s still a week away, so don’t book the time off just yet, but there’s a clean 4ft of west swell at 12 seconds, with a light offshore wind from the NNE. That’s the kind of combo that gets a reef like this grooming. The energy is moderate at 376, and the light offshore wind is going to make it glassy. This is your best bet for a few clean, lined-up waves. The swell direction is W, which isn't the optimum SW, but it should still work.

After that, it drops off again. The 6th gets smaller and the wind swings around, and the rest of that week is a mix of small surf and onshore winds. There's a long stretch from the 6th through to the 10th with nothing over 3ft and a lot of cross-onshore junk. The 7th and 8th are particularly poor, with fresh winds and lumpy conditions.

Looking into the second week, the outlook gets a little more promising, but it’s still small. The morning of the 11th of September has a glimmer of hope – a 3ft WSW swell at a very short 7 seconds with a clean offshore breeze. The period is too short to get too stoked on, though. There are some clean offshore mornings on the 12th and 13th, with moderate winds, but the surf is tiny, only around 2ft to 2ft from the WSW. These are more for a longboard and a lot of patience.

For this stretch, the only real standout looks like that Saturday morning, the 5th. The rest of the time, you're chasing small, often messy waves. The conditions on the 12th and 13th would be good for the wind, but the swell is just too small to get excited about. It might be a better week for the kitesurfers to be honest.

The swell is very small for the most part. Only the 5th and maybe the 4th have enough size to be interesting. The long period swells on the 4th, 7th, and 8th are coming from the west/southwest, which can be good, but they’re mostly breaking too straight for a beach break, and with the onshore winds, it’s a mess.

So, mark your calendar for the morning of the 5th, but don't hold your breath on the rest. It’s a pretty lean stretch for solid surf. The first week is a loss, and while the second week has some clean windows, there’s no real size to back it up.

Rusty.

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