Kaolins Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the Kaolins area.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window starts off pretty grim. The first few days are a write-off. We’re talking about a stretch from Thursday the 3rd all the way through Sunday the 6th where the conditions are just plain poor. The wind is a mess, mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell is junk. It’s not worth paddling out. You’d be better off waxing your board at home.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Saturday morning, the 5th of September. The wind swings around to a light easterly at just 3 mph, which is a clean cross-offshore breeze. The swell is a west-southwest groundswell, 4 ft at 12 seconds. That extra period gives it some push and shape. The combined energy is moderate, sitting at 437. The water temp is about 66°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The waves will be clean, but the report says it's "expect good surf conditions", so I’d call it a decent morning session. The afternoon is a bit more marginal, with a light cross-on breeze kicking in, so get out early.

After that, we hit another dry spell. Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th see the swell bump up, with some solid 5 ft to 6 ft waves, but the wind is howling from the west at 16 mph, cross-onshore, and it’s choppy. The energy spikes up to 1019 on Tuesday morning, which is strong, but it’s a mess. No good for a clean paddle.

The next real standout, and the best of the whole outlook, is Saturday morning, the 12th of September. The sea breeze is a light southeasterly at 6 mph, giving us a clean cross-offshore wind. The swell is a clean 3 ft from the west at 9 seconds. The energy is 152, so it’s not a big wall of water, but it’s surfable and the conditions are clean. The report says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions", but honestly, after a week of nothing, that’s a winner. It’s not a standout for size, but for quality and a chance to get wet.

Monday morning the 14th is another one to circle. The wind is light from the north at 6 mph, cross-off, keeping it glassy. The swell is 3 ft from the west, period 10 seconds, with energy at 167. Again, clean and surfable.

Looking further out, the 16th of September (Wednesday morning) has a similar setup: light easterly wind, clean, 3 ft west swell. It’s consistent in a small, clean way.

So, the honest truth is, there’s no big, pumping swell with perfect wind. The standout is Saturday morning the 12th, and then Monday the 14th and Wednesday the 16th are worth a look. The rest of the time is a bust. The wind just won’t play nice. For a reef break that’s inconsistent like this, you gotta take the windows when they come. It’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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