Kaolins Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a proper look at what we've got for the region.

Straight up, I'll be honest with you – this is a tough spell. We're looking at a long, drawn-out period of nearly useless conditions. The north-easterly offshore breezes that pop up now and again just can't make up for the fact that the swell is weak and the direction is all wrong for the one spot that can work.

The only place on the radar is Kaolins, a tricky reef break that doesn't break often. It needs a good SW swell to fire, and we just aren't getting that. The biggest energy we see all window is 131 (moderate wave energy) on the afternoon of Monday, the 5th of August, but that comes with a fresh, lumpy cross-onshore wind. Not good.

We start with the morning of Friday the 1st of August. There's a tiny 1.0ft WSW swell with a 10-second period. The wind is a light offshore from the NNE, so it's glassy. But with a combined energy of only 29, it's just too small to break at this inconsistent reef.

The most promising-looking window in the whole 16-day stretch is on Sunday morning, the 11th of August. We get a clean 3ft swell from the WSW with a 9-second period and a moderate cross-offshore breeze from the east. The energy climbs to 109, which is moderate. For Kaolins, that's the best we can ask for. It's still small and inconsistent, so you'd be scratching for waves, but it's the cleanest option we've got.

Other than that, it's a repeat of small, weak swells and onshore winds. The morning of Thursday the 8th has some clean-looking 3ft, 6-second windswell and a light offshore, but it's a short-period swell that won't hold up well on a reef. The Tuesday the 21st morning shows a clean 2ft with a 10-second period, but the energy is only 55, which is weak.

To be blunt, there isn't a single day where all the stars align. If you are desperate, try that Sunday the 11th at dawn for a tiny, clean paddle. But don't expect much. This reef is inconsistent for a reason, and this forecast proves it.

Between the 6th and the 9th of August, there's a good four-day gap where the wind is just too messy. And from the 12th onwards, it's a endless cycle of cross-onshore breezes and tiny swell.

We'll have to wait for a proper SW groundswell to bring Kaolins to life. The longer-period stuff we do see (10 seconds) is just too small to do anything. The water temp is sitting around 66°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no excuses there.

Rusty, signing off.

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