Kaolins Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, ol’ mates, let’s have a look at what’s on offer. I’m Rusty, and I’ve got the skinny on Kaolins. Gotta be straight with you – this is a tricky stretch. The forecast shows a long, lean patch before anything even gets close to being worth a paddle. The whole 16-day window is a real struggle for decent waves, with a lot of weak, messy energy and poor surf conditions flagged right through. The water’s sittin’ at a warm 67°, which is a touch above what we’d normally expect for this time of year – not drastic, but a little warmer than usual.

The only real stand-out, and it’s a long way off, is on Monday, 10 August, in the afternoon. We get a pulse of 5 ft from the west, with a period of 9 seconds. That’s a moderate swell, with combined energy at 432 (moderate wave energy). But here’s the rub – the wind is cross-onshore at 16 mph, which makes it pretty choppy and lumpy. The break itself is a reef, set up for advanced surfers, and it’s inconsistent, so don’t expect a non-stop show. The optimum swell direction is from the southwest, and this swell is from the west, so it’s not a perfect match. It’s a day when the better surfers might find a few, but it’s not going to be clean. The crowd can be around sometimes, so you might have some company.

Before that, it’s a rough ride. From Tuesday, 28 July, all the way through to Sunday, 9 August, the surf is just poor. The heights are tiny – mostly 1 ft to 2 ft – with weak combined energy (often under 100) and junk winds. The only real highlight in that dry spell is a brief moment on Friday, 31 July, morning, with a clean cross-offshore breeze and a 1 ft swell, but it’s just too small to get excited about. Then again on Saturday, 1 August, the morning and afternoon are clean, but again, the swell is only 2 ft. It’s a tease.

After the 10th, the swell drops back again. The 11th has a morning with 3 ft from the west, but it’s onshore and messy. The rest of the window is more of the same: small, onshore, and not worth a second look.

So, if you’re a beginner, the 5 ft on the 10th will be a bit much, and it’s not clean anyway. For the experts, it’s a possible but not a great day. The rest is a write-off. It’s a proper blank run for the area, and it’s not unusual to see a stretch like this. The forecasts can change, but right now, it’s looking pretty grim.

Rusty.

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