Kaolins Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what we've got on the table for Kaolins.

Alright, look. Right off the bat, the next week and a half is looking like a bit of a battle. We’ve got plenty of water moving, but the wind’s just not playing ball for the most part. The water temp is sitting around 68°, which feels a *touch* warmer than usual for this time of year – you might not even need a full suit.

We kick off on the morning of the 18th with a tiny 1ft swell from the west, and a cross-onshore wind has it all chopped up. Forget it. That pattern sticks around for days – small, messy, and just frustrating. Through the 18th, 19th, and 20th, we see the swell trying to push up a bit, hitting 4ft to 5ft on the 20th from the west, but that onshore wind is just killing the shape. The wave energy is moderate (268), but it's not surfable.

You'll see a short window on the 22nd and 23rd. The wind finally clocks around to a clean offshore direction (NE and then ENE) but the swell drops right back down to tiny 1.0ft to 2ft. Clean, sure, but you’ll be scratching for scraps.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on the morning of the 25th. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the WSW with moderate energy (302). It’s still a cross-onshore wind, so it’s not perfect, but it’s the first time we get a score of 1 out of 10, meaning it’s at least rideable. The 27th of August is worth circling on the calendar, lads. Thursday morning we see the biggest swell of the whole run – a solid 8ft from the WSW, and the energy reading is a meaty 999. That is proper strong energy. The wind is light and cross-onshore. This is big stuff, over 8ft, so it’s only for the experienced crew. This could be the standout, with that WSW swell direction lining up nicely with the break’s optimum.

After that, the end of the month and into September looks pretty quiet again. The 29th and 30th of August have some glassy mornings, but the swell is back down under 3ft. The 2nd of September gives us a last little push of 3ft from the west with a clean, light cross-off wind (178 energy), but by the afternoon it’s messy and bigger again.

Bottom line: if you’re not an expert, it’s a tough outlook. The 27th of August morning is the one to hunt if you’ve got the skills and the quiver for big, powerful, a bit lumpy surf. For the rest of us, those offshore mornings around the 22nd and 23rd are the best bet for a clean, fun-sized wave, but don't expect much. Kaolins is an inconsistent reef break, and it’s living up to that here. Crowds are only sometimes a problem, so on those clean days you might have it to yourself.

Rusty.

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