Kaolins Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, let's have a look at what's on the cards for this stretch. I won't sugarcoat it—this is a tough forecast. We're staring down a 16-day window with basically nothing to get excited about. The swell is tiny, the periods are short, and the wind is mostly junk. The water is sitting at about 69°, which is a good three and a bit degrees warmer than normal for this time of year. That's unusual, a real anomaly, but it doesn't help the surf.

There's a massive gap here with no real surf to recommend. From July 15th right through to July 28th, it's all poor conditions. You're looking at ankle-snappers or knee-high wobble with either onshore chop or cross-off breezes that just can't make anything of a 0.7ft to 1ft swell. Even the combined energy readings are a sad story, barely cracking double digits most days—weak energy (25, 22, 12, 6... you get the picture).

Now, we finally get a little pulse late in the piece. On July 28th, Tuesday afternoon, we see a bump to 4ft. The combined swell energy hits 70 (still moderate, weak overall), but the period is a shocker at just 5 seconds. That's pure wind-slop, with a fresh cross-onshore wind off the W at 22 mph. That's messy. For Kaolins, a reef break that's advanced and inconsistent, this doesn't suddenly become a winner. That short-period swell will be all over the shop, and the wind will chop it up. Honestly, that setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Then July 30th, Thursday afternoon, shows a 3ft swell from the W with a period of just 4 seconds, and onshore wind again. Another write-off.

So, the standout here? There isn't one. The best you could hope for is maybe a sneaky early morning on July 30th, Thursday morning, when it's offshore from the NNE at 12 mph on a 1ft, 10-second swell. But at 1ft? That's a lake. Not worth the paddle. We're in a real quiet spell.

Rusty.

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