Kaolins Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s take a look at what’s on offer here for Kaolins.

First off, the water temp is sitting at 70°, which is a massive 6° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s seriously unusual, and it’s going to feel like bathwater.

The honest truth is, for the next week and a half, we’re in a real flat spell. There are just scraps of swell – maybe 0.7ft to 1ft – and mostly with poor conditions. Winds are often onshore or cross-on, so it’s pretty messy. There’s a bit of clean morning glass on Thursday the 16th, but with only 1ft of swell and a short period of 8 seconds, it’s barely a ripple. The combined wave energy is weak, often in the single digits to low 40s, so don’t even bother paddling out for those. For about 10 days straight, from the 14th through the 23rd morning, there’s nothing worth recommending.

Now, let’s talk about the one true standout in this whole 16-day window. It comes on Thursday the 23rd in the morning. That’s where a proper pulse of swell finally shows up: 7ft from the SW, with a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy jumps right up to 804 (moderate wave energy). That’s a chunky, powerful wave. The wind will be offshore from the ENE at 12 mph, keeping things clean. But here’s the thing – at 7ft, this is solid, expert-level surf. Beginners should stay well clear. It’s not for the faint-hearted.

This is a reef break that’s inconsistent, so it’s a rare treat when it turns on. And it’s listed for advanced surfers only. It’s sometimes crowded, so you might have company. Optimum swell direction is SW, and that’s exactly what’s coming – a good match.

After that morning window, the wind swings onshore by the afternoon, and the quality drops right off. So, the call is to be ready for that Thursday 23rd morning session. It’s a long way off, so the forecast could shift, but right now that’s the only time this spot looks like it will deliver.

Signing off, Rusty.

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