Kaolins Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, gather ‘round. Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Kaolins has got cooking for us. I’ll be straight with you – it’s a pretty bleak run for a while. The first week and a half is just full of small, wonky junk. We’re looking at a whole lot of days where you’d be better off doing anything else.

Starting off on Thursday the 13th, the water’s a touch warm for this time of year – reading 67°F, which is about normal for the season really. But that’s where the good news ends. Swell is tiny, coming in from the WSW at 3ft with a weak period of 10 seconds and poor energy (163). The wind is a cross-onshore mess. It’s just not happening.

That pattern sticks around for days. Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th offer some cleaner conditions thanks to a north and northerly breeze turning cross-offshore, but the swell is barely a ripple – 3ft and dropping. Sunday the 16th, we get a bit of offshore wind from the NNE, but the swell collapses completely to 2ft and then 2ft. The energy reading is pitiful (41). You’re chasing ankle-biters.

We then hit a real dead zone. From Monday the 17th through to Tuesday the 25th, the recommendation scores are all zero. For over a week, the surf is tiny, messy, or blown out, with combined energy often under 100. It’s really not worth wetting a suit. There is a brief glimpse on Thursday the 20th where the swell bumps up to 5ft from the west with a longer 11-second period (459 energy), and the morning looks clean with a cross-off NNE breeze, but it’s still rated as marginal. It’s a tease.

The only true standout, the one worth marking on the calendar, lands on Thursday the 27th of August. The swell puts on a show, hitting 7ft from the WSW. That’s solid. The energy jumps to a respectable 418. However, and this is a big however, the wind is a howling cross-onshore at 16 mph from the west, and the period is a short, lumpy 7 seconds. It’s going to be a raw, choppy mess. Because the swell is over 5ft, it’s too big for beginners, and with that wind, it’s really only an option for the die-hards on a bigger board. Look, at that size and with the wind from that angle, this setup is going to be more interesting for the kite crew than for a paddle surfer looking for a clean face.

To be honest, this break is an inconsistent reef that needs a perfect window. For the entire 16-day outlook, we get clean, offshore wind only a handful of times, and never with a decent swell behind it. The one day with proper size (the 27th) is ruined by the wind. The forecasts can change, but as it stands, this is a blank run. If you’re desperate, keep an eye on Thursday the 20th for a clean but small morning, but don’t get your hopes up.

Rusty.

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