Kaolins Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this 16-day outlook for Kaolins is a tough one. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with hardly any rideable surf on the cards. The first recommendation isn’t until Thursday the 30th of July, but even then, it’s a no-go.

From the start, we’ve got a weak, short-period swell rolling in from the WSW at 2ft, with a period of just 8 seconds and combined wave energy sitting at a meagre 87. That’s a weak, disorganised little bump. To make matters worse, the wind is a fresh cross-onshore at 18 mph, making it lumpy and choppy. Not worth wetting the wetsuit for.

The gap stretches on. Friday the 31st offers a morning of cross-off wind and clean conditions, but the swell is even smaller at 2ft, and the energy is down to 35. By Saturday and Sunday the 1st and 2nd of August, we get a few moments of light offshore wind, which is a positive, but the swell height barely reaches 1ft and the energy is between 29 and 29. It’s just too small to get excited about.

Monday the 3rd brings a slight bump in the afternoon with a 3ft WSW swell and energy climbing to 118, which is weak-to-moderate. But the wind is a fresh cross-onshore at 22 mph, creating lumpy, terrible conditions. This pattern holds through the week – a few small pulses of swell, but every time the wind is onshore, choppy, or just messy. The water temperature is 65°, which is bang on average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

The outlook doesn’t improve. The second week of August is even more barren. Swell heights drop to 0.7ft or 1.0ft, with periods rarely hitting 10 seconds, and combined energy values fall into single digits or low teens. There’s a moment on Monday the 10th of August with glassy conditions and a 2ft swell, but the period is only 6 seconds and the energy is just 23 – it’s barely a ripple.

Thursday the 13th of August shows a morning of gentle offshore wind from the NNE, clean conditions, but the swell is only 1.0ft with an 8-second period. It’s surfable on a log, but there’s no power.

The only standout, if you can call it that, is the short window on Monday the 10th of August morning. The wind is glassy, it’s clean, and the swell is 2ft from the SW. But it’s a weak, short-period swell, and the break is inconsistent and for advanced surfers only. With the crowds being “sometimes,” you might have it to yourself, but there’s not much to ride.

Overall, this is a quiet period for Kaolins. The swell is small, the energy is low, and the wind is rarely your friend. It’s a blank run for the area, and it’s not unusual for this spot to go quiet. Forecasts can change, but for now, leave the board at home.

Rusty.

Read more