Kalapaki Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: this 16-day window for Kalapaki Beach is a real mixed bag, and honestly, for most of it, it’s a tough sell. We’re looking at a long stretch of onshore and cross-shore winds that are going to keep things messy. The water temp is sitting right on average for the time of year at 80°, so nothing to worry about there.

The first real chance of anything goes way out to Wednesday, July 29th. Up until then, the wind is a constant problem. We’ve got moderate ENE winds through the 18th and 19th, creating choppy, cross-onshore conditions that are just poor. The swell is a short-period 6ft to 6ft ENE windswell, but with the wind state, it’s just not worth paddling out for. The energy is moderate (around 462-600), but it’s all junk.

We get a slight flicker of hope on the 20th to the 22nd, with a long-period S/SSW groundswell creeping in (15-24 seconds), but it’s tiny. We’re talking 2ft to 3ft. The energy is still moderate (443-1040), but it’s just not enough to light up a reef break like Kalapaki. The wind is still cross-shore, so it’s only marginal at best.

The real standout, and the only thing that gets me excited, is Thursday, July 30th. That’s one week from tomorrow. The forecast is showing a massive 21ft swell from the ENE, but here’s the deal: that’s simply too big for this spot. The energy is a massive 11884, which is very strong, but the text says it’s predicted to be too big for this break. However, if you are an expert, Wednesday the 29th afternoon is looking interesting. The wind goes cross-offshore with a 13ft ENE swell, and the energy is a solid 5870. The report even calls it “clean.” That’s your best shot. The long period (14 seconds) on a beach break can mean it’s a bit straight, but the cross-offshore wind is a huge plus, so it could be proper.

After that, the 31st and into August, the swell drops back down and the wind goes onshore again. The 30th afternoon is still a decent 15ft from the E with a light breeze, but it’s a big drop from the morning.

Look, this is a wait-for-it forecast. For most of the month, it’s a flat or choppy mess. The only real call is Wednesday the 29th afternoon or Thursday the 30th morning for the serious crew. For everyone else, it’s a long wait.

Rusty.

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