Kailua Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Kailua Beach over the next couple of weeks. Straight up, I gotta be honest with you – it's a tough stretch. The forecasts are pretty grim, and we're looking at a long, barren run. If you're desperate for a paddle, keep your expectations on the floor, because the conditions just aren't playing ball for most of this period.

The water temp is sitting at 81°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so at least you won't be cold while you're staring at chopped-up waves.

We kick things off on Saturday, the 12th, and honestly, there's nothing to get excited about. The swell is small, around 3 ft from the NE, but the 9 mph ENE wind is onshore, just ruining any chance of a clean wave. The energy is weak (213), and the report says poor surf conditions. That’s our reality for days and days. Sunday the 13th through to Friday the 25th of September is a massive stretch of poor to marginal surf. Swell sizes bounce around from 2 ft up to 8 ft, and at times we see some serious energy pumping through – like that 1066 reading on Thursday the 17th. But it doesn't matter one bit because the wind is almost always a stiff onshore or cross-onshore breeze from the ENE or E, gusting 12 to 19 mph. That combo of solid swell and nasty wind makes it look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The wave period is often short too, between 5 and 8 seconds, which means weak, messy, lumpy conditions at this beach-and-point setup.

There is a tiny flicker of hope right at the end of the outlook. On Friday the 25th of September, things get a little interesting. The wind drops right off to a light 6 mph from the ESE, swinging cross-shore. Swell drops to 4 ft from the E, with a 10-second period (258 energy). The wave comment is only "marginal," but with the wind that light, it might clean up for a sneaky session. Then on Saturday the 26th, the swell direction shifts to the N, with a 6 ft swell and a very long 12-second period (971 energy). That's proper groundswell potential, but the wind is back to a gentle cross-onshore, so it'll likely still be choppy.

For the entire 16-day run, there's no standout session. The consistent poor conditions mean we’re in a waiting game. Don't hold your breath for the long-range stuff on the 26th and 27th – it’s promising but less certain with the wind likely to mess it up.

Rusty.

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