Kailua Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s in store for Kailua Beach.

Straight up, I gotta be honest with you – the outlook for the next two weeks is a tough one. It’s not looking good at all. There’s no real standout swell window for clean surfing. The wind is just relentless, coming in from the ENE and E, which is cross-on or onshore for almost every session. That’s a real heartbreaker for a spot that can be magic.

The combined energy of the swells is moderate, with values in the hundreds (like 374), but it doesn’t matter because the conditions are just messy. The water temperature is at 80°, which is about average for this time of year, no surprises there.

The first few days are a write-off. Monday the 3rd starts us off with a 5ft ENE swell, but with a stiff 12 mph NE wind straight onshore, it’s just blown out. Tuesday the 4th isn’t any better, with a 5ft swell and a cross-on breeze making it choppy.

We grind through the rest of the week with the same story. Wednesday the 5th, Thursday the 6th, Friday the 7th – all showing poor surf conditions. The swell is there, between 2ft and 5ft, but the wind is ruining it. The periods are short, too, mostly 8 seconds or less, so there’s no real punch to the waves.

The weekend of the 9th and 10th sees the swell pushing up to 6ft and 6ft, but the wind cranks up to 19 mph. That’s a fresh breeze, creating lumpy, choppy conditions. The combined energy hits 340 to 397, but it’s all for nothing if you can’t get a clean face.

The second week doesn’t offer any relief. From Monday the 11th through to Monday the 18th, it’s the same pattern. The swell actually gets bigger, hitting 7ft and 8ft by the 14th and 15th, with combined energy climbing into the 500s and 600s. That’s some serious power, but the wind is still cross-on or onshore, and the period is short, around 7 to 8 seconds. At 8ft, that’s expert territory if it were clean, but with that wind, it’s a battle. For a beach and point setup like this, it’s honestly looking more like a kite-surfing session than a paddle-in day.

So, the bottom line is this: there are no good surf options in this 16-day window. It’s a blank run, plain and simple. The consistent ENE wind is the villain here. It’s a tough run for the area, but forecasts can change, so keep your eyes peeled. For now, I’d leave the board at home.

Rusty.

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