Kailua Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what we've got coming up for Kailua Beach. It's a point break that's fairly consistent, exposed to the swell, and works best when it comes from the northeast. Honestly, the outlook is pretty grim for the first week and a half, with a lot of onshore wind and junk waves.

We've got a long, ugly stretch ahead. From Wednesday the 2nd right through to Sunday the 13th, it's mostly a write-off. The wind is chewing everything up. Almost every session is plagued by strong, cross-onshore or onshore breezes, leaving the ocean lumpy and choppy with poor, weak surf. The combined swell energy sits in the moderate range, hitting around 620 to 960 during this period, but it just doesn't matter with that wind. A lot of the time the waves are around the 7ft to 8ft mark, with short period (mostly 7 to 8 seconds) swell, meaning it's just a messy, sloppy wall of water. Not a beginner's day, not a fun day for anyone.

Now, things start to look a little interesting, but still not great, around Monday the 7th. We get a subtle shift, with the wind backing off to just a slight breeze at 3 mph from the east, which is a cross-onshore. The swell picks up to 8ft from the ENE, but the period stretches out to 13 seconds. That longer period brings more energy (1844 combined), but that cross-onshore breeze, even if light, will put a little wrinkle on the face. It’s just a marginal situation.

The only real glimmer of hope in this entire 16-day window is Tuesday the 8th. The wind swings around to the SSE at 22 mph, which is a cross-offshore breeze here, making for what the data calls "clean" conditions. The swell drops a touch to 7ft from the ENE, but still with a decent 11-second period. The combined energy is still a solid 1121 in the morning. For this spot, this is your best look. It’s still going to be a big, powerful wave (over 7ft), so it’s for the experienced crew only, but for once it’ll have some shape. Watch out, though—crowds are possible here.

After that, we slide back into junk from the 9th through the 13th, with strong onshore winds and short-period slop. There's a whisper of something on the 16th of September, where we see a jump in period to 12 seconds from the ESE, bringing the energy back up to 1117 in the afternoon, but the wind is still onshore. It's a long way off, so keep an eye on it, but don't get your hopes up yet.

To sum it up: don't bother paddling out until at least Monday the 7th or Tuesday the 8th, and even then, Tuesday is the only day that looks genuinely clean. After that, it's a long wait.

Rusty.

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