Kailua Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. It’s Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you—this outlook is a tough one to write. We’re looking at a 16-day window for Kailua Beach, and the models are showing a whole lot of nothing for a long, long time.

The first recommendation doesn't even pop up until the 30th of August, and even then, it's a marginal call. That means we're talking about a solid stretch of poor surf and bad vibes for the next couple of weeks. With the trade winds howling out of the east-northeast and whipping up the ocean into a messy, cross-onshore chop, it’s just going to be a washing machine out there.

The water temp is sitting at a normal 81°F, which is about average for the time of year, so at least it won’t be cold while you’re getting blown off your board.

So, let’s break down the long grind ahead. This whole first stretch is a write-off. The swell is small, the wind is ruining what little is there, and the energy readings are weak. We're seeing combined energy values in the low hundreds—like 112 to 293—which tells you there's just no power in the water. The periods are short, mostly in that 6 to 8 second range, so it's all windswell and no push. It's not even worth paddling out.

The only blip of interest comes at the very end. On the morning of Sunday, the 30th, there’s finally a pulse of energy, coming from the east with a period of 15 seconds. That’s proper groundswell. The combined energy jumps to 1537, which is moderate but over four times stronger than anything we’ve seen. The wind is light and offshore, which will make it glassy and clean—a huge positive. This is the standout session if you’re willing to wait. The swell is around 6ft, which is solid, and it’s a point break, so it should handle that long-period energy well and line up nicely. It could be a bit tricky with the long period, but it's the only show in town.

The conditions improve slightly in the first week of September, with surf dropping back down and more of those moderate onshore breezes, so it doesn’t look like we’ll get another day like the 30th. Don't sleep on that Sunday morning; it's the one to chase. For everything else, keep the boards in the car and the wax in the bag.

Rusty

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