Kailua Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next 16 days for Kailua Beach. I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – this is a tough stretch. Every single session in the forecast is marked as poor surf conditions. There’s no window of clean, rideable waves to get excited about.

The first day, Saturday the 5th, is a total loss. The wind is a stiff ENE breeze at 16 mph, blowing straight onshore, and it’s just wrecking a 7ft swell from the ENE. That’s a ton of energy (1725 combined energy), but it’s all messy and blown out. The water temp is a warm 81°, which is right on average for this time of year, so that’s not the issue.

Moving into Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th, it’s more of the same story. The wind swings a bit more easterly, still cross-onshore, and the swell hangs around 5ft to 7ft, with a moderate period (12-13 seconds). The energy is still high, but the conditions are just too choppy and lumpy for a decent paddle. Those risk of thunderstorms on Monday don’t help the mood either.

Tuesday the 8th is the only day that even looks remotely possible. The wind shifts to a light SSE, giving us a clean, cross-off breeze. The swell drops to 6ft in the morning and 6ft in the afternoon from the ENE, with a period of 11 seconds. The energy is still moderate to strong (885 to 789), but the notes say it’s only marginal due to questionable tide. If you know the sandbar like the back of your hand, it might be a brief window, but it’s not worth planning around.

From Wednesday the 9th all the way through to Sunday the 20th, it’s a long, grim grind. The swell loses its period (7-8 seconds) and the wind just won’t let up – mostly onshore or cross-onshore from the ENE, blowing at 10 to 19 mph. The wave energy fades from moderate down to weak (around 170 to 615), but the quality never improves. Those short-period, wind-driven waves will make paddling out hard work.

So what’s the bottom line? There’s absolutely nothing for a surfer here. The constant onshore wind and poor surf quality means this is a total blank run. If you’re into kiting, maybe you look at the bigger energy days, but for a paddle surfer, save your energy. This is more normal for the area when the trade winds lock in like this. Forecasts can change, but for now, I’d leave the board in the garage.

Rusty.

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