Kailua Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's cookin' for Kailua Beach over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you, it's a rough stretch. The forecast is a long, hard slog of onshore and cross-onshore winds, mostly from the ENE, that are just trashing what little swell is out there. The combined wave energy is weak, often in the low 100s to 300s (349), and the short, choppy periods around 6-7 seconds mean there's no real power or shape.

We're looking at a solid 14-day blank run here. From Sunday, August 23rd, right through to Saturday, September 5th, every single session is marked as "poor surf conditions." The winds are a fresh breeze, 19 mph or more, just pinning the surf flat and messy. This isn't a time to paddle out; this is a time to check the wind forecasts and hope they change. The water temp is sitting at 81°F, which is about average for the time of year, so at least you won't freeze while you're sitting there watching the bumps.

It's not until Sunday, September 6th, that we see a flicker of hope. The wind finally eases up to a gentle breeze, with a light E 9 mph cross-on in the morning, swinging to a glassy NE 9 mph onshore in the arvo. That's a game-changer. The swell jumps to 8 ft from the NE with a much longer period of 11 seconds. The combined energy is a solid 1539, which is moderate to strong, so there's some serious juice in the water. This is the standout of the whole outlook. The size is on the edge for beginners, but for intermediate and up, it's a proper wave. The issue is the direction: the guidance says the optimum swell is from the NE, and this is NE, so it's a perfect match. But the caveat is the long period groundswell from the NE on a point break like Kailua Beach can be a bit straight and fast. Still, with that glassy afternoon wind, the morning session on the 6th is the best we've got, and it's not even close.

Monday, September 7th, looks reasonable too. The wind is light and clean from the NNE 6 mph in the morning, and the swell is down to a more manageable 5 ft from the ENE, with a 10-second period. The energy is moderate (546). It's a cleaner, smaller option for the day after the big one. The crowds at Kailua are "sometimes" an issue, but on a Monday with a bit of a cleanup, you might get some fun ones without too much hustle.

So, to wrap it up: the first two weeks are a write-off. Don't even bother. Point your eyes to Sunday, September 6th, for the biggest and best swell of the forecast, and Monday the 7th for a cleaner, smaller follow-up. The rest is for the kite surfers, not the paddle surfers. Hang in there.

Rusty.

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