Kailua Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you, looking at the forecast window for Kailua Beach over the next sixteen days. I gotta tell ya, it's a tough one. This spot is a point break, exposed to the swell, but the dominant wind pattern we're seeing is just gonna be a problem. For pretty much the entire first week and a half, the wind is howling from the east-northeast, smack onshore or cross-onshore, and that just kills any chance of a clean wave out there.

From Friday the 17th right through to Tuesday the 29th, it’s a long, frustrating run of "poor surf conditions" with scores that don't even register. The combined swell energy is weak to moderate, but it doesn’t matter when the wind is ruining every face. The waves are there, between 2ft and a little over 6ft, but they’ll be choppy, lumpy, and messy. A classic case of "looks can be deceiving" from the beach. For the beginner or intermediate surfer this spot is meant for, this is a write-off.

We do finally see a flicker of promise, but it's a long way off. On Wednesday the 29th and into Thursday the 30th of July, the swell gets a bit more grunt. We’re looking at waves in the 6ft to 7ft range, with a better period of 12 to 13 seconds. The combined energy jumps right up, showing there's real power in the water. The wind even eases off to a gentle to moderate breeze, and we get some "on" shore winds. The forecast still calls it marginal, but at least there's a glimmer of hope.

Honestly, for the whole sixteen-day run, there are zero standouts. The wind is the enemy here, plain and simple. If you’re desperate for a paddle on the 29th or 30th, keep your expectations on the floor. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so at least you won't be cold while you're getting blown off your board. It's a swing and a miss for July.

Rusty.

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