Kailua Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Kailua Beach over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, I’ve got to be honest with you – this is a tough stretch. For the first seven days, the conditions are just plain ugly. That ENE wind is blowing fresh and cross-onshore, making a mess of things. The swell is mostly short-period windswell, around 7-8 seconds, and the energy numbers are low to moderate, with the combined energy reading between 206 and 595. Combine that with a "poor surf conditions" tag on every single session, and you’ve got a classic wait-and-see period. The water temperature is sitting around 80° – that’s pretty much normal for this time of year, so no complaints there.

Now, the real story starts to shift around the 26th of July. Sunday morning, the wind swings NE and goes offshore, but more importantly, the period jumps to a massive 16 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, and it’s coming from the east. The combined energy hits 1119 – that’s moderate to strong energy, which is a big step up. But here’s the kicker: despite this, the reports still say "poor surf conditions". That’s because with a long-period swell like that, at a point break like Kailua Beach, it can get a bit too straight and fat. Still, it’s the best-looking wave energy in the whole forecast.

The quality actually gets a little more interesting around the 28th of July into the 30th. The swell holds around 6 ft to 6 ft, with periods between 12 and 13 seconds, and the wind is light and offshore (NE to ENE at 6-12 mph). The combined energy is strong, ranging from 1103 to 1300. The reports shift from "poor" to "marginal" – a clear sign that the combination of good wind and real swell is starting to line up. The 30th of July, Thursday morning, looks like the pick of the bunch: 6 ft from the ENE, 10-second period, light offshore breeze, and a combined energy of 755. That’s the kind of session you want to be there for, even if the consistency might be a little tricky.

After that, it’s back to the same old story. The wind picks up again, the period drops, and the conditions go sour. So, if you’re looking for a window, keep your eyes on the 28th through the 30th of July. It’s not a perfect run, but it’s the best we’ve got.

Stay safe out there, and don’t fight the wind.

Rusty.

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