Kailua Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you about Kailua Beach. Honestly, for the next 16 days, it's a tough watch. The whole forecast window is dominated by a persistent ENE wind that just won't let up, and the swell is a mix of short-period, weak windswell that's coming from the wrong direction for this spot. Kailua Beach here is a point break that needs an offshore from the SW, and we're getting everything but that. This setup is rough.

Water temps are sitting at 81° which is spot on for this time of year, no surprises there.

We kick off Wednesday the 26th and it's grim. The swell is a tiny 5 ft from the east with a period of only 6 seconds and combined energy of just 171 (weak). You've got a fresh 19 mph wind blowing straight onshore. It's poor surf conditions, full stop. That same pattern holds through Thursday morning and afternoon, and into Friday the 28th where the wind goes cross-onshore, making things even lumpier. There's a solid 4-day gap here with absolutely nothing to recommend.

The weekend of the 29th and 30th? Same story. Slightly bigger swell hitting 6 ft, but with a period of just 6-7 seconds and a wind that's fresh and cross-onshore, the combined energy climbs to 353 (moderate), but the quality is still "fresh cross-onshore and lumpy." Not worth paddling out for.

Moving into the first week of September, the swell actually starts to build. By Monday the 31st, we're seeing 6 ft to 7 ft swell, and the period stretches to 8 seconds. The energy jumps to 532 (moderate). But the wind is still onshore from the ENE, so the surf quality remains poor. On Tuesday the 1st, the wind drops to a moderate 12 mph, but it's still cross-onshore, and the wave state is "moderate cross-onshore and choppy." This is the kind of week where you'd need a big wave board and a lot of patience.

By the second week, things get a little more interesting, but not by much. Around the 5th and 6th of September, the wind eases to a light breeze from the ESE, going cross-onshore and eventually cross-shore. The swell is dropping to 4 ft, but the energy is still around 300 (moderate). On Sunday the 6th afternoon, we finally get a "marginal surf forecast" tag with a score of 1. That's the best we'll see, with light cross-shore winds and small crossing wind ripples. It's not great, but it's the only window where the paddle out might not be a total fight.

Later on, the 9th and 10th of September see a return of stronger onshore winds and a pulse of longer-period swell (12 seconds) from the ENE, but it's still onshore and the surf quality is poor. The energy ramps up to 609 (strong), but for Kailua, that's wasted energy because the wind is straight onshore.

So, the bottom line: there is no standout day here. The only half-decent window is the afternoon of Sunday the 6th, with lighter winds and a score of 1 out of 10. It's marginal. For the rest of the 16 days, this is a blank run. Kailua Beach is a fairly consistent spot, so it's a bit of a rarity to see it this flat and messy. Don't hold your breath; forecasts can change, but right now, it's a no-go.

Rusty.

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