Kailua Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's switch gears and talk in feet and Fahrenheit for those who think that way.

Well, I'm gonna level with you, it's a bit of a tough stretch ahead. Looking at Kailua Beach, we’ve got a solid run of days, but the wind and conditions are just not playing ball for a proper paddle session for most of it. The water temp is sitting at a warm 81°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Starting from this Sunday morning, the 13th, we’ve got small swell around 3 feet coming from the NNE, but it’s blown out by a 9 mph onshore wind. That pattern keeps up right through the week. Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th are much the same story: small, wind-affected waves with poor conditions. The swell energy is weak, only in the 100-200 range, so there’s just no power or shape to work with. We see a bit more size creeping in by Wednesday the 16th with 4 feet swell, but the onshore winds are still pumping at 16-19 mph. By Thursday the 17th, the swell jumps to 8 feet, and the combined energy hits a strong 545, but with risk of thunderstorms and that stiff onshore wind, it's a messy and challenging prospect – definitely not for beginners.

Heading into the second week, the pattern doesn’t let up. From the 18th to the 21st, we’ve got consistent 6 to 8 feet swell from the east, but it’s accompanied by fresh, cross-onshore winds that are just going to leave the surface lumpy and choppy. The energy is moderate to strong, ranging from 364 to 648, but without clean wind, it's hard to get excited. The only real standout, and I mean the only one, happens on Tuesday the 22nd. The swell drops to 7 feet, but look at that period – a very long 13 seconds from the east, and the combined energy absolutely pumps up to 1433. That’s serious, powerful groundswell. Now, the catch is the wind is still onshore at 16-19 mph, and Kailua is a point break so it can handle that long-period energy, but the wind will make it rough. This window on the 22nd and into Wednesday the 23rd (with energy at 1447) has the most potential, but it's a gamble with the wind.

After that, from Thursday the 24th through to Monday the 28th, the swell holds around 6 to 8 feet, but the wind remains a persistent onshore or cross-onshore issue, with fresh breezes keeping things messy. Honestly, for most of this outlook, the consistent onshore wind and poor surf conditions mean the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. There’s no clean, glassy window on the cards.

Rusty

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