Kailua Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with ya – we’re looking at a pretty rough run. The forecast starts with a bit of energy but the conditions are just not playing ball. The first swell we see comes in on Sunday, September 6th, with a 7 ft swell from the ENE, but that 12 mph easterly wind is smashing it sideways, making it a choppy, poor surf session. The combined energy is moderate (1266), but it’s just not worth paddling out for. That same pattern holds through Monday and Tuesday – the wind stays strong, mostly cross-onshore or onshore, and the waves stay messy.

Now, there is a glimmer of hope on Tuesday, September 8th. The wind shifts to a light S-SSE cross-offshore breeze, cleaning things up. The swell drops to 6 ft on the morning and 6 ft in the afternoon, both from the ENE with an 11-second period. The combined energy is still moderate (869 and 820), and the water temp is a pleasant 81°, which is normal for this time of year. This is the best we’ve got, and it’s still only a "marginal" call. The break is Kailua Beach, a point break that’s fairly consistent. It’s exposed to the NE, and the swell is coming from the ENE, which is close to the optimum direction. The wind is a major positive here – that cross-offshore breeze will make for clean, lined-up waves. But don’t expect a crowd-free session; it gets busy here sometimes.

After that, it’s a long, dry spell. From Wednesday, September 9th, all the way through to the end of the forecast on Monday, September 21st, every single session is rated "poor surf conditions." The winds go back to being onshore or cross-onshore, mostly from the ENE, and the swell period drops to a short, weak 6-8 seconds. The combined energy drops to the low hundreds, which is weak. There’s a little bit of size again from September 17th onwards, with 7 ft to 7 ft swell from the E and ENE, but with 12-19 mph onshore winds, it’s just a messy, blown-out wall of whitewater. For a beach-and-reef setup like this, with that much wind and size, it’s honestly looking more interesting for the kite surfers than the paddle crew.

So, to sum it up: your one real window is Tuesday, September 8th. Get out there early for the cleanest conditions. After that, we’re in for a solid 13-day stretch of nothing but poor surf. It’s a bummer, but sometimes the ocean just takes a nap.

Catch ya next time.
Rusty.

Read more