Kailua Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your coffee and come over here. It's been a rough stretch for us at Kailua Beach, I gotta be straight with you. This 16-day window is looking flat and frustrating, with hardly a moment worth paddling out. We’re stuck in a loop of onshore and cross-onshore ENE winds, and that combo is just trashing any chance of clean waves.

The water is sitting around 81°, which is bang on average for this time of year – so at least you won’t be freezing while you’re getting disappointed.

The outlook starts now, on Saturday the 12th, but don’t get excited. The first real sniff of anything different doesn't show up until Wednesday the 23rd, and even that is a long shot. We’re talking about a solid 10-day stretch of junk. From Saturday the 12th right through to Tuesday the 22nd, it’s all poor surf conditions, with wave energy ranging from weak to moderate (between 100 and 736). The swell is tiny, mostly around 3ft to 5ft, but coming from the ENE and NE with short, weak periods between 5 and 10 seconds. The wind is a constant problem – it’s onshore or cross-onshore, 9 to 19 mph, making everything choppy and lumpy. Honestly, it’s a kite surfer’s dream, but for us paddle surfers? It’s a write-off.

Then on Wednesday the 23rd, we finally see a pulse of energy. The combined energy jumps to a strong 1004, and the swell picks up to 7ft from the east, with a 10-second period. The morning gets a score of 2 out of 10 – which is better than the zeros we’ve been seeing – but it’s still labeled as marginal due to questionable tide conditions. The wind eases to a gentle 9 mph from the ENE, but it's still cross-onshore, so expect it to be fairly choppy. This one is a maybe, but I wouldn't call it a standout by any stretch.

The rest of that week and into the next is more of the same: moderate to fresh cross-onshore winds and poor conditions. By the time we get to Sunday the 27th, the swell direction swings to the north with a longer 11-second period, and the energy is still strong (546-652), but the wind is a fresh 19 mph from the ENE again, ruining any chance of quality.

I’ll be honest with you, brother. There’s no standout session in this forecast. The only day that even flickers with potential is the morning of Wednesday the 23rd, but it’s a gamble with the tide and the wind. For the rest of it, leave the boards in the car and save your energy. It won’t stay poor forever, but this run is a solid dud. The October swells can’t get here soon enough.

Rusty.

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