Kailua Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Gotta be straight with you – looking at Kailua Beach over the next 16 days, and it ain't the finest picture for paddle surfing. The forecast is a long stretch of challenging onshore winds and lumpy, less-than-ideal conditions. We do have some energy building up in the second week, but the wind and swell quality will be the main issues.

Right now, and for most of the upcoming period, we’re stuck in a trade wind pattern. Wind is coming hard from the ENE, mostly onshore and cross-onshore at 18-22 mph, gusting up to 25 mph. That’s going to keep the surface choppy and messy. The water temp is sitting at a normal 80° for this time of year, so a wetsuit is off the cards.

Let's walk through it. Wednesday the 22nd through to Friday the 24th of July is a write-off. We’ve got swell around 6 ft to 7 ft, but it's short-period windswell at 7 seconds, with that strong ENE wind ruining any hope of a clean face. It’s just lumpy and poor.

The first bit of promise, and I stress *promise*, arrives on the morning of Monday, 28th July. It's still not perfect, as the wave comment is "marginal surf forecast", earning it a 1 out of 10 internally. Here the swell drops a touch to 5 ft from the east with a longer 12-second period, and the wind eases to a more manageable 9 mph from the NE. It’s still onshore, but glassier, making the surface a little cleaner. The combined swell energy is strong, reading 712. Still, with that onshore wind, you’d be scratching for a decent one.

The next notable moment, and this is far out so take it easy, is around Wednesday the 5th of August. This one gets the highest internal call of the whole run, a 2 out of 10. The swell is building – around 8 ft from the ENE with a solid 13-second period. Combined wave energy is very strong at 1901. That’s a proper groundswell. The wind is light at 9 mph from the east, but it is *cross-onshore*. The break here is a point, which can handle a longer period swell, but that wind direction isn't ideal. This is more of a "keep an eye on it" situation. That swell size is over 8 ft by Thursday the 6th of August (10 ft from the NE), which is expert territory.

Frankly, for the next two weeks, nothing here is screaming greatness. The consistent onshore flow and poor quality wave comments are the story. A bit of a blank run on quality surf. It’s a setup that looks a lot more interesting for the kiteboarders than someone on a longboard or shortboard. The conditions can flip, but right now, Kailua is not showing its best side.

Rusty.

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