Kailua Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I’m looking at a rough stretch for Kailua Beach. The water’s a warm 81°F, which is about what you’d expect for the season, but that’s the only easy part of this outlook.

We’ve got a long run of onshore and cross-onshore winds from the ENE, just tearing up the face. Even when the swell’s coming from the right NE direction, that wind makes it a mess. Starting Monday the 14th, we get a tiny 3ft NE swell with a short 8-second period, but the wind is straight on it. The combined energy is a weak 94—hardly worth paddling out for.

The poor conditions don’t let up for almost two weeks. By Thursday the 17th, the swell jumps to 7ft from the ENE, with the energy climbing to a moderate 498, but the gusty cross-onshore wind makes it lumpy and choppy. That size is pushing into “not for beginners” territory, but it’s all blown out anyway.

The real gap here is long. You’re looking at a blank run until the very end of the month. Finally, around Monday the 28th, things get a little better. The wind eases right down to a light breeze. On Tuesday the 29th, we see a 7ft NE swell with a strong combined energy of 694. The wind goes light and cross-shore from the SE. The swell period is still short at 8 seconds, so it’s wind swell, but with the light wind, it might just clean up enough for some grovelly peaks.

Kailua Beach (Oahu) is a point break that breaks fairly consistently. When there’s a pulse of NE swell, it gets exposed. Crowds are possible, so if that Tuesday morning window opens up, be ready to share the water. The swell direction is spot on for the break’s preference, which is the only real positive in this whole stretch.

That’s the skinny: a long quiet spell with just one slim window late in the game. It can’t stay flat forever, and forecasts can change.
Rusty

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