Kailua Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this outlook for Kailua Beach is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor conditions, and there’s actually no surf worth paddling out for in the first week. The first real chance of anything decent doesn’t show up until Tuesday, the 8th of September, and even then, it’s a one-off window.

The overall pattern is dominated by a lot of cross-onshore and onshore wind, especially from the east and east-northeast, which is just trashing the surface. The water temp is sitting at 81°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a steamer.

Now, the only time this place looks even close to working is on Tuesday, the 8th of September. The morning session is a bit of a gamble – you’ve got a 6 ft swell from the east-northeast with an 11-second period, which is a nice groundswell, but the wind is a cross-offshore from the SSW at 19 mph. It’s cleaning it up, but the energy is moderate (884). The real standout is Tuesday afternoon: the wind swings offshore from the SSW at 12 mph, and that’s a major positive. The swell drops slightly to 6 ft from the east-northeast, still with that 11-second period, and the energy is moderate (808). This is a point break, so that longer-period groundswell should wrap in nicely, and with offshore wind, it’ll be clean. It’s expecting very good surf conditions. If you can get out there, that’s the one session. The break is fairly consistent, but crowds are possible.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. From Wednesday the 9th right through to the end of the 16-day window, every single session is rated as poor. The swell drops to between 2 ft and 5 ft, but it’s constantly hammered by cross-onshore or onshore winds, making it lumpy, choppy, or just messy. The swell energy drops off to weak (97) by the 14th, and even when a new NNW swell shows up around the 20th of September, the wind is still blowing straight onshore or cross-onshore, so it’s all just junk. The energy picks up a bit (398) but it’s wasted with that wind.

There’s nothing here for beginners or experts – the swell never gets over 8 ft, but the quality is so bad it doesn’t matter. For the most part, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy conditions.

So, bottom line: your best bet, and really your only bet, is Tuesday afternoon the 8th of September. Get it while it’s clean. The rest of the 16 days is a write-off.

Rusty.

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