Kailua Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. I’ve scanned the charts for Kailua Beach and the outlook is a tough one. For the entire 16-day window, there’s not a single solid recommendation to be had. The data shows a long, blank run with no real standouts on offer, which is a bit of a bummer.

We’re looking at a persistent pattern of onshore and cross-onshore winds, mostly from the ENE, blowing at 12 to 25 mph. That’s a stiff breeze, and it’s going to mess with the surface. The swell is there, but it’s almost all short-period windswell, with periods hanging around 5 to 9 seconds. That kind of short-period energy just doesn’t have the grunt for proper waves; it’s all bump and no shape. The combined energy starts weak at 81 (Monday morning, August 7th) and builds to strong levels, hitting 829 (Monday afternoon, August 17th), but with the wind state, it’s all for nothing. The water temp is 80°, which is about normal for the time of year, so that’s one silver lining, but it’s not gonna help the surf.

The wave comment across the board is “poor surf conditions,” and the scores are all zero. That tells you everything. The swell does build through the second week, with heights reaching 8 ft by Monday, August 17th, and the period stretching to 10 seconds by Tuesday, August 18th. The combined energy rockets up to 829. But the wind never cooperates—it’s always onshore, keeping it choppy and lumpy. For a beach or point setup like this, with that much swell and that strong a wind, it honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The consistency is “fairly consistent,” which means it can change, but right now, forecasts are what they are. This is a blank run, and for this area, it’s a bit more normal to have a spell like this.

So, my advice? Hang the board up for a bit, or maybe look into other hobbies. The ocean’s not giving us anything to work with for the next 16 days.

Rusty

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