Joaquina Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up for the next couple of weeks at Joaquina. This is a classic exposed sandbar, and the swell window is open to the southeast, which is exactly what this place needs to light up.

We’re starting off with a bit of a slow burn, but there are some real gems hidden in this forecast if you’re patient. The best surf on offer is definitely the Thursday morning, 27 August. We’ve got a solid 4ft SE groundswell with a period of 14 seconds pushing in, and the wave energy is sitting in the moderate range at 722. The wind is a gentle NNW breeze, blowing cross-offshore, which will keep the faces clean and lined up. The water temp is 65°, which is pretty average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Get on it early – this is the standout session.

Thursday afternoon drops off a bit to 4ft SE swell, still a nice 14-second period, but the wind swings to a cross-off from the NNE at 12 mph and the energy drops to 386. It’s still surfable, but the quality slips.

Friday, 28 August, things take a nosedive. The swell drops to 2ft on the morning and only gets a little bump in the afternoon. The wind is up and cross-off, but there’s just not enough push. The energy readings are 68 and 136, which is weak. We’re looking at a few days of small, messy stuff here.

Saturday, 29 August, is flat. 0.7ft swell. Don’t even bother. Sunday, 30 August, tries to pick up with a 3ft E swell but the period is a short 8 seconds and the cross-onshore wind kills any quality. The energy hits 127 and 145, but it’s choppy and wonky. Monday, 31 August, brings a bit of hope. The morning shows 4ft E swell with a 9-second period and a nice light offshore from the NW at 3 mph. Energy is 254. This could be clean and fun, but the afternoon gets ruined by 16 mph cross-off winds. Tuesday, 1 September, is a write-off with strong onshores.

There’s a gap of poor to marginal conditions until Thursday, 3 September, which is a marginal call. Then, Friday, 4 September, brings another good window. The morning shows 3ft SSE swell with an 11-second period and a light cross-off breeze from the NNW at 6 mph. Energy is 201. It’s clean and lined up, but smaller than the first standout. Saturday, 5 September, is similar but with light rain and moderate cross-off winds – still surfable.

After that, the forecast gets pretty bleak. From Sunday, 6 September, right through to Thursday, 10 September, the swell is either too small, too short period, or the wind is onshore and messy. There’s a brief flicker of promise on Friday, 11 September, with a 4ft SSE groundswell, a very long 15-second period, and a light cross-shore wind. The energy is strong at 877. That’s a very long period groundswell, which can make Joaquina a bit straight and tricky, but it’ll have plenty of power. The wind is mostly cross-shore and light in the morning, but the afternoon gets onshored out.

Overall, keep your eyes peeled for Thursday, 27 August morning – that’s the one to circle. Monday, 31 August morning and Friday, 4 September morning are decent fallback options. The long range looks iffy, so get your waves early.

Stay frothy,
Rusty

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