Joaquina Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s talk about Joaquina. Over the next couple of weeks, the swell is going to flicker on and off, but it’s not going to be a blockbuster period. The best of it really sits in this first weekend, so let’s get into it.

Friday the 14th is a bit of a tease. We’ve got a solid SSE groundswell pushing in at 3ft to 5ft, with a period of 13 seconds, so there’s some decent energy there (combined energy of 802 to 949). Problem is, we’ve got onshore wind and light rain, so it’s going to be lumpy and a bit of a battle. Not the cleanest, but if the tide plays ball, you might find a fun one.

Now, Saturday the 15th starts to look a bit more interesting. The swell drops slightly to 5ft – 5ft, but the period is short (7 seconds)—so it’s more of a local windswell. The wind swings to a light cross-offshore in the afternoon, and things clean up nicely. That afternoon session early Saturday is probably the pick of the first few days. Clean faces, small but workable. Morning on Sunday the 16th is also solid, with that same cross-off breeze and 4ft of east swell. That morning window is your best bet for some tidy, fun waves at Joaquina.

After that, things go quiet. From Monday the 17th right through to Thursday the 21st, we’re looking at a real lull—waist-high dribble at best. The combined energy drops to pathetic numbers (7 to 222), and the wind gets messy. Honestly, unless you’re happy on a foamie in ankle slop, you’d be better off doing something else.

Friday the 21st shows a tiny pulse of 3ft from the ESE, but it’s cross-onshore and marginal. Still small. Then another dry spell from the 22nd through the 25th. The swell is basically non-existent. Barely a ripple. If you’re a beginner, this is the definition of flat.

Things start to rumble again from Monday the 24th, but it’s not good. We get a jump in swell to 6ft on the Monday morning from the SSE, combined energy (518), but with a strong cross-onshore wind and light rain, it’ll be a choppy, blown-out mess. That’s more of a kite-surfing wind than a paddle-surfing setup.

The strongest pulse of the whole period surfaces Wednesday the 26th: 6ft from the ESE, combined energy (469). But again—cross-onshore wind, light rain, and that messy chop. It’s a shame because otherwise, it could be a proper session. Not the day for a standard shortboard unless you’re a glutton for punishment.

The very tail end, Friday the 28th morning, offers a glimmer: 4ft east swell with a clean cross-offshore breeze. Small, but the wind is right, so it’ll be glassy and fun if you’re not expecting much power.

Standout call: If you can get out there on Saturday the 15th afternoon or Sunday the 16th morning, that’s your window. Clean conditions, waist-to-chest high waves, and good vibes. For anything else in the second week, it’s too far out to rely on, and the charts look messy.

Water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual to report.

Rusty.

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