Joaquina Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for the next 16 days at Joaquina. We're in for a slow start, so don't be in a rush to grab your board.

The first week is pretty flat and ordinary. From Sunday the 2nd right through the following Saturday the 8th, the swell is tiny and the wind is mostly messy. You'll see a few days with a little bump – like Tuesday morning the 4th with a 2ft SSE swell, and the combined energy is a weak 136 (moderate wave energy). But it's just not worth paddling out for. The wind is cross-offshore on the 4th, which is clean, but the waves are just too small. There's a real gap here with no good surf on offer.

Things start to get a bit more interesting around the second week. On Monday the 10th, the swell picks up to 5ft from the SSE, but the wind is a cross-on, so it's messy. The combined energy is 322, which is moderate. That's still a pass. Tuesday the 11th is the first real standout. We've got a 6ft SSE swell in the morning, bumping to 6ft in the afternoon, with a period of 13 to 14 seconds. That's a proper groundswell. The combined energy jumps to 867 in the morning and a strong 1212 in the afternoon. The wind is light cross-on, so it'll be a bit bumpy, but there's some real power in the water. It's an intermediate spot, so this size is fine for most, but it's not a beginner's day.

Wednesday the 12th keeps the energy going with a 7ft S swell in the afternoon and a combined energy of 1764 (very strong). But the wind is a moderate cross-on, making it choppy. The swell is getting big, bordering on expert territory. By Thursday the 13th, the swell drops back to 5ft, but the wind is still a moderate cross-on. It's a bit of a messy week overall.

The real standout, if you've got the skill, is Tuesday the 11th. That 6ft, 14-second groundswell from the SSE with light cross-on wind is the best energy we see. The direction is a bit off from the optimum SE, but the power is there. It's a very consistent break, so you'll get waves. Crowds are often an issue at Joaquina, so expect company.

For the rest of the run, the swell drops off again from Saturday the 15th onward, with 2ft to 4ft swells and clean cross-off winds, but the energy is weak to moderate. The 17th has a 4ft E swell with a clean cross-off, but it's a short 8-second period, so it's a bit weak.

The water temperature is sitting at 65°F, which is about average for the time of year, with a small anomaly of -0.5°F. Nothing to worry about there.

Rusty, signing off.

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