Joaquina Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's cooking at Joaquina.

The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag. We're looking at a long stretch of small, pretty average conditions before a promising pulse of energy arrives in the second week. Don't get your hopes up for the first week, but hang in there, because there's a proper window of clean surf on the horizon.

We start off with a flat spell. From Tuesday the 28th right through to the 4th of August, it's a write-off. The swell is tiny, mostly under 2ft, and the wind is either onshore or creating cross-ripple. The wave energy is weak, sitting at under 120 for most of that time, often much less. The water temp is hanging around 65°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Tuesday, the 4th of August. The morning is looking alright. We’ve got a 3ft swell from the SSE, with a moderate combined energy of 209. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the N, which will keep the surface tidy. It’s not huge, but it’s a definite step up from the nothing we’ve been looking at. The Wednesday morning on the 5th is also clean, but the swell is a little smaller.

Now, the real standout is Sunday, the 9th of August. The morning looks like a beauty. We’re looking at a 4ft swell from the S, and the wind is forecast to be glassy. That’s a recipe for the best conditions in the entire forecast. The energy is a solid 224. It’s not huge, but for a peaky sandbar, that glassy wind will make it super fun. The afternoon turns a bit cross-shore, so get in early.

But the big one, the one to circle on the calendar, is Monday, the 10th of August. The morning is where it all comes together. We’ve got a solid 3ft swell from the SSE, but the period jumps to 15 seconds. That’s a proper, long-period groundswell. The wind is a beautiful cross-offshore from the NNW. The combined energy is a whopping 513. This is the best swell of the bunch. That long period will wrap in nicely, but it’s a point break setup, so it might have a bit of lull between sets. The Tuesday morning on the 11th is also glassy with a similar swell, but the period drops a little.

So, the best bet is Monday the 10th of August. The morning at Joaquina is the pick of the entire forecast. The combo of a strong, long-period groundswell and clean cross-off wind is going to be special. Sunday the 9th is a very close second with that glassy morning. The earlier days are just not worth paddling out for.

Rusty, signing off.

Read more