Joaquina Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got a look at what’s coming up for Joaquina over the next couple of weeks. Let’s get straight into it.

The outlook starts with a bit of a tease on Saturday, 25 July. The morning is the real standout of the whole run. We’ve got a clean 4 ft swell from the ESE, a solid 9-second period, and the wind is a light offshore from the NNW—just 3 mph. The water is sitting at 64°, which is about normal for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate at 243. This is the kind of morning you set the alarm for. Joaquina is a sandbar setup, very consistent, and with the wind this light and clean, the sandbars are going to be holding nicely. The only downside is crowds here are often, so you’ll want to be on it early.

The afternoon on Saturday drops off a bit with a cross-on wind, but the real story is the week ahead. Sunday 26 July has a smaller 3 ft swell in the morning, but a stronger cross-off wind and a small drop in size. Not as good. Then from Monday 27 July through to the end of the month, we’re looking at a real slump. Swell drops to 2 ft or less, periods are all over the shop, and the combined energy is weak, often under 100. The best of that stretch is Monday morning when it goes glassy, but the swell is only 2 ft. It’s surfable, but you’ll be hooting for tiny ones.

That quiet patch stretches all the way through to the end of July and into the first days of August. There’s a small pulse on Thursday 31 July with 3 ft and a 12-second period, which gives a moderate energy reading of 173 in the morning, but the wind is cross-off and the quality is just average. It’s a glimpse, not a goer.

Then we get a bit of a bounce on Monday 3 August. The morning brings a 3 ft SE swell with a 10-second period and a solid combined energy of 300. The wind is cross-off from the north at 9 mph, keeping it clean. This is the second best call of the forecast. It’s not huge, but it’s consistent and clean for a sandbar. The afternoon is windier and a bit more marginal, but if you can get out that morning, it’s worth a paddle.

After that, it tails off again. The rest of the first week of August stays small, with swells under 3 ft, and most days are either cross-off or cross-on. By 8 August, we’re looking at rain and tiny 0.3 ft to 1.0 ft leftovers. The last few days of the 16-day window are flat and not worth a mention.

To wrap it up: the best surf on offer is the early morning of Saturday 25 July, and the second best is the morning of Monday 3 August. Don’t expect much else in between.

Rusty

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