Hotel Novotel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the Hotel Novotel stretch over the next couple of weeks.

First thing you gotta know: there’s no surf worth paddling out for right now. Nothin’. The first few days are a write-off, with a stormy, cross-shore mess and poor surf conditions from Wednesday the 12th right through. We’re talkin’ about a solid week or more of flat, junk waves with onshore winds and a nasty cross-chop. The swell is tiny and weak, with combined energy readings barely climbing above 150 (moderate wave energy) at best, but it’s all blown out by a steady 25 km/h wind. You’d be better off stayin’ dry.

The first flicker of anything decent doesn’t show up until Saturday the 15th. The morning sees a bit of a lift with 7ft of east swell at 9 seconds, and the wind swings to a cross-offshore from the ENE at 25 km/h. The water’s sittin’ at 84°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The afternoon gets a bit bigger, 7ft, and the energy jumps to 718 (still moderate), but the forecast flags it as marginal – questionable tides or something. It won’t be epic, but it’ll be the first clean-ish waves we’ve seen.

Now, if you’re after a real standout, you gotta keep your eyes on Sunday the 16th. The morning brings a solid 8ft of east swell with a period of 11 seconds, and the combined energy rockets up to 1615 (strong wave energy). That’s a proper groundswell. The problem? The wind is cross-shore from the ESE at 25 km/h and there’s a risk of thunderstorms. It’s still flagged as marginal, so it’s not gonna be perfect, but that’s the biggest, most powerful swell in the whole forecast. That’s for experienced surfers only – 8ft is no joke for the beginners. The break is fairly consistent and fairly exposed to the swell, and the optimum direction is SE, so a pure east swell might not line up perfectly, but it’s still the best energy on offer by a long shot.

After that, it’s a slow fade. The swell drops back to 5ft on Monday, then smaller, and the wind stays cross or cross-onshore most of the time. You’ll see a few cleaner moments, like Thursday the 20th afternoon with 4ft east swell and a cross-offshore breeze, and Monday the 24th afternoon with light winds and 5ft, but those are just ordinary, surfable but nothin’ special. The energy never gets above 443 (moderate) in the second week.

Bottom line: The best bet in this entire 16-day window is the morning of Sunday the 16th at Hotel Novotel. That 8ft, 11-second east swell with strong energy is the highlight. It’s not gonna be glassy, but it’s the biggest and most powerful. If you’re after something cleaner but smaller, Saturday the 15th afternoon is the next best. For the rest of the time, keep your board in the car and wait for a better forecast.

Rusty, out.

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