Duppys Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get real about what’s coming up at Duppys. This reef break is a pretty consistent spot, but the next 16 days are looking like a real mixed bag, with a whole lot of flat and messy in between the few moments that might actually get your attention.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a long stretch of nothing good. From today, Tuesday the 25th of August, all the way through the weekend, the surf is just not on. We’re talking tiny, weak waves with a combined energy that barely registers. The wind is pumping fresh out of the ENE, which is a cross-off but doesn't do much for the quality when there's no swell to work with. The water’s a warm 84°F which is about average for this time of year, so at least you won't freeze waiting for a wave that never comes.

The first real glimmer shows up on Thursday the 27th of August. It’s a risk of thunderstorms morning, but the wind swings offshore from the east at 16 mph. This is a major positive – clean, glassy conditions at Duppys. The swell is a tiny 2 ft from the NE with a period of 13 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, which is rare for such a small wave, but it’s packing a decent amount of energy for its size – the combined energy reading is 225. At this size, it’s a beginner-friendly wave, but it’s the cleanest window we’ll see in the first week. The afternoon holds a similar 2 ft, but conditions are just ordinary.

The next sniff of something worthwhile comes on Monday, the 31st of August. We’ve got a 6 ft ENE swell running in the morning with a period of 11 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 678, which is a solid, moderate push. The wind is a cross-off from the ENE at 12 mph, so it’s not pristine, but it’s clean. This is thigh-to-waist high for the average surfer, but still manageable. The afternoon drops to 5 ft with a similar energy of 458. These are the closest we get to a standout in the first week, but it’s still just a marginal call at best.

Then we hit a wall again. From Tuesday the 1st of September through the 9th, it’s back to poor surf conditions. The swell drops to nothing, the wind is a fresh cross-off, and the energy numbers are in the single digits or low hundreds. There’s a moment on the 9th of September with a 2 ft NNE swell and a period of 12 seconds, but the energy is only 112 and the wind is howling at 22 mph. That’s no good for a paddle board; honestly, that’s more of a kite-surfing setup if anything.

The only true standout in this whole 16-day window is that Thursday morning, the 27th of August. The 2 ft NE swell, the 13-second period, and the offshore wind are the only time everything aligns. It’s not a big wave, but it’s clean and it’s what we’ve got.

Don’t get your hopes up for the rest. It’s a grim run of flat and messy conditions, but Duppys is usually fairly consistent, so this dry spell won't last forever. The long-range models are promising for the second week, but it’s too far out to trust. For now, pick your moment on the 27th, or sit it out.

Rusty.

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