Duppys Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – this 16-day stretch is a tough one for us. We're looking at a lot of flat, lined-out days. The swell windows are few and far between, and when we do see a pulse, the wind is gonna be messing with it.

We start off this Friday the 7th with some energy in the water, but it's only around 5ft of short-period windswell (7 seconds), and it's coming from the ENE. That's making for poor surf conditions at Duppys, with a fresh cross-offshore breeze at 19 mph. It’s clean-looking, but there’s no power and no shape to it, pure frustration. Water temps are sitting right on average for this time of year, at 83°F.

The weekend doesn't offer much of an escape. Saturday the 8th is more of the same – 5ft of windswell but still a poor quality cross-off wind. Sunday the 9th actually turns offshore, which is a bonus, but the swell drops right out, down to 3ft. The combined energy is weak. It’s surfable but very ordinary, and there's a risk of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Not worth getting too excited about.

Then we hit the real dry spell. From Monday the 10th through to Thursday the 14th, the swell just vanishes. We're talking knee-high dribble at best, with most days showing less than 1ft. The wind stays onshore or cross-offshore, and it's just a total write-off. That's a good four or five days of nothing.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Saturday the 15th sees a solid pulse of swell arrive. We're looking at 8ft from the ENE, and the combined energy jumps right up into the 800s, which is strong to very strong wave energy. The period is still short at 8 seconds, but the size is there. The problem? The wind is howling cross-off at 22 mph from the ENE. It's going to be a big, messy, and lumpy day. The forecast flags it as marginal and questionable, and honestly, this is a day for experts only. That size is over the 8ft mark, so it's too big for anyone not comfortable in heavy, blown-out surf. A beach break setup like this with that much swell and wind is looking more like a kite-surfing day than a paddle-surfing day.

After that, the swell backs off again quickly. Sunday the 16th drops to under 3ft, and the rest of the week is a return to small, weak surf with a favorable ESE offshore wind trying to breathe some life into it, but with only 1ft to 1ft on offer, it's going to be a flat, glassy paddle.

So, to sum it up: the standout, if you can call it that, is that Saturday the 15th, but it comes with serious caveats. For everyone else, there's a long stretch of flatness from the 10th to the 14th, and we're back to small conditions from the 17th onward. The near-term is dependable, the long-range is a promise of something big, but it's a rough diamond. Keep the boards in the car for Sunday the 9th if you're desperate, but otherwise, this one's a test of patience.

Rusty out.

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