Duppys Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here.

Honestly, the next couple of weeks are looking bleak for decent surf around here. We’ve got a solid run of tiny, weak slop and howling cross-shore winds that are going to make the lineup messy and frustrating. There are a couple of brief windows where things look like they might fire, but they’re short-lived and come with a side of “you’d better be keen.”

The first real chance of something worth paddling out for is on the morning of Saturday the 15th. We’ve got a modest pulse of 7ft east-northeast swell, but it’s only pushing 8-second period, so it’s not going to have much punch. The wind is cross-off at 19 mph, which will keep things clean on the face but it’s a bit of a battle. The energy reading is only 541, which is weak to moderate. It’s marginal, and the tide needs to play nice. You’d be scratching for a few, not scoring.

Now, if you want the one true standout of this whole stretch, keep your eyes on Sunday the 16th. The swell jumps to 8ft from the east-northeast, and the period stretches way out to 13 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, real energy. The combined energy reading is pumping at 1796, which is strong. The catch? The wind is a cross-off from the SSE at 12 mph. It’s going to be glassy on the face as it wraps in. This is the kind of day where Duppys (Cape Verde) could show its teeth. That’s a proper reef break, so it’s advanced-only at this size. The long period is a good thing for a reef, giving it shape and push. Don’t bring the foamie.

The wind backs off to a more manageable 12 mph in the afternoon, still cross-off from the SE, and the swell holds at 8ft with a 12-second period. Energy is still strong at 1494. This is your best bet for a solid session, but it’s going to be a full-on wave.

After that, it fades fast. Monday the 17th has a small 3ft north-northeast pulse with an offshore wind, but it’s ordinary. Then we drop back into nothing – small dribbles under 2ft and persistent cross-shore winds through the rest of the week. There’s a tiny blip on Thursday the 20th afternoon with 3ft, but it’s weak and messy.

The following week doesn’t offer much. Saturday the 22nd has a bit of swell, but it’s short-period slop. The only thing that looks remotely interesting is early on Monday the 24th, with 6ft from the east-northeast, but it’s still only 7 seconds and the wind is a fresh cross-off. It’ll be lumpy and a real paddle. Definitely not worth getting excited about.

The water temperature is sitting at a warm 84°, which is about 0.5° above the long-term average, so nothing unusual there – just typical warm water.

So, to sum it up: you’ve got a long wait for the good stuff. The standout is unmissable if you’re a confident reef surfer – that’s the morning and afternoon of Sunday the 16th. The rest is mostly a waiting game for the next proper pulse. It’s not going to stay flat for this long, the forecasts change, but right now, pack your patience.

Rusty.

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