Duppys Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

The next couple of weeks look pretty grim, if I’m being honest. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak surf ahead, and it’s not until the second week that we finally see some real energy on the cards. You’ll want to be patient, but there is a light at the end of the tunnel.

Right now, and for the first few days, we’re looking at pretty poor conditions. Tuesday the 11th has a bit of offshore wind, but the swell is next to nothing. The energy’s weak, with readings like 37 and even down to 9 on Tuesday afternoon. You’re just not going to get a wave worth paddling for.

The wind stays fresh and cross-off from the east through the middle of the week, but the swell remains tiny. Thursday the 13th brings strong breeze and a near-flat ocean, with energy readings as low as 4. That’s about as dead as it gets. Friday’s much the same, with only 16 and 15 showing up. It’s a write-off.

Then, we finally get a pulse. Saturday the 15th sees the swell jump up to 8ft in the morning and 7ft in the afternoon from the ENE, with the energy jumping up to 698 and 684. The period is a short 8 seconds, so it’s not going to be the prettiest, and the wind is still cross-off. The guidance is calling it marginal. It’s more of a novelty wave than a proper session. Sunday the 16th afternoon looks interesting, with a bigger 8ft of ENE swell and a period of 12 seconds. The energy jumps right up to 2160, which is some serious power. But be careful, the wind goes cross-shore, which will chop it up, and at 8ft, it’s pushing into expert territory, especially with that added cross-chop. Still, this is the most promising window in the whole outlook.

Monday the 17th morning sees the swell back down to 4ft, but the wind picks up as light and cross-off, which makes it clean. The energy is at 203, which is moderate. The guidance even gives it a nod for “good surf conditions.” It’s not the biggest, but it could be the cleanest we get.

After that, we go right back into the doldrums. The wind stays fresh and the swell disappears again, with readings under 3ft and energy levels dropping back into the low dozens or even single digits. There’s a brief moment on Friday the 21st, with some 3ft ENE swell and a period of 8 seconds, and the wind is offshore, so it could be glassy. But the energy is still only in the 100s, so it will be small.

From the 22nd onward, it’s more of the same tiny stuff, with the period stretching out to 10-11 seconds but the height staying down around 1ft. The energy level is so low that it's not worth more than a passing glance. This looks like a proper flat spell to finish the 16-day window.

The standout, if you can call it that, is that Sunday the 16th afternoon. That 8ft of ENE swell with a 12-second period has serious kick to it. It’s too big for beginners, for sure, and the cross-shore wind will make it tricky. But for an experienced surfer, there could be some powerful, lumpy waves. The main issue is that the wind isn’t ideal. The forecast for the 17th morning looks cleaner, but with less size. Water temp is a warm 84°, which is about normal for the time of year.

So, to be honest, Sunday the 16th afternoon is your one real shot at something with some punch, but it comes with a warning label. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty

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