Duppys Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for Duppys over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, the outlook is pretty grim for a solid stretch. We’ve got a long wait ahead. The first week is mostly flat and not worth paddling out for. From Sunday the 23rd right through to about Thursday the 28th of August, the swell is tiny – we’re talking 0.3 ft to 1 ft at best – with weak, short-period chop. The wind is mostly cross-off or off from the east, but the wave energy is pathetic (values like 3 to 63), and the forecast keeps calling it “poor surf conditions.” There’s nothing to get excited about here. That’s nearly six days of nothing.

Things start to show a little pulse late on Thursday the 27th of August afternoon. The swell bumps up to 2 ft from the NE with a 13-second period, and the offshore wind is clean. The combined energy hits 134 (moderate), but even then the report says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s not good, but it’s the first real sign of life.

Friday the 28th of August afternoon has a similar story: 2 ft NE, period dropping to 11 seconds, offshore wind, and energy climbing to 192. Still just “ordinary” though.

Now, the real standout – and I mean the only one worth circling – is Monday the 31st of August. We get a solid pulse of ENE swell – 6 ft in the morning, dropping to 5 ft in the afternoon. The period is a nice 11 seconds, which gives it some shape and power. The wind is offshore from the east, 25 km/h, keeping it clean. Energy jumps up to 734 (strong) in the morning and 536 (moderate) in the afternoon. That’s a decent-size, lined-up groundswell hitting this exposed north-facing reef break. The water temp is about 84°F, which is pretty average for this time of year, no big anomaly. This is a wave for experienced surfers; over 5 ft can get a bit much for beginners, and with the reef bottom, you need to know what you’re doing. Crowds are “sometimes,” so you might see a few others out there, but it’s not a zoo. This is the best on offer, and it’s about a week away, so keep an eye on the forecasts as it gets closer – long-range confidence is decent, but things can shift.

After that, the energy drops back again. From Tuesday 1st September onward, we’re back to 2 ft to 3 ft swells, moderate energy (values from 50 to 164), and the wind stays cross-off or offshore. The period hangs around 9 to 11 seconds, but the size just isn’t there. The reports keep saying “poor surf conditions” right through to Monday the 7th of September. It’s a long, slow fade.

So for the whole 16-day run, the only true standout is that Monday the 31st of August. The rest is a whole lot of waiting. But hey, a good reef break with a solid NE groundswell and offshore breeze – that’s worth marking on the calendar.

Rusty.

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