Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 29 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
29.2°C
0.4° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, ENE swell with 959 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.1m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Sat 29th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Best Surf11PM (Sat 29th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Most Powerful11AM (Sun 30th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get stuck into this one.

We've only got one spot on the radar for the next 16 days: Bagasse, a reef setup. The wait is on for a while, though. The first week is pretty grim, with hardly anything worth paddling out for. The energy is low, the winds are mostly cross or cross-off, and the conditions are just... ordinary. You’re looking at a whole lot of "poor surf" and "marginal" calls from the 29th of August right through to the 4th of September. The break is fairly consistent, so it's a bit frustrating that the ocean is just not cooperating. The water temp is sitting at 85°, which is pretty normal for this time of year – nothing weird there.

The real chance of a decent session shows up on Saturday, September 5th. That’s the standout. The morning brings a clean 6ft swell from the ENE, with a gentle breeze and a cross-off wind. The combined energy is a solid 1216, so there's some proper push in the water. The swell period is 10 seconds, a nice groundswell that will wrap in well on this reef. It's a bit on the bigger side, so maybe not one for the absolute beginners, but intermediate surfers should be into it. The afternoon session on the same day looks even punchier, with the swell jumping to 8ft and the period stretching to 11 seconds. The energy reading hits 1505 – that's a lot of power. However, at that size, with a cross-off breeze, this is getting into expert territory. Keep an eye on the wind, but if it holds, it could be a ripper. The crowds are noted as "sometimes" here, so you might have a few others with the same idea.

After that, the forecast drops back into the marginal zone. The following week from the 6th of September onwards offers a few cleaner windows with chest-high lines, but the energy is moderate and the wind will be cross-off. It's surfable, but nothing to get overly excited about – just small, workable waves. The swell direction stays pretty locked in from the E/ENE, which is the optimum direction for this break, so at least it's set up right.

All in all, if you can wait, the 5th of September is your day. The rest of the window is a bit of a waiting game.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu night. Warm (max 29°C on Tue afternoon, min 27°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Sat
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
ENE
8
1.1
NE
8
2.1
ENE
10
1.9
ENE
10
1.7
ENE
10
1.6
ENE
9
1.6
ENE
9
1.4
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.2
E
8
1
E
8
1.1
E
7
1
E
7
0.2
NNE
11
1.4
ENE
7
1.4
ENE
7
1.4
E
8
1.4
E
8
1.3
ENE
8
1.3
ENE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
214
131
959
746
508
413
349
264
245
172
115
127
109
12
158
214
239
221
196
191
Wind (km/h)
15
NE
15
SE
20
ESE
25
E
30
ENE
25
E
25
ENE
25
E
20
E
20
E
20
ENE
20
E
20
ENE
20
ENE
20
E
25
E
20
E
30
E
25
E
20
E
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:36PM0.37m
4:31AM0.39m
4:54PM0.40m
5:19AM0.36m
5:19PM0.41m
6:11AM0.32m
5:48PM0.43m
7:09AM0.28m
6:24PM0.43m
8:23AM0.25m
7:07PM0.43m
7:58PM0.43m
Low Tide
10:25PM0.19m
10:38AM0.17m
11:15PM0.16m
10:55AM0.20m
00:09AM0.14m
11:06AM0.21m
1:10AM0.11m
11:11AM0.22m
2:22AM0.09m
11:04AM0.23m
3:39AM0.07m
4:54AM0.06m
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
rain showers
thunderstorm
cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
mod rain
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:19
6:17
6:16
6:16
6:15
6:15
6:14
 mm
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
7
1
Temp °C
28
28
29
30
27
28
28
28
28
29
27
28
29
28
29
29
28
29
29
28
Feels °C
30
32
31
31
27
28
29
29
29
30
28
29
30
30
31
30
30
29
29
30
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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