Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 07 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
29.4°C
0.6° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, ENE swell with 449 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 9s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 5AM (Fri 11th Sep)6ft (1.9m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, it’s Rusty. Let’s talk about Bagasse.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with ya – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat and frustrating. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak, messy easterly windswell with solid onshore winds, so don’t expect much to ride for a while. The first real chance of anything decent doesn’t pop up until the very end of the run, and even that’s a bit marginal.

So, starting from Tuesday 8 September through to about Monday 21 September, it’s mostly poor. The swell sits between 0.7 ft and 6 ft with short 6 to 9 second periods, and the energy is weak to moderate at best – you’ll see combined energy values hovering around 111 to 487 (weak to very moderate). The wind is cross-off from the east most days, but it’s howling at 12 to 19 mph, which makes the surface messy. A couple of afternoons on 12 September even get a cross-chop. There’s one session on Tuesday morning 15 September that’s surfable but very ordinary – 3 ft, 8 seconds, 111 energy, and light breeze from the east at 9 mph making it clean, but honestly, it’s barely worth paddling out for.

The standout window arrives late in the outlook. On Tuesday 22 September afternoon, we see a bump: 7 ft, 8 seconds, east swell, moderate energy (594), with clean conditions thanks to a moderate east breeze at 12 mph. That’s the best of the bunch, but it’s still marginal – the score only ranks it a 2 out of 10. Then on Wednesday 23 September morning, it builds a little more to 7 ft, 9 seconds, east swell, strong energy (752), again clean but still marginal. For an intermediate-level reef break like Bagasse, that’s solid, punchy, rideable stuff – and the swell direction from the east matches the optimum north swell direction okay, but it’s not a perfect match. With the moderate east breeze keeping it glassy, that Wednesday morning could actually be a fun session if you’re hungry. Water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing weird.

Just keep in mind, Bagasse can be a bit crowded sometimes, so you might have company. But for this whole 16-day window, that Wednesday morning (23 September) is your best bet. Everything else is a write-off, a real blank run for the area.

Signing off,
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 29°C on Tue morning, min 27°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 29°C on Fri morning, min 27°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
E
7
1.4
E
7
1.3
E
7
1.6
E
7
1.7
ENE
8
1.7
E
8
1.8
E
8
1.7
E
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.8
ENE
8
1.7
ENE
8
1.6
E
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
7
1.2
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
8
1.1
E
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
155
203
171
277
355
374
439
403
367
437
383
333
316
300
266
199
160
147
194
Wind (km/h)
25
E
25
E
25
E
30
E
30
E
25
E
25
ESE
25
E
25
E
30
E
30
E
25
E
30
ENE
25
ENE
25
ENE
25
E
25
E
20
E
25
E
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:50PM0.43m
3:08PM0.31m
1:11AM0.44m
3:19PM0.34m
2:19AM0.44m
3:37PM0.36m
3:18AM0.43m
3:59PM0.39m
4:12AM0.41m
4:21PM0.40m
5:03AM0.37m
4:45PM0.41m
Low Tide
7:49AM0.06m
6:56PM0.26m
8:32AM0.08m
8:00PM0.23m
9:09AM0.11m
8:57PM0.20m
9:41AM0.15m
9:49PM0.17m
10:08AM0.18m
10:40PM0.14m
10:31AM0.20m
11:29PM0.11m
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:12
6:10
6:10
6:09
6:08
6:07
6:07
 mm
2
2
2
2
2
2
3
Temp °C
28
29
29
28
29
29
28
29
29
28
29
29
28
28
28
27
29
29
28
Feels °C
29
29
29
29
29
29
29
30
29
29
28
28
29
28
28
28
30
29
29
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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