Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 am 19 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
28.3° C
0.4° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 19 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 7s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, ENE swell with 316 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 7s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.6m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 7s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Tue 21st Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 7s
Best Surf 2AM (Tue 21st Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 7s
Most Powerful 5PM (Sun 19th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let me level with you – Bagasse is looking pretty bleak over this 16-day stretch. I’m not one to sugarcoat it. The swell’s coming from the east and east-northeast, but the break really wants north for that optimum shape, and the wind’s never working in our favour. That means messy, cross‑shore conditions day after day. The water’s sitting at a warm 83°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Crowds are possible here, but honestly, I wouldn’t worry about that – hardly anyone’s going to be frothing over this.

We start on Sunday the 19th of July with east‑northeast wind blowing 15–18 mph, cross or cross‑off, and the swell is 5–6 ft at a short 8-second period. The combined energy is moderate – around 389 to 344 – but the surf quality is poor. That theme holds through Monday the 20th: same story, cross‑shore chop, 5–5 ft, period dropping to 7 seconds, energy down to 206–242. Not a single decent wave in sight.

Tuesday the 21st morning offers the only real flicker of hope. Swell drops to 3 ft, still east‑northeast, 7-second period, and the wind eases to a light 6 mph cross‑off. The energy is weak (102) and the report calls it “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions”. That’s about as good as it gets, and it’s not saying much. By afternoon the wind picks back up to 12 mph and it’s back to poor.

From Wednesday the 22nd right through to Monday the 3rd of August, it’s the same old tune: east or east‑northeast swell, mostly 3–5 ft, period 6–8 seconds, moderate to fresh cross‑off winds. The energy fluctuates between 94 and 431 – that’s weak to moderate – but the wave quality never improves. A couple of morning slots on the 25th and 26th are labelled “marginal”, but to me that’s still not worth getting wet for.

The second week doesn’t bring any relief. Winds stay in the 15–22 mph range, often cross or cross‑off, and the swell rarely tops 6 ft. The longer‑period groundswells we’d love to see just aren’t there – everything’s short and weak. For a reef break like Bagasse, that means the waves won't wrap in properly and the few that do will be junky.

There’s no standout session in this window. If you’re absolutely desperate and the wind drops to glass on a morning, maybe – maybe – you could get a few on the 21st July. But honestly? I’d save the gas and wait for a proper north swell with some clean offshores. For now, it’s a flat‑line.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sun morning, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 29°C on Fri afternoon, min 26°C on Wed morning). Mainly fresh winds.

Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.5
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
7
1
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
7
0.9
E
7
0.9
E
7
0.9
E
7
1
E
6
1.2
E
6
1.2
ENE
7
1
E
7
1.2
E
7
1.4
ENE
8
1.5
ENE
8
1.5
ENE
8
1.5
ENE
8
1.5
ENE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
384
316
308
234
199
114
89
84
79
76
71
84
109
128
91
139
215
257
250
257
273
Wind (km/h)
25
E
30
ENE
25
E
25
ENE
25
ENE
15
E
15
E
20
E
20
ESE
20
E
25
E
25
E
30
E
25
ENE
20
E
25
E
25
ENE
20
E
20
E
20
E
20
ESE
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
7:42PM0.39m
7:51AM0.30m
8:11PM0.40m
9:18AM0.26m
8:40PM0.40m
9:12PM0.39m
9:51PM0.39m
10:39PM0.38m
11:37PM0.39m
Low Tide
1:13PM0.18m
2:40AM0.20m
1:32PM0.21m
3:56AM0.17m
1:31PM0.24m
5:04AM0.14m
6:04AM0.11m
6:56AM0.08m
7:41AM0.06m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:43
5:43
5:43
5:43
5:45
5:45
5:45
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:36
6:36
 mm
1
1
1
Temp °C
29
29
27
28
28
27
28
28
27
28
28
27
27
28
27
28
29
27
28
28
27
Feels °C
28
28
26
28
28
28
30
30
28
28
27
26
25
27
28
28
29
28
29
28
28
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
How to use the Wavefinder 
submit an eyeball surf report

Quick surf report for Bagasse:

join our community of surf reporters

FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website

The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Bagasse surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

Nearest locationNearest