Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, E swell with 647 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let me tell you what I’m seeing for Bagasse over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a flat spell, and I’m honestly pretty bummed to say that right now, there’s nothing that’s really worth paddling out for. The first decent recommendation doesn’t come until late in the run, and even then, it’s marginal.
Right from the start on Sunday, July 26th, we’re looking at a meager 4ft swell from the ENE, with a short period of 8 seconds and weak combined energy (131). The wind is a light cross, and the water is a warm 83°, which is about average for this time of year. But the surf is just poor. That pattern of weak, short-period ENE swell and cross or cross-offshore winds hangs around for days. The swell bumps up a bit toward the end of July, but it’s still not clean enough to get excited about.
The only time things get close to a mention is on Wednesday, July 29th. The swell picks up to 7ft from the ENE, still with a short period of 8 seconds, but the combined energy jumps to 511 (moderate). By the afternoon, it’s 7ft with 614 energy. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the east at 22 mph. This is a reef break that’s exposed and fairly consistent, but the rating is only a 1/10, calling it “marginal.” The swell is getting a bit big for beginners, and at 7ft, it’s getting into expert-only territory. The ENE swell direction isn’t ideal for the break’s optimum N direction. It’s clean, but the quality isn’t there. The best chance for a surf this week is the morning of the 30th, with 7ft swell and 670 energy, still clean, but not a standout.
After that, the swell drops off fast. By the end of the first week of August, we’re down to 0.7ft to 2ft swells with very weak energy (12 to 43). The period drops to 6-7 seconds. It’s a total flat spell. There’s a small bump of 4ft to 4ft around the 7th and 8th of August, but it’s still poor surf with short periods and nothing to write home about.
Honestly, the whole 16-day window is a write-off. The guidance doesn’t offer any real standouts. The setup is more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, especially during the bigger wind days around the 29th and 30th. We’ll have to wait for a change in the forecast.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the E by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 29°C on Thu morning, min 26°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 131 | 113 | 119 | 146 | 161 | 187 | 169 | 284 | 511 | 614 | 647 | 588 | 521 | 424 | 367 | 326 | 280 | 280 | 244 | 211 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:35AM0.40m | 5:16PM0.28m | 1:29AM0.41m | 5:23PM0.28m | 2:17AM0.42m | 5:31PM0.30m | 3:01AM0.43m | 5:38PM0.32m | 3:43AM0.43m | 5:47PM0.34m | 4:25AM0.41m | 5:59PM0.36m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:59AM0.04m | 6:49PM0.27m | 9:34AM0.04m | 7:46PM0.27m | 10:07AM0.06m | 8:38PM0.27m | 10:37AM0.08m | 9:29PM0.27m | 11:04AM0.10m | 10:21PM0.26m | 11:27AM0.13m | 11:17PM0.25m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — |
 | 6:36 | — | — | 6:36 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:34 | — | — | 6:34 | — |
mm | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 32 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ENE 6 | NE 8 | NE 10 | SE 4 | — | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 12 | — | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 131 | 113 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | — | 100 | 82 | 95 | 69 | 367 | 326 | 280 | 3 | — | 211 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | NE 8 | NE 10 | — | — | — | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SE 6 | SSE 4 | S 4 | — | S 5 | — | E 10 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 | — | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 18 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 6 | — | — | S 5 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | — | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 119 | 146 | 161 | 187 | 169 | 284 | 511 | 614 | 647 | 588 | 521 | 424 | — | — | — | 280 | 244 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1 | 0 | 270 | 380 | 645 | 414 | 319 | 454 | 319 | 454 | 504 | 749 | 756 | 517 | 719 | 319 | 414 | 414 | 270 | 380 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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