Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 16 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
28.1° C
0.2° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, ENE swell with 449 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 8s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 8AM (Sun 19th Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer.

To be straight with you, the next week and a half is a bit of a grind. We’ve got a pulse of swell coming through, but it’s going to be a battle with the wind for most of it. The real standout window looks like it’s the last weekend of July and into the start of August, but even that comes with a few caveats.

For the best chance of a decent wave, we’re looking at Bagasse – a reef break that’s fairly consistent. From Friday, 25 July through the weekend, the swell ticks up a notch. By Saturday morning, 26 July, we’re looking at a clean 5 ft to 6 ft swell from the ENE, with a period of 7 to 8 seconds. The combined energy gets up there, hitting 375 to 478 (moderate wave energy), which is a solid step up from the weak stuff earlier in the week. The wind stays cross-offshore from the E or ENE, keeping the face clean. It’s not glassy, but it’s rideable.

Now, the downside: this is a reef break, and with that period sitting around 8 seconds, it’s not a long-period groundswell, so the shape should be pretty manageable for intermediates. But crowds are listed as “sometimes” here, so expect a few others with the same idea. Water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing weird going on.

Before that, the surf from 17 July to 24 July is small and weak. Swell heights hover around 3 ft to 5 ft with combined energy mostly under 280 (weak to moderate). The wind is gusty, often 15 to 19 mph, and while it’s cross-offshore, it’s fresh enough to make it a bit of a fight. The scores are a zero for those days, and honestly, it’s just not worth paddling out unless you’re desperate. That’s an 8-day gap of poor conditions.

From 29 July into the first day of August, the swell stays in the 4 ft to 6 ft range, but the wind picks up again, especially on the 30th and 31st, where it swings more cross-shore and gets lumpy. The best bet in that second week is the morning of 31 July, where we get a clean 6 ft ENE swell with 19 mph cross-off wind. It’s not perfect, but it’s the best of a tricky run.

The absolute standout? I’d put my money on Saturday morning, 26 July. Clean 5 ft from the ENE, combined energy of 410 (moderate), and a cross-off breeze. It’s been a long wait, but that session has some potential. For the experts, the 6 ft to 7 ft swell on 18 and 19 July will be too big for beginners, but the wind is too strong to make it a classic. Stick to the 26th.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Fri morning, min 27°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Mon morning, min 26°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
ENE
7
1.5
E
7
1.5
E
7
1.9
ENE
7
1.9
ENE
8
1.8
E
8
1.9
ENE
8
2
ENE
8
1.7
ENE
8
1.6
E
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.3
ENE
7
1.2
ENE
7
1
E
7
1
E
7
1
E
7
1
E
7
1
E
7
1.1
E
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
175
212
231
383
427
407
427
449
355
300
266
191
164
106
100
94
89
86
107
Wind (km/h)
30
E
30
E
30
ENE
35
E
35
E
30
ENE
30
E
30
E
30
E
25
E
25
E
25
ENE
20
E
20
E
20
E
25
E
25
E
25
E
25
E
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:57AM0.46m
6:45PM0.36m
5:52AM0.41m
7:14PM0.38m
6:48AM0.36m
7:42PM0.39m
7:51AM0.30m
8:11PM0.40m
9:18AM0.26m
8:40PM0.40m
9:12PM0.39m
Low Tide
10:38PM0.26m
12:12PM0.08m
11:55PM0.25m
12:46PM0.13m
1:18AM0.23m
1:13PM0.18m
2:40AM0.20m
1:32PM0.21m
3:56AM0.17m
1:31PM0.24m
5:04AM0.14m
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:43
5:43
5:43
5:43
5:43
5:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:37
 mm
Temp °C
27
28
28
27
27
28
27
28
28
28
29
29
27
28
29
28
28
28
27
Feels °C
27
27
27
27
24
26
25
27
26
26
28
28
27
28
30
28
28
28
27
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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