Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, ENE swell with 370 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.7m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
We’re looking at a pretty flat and ordinary stretch ahead for Bagasse, so don’t get your hopes up too high. The early part of the window is a write-off, with no real surf worth chasing. The first couple of days are just blown-out junk with a moderate breeze and messy cross-shore chop. The water temperature is sitting at 83°F, which is about what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing unusual there.
The surf only starts to become vaguely surfable from Tuesday morning the 21st, but it’s tiny – just 3 ft of weak, short-period ENE windswell (combined energy 105). The wind is light and cross-off, so it’s clean, but it’s barely a ripple. From Wednesday through Friday, the swell stays tiny and weak, with energy dipping as low as 89 at one point. It’s clean enough in the mornings, but there’s just no power.
The real change comes on Saturday the 25th. The swell lifts to 5 ft from the ENE, still short period at 7 seconds, but the combined energy climbs to 249 – moderate. The wind is cross-off and clean, and the afternoon holds at 5 ft with a slightly longer 8-second period. It’s still marginal, but it’s the best of a very average run. The morning of the 27th sees the energy jump to 394, with 5 ft of swell, but by the afternoon the wind goes cross-shore and the quality drops.
The standout in this whole forecast is Monday the 27th of July morning. That’s when we see the most energy – 394 – with 5 ft of ENE swell and an 8-second period. The wind is offshore enough to keep it clean. It’s not a classic, but it’s the only morning that’s worth a look. After that, the energy stays moderate through the 28th and 29th, but the wind gets stronger and the quality fades again.
Beyond that, the last week of July and into early August is just more of the same: small, weak, and mostly cross-off or cross-shore winds. Nothing to get excited about. The best call is to keep an eye on the morning of the 27th, but don’t expect a world-class session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Mon morning, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Warm (max 28°C on Thu morning, min 26°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | NE 7 | E 6 | ENE 7 | E 6 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 237 | 199 | 153 | 91 | 86 | 37 | 76 | 71 | 22 | 79 | 124 | 78 | 145 | 197 | 250 | 249 | 214 | 240 | 226 | 232 | 295 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:11PM0.40m | 9:18AM0.26m | 8:40PM0.40m | 9:12PM0.39m | 9:51PM0.39m | 10:39PM0.38m | 11:37PM0.39m | 00:35AM0.40m | |||||||||||||
Low Tide | 1:32PM0.21m | 3:56AM0.17m | 1:31PM0.24m | 5:04AM0.14m | 6:04AM0.11m | 6:56AM0.08m | 7:41AM0.06m | 8:22AM0.04m | |||||||||||||
 | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |  | |  | | | | |
 | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — |
 | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:36 | — | — | 6:36 | — | — | 6:36 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 27 | 27 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | ENE 7 | NNE 8 | ENE 7 | NNE 8 | E 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | E 12 | NE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 9 | NE 7 |
| kJ | 7 | 199 | 6 | 91 | 7 | 37 | 20 | 18 | 22 | 43 | 3 | 50 | 47 | 197 | 60 | 8 | 7 | 240 | 226 | 2 | 42 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 6 | NE 10 | ESE 8 | NNE 8 | — | E 11 | SE 8 | — | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | — | — | ESE 9 | SSE 3 | S 5 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 7 | — | 2 | 15 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 8 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 9 | SE 5 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 7 | NNE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | — | ENE 7 | — | ENE 7 | E 4 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 7 | E 6 | E 7 | — | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | — | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 237 | — | 153 | — | 86 | 11 | 76 | 71 | 71 | 79 | 124 | 78 | 145 | — | 250 | 249 | 214 | — | — | 232 | 295 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 178 | 178 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 380 | 747 | 541 | 650 | 551 | 178 | 178 | 319 | 178 | 319 | 240 | 319 | 454 | 90 | 551 | 454 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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