Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Right now, we’re looking at a bit of a slow start. The first few days are pretty ordinary, nothing to get excited about until we get toward the end of the week. The standout window is shaping up around July 29th and 30th, when the swell gets a bit more punchy and the conditions are cleaner.

So, let’s start with the main spot on offer: Bagasse (reef). This one is a fairly consistent reef break that works best with a northerly swell direction. The water temp is sitting about average for the time of year, nothing unusual there.

For the first few days, from July 22nd through the 24th, the swell is small and weak – around 3 ft to 5 ft with short period (6-7 seconds) and low energy (81-298). The wind is cross-off or cross, which is okay, but the wave quality is poor. Not worth your time.

We start to see a slight improvement on July 25th (Saturday) and 26th (Sunday). The swell picks up a little to 4 ft-5 ft from the ENE, with a period of 8 seconds and moderate energy (170-226). The wind is light to gentle and cross-off, so the surf is clean, but it’s still just marginal. You *could* get a wave, but it’s nothing special.

Now, the real highlight comes in on July 29th (Wednesday) and 30th (Thursday). The swell jumps to 6 ft-6 ft from the ENE, with a period of 8 seconds and strong energy (533-567). The wind is a fresh breeze from the east, but it’s cross-off, which keeps the surface clean. This is the best window in the whole 16-day forecast. The waves will have decent shape and power, but at 6 ft, it’s getting into the intermediate-to-expert zone. The combined energy is strong (533-567), so expect some proper push. Keep in mind, the swell direction (ENE) is not the perfect northerly optimum for this reef, but there’s enough energy to make it fun.

After that, the swell drops back down through the end of July and into August. From July 31st to August 6th, we see heights ranging from 2 ft to 6 ft, with periods dropping back to 6-7 seconds and weak to moderate energy (53-422). The wind stays cross-off, but the wave quality is mostly poor or marginal. Not much to write home about.

The best advice? If you’ve got a free morning on July 29th or 30th, get out to Bagasse. That’s the pick of the bunch. The rest of the run is pretty flat or ordinary, so don’t hold your breath for anything else.

Catch ya on the beach,
Rusty.

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