Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 27 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
28.4° C
0.2° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, ENE swell with 629 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 7s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 2AM (Thu 30th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on offer for Bagasse over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – this outlook is a tough one. The good news is there’s a bit of size on the way, but the conditions are fighting us every step of the way, so we’ve got to be patient.

For the first week, from the 27th of July right through to the 4th of August, we’re looking at a real mixed bag. The surf is there, but the winds are a problem. We start with a weak, short-period swell from the ENE on Monday afternoon, only about 4 ft and a period of just 8 seconds, with a cross-shore wind that’s going to chop it up – combined energy is a weak 158, so you’re not getting much push. The water temp is a balmy 83°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

From Tuesday the 28th through to Thursday the 31st of July, the swell builds. We get up to 7 ft on Thursday morning from the ENE, with combined energy hitting a strong 729, but the wind stays a cross-off shore breeze, which at least keeps the surface clean. The problem is the period is stuck at 8 seconds, so it’s a short-period wind swell that’s going to be pretty crumbly and fat. It’s a reef break, so it needs a bit of a groundswell to really shine, and this ain’t it. The scores are marginal at best, so it’s a pass for me.

Friday the 31st of July and into the weekend (1st and 2nd of August) see the swell drop back to 4 ft to 5 ft, with the wind still holding cross-off, but the energy drops into the moderate range (238 to 151). It’s clean, but it’s just not enough oomph to get excited about.

Then we hit a real flat spell. From the 3rd of August all the way through to the 9th of August, the surf is minimal. On Monday the 3rd, we’re down to 3 ft, and by Tuesday the 4th we’re looking at 2 ft with combined energy of just 53 – that’s barely a ripple. The wind goes variable, but it doesn’t matter because there’s nothing to ride. The 5th of August is the worst of it, with a tiny 1.0 ft swell from the E, period of 10 seconds, but the energy is only 28. That’s a complete flat spell, and it sticks around for a full six days until the 9th.

Now, if you’re looking for the one standout, you’ve got to wait for the second week. On Monday the 10th of August, we get a pulse of 6 ft swell from the ENE, with combined energy in the strong range (457 to 469). The period is still short at 7-8 seconds, so it’s not a classic groundswell, but the wind is cross-off shore, keeping it clean. This is the best of the 16 days, but it’s hardly a world-beater. It’s a short-period swell, so it’s going to be lumpy and a bit fat, and with the fresh breeze, it’s a grunt session. The 11th of August holds similar size at 6 ft, but the wind shifts to a cross-shore, which will add some chop.

The bottom line: Bagasse is a reef that needs a lot of things to line up, and they just don’t in this window. For the first week, the wind is always working against the quality of the swell. The second week has the size, but the short period means it’s not going to be the kind of clean, lined-up reef wave you’d hope for. The only real window to even consider is Monday the 10th of August, with the 6 ft swell and clean cross-off wind. It’s not a classic, but it’s the closest we get.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Mon afternoon, min 27°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 29°C on Thu afternoon, min 26°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds.

Mon
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
ENE
8
1.3
ENE
8
1.2
ENE
8
1.3
ENE
8
1.6
E
7
2.1
ENE
8
2.1
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
2
ENE
8
1.9
ENE
8
1.7
ENE
8
1.7
E
8
1.5
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.3
E
8
1.2
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
8
1
ENE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
153
176
192
202
277
507
560
629
629
534
483
422
403
280
238
223
168
151
147
120
Wind (km/h)
20
ENE
25
E
25
E
25
E
25
E
30
E
30
E
35
E
35
E
30
E
25
E
25
E
25
E
25
E
15
E
20
E
20
E
20
ESE
25
E
25
E
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
5:16PM0.28m
1:29AM0.41m
5:23PM0.28m
2:17AM0.42m
5:31PM0.30m
3:01AM0.43m
5:38PM0.32m
3:43AM0.43m
5:47PM0.34m
4:25AM0.41m
5:59PM0.36m
5:10AM0.39m
6:16PM0.38m
Low Tide
6:49PM0.27m
9:34AM0.04m
7:46PM0.27m
10:07AM0.06m
8:38PM0.27m
10:37AM0.08m
9:29PM0.27m
11:04AM0.10m
10:21PM0.26m
11:27AM0.13m
11:17PM0.25m
11:45AM0.16m
00:19AM0.23m
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:46
5:46
5:47
5:47
5:47
5:47
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:36
6:35
6:35
6:35
6:34
6:34
6:34
 mm
2
3
2
1
2
1
1
2
1
Temp °C
29
28
28
28
27
27
28
27
28
29
27
28
28
27
29
29
27
28
29
27
Feels °C
31
30
28
28
28
27
27
26
25
27
26
28
28
28
30
30
28
29
30
28
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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