Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the charts for Bagasse. It’s a reef setup, pretty consistent, and it faces north for the best swell.

Overall, the next 16 days look like a slow grind for this spot. There’s really nothing doing until the tail end of the month. The wind is mostly cross or cross-off, and the swell is on the small side or blown out. The water’s sitting at a balmy 84°, which is right about normal for this time of year.

The first real glimmer of hope is a stormy-looking Friday, the 28th of August. A solid 7ft swell from the east, with a period of 8 seconds, rolls in. The wind is a cross-offshore at 16 mph, so it should be clean. The wave energy is hefty at 616, but the wave comment says it's marginal. It could be a bit of a handful, and at that size, it’s pushing into more demanding territory.

Saturday the 29th holds similar energy, with a 6ft swell, but the wind goes cross, making it choppy. Not the best.

Now, Sunday the 30th of August looks interesting. We’ve got a 10ft swell from the ENE, and the period jumps to 11 seconds – that’s some proper groundswell energy. The combined energy of all swells here is a massive 2577. This is big, powerful stuff. The wind is cross from the NE at 13 mph, so it’ll be lumpy. This is strictly for experienced surfers only; beginners should stay well clear. Because it’s a reef break, that long period will focus the energy, making for some powerful, fast waves.

The actual standout window looks to be Monday, the 31st of August. The swell drops to a much more manageable 6ft from the east, but the wind shifts to a light cross-offshore from the SSW, and then later a light offshore from the south. The wave comment says "expect good surf conditions." The energy is moderate at 431, and it’ll be clean. This is the morning to be out there. The afternoon also looks good with a 5ft swell and light offshore winds. This is the best bet in the whole forecast.

After that, the beginning of September fades back into small, clean but weak surf, with swell dropping below 3ft and energy levels falling off a cliff. It’s not going to be worth the paddle.

So, to wrap it up: The first week is mostly a write-off. Keep your eyes on Monday, the 31st of August, for the cleanest, most user-friendly waves of the period. The Sunday before is for the big dogs only.

Rusty.

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