Bagasse Surf Break

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Issued: 7 am 06 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
28.2° C

Normal for this time of year

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, ENE swell with 645 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 9s period and expected on Monday (Jul 06) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful11PM (Fri 10th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright surfers, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming down the line for Bagasse. Let’s get straight into it.

First up, the water temperature here is sitting at 83°F, which is right about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

Now, I gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper paddle session at Bagasse. We’ve got a lumpy, short-period swell (8 seconds) coming in from the ENE, but the winds are just not playing ball. For the first week, from Monday 6th July right through to Sunday 12th July, we’re looking at poor surf conditions. The swell hangs around 5ft to 7ft, with moderate to fresh cross-offshore and cross-shore winds. The wave energy is moderate, but the quality just isn’t there for a good ride. The morning sessions look clean in terms of the surface, but the swell is too short-period and messy to really line up. Afternoons are a write-off with that lumpy cross-chop.

Wednesday 8th and Thursday 9th July mornings have a bit of a "marginal" tag, with the swell pushing up to 7ft to 7ft from the east. But with 22 mph winds, even if it’s cross-offshore, it’s going to be a battle just to get out. This swell is over 5ft, so it’s getting a bit too big for beginners, and with that short period, it’s not going to be the kind of wave that makes you feel like a hero. It’s more of a grinder.

We then roll into a second week, from Monday 13th July to Tuesday 21st July. The swell drops back to 4ft to 6ft, but the winds stay stubbornly in the E to ENE at 12 to 19 mph. The wave energy drops off too. There are a few more "marginal" tags on the morning sessions from Thursday 16th through Saturday 18th July, but honestly, it’s still just short-period, weak energy stuff. The pattern doesn’t really change.

Honestly, looking across the whole 16-day window, there is no standout day. The best you could hope for is a clean-looking morning with that 5ft to 7ft swell on Wednesday 8th or Thursday 9th July, but the wind and short period will still make it a frustrating session. The combined energy never really gets into the "strong" category, and the swell direction from the ENE is not the optimum N direction for this reef. It’s a bit of a washout.

There are long gaps here with no real recommendations, the whole period is effectively one long gap of poor to marginal conditions. Don't hold your breath.

This is Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Mon morning, min 26°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sat morning, min 26°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds.

Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.7
ENE
8
2
E
8
2
E
8
1.9
ENE
8
2
E
8
2.1
E
8
2
E
8
2.1
E
8
2.1
E
8
2.1
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
1.9
ENE
8
1.7
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.5
E
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.5
E
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
402
367
359
341
383
509
548
509
548
632
579
617
632
588
645
522
422
367
301
264
279
Wind (km/h)
25
E
25
ENE
30
E
30
E
30
E
30
E
35
E
35
ENE
35
E
30
E
35
E
35
E
35
E
30
ENE
30
E
30
E
30
ENE
30
ENE
30
E
25
E
25
ENE
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
High Tide
8:03PM0.39m
7:48AM0.30m
8:34PM0.41m
9:13AM0.26m
9:12PM0.43m
9:57PM0.44m
10:51PM0.46m
11:53PM0.48m
4:48PM0.28m
00:58AM0.49m
Low Tide
1:10PM0.18m
3:17AM0.23m
1:20PM0.20m
4:29AM0.18m
1:24PM0.22m
5:32AM0.12m
6:30AM0.06m
7:26AM0.01m
8:20AM-0.02m
5:49PM0.28m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:39
5:39
5:39
5:41
5:41
5:41
5:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:37
 mm
1
1
3
Temp °C
28
28
27
28
28
27
28
28
26
27
27
27
27
27
27
28
28
27
28
28
27
Feels °C
28
28
28
28
28
26
26
27
24
27
26
25
25
24
25
26
26
25
26
26
27
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
N
9
0.4
ENE
7
0.1
N
10
0.7
NE
7
0.7
NE
7
0.1
NE
13
0.8
NE
8
0.2
ENE
12
0.2
ENE
11
0.2
ENE
11
0.8
NE
8
0.2
SSE
4
0.1
SE
4
0.1
SE
4
0.4
ENE
8
0.1
N
14
0.1
N
13
0.1
N
13
0.2
NNE
12
0.2
NNE
11
0.2
NNE
11
Energy kJ
2
21
2
45
49
7
84
14
13
12
77
2
1
1
26
4
3
3
14
13
12
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
SE
4
0.1
SE
4
0.1
N
10
0.1
SE
4
0.1
SE
4
0.1
E
9
0.1
E
9
0.2
SSE
4
0.1
SE
10
0.2
ESE
11
0.2
SSE
7
0.1
E
9
0.1
SE
9
0.1
E
9
0.1
SE
4
0.4
ENE
8
0.1
SE
4
0.1
SE
4
0.2
N
12
0.1
N
9
0.1
N
13
Energy kJ
1
1
2
1
1
2
2
2
4
12
4
2
3
2
1
27
1
1
11
2
4
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.1
N
10
0.1
NE
12
0.2
ENE
11
0.1
SE
10
0.1
SE
4
0.1
N
13
0.1
N
13
0.1
S
6
0.2
N
12
0.1
NE
9
Energy kJ
2
6
12
4
1
3
3
1
10
3
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.7
ENE
8
2
E
8
2
E
8
1.9
ENE
8
2
E
8
2.1
E
8
2
E
8
2.1
E
8
2.1
E
8
2.1
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
1.9
ENE
8
1.7
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.5
E
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.5
E
8
Energy kJ
402
367
359
341
383
509
548
509
548
632
579
617
632
588
645
522
422
367
301
264
279
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
2
2
1
2
1
3
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
Distance (km)
404
319
319
319
414
454
787
319
504
504
751
719
787
787
517
551
787
319
319
319
178
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique
Rating
(10 max)
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique
Rating
(10 max)
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
6
6
5
8
6
5
5
5
9
9
7
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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