
Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 10s period, E swell with 4,378 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 4.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, let’s have a look at what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks.
Straight up, the first week is a bit of a write-off for good surfing. The swell’s coming in from the east-northeast, but the period is short, under 8 seconds, and the wave comment is “poor surf conditions” day after day. The wind is mostly cross or cross-off, but it’s a moderate breeze, and the water temp here is 84°F with an anomaly of just 0.5°F — so it’s pretty much average for this time of year at Bagasse, a reef break that’s fairly consistent and exposed to the north. The best part of the first few days is Saturday the 8th morning, where we see a bit of a cross-off wind and clean conditions, but the swell is only 5 ft and the period is still a short 7 seconds, so the wave energy is moderate (194). It’s not going to be special. Crowds can show up here sometimes, and if the wind holds, it might be worth a look, but temper your expectations.
Things start to get more interesting from Thursday the 13th. The swell lifts to 6 ft, same short period, but the combined energy bumps up to 398 — moderate. The wind is cross-off at 22 mph, so it’s fresh but clean. Come Friday the 14th morning, we see a big jump in size: 10 ft from the east-northeast with a 9-second period, and the energy is strong at 1326. That’s solid for a bigger crew, but the wind is 25 mph and cross-off, so it’s going to be a handful. That’s expert territory. The wave comment is “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” so it’s not a perfect setup. Then Sunday the 16th morning is the biggest of the run: 12 ft from the east-northeast, 9-second period, and energy at 1787, again marginal. The wind is cross at 19 mph, so it’ll be lumpy. The standout here is probably the Sunday morning, but only for experienced surfers who can handle a big, messy wave. The afternoon improves slightly with a 10-second period, but it’s still cross-shore.
After that, the swell gradually drops through the following week, but the wave comments remain “marginal” or “poor,” with short periods and cross-off winds. It’s not going to be a classic run. The only true standout in the whole window is Saturday the 16th, where the swell size is significant and the energy is pumping, but it’s compromised by the wind and the messy conditions. For most of us, the first week is a waiting game. Keep an eye on the long-range for the second weekend, but don’t book your flights just yet.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 29°C on Sat morning, min 27°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Mon afternoon, min 27°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 6 | NE 7 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
144 | 140 | 171 | 176 | 206 | 173 | 91 | 171 | 137 | 58 | 57 | 27 | 47 | 85 | 104 | 149 | 198 | 330 | 464 | 1271 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 9:23PM0.44m | 10:29PM0.45m | 11:43PM0.46m | 4:11PM0.29m | 00:58AM0.47m | 4:16PM0.30m | 2:06AM0.48m | 4:34PM0.33m | 3:08AM0.48m | 4:56PM0.35m | 4:04AM0.46m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 6:17AM0.04m | 7:16AM0.01m | 8:10AM0.00m | 6:12PM0.28m | 8:58AM0.01m | 7:33PM0.27m | 9:42AM0.03m | 8:41PM0.25m | 10:21AM0.06m | 9:44PM0.23m | ||||||||||
— | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | |
6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:29 | — | — | 6:29 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 6 | ESE 6 | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 9 | N 15 | N 14 | NNE 13 |
9 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 77 | 19 | 18 | 58 | 15 | 27 | 24 | 18 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 18 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | SE 9 | ESE 8 | E 12 | N 12 | NE 12 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NNE 10 | NNE 8 | NNE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 10 | ESE 8 | NE 11 | NE 8 | N 15 | E 15 | — |
7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 10 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SE 4 | E 12 | — | N 12 | E 11 | NE 11 | SSE 4 | E 11 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ESE 8 | — | NE 8 | N 8 | — | — | — |
1 | 1 | 3 | — | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 7 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
144 | 140 | 171 | 176 | 206 | 173 | 91 | 171 | 137 | 44 | 57 | 58 | 47 | 85 | 104 | 149 | 198 | 330 | 464 | 1271 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 178 | 178 | 270 | 319 | 270 | 240 | 404 | 240 | 270 | 787 | 239 | 414 | 719 | 764 | 653 | 239 | 551 | 670 | 787 | 615 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











