Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, lookin’ at the local surf over the next couple weeks. Right, straight up – it’s a slow, bumpy stretch for Bagasse, with only a few windows that’ll actually get you excited. Most days you’ll be fighting cross-shore breezes and ordinary conditions, but there’s a couple of standouts if you wait it out.

The whole run kicks off Tuesday the 25th of August with poor surf, and it stays lackluster right through until Sunday the 30th. The swell is hanging around 3ft to 5ft from the ENE, but the wind ain’t playing nice – mostly a moderate cross or cross-off breeze that’s keeping things choppy. The combined energy sits in the moderate range (161 to 416), but the quality is junk. Thursday the 27th morning shows a glimmer with clean 4ft conditions, but the score is low, so don’t get your hopes up.

Friday the 28th morning is where it starts to turn. You’ve got clean surf with a light breeze, 3ft from the ENE, period around 7 seconds, and energy at 224. It’s not big, but it’s rideable and clean – the best of a rough week. Saturday the 29th keeps things clean but with more wind (12-16 mph) and a touch more size at 4ft to 5ft, still marginal but worth a paddle.

Now, here’s the real standout – Monday the 31st of August afternoon. The swell bumps up to 5ft from the ENE, period stretching to 11 seconds, and the combined energy cranks to 673. The wind drops to a light 6 mph cross-off breeze, giving you clean, very good surf conditions. This is your session. The morning also has a bigger 6ft swell with a long 12-second period, but it’s cross-shore and a bit lumpy. Stick to the arvo.

After that, the first few days of September drop off again. Tuesday the 1st morning has clean 4ft surf with light wind, but it’s ordinary. By Wednesday the 2nd, it’s back to small 3ft swells and cross-shore wind. Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th are similar – small, clean in the morning but from the NE, and not much push, with energy around 127 to 305.

The second week gets patchy. Saturday the 5th of September morning shows a bump back to 5ft from the E, period 7 seconds, clean with gentle breeze, and energy at 390. It’s marginal but fun if you’re keen. Sunday the 6th through to Tuesday the 8th stay in the 4ft to 4ft range, mostly clean but with moderate wind, and energy slipping from 305 down to 183. Nothing to write home about. Wednesday the 9th wraps it up with 4ft and clean conditions, but again, it’s just ordinary.

Overall, the standout is Monday the 31st afternoon – 5ft, clean, long period, good energy. Friday the 28th morning is a solid second choice for smaller, cleaner waves. The rest is a grind. For beginners, that 5ft on the 31st is fine, but keep an eye on the period – long period swells like that can make Bagasse a bit straight, being a reef break, but at this size it’ll be fine.

Water temps are about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Crowds at Bagasse are sometimes an issue, so on the good days expect company.

Rusty

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