Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, ENE swell with 629 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 01) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Gonna be straight with you – this is a tough one for Bagasse. The whole 16-day window is a real grind, and I’m not seeing any true standouts to get excited about. Let's break it down.
We’re kicking off on Tuesday, July 28th, with a bit of swell at 4 feet from the ENE, but it’s a short period of 8 seconds and the wind is a cross-off from the East at 16 mph. The water temp is 83°, which is about average for this time of year. The combined swell energy is weak at 184, and the report calls it poor. It’s not great.
The swell picks up a touch mid-week, July 29th and 30th, with heights around 7 to 7 feet from the same ENE direction, and the period still short at 8 seconds. The combined energy jumps into the moderate range (516 to 686), but the wind is pumping at 19 to 22 mph from the East. That’s a fresh breeze making for messy, cross-off conditions. It’s marginal at best, and honestly, not worth the paddle.
We get a bit of a lull from July 31st through August 3rd. Swell drops from 6 feet down to 4 feet, combined energy falls back under 200, and the wind barely lets up. Still mostly poor conditions.
The only small window that looks even remotely interesting is Saturday, August 1st. The morning shows a 5-foot ENE swell, still 8 seconds, but the wind drops to a gentle 9 mph from the SE. Combined energy is a moderate 280, and the report says “expect good surf conditions.” This is the best we’re going to get, but it’s still not a standout. The wind is cross-off, not clean offshore, and the period is short.
After that, from August 4th right through the end of the forecast on August 12th, the swell stays small, mostly under 5 feet, and the period drops to 6 or 7 seconds. The wind is a constant 16 to 22 mph from the East or ENE. The combined energy is weak, often under 200. It’s a long stretch of poor surf with no real quality. The setup at Bagasse, with these winds and short-period swell, looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
So, the honest truth? There’s really nothing to get excited about. The only day that might be worth a look is the morning of Saturday, August 1st, but even then, keep your expectations low. The rest of the month is a write-off.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 27°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Fri afternoon, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | E 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 178 | 231 | 437 | 520 | 560 | 574 | 534 | 483 | 470 | 422 | 367 | 280 | 244 | 202 | 163 | 173 | 214 | 208 | 166 | 139 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:23PM0.28m | 2:17AM0.42m | 5:31PM0.30m | 3:01AM0.43m | 5:38PM0.32m | 3:43AM0.43m | 5:47PM0.34m | 4:25AM0.41m | 5:59PM0.36m | 5:10AM0.39m | 6:16PM0.38m | 5:58AM0.35m | 6:39PM0.40m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:46PM0.27m | 10:07AM0.06m | 8:38PM0.27m | 10:37AM0.08m | 9:29PM0.27m | 11:04AM0.10m | 10:21PM0.26m | 11:27AM0.13m | 11:17PM0.25m | 11:45AM0.16m | 00:19AM0.23m | 11:58AM0.18m | 1:29AM0.20m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — |
 | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:34 | — | — | 6:34 | — | — | 6:34 | — | — | 6:32 | — |
mm | 2 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 7 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 29 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | NE 10 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SE 8 | E 12 | NE 7 | N 11 | N 11 | N 10 |
| kJ | 7 | 4 | 79 | 101 | 97 | 112 | 82 | 82 | 68 | 68 | 367 | 280 | 244 | 202 | 15 | 3 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | NE 10 | — | SSE 4 | — | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SE 6 | SE 4 | — | — | — | S 5 | SE 8 | E 12 | S 6 | S 6 | SE 4 | — | S 5 |
| kJ | 6 | 4 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 6 | S 5 | — | — | — | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | E 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | SE 6 | SSE 3 | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 178 | 231 | 437 | 520 | 560 | 574 | 534 | 483 | 470 | 422 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 163 | 173 | 214 | 208 | 166 | 139 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1547 | 319 | 1083 | 754 | 615 | 752 | 752 | 719 | 787 | 414 | 178 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 615 | 380 | 541 | 752 | 178 | 178 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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