Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 19 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 26 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 26 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 13s period, E swell with 1,766 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 26 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 2PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.3m 13s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 10s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2PM (Wed 26th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 2PM (Wed 26th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Wed 26th Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it.
We're looking at a pretty quiet stretch ahead for Bagasse. The next two weeks are mostly flat with poor conditions, so don't get your hopes up for a solid session. The water temperature is sitting at 84°, which is about average for this time of year – nothing unusual there.
The first real chance of anything decent doesn't roll in until Thursday, August 27th. That morning, the swell bumps up to 6 ft from the ENE with a period of 9 seconds, giving us a moderate wave energy of 719 (combined energy). What makes it interesting is the wind: light SE breeze at 6 mph, blowing cross-offshore. That's clean, glassy surf. The afternoon cleans up even more, with the same swell size and a light ESE cross-offshore breeze, and the energy cranks up to 975 (moderate). The swell direction is ENE, which is pretty much on the money for Bagasse's optimum N direction. This is a reef break that's fairly consistent, but crowds can happen, so get out early if you can. The 6 ft swell is solid for intermediates, but might be a bit much for beginners.
The following week, August 30th, shows a bit more size – 7 ft from the E with a long period of 11 seconds, and energy reaching 1152 (strong). That's a proper groundswell. The wind is moderate cross-offshore in the morning, which is clean. But the swell direction is off the optimum, and at 7 ft, it’s getting into expert territory. The long period will also make it break a bit straight at a beach break, but Bagasse is a reef, so it should hold up nicely. It's a promising option, but it's a week out, so take it with a grain of salt.
After that, the swell fades fast. By September 1st, we have a small 4 ft E swell with clean cross-offshore winds, but the energy is low (231, weak). The last few days of the forecast are tiny, with 3 ft swell and weak energy, so the window closes pretty tight.
The standout is clearly Thursday, August 27th. Clean, light winds, solid 6 ft ENE swell, and the reef should be handling it well. Get on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Fri afternoon, min 27°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 27mm), heaviest during Mon afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 176 | 181 | 245 | 272 | 308 | 238 | 202 | 191 | 186 | 164 | 166 | 191 | 186 | 214 | 285 | 475 | 623 | 509 | 402 | 361 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 7:32PM0.39m | 8:06PM0.38m | 8:51PM0.37m | 9:49PM0.37m | 11:02PM0.37m | 4:28PM0.28m | 00:16AM0.39m | 4:18PM0.29m | 1:18AM0.40m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 4:17AM0.11m | 5:23AM0.10m | 6:21AM0.08m | 7:10AM0.08m | 7:51AM0.07m | 5:58PM0.28m | 8:27AM0.08m | 7:05PM0.27m | ||||||||||||
 |  | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — |
 | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:21 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 11 | 10 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 29 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | NNE 8 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 8 | N 12 | N 11 | N 11 |
| kJ | 6 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 35 | 64 | 60 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | N 11 | SE 11 | NNE 10 | SE 11 | ESE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | SE 9 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | N 11 | N 13 |
| kJ | 7 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | N 8 | E 8 | E 9 | SE 4 | N 9 | — | N 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 8 | N 12 | — | N 13 |
| kJ | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 176 | 181 | 245 | 272 | 308 | 238 | 202 | 191 | 186 | 164 | 166 | 191 | 186 | 214 | 285 | 475 | 623 | 509 | 402 | 361 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 551 | 178 | 551 | 754 | 270 | 319 | 178 | 319 | 414 | 319 | 319 | 414 | 319 | 319 | 414 | 404 | 319 | 615 | 178 | 319 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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