Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, let’s cut to it. Right now, and for the next couple of weeks, there’s basically nothing worth paddling out for. The swell is small, the periods are short, and the wind, while mostly cross-offshore, isn’t doing us any favors. It’s a flat, frustrating stretch of days, and honestly, it looks like we’re in for a dry spell until around the 9th of September, which is when things start to perk up just a little.

From now through the 8th, the surf is tiny – thigh to waist-high at best, with 3 to 4 feet of east swell, periods around 7 to 8 seconds, and energy readings that stay weak (128 to 395). The wind is cross-off from the east or east-northeast, so it stays clean, but there’s just no push. You’d be fighting for a dribble.

Then comes the 9th and 10th of September – this is the closest thing we’ve got to a standout window. The swell bumps up to around 6 feet from the east-northeast, period still only 8 seconds, but the combined energy jumps to strong territory (551 to 571). That’s the most energy we’ll see in the whole run. It’s not huge, but it’s surfable for sure. Wind stays cross-off from the east, about 25 km/h (15 mph), so it’ll be a bit lumpy but clean enough. Bagasse (Mauritius) is a reef break, and with that direction being cross-off, it should hold shape. Just don’t call it glassy – it’s more like workable.

After that, it fades again. The 11th through the 14th drop back to 3 to 5 feet, energy moderate (185 to 366), and the periods stay short. It’s still clean, but you’ll be scratching for quality. Then from the 15th onward, we slide into poor territory – 2 to 3 feet down to 1 foot by the 21st, energy dropping to weak (19 to 211). The last few days of the run, especially the 20th and 21st, are flat – barely a ripple.

Water temp – we don’t have a number, but the anomaly is listed as “-”, so let’s just say it’s about average for this time of year. Nothing weird going on.

So here’s the deal: if you’re desperate, the 9th and 10th are your best shots – 6 feet of east-northeast swell, periods just over 8 seconds, and cross-off wind. It’s not a classic, but it’s the only real pulse on the board. Everything else is a waiting game. Keep the board waxed, but don’t hold your breath. Forecasts can change, but right now it’s looking thin.

Rusty.

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