Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 am 30 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
28.6° C
0.4° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, ENE swell with 511 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Fri 31st Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 8s
Best Surf 8PM (Fri 31st Jul)5.5ft (1.7m) 8s
Most Powerful 2AM (Fri 31st Jul)6.5ft (2.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down this stretch.

It’s a rough start. The first real surf we see is a bit of a mess, and we’re looking at a 16-day window. The first 4 days are a total blank with no proper recommendation.

First up, Thursday, July 30th, at Bagasse (reef). It’s a reef break, fairly consistent, and exposed to the north. The swell is from the ENE at 6 ft, with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 524. Water temp is 84°, which is about average for the time of year. The wind is a cross-off from the East at 19 mph, keeping the surface smooth, but the wave comment calls it marginal. The short period means the waves will be a bit close together and not holding great shape. It’s a paddle, but don’t expect perfection.

Friday, July 31st, is similar with a 6 ft ENE swell, but the wind goes more cross-shore, and there’s a risk of thunderstorms. The energy bumps up to 564, but the conditions are poor. The morning is a no-go. The afternoon cleans up a bit, but it’s still only marginal.

By Saturday, August 1st, the swell drops to 5 ft and then 4 ft, with energy dropping to 244. The wind is light cross-off, which is a plus, but it’s still only marginal. The waves are short period and small. It’s a longboard or a funboard kind of day.

From Sunday, August 2nd, through the rest of the first week, the report is all “poor surf conditions.” The swell drops to under 3 ft, with energy values falling into the double digits. The wind is a constant moderate to fresh breeze. It’s flat and messy.

We do see a pulse come back around the 7th and 8th of August. The swell picks up to 5 ft on Friday the 7th, with moderate energy at 267, but the wind is cross-off and the comment is still “marginal” or “poor.” The period is still short at 7 seconds. It’s a tease.

The best looking option is really the 11th and 12th of August. On Tuesday, August 11th, we see a 6 ft swell from the East with an 8-second period and a combined energy of 407. That’s solid medium-range energy. But the wind is cross-shore, creating a lumpy cross-chop. The next day, Wednesday, August 12th, is our standout. The swell is 6 ft from the East, still 8 seconds, with energy at 398, and the wind turns to a clean cross-off from the East at 12 mph. The comment is “marginal,” but with clean wind and a reasonable-sized swell, this is the best window. It’s a reef break, so it’ll handle the swell better than a beach. If you can only pick one day, this is it. It’s still not a world-class day, but it’s the only one that looks like a proper surf.

After that, the wind gets stronger into the 13th and 14th, with fresh breezes returning, which kills the quality. The swell holds around 5 ft to 5 ft, but the wind is too strong, making it blown out.

So, bottom line: the first week is a washout. The second week has a couple of days where it’s worth a look, especially Wednesday, August 12th. Keep your expectations in check, but there’s a wave to be had.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Thu morning, min 26°C on Fri afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Thu morning, light winds from the ESE by Fri night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 28°C on Sun afternoon, min 26°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
ENE
8
1.8
ENE
8
2
ENE
8
1.9
ENE
8
1.8
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.2
ENE
8
1
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
7
1.3
ENE
7
1.3
ENE
7
1.2
E
7
1.1
E
7
1
E
7
1
E
6
0.8
E
6
0.3
NE
7
0.8
E
6
0.3
ENE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
404
404
511
471
459
326
250
202
137
147
208
181
166
134
110
89
81
51
9
47
17
Wind (km/h)
35
E
30
ENE
30
ENE
30
ENE
20
ESE
15
ESE
20
ESE
15
ESE
20
E
20
E
25
E
20
E
25
E
25
ENE
20
ENE
20
E
20
E
20
E
20
E
20
E
25
E
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
5:38PM0.32m
3:43AM0.43m
5:47PM0.34m
4:25AM0.41m
5:59PM0.36m
5:10AM0.39m
6:16PM0.38m
5:58AM0.35m
6:39PM0.40m
6:53AM0.31m
7:09PM0.41m
7:59AM0.27m
7:45PM0.43m
Low Tide
10:37AM0.08m
9:29PM0.27m
11:04AM0.10m
10:21PM0.26m
11:27AM0.13m
11:17PM0.25m
11:45AM0.16m
00:19AM0.23m
11:58AM0.18m
1:29AM0.20m
12:06PM0.20m
2:46AM0.16m
12:06PM0.22m
4:01AM0.12m
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:47
5:47
5:47
5:47
5:48
5:48
5:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:35
6:34
6:34
6:34
6:32
6:32
6:31
 mm
6
4
1
2
1
Temp °C
29
29
27
27
26
27
28
28
27
27
28
27
27
28
27
27
28
27
28
29
27
Feels °C
27
28
26
26
26
29
30
30
29
29
29
28
27
29
28
28
29
28
28
30
28
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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