
Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, E swell with 238 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for any decent paddle. We’ve got a lot of small, weak, and short-period swell, and that east wind just won’t quit. If you’re thinking about getting out there, you’re going to be fighting a cross-off breeze that’s more about chop than clean faces. Honestly, for the next week or so, you might be better off dusting off the kite or just watching the horizon.
Right off the bat, we’re looking at a flat spell. Starting Sunday, August 2nd, there’s nothing doing. The swell is small, around 5ft, but it’s weak, with a period of only 7 seconds, and the energy is low. The wind is a cross-off from the east at 15 mph, which is making things messy. It’s not worth your time. This continues through Monday and Tuesday – the swell just fades away. By Wednesday, August 5th, it’s down to ankle-biters, maybe 2ft. Forget it. We’re in the middle of a real lull here, a solid few days of nothing.
Thursday comes and goes with the same story. It’s not until Friday, August 7th, that we see a little pulse of energy, but it’s not enough to get excited about. The swell bumps back up to 4ft, but the period is a short 6 seconds, so it's all mush. The wind is picking up to 19 mph, and the surf quality is still poor. We go through the weekend and into the next week with the same old story: 3ft to 5ft of short-period east swell, and a consistent cross-off breeze that’s just not giving us anything clean. The energy readings are all in the low to mid hundreds, meaning the ocean is just not putting any power into the waves. It’s frustrating, I know.
Now, let’s talk about the second week. Things are going to get bigger, but not necessarily better. From Wednesday, August 12th, we see the swell start to build. The energy numbers start climbing into the three hundreds, and by Thursday, August 13th, we’re looking at 7ft of swell. That’s a step up, but the period is still only 8 seconds, which isn't giving us the power we want. The wind is also going to be a problem. We’re looking at fresh breezes at 22 mph. The water temp is about average for this time of year, but you won't be worrying about that if you can't even get a wave.
The real standout in this entire 16-day stretch is Bagasse. It’s a reef break that's fairly consistent, and while it's exposed, the optimum direction for it is from the north. That's important, because all this swell we're seeing is from the east. The swell direction just isn't working for this spot. Even when the swell gets to 7ft on Saturday, August 15th, and the energy readings jump up into the high hundreds, the direction is wrong. It's going to be a mess. The forecast notes just say “poor surf conditions” and “marginal.” This spot is only going to be worth it for the experts, and even then, the conditions have to be right. It's a rare breakout that just isn't aligning for us.
So, here’s the honest take: there is no good surf on offer in this entire forecast period. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak surf, followed by a pulse of bigger, but poorly directed, energy. The wind is constantly ruining the surface. It's a blank run, and for an area like this, that’s just the way it goes sometimes. Don't hold your breath. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d be finding another hobby for the next couple of weeks.
Stay stoked, but stay home.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sun morning, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 27°C on Wed morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 6 | E 6 | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 8 | NE 7 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
238 | 186 | 186 | 171 | 142 | 117 | 89 | 73 | 40 | 30 | 21 | 25 | 16 | 15 | 95 | 119 | 145 | 187 | 161 | 139 | 173 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:16PM0.38m | 5:58AM0.35m | 6:39PM0.40m | 6:53AM0.31m | 7:09PM0.41m | 7:59AM0.27m | 7:45PM0.43m | 9:33AM0.23m | 8:29PM0.43m | 9:23PM0.44m | 10:29PM0.45m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 11:45AM0.16m | 00:19AM0.23m | 11:58AM0.18m | 1:29AM0.20m | 12:06PM0.20m | 2:46AM0.16m | 12:06PM0.22m | 4:01AM0.12m | 11:47AM0.22m | 5:12AM0.08m | 6:17AM0.04m | ||||||||||
5:47 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | |
— | 6:34 | — | — | 6:32 | — | — | 6:32 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | NE 7 | NE 7 | N 11 | N 11 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NNE 10 | NNE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 9 |
3 | 29 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 22 | 21 | 25 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 17 | 21 | 18 | 19 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSE 4 | — | SE 4 | S 5 | S 6 | E 11 | E 12 | E 11 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NNE 10 | NNE 9 | E 12 | E 12 | N 12 |
— | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 6 | — | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 8 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NNE 8 | NNE 10 | — | S 6 | SE 4 | E 12 | N 12 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 9 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
238 | 186 | 186 | 171 | 142 | 117 | 89 | 73 | 40 | 30 | 35 | 35 | 72 | 83 | 95 | 119 | 145 | 187 | 161 | 139 | 173 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 615 | 319 | 655 | 456 | 764 | 551 | 6 | 32 | 239 | 380 | 551 | 645 | 752 | 551 | 645 | 751 | 319 | 178 | 787 | 270 | 319 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











