
Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, ENE swell with 460 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer for Bagasse.
Gonna be straight with you – the next couple of weeks look like a frustrating stretch for this spot. The swell never really lines up with clean conditions for very long, and when there is a bit of size, the wind messes it up. Don’t expect any firing sessions.
Things kick off on Thursday 30 July afternoon with some chest-high, short-period swell (6 ft from the ENE, period 8 seconds) coming through, but a fresh cross-shore wind will have it lumpy and choppy. It’s a write-off. Same goes for Friday 31 July morning. Later Friday afternoon, the wind eases to a moderate cross-off breeze and the swell drops a fraction to 6 ft, but even with clean faces, the energy is moderate (450) and conditions are still marginal. Saturday 1 August morning offers the first glimpse of something half-decent: 5 ft ENE swell, clean with a gentle cross-off wind, but the period is short at 8 seconds and the energy is only moderate (250). Saturday afternoon is similar, with 4 ft waves.
From Sunday 2 August right through to Tuesday 11 August, it’s pretty grim. The swell stays small to moderate – mostly 3 ft to 5 ft – but the winds are often cross or cross-off, and the combo of short period (6 to 8 seconds) and persistent wind keeps the quality low. The energy bounces around from weak (73) to moderate (374), but the “poor surf conditions” tag sticks for every single one of those days. There’s a real dry spell here with nothing you’d want to paddle out for.
Mid-week, on Wednesday 12 August morning and afternoon, things look a little more promising on paper. Swell bumps up to 6 ft from the east, period 8 seconds, with a moderate cross-off breeze and clean conditions. Energy is strong (375). It’s classed as marginal due to tide or other factors, but it’s the best of a bad bunch. Still, don’t get too excited – it’s not a standout.
The final few days, Thursday 13 August and Friday 14 August, see a similar story: chest-high swell (5 ft to 5 ft), but fresh winds and moderate energy (272 to 363). The surf stays poor.
Overall, there’s no true highlight in this run. The best chance for a surf might be Saturday 1 August morning with small, clean waves, or Wednesday 12 August if the tide lines up. But honestly, I’d be keeping my expectations low. This reef needs a cleaner window and a longer-period groundswell to really shine, and we’re not getting it here.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Fri afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Thu night, light winds from the ESE by Fri night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Tue afternoon, min 26°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
449 | 414 | 367 | 338 | 250 | 202 | 137 | 173 | 186 | 186 | 142 | 138 | 114 | 86 | 84 | 76 | 8 | 19 | 17 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:43AM0.43m | 5:47PM0.34m | 4:25AM0.41m | 5:59PM0.36m | 5:10AM0.39m | 6:16PM0.38m | 5:58AM0.35m | 6:39PM0.40m | 6:53AM0.31m | 7:09PM0.41m | 7:59AM0.27m | 7:45PM0.43m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:29PM0.27m | 11:04AM0.10m | 10:21PM0.26m | 11:27AM0.13m | 11:17PM0.25m | 11:45AM0.16m | 00:19AM0.23m | 11:58AM0.18m | 1:29AM0.20m | 12:06PM0.20m | 2:46AM0.16m | 12:06PM0.22m | 4:01AM0.12m | ||||||
— | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | |
6:35 | — | 6:34 | — | — | 6:34 | — | — | 6:34 | — | — | 6:32 | — | — | 6:32 | — | — | 6:31 | — | |
mm | — | — | 6 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 26 | 27 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | SE 7 | NE 7 | N 11 | N 11 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | E 11 | NE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 9 |
73 | 77 | 367 | 338 | 250 | 202 | 137 | — | 9 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | SE 4 | — | S 4 | SE 8 | SE 8 | S 5 | S 6 | E 12 | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | S 5 | E 11 | E 12 | N 9 | E 10 | ENE 10 | NNE 10 |
1 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 10 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | E 12 | E 12 | — | — | S 6 | — | — | — | — | E 11 | N 9 | N 9 | E 10 | ENE 6 |
— | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSE 4 | — | SSE 3 | — | — | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 |
449 | 414 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 173 | 186 | 186 | 142 | 138 | 114 | 86 | 84 | 76 | 61 | 71 | 64 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 319 | 404 | 90 | 0 | 4 | 181 | 6 | 551 | 319 | 657 | 719 | 178 | 319 | 551 | 270 | 719 | 719 | 380 | 551 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











