
Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, ENE swell with 688 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 09) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer for the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, this is a tough stretch. The surf is going to be a bit of a grind. We've got a stretch of consistent swell, but it's accompanied by some pretty persistent, strong winds that are going to mess with the surface. The first real chance to get something decent doesn't come until Thursday the 9th of July, but even then, it's a bit of a compromise.
The main event is a reef break called Bagasse. This spot is exposed to the north, which is good because the swell is coming from the ENE. The water temperature is 83°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The best window looks like Thursday the 9th of July in the morning. The swell is a solid 6ft from the ENE with a period of 8 seconds, giving a moderate energy reading (528). The wind is a fresh cross-offshore breeze from the east, which will keep the waves clean. It's a bit of a stand-out in this otherwise messy forecast. The afternoon gets lumpy, so don't bother.
Friday the 10th of July morning has a similar vibe, a bit bigger at 7ft, and still clean with the cross-off wind, but the energy is ramping up (614). The problem is, the wind is still fresh, so it's not going to be perfect. Saturday the 11th of July afternoon might clean up a little, but the swell is dropping.
There's a real gap in quality from the 12th through to the 21st. The swell dies down and the winds just won't let up, keeping things messy. The last few days of the forecast, from the 22nd of July onwards, show a bit of a pulse again. The swell builds back to 6ft on the 22nd and 23rd, but the cross-winds will likely keep the surface lumpy.
For a beginner, the 5ft to 7ft range is going to be a handful, especially with that steady wind. This spot is consistent, but the conditions just aren't lining up to give us any real diamonds. The swell direction is ENE, which is the optimum for Bagasse, which is a point in its favour, but the wind is the heavy hand here. If you're a seasoned surfer, Thursday the 9th morning is your best bet. If you're a kiter, the whole period looks more interesting than it does for a paddle surfer.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Fri afternoon, min 26°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sun morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 7 | E 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
509 | 459 | 599 | 614 | 629 | 688 | 660 | 521 | 380 | 361 | 302 | 327 | 308 | 265 | 265 | 300 | 265 | 258 | 253 | 220 | 251 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:57PM0.44m | 10:51PM0.46m | 11:53PM0.48m | 4:48PM0.28m | 00:58AM0.49m | 4:57PM0.29m | 2:02AM0.50m | 5:21PM0.30m | 3:03AM0.50m | 5:48PM0.32m | 4:01AM0.49m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 6:30AM0.06m | 7:26AM0.01m | 8:20AM-0.02m | 5:49PM0.28m | 9:12AM-0.04m | 7:09PM0.28m | 10:02AM-0.03m | 8:18PM0.27m | 10:49AM-0.01m | 9:26PM0.27m | |||||||||||
5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | |
— | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 27 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | NE 10 | — | — | NE 8 | NE 8 | N 14 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | N 11 | N 11 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 |
19 | 28 | — | — | 88 | 108 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 4 | — | — | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SSE 6 | S 6 | S 6 | N 11 | N 11 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | E 13 | E 13 | N 8 |
2 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | E 9 | E 9 | SE 6 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | S 6 | SE 4 | — | — | SE 4 | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | N 10 | N 9 | E 13 |
— | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 7 | E 7 |
509 | 459 | 599 | 614 | 629 | 688 | 660 | 521 | 380 | 361 | 302 | 327 | 308 | 265 | 265 | 300 | 265 | 258 | 253 | 220 | 251 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 615 | 753 | 719 | 787 | 1547 | 517 | 751 | 454 | 319 | 414 | 270 | 319 | 319 | 319 | 713 | 615 | 787 | 517 | 615 | 787 | 380 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










