Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty. Let’s talk about Bagasse.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with ya – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat and frustrating. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak, messy easterly windswell with solid onshore winds, so don’t expect much to ride for a while. The first real chance of anything decent doesn’t pop up until the very end of the run, and even that’s a bit marginal.

So, starting from Tuesday 8 September through to about Monday 21 September, it’s mostly poor. The swell sits between 0.7 ft and 6 ft with short 6 to 9 second periods, and the energy is weak to moderate at best – you’ll see combined energy values hovering around 111 to 487 (weak to very moderate). The wind is cross-off from the east most days, but it’s howling at 12 to 19 mph, which makes the surface messy. A couple of afternoons on 12 September even get a cross-chop. There’s one session on Tuesday morning 15 September that’s surfable but very ordinary – 3 ft, 8 seconds, 111 energy, and light breeze from the east at 9 mph making it clean, but honestly, it’s barely worth paddling out for.

The standout window arrives late in the outlook. On Tuesday 22 September afternoon, we see a bump: 7 ft, 8 seconds, east swell, moderate energy (594), with clean conditions thanks to a moderate east breeze at 12 mph. That’s the best of the bunch, but it’s still marginal – the score only ranks it a 2 out of 10. Then on Wednesday 23 September morning, it builds a little more to 7 ft, 9 seconds, east swell, strong energy (752), again clean but still marginal. For an intermediate-level reef break like Bagasse, that’s solid, punchy, rideable stuff – and the swell direction from the east matches the optimum north swell direction okay, but it’s not a perfect match. With the moderate east breeze keeping it glassy, that Wednesday morning could actually be a fun session if you’re hungry. Water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing weird.

Just keep in mind, Bagasse can be a bit crowded sometimes, so you might have company. But for this whole 16-day window, that Wednesday morning (23 September) is your best bet. Everything else is a write-off, a real blank run for the area.

Signing off,
Rusty

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