
Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 7 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period, ENE swell with 148 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.2m 7s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer.
To be straight with you, the next couple of weeks look pretty quiet for Bagasse. The surf is small and weak for the first week, with a lot of days where the conditions are just off. The easterly winds are mostly cross-off or cross, which isn’t terrible, but the swell is tiny and the energy is low. You’ll see a lot of mornings with 2 ft to 4 ft from the NE or ENE, but the periods are short, around 6 to 7 seconds, so it’s mostly windswell and not doing much. The water temp is hanging around 83°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year.
The first real sign of life shows up on Saturday, August 15th, when the swell pushes up to 8 ft from the ENE. That’s a solid size, but it’s still short period at 8 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 1000 – that’s strong stuff. The problem is the wind is cross-off in the morning, but by afternoon it’s cross and kind of lumpy, so it’s only really for the experienced crew. This is borderline too big for beginners, and the short period means it’ll be a bit of a washing machine. The morning of Sunday, August 16th, is similar at 8 ft with a bit more period (9 seconds) and cross-off wind, which cleans it up. That’s your best bet overall – a bit more shape, still punchy, and the wind is manageable.
Honestly, the standout here is the morning of Sunday, August 16th. The swell is 8 ft from the ENE, period pushing 9 seconds, and the cross-off wind keeps it clean. The energy is 801, so it’s got some grunt. It’s not a long-period groundswell, so it won’t be too tricky at the reef, but it’s still a solid, powerful wave. The crowds are listed as “sometimes” at Bagasse, so you might have a few others out, but it won’t be a circus. For intermediates, this is pushing the limit – it’s better for the advanced guys.
After that, the swell fades through the rest of August, dropping back to 4 ft to 5 ft with short periods, so it’s back to small, weak waves. The winds stay cross-off, but there’s just not enough energy to get excited about.
So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. The second week has a couple of days with real size, but the quality is marginal. If you’re keen, paddle out on the morning of Sunday, August 16th, for the best of a pretty average run.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sat morning, min 27°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 9 | NE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 9 | NE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
72 | 57 | 17 | 42 | 48 | 86 | 82 | 121 | 129 | 133 | 113 | 141 | 117 | 68 | 105 | 125 | 96 | 68 | 39 | 20 | 19 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:45PM0.43m | 9:33AM0.23m | 8:29PM0.43m | 9:23PM0.44m | 10:29PM0.45m | 11:43PM0.46m | 4:11PM0.29m | 00:58AM0.47m | 4:16PM0.30m | 2:06AM0.48m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 12:06PM0.22m | 4:01AM0.12m | 11:47AM0.22m | 5:12AM0.08m | 6:17AM0.04m | 7:16AM0.01m | 8:10AM0.00m | 6:12PM0.28m | 8:58AM0.01m | 7:33PM0.27m | |||||||||||
5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | |
— | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 30 | 31 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 9 | NE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 10 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 9 | ENE 6 | NE 9 | NE 9 |
9 | 18 | 17 | 42 | 48 | 86 | 82 | 9 | 22 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 55 | 105 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 39 | 20 | 19 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | E 10 | NE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ESE 9 | NNE 10 | ENE 8 | SE 9 | E 12 | E 12 | N 12 | NE 12 | NE 9 | NE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | NE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 |
2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 7 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 12 | N 12 | E 10 | NE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | — | SE 8 | SE 12 | E 12 | E 11 | NE 11 | — | E 11 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ESE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 |
3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 8 | — | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 6 | — | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ESE 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 |
72 | 57 | 83 | 52 | 57 | 71 | 67 | 121 | 129 | 133 | 113 | 141 | 117 | 68 | — | 125 | 96 | 68 | 46 | 34 | 35 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 380 | 650 | 380 | 319 | 319 | 541 | 178 | 319 | 551 | 178 | 178 | 787 | 764 | 270 | 237 | 178 | 153 | 235 | 240 | 645 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











