Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer.

To be straight with you, the next couple of weeks look pretty quiet for Bagasse. The surf is small and weak for the first week, with a lot of days where the conditions are just off. The easterly winds are mostly cross-off or cross, which isn’t terrible, but the swell is tiny and the energy is low. You’ll see a lot of mornings with 2 ft to 4 ft from the NE or ENE, but the periods are short, around 6 to 7 seconds, so it’s mostly windswell and not doing much. The water temp is hanging around 83°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

The first real sign of life shows up on Saturday, August 15th, when the swell pushes up to 8 ft from the ENE. That’s a solid size, but it’s still short period at 8 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 1000 – that’s strong stuff. The problem is the wind is cross-off in the morning, but by afternoon it’s cross and kind of lumpy, so it’s only really for the experienced crew. This is borderline too big for beginners, and the short period means it’ll be a bit of a washing machine. The morning of Sunday, August 16th, is similar at 8 ft with a bit more period (9 seconds) and cross-off wind, which cleans it up. That’s your best bet overall – a bit more shape, still punchy, and the wind is manageable.

Honestly, the standout here is the morning of Sunday, August 16th. The swell is 8 ft from the ENE, period pushing 9 seconds, and the cross-off wind keeps it clean. The energy is 801, so it’s got some grunt. It’s not a long-period groundswell, so it won’t be too tricky at the reef, but it’s still a solid, powerful wave. The crowds are listed as “sometimes” at Bagasse, so you might have a few others out, but it won’t be a circus. For intermediates, this is pushing the limit – it’s better for the advanced guys.

After that, the swell fades through the rest of August, dropping back to 4 ft to 5 ft with short periods, so it’s back to small, weak waves. The winds stay cross-off, but there’s just not enough energy to get excited about.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. The second week has a couple of days with real size, but the quality is marginal. If you’re keen, paddle out on the morning of Sunday, August 16th, for the best of a pretty average run.

Rusty.

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