Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 26 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
28.9°C
0.2° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 30 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, ENE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, ENE swell with 1,011 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.1m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 8s period and expected on Monday (Aug 31) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Sun 30th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 7s
Best Surf 2PM (Sun 30th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 11s
Most Powerful 2PM (Sun 30th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you—this is a tough run for the Bagasse reef. We've got a long stretch of pretty average to poor conditions ahead, so patience is the name of the game. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, nothing too wild.

The standout window is this Sunday, 30th August. That's your best shot by a long shot. The swell kicks up with a solid 5ft to 7ft of groundswell pushing in from the ENE, with a nice long period of 11 to 12 seconds. That longer period means these waves have proper energy and shape, the combined energy of all swells is a solid moderate 864 to 957 (moderate). The wind flips to a clean offshore from the S and SSE, making for glassy, well-shaped waves. It's a fairly consistent spot, so you'll get plenty of rides, but expect crowds here sometimes. The swell direction is a good match for the optimum from the north, and the reef will handle that longer-period groundswell well. For the intermediate surfer, this is the session to circle.

Before that Sunday, Thursday 27th through Saturday 29th are a write-off. We've got a mix of cross-off and cross winds, short period swell around 7 to 8 seconds, and wave heights mostly around 4ft to 5ft. The energy is weak (317 to 337), and the surf is either marginal or poor. Not worth paddling out.

After that Sunday high, we drop back into a disappointing run. From Monday 31st August all the way through to Friday 11th September, it's a slog. Swell heights fluctuate between 3ft and 6ft, periods are short (7 to 9 seconds), and the wind stays mostly cross-off from the E or ENE. The combined energy remains low to moderate (100 to 487), and the surf is consistently rated poor or marginal. The only slight glimmer is Thursday 10th September morning, where the swell picks up to 5ft from the E with a moderate 8-second period and cross-off wind, giving a marginal session. But it's nothing to get excited about. The following Friday 11th September morning shows 6ft E swell, but still poor conditions.

So, looking at the whole 16 days, Sunday 30th August is your one clear standout. The rest of the run is a long, flat, and blown-out gap. As for the spot, Bagasse is a reef that's fairly consistent, but it's rarely a go-to when conditions are this ordinary. The combination of short-period swell and cross-shore winds most days makes it a tough paddle for little reward. For the intermediate surfer, the Sunday session is the only one that's worth your time.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the forecasts.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 29°C on Thu afternoon, min 27°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
ENE
8
1.3
ENE
8
1.2
E
8
1.2
ENE
8
1.3
ENE
7
1.4
ENE
7
1.6
ENE
7
1.5
ENE
8
0.9
E
8
1.2
ENE
7
1.6
ENE
12
2.1
ENE
11
1.9
ENE
10
1.6
E
9
1.4
ENE
9
1.3
E
8
1.3
E
8
1.3
E
8
1.3
E
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
223
218
172
169
176
208
259
234
93
142
658
954
657
421
304
234
212
206
201
Wind (km/h)
25
ENE
20
E
20
ENE
20
ENE
25
E
25
E
25
E
25
ENE
20
NE
10
NE
20
S
20
SE
20
ESE
20
E
20
ENE
20
E
20
E
20
E
25
E
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
off
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
2:10AM0.41m
4:18PM0.33m
2:58AM0.42m
4:24PM0.35m
3:44AM0.41m
4:36PM0.37m
4:31AM0.39m
4:54PM0.40m
5:19AM0.36m
5:19PM0.41m
6:11AM0.32m
5:48PM0.43m
Low Tide
9:28AM0.10m
8:49PM0.25m
9:54AM0.13m
9:37PM0.22m
10:18AM0.15m
10:25PM0.19m
10:38AM0.17m
11:15PM0.16m
10:55AM0.20m
00:09AM0.14m
11:06AM0.21m
1:10AM0.11m
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
rain showers
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:21
6:20
6:19
6:19
6:17
6:16
6:16
 mm
2
1
1
2
2
8
2
Temp °C
27
28
29
27
28
29
28
29
29
27
28
29
28
28
29
27
29
29
27
Feels °C
28
29
30
28
29
30
30
30
30
29
30
30
30
29
31
28
31
30
29
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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