Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 am 02 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
28.9°C
0.0° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 9 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, E swell with 428 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 09) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5PM (Wed 2nd Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 7s
Best Surf 5PM (Wed 2nd Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 7s
Most Powerful 2PM (Wed 9th Sep)6ft (1.8m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let's get into it.

Look, mate, I'm gonna be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at Bagasse are a tough watch. For a solid two weeks, there’s hardly anything worth paddling out for. The easterly swell just doesn't match what this reef wants; it’s coming from the wrong direction to really light it up properly. The wind isn't helping either, mostly blowing cross or cross-off, which isn't clean enough for the weak stuff on offer. You’re looking at a long stretch of poor surf conditions and ordinary waves.

Kicking off Wednesday the 2nd, there’s a tiny bit of activity with a 3ft easterly swell at 7 seconds. That’s a short-period, weak little windswell boasting only 75 combined energy units. It’s surfable but very ordinary. Thursday the 3rd bumps up slightly but stays messy with a cross-shore wind. The energy lifts to 145 by the afternoon with a 3ft swell, but the quality just isn’t there.

Friday the 4th stays in that same rut – chest-high at best, period still short, and the water temp is sitting around a normal 84°F. Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th are much the same story, with the combined energy hovering between 100 and 134. We’re just not getting a clean lineup.

As we roll into the second week, the swell actually starts to build. By Tuesday the 8th, we’re seeing 4ft to 5ft with combined energy jumping into the 242 to 258 range, but the period is still stuck at a boggy 7 seconds. This is where it gets frustrating. By Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th, the swell hits 6ft to 6ft and the energy spikes right up to 474-499, but the wind picks up too – 15 to 18 mph from the east, which is cross-off but with that much wind it’s just messy. The wave comment is flat: “poor surf conditions.”

This continues right through to the end of the outlook on Thursday the 17th. The biggest energy we see is 499, which is strong, but with an easterly direction and only 8-second periods, at a reef that wants northerly swell… it just doesn't click. For the most part, if the wind is up and the waves are that size and shape, this setup would be way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. There’s no standout here, no day where it all comes together. Honestly, this stretch looks like a write-off for good waves.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 27°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
E
7
0.8
ENE
7
0.7
E
7
0.6
E
7
0.9
ENE
9
1
E
8
1.1
ENE
8
1
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
1
E
8
0.8
E
8
1.1
E
7
1.1
E
7
1.2
E
7
1.3
E
7
1.4
E
7
1.6
E
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
70
73
51
38
123
134
147
120
91
99
99
115
118
133
80
131
124
147
178
215
264
Wind (km/h)
15
E
15
E
15
E
15
ENE
20
ENE
20
E
15
E
20
ENE
15
E
15
SE
15
ESE
15
E
15
E
20
E
20
E
25
E
20
E
25
E
25
E
20
E
25
E
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
6:24PM0.43m
8:23AM0.25m
7:07PM0.43m
7:58PM0.43m
9:02PM0.43m
10:21PM0.43m
3:16PM0.30m
11:50PM0.43m
3:08PM0.31m
1:11AM0.44m
Low Tide
11:11AM0.22m
2:22AM0.09m
11:04AM0.23m
3:39AM0.07m
4:54AM0.06m
6:02AM0.05m
7:00AM0.05m
5:32PM0.29m
7:49AM0.06m
6:56PM0.26m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:15
6:15
6:14
6:14
6:13
6:12
6:10
 mm
2
3
4
1
Temp °C
28
29
27
28
29
28
29
29
28
29
29
28
29
30
28
29
29
28
29
29
28
Feels °C
31
31
29
30
31
31
31
31
30
31
31
31
32
33
31
30
30
30
29
29
29
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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