Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, ENE swell with 959 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.1m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's get stuck into this one.
We've only got one spot on the radar for the next 16 days: Bagasse, a reef setup. The wait is on for a while, though. The first week is pretty grim, with hardly anything worth paddling out for. The energy is low, the winds are mostly cross or cross-off, and the conditions are just... ordinary. You’re looking at a whole lot of "poor surf" and "marginal" calls from the 29th of August right through to the 4th of September. The break is fairly consistent, so it's a bit frustrating that the ocean is just not cooperating. The water temp is sitting at 85°, which is pretty normal for this time of year – nothing weird there.
The real chance of a decent session shows up on Saturday, September 5th. That’s the standout. The morning brings a clean 6ft swell from the ENE, with a gentle breeze and a cross-off wind. The combined energy is a solid 1216, so there's some proper push in the water. The swell period is 10 seconds, a nice groundswell that will wrap in well on this reef. It's a bit on the bigger side, so maybe not one for the absolute beginners, but intermediate surfers should be into it. The afternoon session on the same day looks even punchier, with the swell jumping to 8ft and the period stretching to 11 seconds. The energy reading hits 1505 – that's a lot of power. However, at that size, with a cross-off breeze, this is getting into expert territory. Keep an eye on the wind, but if it holds, it could be a ripper. The crowds are noted as "sometimes" here, so you might have a few others with the same idea.
After that, the forecast drops back into the marginal zone. The following week from the 6th of September onwards offers a few cleaner windows with chest-high lines, but the energy is moderate and the wind will be cross-off. It's surfable, but nothing to get overly excited about – just small, workable waves. The swell direction stays pretty locked in from the E/ENE, which is the optimum direction for this break, so at least it's set up right.
All in all, if you can wait, the 5th of September is your day. The rest of the window is a bit of a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu night. Warm (max 29°C on Tue afternoon, min 27°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | NNE 11 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
214 | 131 | 959 | 746 | 508 | 413 | 349 | 264 | 245 | 172 | 115 | 127 | 109 | 12 | 158 | 214 | 239 | 221 | 196 | 191 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:36PM0.37m | 4:31AM0.39m | 4:54PM0.40m | 5:19AM0.36m | 5:19PM0.41m | 6:11AM0.32m | 5:48PM0.43m | 7:09AM0.28m | 6:24PM0.43m | 8:23AM0.25m | 7:07PM0.43m | 7:58PM0.43m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:25PM0.19m | 10:38AM0.17m | 11:15PM0.16m | 10:55AM0.20m | 00:09AM0.14m | 11:06AM0.21m | 1:10AM0.11m | 11:11AM0.22m | 2:22AM0.09m | 11:04AM0.23m | 3:39AM0.07m | 4:54AM0.06m | ||||||||
— | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | |
6:19 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:14 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 7 | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 30 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | N 11 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 12 | N 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | N 10 | N 9 |
214 | 131 | 959 | 746 | 508 | 413 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 2 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | E 8 | ESE 9 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | ENE 9 | NE 9 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | N 9 | N 9 | ESE 9 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | N 10 | N 9 |
45 | 78 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 13 | NE 10 | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | SE 6 | N 11 | SE 6 | SE 6 | N 10 | NE 8 | — | NE 8 | N 9 | — | — | — | — | N 10 | — |
3 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | ESE 9 | SE 4 | — | — | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 |
— | — | 30 | 2 | — | — | 349 | 264 | 245 | 172 | 115 | 127 | 109 | 90 | 158 | 214 | 239 | 221 | 196 | 191 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 240 | 0 | 480 | 615 | 504 | 541 | 380 | 517 | 380 | 319 | 270 | 380 | 270 | 270 | 787 | 414 | 787 | 615 | 551 | 319 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











