Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 10s period, ENE swell with 853 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 9s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s coming up at Bagasse over the next couple of weeks.
First off, don’t hold your breath for the next few days. The pattern is pretty flat and messy for a while, with a real quiet start. We're looking at a bit of a gap until the weekend of the 30th and 31st shows some pulse. The water’s sitting at 85°, which is pretty normal for this time of year – nothing wild there.
The standout window is Sunday the 30th into Monday the 31st. On Sunday morning, the swell builds to a clean 7 ft out of the ENE, with a period of 10 seconds and a solid energy reading of 795 (moderate). The wind is cross-offshore from the ESE, which is a major plus – it’ll be clean. That’s the best of the whole run. Sunday afternoon holds similar, with 6 ft ENE swell and energy at 726. Monday morning drops a bit to 5 ft but stays clean. This is a reef break that’s exposed to the north, so it’s picking up the swell nicely. The ENE direction is a bit off the optimal north, but it’s still working. Keep in mind the swell is getting up over 5 ft, so it’s not a beginner’s day – it’s more for intermediate and up.
After that, the energy drops off fast. Tuesday (1st) through to the 5th is mostly poor with marginal conditions, lots of cross-shore wind and small swell. Then on the 5th (Saturday) we get a little bump: 6 ft E swell with 9 seconds and energy at 615, but it’s mixed with risk of thunderstorms. Still, it’s clean and worth a look if you’re desperate.
The second week – from the 6th onward – is pretty average. The swell hangs around 5 ft to 7 ft but the wind is up, often 15-19 mph from the east, which keeps things lumpy. The 10th (Thursday) has some promise with 7 ft ENE swell and energy at 680, but the wind is fresh and the period is only 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit of a mess. Not a standout.
Bottom line: if you can get out Sunday the 30th or Monday the 31st, that’s the call. The rest is mostly small, choppy, or just flat. This is a spot that’s fairly consistent, so it won’t stay dead forever, but don’t expect much after that first pulse.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sun night. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 25°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Tue morning, min 27°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 146 | 214 | 111 | 792 | 720 | 445 | 374 | 304 | 229 | 212 | 172 | 115 | 108 | 106 | 89 | 111 | 114 | 167 | 212 | 169 | 120 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:36PM0.37m | 4:31AM0.39m | 4:54PM0.40m | 5:19AM0.36m | 5:19PM0.41m | 6:11AM0.32m | 5:48PM0.43m | 7:09AM0.28m | 6:24PM0.43m | 8:23AM0.25m | 7:07PM0.43m | 7:58PM0.43m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 10:18AM0.15m | 10:25PM0.19m | 10:38AM0.17m | 11:15PM0.16m | 10:55AM0.20m | 00:09AM0.14m | 11:06AM0.21m | 1:10AM0.11m | 11:11AM0.22m | 2:22AM0.09m | 11:04AM0.23m | 3:39AM0.07m | 4:54AM0.06m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — |
 | — | 6:19 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:14 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 |
Temp °C | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 30 | 31 | 32 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | N 11 | N 11 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | E 8 | N 12 | N 11 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | NNE 10 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | N 10 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 146 | 214 | 111 | 792 | 720 | 445 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 115 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 167 | 212 | 2 | 120 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | NE 10 | E 8 | ESE 9 | N 12 | SE 8 | N 11 | ENE 9 | NNE 9 | N 13 | N 13 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | N 10 | SE 8 | ESE 9 |
| kJ | 55 | 44 | 76 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 14 | N 13 | NE 10 | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | N 11 | N 11 | N 10 | N 13 | N 12 | E 9 | NE 8 | N 9 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | — | N 10 | N 9 |
| kJ | 4 | 3 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 10 | — | 2 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | — | — | ESE 9 | SE 4 | — | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | — | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | — | — | ENE 8 | — |
| kJ | 123 | — | — | 30 | 2 | — | 374 | 304 | 229 | 212 | 172 | — | 108 | 106 | 89 | 111 | 114 | — | — | 169 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 270 | 178 | 0 | 4 | 645 | 506 | 380 | 178 | 454 | 454 | 380 | 270 | 414 | 270 | 153 | 178 | 240 | 645 | 1676 | 551 | 454 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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