Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period, E swell with 224 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.2m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 9s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Right, folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at the only spot on the table for this stretch: Bagasse. It’s a reef break, and it’s fairly consistent, so it’s not a total write-off, but honestly, we’re looking at a pretty grim run for the next two weeks. The water temp is sitting at 84°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t show up until the morning of Thursday the 5th of September. Before that, from Tuesday the 1st right through to Wednesday the 4th, it’s all poor surf conditions with tiny, weak swell. You’re looking at waves around 2ft to 4ft, all short-period stuff around 7 to 8 seconds, and the combined energy is weak to moderate at best (41 to 162). The wind is cross or cross-off from the east, which keeps it clean enough, but there’s just no juice. It’s a frustrating start.
Thursday the 5th morning is the first time we see a “surfable” wave, but it’s a 1 out of 10. A tiny 3ft swell from the east-northeast, 8-second period, with combined energy of just 79. The wind is light cross-off from the east-southeast, so it’s clean, but it’s barely a ripple. Nothing to get excited about.
The following week, from the 6th to the 16th, the swell picks up a bit, but it’s still a tough sell. The morning of Tuesday the 8th sees a 5ft east swell with 7-second period and combined energy of 268, which is moderate. The wind stays cross-off and clean, but the short period means the waves are going to be a bit weak and messy. The best looking swell on paper is the morning of Thursday the 10th: 6ft from the east-northeast, 8-second period, and combined energy of 526, which is strong. But again, the wind is a fresh 19 mph from the east, cross-off, so it’s going to be a bit of a battle. At 6ft, it’s getting a bit too big for beginners. The afternoon of the 10th is a touch smaller at 7ft from the east, with similar energy, but the wind backs off to a moderate breeze.
For the whole 16-day window, the waves are coming from the east and east-northeast, which is the optimum direction for this spot. The problem is the quality. The scores are all 0 or 1 out of 10, with “poor surf conditions” or “marginal surf forecast” the whole way through. The period is consistently short, 7 to 9 seconds, so you’re not getting any groundswell power. The best you can hope for is a clean, cross-off wind and a bit of size, but the shape is going to be poor.
If I had to pick one standout, it’s the morning of Thursday the 10th of September. The swell is 6ft from the east-northeast, combined energy is a strong 526, and the wind is cross-off and clean. That’s your best chance for a proper wave, even if it’s a bit of a grunt. But remember, this is a reef break, so with that short period, it’s going to be a bit dumpy and not the smooth, lined-up stuff you’d want. It’s a surfer’s call, but it’s the only window worth looking at.
All in all, it’s a lean two weeks. The first week is a total dud, and the second week offers a little more size but still poor quality. It’s a tough stretch for the area. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but for now, don’t sell your board.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 29°C on Tue morning, min 26°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Fri morning, min 27°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
157 | 124 | 96 | 72 | 71 | 55 | 25 | 75 | 87 | 127 | 143 | 94 | 77 | 99 | 144 | 177 | 165 | 130 | 155 | 152 | 178 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:48PM0.43m | 7:09AM0.28m | 6:24PM0.43m | 8:23AM0.25m | 7:07PM0.43m | 7:58PM0.43m | 9:02PM0.43m | 10:21PM0.43m | 3:16PM0.30m | 11:50PM0.43m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 11:06AM0.21m | 1:10AM0.11m | 11:11AM0.22m | 2:22AM0.09m | 11:04AM0.23m | 3:39AM0.07m | 4:54AM0.06m | 6:02AM0.05m | 7:00AM0.05m | 5:32PM0.29m | |||||||||||
5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | |
— | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:12 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 31 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 32 | 29 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | E 8 | ESE 9 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ESE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 8 | N 11 | N 9 | NNE 10 |
157 | 15 | 3 | 72 | 8 | 55 | 25 | 75 | 87 | 7 | 143 | 94 | 77 | 99 | 144 | 8 | 7 | 130 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | SE 9 | N 11 | ESE 9 | NE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | NNE 10 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 13 | NNE 12 |
2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | N 9 | NNE 11 | ESE 9 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | — | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | — | N 8 | N 8 | S 6 | N 8 | N 7 |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 10 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 8 | ENE 8 | — | ENE 7 | — | — | ENE 3 | E 4 | ENE 8 | — | — | — | — | SSE 3 | E 9 | E 8 | — | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 |
— | 124 | 96 | — | 71 | — | — | 4 | 7 | 127 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 177 | 165 | — | 155 | 152 | 178 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 6 | 178 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 153 | 270 | 551 | 380 | 380 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 181 | 181 | 380 | 551 | 319 | 517 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











