
Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, ENE swell with 509 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’ve got a pretty grim 16-day stretch ahead. The first surfable day is Saturday, July 11th, but honestly, it’s not looking good. The whole period is plagued by poor conditions, with only a couple of days that are even marginal.
For the first week and a half, from the 11th through to the 21st of July, the consistent easterly wind is a killer. It’s mostly cross or cross-off, gusting at 18 to 19 mph, which is just shredding the surface. The swell is a short-period, weak windswell – around 4 to 6 ft, with periods of 7 to 8 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate at best, like 468 (kW/m) on that first Saturday before it drops. The water temperature is 83°F, which is about average for the time of year. The only break we’ve got to work with is Bagasse, a reef setup. It’s a fairly consistent spot, but the wind and swell combo just aren’t cooperating. The swell is coming from the ENE and E, and the optimum for this break is from the N, so it’s a total mismatch. The surf is just poor, with a cross-chop that makes it a messy, frustrating paddle.
On Saturday, July 18th, the swell bumps up to 7 ft, but it’s still a short-period, 8-second windswell from the E, with a combined energy of 531 (kW/m). The wind is a fresh 19 to 22 mph cross-shore, which just makes it a lumpy, blown-out mess. That size is too big for beginners, and the conditions are only for the hardcore, but honestly, even then it’s not worth it. This setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Now, there is a tiny spark of hope. Clear skies and a light 9 to 12 mph cross-off wind on Tuesday, July 21st produce a “marginal” forecast. The swell is 4 ft from the ENE with a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy is 230 (kW/m). It’s the only time in the whole run where the conditions are even close to clean. The wind is light and cross-off, which is a major positive. But it’s still a short-period swell, and the wave comment is “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” so it’s not a standout. The crowds at Bagasse can be present sometimes, so you might have a few heads out, but it’s the only option.
The rest of the second week, from the 22nd to the 26th of July, is a total washout. The wind kicks back up to 15 to 19 mph, the swell drops to 4 ft, and the energy is weak (140 to 291 kW/m). The surf is poor again. For a break that’s fairly consistent, this is a cruel run of blank days. Don’t hold your breath, but things can change quickly here.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 28°C on Sat morning, min 26°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Wed morning, min 26°C on Tue morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
460 | 414 | 350 | 333 | 253 | 280 | 292 | 258 | 258 | 258 | 226 | 226 | 186 | 181 | 155 | 152 | 143 | 157 | 157 | 161 | 232 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:53PM0.48m | 4:48PM0.28m | 00:58AM0.49m | 4:57PM0.29m | 2:02AM0.50m | 5:21PM0.30m | 3:03AM0.50m | 5:48PM0.32m | 4:01AM0.49m | 6:16PM0.34m | 4:57AM0.46m | 6:45PM0.36m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 8:20AM-0.02m | 5:49PM0.28m | 9:12AM-0.04m | 7:09PM0.28m | 10:02AM-0.03m | 8:18PM0.27m | 10:49AM-0.01m | 9:26PM0.27m | 11:32AM0.03m | 10:38PM0.26m | 12:12PM0.08m | 11:55PM0.25m | |||||||||
5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | |
— | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 26 |
Feels °C | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 14 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | N 11 | N 11 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | NNE 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 |
4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | SE 4 | N 12 | N 12 | — | N 11 | N 11 | N 10 | N 8 | N 8 | — | N 7 | E 13 | E 13 | N 7 | E 13 | N 9 | — | N 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 |
1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | — | 9 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | 4 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 14 | N 13 | — | SE 4 | N 12 | SE 4 | — | N 8 | SE 4 | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | SE 4 | N 9 | E 13 | N 9 | E 13 | N 9 | — | E 12 | — |
4 | 3 | — | 1 | 11 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | — | 3 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 |
460 | 414 | 350 | 333 | 253 | 280 | 292 | 258 | 258 | 258 | 226 | 226 | 186 | 181 | 155 | 152 | 143 | 157 | 157 | 161 | 232 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 787 | 319 | 319 | 319 | 178 | 178 | 615 | 380 | 319 | 551 | 319 | 178 | 241 | 178 | 178 | 551 | 787 | 319 | 615 | 319 | 319 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










