
Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 31 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 31 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, ENE swell with 380 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.7m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Fri 31st Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Bagasse.
Honestly, it’s a pretty quiet run for the next 16 days. The first few days are a write-off for decent waves, and the whole period is filled with poor surf conditions. There is a gap of no real surf to speak of right from the start, running through until the end of the 16-day window. The only real noteworthy bit comes right at the end, but it’s a long way off.
The water is sitting at 83°F right now, which is about 0.5°F warmer than usual for this time of year – nothing to get excited about, just your standard tropical bath.
The earliest we see a pulse is around Friday, July 31st, with some chest-high swell pushing in at 6ft from the ENE, with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (477). The problem is the wind is a cross-shore from the ENE at 16 mph, and the wave comment calls it poor surf. The afternoon cleans up a little wind-wise, offering a cross-off breeze, but the swell is still a messy, short-period affair. Not worth paddling out for.
The rest of the first week and into the second week is a dead zone. Swell drops right off, with heights between 0.7ft and 5ft, periods under 8 seconds, and energy readings dropping to as low as 18 (weak). The wind is mostly cross-off or cross-shore, but the wave quality is consistently rated as poor. The water temperature data doesn’t reappear, but the surf just isn’t there.
The best of a bad bunch is the very tail end of the forecast. On Tuesday, August 11th, the swell builds back to 6ft from the ENE, period creeping up to 8 seconds, with moderate wave energy (391). The wind is a cross-shore from the ENE at 16 mph, but the wave comment still says poor surf conditions. This pattern holds through to the 15th of August, with swell heights around 5ft to 6ft, but the wind stays onshore or cross-shore, and the quality never improves. The combined energy gets up to 357 on the 15th, but it’s all messy.
So, for the whole 16-day window, there is nothing to recommend. The swell direction is from the ENE, which is not the optimum N direction for this reef break. The wind is never clean offshore, and the surf quality is rated as poor or marginal across the board. For a spot that’s fairly consistent, this is a real bummer. It’s a blank run. Sometimes it just goes flat, and this is one of those times.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 25°C on Fri afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | NE 7 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | E 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
414 | 380 | 338 | 244 | 202 | 137 | 196 | 214 | 186 | 166 | 138 | 113 | 89 | 86 | 66 | 9 | 59 | 76 | 155 | 152 | 159 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 5:47PM0.34m | 4:25AM0.41m | 5:59PM0.36m | 5:10AM0.39m | 6:16PM0.38m | 5:58AM0.35m | 6:39PM0.40m | 6:53AM0.31m | 7:09PM0.41m | 7:59AM0.27m | 7:45PM0.43m | 9:33AM0.23m | 8:29PM0.43m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:04AM0.10m | 10:21PM0.26m | 11:27AM0.13m | 11:17PM0.25m | 11:45AM0.16m | 00:19AM0.23m | 11:58AM0.18m | 1:29AM0.20m | 12:06PM0.20m | 2:46AM0.16m | 12:06PM0.22m | 4:01AM0.12m | 11:47AM0.22m | ||||||||
5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | |
— | 6:34 | — | — | 6:34 | — | — | 6:34 | — | — | 6:32 | — | — | 6:32 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | |
mm | — | 9 | 3 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | NE 7 | NE 7 | N 11 | N 11 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 6 | ENE 9 | NE 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 |
63 | 64 | 338 | 244 | 202 | 137 | — | 28 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 21 | 48 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | SE 4 | — | S 5 | S 6 | S 4 | S 6 | S 6 | SE 4 | — | SSE 4 | S 5 | E 11 | E 12 | E 11 | E 10 | ENE 10 | NNE 9 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NNE 10 |
1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 10 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | E 12 | E 12 | — | — | S 5 | — | — | — | — | E 11 | N 9 | N 9 | E 10 | N 11 | — | — | NE 10 |
— | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SE 5 | SE 4 | — | — | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | E 7 |
414 | 380 | 1 | 6 | — | — | 196 | 214 | 186 | 166 | 138 | 113 | 89 | 86 | 66 | 64 | 59 | 76 | 155 | 152 | 159 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 454 | 32 | 0 | 4 | 181 | 6 | 319 | 551 | 454 | 239 | 178 | 270 | 6 | 787 | 719 | 380 | 752 | 719 | 752 | 787 | 719 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











