
Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period, ENE swell with 2,103 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Sun 16th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s cookin’ at Bagasse.
This forecast is a bit of a heartbreaker, to be honest. We’ve got a long, dry spell of pretty average to poor conditions stretchin’ out for the next week and a half. The first real chance to get your feet wet doesn’t show up until Monday the 17th, and even then, it’s a short-lived window. Before that, we’re lookin’ at a lot of onshore and cross-off winds with a messy, lumpy ocean.
The standout, and really the only true highlight in this 16-day outlook, is Monday, August 17th. Early morning, we’ve got a light offshore breeze from the S at 6 mph, and by the afternoon it’s glassin’ off even more. The swell will be a solid 6 ft to 6 ft from the ENE, with a moderate period around 10 seconds, and the combined energy is strong – hitting 752 (moderate to strong energy). This is a reef break, so that longer-period energy should wrap in nicely, giving us some well-shaped, clean lines. The water’s sittin’ at 84°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no need for a thick suit.
Important: On the 17th, the wind turns light offshore and the surf cleans right up. That’s your best shot. It’s an intermediate-level wave, so if you’re just gettin’ into it, the 6 ft size might feel a bit much. And watch out, crowds are listed as "sometimes," so you might have some company at the takeoff zone.
Before that Monday, the 14th and 15th have some serious size – 10 ft on Friday and 8 ft on Saturday – but the wind is howlin’ from the ENE at 22-25 mph, makin’ it a messy, cross-shore chop. That kind of power and wind is more for the kite crew than a paddle surfer. The energy is huge, over 1000, but the quality is just not there.
After that brief window on the 17th, it all fades again. Tuesday the 18th still has some waist-chest high leftovers, but the wind goes cross-off and the energy drops. By the 19th, it’s back to poor conditions, and we’re basically in a flat, windy pattern through to the end of the forecast on August 24th. There’s a gap of about 5 days from the 19th to the 24th with nothing worth paddlin’ out for.
So, mark your calendar for Monday the 17th. That’s the one to chase.
Stay salty,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Mon morning, min 27°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Wed afternoon, min 27°C on Wed afternoon). Mainly strong winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | NNE 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
192 | 189 | 71 | 64 | 49 | 24 | 82 | 121 | 101 | 201 | 285 | 416 | 542 | 709 | 1051 | 1181 | 1070 | 878 | 651 | 537 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 11:43PM0.46m | 4:11PM0.29m | 00:58AM0.47m | 4:16PM0.30m | 2:06AM0.48m | 4:34PM0.33m | 3:08AM0.48m | 4:56PM0.35m | 4:04AM0.46m | 5:20PM0.37m | 4:58AM0.42m | 5:45PM0.39m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:10AM0.00m | 6:12PM0.28m | 8:58AM0.01m | 7:33PM0.27m | 9:42AM0.03m | 8:41PM0.25m | 10:21AM0.06m | 9:44PM0.23m | 10:56AM0.10m | 10:46PM0.21m | 11:25AM0.15m | 11:49PM0.18m | ||||||||
— | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | |
6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:29 | — | — | 6:29 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:27 | — | |
mm | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 29 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 6 | NNE 8 | ENE 6 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 9 | NNE 8 | NE 11 | N 8 | N 14 | N 14 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 11 |
19 | 19 | 51 | 28 | 49 | 24 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 27 | 55 | 52 | 47 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | ESE 8 | NE 9 | ESE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ESE 8 | NE 8 | N 9 | N 15 | NE 8 | N 13 | — | N 15 | SE 4 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | E 17 |
5 | 18 | 28 | 7 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | 4 | 1 | 27 | 45 | 23 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | — | E 11 | E 10 | ESE 8 | ENE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | — | N 11 | NE 8 | — | N 14 | — | — | N 15 | — | SE 6 | SE 7 | — |
2 | — | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 7 | — | 2 | 3 | — | 4 | — | — | 4 | — | 2 | 2 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 6 | — | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 |
192 | 189 | 71 | 64 | — | 52 | 82 | 121 | 101 | 201 | 285 | 416 | 542 | 709 | 1051 | 1181 | 1070 | 878 | 651 | 537 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 404 | 270 | 178 | 4 | 6 | 719 | 240 | 645 | 752 | 764 | 719 | 749 | 750 | 849 | 754 | 787 | 413 | 454 | 454 | 319 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











