Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, ENE swell with 427 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 8s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – this stretch is a tough one. We’re looking at a long, drawn-out run of very average conditions at Bagasse, with nothing that really gets the heart racing until the very, very end of the forecast. You’re gonna need patience.
Starting from Saturday the 18th of July right through to the end of the month, it’s a real grind. The swell is there, bouncing around between 3ft and 6ft, all coming from the ENE, but the wind is the killer. We’ve got a persistent easterly flow, mostly a cross or cross-off shore at 12 to 19 mph, and that’s just keeping things chopped up and messy. The wave energy is moderate, but the quality just isn’t there. The wave period is short, between 6 and 8 seconds, so it’s all wind-slop, not proper groundswell. The water temp is sitting at 83°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a spring suit.
There’s a tiny glimmer on the 25th of July (Saturday afternoon) where it gets a little less terrible, but even then, it’s barely a ripple. The setup here is a reef break, and with this much cross-shore wind and short-period chop, it’s honestly looking more like a kite session than a paddle session for most of this period.
For the first week of August, things don't look much better. The 2nd of August (Sunday) sees similar 5ft ENE swell with the same cross-off wind. Still just poor surf conditions.
The only real standout, and I mean the *only* one worth marking on your calendar, is the very last entry. On Friday the 31st of July, the wind finally looks like it might ease. We’ve got a light breeze from the SE at 6 mph in the morning, turning into a gentle 9 mph from the ESE in the afternoon. For the first time in this whole forecast, that’s a proper cross-off that will clean things up. The swell is 4ft to 5ft from the ENE with a 7-second period, so it’s still not a world-beater. But after weeks of wind, that morning of the 31st is your best bet. It’s surfable, it’s clean, and you’ll have it to yourself given the crowds are only "sometimes" an issue. Don’t expect perfection, but at least you won’t be fighting a washing machine.
After that, it’s back to the grind on the 1st and 2nd of August. A long, blank run for anything truly good.
Stay tuned, conditions can turn quicker than a backside bottom turn.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Mon morning, min 26°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue morning, min 26°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | NNE 7 | E 6 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 416 | 365 | 427 | 416 | 316 | 308 | 240 | 226 | 140 | 86 | 106 | 79 | 74 | 84 | 107 | 103 | 128 | 34 | 116 | 291 | 335 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:14PM0.38m | 6:48AM0.36m | 7:42PM0.39m | 7:51AM0.30m | 8:11PM0.40m | 9:18AM0.26m | 8:40PM0.40m | 9:12PM0.39m | 9:51PM0.39m | 10:39PM0.38m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 12:46PM0.13m | 1:18AM0.23m | 1:13PM0.18m | 2:40AM0.20m | 1:32PM0.21m | 3:56AM0.17m | 1:31PM0.24m | 5:04AM0.14m | 6:04AM0.11m | 6:56AM0.08m | |||||||||||
 | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — |
 | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:36 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 25 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NE 7 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | E 12 | NNE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 8 |
| kJ | 8 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 8 | 240 | 226 | 140 | 86 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 37 | 3 | 34 | 49 | 54 | 75 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | NNE 8 | NE 9 | N 11 | NNE 9 | N 9 | NNE 9 | ENE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 9 | SE 8 | NE 6 | — | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 27 | 9 | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | SE 4 | SE 4 | NE 8 | SE 4 | SE 4 | N 8 | — | S 5 | — | E 7 | NE 7 | S 5 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 11 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ESE 8 | — | — | — | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 416 | 365 | 427 | 416 | 316 | 308 | 120 | — | — | — | 106 | 79 | 74 | 84 | 107 | 103 | 128 | 43 | 116 | 291 | 335 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 787 | 178 | 787 | 719 | 787 | 178 | 178 | 178 | 178 | 6 | 235 | 551 | 551 | 551 | 319 | 719 | 178 | 670 | 414 | 319 | 319 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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