Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, E swell with 377 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.
Look, I’ve been staring at the charts for Bagasse, and honestly, the next 16 days are a bit of a tough watch. The swell is there, but the wind and conditions are just making it messy. The water temperature is sitting at 83°, which is about spot on for this time of year, so at least you won't need a steamer.
The first real chance of a wave comes on Tuesday, July 14th, with a 4ft easterly swell, but it's blowing a 16 mph cross-shore from the ENE. That's a recipe for a bumpy, chopped-up surface. The combined energy is weak at 176 (hundreds), so there's just not much push. Wednesday morning, July 15th, has a similar 4ft swell from the ENE, but the wind swings to a cross-offshore, cleaning it up a bit. The period is a short 7 seconds, so it'll be a bit crumbly, but it might be the best of a bad bunch. The energy is still low at 200 (hundreds).
From there, it's a grind. The swell hangs around mostly in the 4ft to 6ft range, but the wind is almost always a fresh cross or cross-off breeze, 12-19 mph. The energy climbs a bit around the 18th and 19th of July, hitting 384 (hundreds) and 351 (hundreds) respectively, with swell getting up to 6ft, but the wind just won't give us a clean window. The Saturday morning of July 18th has a 6ft easterly swell with 19 mph cross-off wind, which is about as good as it gets for the whole run, but it's still a bit of a battle. The period stays short, 7-8 seconds, so it's a windswell, not a groundswell.
There's a bit of a spike on Tuesday, July 28th, with the easterly swell hitting 6ft and the combined energy jumping to 413 (hundreds), which is moderate wave energy. The cross-off wind on the morning session might make it rideable, but then the afternoon gets messy again.
So, if you're itching for a paddle, the standout is Wednesday morning, July 15th. It's the cleanest of the lot, with that cross-off wind and a 4ft swell from the ENE. You won't be getting any barrels, but it's your best shot at a few crumbly lefts and rights. After that, the Saturday morning, July 18th, with the 6ft swell is the biggest, but it's going to be a bit of a wrestle with the wind. Just don't expect any magic. The rest of the time, it's a whole lot of choppy, weak, and messy. This isn't a spot that's going to give you much for free.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 26°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 28°C on Sun morning, min 26°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tue 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 163 | 164 | 181 | 156 | 156 | 124 | 120 | 166 | 208 | 166 | 214 | 358 | 346 | 308 | 346 | 308 | 308 | 300 | 273 | 265 | 234 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:21PM0.30m | 3:03AM0.50m | 5:48PM0.32m | 4:01AM0.49m | 6:16PM0.34m | 4:57AM0.46m | 6:45PM0.36m | 5:52AM0.41m | 7:14PM0.38m | 6:48AM0.36m | 7:42PM0.39m | 7:51AM0.30m | 8:11PM0.40m | 9:18AM0.26m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:18PM0.27m | 10:49AM-0.01m | 9:26PM0.27m | 11:32AM0.03m | 10:38PM0.26m | 12:12PM0.08m | 11:55PM0.25m | 12:46PM0.13m | 1:18AM0.23m | 1:13PM0.18m | 2:40AM0.20m | 1:32PM0.21m | 3:56AM0.17m | 1:31PM0.24m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 |
 | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | 6:37 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 |
Feels °C | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 |
| kJ | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 3 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 3 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 7 | E 13 | — | N 7 | N 7 | E 13 | — | N 8 | — | NNE 10 | NNE 9 | SE 4 | NE 10 | N 11 | N 10 | N 9 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 4 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 15 | E 14 | N 10 | SE 4 | E 13 | E 13 | N 7 | E 12 | E 12 | — | — | N 8 | E 8 | SE 4 | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | NNE 8 | SE 4 |
| kJ | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 163 | 164 | 181 | 156 | 156 | 124 | 120 | 166 | 208 | 166 | 214 | 358 | 346 | 308 | 346 | 308 | 308 | 300 | 273 | 265 | 234 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 319 | 178 | 270 | 178 | 178 | 380 | 380 | 670 | 319 | 319 | 517 | 1689 | 178 | 319 | 319 | 319 | 178 | 787 | 178 | 178 | 615 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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