
Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, E swell with 617 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 03) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Hey, this is Rusty, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Bagasse. I hate to say it, but it’s a pretty dead run for the next 16 days. There’s wave action, but it’s not the kind that’ll get you stoked. This is one of those stretches where you’d be better off doing something else.
It all starts on Friday, July 3rd. There’s a chest-high swell coming out of the east at about 6ft, but the period is a short, weak 8 seconds, and the combined wave energy is moderate (403). The wind is howling out of the east at near 19 mph, blowing cross-offshore. It’s clean-looking, but it’s a skunky, bumpy clean. The water is a warm 83°, which is pretty normal for the season.
And this is just the tune we’re stuck with. Through the weekend and all of next week, it’s the same broken record: 5 to 6ft of short-period easterly swell, and that east wind never lets up, running 16 to 22 mph. It’s all flagged as “poor surf conditions.” The wave energies stay in the moderate range (300s and 400s). No change, no fun.
We get a little spike on Friday, July 10th, with the swell hitting 7ft and the energy jumping to a solid 603 (moderate-strong). But right then the wind switches to a pure cross-shore and the water turns into lumpy, bumpy chop. That’s the recipe for a kite session, not a surf session. At that size, it’s expert-only on a bad day anyway.
From July 11th, the swell slowly fades from 6ft down to about 5ft by the end. The wind finally eases back to a moderate 12 mph breeze around the 15th to 17th. The calls go from “poor” to “marginal” on those days. But with that same short period, and the wind still coming from the wrong angle, it never cleans up into anything that’ll give you a proper wave.
There’s no hidden gem in this forecast. The best you can hope for is one of those marginal days around the 15th and 16th when the wind is lighter and the swell is still 5 to 6ft, but even then, the energy is weak and the period is short. For this spot, a long run of nothing special is just how it goes sometimes. The forecast can always flip, but right now I’d say save the wax for another week.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon morning. Warm (max 28°C on Sat morning, min 26°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 29°C on Tue morning, min 26°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
401 | 386 | 432 | 386 | 393 | 349 | 349 | 349 | 403 | 412 | 367 | 359 | 310 | 361 | 406 | 418 | 383 | 407 | 418 | 509 | 603 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:09PM0.32m | 5:07AM0.40m | 7:21PM0.34m | 5:51AM0.38m | 7:39PM0.36m | 6:44AM0.34m | 8:03PM0.39m | 7:48AM0.30m | 8:34PM0.41m | 9:13AM0.26m | 9:12PM0.43m | 9:57PM0.44m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 10:52PM0.29m | 12:34PM0.12m | 00:08AM0.29m | 12:55PM0.15m | 1:46AM0.27m | 1:10PM0.18m | 3:17AM0.23m | 1:20PM0.20m | 4:29AM0.18m | 1:24PM0.22m | 5:32AM0.12m | 6:30AM0.06m | |||||||||
— | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | |
6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | 6:37 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
Feels °C | 27 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | NE 7 | NE 6 | — | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | N 10 | — | NE 7 | NE 13 | NE 12 | ENE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 8 | SE 9 | SE 4 |
1 | 42 | 41 | — | 31 | 23 | 47 | 27 | 34 | 43 | 2 | — | 51 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 30 | 73 | 3 | 1 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SE 4 | — | SE 4 | — | SE 6 | SE 4 | SE 4 | N 9 | NE 12 | NE 12 | — | — | SSE 4 | — | SE 9 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | E 9 | — | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | — | — | — | S 6 | N 10 | S 6 | — | E 13 | — | — | — | — | S 7 | — | — |
1 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 |
401 | 386 | 432 | 386 | 393 | 349 | 349 | 349 | 403 | 412 | 367 | 359 | 310 | 361 | 406 | 418 | 383 | 407 | 418 | 509 | 603 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 319 | 719 | 615 | 319 | 517 | 615 | 319 | 319 | 404 | 319 | 319 | 414 | 319 | 454 | 615 | 751 | 517 | 787 | 719 | 517 | 787 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











