Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 08 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
29.5°C
0.7° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 8 Sep 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, E swell with 450 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 7s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 5AM (Thu 10th Sep)6ft (1.8m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s cut to it – this outlook is a bust. Bagasse is your only option, and it’s a rough stretch.

The general pattern is poor from start to finish. There’s a gap until Tuesday, September 8th, when the first surf appears, but it’s a letdown. The entire 16 days are plagued by bad surf conditions – no real highlights, no sessions worth chasing.

Bagasse is a reef break exposed to northerly swell. The waves come from east-northeast and east, mostly 3 ft to 6 ft, but the period is short at 7 to 8 seconds – windswell energy, not groundswell. The combined energy readings are mostly in the hundreds (low to moderate), from 127 to 561, but every good reading is sabotaged by poor quality. Winds are cross-off or cross from the east at 12 to 19 mph – not light, not offshore, never glassy. Water temp is 85°F with a small anomaly of 1°F, so about average for the season.

The first surf on the 8th is 5 ft of east-northeast swell at 7 seconds, with a 16 mph cross-off. Energy at 330 – moderate, but “poor surf conditions,” score zero. The 9th and 10th bump up to 6 ft and 6 ft, still short period, and the wind doesn’t ease. It’s called “marginal” at best – too lumpy and choppy to enjoy. This 6 ft is okay for intermediates, but with the wind and short period, it’s more work than fun.

The second week sees the swell drop to 3 to 4 ft, energy in the 130s to 190s – weak. By September 22nd, a 6 ft east swell at 8 seconds pops with energy at 336, but again, wind ruins it. No standouts. If you’re into kiteboarding, the steady cross-off breeze might be a go, but for paddle surfing, this is a flat-spell vibe.

Bottom line: Bagasse is a fairly consistent reef, but the swell direction, period, and wind never align. The optimal swell direction is north, but we get east-northeast – always slightly off. Crowds are “sometimes” an issue, but with this quality, you’ll be alone. Don’t bank on a miracle here; forecasts can shift, but this run looks like a washout.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Tue afternoon, min 28°C on Tue afternoon). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Fri afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Tue
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
ENE
7
1.9
ENE
7
1.8
ENE
8
1.8
ENE
8
1.8
E
8
1.7
E
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.7
ENE
8
1.7
E
8
1.6
E
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.3
ENE
7
1.2
ENE
7
1.3
E
8
1.2
E
8
1.2
ENE
8
1.3
E
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
203
405
406
427
439
403
359
392
374
324
324
300
266
204
181
151
191
168
173
186
Wind (km/h)
25
E
35
E
30
E
30
E
25
E
25
E
30
E
30
E
30
E
25
E
35
ENE
30
ENE
25
E
25
E
20
E
25
E
25
E
25
E
25
ENE
25
ENE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
High Tide
3:08PM0.31m
1:11AM0.44m
3:19PM0.34m
2:19AM0.44m
3:37PM0.36m
3:18AM0.43m
3:59PM0.39m
4:12AM0.41m
4:21PM0.40m
5:03AM0.37m
4:45PM0.41m
5:54AM0.33m
5:09PM0.41m
Low Tide
6:56PM0.26m
8:32AM0.08m
8:00PM0.23m
9:09AM0.11m
8:57PM0.20m
9:41AM0.15m
9:49PM0.17m
10:08AM0.18m
10:40PM0.14m
10:31AM0.20m
11:29PM0.11m
10:48AM0.22m
00:20AM0.10m
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:10
6:10
6:09
6:08
6:07
6:07
6:07
 mm
1
1
1
2
2
1
2
1
3
2
Temp °C
29
28
28
29
28
29
29
28
29
29
28
28
29
28
29
29
28
28
29
28
Feels °C
30
29
28
29
28
30
29
28
28
28
28
26
28
28
30
30
29
28
30
28
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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