Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next stretch.

To be honest, the first week or so is a bit of a bummer. We’ve got waves, but they’re small and messy, with poor surf conditions pretty much all the way through. The swell is mostly short-period stuff, around 6-8 seconds, which means weak, crumbly lines. The combined energy is low, hanging around 62 to 164 (weak to moderate energy), and the wind is mostly cross or cross-off, which keeps it from getting totally blown out, but it’s still not doing us any favors. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Things start to get a little more interesting as we head into the second week. From Thursday the 13th, we see a proper bump in size. The swell builds to 5 ft on Thursday morning from ENE, with a period of 7 seconds, still not ideal, but the combined energy jumps to 233 (moderate), and the wind is clean cross-off from the east at 22 mph. That’s a big step up. Friday the 14th looks even better: 6 ft to 7 ft from east / ENE, period stretching to 8 seconds, and the combined energy climbs to 398 and 490 (moderate-to-strong). The wind stays clean and cross-off, so the waves will be holding shape.

Now, the standout. Saturday morning the 15th of August is the best on offer. We’re looking at 8 ft swell from ENE, period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy hits 804 (strong). The wind is cross-off from the east-northeast at 22 mph, keeping it clean. That’s a solid, powerful wave for Bagasse (a reef break). It’s exposed and fairly consistent, but crowds are possible. Because it’s a reef, that longer period energy will wrap in nicely, and the size is right in the sweet spot for intermediate surfers. Anything over 8 ft is expert territory, so this is just under that, making it a ripper morning for those who know what they’re doing. Sunday morning the 16th is also firing, with 8 ft from ENE, 9-second period, and combined energy of 830 (strong), but the wind is cross-off, and it’s a bit more on the edge of being too big for the average punter.

The rest of the second week stays in the 5 ft to 7 ft range, with cleaner conditions into Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th, but the energy drops back down. The 6-second period stuff later in the week isn’t as exciting.

So, bottom line: the first week is a write-off for quality surf. Get your gear ready for Saturday the 15th of August. That’s the one to circle.

Rusty.

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