Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, ENE swell with 416 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again, in the old-school units. The story is a rough one.
We're looking at a long stretch of pretty ordinary surf at Bagasse. The setup is a reef break, and it's fairly consistent for picking up swell, but the conditions just aren't playing ball. The water temperature is running at 83°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first real chance of anything even remotely worthwhile doesn't show up until Tuesday, July 21st. Even then, it's a "marginal" call. We're looking at a 4ft swell from the ENE, with a short period of 8 seconds. The wind is offshore from the E, which is good, but the wave energy is moderate at best. It's not a day to get excited about.
After that, it's back to the same old story. Wednesday, Thursday... all the way through to the end of the month, it's a mix of poor surf and marginal conditions. The swell stays between 4ft and 5ft, mostly from the ENE, with short periods of 7-8 seconds. The winds are a mix of cross-off and cross-shore, so the surface is often clean, but the waves themselves just don't have any push or shape. The energy readings mostly stay in the low to mid hundreds, which is weak to moderate.
There's a bit of a spike in swell height around Saturday, July 25th, with 6ft to 6ft forecast. The combined energy gets up to moderate. But the waves are still coming from the ENE with a short period, and the report still calls it marginal. The winds are offshore, so it'll be clean, but it's likely to be a messy, lumpy wave that's hard to enjoy.
Honestly, this is a tough outlook. The reef is exposed to the north, which is the optimum direction, but the swell we're getting is from the wrong angle and the period is too short to generate any real quality. The crowd factor is "sometimes," so there might be a few people out, but no one will be having a great time.
The best on offer, and I use that term loosely, is the Thursday morning, July 24th, and Friday, July 25th. The swell is a touch bigger at 6ft, with clean offshore winds and moderate energy. It's still not a standout, but it's the least bad option in a very grim forecast. For a beginner, 6ft with short period can be a bit of a handful, and for an expert, it's just frustrating.
This is a dry spell, and it looks set to stay that way. There's not a single day I'd be rushing out for. Hopefully, things will change, but right now, the forecast is a write-off.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sun morning, min 26°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 132 | 132 | 120 | 142 | 166 | 181 | 166 | 317 | 375 | 346 | 355 | 416 | 373 | 373 | 316 | 287 | 273 | 196 | 169 | 191 | 181 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:48PM0.32m | 4:01AM0.49m | 6:16PM0.34m | 4:57AM0.46m | 6:45PM0.36m | 5:52AM0.41m | 7:14PM0.38m | 6:48AM0.36m | 7:42PM0.39m | 7:51AM0.30m | 8:11PM0.40m | 9:18AM0.26m | 8:40PM0.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:26PM0.27m | 11:32AM0.03m | 10:38PM0.26m | 12:12PM0.08m | 11:55PM0.25m | 12:46PM0.13m | 1:18AM0.23m | 1:13PM0.18m | 2:40AM0.20m | 1:32PM0.21m | 3:56AM0.17m | 1:31PM0.24m | 5:04AM0.14m | ||||||||
 |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 |
 | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | 6:37 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 |
Feels °C | 27 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | NNE 9 | N 8 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | N 10 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NNE 9 |
| kJ | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 7 | N 7 | E 13 | — | — | — | NNE 10 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NE 10 | — | NNE 9 | N 9 | NE 9 | SE 4 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 9 |
| kJ | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | 9 | 5 | 7 | 4 | — | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 13 | E 13 | N 7 | E 12 | E 12 | — | S 5 | E 8 | E 8 | SE 4 | SE 4 | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | — | NE 8 | NE 8 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 6 |
| kJ | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 132 | 132 | 120 | 142 | 166 | 181 | 166 | 317 | 375 | 346 | 355 | 416 | 373 | 373 | 316 | 287 | 273 | 196 | 169 | 191 | 181 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 178 | 270 | 719 | 414 | 178 | 615 | 178 | 517 | 787 | 178 | 178 | 615 | 319 | 178 | 787 | 178 | 319 | 239 | 178 | 319 | 380 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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