
Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period, ENE swell with 144 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 6s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.3m 7s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next stretch.
To be honest, the first week or so is a bit of a bummer. We’ve got waves, but they’re small and messy, with poor surf conditions pretty much all the way through. The swell is mostly short-period stuff, around 6-8 seconds, which means weak, crumbly lines. The combined energy is low, hanging around 62 to 164 (weak to moderate energy), and the wind is mostly cross or cross-off, which keeps it from getting totally blown out, but it’s still not doing us any favors. The water temp is about average for this time of year.
Things start to get a little more interesting as we head into the second week. From Thursday the 13th, we see a proper bump in size. The swell builds to 5 ft on Thursday morning from ENE, with a period of 7 seconds, still not ideal, but the combined energy jumps to 233 (moderate), and the wind is clean cross-off from the east at 22 mph. That’s a big step up. Friday the 14th looks even better: 6 ft to 7 ft from east / ENE, period stretching to 8 seconds, and the combined energy climbs to 398 and 490 (moderate-to-strong). The wind stays clean and cross-off, so the waves will be holding shape.
Now, the standout. Saturday morning the 15th of August is the best on offer. We’re looking at 8 ft swell from ENE, period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy hits 804 (strong). The wind is cross-off from the east-northeast at 22 mph, keeping it clean. That’s a solid, powerful wave for Bagasse (a reef break). It’s exposed and fairly consistent, but crowds are possible. Because it’s a reef, that longer period energy will wrap in nicely, and the size is right in the sweet spot for intermediate surfers. Anything over 8 ft is expert territory, so this is just under that, making it a ripper morning for those who know what they’re doing. Sunday morning the 16th is also firing, with 8 ft from ENE, 9-second period, and combined energy of 830 (strong), but the wind is cross-off, and it’s a bit more on the edge of being too big for the average punter.
The rest of the second week stays in the 5 ft to 7 ft range, with cleaner conditions into Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th, but the energy drops back down. The 6-second period stuff later in the week isn’t as exciting.
So, bottom line: the first week is a write-off for quality surf. Get your gear ready for Saturday the 15th of August. That’s the one to circle.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 28°C on Wed morning, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 8 | NE 7 | ENE 6 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
59 | 60 | 60 | 17 | 42 | 87 | 46 | 67 | 102 | 144 | 140 | 133 | 137 | 110 | 125 | 140 | 104 | 80 | 54 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:59AM0.27m | 7:45PM0.43m | 9:33AM0.23m | 8:29PM0.43m | 9:23PM0.44m | 10:29PM0.45m | 11:43PM0.46m | 4:11PM0.29m | 00:58AM0.47m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 2:46AM0.16m | 12:06PM0.22m | 4:01AM0.12m | 11:47AM0.22m | 5:12AM0.08m | 6:17AM0.04m | 7:16AM0.01m | 8:10AM0.00m | 6:12PM0.28m | ||||||||||
— | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | |
6:32 | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | |
mm | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | NE 7 | ENE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | NE 9 | NNE 8 | NE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | ENE 6 |
2 | 9 | 20 | 17 | 42 | 15 | 46 | 67 | 9 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 20 | 24 | 19 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 54 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | NE 8 | ENE 9 | NNE 11 | ENE 8 | NNE 10 | ENE 8 | SE 9 | E 12 | E 12 | N 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NNE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | NE 9 |
2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 20 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | N 12 | N 12 | E 10 | NE 11 | SE 9 | NNE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | — | — | — | N 12 | E 11 | E 11 | — | E 11 | E 10 | ESE 8 |
— | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | — |
59 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 45 | 87 | 58 | 47 | 102 | 144 | 140 | 133 | 137 | 110 | 125 | 140 | 104 | 80 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 551 | 6 | 380 | 655 | 541 | 270 | 270 | 270 | 319 | 178 | 178 | 178 | 178 | 787 | 178 | 178 | 178 | 178 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











