Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 19 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, E swell with 2,402 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 19 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at the forecast for Bagasse.
First up, the water temp is sitting right around 84°F, which is pretty much average for this time of year. Nothing unusual there.
The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag. We've got some solid swell pulses, but the wind is going to be the main story, and it's not playing nice for a while. The first few days are a total write-off for a good paddle. We're looking at strong cross-breezes and messy, chopped-up conditions. The swell is there, but it's not the kind of surf you want to get out of bed for.
The real standout, and the one that has me a little excited, is the window on Tuesday the 25th of August. The morning is looking like the pick of the forecast. We've got a clean 7ft swell pushing in from the ENE, with a solid 11-second period. That's proper groundswell energy, folks. The combined energy is a solid 990 (moderate to strong), so there's some punch in them. The real kicker is the light breeze predicted, which should keep the surface glassy. This is a reef break, so that long-period swell should wrap in nicely. Expect clean, well-shaped waves. The afternoon looks good too, with a 6ft swell and a light offshore wind from the SSE, keeping things clean. This is your best bet, no question.
Before that, there's a bit of a wait. The weekend of the 14th and 15th sees some serious size, but those strong cross-off winds are a major caveat, making it tough to manage. The Saturday morning has an 12ft swell from the E, but that's big, beefy stuff for experts only, and the wind is still strong. It's a bit of a frustrating scenario.
After the 25th, the surf drops off again into the last few days of August. The swell fades, and the wind tends to get a bit more cross-shore, so the quality drops back down. It's a bit of a one-hit-wonder for the end of the month.
So, to sum it up: the early part is a no-go, the middle is a bit of a wait, but keep your eyes firmly fixed on Tuesday the 25th of August. That's the day to be on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Fri morning, min 26°C on Sat afternoon). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 10 | E 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
489 | 563 | 887 | 2402 | 2080 | 1057 | 631 | 422 | 318 | 310 | 257 | 223 | 161 | 134 | 112 | 235 | 217 | 173 | 180 | 190 | 133 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:20PM0.37m | 4:58AM0.42m | 5:45PM0.39m | 5:51AM0.37m | 6:11PM0.40m | 6:45AM0.32m | 6:36PM0.40m | 7:44AM0.27m | 7:03PM0.40m | 9:22AM0.23m | 7:32PM0.39m | 8:06PM0.38m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 10:56AM0.10m | 10:46PM0.21m | 11:25AM0.15m | 11:49PM0.18m | 11:49AM0.18m | 00:53AM0.16m | 12:04PM0.21m | 1:59AM0.14m | 12:03PM0.23m | 3:08AM0.13m | 11:00AM0.23m | 4:17AM0.11m | |||||||||
5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | |
— | 6:28 | — | — | 6:27 | — | — | 6:27 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 26 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | ENE 8 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | E 8 | NNE 10 | ENE 8 | E 10 | E 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 |
15 | 14 | 28 | 45 | 52 | 47 | 46 | 45 | 318 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 161 | 9 | 112 | 235 | 217 | 173 | 180 | 190 | 133 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | SE 4 | — | NNE 11 | NNE 12 | SSE 5 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | — | NNE 9 | NE 9 | SE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 8 | SE 8 |
1 | 1 | — | 25 | 26 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 35 | 20 | 20 | 10 | 9 | — | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 7 | 18 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | SE 6 | S 6 | — | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | SE 8 | SE 8 | N 9 | SE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 |
— | — | — | — | — | 24 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 1 | — | 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 14 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 3 |
489 | 563 | 887 | 2402 | 2080 | 1057 | 631 | 422 | — | 310 | 257 | 223 | — | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 754 | 787 | 319 | 451 | 454 | 504 | 504 | 178 | 270 | 241 | 178 | 178 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 4 | 153 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 237 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











