Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at Bagasse.

The outlook kicks off this Sunday, the 30th of August, and honestly, it's a bit of a mixed bag. We've got some moderate wave energy rolling in, with the combined swell energy hitting 885, which puts it in the moderate category. The swell is coming from the ENE at 7ft, with a period of 10 seconds. That's a nice, solid groundswell, and at a reef break, that longer period is going to set up some proper, well-shaped waves. The water temp here is bang on for the time of year at 84°F. The wind is blowing from the SE at 12 mph, which is a cross-off shore breeze. That's a good thing – it'll hold the waves up and keep the faces fairly clean.

The standout is definitely Sunday morning. The cross-off wind, the solid 7ft of ENE swell – it’s got the makings of some fun, punchy walls at Bagasse. This is a fairly consistent spot, but it can get crowded sometimes, so keep an eye out.

From Sunday afternoon and through Monday, the swell starts to back off a touch, dropping from 6ft down to 5ft, and the period shortens a bit. The wind stays cross-off or cross, but the overall quality takes a hit. By Monday afternoon, we're looking at a cross-chop on the surface, which isn't ideal.

The rest of the first week and into the second week, we see a lot of days where the surf is either marginal or just poor. The swell stays small, mostly between 3ft and 5ft, and the period drops to around 7-8 seconds, which is more of a weak, short-period wind swell. The wind stays stiff out of the east, blowing 12-19 mph, which is a cross-off breeze but it's also a fresh breeze at times. The combined energy drops into the low hundreds and then into double digits, so it's weak. Look, for a spot like Bagasse, a blank run like this is pretty normal. It's not going to be a classic paddle session.

There's a bit of a lift around the 8th and 9th of September, Tuesday and Wednesday. The swell picks back up to 7ft, and the period stretches back to 9 seconds. The combined energy climbs back up to 821, which is a solid moderate energy. The downside is the wind is still pumping at 16-22 mph out of the east, which, while cross-off, is a fresh and gusty breeze. It's going to be messy and blown out, more likely a setup for kite surfing than a clean, paddle-friendly wave.

After that, it fades again. From the 10th of September onwards, we're in the gutter. Swell sizes under 4ft, short periods, weak energy. The last few days of the forecast window are a write-off.

So, to boil it down for you: The one session to aim for is Sunday the 30th morning. That's your best bet. After that, it's a long stretch of small, weak, or messy conditions until the 9th of September, which might offer some size but will be wind-affected.

Stay safe, and keep an eye on the bay.
Rusty

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