Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, ENE swell with 556 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 10s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 23) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again, same spot, different numbers. Let’s run it down.
First thing – the early part of the run is a tough watch. From Sunday August 23rd through Tuesday August 25th, we’ve got small, weak, short-period swell out of the East at 4ft to 5ft with a period of only 7 seconds. Wind is a steady 12-16 mph cross-off. Energy is low (around 140-280). It’s clean visually, but there’s no push. Not worth your time.
Wednesday the 26th sees the swell bump to 5ft to 5ft from the ENE, period still 8 seconds, and energy climbs into moderate range (278-320). Wind goes cross, so expect some chop. Not pretty but we’re trending.
Thursday the 27th through Saturday the 29th, swell runs 5ft to 6ft from the ENE, 8 seconds, with cross-off wind. Energy is solid moderate (377-502). It’s marginal but rideable. If you’ve got the itch, mornings on the 27th, 28th, or 29th might give you a few.
Now, pay attention. Sunday August 30th, a big 10ft ENE groundswell rolls in with a long 14-second period. Energy blows up to 3588 – that’s strong to very strong. Wind is light cross from the NE at 9 mph. This is serious size, expert-only territory on the reef. Monday August 31st morning brings a 8ft ENE swell at 10 seconds, with a light 6 mph cross-off from the ESE. Energy still strong (924). The report says “expect very good surf conditions.” That Monday morning is your standout: solid size, clean wind, better period, and the reef will be providing.
After that, from Tuesday September 1st onward, it drops back to small stuff – 4ft to 6ft, short period, weak to moderate energy (98-404), with that same cross-off breeze. The 6th and 7th of September show a little pulse back to 6ft-6ft with period 8 seconds and lighter wind – could be okay, but nothing touches that end-of-August push.
Bottom line: Circle Sunday August 30th and Monday August 31st. Sunday has the biggest swell (10ft, 14-second groundswell) – experts only. Monday morning is my pick: 8ft, 10-second period, clean offshore wind, plenty of power. That’s the best of the whole 16 days. Everything else is small and average.
Stay sharp out there.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 29°C on Sun morning, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Wed morning, min 27°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
156 | 161 | 171 | 163 | 134 | 131 | 106 | 152 | 273 | 273 | 232 | 259 | 273 | 273 | 232 | 220 | 300 | 308 | 426 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:49PM0.37m | 11:02PM0.37m | 4:28PM0.28m | 00:16AM0.39m | 4:18PM0.29m | 1:18AM0.40m | 4:18PM0.31m | 2:10AM0.41m | 4:18PM0.33m | 2:58AM0.42m | 4:24PM0.35m | 3:44AM0.41m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:10AM0.08m | 7:51AM0.07m | 5:58PM0.28m | 8:27AM0.08m | 7:05PM0.27m | 8:59AM0.09m | 8:00PM0.26m | 9:28AM0.10m | 8:49PM0.25m | 9:54AM0.13m | 9:37PM0.22m | ||||||||
— | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | |
6:22 | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:21 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:19 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Temp °C | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | NE 7 | N 11 | N 11 | ENE 8 | NE 15 | NE 14 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 10 |
12 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 232 | 57 | 71 | 85 | 103 | 90 | 86 | 92 | 69 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | N 12 | N 11 | NE 18 | NE 16 | N 10 | NNE 12 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | — |
11 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 40 | 2 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 37 | 48 | 40 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | E 10 | — | SE 4 | N 12 | S 6 | N 12 | N 13 | NE 12 | N 10 | NE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
156 | 161 | 171 | 163 | 134 | 131 | 106 | 152 | 273 | 273 | — | 259 | 273 | 273 | 232 | 220 | 300 | 308 | 426 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 178 | 414 | 380 | 319 | 380 | 380 | 380 | 719 | 764 | 178 | 178 | 319 | 178 | 404 | 240 | 240 | 615 | 319 | 319 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











