Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, ENE swell with 437 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 9s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.
Alright, mate, I gotta be straight with you. The outlook for Bagasse is a bit of a tough one. We're looking at a solid run of onshore winds, mostly cross-off from the east, that just kill the quality. The swell is there, but it's short-period wind swell, mostly around 7 to 8 seconds, and it's messy. The water temp is sitting pretty average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first few days, from Monday the 7th through to the end of the first week, are pretty much a write-off. The wave energy is moderate at best, getting up to a combined energy of 527 on Wednesday the 9th morning, but the wind is just too strong, blowing 15 to 19 mph. That swell is 6 ft, but it's a cross-off breeze with a short period, so it's just lumpy. Not worth paddling out for.
There's a little glimmer from Thursday the 17th through to Friday the 18th. The swell drops to a more manageable 4 ft, and the wind eases to 12 mph. The wave energy is still only moderate, hitting 239 on the 18th, but the conditions are described as "marginal" which is better than "poor". It's still short-period stuff, so it's not going to be a classic, but if you're desperate, those are the best windows. The best of the best is probably the Friday morning, the 18th, with a bit less wind.
After that, we're back into a slump. The swell gets smaller, around 3 ft, and the wind stays onshore. The whole setup is a bit of a grind. The crowds are listed as "sometimes" at Bagasse, so you might have company, but honestly, for this stretch, I'd be surprised if many are out.
For a setup like this, with consistent onshore wind and a beach/reef break, it's honestly looking more interesting for kite surfing than for paddle surfing. The wind is there, but the waves are just too messy for a good paddle session.
So, there you have it. Not a classic run, but a couple of days in the middle of the second week that might be worth a look if you're feeling keen. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sun night. Warm (max 30°C on Mon morning, min 28°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 29°C on Thu morning, min 28°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 138 | 147 | 155 | 176 | 203 | 203 | 303 | 395 | 324 | 324 | 374 | 349 | 437 | 333 | 286 | 279 | 226 | 196 | 188 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:21PM0.43m | 3:16PM0.30m | 11:50PM0.43m | 3:08PM0.31m | 1:11AM0.44m | 3:19PM0.34m | 2:19AM0.44m | 3:37PM0.36m | 3:18AM0.43m | 3:59PM0.39m | 4:12AM0.41m | 4:21PM0.40m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:00AM0.05m | 5:32PM0.29m | 7:49AM0.06m | 6:56PM0.26m | 8:32AM0.08m | 8:00PM0.23m | 9:09AM0.11m | 8:57PM0.20m | 9:41AM0.15m | 9:49PM0.17m | 10:08AM0.18m | 10:40PM0.14m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — |
 | 6:13 | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:07 | — |
mm | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 30 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | NNE 13 | NE 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 11 |
| kJ | 14 | 17 | 36 | 47 | 114 | 125 | 123 | 82 | 84 | 57 | 45 | 42 | 26 | 15 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 14 | N 9 | SE 9 | NNE 15 | NNE 10 | N 9 | NNE 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | — | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | NE 9 |
| kJ | 4 | 2 | 22 | 21 | 37 | 2 | 93 | 50 | 51 | 30 | 30 | 2 | 7 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 9 | — | NNE 14 | NNE 14 | SSE 4 | — | SE 9 | — | — | — | — | SSE 4 | N 13 | — | N 12 | N 12 | — | N 15 |
| kJ | 1 | 2 | — | 20 | 18 | 1 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 138 | 147 | 155 | 176 | 203 | 203 | 303 | 395 | 324 | 324 | 374 | 349 | 437 | 333 | 286 | 279 | 226 | 196 | 188 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 551 | 747 | 691 | 645 | 615 | 787 | 319 | 615 | 454 | 456 | 615 | 615 | 615 | 615 | 754 | 517 | 551 | 319 | 719 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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