Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 17 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, ENE swell with 450 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let's talk about Bagasse. The water temp is around 83°, which is about normal for the season.
First up, we're in for a long dry spell. From today, July 17th, all the way through July 24th, it's no good. The wind is howling out of the east and east-northeast at 15-22 mph, mostly side-offshore or side-shore, and the waves are just short-period windswell around 3 to 6 feet. The energy is low to moderate at best (250-443), and the direction is all wrong. The forecast says "poor surf conditions" and I'm not gonna argue.
Moving into the 25th through the 27th of July, it's still marginal. The swell hangs in around 5 to 6 feet from the east-northeast, period still a short 8 seconds. The wind backs off a touch in the mornings, making things cleaner, but the energy is still on the lower end of moderate (292-421). It's a tough call.
The best of a bad situation shows up around the 28th and 29th of July. Swell sits at about 6 feet from the east, with the wind turning more offshore in the morning sessions. The energy climbs up into a solid moderate range (382-450). The morning of the 28th looks clean with a moderate breeze. It's not pumping, but it's the closest to surfable we'll see.
After that, it's more of the same up to August 1st – knee to chest high windswell, with moderate to occasionally strong energy (394-505), but always fighting with cross-shore winds and a lumpy surface. Honestly, this stretch looks like it might be better for a kite than a paddle board. Don't hold your breath, but check back; forecasts change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Sun morning, min 26°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Mon morning, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 240 | 231 | 327 | 427 | 407 | 427 | 406 | 308 | 308 | 234 | 191 | 134 | 109 | 86 | 79 | 92 | 104 | 127 | 131 | 197 | 186 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:45PM0.36m | 5:52AM0.41m | 7:14PM0.38m | 6:48AM0.36m | 7:42PM0.39m | 7:51AM0.30m | 8:11PM0.40m | 9:18AM0.26m | 8:40PM0.40m | 9:12PM0.39m | 9:51PM0.39m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 12:12PM0.08m | 11:55PM0.25m | 12:46PM0.13m | 1:18AM0.23m | 1:13PM0.18m | 2:40AM0.20m | 1:32PM0.21m | 3:56AM0.17m | 1:31PM0.24m | 5:04AM0.14m | 6:04AM0.11m | ||||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — |
 | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 27 | 28 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ESE 7 | E 11 |
| kJ | 6 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 67 | 59 | 70 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | E 12 | NE 10 | E 9 | NNE 9 | NE 10 | N 11 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 10 | NE 9 | — | — | E 12 | — |
| kJ | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3 | — | — | 3 | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | — | — | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | NNE 9 | SE 4 | SE 6 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | ENE 7 | E 7 | NE 7 | NE 10 | SE 8 | S 6 | E 7 | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 240 | 231 | 327 | 427 | 407 | 427 | 406 | 308 | 308 | 234 | 191 | 134 | 109 | 86 | 79 | 92 | 104 | 127 | 131 | 197 | 186 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 615 | 319 | 517 | 787 | 787 | 645 | 319 | 178 | 178 | 178 | 178 | 178 | 4 | 380 | 319 | 480 | 380 | 645 | 743 | 178 | 319 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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