Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, E swell with 393 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.7m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 8s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Bagasse over the next couple of weeks.
Straight up, it’s a pretty flat and frustrating run. We’re lookin’ at a long 12-day gap before anything worth paddling out for shows up. The water’s sittin’ at a warm 84.9°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothin’ strange there.
Up until the 19th of September, it’s a whole lotta nothin’. Swell hangs around the 2.6 ft to 5.6 ft mark, but it’s all short-period, 7 to 8 seconds, and blown out by a persistent easterly breeze that’s mostly cross-offshore or cross. The wave energy is weak to moderate at best, and the comments are all "poor surf conditions." It’s just not doin’ the job. Not even a glimmer of a decent wave.
Then, on Saturday morning, the 19th of September, we finally get a sniff of something okay. The wind drops right back to a gentle breeze from the ESE, and the comment says "expect good surf conditions." Swell height is 3.6 ft from the East, period still short at 7 seconds, but the wind is light cross-off, and that’s a huge plus for clean waves at this reef. The combined energy is still low at 224. It’s not gonna be epic, but if you’ve been stuck watchin’ flat water, this is your window. It’s a one-morning stand-out, so don’t sleep in.
Bagasse is a reef break that’s fairly consistent, and it holds best on a North swell direction. This East swell is a bit off its optimum, but with clean conditions, it’ll still offer up some fun, lined-up waves. It can get crowded sometimes, so you might have some company for those few decent ones.
That’s your lot, mate. A long wait and a short, tidy window. Keep an eye on the charts – it tends not to stay this grim forever.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Warm (max 30°C on Mon morning, min 27°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Warm (max 29°C on Thu morning, min 27°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 147 | 150 | 176 | 231 | 203 | 272 | 337 | 316 | 383 | 393 | 358 | 359 | 383 | 324 | 272 | 266 | 259 | 220 | 169 | 136 | 99 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:16PM0.30m | 11:50PM0.43m | 3:08PM0.31m | 1:11AM0.44m | 3:19PM0.34m | 2:19AM0.44m | 3:37PM0.36m | 3:18AM0.43m | 3:59PM0.39m | 4:12AM0.41m | 4:21PM0.40m | 5:03AM0.37m | 4:45PM0.41m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:32PM0.29m | 7:49AM0.06m | 6:56PM0.26m | 8:32AM0.08m | 8:00PM0.23m | 9:09AM0.11m | 8:57PM0.20m | 9:41AM0.15m | 9:49PM0.17m | 10:08AM0.18m | 10:40PM0.14m | 10:31AM0.20m | 11:29PM0.11m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — |
 | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 32 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 13 | NE 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ESE 9 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 17 | 36 | 47 | 114 | 125 | 123 | 84 | 84 | 57 | 57 | 28 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 220 | 169 | 8 | 99 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | NE 12 | NNE 15 | NNE 10 | N 9 | N 8 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | — | NE 11 | N 10 | N 10 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | N 10 | ESE 8 |
| kJ | 2 | 36 | 21 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 50 | 50 | — | 29 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | — | NNE 14 | NNE 14 | — | — | SSE 4 | — | — | — | SE 6 | S 5 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | — | N 15 | E 14 | N 13 | NNE 10 |
| kJ | 2 | — | 20 | 18 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | — | — | ENE 7 | ESE 8 |
| kJ | 147 | 150 | 176 | 231 | 203 | 272 | 337 | 316 | 383 | 393 | 358 | 359 | 383 | 324 | 272 | 266 | 259 | — | — | 136 | 82 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 6 | 670 | 615 | 787 | 319 | 319 | 787 | 764 | 454 | 615 | 615 | 454 | 319 | 764 | 178 | 787 | 319 | 719 | 787 | 480 | 153 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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