Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
28.1° C
0.2° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, ENE swell with 547 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 5AM (Sat 11th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


Alright, Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you on this one. The forecast for the next 16 days at Bagasse is a bit of a tough pill to swallow. We’re looking at a long stretch coming up where the quality just isn’t there for a proper paddle session. The wind is a constant problem, and the swell never really locks in. It’s a bit of a bummer, but sometimes that’s the way it goes.

The run starts on the morning of Saturday, July 11th. We’ve got a 7 ft east-northeast swell, but the period is a short 8 seconds, so it’s pretty weak and jumbled. The energy is moderate at best (517). The real killer is that 19 mph east wind, which is cross-offshore. It’s clean, but it’s just too strong to make the waves any fun. It’s a marginal call at best, and the tide might be playing tricks, too. The afternoon only gets worse with a cross-shore wind and chop.

Sunday, July 12th, the swell drops to 5 ft, still from the east-northeast, and still with that short 8-second period. The wind is a 16 mph cross-offshore in the morning, but the wave comment is still “marginal.” The energy is moderate (332). Honestly, it’s not worth suiting up for.

From Monday, July 13th, right through to the end of the month, it’s a real desert. The swell is consistently between 4 ft and 6 ft, coming from the east, with a period that’s stuck at 7 or 8 seconds. Every single record is flagged as “poor surf conditions.” The combined energy never gets above 379, which is weak-to-moderate at best. The wind is a cross-offshore breeze, mostly from the east, blowing between 9 and 19 mph. It’s clean, but it’s a cleaning wind on a messy, weak swell. Not a single standout session in the bunch.

The only little flicker of hope comes on Saturday, July 25th, and Sunday, July 26th. On the 25th, the morning has a 5 ft east swell but the wave comment is still just “marginal.” The wind is a lighter 12 mph, which is better, but it’s still cross-offshore. The energy is moderate (303). On the 26th, the swell fades to 4 ft, and the wind is a gentle 9 mph cross-offshore. It’s the smallest, weakest swell of the whole period. Not a standout.

So, what’s the call? There are no good surf options in this 16-day window. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so at least you won’t freeze. But with the wind and the weak, short-period swell, this setup is honestly more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It’s a blank run, and it’s a bit of a normal thing for this area when the wind doesn’t cooperate. Hang in there, and keep an eye on the forecasts. They can change.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sun afternoon, min 26°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Fri
17
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2
ENE
8
2
ENE
8
1.9
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.5
E
8
1.5
E
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.5
E
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
7
1.3
E
7
1.3
ENE
7
1.3
E
7
1.2
E
7
1.3
E
7
1.4
E
7
1.5
E
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
509
509
460
359
310
251
238
265
258
226
258
226
226
220
181
186
176
142
157
187
226
Wind (km/h)
35
E
30
E
30
ENE
25
ENE
25
E
20
ENE
30
E
30
E
25
E
25
ENE
30
E
25
E
25
E
30
E
25
ENE
25
E
25
E
25
E
25
E
25
E
25
E
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
10:51PM0.46m
11:53PM0.48m
4:48PM0.28m
00:58AM0.49m
4:57PM0.29m
2:02AM0.50m
5:21PM0.30m
3:03AM0.50m
5:48PM0.32m
4:01AM0.49m
6:16PM0.34m
4:57AM0.46m
6:45PM0.36m
Low Tide
7:26AM0.01m
8:20AM-0.02m
5:49PM0.28m
9:12AM-0.04m
7:09PM0.28m
10:02AM-0.03m
8:18PM0.27m
10:49AM-0.01m
9:26PM0.27m
11:32AM0.03m
10:38PM0.26m
12:12PM0.08m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:41
5:41
5:41
5:41
5:41
5:43
5:43
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:37
6:37
 mm
Temp °C
27
27
27
26
27
28
27
28
28
27
27
27
27
27
28
26
27
27
27
28
28
Feels °C
25
25
26
26
27
28
28
27
27
26
25
27
26
26
27
26
26
26
26
28
27
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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