Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 24 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
28.8°C
0.1° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 13s period, ENE swell with 1,075 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 8s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.8m 13s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 9s period and expected on Friday (Aug 28) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Fri 28th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 8s
Best Surf 5AM (Mon 31st Aug)6ft (1.8m) 13s
Most Powerful 5AM (Mon 31st Aug)6ft (1.8m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here, lookin’ at the local surf over the next couple weeks. Right, straight up – it’s a slow, bumpy stretch for Bagasse, with only a few windows that’ll actually get you excited. Most days you’ll be fighting cross-shore breezes and ordinary conditions, but there’s a couple of standouts if you wait it out.

The whole run kicks off Tuesday the 25th of August with poor surf, and it stays lackluster right through until Sunday the 30th. The swell is hanging around 3ft to 5ft from the ENE, but the wind ain’t playing nice – mostly a moderate cross or cross-off breeze that’s keeping things choppy. The combined energy sits in the moderate range (161 to 416), but the quality is junk. Thursday the 27th morning shows a glimmer with clean 4ft conditions, but the score is low, so don’t get your hopes up.

Friday the 28th morning is where it starts to turn. You’ve got clean surf with a light breeze, 3ft from the ENE, period around 7 seconds, and energy at 224. It’s not big, but it’s rideable and clean – the best of a rough week. Saturday the 29th keeps things clean but with more wind (12-16 mph) and a touch more size at 4ft to 5ft, still marginal but worth a paddle.

Now, here’s the real standout – Monday the 31st of August afternoon. The swell bumps up to 5ft from the ENE, period stretching to 11 seconds, and the combined energy cranks to 673. The wind drops to a light 6 mph cross-off breeze, giving you clean, very good surf conditions. This is your session. The morning also has a bigger 6ft swell with a long 12-second period, but it’s cross-shore and a bit lumpy. Stick to the arvo.

After that, the first few days of September drop off again. Tuesday the 1st morning has clean 4ft surf with light wind, but it’s ordinary. By Wednesday the 2nd, it’s back to small 3ft swells and cross-shore wind. Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th are similar – small, clean in the morning but from the NE, and not much push, with energy around 127 to 305.

The second week gets patchy. Saturday the 5th of September morning shows a bump back to 5ft from the E, period 7 seconds, clean with gentle breeze, and energy at 390. It’s marginal but fun if you’re keen. Sunday the 6th through to Tuesday the 8th stay in the 4ft to 4ft range, mostly clean but with moderate wind, and energy slipping from 305 down to 183. Nothing to write home about. Wednesday the 9th wraps it up with 4ft and clean conditions, but again, it’s just ordinary.

Overall, the standout is Monday the 31st afternoon – 5ft, clean, long period, good energy. Friday the 28th morning is a solid second choice for smaller, cleaner waves. The rest is a grind. For beginners, that 5ft on the 31st is fine, but keep an eye on the period – long period swells like that can make Bagasse a bit straight, being a reef break, but at this size it’ll be fine.

Water temps are about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Crowds at Bagasse are sometimes an issue, so on the good days expect company.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 27°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Fri morning, min 27°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
25
Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
ENE
7
1.3
ENE
7
1.3
ENE
8
1.5
ENE
8
1.5
ENE
8
1.5
ENE
8
1.5
E
8
1.3
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
8
0.6
NE
12
1.1
ENE
7
1
NE
11
1.3
E
8
1.5
E
8
1.5
ENE
7
1.5
ENE
7
0.8
E
14
1.3
E
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
114
152
196
273
259
266
294
218
210
143
114
140
216
208
286
228
228
246
572
Wind (km/h)
20
E
25
E
25
ENE
20
ENE
25
ENE
20
ENE
20
ENE
20
E
20
ENE
15
ENE
15
ESE
15
E
20
E
25
E
25
E
25
E
20
ENE
20
ENE
15
E
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
00:16AM0.39m
4:18PM0.29m
1:18AM0.40m
4:18PM0.31m
2:10AM0.41m
4:18PM0.33m
2:58AM0.42m
4:24PM0.35m
3:44AM0.41m
4:36PM0.37m
4:31AM0.39m
4:54PM0.40m
Low Tide
8:27AM0.08m
7:05PM0.27m
8:59AM0.09m
8:00PM0.26m
9:28AM0.10m
8:49PM0.25m
9:54AM0.13m
9:37PM0.22m
10:18AM0.15m
10:25PM0.19m
10:38AM0.17m
11:15PM0.16m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:50
5:50
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:22
6:21
6:21
6:20
6:19
6:19
6:17
 mm
1
1
1
4
Temp °C
28
29
30
28
28
29
27
28
29
27
29
29
28
29
29
27
28
29
27
Feels °C
31
29
31
29
28
30
28
30
31
29
32
32
31
30
30
29
29
30
29
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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