Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, ENE swell with 283 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.6m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Tellin' it straight for this spot: Bagasse.
Look, I gotta be honest with ya – this is a tough stretch of 16 days for Bagasse. We’ve got a whole lot of nothin' exciting on the cards. For the first week and a half, the wind’s just wrong, wrong, wrong. That easterly flow is blowin' straight down the barrel, and while it's technically cross-off, it's coming in stiff – 12 to 19 mph for most of the first week. That breeze is just too strong to let the waves hold up. The combined swell energy is weak (266 down to 99 in that first week), and the period is short, around 7 seconds. It's all wind-slop, not proper swell. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no warmth bonus here.
The only flicker of hope comes right at the end. Saturday, September 19th, the morning session sees that easterly wind drop to a gentle 9 mph, which makes for clean conditions. But the swell is tiny – just 3 ft from the ENE – and the combined energy is a paltry 85. It's surfable if you're desperate, but don't expect any power. It’s a reef break that’s fairly consistent, and needs that northerly optimum to really work. This ENE swell is hitting it from the side, not wrapping in properly. Then we get another little bump on Monday the 21st morning with 2 ft and clean conditions, but again, the energy is a very weak 60.
After that, it just fades away into flatness. From the 22nd right through the 27th of September, we're lookin' at dribble. Swell heights drop below 2 ft, and the energy is in the teens and twenties. It’s a total blank run. For an exposed reef like Bagasse, this is pretty normal when the wind and swell angles don't line up. It just means we gotta wait for a proper north swell and a calm day to get this place firing.
Standout: Honestly, there isn't a true standout. The Saturday 19th morning is the cleanest, flattest option, and the Monday 21st morning is the next best thing. If you've got a log, you might get a knee-high bump on the 19th, but that's about the best on offer.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Fri night, min 27°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Warm (max 29°C on Tue afternoon, min 27°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 283 | 252 | 228 | 228 | 173 | 175 | 191 | 201 | 111 | 124 | 131 | 82 | 62 | 58 | 78 | 86 | 112 | 159 | 181 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:12AM0.41m | 4:21PM0.40m | 5:03AM0.37m | 4:45PM0.41m | 5:54AM0.33m | 5:09PM0.41m | 6:46AM0.29m | 5:34PM0.40m | 7:44AM0.26m | 6:01PM0.39m | 6:32PM0.38m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:49PM0.17m | 10:08AM0.18m | 10:40PM0.14m | 10:31AM0.20m | 11:29PM0.11m | 10:48AM0.22m | 00:20AM0.10m | 10:57AM0.23m | 1:14AM0.09m | 10:48AM0.24m | 2:14AM0.09m | 3:21AM0.10m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — |
 | 6:08 | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 28 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | N 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | N 10 | NNE 11 | ESE 8 | NNE 10 | NNE 11 | NNE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ESE 12 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 |
| kJ | 8 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 33 | 29 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | N 12 | NE 9 | N 8 | N 14 | N 13 | NNE 12 | N 9 | NNE 11 | N 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | N 14 | NNE 13 | ESE 8 | N 8 |
| kJ | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 6 | 23 | 5 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 7 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 12 | N 12 | — | N 9 | E 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | N 7 | ESE 12 | NNE 10 | ESE 12 | N 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | N 8 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 |
| kJ | 283 | 252 | 228 | 228 | 173 | 175 | 191 | 201 | 111 | 124 | 131 | 82 | 62 | 58 | 78 | 86 | 112 | 159 | 181 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 319 | 551 | 787 | 178 | 764 | 319 | 264 | 270 | 319 | 153 | 178 | 270 | 270 | 178 | 240 | 456 | 719 | 764 | 178 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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