Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you—this is a tough run for the Bagasse reef. We've got a long stretch of pretty average to poor conditions ahead, so patience is the name of the game. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, nothing too wild.

The standout window is this Sunday, 30th August. That's your best shot by a long shot. The swell kicks up with a solid 5ft to 7ft of groundswell pushing in from the ENE, with a nice long period of 11 to 12 seconds. That longer period means these waves have proper energy and shape, the combined energy of all swells is a solid moderate 864 to 957 (moderate). The wind flips to a clean offshore from the S and SSE, making for glassy, well-shaped waves. It's a fairly consistent spot, so you'll get plenty of rides, but expect crowds here sometimes. The swell direction is a good match for the optimum from the north, and the reef will handle that longer-period groundswell well. For the intermediate surfer, this is the session to circle.

Before that Sunday, Thursday 27th through Saturday 29th are a write-off. We've got a mix of cross-off and cross winds, short period swell around 7 to 8 seconds, and wave heights mostly around 4ft to 5ft. The energy is weak (317 to 337), and the surf is either marginal or poor. Not worth paddling out.

After that Sunday high, we drop back into a disappointing run. From Monday 31st August all the way through to Friday 11th September, it's a slog. Swell heights fluctuate between 3ft and 6ft, periods are short (7 to 9 seconds), and the wind stays mostly cross-off from the E or ENE. The combined energy remains low to moderate (100 to 487), and the surf is consistently rated poor or marginal. The only slight glimmer is Thursday 10th September morning, where the swell picks up to 5ft from the E with a moderate 8-second period and cross-off wind, giving a marginal session. But it's nothing to get excited about. The following Friday 11th September morning shows 6ft E swell, but still poor conditions.

So, looking at the whole 16 days, Sunday 30th August is your one clear standout. The rest of the run is a long, flat, and blown-out gap. As for the spot, Bagasse is a reef that's fairly consistent, but it's rarely a go-to when conditions are this ordinary. The combination of short-period swell and cross-shore winds most days makes it a tough paddle for little reward. For the intermediate surfer, the Sunday session is the only one that's worth your time.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the forecasts.

Rusty

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