
Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, ENE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, ENE swell with 660 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 8s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, I’m not going to sugarcoat it. The immediate outlook is pretty flat and messy. We’ve got a stretch of ordinary conditions on the way, with the first few days offering nothing worth getting excited about. The swell is small and short period, the wind is mostly cross or cross-off, and the wave comments are all screaming “poor.” It’s gonna be a waiting game.
Things start to change around the 29th of July. That’s when we see a noticeable bump in size at Bagasse (reef), with swell hitting 7 ft to 7 ft from the ENE. The energy jumps up to a solid (681-765), which is a big step up from the weak dribble we’ve been dealing with. The wind, while still cross-off, is a bit stronger, but the surf is clean. This is the standout window in the whole 16-day run. That afternoon on the 29th and into the morning of the 30th of July are the best bets. The swell is getting up there, over 7 ft, so it’s not for beginners. This is solid intermediate territory, and with that longer period (8 seconds), it’ll have a bit more punch. The water temp is about 83° with a normal anomaly, so it’s your typical tropical bath.
The break itself is a reef setup, so it’ll handle that ENE swell well. Crowds are noted as “sometimes,” so you might get a few others out, but it shouldn’t be a zoo. The wind is cross-off, which keeps the face clean, but it’s a fresh breeze, so expect some bumps.
After that, the surf slowly backs off into the first week of August. The 1st of August still has some knee-to-waist high waves, but the energy drops off. By the 5th, we’re back to weak, short-period slop, with energy values under 100 (96). It’s a real letdown after that midweek pulse.
So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. The only real highlight is that window from the 29th of July through the 30th of July at Bagasse. If you’ve got flex, that’s your target. The rest is a long, quiet spell.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Warm (max 29°C on Fri morning, min 25°C on Sun morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Warm (max 28°C on Mon morning, min 26°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 7 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
124 | 170 | 218 | 244 | 296 | 263 | 250 | 240 | 181 | 151 | 127 | 140 | 169 | 207 | 207 | 251 | 450 | 603 | 645 | 645 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:51PM0.39m | 10:39PM0.38m | 11:37PM0.39m | 00:35AM0.40m | 5:16PM0.28m | 1:29AM0.41m | 5:23PM0.28m | 2:17AM0.42m | 5:31PM0.30m | 3:01AM0.43m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 6:56AM0.08m | 7:41AM0.06m | 8:22AM0.04m | 8:59AM0.04m | 6:49PM0.27m | 9:34AM0.04m | 7:46PM0.27m | 10:07AM0.06m | 8:38PM0.27m | |||||||||||
— | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | |
6:37 | — | — | 6:36 | — | — | 6:36 | — | — | 6:36 | — | — | 6:36 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | 7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | NE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SE 9 | SE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | SSE 4 |
3 | 45 | 91 | 55 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 240 | 181 | 151 | 127 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 33 | 57 | 78 | 120 | 2 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | — | — | — | SE 4 | — | — | — | S 3 | E 8 | SE 9 | — | SE 4 | NE 7 | — | — | — | — | SSE 4 | — |
6 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | 12 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 5 | SSE 3 | — | — | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | SE 8 | — | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 7 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
124 | 170 | 218 | 244 | 296 | 263 | 250 | — | 38 | — | — | 140 | 169 | 207 | 207 | 251 | 450 | 603 | 645 | 645 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 380 | 541 | 319 | 319 | 319 | 319 | 404 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 178 | 380 | 270 | 752 | 319 | 645 | 615 | 751 | 517 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










