Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 25 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
28.8°C
0.2° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 26 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 31 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 11s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 12s period, ENE swell with 1,361 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 11s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.2m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 8s period and expected on Monday (Aug 31) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Mon 31st Aug)6ft (1.8m) 11s
Best Surf 8AM (Mon 31st Aug)6ft (1.8m) 11s
Most Powerful 8PM (Sun 30th Aug)7ft (2.2m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the table for Bagasse, a reef break that’s exposed to the swell. Gotta be honest, the next week and a bit is a bit of a grind. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor to marginal surf with persistent cross-off winds from the east, mostly in the 12 to 16 mph range. The swell is hanging around the 3 ft to 6 ft mark, but it’s short-period stuff, under 8 seconds, and the combined energy is weak to moderate (311 to 436). It’s just not putting any power into the waves, and the wind is keeping things messy. This run of lackluster conditions looks set to last from the 26th of August right through until the 30th of August.

Now, the real glimmer of hope, and the standout of the whole 16-day window, is Monday the 31st of August. Morning session is the pick of the whole period. The east-northeast swell picks up to a solid 6 ft, but the period jumps to 10 seconds — that’s a proper groundswell pulse. The wind goes glassy, dead calm from the south at just 3 mph, which is a total game-changer. The combined energy is a solid 665, which is a strong, punchy amount of energy for this break. It’s going to be clean, glassy, and offering some proper waves. The afternoon on the 31st is still good, with 5 ft swell and glassy conditions, but the morning is the one to lock in. The water temperature feels about what you’d expect for this time of year, nothing crazy.

The first week of September then settles back into a more marginal pattern. The first of September has a decent morning with 4 ft swell and a cross-off breeze, but it’s short-period again. From the 2nd through the 7th, it’s mostly 3 ft to 5 ft swell with that persistent east wind, giving us a lot of “marginal” or “poor” tags. The second week, from the 8th of September onward, is more of the same — consistent but small, with that east wind keeping it from getting good. The 10th of September offers a slight uptick to 5 ft with the same east wind, but it’s still just a marginal call.

If you can only pick one window, it’s the morning of Monday the 31st of August. That’s the real deal. The rest of the time, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu night. Warm (max 28°C on Tue night, min 26°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 28°C on Sat morning, min 27°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
26
Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
ENE
8
1.5
ENE
8
1.5
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.3
ENE
8
1.3
ENE
8
1.5
E
7
1.7
E
7
1.6
E
7
1.5
E
7
1.6
E
8
1
E
8
1
NE
7
1.4
NE
7
1.2
E
13
2.1
ENE
11
1.7
ENE
10
1.5
ENE
10
1.2
E
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
273
259
259
251
212
202
245
278
277
251
300
120
104
193
451
990
647
399
225
Wind (km/h)
25
E
25
E
25
ENE
25
ENE
20
E
20
E
25
E
25
E
25
ENE
30
E
25
ENE
25
NE
25
ENE
25
NE
20
NE
10
ENE
5
SE
5
S
10
SE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
glassy
glassy
cross-off
High Tide
1:18AM0.40m
4:18PM0.31m
2:10AM0.41m
4:18PM0.33m
2:58AM0.42m
4:24PM0.35m
3:44AM0.41m
4:36PM0.37m
4:31AM0.39m
4:54PM0.40m
5:19AM0.36m
5:19PM0.41m
Low Tide
8:59AM0.09m
8:00PM0.26m
9:28AM0.10m
8:49PM0.25m
9:54AM0.13m
9:37PM0.22m
10:18AM0.15m
10:25PM0.19m
10:38AM0.17m
11:15PM0.16m
10:55AM0.20m
00:09AM0.14m
clear
clear
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:50
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:21
6:21
6:20
6:19
6:19
6:17
6:16
 mm
1
1
6
1
1
1
2
3
2
Temp °C
28
28
28
27
28
28
27
28
28
27
28
28
27
28
28
27
28
28
28
Feels °C
29
28
28
27
29
29
29
29
29
28
29
28
27
29
29
30
33
32
33
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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