Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 11 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
28.7° C
0.3° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, ENE swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, ENE swell with 2,067 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 3.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Sun 16th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 12s
Best Surf 8AM (Sun 16th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 12s
Most Powerful 8AM (Sun 16th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Bagasse over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, the first week is a bit of a write-off. From Tuesday 11th of August right through to Saturday 15th, we’ve got a persistent cross-off or cross-shore wind blowing 12-22 mph, mushing up the swell. The waves are running 4ft to 7ft from the ENE, but it’s just messy. The swell energy is creeping up from moderate (143) into the solid range (691), but the wind is just ruining it. You’d be fighting a lumpy, cross-chop. Not worth paddling out for a surf.

Then, Sunday 16th of August, things get interesting. The morning glass-off arrives with a moderate offshore breeze from the SSE at 16 mph. The swell jumps to 8ft from the ENE, with a period of 11 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell with some grunt. The combined energy hits a massive 1636, which is very strong. This is big, powerful stuff. For experienced surfers only, this is excellent. The wave direction (ENE) is not the optimum for this spot, which prefers a northerly, but the quality of the offshore wind and the raw energy makes it the standout of the whole forecast. It’s a reef break, so it should handle that long period nicely. The water temp is a balmy 84°, which is about average for this time of year.

That Sunday afternoon drops off to a cross-off and a 7ft wave, still with the long period, but the wind is side-shore again. The rest of that week falls back into the same pattern of cross-off or cross-shore winds and poor to marginal conditions. The swell drops and the energy fades back into the moderate range.

There is a glimmer right at the end. On Wednesday 26th of August, we get a light breeze from the east at 6 mph, turning to a cross-off in the afternoon. The swell is 5ft from the ENE with an 8-second period and moderate energy (365). The forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” It’s clean, small, and manageable – a nice, easy session for intermediates after all the chop.

So, the real standout is the Sunday 16th morning session. If you’ve got the experience, get amongst that 8ft offshore beauty. The wind is clean, the power is high. For the rest of the run, it’s a long wait for some cleaner conditions right at the tail end.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Tue afternoon, min 26°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sat night. Warm (max 29°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Fri night, light winds from the ENE by Sat night).

Tue
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
2
2
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
ENE
7
0.9
ENE
7
1.5
ENE
7
1.5
ENE
7
1.9
ENE
7
2
ENE
8
2
ENE
8
2.1
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
2.1
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
2.1
ENE
8
1.9
ENE
8
2.1
ENE
9
2.5
ENE
11
2.1
ENE
11
1.8
ENE
10
1.9
ENE
9
1.7
ENE
8
1.6
E
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
117
68
187
204
326
426
437
507
599
561
646
621
528
659
1574
989
587
542
412
341
Wind (km/h)
20
E
20
E
25
E
25
E
30
E
35
E
35
ENE
35
E
40
ENE
30
ENE
35
ENE
30
ENE
35
NE
25
NE
25
SSE
25
SE
25
ESE
25
E
30
E
30
E
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:16PM0.30m
2:06AM0.48m
4:34PM0.33m
3:08AM0.48m
4:56PM0.35m
4:04AM0.46m
5:20PM0.37m
4:58AM0.42m
5:45PM0.39m
5:51AM0.37m
6:11PM0.40m
6:45AM0.32m
6:36PM0.40m
Low Tide
7:33PM0.27m
9:42AM0.03m
8:41PM0.25m
10:21AM0.06m
9:44PM0.23m
10:56AM0.10m
10:46PM0.21m
11:25AM0.15m
11:49PM0.18m
11:49AM0.18m
00:53AM0.16m
12:04PM0.21m
1:59AM0.14m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:30
6:29
6:29
6:28
6:27
6:27
6:25
 mm
1
5
1
2
5
1
Temp °C
29
27
28
29
27
28
28
27
28
28
27
28
28
27
28
29
28
28
28
28
Feels °C
31
30
29
30
28
26
26
26
25
26
25
27
27
26
29
29
30
29
28
27
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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