Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, ENE swell with 688 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here, and we’ve got a bit of a frustrating run for Bagasse. The next two weeks look pretty bleak overall, so grab a coffee and let’s get into it.
We start with a glimmer on Wednesday morning, July 8th. The swell is a clean 1.9m (about 6 ft) from the ENE with moderate wave energy (485), but the winds are a stiff 30 km/h (about 19 mph) cross-off from the E. It stays clean for the morning, but that’s about the only positive. The water temp is sitting right around 83°F, which is bang average for the time of year. The problem is, this setup barely qualifies as a session – the commentary calls it poor surf conditions, and it scores a zero. Thursday and Friday offer similar sizes and the same cross-off wind, but the quality is consistently poor.
Honestly, the whole first week is a write-off. The swell keeps rolling in around 1.5m to 2.2m (roughly 5 ft to 7 ft) from the ENE and E, but it's short-period, 8 seconds, and the winds are relentless. The combined swell energy peaks at 710 on Thursday morning, which is moderate, but the wind is never truly offshore or light, so it’s just lumpy cross-chop. Saturday and Sunday see the wind switch to a direct cross, and the description says it all: “fresh cross-shore with lumpy cross-chop”. For a reef break like Bagasse, that’s basically a no-go. You’d have more fun kitesurfing in that mess than trying to paddle.
Into the second week, from July 13th onwards, the size drops a bit, ranging from 1.5m to 1.8m (5 ft to 6 ft), but the cross-off wind persists. The combined energy stays in the 300s and 400s (moderate at best), and the scores remain zeros or marginal ones. The wind does ease to a moderate breeze on July 16th, giving a marginally better shot on Thursday morning and afternoon, but it’s still a cross-off. The swell direction doesn’t match the optimum N direction for this spot either, so the waves aren't going to hold together well.
By July 20th, the swell really fades. We're looking at 1.2m to only 0.9m (about 4 ft to 3 ft) from the E with a short 6-7 second period, and the energy drops to weak two-digit numbers (106, 103). It’s flat, it’s weak, and there’s no quality on offer. There’s no standout day at all in this whole 16-day window. It’s a long, dry run at Bagasse. Keep your board in the car for another week, and let’s hope the forecasts change for the better.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 28°C on Sat morning, min 27°C on Sat morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 473 | 497 | 639 | 617 | 562 | 614 | 574 | 629 | 688 | 588 | 534 | 509 | 359 | 310 | 324 | 300 | 300 | 367 | 397 | 397 | 355 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:13AM0.26m | 9:12PM0.43m | 9:57PM0.44m | 10:51PM0.46m | 11:53PM0.48m | 4:48PM0.28m | 00:58AM0.49m | 4:57PM0.29m | 2:02AM0.50m | 5:21PM0.30m | 3:03AM0.50m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 1:24PM0.22m | 5:32AM0.12m | 6:30AM0.06m | 7:26AM0.01m | 8:20AM-0.02m | 5:49PM0.28m | 9:12AM-0.04m | 7:09PM0.28m | 10:02AM-0.03m | 8:18PM0.27m | |||||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:39 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — |
 | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 29 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 27 | 28 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 12 | ENE 12 | NE 8 | NE 8 | S 6 | — | NE 8 | SE 4 | SE 4 | N 14 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | N 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | N 10 |
| kJ | 6 | 14 | 108 | 93 | 1 | — | 104 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 12 | SSE 4 | — | SSE 4 | SE 4 | — | SE 4 | — | — | SE 4 | SE 6 | SE 4 | N 12 | N 9 | N 11 | N 11 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 |
| kJ | 6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 12 | — | S 6 | — | — | E 9 | — | — | N 14 | N 13 | N 12 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | — | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 |
| kJ | — | 6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 |
| kJ | 473 | 497 | 639 | 617 | 562 | 614 | 574 | 629 | 688 | 588 | 534 | 509 | 359 | 310 | 324 | 300 | 300 | 367 | 397 | 397 | 355 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 787 | 787 | 454 | 517 | 787 | 719 | 787 | 787 | 517 | 319 | 319 | 454 | 414 | 319 | 319 | 719 | 787 | 719 | 480 | 454 | 517 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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