Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 am 30 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
29.1°C
0.3° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, ENE swell with 882 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.1m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful11AM (Sun 30th Aug)7ft (2.1m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at Bagasse.

The outlook kicks off this Sunday, the 30th of August, and honestly, it's a bit of a mixed bag. We've got some moderate wave energy rolling in, with the combined swell energy hitting 885, which puts it in the moderate category. The swell is coming from the ENE at 7ft, with a period of 10 seconds. That's a nice, solid groundswell, and at a reef break, that longer period is going to set up some proper, well-shaped waves. The water temp here is bang on for the time of year at 84°F. The wind is blowing from the SE at 12 mph, which is a cross-off shore breeze. That's a good thing – it'll hold the waves up and keep the faces fairly clean.

The standout is definitely Sunday morning. The cross-off wind, the solid 7ft of ENE swell – it’s got the makings of some fun, punchy walls at Bagasse. This is a fairly consistent spot, but it can get crowded sometimes, so keep an eye out.

From Sunday afternoon and through Monday, the swell starts to back off a touch, dropping from 6ft down to 5ft, and the period shortens a bit. The wind stays cross-off or cross, but the overall quality takes a hit. By Monday afternoon, we're looking at a cross-chop on the surface, which isn't ideal.

The rest of the first week and into the second week, we see a lot of days where the surf is either marginal or just poor. The swell stays small, mostly between 3ft and 5ft, and the period drops to around 7-8 seconds, which is more of a weak, short-period wind swell. The wind stays stiff out of the east, blowing 12-19 mph, which is a cross-off breeze but it's also a fresh breeze at times. The combined energy drops into the low hundreds and then into double digits, so it's weak. Look, for a spot like Bagasse, a blank run like this is pretty normal. It's not going to be a classic paddle session.

There's a bit of a lift around the 8th and 9th of September, Tuesday and Wednesday. The swell picks back up to 7ft, and the period stretches back to 9 seconds. The combined energy climbs back up to 821, which is a solid moderate energy. The downside is the wind is still pumping at 16-22 mph out of the east, which, while cross-off, is a fresh and gusty breeze. It's going to be messy and blown out, more likely a setup for kite surfing than a clean, paddle-friendly wave.

After that, it fades again. From the 10th of September onwards, we're in the gutter. Swell sizes under 4ft, short periods, weak energy. The last few days of the forecast window are a write-off.

So, to boil it down for you: The one session to aim for is Sunday the 30th morning. That's your best bet. After that, it's a long stretch of small, weak, or messy conditions until the 9th of September, which might offer some size but will be wind-affected.

Stay safe, and keep an eye on the bay.
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 26°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 27°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
Saturday
5
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
ENE
10
1.9
ENE
10
1.7
ENE
10
1.8
ENE
9
1.4
ENE
9
1.4
ENE
8
1.4
E
8
1.2
E
8
1
E
8
1
E
7
1
E
7
1
ENE
7
1.4
ENE
7
1.3
ENE
8
1.3
E
8
1.6
E
7
1.4
E
8
1.4
ENE
7
1.6
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.8
E
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
882
746
508
466
297
264
239
172
115
106
109
105
163
196
196
277
221
220
280
310
505
Wind (km/h)
20
SE
20
ESE
25
E
25
E
25
ENE
20
E
25
E
20
E
15
ENE
20
E
20
ENE
25
ENE
20
ENE
20
E
25
E
25
E
25
E
30
E
30
E
25
E
20
ESE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:54PM0.40m
5:19AM0.36m
5:19PM0.41m
6:11AM0.32m
5:48PM0.43m
7:09AM0.28m
6:24PM0.43m
8:23AM0.25m
7:07PM0.43m
7:58PM0.43m
9:02PM0.43m
Low Tide
10:38AM0.17m
11:15PM0.16m
10:55AM0.20m
00:09AM0.14m
11:06AM0.21m
1:10AM0.11m
11:11AM0.22m
2:22AM0.09m
11:04AM0.23m
3:39AM0.07m
4:54AM0.06m
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:17
6:16
6:16
6:15
6:15
6:14
6:14
 mm
2
1
5
1
1
5
2
1
7
Temp °C
29
30
28
27
28
28
29
29
27
28
29
28
28
29
28
29
29
28
28
28
28
Feels °C
30
30
29
28
29
29
30
30
29
29
31
30
30
31
30
30
30
29
28
28
30
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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