
Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, ENE swell with 785 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Bagasse over the next couple of weeks.
Straight up, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – this is a grim stretch. The only break on offer is Bagasse, a reef setup that’s fairly consistent, but the conditions are just not cooperating. The water temp is sitting at a super warm 83°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so at least you won’t be freezing while you stare at the closeouts.
We’ve got a long gap of poor to ordinary surf right from the start. Sunday the 26th kicks off with a tiny 4ft swell from the ENE, but it’s a short period 8 second windswell, and the wind is a light cross-shore. The combined energy is weak (165), and the waves are just poor. That afternoon things clean up a touch, but it’s still only 4ft and very ordinary. Monday the 27th through to Tuesday the 28th are all “poor surf conditions” with swell hovering around 3ft to 5ft, and that ENE windswell (8 seconds) just doesn’t have the juice. The combined energy finally climbs a bit to 263 on Tuesday afternoon, but the quality is still poor.
Now, we get a bit of a pulse from Wednesday the 29th through to Saturday the 1st of August. The swell bumps up to 8ft to 8ft on Wednesday, still from the ENE at a short 8 seconds. The combined energy shoots up into the moderate-to-strong range (778 to 885), which is a real tease. But – and it’s a big but – the wind is a fresh breeze from the E, blowing cross-offshore. The forecast calls it “marginal” due to questionable tide conditions. This is the only window that might get a few looks, but it’s not clean, and it’s not lining up. The swell is big enough (over 8ft) to be expert-only, and with that short period, it’s going to be a messy, lumpy pile of water. This is a reef, so the long period caveat doesn’t even apply – it’s just a short, weak windswell. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
After that, from Sunday the 2nd of August all the way to the end of the forecast on Monday the 10th, the numbers just flatline. We’re looking at 3ft to 5ft of weak, short-period ENE windswell (6-8 seconds), with cross-offshore winds, but the combined energy drops right back to poor levels (as low as 63). It’s all “poor surf conditions” or “marginal” at best. There’s no stand-out day, no golden window.
The only true standout? Honestly, there isn’t one. The best of a bad bunch is Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th of July, when the swell hits 8ft to 8ft. If you’re an expert and you’re desperate, you might find a few lumpy, tide-dodgy waves. But the wind is fresh, and the period is short. It’s not surfing – it’s a workout. I’d give the whole 16 days a miss. The forecast can change, but right now, it’s a tough watch.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sun morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Wed morning, min 27°C on Wed morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
165 | 131 | 135 | 119 | 122 | 11 | 169 | 232 | 375 | 671 | 766 | 692 | 616 | 483 | 424 | 424 | 367 | 286 | 250 | 221 | 270 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:35AM0.40m | 5:16PM0.28m | 1:29AM0.41m | 5:23PM0.28m | 2:17AM0.42m | 5:31PM0.30m | 3:01AM0.43m | 5:38PM0.32m | 3:43AM0.43m | 5:47PM0.34m | 4:25AM0.41m | 5:59PM0.36m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 8:22AM0.04m | 8:59AM0.04m | 6:49PM0.27m | 9:34AM0.04m | 7:46PM0.27m | 10:07AM0.06m | 8:38PM0.27m | 10:37AM0.08m | 9:29PM0.27m | 11:04AM0.10m | 10:21PM0.26m | 11:27AM0.13m | 11:17PM0.25m | ||||||||
5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | |
— | 6:36 | — | — | 6:36 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:34 | — | — | 6:34 | — | |
mm | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 31 | 32 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 31 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | NE 6 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 12 |
165 | 131 | 135 | 119 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 31 | 62 | 107 | 118 | 123 | 118 | 95 | 95 | 80 | 367 | 286 | 250 | 221 | 3 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | — | NE 7 | ENE 8 | SE 4 | E 8 | — | E 8 | SSE 4 | SE 4 | SSE 4 | SE 6 | SE 6 | S 6 | SE 5 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | S 5 |
3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | — | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | ENE 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | — | — | — | ENE 9 |
— | — | — | — | 122 | 126 | 169 | 232 | 375 | 671 | 766 | 692 | 616 | 483 | 424 | 424 | — | — | — | — | 270 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 380 | 551 | 414 | 319 | 414 | 615 | 615 | 506 | 615 | 751 | 178 | 414 | 270 | 270 | 240 | 178 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










