Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, ENE swell with 644 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 9s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's break it down in feet and miles per hour. The next couple of weeks are going to be a bit of a slog. The swell doesn’t really get going for a while, and the wind is mostly side or side-offshore. Not terrible, but nothing to get excited about. There’s one short window of better wave energy later on, so be ready to move fast.
Starting with Bagasse. It’s a reef, suited to intermediates, and it breaks fairly often. Water temp is about 83°, which is normal for this time of year.
From Friday, July 24th through Monday, July 27th, it’s a write-off. Swell is tiny – 3 to 5 feet from the ENE, with a short period of 7 to 8 seconds. That’s weak, short-period windswell. The combined energy is low, ranging from 130 to 299. Wind is side or side-off, so it’s clean, but the wave quality is poor. Not worth paddling out.
Tuesday, July 28th, same story – small, weak, and poor. Still around 4 to 5 feet from the ENE, 7-8 second period. Energy stays under 300. Still no good.
Now, Wednesday, July 29th things pick up. Swell builds to about 7 feet from the E, still with a short 8-second period. But the combined energy jumps into the strong range – 625 to 646. That’s a lot more power. Wind is a fresh side-offshore from the E, so the surface is clean. The wave quality is still only marginal, but this is the first real standout in the entire forecast. For the intermediate surfer, this is your best bet in the near term.
Thursday, July 30th keeps that energy going – swell 7 to 7 feet from the ENE, period 8 seconds, combined energy around 718 to 741. Still clean with that east wind. Again, not perfect, but it’s the most wave energy we’ve seen.
Friday, July 31st and Saturday, August 1st see the swell drop back to 6 feet then 4 feet, still from the ENE, period still short. Combined energy fades back to moderate (503 down to 202). The wind stays side-off, so it’s clean, but only marginal quality.
From Sunday, August 2nd all the way through to Saturday, August 8th, it’s a long dry spell. Swell is tiny – 3 to 4 feet – with short periods of 6 to 8 seconds. Combined energy is weak, between 111 and 361. The wind remains side-off, so it’s clean, but the surf is really poor. There are no good options in this stretch at all. That’s a gap of about 7 days of very little action. For a spot that’s normally fairly consistent, this is a noticeable lull.
The only real highlight in the whole 16 days is Wednesday, July 29th and Thursday, July 30th, when the combined energy hits the strong range and the swell is over 7 feet. That’s your window. Everything else is a waste of wax.
Stay patient, check in closer to the time, but for now, those two days are the ones to aim for.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 29°C on Fri morning, min 26°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Mon morning, min 27°C on Mon morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 162 | 244 | 244 | 256 | 263 | 226 | 196 | 159 | 127 | 119 | 149 | 183 | 202 | 220 | 426 | 548 | 562 | 588 | 629 | 603 | 547 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:39PM0.38m | 11:37PM0.39m | 00:35AM0.40m | 5:16PM0.28m | 1:29AM0.41m | 5:23PM0.28m | 2:17AM0.42m | 5:31PM0.30m | 3:01AM0.43m | 5:38PM0.32m | 3:43AM0.43m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 7:41AM0.06m | 8:22AM0.04m | 8:59AM0.04m | 6:49PM0.27m | 9:34AM0.04m | 7:46PM0.27m | 10:07AM0.06m | 8:38PM0.27m | 10:37AM0.08m | 9:29PM0.27m | |||||||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — |
 | — | 6:36 | — | — | 6:36 | — | — | 6:36 | — | — | 6:36 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — |
mm | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 29 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | NE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 |
| kJ | 38 | 55 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 226 | 196 | 159 | 127 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 31 | 65 | 77 | 84 | 100 | 112 | 115 | 100 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 5 | — | — | SE 5 | — | — | SE 9 | E 9 | SE 9 | ENE 8 | — | ENE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | — | — | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 162 | 244 | 244 | 256 | 263 | — | — | — | — | 119 | 149 | 183 | 202 | 220 | 426 | 548 | 562 | 588 | 629 | 603 | 547 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 380 | 319 | 270 | 240 | 414 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 178 | 239 | 380 | 551 | 752 | 319 | 653 | 615 | 551 | 506 | 615 | 787 | 319 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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