Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 14 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
28.9° C
0.4° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 15 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, E swell with 2,863 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 8s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11AM (Tue 18th Aug)4ft (1.2m) 8s
Best Surf11AM (Tue 18th Aug)4ft (1.2m) 8s
Most Powerful11AM (Sat 15th Aug)13ft (4.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, Rusty here. Let's talk about Bagasse. This reef break is a bit of a mixed bag for the next couple of weeks, with a real standout session on the horizon if you're willing to wait.

The water temp is sitting at 84°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

Alright, the outlook starts with a big gap. There's nothing worth paddling out for from now until we get to the 24th of August. You'll be looking at over a week of small, weak, or messy conditions. The energy is just too low, and the wind is often cross or cross-off with a chop. It's a dry spell, plain and simple.

Now, the real action kicks off on Monday the 24th of August. The morning session is the standout of the whole outlook. We've got a solid 8 ft swell from the ENE, with a 10-second period. The wave energy is pumping at (1004), and with the wind swinging light from the ESE, it's going to be clean. The guidance says this spot loves swell from the north, and this ENE direction is a good fit. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers only, as that 8 ft is pushing into proper territory. Keep in mind, though, that this is a reef break, so it'll handle the longer period nicely.

Monday afternoon holds up well too. The swell drops a touch to 7 ft from the ENE, but we get a light offshore breeze from the south, making for clean, very good surf (761). Still one for the experienced crew.

Tuesday the 25th of August morning is still a decent option. The swell settles to 6 ft from the E, with a 9-second period and a light cross-off breeze. You'll get clean, good waves (540), but it's not the standout that Monday morning is.

After that, the energy fades. From Tuesday afternoon onward, it's back to small, weak, and ordinary conditions as we head into the end of the month. The consistency is fair, but the quality just isn't there for the rest of the run.

So, to sum it up: sit tight. The wait is long, but if you're an experienced surfer, Monday the 24th of August morning at Bagasse is your best bet by a long shot. The crowd factor is "sometimes," so you might have some company, but the quality will be worth it.

Rusty, signing off.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Warm (max 29°C on Sun afternoon, min 25°C on Sat afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Fri night, moderate winds from the ENE by Mon afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Mon night, min 27°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3.5
ENE
9
4
E
10
2.5
E
10
2
E
9
2
ENE
9
1.8
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.5
E
8
1.3
ENE
8
1.2
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
8
1
E
9
1
E
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
1.1
E
8
1.2
E
7
1.4
ENE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1699
2863
1170
690
573
434
359
310
294
229
197
167
154
144
112
109
161
150
220
Wind (km/h)
50
ENE
45
ESE
30
ESE
30
E
30
E
25
E
25
ENE
25
E
20
ENE
15
E
10
E
10
ENE
10
E
5
ESE
10
ESE
15
E
25
ESE
25
E
25
E
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:58AM0.42m
5:45PM0.39m
5:51AM0.37m
6:11PM0.40m
6:45AM0.32m
6:36PM0.40m
7:44AM0.27m
7:03PM0.40m
9:22AM0.23m
7:32PM0.39m
8:06PM0.38m
Low Tide
10:46PM0.21m
11:25AM0.15m
11:49PM0.18m
11:49AM0.18m
00:53AM0.16m
12:04PM0.21m
1:59AM0.14m
12:03PM0.23m
3:08AM0.13m
11:00AM0.23m
4:17AM0.11m
thunderstorm
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:28
6:27
6:27
6:25
6:25
6:24
6:24
 mm
4
6
5
1
1
5
6
3
Temp °C
27
26
25
27
28
29
28
29
29
28
28
28
27
28
28
28
28
28
27
Feels °C
25
23
23
27
26
28
28
29
29
29
31
31
30
33
32
31
29
28
27
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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