Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, ENE swell with 688 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let me tell you straight up – the next 16 days at Bagasse aren't looking like anything to get excited about. This reef break is usually fairly consistent, and it’s got a solid 4/5 rating when conditions line up, but they just aren't cooperating right now. The swell is coming from the ENE and E, not the N that this spot really wants to work its best. On top of that, the period is short – 8 seconds at most, often just 7 – so the waves are weak and lack that proper groundswell punch. The wind is a problem too: fresh breezes from the E and ENE at 15–22 mph, mostly cross-off or cross, which keeps the surface from being truly glassy. That combo means the surf quality is either “poor” or at best “marginal” throughout the whole period.
From July 8 through July 23, the swell height hangs between 3 ft and 7 ft, but the combined wave energy (between 136 and 743) is never more than moderate, and often on the lower end. Mornings are slightly cleaner than afternoons, but it’s still nothing worth paddling out for. There’s no single standout day – every session gets a score of 0 or 1 out of 10. If you’re desperate, Thursday July 16 morning is about as good as it gets, with 5 ft from ENE, 8 secs, and a cross-off wind, but honestly the quality is still marginal. The rest is just poor surf conditions with lumpy cross-chop in the afternoons.
This break tends to have some life in it, so a blank run like this is unusual. Forecasts can change, but for now you’re better off waiting for a proper N swell and lighter winds. Don’t hold your breath.
– Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 28°C on Wed morning, min 26°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sat morning, min 26°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tue 14 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 7 | E 8 | E 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 375 | 473 | 509 | 599 | 632 | 588 | 617 | 629 | 574 | 688 | 588 | 483 | 471 | 350 | 310 | 324 | 300 | 258 | 327 | 430 | 407 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:34PM0.41m | 9:13AM0.26m | 9:12PM0.43m | 9:57PM0.44m | 10:51PM0.46m | 11:53PM0.48m | 4:48PM0.28m | 00:58AM0.49m | 4:57PM0.29m | 2:02AM0.50m | 5:21PM0.30m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 4:29AM0.18m | 1:24PM0.22m | 5:32AM0.12m | 6:30AM0.06m | 7:26AM0.01m | 8:20AM-0.02m | 5:49PM0.28m | 9:12AM-0.04m | 7:09PM0.28m | 10:02AM-0.03m | |||||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — |
 | 6:37 | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 13 | NE 12 | ENE 12 | NE 7 | NE 8 | SSE 6 | NE 8 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | N 14 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | N 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 |
| kJ | 7 | 6 | 14 | 77 | 109 | 4 | 88 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | NE 12 | SSE 4 | — | SSE 4 | SE 4 | — | — | — | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | SE 4 | N 11 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 |
| kJ | 3 | 6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | — | NE 12 | — | E 10 | — | — | — | — | — | N 14 | N 13 | SE 6 | SE 4 | S 6 | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | — | E 15 | E 15 |
| kJ | 1 | — | 6 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 7 | E 8 | E 8 |
| kJ | 375 | 473 | 509 | 599 | 632 | 588 | 617 | 629 | 574 | 688 | 588 | 483 | 471 | 350 | 310 | 324 | 300 | 258 | 327 | 430 | 407 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 670 | 615 | 787 | 454 | 517 | 764 | 719 | 787 | 754 | 504 | 787 | 319 | 319 | 414 | 178 | 319 | 414 | 414 | 719 | 615 | 787 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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