Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Bagasse over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, the first week is a bit of a write-off. From Tuesday 11th of August right through to Saturday 15th, we’ve got a persistent cross-off or cross-shore wind blowing 12-22 mph, mushing up the swell. The waves are running 4ft to 7ft from the ENE, but it’s just messy. The swell energy is creeping up from moderate (143) into the solid range (691), but the wind is just ruining it. You’d be fighting a lumpy, cross-chop. Not worth paddling out for a surf.

Then, Sunday 16th of August, things get interesting. The morning glass-off arrives with a moderate offshore breeze from the SSE at 16 mph. The swell jumps to 8ft from the ENE, with a period of 11 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell with some grunt. The combined energy hits a massive 1636, which is very strong. This is big, powerful stuff. For experienced surfers only, this is excellent. The wave direction (ENE) is not the optimum for this spot, which prefers a northerly, but the quality of the offshore wind and the raw energy makes it the standout of the whole forecast. It’s a reef break, so it should handle that long period nicely. The water temp is a balmy 84°, which is about average for this time of year.

That Sunday afternoon drops off to a cross-off and a 7ft wave, still with the long period, but the wind is side-shore again. The rest of that week falls back into the same pattern of cross-off or cross-shore winds and poor to marginal conditions. The swell drops and the energy fades back into the moderate range.

There is a glimmer right at the end. On Wednesday 26th of August, we get a light breeze from the east at 6 mph, turning to a cross-off in the afternoon. The swell is 5ft from the ENE with an 8-second period and moderate energy (365). The forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” It’s clean, small, and manageable – a nice, easy session for intermediates after all the chop.

So, the real standout is the Sunday 16th morning session. If you’ve got the experience, get amongst that 8ft offshore beauty. The wind is clean, the power is high. For the rest of the run, it’s a long wait for some cleaner conditions right at the tail end.

Rusty.

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