Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, E swell with 377 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Bagasse.
Right now, the outlook is a long, tough slog. We’ve got a solid 16-day window on the table, but honestly, the first twelve days from Tuesday the 14th right through to Saturday the 26th of July are a write-off for a decent paddle. The swell is there, but it’s being hammered by strong cross-off breezes and a short, weak period, creating poor surf conditions. The combined wave energy is moderate for most of that stretch, sitting between 140 and 380, but it’s just not coming together. The water temp is a normal 83°F, so at least it’s warm for the wait.
There’s a real turning point, though. Starting on Sunday the 26th of July, things start to look a little more promising. The morning and afternoon both show marginal conditions, but the wind finally drops to a moderate breeze and stays cross-off, giving us some clean-looking surf. The swell height is still modest at 5ft to 5ft from the ENE, but the period picks up to 8 seconds, which is a step in the right direction. The combined energy is climbing into the moderate-to-strong range, hitting 269 on Sunday and 318 by Monday the 27th.
The best bet in this stretch is the morning of Monday the 27th of July. The swell is 5ft from the ENE with an 8-second period, the wind is light and cross-off from the E at 20 km/h, and the wave energy is solid at 318. It’s still only a marginal call, but the conditions are the cleanest we’ve seen. This is a reef break, and with the swell pointing more easterly, it’s not hitting the optimum N direction, so the quality might be a bit fat, but it’s the only real window to get wet without battling the chop.
Tuesday the 28th of July keeps the marginal trend with a slightly bigger 6ft to 6ft ENE swell, but the period stays short at 7 seconds, so the shape will be lumpy. The energy is strong at 365, but that short period is a letdown for a reef break like this. If you’re an experienced local, you might get a few, but it’s not one for beginners.
Overall, don’t hold your breath for the first two weeks. The tail end of the forecast has a glimmer of hope, particularly the Monday morning session on the 27th. It’s not a classic, but it might just be worth a look.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 26°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sun morning, min 26°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 215 | 186 | 186 | 181 | 156 | 156 | 142 | 138 | 186 | 202 | 187 | 208 | 358 | 355 | 346 | 273 | 310 | 234 | 196 | 164 | 164 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:21PM0.30m | 3:03AM0.50m | 5:48PM0.32m | 4:01AM0.49m | 6:16PM0.34m | 4:57AM0.46m | 6:45PM0.36m | 5:52AM0.41m | 7:14PM0.38m | 6:48AM0.36m | 7:42PM0.39m | 7:51AM0.30m | 8:11PM0.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:02AM-0.03m | 8:18PM0.27m | 10:49AM-0.01m | 9:26PM0.27m | 11:32AM0.03m | 10:38PM0.26m | 12:12PM0.08m | 11:55PM0.25m | 12:46PM0.13m | 1:18AM0.23m | 1:13PM0.18m | 2:40AM0.20m | 1:32PM0.21m | 3:56AM0.17m | |||||||
 | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — |
 | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 26 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | ENE 8 | NNE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NNE 8 |
| kJ | 10 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 273 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 10 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | E 13 | — | N 7 | E 13 | E 13 | — | N 8 | — | NNE 10 | NE 9 | ENE 8 | NE 10 | NNE 8 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | — | 1 | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | — | SE 4 | E 13 | S 5 | N 7 | E 12 | E 12 | — | SE 4 | — | SE 4 | SE 4 | NE 8 | — | NNE 9 | SE 4 | — | NE 8 |
| kJ | 4 | 4 | 4 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | — | 8 | 1 | — | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 8 | E 8 | — | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 215 | 186 | 186 | 181 | 156 | 156 | 142 | 138 | 186 | 202 | 187 | 208 | 358 | 355 | 346 | — | 310 | 234 | 196 | 164 | 164 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 319 | 178 | 178 | 380 | 178 | 719 | 239 | 319 | 706 | 615 | 319 | 673 | 615 | 178 | 319 | 787 | 787 | 270 | 787 | 178 | 319 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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