
Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, ENE swell with 1,265 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I'm looking at the outlook for Bagasse.
Right off the bat, the next week or so is a real struggle. We've got a lot of wind and a lot of cross-off or cross-shore chop making a mess of things. The swell energy is all over the shop, from weak (88) right up to very strong (1282), but the wind just won't play ball. For the first eight days, through to the afternoon of the 16th of August, it's pretty much all poor surf conditions – you'd be fighting a losing battle. The only flicker of hope in that stretch is a couple of sessions on Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th where the swell bumps up to over 8ft, but with a strong breeze and cross conditions, that's big, ugly, and dangerous – definitely not for beginners. The wave energy is strong (731 to 1251), but the quality is just not there. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
But then, hold onto your hats. Monday the 17th of August is the one we’ve been waiting for. The morning is glassy – *glassy*, with a slight air from the SSE at only 3 mph. The swell drops a touch to about 7ft from the east, but the period bumps up to 11 seconds, giving it real groundswell power. The combined energy is strong at 1203. The report says excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers, and I agree – that's a standout window. This will be a proper, clean, powerful wave, though at 7ft it's in that expert zone. The afternoon sees the wind swing light offshore from the south at 9 mph, still very clean, with the swell at 7ft. That is the best on offer by a country mile.
After that, the consistency fades again. Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th have some marginal, clean surf with east swell around 4 to 5ft, but the wind is back to a cross-off and the energy drops off fast (395 down to 209). From the 20th of August right through to the end of the outlook on the 24th, it's a long stretch of poor conditions with onshore or cross-off winds and weak swell energy (74 to 276). It's a bit of a desert after that Monday gem.
So, the play is simple: Bagasse. The entire run is building to Monday the 17th of August. That morning glass-off is the moment to be in the water. The swell is from the east, which is not its absolute optimum from the north, but the quality of the conditions will make up for it. This is a reef break that's fairly consistent, and crowds are possible, so get there early. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so don't worry about a wetsuit.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 29°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Wed morning, min 27°C on Tue night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
244 | 233 | 192 | 195 | 72 | 80 | 64 | 62 | 76 | 88 | 143 | 181 | 262 | 526 | 727 | 932 | 1236 | 1181 | 1149 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:29PM0.45m | 11:43PM0.46m | 4:11PM0.29m | 00:58AM0.47m | 4:16PM0.30m | 2:06AM0.48m | 4:34PM0.33m | 3:08AM0.48m | 4:56PM0.35m | 4:04AM0.46m | 5:20PM0.37m | 4:58AM0.42m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:16AM0.01m | 8:10AM0.00m | 6:12PM0.28m | 8:58AM0.01m | 7:33PM0.27m | 9:42AM0.03m | 8:41PM0.25m | 10:21AM0.06m | 9:44PM0.23m | 10:56AM0.10m | 10:46PM0.21m | ||||||||
— | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | |
6:30 | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:29 | — | — | 6:29 | — | — | 6:28 | — | |
mm | 4 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 |
Temp °C | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 27 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 31 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | NE 6 | NNE 8 | ENE 6 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | N 8 | N 14 | N 14 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 |
19 | 19 | 19 | 29 | 51 | 28 | 64 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 28 | 26 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ESE 8 | NE 8 | ESE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 10 | ESE 8 | N 11 | NE 9 | — | — | N 13 | SE 10 | SSE 4 | E 13 |
3 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | — | — | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 11 | E 11 | SE 4 | NNE 10 | E 10 | ESE 8 | ENE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | — | NE 8 | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 6 | — | ENE 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 |
244 | 233 | 192 | 195 | 72 | 80 | — | 62 | 76 | 88 | 143 | 181 | 262 | 526 | 727 | 932 | 1236 | 1181 | 1149 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 414 | 404 | 270 | 270 | 239 | 178 | 270 | 414 | 414 | 650 | 752 | 764 | 706 | 752 | 751 | 719 | 787 | 787 | 319 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











