Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 11 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
29.2°C
0.5° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, ENE swell with 283 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.6m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 17) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 2AM (Sat 12th Sep)5ft (1.6m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Tellin' it straight for this spot: Bagasse.

Look, I gotta be honest with ya – this is a tough stretch of 16 days for Bagasse. We’ve got a whole lot of nothin' exciting on the cards. For the first week and a half, the wind’s just wrong, wrong, wrong. That easterly flow is blowin' straight down the barrel, and while it's technically cross-off, it's coming in stiff – 12 to 19 mph for most of the first week. That breeze is just too strong to let the waves hold up. The combined swell energy is weak (266 down to 99 in that first week), and the period is short, around 7 seconds. It's all wind-slop, not proper swell. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no warmth bonus here.

The only flicker of hope comes right at the end. Saturday, September 19th, the morning session sees that easterly wind drop to a gentle 9 mph, which makes for clean conditions. But the swell is tiny – just 3 ft from the ENE – and the combined energy is a paltry 85. It's surfable if you're desperate, but don't expect any power. It’s a reef break that’s fairly consistent, and needs that northerly optimum to really work. This ENE swell is hitting it from the side, not wrapping in properly. Then we get another little bump on Monday the 21st morning with 2 ft and clean conditions, but again, the energy is a very weak 60.

After that, it just fades away into flatness. From the 22nd right through the 27th of September, we're lookin' at dribble. Swell heights drop below 2 ft, and the energy is in the teens and twenties. It’s a total blank run. For an exposed reef like Bagasse, this is pretty normal when the wind and swell angles don't line up. It just means we gotta wait for a proper north swell and a calm day to get this place firing.

Standout: Honestly, there isn't a true standout. The Saturday 19th morning is the cleanest, flattest option, and the Monday 21st morning is the next best thing. If you've got a log, you might get a knee-high bump on the 19th, but that's about the best on offer.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Fri night, min 27°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Warm (max 29°C on Tue afternoon, min 27°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
7
1.5
ENE
7
1.5
ENE
7
1.4
ENE
7
1.4
ENE
7
1.3
E
8
1.3
E
8
1.1
ENE
7
1
E
8
1
E
8
0.9
ENE
7
1
ENE
6
0.9
ENE
6
1
ENE
6
1
E
6
1
E
7
1.2
E
7
1.3
E
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
283
252
228
228
173
175
191
201
111
124
131
82
62
58
78
86
112
159
181
Wind (km/h)
30
ENE
30
E
25
ENE
25
E
25
E
25
E
20
E
20
E
20
ENE
20
E
20
ENE
20
ENE
20
ENE
20
ENE
25
E
20
E
25
E
25
E
25
E
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
4:12AM0.41m
4:21PM0.40m
5:03AM0.37m
4:45PM0.41m
5:54AM0.33m
5:09PM0.41m
6:46AM0.29m
5:34PM0.40m
7:44AM0.26m
6:01PM0.39m
6:32PM0.38m
Low Tide
9:49PM0.17m
10:08AM0.18m
10:40PM0.14m
10:31AM0.20m
11:29PM0.11m
10:48AM0.22m
00:20AM0.10m
10:57AM0.23m
1:14AM0.09m
10:48AM0.24m
2:14AM0.09m
3:21AM0.10m
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:08
6:07
6:07
6:07
6:06
6:05
6:05
 mm
1
1
1
3
1
1
2
3
2
Temp °C
29
28
29
28
29
29
27
28
28
27
28
29
27
29
29
28
28
28
28
Feels °C
28
27
29
29
29
30
28
29
28
28
29
30
28
31
31
30
30
28
29
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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