Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 25 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
28.4° C
0.3° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, ENE swell with 704 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 01) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Sun 26th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Best Surf 5AM (Sun 26th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Most Powerful11AM (Wed 29th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for our little patch of coast, focusing on Bagasse. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s break it down.

The immediate outlook is pretty grim. We’re staring at a long stretch of nothing special, with the first real action not showing up until the morning of Wednesday the 29th of July. Before that, we’ve got a few days of small, weak, and ordinary conditions. On Sunday the 26th, we get a tiny 4ft swell from the ENE with a short 8-second period, but the wave energy is weak (155) and the conditions are just “surfable.” Monday and Tuesday are even worse – small, poor surf with a cross-chop. It’s a dead zone.

Now, Wednesday the 29th of July is where things get interesting. The wind swings to a consistent cross-off from the E, and the swell jumps up to a solid 8ft from the ENE. The wave energy ramps up to a strong 804, which is serious stuff. This is big, powerful, short-period swell. At 8ft, this is getting into expert territory – it’s going to be a handful for anyone who isn’t comfortable in heavy water. The reef at Bagasse will be working, but you’ll need your wits about you. The clean conditions from that cross-off wind are a huge plus, but the size and the short period (8 seconds) mean it’ll be a bit of a washing machine, with heaps of whitewater.

Thursday the 30th holds similar, with a 7ft swell and 603 energy, still clean. Friday the 31st backs off a touch to 6ft, still clean in the morning but getting a bit lumpy in the afternoon. Saturday the 1st of August sees the swell drop to 5ft and the period lengthens to 10 seconds, which is a much nicer, more manageable wave. The energy is moderate (399), and the gentle cross-off breeze will keep it clean. This is the standout of the whole run. It’s the most user-friendly size, with a better period, and clean conditions. For a surfer, this is the window to aim for.

After that, it’s a slow fade. Sunday the 2nd of August through to the end of the forecast window on Monday the 10th of August, we’re back to small, weak, and mostly poor conditions. The swell drops below 5ft, and the wind stays fresh, either cross-off or cross. The energy is low, and the period is short. It’s basically a write-off for the second week.

The best bet for the whole 16-day window is Saturday the 1st of August at Bagasse. The morning will have a clean 5ft swell from the ENE with a 10-second period and a gentle E breeze. The wave energy at 399 is moderate, but it’s the best balance of size and quality. The crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so you might have some company, but it’s worth it. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing weird going on there.

Stay safe out there, and don’t get caught inside on the big Wednesday.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sat night. Warm (max 28°C on Sun morning, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 28°C on Wed morning, min 27°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds.

Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
ENE
8
1.2
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
8
1
ENE
8
1
ENE
8
1
ENE
8
1.2
ENE
7
1.2
ENE
8
1.3
ENE
8
2
E
8
2.3
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
2.1
ENE
8
2
ENE
8
1.9
ENE
8
1.8
ENE
8
1.8
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
191
155
131
113
122
125
160
187
207
471
704
660
660
603
534
498
460
445
363
Wind (km/h)
15
E
10
E
10
ENE
15
E
15
ENE
25
E
25
E
25
E
25
E
30
E
35
E
30
E
30
E
30
E
25
E
30
E
25
E
25
ENE
20
E
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
11:37PM0.39m
00:35AM0.40m
5:16PM0.28m
1:29AM0.41m
5:23PM0.28m
2:17AM0.42m
5:31PM0.30m
3:01AM0.43m
5:38PM0.32m
3:43AM0.43m
5:47PM0.34m
4:25AM0.41m
Low Tide
8:22AM0.04m
8:59AM0.04m
6:49PM0.27m
9:34AM0.04m
7:46PM0.27m
10:07AM0.06m
8:38PM0.27m
10:37AM0.08m
9:29PM0.27m
11:04AM0.10m
10:21PM0.26m
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:46
5:46
5:46
5:46
5:47
5:47
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:36
6:36
6:36
6:35
6:35
6:35
6:34
 mm
6
1
1
1
2
3
1
Temp °C
27
28
28
27
28
28
27
28
28
27
28
28
28
28
28
27
28
28
27
Feels °C
29
31
31
29
30
29
28
28
28
28
27
27
27
26
27
27
28
28
29
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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