Bagasse Surf Break

Lat Long: 14.87° N 61.19° W

Bagasse Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 am 11 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Bagasse sea temperature is
28.7° C
0.3° 

Bagasse surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Bagasse surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 17 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period, ENE swell with 2,340 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 17 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:

The surf forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 2PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (AST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2PM (Mon 17th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 11s
Best Surf 2PM (Mon 17th Aug)5.5ft (1.7m) 11s
Most Powerful11PM (Sun 16th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a good look at what’s coming down the line for Bagasse.

Alright, to be straight with you, the next 16 days at Bagasse is a tough watch. There’s really nothing in the first week that I’d call good surf. We’ve got a persistent onshore breeze from the east and east-northeast that’s keeping things messy, and the scores across the board reflect that. You’re looking at a solid stretch of poor conditions, with stuff from knee-high to just over head-high, but that wind is just ruining it. Water temp is sitting at a normal 84°F for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick suit, but you’ll be battling the chop more than enjoying the ride.

The real kicker is that there’s no standout session here. Tuesday morning, August 11, has a tiny 1 ft swell from the north-northeast with a weak 32 combined energy, and cross-off winds from the ESE at 9 mph, but it’s just too small to get excited about. Even when the swell pushes up to 7 ft on Friday, August 14, that strong ENE breeze at 25 mph is going to leave the surface lumpy and uninviting.

We do see a little promise rolling in around Monday, August 17. The morning has a 6 ft east-northeast swell with a period stretching out to 11 seconds (groundswell energy), and the wind drops to a gentle 9 mph from the east, keeping it cross-off and clean. The combined energy is 894 – moderate but punchy. That’s your best window, but still only a marginal call. For a reef break like Bagasse, that longer period can mean better shape, but the swell direction is ENE and the optimum here is from the north. It’s not a perfect match, so the wave quality might be a bit walled up.

After that, it fades back down through the second week. By August 25 and 26, the swell bumps back up to 6 ft to 5 ft with moderate energy (401 and 262), but once again that cross-off wind gets replaced by a fresh cross-shore breeze, chopping things up. Overall, it’s a long stretch of mostly poor surf. If you’re desperate for a paddle, Monday morning August 17 is the only one I’d even consider, but keep your expectations low. There are no true standouts in this window. The setup here is better suited for a kite session than a traditional paddle surf through most of this period.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Tue afternoon, min 27°C on Tue morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Tue morning, fresh winds from the E by Thu night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Fri morning, min 27°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Fri morning, light winds from the ENE by Sun night).

Tuesday
11
Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
NNE
8
1.1
ENE
7
1
ENE
6
1.2
ENE
6
1.5
ENE
7
1.8
ENE
7
2.1
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
2.3
ENE
8
2.3
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
2.1
ENE
8
2
ENE
8
2
ENE
8
1.8
ENE
8
1.9
ENE
9
2.5
ENE
12
1.9
ENE
11
1.5
ENE
10
1.1
ENE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
24
99
80
127
192
293
469
585
671
669
614
614
578
541
554
479
561
1777
869
432
230
Wind (km/h)
20
ESE
20
E
20
E
25
E
25
E
35
E
35
E
35
E
35
E
40
E
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
30
ENE
35
ENE
25
NE
25
NE
20
ENE
15
E
20
ENE
15
E
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
4:16PM0.30m
2:06AM0.48m
4:34PM0.33m
3:08AM0.48m
4:56PM0.35m
4:04AM0.46m
5:20PM0.37m
4:58AM0.42m
5:45PM0.39m
5:51AM0.37m
6:11PM0.40m
6:45AM0.32m
6:36PM0.40m
Low Tide
8:58AM0.01m
7:33PM0.27m
9:42AM0.03m
8:41PM0.25m
10:21AM0.06m
9:44PM0.23m
10:56AM0.10m
10:46PM0.21m
11:25AM0.15m
11:49PM0.18m
11:49AM0.18m
00:53AM0.16m
12:04PM0.21m
1:59AM0.14m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:48
5:48
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
5:50
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:30
6:29
6:29
6:28
6:27
6:27
6:25
 mm
1
4
Temp °C
28
29
27
28
28
27
28
28
27
28
28
28
28
28
27
28
28
27
28
29
27
Feels °C
30
31
29
29
28
27
25
26
26
25
26
26
26
26
26
28
28
28
30
32
29
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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