Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, ENE swell with 660 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.2m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 09) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here for the imperial crew.
We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag on the horizon for Bagasse. The first real sniff of anything surfable kicks off on Thursday, July 9th, but honestly, it’s a tough one to get excited about. That morning we’re looking at a 6.6 ft easterly swell with a short, snappy 8-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 581, but the wind is a stiff 19 mph cross-offshore. It’ll be clean, but the tide and conditions are questionable. The swell’s coming from the east, but this spot really wants north in the water, so it’s not quite lining up. This is a reef break, fairly consistent, but it’s not going to be pretty. The water temp is about normal for this time of year, nothing to complain about there.
Honestly, after that first day, the outlook takes a dive. From Friday the 10th right through to the end of the month, the scores are flat. The wind stays up, mostly cross or cross-off from the east-northeast, and the wave quality is just poor. The swell sticks around 5 ft to 6 ft for a lot of it, but it’s lumpy and cross-chop. You’re looking at combined energy values dropping from 656 down to 143 by the 21st, which is weak. The crowd factor is a “sometimes” here, but with this quality, it won’t matter. There’s a long stretch of nothing worth paddling for, especially from the 12th to the 17th where it’s just a wasteland.
The one standout – and I use that word loosely – is the very last day, Thursday the 24th of July. The morning shows a 5.6 ft easterly swell with an 8-second period, combined energy of 399 (moderate), and the wind is a cleaner cross-off at 19 mph. It’s still not the optimum direction for this spot, but it’s the cleanest we’ll see in a long time. Don’t book a flight, but if you’re local, keep an eye on it. The rest of the forecast is a write-off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 28°C on Fri afternoon, min 26°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 28°C on Sun afternoon, min 26°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wed 15 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 627 | 562 | 509 | 547 | 560 | 629 | 629 | 660 | 534 | 424 | 350 | 302 | 327 | 308 | 272 | 308 | 337 | 337 | 337 | 300 | 265 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:12PM0.43m | 9:57PM0.44m | 10:51PM0.46m | 11:53PM0.48m | 4:48PM0.28m | 00:58AM0.49m | 4:57PM0.29m | 2:02AM0.50m | 5:21PM0.30m | 3:03AM0.50m | 5:48PM0.32m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 5:32AM0.12m | 6:30AM0.06m | 7:26AM0.01m | 8:20AM-0.02m | 5:49PM0.28m | 9:12AM-0.04m | 7:09PM0.28m | 10:02AM-0.03m | 8:18PM0.27m | 10:49AM-0.01m | |||||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — |
 | 6:37 | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 |
mm | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 27 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NE 11 | NE 10 | — | NE 8 | SE 4 | NE 7 | N 14 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | NNE 11 | N 11 | N 10 | N 10 | NNE 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 9 |
| kJ | 84 | 19 | 28 | — | 94 | 1 | 100 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | — | SE 4 | E 9 | SE 4 | N 14 | SE 4 | SE 6 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | N 11 | N 10 | N 8 | — | N 7 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 |
| kJ | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | E 9 | — | E 9 | — | N 13 | N 12 | SE 6 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | — | SE 4 | E 15 | — | SE 4 | N 10 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | — | 1 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 |
| kJ | 627 | 562 | 509 | 547 | 560 | 629 | 629 | 660 | 534 | 424 | 350 | 302 | 327 | 308 | 272 | 308 | 337 | 337 | 337 | 300 | 265 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 454 | 787 | 753 | 719 | 787 | 750 | 517 | 787 | 413 | 270 | 719 | 319 | 454 | 787 | 319 | 517 | 615 | 787 | 517 | 787 | 787 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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