
Surf Forecasts:
Bagasse surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, ENE swell with 485 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Bagasse this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Bagasse in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 9s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Bagasse over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s cookin’ for Bagasse over the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, this is a tough stretch. We’re looking at a long, dry spell before anything even comes close to being worth paddling out for. The first recommendation isn’t until Wednesday the 9th of September, and even that is just barely hanging in there as a marginal call. The whole week leading up to it is full of poor surf conditions with nothing to get excited about.
The water temp is sitting at a pretty normal 85°, so no surprises there.
The standout, and really the only window that has any potential, is on Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th of September. The swell bumps up a bit, with the morning of the 9th seeing 6ft of ENE swell at 8 seconds, and the combined energy hitting a moderate 604. It’s a short-period, wind-driven swell, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and disorganized, but there’s some push behind it. The wind is cross-offshore out of the east, so it’ll be clean on the face, which is a major positive. The afternoon of the 9th holds similar energy at 517 with 6ft waves, but there’s a risk of thunderstorms, so keep an eye on the sky. Thursday the 10th morning still has some moderate energy (512) and 6ft waves, but by the afternoon it drops back into the poor category.
For the rest of the 16 days, it’s a whole lot of nothing. After the 11th of September, the swell fades and the combined energy drops into weak territory, often below 100, and the wave heights shrink back down to under 3ft. There’s a tiny blip around the 17th of September where the energy creeps back over 200 and the rating turns marginal again, but it’s nothing special and a long way off.
Bagasse is a fairly consistent reef break, and it does get crowded sometimes, so if you’re out there on the 9th or 10th, expect some company. The swell direction is coming from the east and east-northeast, but the optimum direction here is north, so it’s never going to be firing perfectly. Still, on those two days, with clean, cross-off winds and waves in the chest-to-head-high range, it’s the only game in town.
So, if you’re desperate for a paddle, Wednesday the 9th and Thursday the 10th of September are your best bet. After that, put the board away for a while.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Wed morning, min 27°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
104 | 127 | 118 | 173 | 152 | 176 | 209 | 215 | 277 | 461 | 383 | 476 | 437 | 448 | 392 | 341 | 301 | 251 | 207 | 145 | 121 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:21PM0.43m | 3:16PM0.30m | 11:50PM0.43m | 3:08PM0.31m | 1:11AM0.44m | 3:19PM0.34m | 2:19AM0.44m | 3:37PM0.36m | 3:18AM0.43m | 3:59PM0.39m | 4:12AM0.41m | 4:21PM0.40m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 7:00AM0.05m | 5:32PM0.29m | 7:49AM0.06m | 6:56PM0.26m | 8:32AM0.08m | 8:00PM0.23m | 9:09AM0.11m | 8:57PM0.20m | 9:41AM0.15m | 9:49PM0.17m | 10:08AM0.18m | 10:40PM0.14m | |||||||||
5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | |
— | 6:13 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:10 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:07 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 31 | 32 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | NNE 13 | NE 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 13 | NNE 12 | NNE 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NE 11 | NNE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 9 | N 10 | E 8 | ENE 10 |
104 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 36 | 47 | 114 | 127 | 123 | 82 | 84 | 57 | 45 | 28 | 26 | 15 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 145 | 18 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | N 8 | N 14 | N 9 | NE 12 | NNE 15 | NNE 10 | N 9 | — | NE 11 | NNE 11 | NNE 11 | NE 11 | N 10 | N 9 | N 10 | — | N 12 | NE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 11 |
16 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 21 | 37 | 2 | — | 61 | 50 | 47 | 30 | 2 | 7 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | — | NNE 14 | NNE 14 | — | — | SE 9 | — | — | — | SSE 4 | SE 4 | N 13 | — | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | N 15 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 20 | 18 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | E 8 |
— | 127 | 118 | 173 | 152 | 176 | 209 | 215 | 277 | 461 | 383 | 476 | 437 | 448 | 392 | 341 | 301 | 251 | 207 | — | 121 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 239 | 551 | 615 | 706 | 646 | 615 | 787 | 319 | 615 | 764 | 504 | 615 | 754 | 454 | 454 | 787 | 456 | 380 | 764 | 319 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Martinique | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Bagasse Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Bagasse provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Bagasse can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Bagasse surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Bagasse) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Bagasse may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Bagasse is 24 km (15 miles) from Sainte-Marie. If you plan a holiday in Martinique, look for hotels and other accommodation in Sainte-Marie. Sainte-Marie has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










