Fishermans Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be real, I've scanned the charts for the next two and a bit weeks, and this is a tough one to call. We're looking at a long, dry spell for surfable waves around here. The good news is there's a tiny window of something, but you've got to be patient.

Right now, the outlook is bleak. From September 4th right through to the end of the 16-day window, Fishermans Reef is the only break on the cards, and it's described as "rarely breaks." For a spot that's already super sheltered, that's a huge red flag. We're looking at a solid 16 days with no real surf to speak of.

The first hint of anything that might be rideable shows up on Monday, September 7th in the afternoon. A weak, short-period swell from the north starts to show, but it's barely a pulse. The combined swell energy is only 166, which is moderate at best, but the swell height is a tiny 4 ft and the period is a measly 8 seconds. It's a beach-and-reef setup, so with that kind of weak, short-period swell, it's going to be messy and weak. The wind is cross-offshore from the WNW at 19 mph, which will keep the surface clean, but the water's sitting at 57°, which is about average for the time of year. Honestly, for a spot that's a very sheltered reef, this combo isn't going to make it break. This setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The rest of the forecast is a dead zone. We get a few days of tiny, knee-high dribbles in the 0.7 ft to 1 ft range, but with periods under 10 seconds, it's just not going to have any push. The wind is often offshore, which is a shame because the swell is non-existent. The combined energy values are all two-digit (51, 13, 15, etc.), which is weak stuff. There's a long period of consistent offshore winds from the 11th to the 15th of September, but the swell is so small it's pointless. The wind gets strong, too, hitting 28 mph on the 12th, which would be a strong offshore—hard to paddle into.

So, is there a standout? Honestly, no. There is no single session that's worth chasing. The best-case scenario is the tiny window on the 7th, but it's a long shot for a break that rarely works. If you're desperate for a paddle, you might find a few clean but gutless waves on the morning of the 9th (1 ft, 7-sec period, light offshore SSW 9 mph) or the 16th (1.0 ft, 13-sec period, cross-off S 9 mph), but you'll be sitting on a longboard waiting for a dribble. This is a genuine blank run for the area, and it's not unusual for a sheltered spot like this. Don't hold your breath.

Rusty.

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