Fishermans Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s not sugar-coat it—this outlook is about as flat as it gets. Fishermans Reef is barely breaking, and looking over the full 16 days, there’s almost nothing for a surfer to get excited about. The first few days are dead, and the trend doesn’t improve much.

Wednesday the 16th gives you a tiny 0.3m of NE swell, with a long 13-second period, but it’s just not enough. Water’s sitting at 15°, about normal for this time of year. Light cross-off winds from the WSW, so it’s clean, but there’s nothing to ride—combined energy is a weak 29. Thursday the 17th bumps up slightly—0.8m in the morning, 1.1m by afternoon—but the period drops to 4-5 seconds, and it’s just choppy, cross-on, and messy. Not worth suiting up.

Then comes Friday the 18th. That’s the one day with some punch. Overnight, a 2.4m N swell shows up with an 8-second period, and the combined energy reads 660—that’s serious power. But here’s the issue: on a very sheltered reef, that’s going to be a churning, lumpy mess. Morning has a light S wind, but afternoon swings to a strong offshore from the SW at 30 km/h. It’ll be clean, but 2.4m of short-period swell on an inconsistent reef is expert territory, and likely closing out. If you’re a gunslinger, you might find some heavy ones, but I wouldn’t call it good. After that, it’s essentially over.

From Saturday the 19th through the rest of the month, the swell just fades to nothing—0.1m to 0.3m, with periods mostly in the single digits early on, though some days (like the 24th and 25th) stretch to 14-17 seconds. But with that tiny size, it’s still flat. Winds stay mostly offshore or cross-off, so it’ll be glassy and pretty, but there’s no wave to catch. Combined energy is in the low teens or single digits—weak, nothing happening.

There’s a gap of well over a week with absolutely no surf—just clean, empty water. Beginners have nothing to worry about, but there’s also nothing to learn on. Even the kitesurfers would find it boring, as there’s no push in the water.

The second week stays stubbornly small—0.1m to 0.3m through the 28th, 29th, and into October 1st. Winds stay light to moderate, mostly offshore or cross-off, so it stays clean, but it’s a desert out there. This is just one of those dead runs this area gets sometimes. It won’t stay this poor forever—forecasts can change—but right now, I’d leave the board in the shed.

So, plain and simple: no good surf in this 16-day window. Friday the 18th is the only day with any real size, and even then, it’s a messy, expert-only affair on an inconsistent reef. Otherwise, it’s a long, flat, clean stretch. Keep an eye on the charts, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty out.

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