Dee Why Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight – there’s only one break in the mix for this outlook, Dee Why Point, and the first week and a half is a pretty grim affair. We get a slow, frustrating start with almost nothing worth paddling out for until a massive, dangerous spike of swell mid-week, followed by a slow fade into more ordinary conditions. Hang tight.

The window opens on Sunday the 13th with nothing doing – knee-high slop at 3 ft from the S, cross-on breeze, messy with wind ripples. That sets the tone. Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th are also write-offs: small S/NE swells, cross or cross-on winds, and not a single wave worth mentioning. The energy is weak (65 to 173) and the combined energy is just a whisper.

Then Wednesday the 16th changes everything – but not for the faint-hearted. A big S groundswell arrives, jumping to 10 ft by Wednesday morning and 13 ft by the afternoon. That’s serious size, only for experts. Combined energy spikes hard (1292, then 2783). Winds are cross-off and clean, but this is too big for Dee Why Point – it’s a classic point break, and a 13 ft S swell will be a washing machine, breaking straight and with dangerous power. If you’re a seasoned charger and know the place, Wednesday afternoon is the standout session of the whole 16-day run, but it’s not for beginners. The water temp is 63°F, about 1°F cooler than average for this time of year – nothing crazy, just a bit nippy.

Thursday the 17th keeps the swell solid at 10 ft from the S-SSE, still cross-off and clean, but still only for experts. The energy remains high (1358–1945). Friday the 18th sees the swell drop to 4 ft from the ESE with light NW offshore in the morning – finally something a touch more manageable, but the energy (561) is moderate. The quality is clean, but the score’s low.

Saturday the 19th morning is the most user-friendly session of the outlook: 3 ft from the ESE, true offshore W wind (9 mph), clean. A small, clean, fun wave for the experienced crew. But it’s inconsistent and will be crowded (crowds are “often”). The afternoon goes onshore and messy.

From Sunday the 20th onwards, it’s a long flat spell. Sunday and Monday the 21st deliver nothing worthwhile – the swell drops to 0.7 ft on Monday morning with a nasty S gale (22 mph). Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd offer some bigger numbers (6 ft, 4 ft) but onshore and choppy, no quality. The period from the 20th to the 25th is essentially a drought – a gap of nearly a week where you wouldn’t bother.

Late in the run, Saturday the 26th morning shows a clean 3 ft from the ENE with a light S cross-off, but the combined energy is only 146 – weak, and the condition is “very ordinary.” By Monday the 28th, a fresh S swell (6 ft, 22 mph) reappears, but with rain and a fresh cross-chop. Not worth the drive.

Best on offer: Wednesday 16th afternoon – 13 ft S groundswell, clean cross-off, but experts only. For the rest of us, Saturday 19th morning (3 ft ESE with offshore W wind) is the most realistic fun window. Don’t plan your week around it – the forecast’s a tough one.

Rusty.

Read more