Chapmans Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the next couple of weeks at our local spot.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a rough start. The first few sessions on Saturday the 11th and Sunday the 12th are looking pretty average. You’ve got a solid 8ft to 12ft swell from the SSW, but the wind is a mess – cross-onshore and onshore all weekend. The combined wave energy is high (2427 to 8755), meaning there’s plenty of water moving, but it’s going to be choppy and lumpy. Not the kind of surf you paddle out for unless you’re after a workout. Monday the 13th stays big around 12ft, but the wind stays cross and cross-on, keeping conditions marginal. The water temp is sitting at 62°F which is about average for the time of year.

Now, hold on, because Tuesday the 14th is where things get interesting. Tuesday morning, we’ve got a clean 8ft SSW swell with a light offshore from the N. The combined swell energy is still strong at 3118. That’s a serious standout for experienced surfers – a proper point break setup with good shape. It’s a point break, so a long-period groundswell like this (15 seconds) will wrap in nicely. There’ll be longer lulls between sets, making the paddle out easier, but when they come, they’re meaty. Crowds are possible, but for a spot like this on a Tuesday, you might get a few less.

Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th keep the trend going. Wednesday afternoon sees a 5ft swell, clean with moderate offshore winds (NNE at 12 mph), and Thursday has consistent 7 to 8ft SSW swells with offshore NNW winds. The water is still clean, and the energy is solid (1367 to 2437). This stretch from Tuesday through Thursday is the real highlight – clean, offshore wind, quality groundswell.

The quality drops off again Friday the 17th as the swell fades and the wind turns cross. Saturday the 18th looks blown-out with near gale-force winds out of the WNW at 31 mph – strong, messy, and not for paddling. The swell is 7-8ft with massive energy (5178-6118), but it’s more of a kite-surfing playground than a surf session. That pattern holds through Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th, with onshore winds and messy conditions.

We get another decent window from Tuesday the 21st, but it’s smaller and more marginal with the wind swinging cross to cross-on. Wednesday the 22nd has clean conditions in the morning (cross-off winds) with a 8ft SSW swell, but it’s not at the same level as the previous week’s standouts.

Thursday the 23rd is promising – light winds, clean conditions, and a 6ft SSW swell with a 15-second period. That’s a solid, clean groundswell for experienced surfers. The combined energy is moderate at 1358. That’s worth a look.

The final few days into the 26th are mixed. Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th see moderate to fresh cross-off winds with some rain, dropping the quality to marginal. Sunday the 26th looks poor, with strong onshore winds from the SSE and lumpy conditions.

Overall, the best of the forecast is that Tuesday-to-Thursday block (14th-16th July) – clean, offshore winds and solid SSW groundswell. The long period swell works best at the point. Get on it.

Keep your eyes on the horizon,
Rusty.

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