Chapmans Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we've got some serious, heavy-hitting swell on the way, but the conditions are going to be a real battle for a few days. The first couple of days are pretty much a write-off for any kind of quality surfing. The early part of this run is dominated by a very strong, long-period swell from the SSW that's packing a massive punch in terms of energy. But the wind is howling from the SW, creating a messy, lumpy, and blown-out situation at Chapmans Point. It’s a classic case of "don't even bother," as the wind is completely ruining what would otherwise be a huge groundswell. The combined energy is monstrous (over 14,000), but it's all for nothing with the wind.

We'll start to see a real shift from Monday the 12th. That massive swell drops back a touch, but we still have a very solid 15-foot SSW groundswell. The key change is the wind finally swinging around to a cross-off shore from the WNW. The morning of Wednesday the 12th is the first time this forecast looks genuinely good. It’s still a sizeable 15-foot, so this is for experienced surfers only. The 16-second period from the SSW is going to make for some long, powerful lines at this point break. The energy is still very strong (8,980), but the clean, offshore wind will make it worthwhile.

The true standout, the one you want to circle on your calendar, is Friday morning, August 14th. The wind will be light and offshore from the ENE, and the swell is still a chunky 12-feet from the SSW with a 16-second period. The conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. That is the one. It’s a beautiful window. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so a standard 4/3 will do.

After that, the weekend of the 16th and 17th sees the swell ease a bit more, down to the 6 to 8-foot range, with the wind staying favorable, mostly offshore from the north. This will be more manageable for a wider range of surfers, with the morning sessions providing the best, cleanest waves.

Looking further out, the forecast suggests we might get another pulse of decent, clean swell around Thursday the 21st, with a 10-foot SSW groundswell and light winds. But that’s a long way off, so we’ll keep an eye on it.

So, to put it simply: the first weekend is a total loss. The real action starts on the morning of Wednesday the 12th, but Friday the 14th morning is the absolute pick of the entire forecast. Get on it.

Rusty.

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