Lancelin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a solid run of swell on the way for Lancelin, but it’s not for the faint of heart. This is a serious stretch of groundswell that’s going to be pumping hard, so if you’re not an experienced surfer, you might want to sit this one out.

The water’s sitting at 68°F, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing too wild there.

The main event kicks off Monday, 6 July. The Lancelin reef is exposed to a strong WSW groundswell. The combined energy is massive (3351), with an 8ft swell and a 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell with long gaps between sets. Monday morning is looking mint with a light 6 mph offshore easterly breeze, so it’ll be clean. This is definitely one for the experienced crew, as it’s over that 8ft mark. The afternoon sees the swell jump to 10ft and the wind shifts to a cross-offshore SE breeze, still clean, but the energy is huge (4176).

Tuesday, 7 July, is another standout. The morning is glassy clean with a 9 mph offshore easterly and a 10ft WSW swell at 16 seconds. The energy is off the charts (4753). This is top-tier, powerful, and consistent surf for experts. The afternoon holds up with a cross-offshore SSE breeze, so it stays clean.

We hit a bit of a lull in quality from Wednesday, 8 July, through Saturday, 11 July, as the wind gets messy. Wednesday morning is a cross-shore northerly, and the 7ft swell is still decent, but the conditions are choppy. The wind swings onshore later in the week, and Thursday, 9 July, turns into a write-off with a strong 16 mph cross-on shore. Friday, 10 July, is cleaner but the swell drops to 7ft and the period shortens to 13 seconds, losing that grunt.

Saturday, 11 July, is a bit of a wildcard. The morning is glassy with a 5ft SW swell, but the 15-second period means it’s still a groundswell. It’s good for intermediates, but don’t get too excited, the energy is moderate (1270). The afternoon kicks back up to 10ft, but the wind is cross-shore, so it’s a bit lumpy.

Now, the real standout for the whole forecast is Sunday, 12 July. This is the one to circle on the calendar. Lancelin is going to be absolutely pumping. The morning has a 10ft WSW swell with a 19-second period – that’s a very long period groundswell. The energy is exceptional (6831). The wind is a moderate 12 mph offshore easterly, keeping it clean. This is expert only territory, as the swell is way over 8ft. The long period will make it wall up nicely at the reef, but it might be too straight for the beach. The afternoon stays clean with a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell drops slightly.

Monday, 13 July, and Tuesday, 14 July, are still excellent, with clean offshore winds and a solid 7ft to 8ft swell. The energy is still strong, so it’s a great run for experienced surfers.

Wednesday, 15 July, gets a bit dicey with a strong 19 mph cross-offshore NNE wind, but the swell is still there. The afternoon cleans up nicely.

The end of the week, from Thursday, 16 July, through Saturday, 18 July, is a write-off. Strong winds, onshore and cross-on, with rain and a stormy vibe. The swell is still solid, but it’s going to be a war zone. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

We get a bit of a reprieve by Sunday, 19 July, with a moderate offshore ESE wind and a 6ft clean swell. It’s a decent option for intermediates.

Monday, 20 July, is tiny but glassy. The 4ft swell is weak, but if you’ve got a longboard, the morning is perfect.

The forecast wraps up with a strong finish on Monday, 21 July, and Tuesday, 22 July. The wind is offshore, the swell is 8ft with a solid 16-second period, and the energy is high (3020). This is another excellent run for experienced surfers.

So, the two true standouts are Sunday, 12 July, for the biggest, cleanest, and most powerful swell of the entire period, and the Monday/Tuesday run of 6-7 July for the consistent, clean, and strong groundswell. Don’t sleep on that 12th if you’ve got the skills.

Rusty.

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