Lancelin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming down the pipe at Lancelin (Perth). There’s a big run of groundswell building, but the first couple days are a bit of a struggle. Monday the 3rd has a 6ft WSW swell but it’s cross-shore and lumpy – not worth the hassle. Tuesday the 4th picks up to 8ft in the morning and 10ft by the afternoon, but the wind is still cross-onshore, so it’s bumpy and fairly chopped up.

Then Wednesday the 5th – the wind switches to a light offshore from the ESE at 3 mph. That 10ft of WSW groundswell (16-second period) cleans right up. The energy is moderate (4225) and the surf is going to be proper – clean and punchy. This is your first standout. It’s big enough for experienced surfers, but don’t take it lightly. Thursday the 6th goes back to onshore winds (WNW at 9 mph) and it’s messy – not worth paddling out. Friday the 7th has rain showers and a cross-onshore SW wind at 16 mph, so it’s poor.

But hold on. Saturday the 8th is the second major standout. The morning has a cross-offshore SSE breeze at 16 mph, and the swell is already 13ft. By the afternoon, the wind drops to 9 mph, the sea state is clean, and you’ve got 15ft of WSW groundswell at a 16-second period. The energy is strong (8933). This is big, powerful surf – only for the experienced crowd. Sunday the 9th stays excellent, with a gentle offshore ENE wind in the morning, 12ft of swell, and exceptional conditions for experts. The energy is still strong (6662). Saturday and Sunday are the heart of the run.

Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th see the swell back off a bit to 8-10ft, but Tuesday the 11th is a sneaky one – a fresh offshore E wind at 22 mph, with 16ft of SW groundswell and a period of 15-16 seconds. The energy is huge (11798). It’s big, clean, and powerful, but it’s a heavy day at the reef – experts only. Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th ease off, with cross-offshore winds and 8-10ft swells, but there’s still plenty of energy in the water.

Now, the big one. Friday the 14th – the swell jumps to a massive 20ft from the WSW with a very long 19-second period. The energy reading is a monstrous 25570 – that’s off the charts. But here’s the catch: it’s predicted to be too big for this break. The wind and tide will be fine, but at that size, it’s going to be closing out and dangerous. Stay off the reef unless you’re a pro.

Saturday the 15th is another exceptional day – a moderate offshore E wind, 15ft of WSW groundswell, and clean conditions. The energy is strong (11744). This is a proper day out. The rest of the window, right up to Tuesday the 18th, shows a mix of 7ft to 13ft swells with offshore and cross-offshore winds, so there’s plenty of rideable surf, but nothing will top that 14th-15th stretch. Tuesday the 18th brings a 13ft swell with a cross-offshore wind – worth a look.

Overall, the standout days are Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th – clean, big, and powerful. After that, Tuesday the 11th and Saturday the 15th are the next big hitters. Lancelin is exposed and a reef, so you want those offshore winds. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual. Expect some crowds on the clean days, so get in early. This is a serious stretch of surf – make your plans.

Rusty.

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