Lancelin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and we’ve got a solid run of surf on the immediate horizon for Lancelin, with the standout window sitting slap-bang in the middle of the outlook. The water’s sitting at 69°, which is pretty much spot on average for this time of year – no surprises there. Let’s get into it.

We kick things off on Friday the 3rd of July with clean, lined-up swell. Friday morning sees a 8ft SW groundswell with a period of 14 seconds and a moderate offshore breeze from the east at 16 mph. The combined swell energy is sitting at 2265, so plenty of grunt. Those long-period lines will do well on this reef. It’s solid, powerful, and clean for experienced surfers. Friday afternoon stays in the same vein: 7ft SW, 14 seconds, and the wind dropping off to a gentle offshore from the east at 9 mph – glassy edges and great shape.

Saturday the 4th holds size at 7ft to 8ft, 16 to 17 seconds, but the wind goes cross-off from the northeast and north-northeast, so the face won’t be as tidy as Friday. Still decent energy (2438 to 3039), but not as pristine. Sunday the 5th drops right off – down to 5ft with chop and cross-shore winds. That one is a write-off. Monday the 6th jumps back up with a 10ft WSW groundswell, 16-second periods, and cross-off breezes from the southeast. That’s meaty, powerful surf with energy readings of 4161 to 4617. It’s big for the reef and only for experienced paddlers.

Now, the true standout is Tuesday the 7th of July. Tuesday morning kicks off with an 12ft WSW groundswell at 16 seconds and clean, cross-off easterly winds. The combined energy hits 5506 – that’s serious. Tuesday afternoon cleans up even more with the wind going to a gentle southeast offshore at 9 mph, still 10ft and 16 seconds. This is the day. Big, heavy, and clean – expert territory only.

Wednesday the 8th drops to 7ft with a light north-northeast breeze – clean and much more manageable, still solid 14-second swell. The afternoon gets a touch of cross-on wind, but the size is up to 8ft with 17-second groundswell, so there’s heaps of energy (3469). Thursday the 9th is solid at 8ft, but the wind gets messy in the afternoon. Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th see the swell easing to 5ft to 6ft, clean in the mornings, but nothing special.

We get another spike Sunday the 12th – 8ft SW groundswell at 16 seconds and an easterly offshore at 16 mph. That’s a return to form: 3256 energy and clean. Monday the 13th holds 8ft to 8ft with fresh offshore easterlies, but the wind is 19 mph, so a bit on the strong side. Tuesday the 14th is similar – 8ft SW, 15 seconds, and a moderate offshore breeze. That afternoon looks excellent for experienced surfers.

The final week fades. Wednesday the 15th drops to 6ft, Thursday the 16th to 4ft, and then Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th get messy and blown-out with 10ft to 16ft onshore slop. That’s not surf – that’s a washing machine.

A couple of gaps early on, like Sunday the 5th, but overall there’s plenty of action. Tuesday the 7th is your absolute best bet. Don’t sleep on it.

Rusty.

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