Lancelin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer at Lancelin over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, the first few days are a bit of a write-off with messy, marginal conditions. Thursday the 9th through Friday the 10th, we’ve got cross-shore and cross-onshore winds messing with what could be a fun-sized swell, and the wave energy is all over the shop. The water’s sitting at 68.2°, which is dead average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Saturday the 11th cleans up a bit with clean conditions, but the swell is small and the energy is low (468). It’s a waiting game until Sunday the 12th morning. That’s where it starts to get interesting. We’ve got a proper 8.2ft WSW groundswell rolling in, with a period of 16 seconds and a massive energy reading of 3343. The wind is offshore from the east, light breeze, and the conditions are described as clean. This is the first real standout – a solid, powerful swell with clean lines. It’s a reef break, Lancelin can handle that long period, and the waves will have shape and push. This one’s for experienced surfers; it’s too big for beginners.

Monday the 13th morning is the real gem. Swell bumps up to 9.8ft from the SW, period hits 17 seconds, and the energy is off the charts at 4939. Offshore wind from the east, and it’s clean. For a reef break, with that long period, the waves will be lined up, hollow, and powerful. This is the best on offer – expert-only territory. The wind stays clean through the afternoon, but it’s cross-offshore, so still very good.

From Tuesday the 14th through to the end of the first week, the swell drops back a bit, but the wind is mostly cross-off and clean, keeping the surf rideable. Nothing standout, but steady.

The following week is patchy. There’s a bit of a lull from the 20th and 21st with small, weak waves and poor winds. Tuesday the 21st sees a wind shift and the swell goes tiny and short period – not worth paddling out for.

Then, on the 23rd of July, the models are showing a massive pulse. Thursday the 23rd afternoon, the swell jumps to 14.8ft from the WSW, period 13 seconds, and energy hits 7148. The wind is cross-shore but light, so it’s big but not totally blown out. This is a serious swell – expert only, and you’d want to be on it.

But the absolute standout of the entire forecast is Friday the 24th of July. The morning shows 14.8ft swell from the WSW, period 14 seconds, and an energy reading of 9350. Offshore wind from the east, gentle breeze, and the conditions are described as exceptional for expert surfers. The afternoon holds at 13.1ft with a 17-second period and energy of 9200, still clean. This is a proper, groundswell-heavy event for Lancelin. The reef will handle the long period, and the waves will be big, powerful, and clean. Mark that date in the calendar.

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