Lancelin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here.

Alright, let's have a look at what Lancelin (reef) has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. It's a mixed bag, but there are definitely a few sessions to get excited about, especially if you've got some experience under your belt.

The early part of the run, starting on Wednesday the 22nd, is where the action is. Wednesday morning serves up a clean 6ft swell coming from the SW with a 13-second period and a cross-off breeze from the ESE. The combined swell energy is solid at 1261 (moderate energy). Not a standout, but a decent way to start. It's Wednesday afternoon that grabs my attention, though. The swell bumps up to 8ft from the SW with a very long 16-second period, and that ESE wind goes offshore, creating excellent conditions for experienced surfers. The combined energy jumps to a meaty 2687 (strong energy). This is the best of the first week right here.

Thursday the 23rd looks good too. Morning has a clean 7ft SW swell with a 14-second period and a 25 km/h offshore easterly. The energy is strong at 1752. By the afternoon, the wind eases to a gentle 15 km/h offshore, the swell drops a touch to 6ft, but it's still excellent for experienced surfers with a combined energy of 1480 (moderate).

Friday the 24th will still be fun, but the swell backs off. The morning is clean with a 5ft SW swell, but the cross-off wind from the NE at 25 km/h isn't ideal. The energy is moderate at 713. The afternoon is much cleaner with a gentle 15 km/h offshore easterly and a 4ft SW swell, offering very good surf conditions.

Now, we hit a patch of slop. From Saturday the 25th all the way through to Sunday the 2nd of August, it's a write-off. That's nine days of mostly cross-shore and onshore winds, making a mess of the waves. The swell gets big – we're talking 13ft to a massive 21ft on the 2nd – but with gale-force onshore winds, it's a no-go for paddle surfing. A setup like this at a beach or reef break with that much wind would be more interesting for the kite crew than us.

Things start to show signs of life again on Monday the 3rd of August, but it's still messy with fresh onshore winds and huge 15ft swell. Not worth it. Tuesday the 4th is still marginal with an 12ft cross-on swell.

Then, on Wednesday the 5th of August, we get a nice little surprise. The swell drops to just 3ft, but it's from the WSW with a very long 19-second period, and a light cross-off breeze from the NNE. The energy is still decent at 1588 (moderate) and it's described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a long-range standout, so keep your fingers crossed, but it looks promising for a clean, longer-period session on the reef.

Thursday the 6th of August brings a bigger 15ft swell from the WSW, but it's a messy cross-on wind, so that's for another day.

To sum it up, your best bets are Wednesday the 22nd afternoon and Thursday the 23rd for the first week. Then keep an eye on Wednesday the 5th of August for a potential glassy session. It's a long-range call, so less certain, but it's the one that stands out on the horizon.

Rusty.

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