Lancelin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get this sorted. Rusty here, looking at the forecast for Lancelin.

At first glance, this is a classic Lancelin winter block – a lot of wild, windy, and messy conditions, with a few sweet windows for the crew that can wait. The first real surfable action doesn’t kick off until Friday, 17 July, so there’s a bit of a lull before that. The water temp is sitting right on 69°, which is about average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the extra thick rubber just yet.

The standout period, and the one we’re all aiming for, is Monday the 20th. The morning at Lancelin is looking glassy with a clean 8ft swell from the SW, packing a solid 2144 combined energy. That’s proper groundswell, and with the wind swinging to a glassy ENE, the reef will be smooth and lined up. The period is a healthy 13 seconds, so there’s plenty of push. This is definitely the best session on offer for experienced surfers. The swell is strong, so it’s not for beginners, but for the regulars, it’s a cracker.

Then we have a solid run from Wednesday the 22nd through to the end of the week. The Wednesday morning shows a clean 7ft from the WSW with a lovely offshore breeze from the ENE, and the reef will be offering some proper, well-shaped waves. The 1697 combined energy is solid. Thursday the 23rd also looks clean in the afternoon with a 7ft SW swell. The whole week from the 20th to the 24th has some quality windows, but Monday the 20th is the true standout.

The earlier part of the week, from the 15th to the 18th, is a write-off. Cross-onshore winds, lumpy conditions, and a lot of messy, big swells that are just blown out. Saturday the 18th has a massive 13ft swell, but it’s cross-on and lumpy – more of a kite surfing show than a paddle session. The 8483 combined energy is huge, but it’s a no-go for us.

Heading into the second week, the swell settles down. The 25th and 26th have smaller swells, around 4ft to 3ft, with clean conditions but lower energy. Nothing to get too excited about, but it’s a fun, smaller option for the loggers. The 27th and 28th are back to poor, choppy conditions. However, the very end of the window, on the 30th, shows a promising return of solid swell – 7ft from the WSW, with a very long 18-second period, and a clean offshore wind from the east. That’s a long-range standout, so keep an eye on it, but it’s a bit further out.

Bottom line: get on the Monday the 20th morning session, and the 22nd to 24th. The rest is a mix of messy and small.

Rusty.

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