Lancelin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty, and I've been staring at the charts for Lancelin. It's a bit of a slow burn this week, but there's some serious gold waiting for us if we're patient.

Right now, we're in a bit of a lull. The weekend is a write-off, to be honest. Saturday the 25th has some waist-high swell, but it's got a cross-off wind that's making things messy, and the afternoon turns into a choppy mess. Sunday the 26th is even worse, with onshore winds and building swell that's all over the place. It's not worth paddling out for.

The real action kicks off on Monday the 27th. That morning the light offshore breeze from the east is a game-changer. The swell is a solid 10 ft from the south-west, a real groundswell with a 13-second period. The combined energy is strong at 2929, and it's going to be absolutely pumping. This is for experienced surfers only, though – that size is meaty. The afternoon looks good too, with a clean 8 ft set, but the tide might be a factor, so keep an eye on that.

Tuesday the 28th is the standout of the first week. The morning is glassy with a 12 mph offshore easterly, cleaning up a 8 ft south-west swell at 14 seconds. The wave energy is 2173, and it's just perfect. The afternoon is even better with a lighter offshore breeze. This is your day.

Wednesday the 29th through Friday the 31st is a solid run. Wednesday brings a long-period 4 ft groundswell from the west-south-west with a 17-second period, and the winds are decent. Thursday is similar, with a bit more size. But Friday the 31st is the quiet achiever. The morning has a 8 ft swell from the west-south-west with a 16-second period, and the combined energy is 3085. The afternoon, however, is perfect: a clean 7 ft with a light offshore breeze from the east-north-east. It's a great way to end the week.

Now, a word of warning for the weekend. Saturday the 1st of August has a massive 12 ft swell from the west-south-west, but it's a crossed-up offshore wind. The energy is 6786 – that's some serious power. It's a peaky, powerful wave, but it's going to be a challenge. The Sunday the 2nd drops off a touch, but the wind swings onshore, and things get messy.

The second week looks rough. From Monday the 3rd of August onwards, the wind is from the west-north-west and onshore, making for poor conditions. The swell sticks around at 6 ft to 8 ft, but it's just lumpy and blown out. The biggest day is Saturday the 8th, with a 15 ft west-south-west swell and a 23-second period – that's a 20523 combined energy reading, which is enormous. But the wind is cross-onshore and strong, and it's simply too big and gnarly for this break. It's a day for the experts to watch from the car park, or maybe for the kite surfers to have a crack.

The real diamond in the rough is Sunday the 9th of August. The forecast shows a morning with a 13 ft south-west swell at 18 seconds, a massive 9995 energy reading, and a light offshore breeze from the south-east. The report says it's "exceptional for expert surfers," and I bloody believe it. That's a long way out, so it's a bit of a promise, but if that holds, it's the best session of the entire 16-day window. A true big-wave day, but only for the brave.

Now, for the water temp. It's about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual to report there.

Alright, that's the story from Lancelin. Keep your eyes on that Monday and Tuesday, and maybe that Sunday far out. Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

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