Lancelin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Lancelin. The next two weeks are a bit of a rollercoaster, but if you’re patient, there’s a couple of absolute crackers.

The forecast kicks off slow. From Friday, July 31st, through the weekend, we’ve got solid swell—7 to 10 feet—but the wind is all over the place. Cross-shore, cross-on, it’s messy. The energy is pumping (2511 to 4074), but it’s not making for clean waves. Tide issues don’t help. For a reef break like this, it’s a miss. The water temp is about average for the time of year.

Sunday afternoon, August 2nd, gets a little better. We’ve got a clean 8-foot WSW swell with a 13-second period and an offshore breeze from the east at 6 mph. The energy is strong at 2148, and the wind is light. This is a solid session for experienced surfers—clean conditions, good shape. Not a standout for the whole run, but a nice little window.

Monday morning, August 3rd, is a treat. The wind goes glassy, WNW at 3 mph, with a 7-foot WSW swell at 14 seconds. The energy is moderate (1604), but the glassy surface makes it feel like a dream. It’s a good, clean reef wave, but the size is better for the intermediate crew.

Now, the real standout is Wednesday, August 5th, in the morning. We’ve got a 10-foot WSW swell, 16-second period, and glassy conditions with a light NW breeze. The combined energy is massive at 5006, and it’s classed as exceptional for expert surfers. At this size—over 8 feet—it’s for the experienced only. The swell direction is a perfect match for the reef’s optimum, and the wind is dead calm. This is the session to circle on the calendar. Later that afternoon, the swell pushes to 12 feet, but the wind swings onshore, so the morning is the pick.

Late in the piece, we’ve got another potential beauty. On Wednesday, August 12th, the morning and afternoon both look unreal. A 15-foot WSW swell with a 19-second period—super long-period groundswell—and light cross-off winds from the ENE and SSE. The energy is off the charts (13862 and 13435), and the conditions are clean. Again, this is only for expert surfers. The long period means the reef will handle it well, but there’ll be long lulls between sets. The crowd factor at Lancelin is “sometimes,” so you might have a few out, but with that size, it’ll thin out quick.

Thursday, August 13th, also holds promise with a 13-foot swell and clean conditions in the morning, but the wind is a little more cross-off, so it’s not quite as pure as the 12th.

Overall, the best of the bunch is the morning of August 5th for the glassy, clean conditions, and August 12th for the raw power and perfect wind. The rest of the run is either blown out, too big with bad wind, or just average. If you’re a beginner, stay out of the water once the swell hits 8 feet or more.

Rusty.

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