Lancelin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here with a look at what Lancelin’s got lined up for us over the next couple of weeks. There’s a bit of a slow start, but hang in there, because there’s a couple of real standouts on the horizon that’ll get the blood pumping.

First up, the water temp sits at about 69°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year – nothing unusual there, just your standard West Aussie winter.

We’re looking at a bit of a wait for the good stuff. Sunday the 12th is a write-off; the swell is there but it’s marginal, with a messy 8ft SW swell (3515 combined energy) and a cross-off ESE wind. It’s clean enough, but the call is marginal, so I’d give it a miss. Then Monday the 13th morning is where it starts to get interesting. That’s our first real standout. We’ve got a solid 10ft swell from the WSW, with a very long period of 17 seconds (5468 combined energy). The wind is a glassy offshore from the ESE – light and clean. This is proper groundswell, and at that size, it’s expert territory only. The reef at Lancelin will handle that long period nicely, but it’s not a beginner’s wave. The afternoon drops off a bit with a cross-off wind, but Monday morning is the pick of the early days.

Tuesday the 14th has a smaller, cleaner window in the afternoon with a 8ft WSW swell (2414 combined energy) and a light offshore from the ENE. That’s a solid option for experienced surfers, with clean conditions and a gentle offshore breeze. Wednesday the 15th turns ugly with a strong N wind and cross-shore chop, so we’ll skip that. Thursday the 16th is a write-off with onshore winds and chop. Friday the 17th is mixed: morning has a small 6ft swell (1191 combined energy) with a light cross wind, but it’s nothing special.

Now, here’s the big one. Saturday the 18th is a monster. The morning shows a 16ft swell from the WSW with a 19-second period – that’s a massive 16,453 combined energy. It’s huge, and the file says it’s too big for this break. That’s a day for the experts only, and even then, you’d want to be very, very careful. The wind is onshore from the WSW, so it’s not going to be clean. I’d say this is more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle session, if you’re into that sort of thing. The afternoon is still 16ft but with a cross-on wind and choppy conditions – not great.

Sunday the 19th sees the swell drop to 12ft (5572 combined energy) but with an onshore wind, so it’s marginal. The real gem comes on Monday the 20th. Morning session has a 7ft WSW swell (1236 combined energy) with a light cross-off SE wind, and it’s clean. The call says excellent conditions for experienced surfers. That’s a solid, manageable day with good shape.

Tuesday the 21st is small, with a 3ft WSW swell (642 combined energy) and clean conditions – a good day for a longboard or a beginner if the tide is right. Wednesday the 22nd is clean with a 5ft swell (792 combined energy) and an offshore ESE wind – very good conditions.

Then, get this. Thursday the 23rd afternoon is our second true standout. We’ve got a 13ft SW swell with an 18-second period (9344 combined energy) and a clean offshore from the east. The file calls it exceptional for expert surfers. That’s a serious, powerful groundswell with glassy conditions – it doesn’t get much better for the crew who can handle it. The morning is smaller and clean, but the afternoon is the one.

Friday the 24th is big again at 12ft (6274 combined energy) but with a cross-on wind, so it’s choppy. The weekend of the 25th and 26th is messy with strong onshore winds – not worth it. Monday the 27th finishes the run with a solid 10ft WSW swell (4456 combined energy) and clean cross-off winds – another excellent session for experienced surfers.

So, to sum it up: the clear standouts are Monday the 13th morning for that big, clean groundswell, and Thursday the 23rd afternoon for the epic, glassy 13ft swell. The rest are a mixed bag, but those two are the ones to circle on the calendar. For the rest of the time, there’s plenty of small to moderate clean windows, but the big energy is in those two sessions.

Rusty.

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