Watermans Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get this sorted. The first few days are a bit of a write-off, so we’re going to have to be patient. There's some size, but the wind and conditions are just not cooperating to make it worth paddling out. But don't give up on it, there are some windows of real magic if you know when to look.

The early action is a no-go for the most part. We have some solid swell, but the wind is blowing straight onshore or cross-onshore, making everything messy. Sunday the 13th is out, it’s just lumpy with that west wind. We’re looking at some energy around the 6ft mark but it’s not clean and those are just frustrating waves. You’ll spend more time fighting the chop than actually getting a ride.

The first real green light comes on Monday morning, the 14th, at Watermans. The forecast flips to a light offshore east wind, and it’s going to be clean with 7.8ft of swell coming from the WSW. The period is a decent 14 seconds, so there’s some proper push behind it. The combined energy is strong, hitting 2222, so you know there’s a lot of water moving. This is the best stuff on offer for the early part of the week. It's a reef break, so it's going to handle that size well. There might be a few out, but it’s worth it. Tuesday the 15th also looks good, with a moderate offshore easterly again, keeping the waves clean and in the 6.8ft range. It'll be a touch softer but still a good session.

After that, it gets a bit patchy. The swell backs off a little on Wednesday, the 16th, and we’re looking at a smaller, less powerful swell. The pick of the day might be Wednesday afternoon when it goes glassy with a tiny 4.2ft swell. It’ll be clean, but you’ll be hunting for waves. Thursday the 17th is a complete mess with a strong cross-onshore wind and poor conditions, so give it a miss. Friday the 18th has size, but that north-northwest wind is going to chop it up. It’s not our day.

Next weekend, the 19th and 20th, looks like a bit of a write-off too. We have the size, over 7ft, but the wind is all over the place, so it's going to be lumpy and hard to ride. There’s a better chance on Sunday the 20th morning when the wind drops, but it's just cross-shore and light, so still not perfect. It’s not the best time to be a surfer around here.

Then we get to the long-range stuff, which starts to look interesting. From the 21st, the swell swings around to the southwest, but it's still cross-onshore with light winds. The really promising part is the 23rd of September, that Wednesday. The swell jumps up, with 7.8ft to 8.2ft on the cards and the period stretching out to a very long 18 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, packing some serious punch. The combined energy is off the charts, reaching 5037 on Wednesday morning. The downside is the wind is light cross-onshore, but with that much energy, it could still be worth the paddle.

The standout of the whole run has to be Friday the 25th of September. The afternoon looks like it’s going to be firing. We have a solid 9.8ft of WSW groundswell with a 14-second period and, critically, a moderate offshore east-southeast wind. That’s the cleanest, most powerful combo we see in the whole forecast period. The combined energy is a massive 4710. This is a day for experienced surfers only; 10ft at a reef break with that much energy is serious, but if you know what you’re doing, this will be the day to remember. It’s a week and a half out, so treat it as promising rather than certain, but it is the one to circle on the calendar.

The tail end of the period, the 26th and 27th, has some more clean, offshore conditions with a good 7.2-7.5ft swell. The 27th even goes glassy in the afternoon with a long-period SW groundswell around the 5.9ft mark, which could be a nice, clean finish. But that Friday looks like the real winner.

In short, don't stress about the flat, choppy days. That Monday the 14th is your early-week score, and keep your fingers crossed for that Friday the 25th. It has the potential to be a proper standout.

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