Watermans Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

We’ve got a real mixed bag of conditions on the horizon across the next 16 days for Watermans. The first few days are going to be a bit of a struggle, but the back half of the window holds some serious potential if you’re willing to be patient. The water is sitting at 64° right now, which is a bit colder than we’d expect for this time of year, so don’t forget the extra rubber.

The run starts on Saturday, 1 August, with a solid 8ft SW swell rolling in, but the wind is a bit of a mess. The morning has a cross-off breeze from the SSE at 12 mph, which keeps things clean, but the combined swell energy is strong at 2560, and the conditions are marginal. By the afternoon, it goes cross-shore and gets choppy. Not a great way to kick things off.

Sunday, 2 August, is a better bet. The morning is still a bit breezy at 16 mph from the ENE, but it's cross-off and clean on a 7ft WSW swell. The real standout is Sunday afternoon: the wind drops to a light 6 mph from the NE, still cross-off, and the swell is a clean 7ft from the WSW. The combined energy is a solid 1390, and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is the best session of the first week, no question.

Monday, 3 August, sees the swell drop to 5ft, but the wind turns cross-shore and the quality falls away. By Tuesday, 4 August, the swell picks up again to 7ft, but the wind is onshore and messy. We’re into a lumpy, poor-quality stretch from here through the middle of the week. Swells start to get big – 8ft, then 10ft – but the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, and the energy numbers are huge (3232 to 5192) for the wrong reasons. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a clean paddle session.

The real turning point comes on Saturday, 8 August, into Sunday, 9 August. Sunday morning, 9 August, is the standout of the entire outlook. The swell is a massive 18ft from the WSW, with a long period of 16 seconds. The wind is light from the N at 9 mph, keeping it cross-shore and clean. The combined energy is an enormous 14814. This is big, powerful groundswell, and while the period is long, it’s going to be a beast at this reef break. This is expert-only territory, but for those with the skills, it’s the session to circle.

After that, the swell drops back through the second week. Monday, 10 August, is a write-off with strong winds and rain. Things settle down by Wednesday, 12 August, with a glassy morning – 4ft from the SW at 17 seconds, with zero wind. That’s a clean, long-period swell, perfect for a more relaxed session. Thursday, 13 August, is another highlight: a 8ft SW swell, 19-second period, with a light offshore breeze from the E at 6 mph in the afternoon. Clean, powerful, and excellent for experienced surfers. The energy is 3786, showing it’s got some punch.

The final weekend, 15 and 16 August, has some decent waves but the wind turns onshore again, making it hard to get a clean wave. The 14th of August has a glassy afternoon with 6ft from the SW, which is a nice mellow option to close out the period.

So, to sum it up: the best on offer is Sunday afternoon, 2 August, for a clean, solid session, and the big Sunday morning, 9 August, for the adrenaline junkies. The second week has two clean days on the 12th and 13th that are worth a look.

Rusty.

Read more