Watermans Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks at Watermans. We’ve got a solid run of surf coming, but it’s not all clean and easy. A lot of this swell is big, so we’re looking at a setup for experienced surfers only for most of it.

The water is sitting at 64°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit. The core of the action is a long-period SW groundswell that’s going to be hammering the reef. The energy is massive, with combined swell readings reaching into the thousands, so this isn’t a beginner’s playground.

Wednesday the 12th is the real kick-off. The morning is looking glassy with a light NNE breeze, and that 7ft SW swell at 15 seconds is going to be offering some powerful, lined-up waves. The energy is moderate at 1983, but the conditions are clean. This is the standout spot for the early window. The afternoon turns a bit cross-on, so get it early.

Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th are both promising mornings. Thursday the 13th has a clean 7ft SW swell and a huge 16-second period, making it a proper groundswell. The energy is strong at 2299. Friday the 14th is even better, with a glassy afternoon session on the cards. The swell holds at 7ft and the wind goes dead calm. That’s a window for some seriously good waves.

We hit a bit of a lull in quality on the weekend. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th have decent 6ft to 7ft swell, but the wind is stronger and the condition notes are only marginal. The energy is still there, but it’s not the clean, glassy stuff we had earlier.

Then things get serious. Monday the 17th is a write-off. A massive 12ft SW swell with a 17-second period hits, but the wind is howling onshore at 19 mph, making it a total mess. The energy is extreme at 6520, but for paddle surfing, it’s a no-go. This stretch is more for the kite crew.

Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th are still big, with 10ft swell, but the wind angle is bad. It’s messy, lumpy, and not what you want to see on a reef.

The pulse really peaks on Thursday the 20th. The morning shows a 13ft swell from the W, with a 14-second period. The energy is massive at 7861. The wind is light and cross, so the sets might be workable for the experts, but it’s serious. The afternoon jumps to a 15ft WSW swell at 17 seconds, with a combined energy of 11066. That’s a huge amount of power. This is a day for the brave, and only the brave.

Friday the 21st is still big and messy, and the 22nd has a window of glassy conditions in the morning with 8ft swell, but the wind picks up again in the afternoon.

The final stretch from the 23rd to the 27th sees the size drop back down to the 5ft to 8ft range. The best of that late run is Wednesday the 26th morning. The wind is glassy, the swell is 7ft from the SW, and the energy is moderate at 2254. It’s a clean, fun session to finish the run.

Keep in mind, this is a reef break and it’s often crowded, so expect company. The guiding principle here is: get on the Wednesday 12th morning, the Friday 14th afternoon, or the Tuesday 26th morning for the cleanest, most manageable waves. The big stuff in the middle is for experts only.

Rusty

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