Cap Frehel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surf is gonna be real flat for a while around here. Honestly, looking at the next couple of weeks, there’s a big ol’ nothing burger on the menu for most of it. We’ve got a solid gap from now until we finally see something rideable, so don’t go waxing up just yet.

The only real spot on the map for us is Cap Frehel. It’s a reef setup that’s fairly consistent, but it’s always got a crowd. That’s just the price you pay. The water's a balmy 68° and that's a couple degrees warmer than usual for this time of year, which is a nice little bonus if you do get in.

Saturday the 8th is a no-go. We’re looking at a cross-shore breeze with a bump on it, and only a foot of dribble. Sunday and Monday keep that trend going, nothing but knee-high slop and onshore wind. It’s not even worth the paddle out.

Tuesday the 11th might have a bit of a clean window in the morning with a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell’s still a pathetic 1ft with a short period. The afternoon picks up to a slightly bigger 3ft, but the wind swings around and turns it into a lumpy mess. Not our day.

Wednesday the 12th is another flat one. We get a bit of a longer period swell, hitting 11 seconds, but the height is just under a foot. It’s clean in the morning, but there’s just no power behind it. The Thursday arvo on the 13th finally shows some life. The energy jumps to a moderate 121, and we get a 2ft swell with an 11-second period. It’s the most interesting it’s been, but the onshore wind will have it all chopped up. Still, it’s the closest thing we have to a recommendation.

From the 14th on, it’s just a grind. We get small, weak swells, mostly under 2ft, with periods all over the place, mostly short. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the energy readings are all in the low to mid double digits. It’s a proper desert out there.

We do see a pulse of energy building around the 22nd and into the 23rd. The swell finally pushes over 4ft, hitting 5ft on Sunday morning with a 10-second period. The energy reading jumps way up to 492, which is strong. But, and it’s a big but, it’s all onshore. The wind is just blowing right into it. The waves will have power, but they’re going to be messy and blown out. It could be a better day for the kite surfers than us paddle surfers on that Sunday. Keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath.

So, there you have it. A whole lot of flat days ahead. The only true standout, if you can even call it that, is that Thursday arvo on the 13th. It’s not going to be epic, but it’s the only time the swell and the energy get close to making something happen. Other than that, the next proper swell looks like it rolls in during the second week of the forecast, that Sunday the 23rd, but it’s a promise with a caveat. Long-range stuff like that, you gotta take with a grain of salt.

Rusty out.

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