Cap Frehel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s get real about what’s on offer for Cap Frehel, because we’ve got a long window ahead.

Right off the bat, I’ve gotta be honest – this is a tough one. The forecast is almost a total write-off for the next couple of weeks. We’re looking at a long, painful gap of almost two weeks with no real surf to speak of. The first thing worth even mentioning doesn’t arrive until Sunday morning, the 16th of August, and even then, it’s not exactly setting the world on fire.

For the first week, from the 3rd of August right through to the 15th, it’s just flat or messy. Swell heights are barely a whisper, mostly around 0.3 ft to 2 ft, with the odd pulse to 3 ft but with terrible short-period windswell. The wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, and the energy readings are weak – you’re looking at single-digit or low two-digit numbers like 9 or 31 in the brackets. It’s frustrating, but sometimes this area just goes quiet like this.

The first real glimmer of hope, and the only thing I’d call a standout, is the morning of Sunday, the 16th of August. We get a pulse of 4 ft swell from the west-northwest with a clean, cross-offshore breeze from the east at 9 mph. The energy jumps to 54 (moderate), and the conditions are described as clean. You might get a few fun little waves at the reef break, but it’s not a big swell. The water temperature is about 68°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can leave the booties at home.

But don’t get too excited. That afternoon on the 16th, the wind swings onshore and the swell jumps to 6 ft with a massive energy reading of 284 (strong wave energy), but it’s choppy and messy. That’s not a paddler’s wave – that’s more of a kite-surfing setup if anything.

Monday the 17th of August morning is the next best call. A 6 ft swell from the northwest, with a clean cross-offshore wind from the east-northeast at 12 mph. The energy is 191 (strong), so there’s power, but the period is only 6 seconds – that’s short-period junk, so it’ll be bumpy and not well-shaped. The afternoon gets cross-shore and choppy.

After that, it drops off again. Honestly, if you’re desperate, the Sunday morning the 16th is your best bet, but keep expectations low. It’s been a bleak run.

Rusty.

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