Cap Frehel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into what’s on offer for the next 16 days. I’m looking at just one break in the region, so it’s a simple story.

To be honest, the outlook is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor conditions. The first real bit of surf we see pops up on Saturday the 5th, but it’s a bit of a washout. By Saturday morning, there’s a NW swell rolling in at about 3 ft, with a 12-second period. The water is a balmy 68°, which is a good 5° warmer than usual for this time of year – water temps are much warmer than normal. But the wind is a cross-on from the NNW at 6 mph, and the combined energy is a moderate 195. The word on the street is “poor surf conditions,” and the score backs that up – it’s not worth a paddle.

Saturday afternoon doesn’t get any better. The swell is still 3 ft from the NW, but the wind swings to a cross-shore NNE breeze at 9 mph. The energy is still moderate at 202, but it’s a marginal call at best.

Sunday the 6th morning sees a tiny drop in swell to 1 ft from the WNW with a 10-second period. The wind is offshore from the SE at 9 mph, which would normally get you excited, but the energy is weak at 38. There’s just not enough push to do anything with.

From there, it’s a grim march through the week. Every day we see a mix of onshore, cross-on, and cross-off winds, with swell heights bouncing between 1 ft and 3 ft, all with “poor surf conditions” stamped on them. The wind picks up significantly by the 11th, with a 4 ft NW swell and a 5-second period, but it’s blown out by a 22 mph onshore wind. The energy hits 232, but it’s a messy, ugly setup – more for kite surfers than paddle surfers.

We finally get a bit of a glimmer on Tuesday the 15th morning. The wind drops to a glassy calm, and the swell is a tiny 3 ft from the NE. The period is a short 4 seconds, and the energy is weak at 32. It’s clean, but there’s no power in the water. You might get a few knee-high blips, but it’s a real go-out-for-the-paddle session.

The rest of the second week continues the pattern. The swell stays small, the wind stays mostly cross-on or onshore, and the energy stays weak. There’s nothing that stands out as a true “go” day. The forecast is a dry spell for surfers, plain and simple.

The one break here is Cap Frehel, a reef setup. It’s fairly consistent, but it’s always crowded, so you’ll be sharing the water. The best swell direction for this spot is from the West. Looking at the whole forecast, that direction does show up, but it’s always paired with bad wind or tiny size, so it never comes together.

In short, leave the boards in the car for the next two weeks. It’s a bust. Things can change, but for now, we’re waiting for a proper pulse.

Rusty.

Read more