Cap Frehel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I gotta be straight with you—this is one of those outlooks where we scrape the bottom of the barrel and still come up empty. For the next 16 days, there’s genuinely nothing that’s going to get the stoke up here at Cap Frehel.

We start now, on Wednesday the 26th, and there’s just nothing doing. The water temp is sitting at 68°, a very unusual situation—that’s a full 4° warmer than what we usually get at this time of year. So, if you’re just going for a swim, it’s weirdly pleasant. But for surfing? The swell is tiny, around 1ft out of the WNW, and even though the wind is cross-off in the morning, it’s just not enough juice for a proper ride. The combined energy is pitiful, barely hitting 16 (weak).

We roll into Thursday the 27th, and it’s the same sad story: 0.7ft swell, energy so low it’s almost a joke (6). By Friday the 28th, the afternoon sees a jump to a messy 4ft, but the period is a disastrous 4 seconds—that’s windswell junk, and it’s coming straight onshore at 19 mph. You’ll be battling chop. No thanks.

Saturday the 29th has some cross-off wind in the morning, but the swell is only 4ft with that same short period. Don’t be fooled.

Finally, on Sunday the 30th, we get a few pulses of longer-period energy—10 seconds with a combined energy of 157 (moderate). But the swell is still under 3ft. For a reef break that needs a solid W swell to work right, this just isn't enough. The wind swings around and gets messy in the afternoon.

Monday the 31st morning has the biggest lump of the whole run: 5ft from the WNW, energy up at 322 (moderate). But the wind is cross-onshore and it’s a short-period 9 seconds—too choppy to call it good. By that afternoon, the swell drops again.

The first week of September is a wasteland. You’ll see a little bump on Saturday the 5th—3ft at 11 seconds, energy of 226—but the wind goes offshore early from the NNW, light, and the comment calls it “marginal.” That’s the one day you might want to paddle out, but don’t get your hopes up. After that, it’s all cross-shore junk and tiny waves.

Look, this spot is exposed to the west, and the optimum swell direction for Cap Frehel is west. We get some WNW swell, but the period is rarely good, and the wind is often a problem. The pattern is that the surf is inconsistent at best, and the combined energy only rarely breaks into moderate territory. This is just a blank run. It’s normal for this area to have long flat spells in late summer, so don’t be too gutted—forecasts change, and we might see something pop later. Right now, though, there’s nothing to hype.

Signing off, Rusty.

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