Guethary - Les Alcyons/Avalanche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I’ve got to be straight with you – this is a grim stretch for Guethary - Les Alcyons/Avalanche. This is a top-shelf reef break that demands a solid, clean swell, and we’re just not getting it. The whole 16-day window is a write-off. There’s no real surf on offer. We’re talking about a long, dry gap from the start all the way through.

We’ve got persistent small, weak, and short-period windswell. The first week is a total struggle. Morning of the 15th you’re looking at a junky 2ft from the NW with a cross-onshore wind – that’s a mess. The water temp is sitting at 78°, which is a full 9° warmer than normal for this time of year, so it’s weirdly warm, but that doesn’t help the waves. The wind stays on it or cross-onshore for days, and the energy readings are all in the weak teens and twenties. You’ll see a bit of glass on the morning of the 18th, but with only 2ft on tap, it’s barely a ripple.

The middle of the week brings a slight bump. The morning of the 20th shows the strongest energy we’ll see for a while at 4ft and moderate energy (111), but the wind is cross-onshore, wrecking the shape. It’s still poor surf. We get a glassy morning on the 23rd with another 4ft, but the swell periods are short and the energy is still low (91). It’s just not enough to get this reef doing its thing.

Now, the one standout, and it’s a big “if” because it’s over a week away, is the 25th of July. The swell finally kicks up to 7ft from the WNW with a period of 7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to strong (361). But, and it’s a big but, the wind is a moderate cross-onshore breeze from the W at 12 mph. For a spot like this that needs that perfect offshore (SE) wind, a choppy 7ft is going to be a washing machine. This is expert-only territory at that size, and with the wind on it, it’s going to be a battle. The conditions are described as “poor surf conditions” across the board for a reason.

The last few days of the month fade back into the small stuff. There’s a morning of glass on the 28th, but it’s only 2ft. There’s simply nothing to get excited about here. Don’t bother paddling out for this one – it’s a blank run. The setup is a beach-and-reef mix, but with the persistent onshore wind and small, weak swell, it’s more interesting for the kite crowd than us paddle surfers. Forecasts can change, but right now, this is a tough one to swallow.

Rusty.

Read more