Caballos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. Gotta be straight with you, this is a tough stretch for Caballos. This is a top-shelf reef break, no doubt about it. It’s an advanced wave, and when it’s on, it’s on. But looking at this 16-day window, it’s a real battle to find a good session.

Right off the bat, we’ve got nothing. The first few days are a write-off. Thursday the 9th through Sunday the 12th we’re looking at a persistent easterly wind, blowing a solid 19 mph, cross-off. That’s not the clean offshore we want. The swell is there, around 3 to 5 ft, but it’s short-period, wind-driven stuff from the east, with the combined energy only in the low to mid 200s (218). It’s grovelly and bumpy. The water temp is sitting at 84°, about normal for the time of year.

Then we hit a truly flat spell. From Sunday the 12th afternoon through to the middle of the next week, the swell just drops off a cliff. We’re talking under 1 ft waves. The combined energy drops to double digits, like 22 and 29. There’s nothing to ride. That’s a good four or five days of sitting on the beach.

We start to see a bit of life again around the 19th of July, with a small pulse of 2 to 3 ft swell and a period of 7-8 seconds. The combined energy does nudge up to 137 on the Sunday morning, but it’s still a far cry from what this break needs. The persistent easterly wind is still there, 16 mph, and it’s cross-off, not the clean offshore we need from the north.

The only real standout, and I’m using that term loosely, is the last few days of the forecast. Thursday the 23rd and into Friday the 24th, we see the swell try to build again. The Thursday afternoon has a 5 ft swell from the ENE, with the combined energy hitting 274. That’s the strongest we’ve seen. But it’s still a short 7-second period, and the wind is still a solid 19 mph from the east, cross-off. It’s a messy, lumpy 5 ft. It’s not the clean, long-period groundswell from the north that makes Caballos a dream.

For a wave that’s this fickle and inconsistent, this is a long, blank run. It’s a tough outlook. For now, the only thing worth watching is that pulse around the 23rd and 24th. Even then, don’t get your hopes up for perfect conditions. The setup here is more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer right now, with that strong cross-off wind.

Rusty.

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