Caballos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer around Caballos for the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – this one’s a tough stretch for surfers.

The forecast is a long, flat, and frustrating run. For the first several days, the swell is small and the wind is a persistent cross-off from the east. There simply isn’t a single surf recommendation until the very end of the window. From Wednesday the 5th of August all the way through to Monday the 17th of August, it’s a write-off. The swell heights barely tickle 3 ft to 4 ft, with short periods around 6 to 8 seconds, and the combined swell energy is weak to moderate, bouncing around mostly under 200 (56 to 201). The conditions are clean in the sense of no rain, but that steady easterly breeze of 12 to 19 mph leaves the waves looking junky and uninviting. For a spot like Caballos – a reef break that’s inconsistent and usually needs a decent pulse from the north – this is a bleak period.

The water temperature is sitting at about 84°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, nothing worth writing home about.

Now, if you can hold out, there’s a tiny glimmer of hope late in the second week. Around Tuesday the 18th of August, we finally see something that registers as “marginal” instead of “poor.” On Tuesday morning, the wind eases up a notch to a gentle breeze from the ESE at 9 mph, still cross-off but lighter and more manageable. The swell starts to show a bit more shape with a period of 8 seconds from the ENE, and the combined swell energy climbs to 226. The height is a modest 4 ft. For a break that doesn’t fire often, this might be the one time you could poke your head out and see if it lines up. It’s not a stand-out, it’s just the only thing that’s not completely flat. After that, it fades again quickly into the 20th of August.

So if you’re hanging out for waves near Caballos, my honest call is: wait for another forecast. There’s nothing worth paddling out for until maybe that Tuesday morning on the 18th of August, and even then, keep your expectations low. The cross-off wind is a persistent buzzkill, and this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on most days, with that solid easterly breeze and clean, but weak, surface.

That’s the long and short of it.

Rusty.

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