Caballos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s break it down. The next 16 days are mostly flat, with a couple of promising spikes further out. Gotta be patient.

We start off with barely a ripple on Wednesday the 2nd. The swell is tiny, around 2ft to 2ft from the ENE with a short period of 5 to 8 seconds. The combined swell energy is low (27-57), and with a steady cross-off wind from the east, there’s nothing to get excited about. This poor run continues day after day. Thursday the 3rd through to Monday the 7th offer the same story: small, weak swell with moderate easterly winds. The waves just aren’t there. We’re looking at a gap of over a week with no real surf.

Then things start to get a little more interesting around Tuesday the 8th. The afternoon sees a bump in energy to 149, with a 2ft, 8-second swell from the east. Still not great, but a sign of life. Wednesday the 9th afternoon brings a 4ft, 6-second pulse from the east, with energy jumping to 191. Thursday the 10th is the first real standout of the period. The morning delivers a 4ft, 7-second easterly swell, with combined energy hitting 258. The wind is a cross-off from the ESE all day long. This is the best we’ll see for a while, but it’s still getting a "poor surf conditions" tag, so don’t expect perfection.

Friday the 11th drops back off, and we’re back to small stuff. The next window opens up on Saturday the 12th morning. The swell is 3ft from the east, period 8 seconds, and the energy is strong at 279. The wind is cross-off from the east. While it’s labeled "marginal," it’s the biggest energy reading we’ve had. The swell is not huge, but that energy suggests there’s some push.

Now, if you’re an experienced surfer, the best bet of the whole outlook is shaping up for Tuesday the 15th of September. The afternoon sees a 3ft, 12-second groundswell from the NNE, with a combined energy of 273. That’s a long-period, quality swell, though it’s on the smaller side. The wind is still a cross-off from the east. This is a reef break, so that long period will wrap in nicely. It’s worth noting that Caballos is inconsistent, so catching it on a day like this is a real treat. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.

The very end of the forecast, on Thursday the 17th, brings a morning of lighter offshore winds from the SE, but the swell is a weak 2ft from the north with a 9-second period and energy of just 50. Clean, but tiny.

So, the standout is Thursday the 10th for the biggest swell, but Tuesday the 15th afternoon for the best quality swell. Keep an eye on that one.

Rusty.

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