Caballos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s comin’ our way.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next week and a half is lookin’ rough. There’s a big gap of flat, poor surf that stretches from the start of the forecast all the way through to Friday, the 7th of August, with nothing worth paddlin’ out for. The wind is howlin’ cross-off from the east, the swell is weak and short-period, and the wave energy is just pathetic. The water temperature is a balmy 84°, which is about average for the time of year, but that’s about the only thing goin’ right.

The first real flicker of somethin’ happens on Friday morning, the 7th of August, at Caballos (reef). The swell bumps up to 4 ft from the ENE, but the period is still short at 8 seconds. The energy jumps to a moderate 317, and while the rating is still just marginal, it’s the first sign of life. The wind is still a stiff 16 mph cross-off from the east, so it won’t be glassy, but it’s clean. This is a spot for the advanced crew only, and it’s inconsistent, so don’t expect a lot of waves. The best bet is to wait for a set and make it count.

After that, we fall back into a funk of poor surf through the 8th, 9th, and into the 10th. The swell tries to push up to 5 ft on Monday the 10th, but the period is still a short 7 seconds, and the wind is pickin’ up to a fresh 19 mph. The energy is there (218), but with that wind and short period, it’s just a messy, blown-out wall. Honestly, for the beach breaks around here, this setup looks more interestin’ for kite surfers than paddle surfers.

The standouts are few and far between, but the best chance in the whole 16-day window looks like Monday morning, the 17th of August. The swell is 5 ft from the east, still a short 6-second period, but the energy surges to 282. The wind drops back to a moderate 16 mph cross-off. It’s still just a marginal call, but for a spot that’s inconsistent, this is the best we’re gonna get. The swell direction from the east is a solid match for the optimum N direction? No, it’s not ideal, but it’s the best we’ve got. For a reef break, the short period means the waves will be a bit crumbly, but the energy might just push through enough for a few fun ones.

Overall, it’s a lean run. The second week shows a bit more energy, but the wind stays stubbornly onshore-ish. Don’t get your hopes up too high for the long-range stuff; it’s promising but less certain. Keep your eyes peeled for the 17th, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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