Caballos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get the stoke-meter going. Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for the next couple of weeks. Straight up, I’m not going to sugarcoat it—this is a rough patch for Caballos. We’ve got a solid 16-day window, but the first week and a half is mostly a write-off.

From Friday the 17th right through to the end of July, we’re looking at a long, dry spell of poor surf. The swell is tiny, mostly under 4 ft, and the energy is weak—most of the time we’re sitting on a combined energy reading of 83 to 165, which is barely a ripple. The wind is locked in from the east, a stubborn cross-off breeze that’s keeping things clean but the waves just aren’t there. The water is warm, sitting at 83°, and that’s about normal for the time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t appear until Sunday the 26th of July. Even then, it’s only a “marginal” call. The swell bumps up to 5 ft, coming from the east with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 396, which is moderate—finally a bit of push. The wind stays cross-off from the east, keeping the faces clean. But the period is short, so expect a bit of chop and not much shape. It’s not a standout, but it’s the best we’ve seen by a long shot.

Then Monday morning the 27th of July shows another flicker, with 4 ft east swell and energy at 306. Still marginal, but again, the cleanest of a bad bunch. The problem is the swell direction is east, and the optimum for this reef break is north, so the waves won’t be lining up perfectly.

After that, it fades out fast. The last half of the forecast period drops back to tiny, weak swell, with energy readings sinking into the double digits. If you’re planning a session, Sunday the 26th of July is your best bet—still not great, but the only one worth looking at. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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