Caballos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for Caballos. It’s a reef break that’s got the right idea, but honestly, for the next few weeks, it’s gonna be a bit of a waiting game. This spot is inconsistent, and while it’s exposed and likes a northerly swell, the charts are showing a whole lot of small, choppy leftovers with wind that’s mostly cross-off, which doesn’t help the shape much. There’s no real standout surfing to rush out for in this window, but there’s one period that might just stir the blood a little if you’re patient.

Right off the bat, from September 5th through the 8th, we’ve got tiny, weak surf – heights around 1 ft to 2 ft, mostly from the east with short periods of 7 to 8 seconds. Combined swell energy is low, bouncing between 55 and 105 (100 to 105 on the higher side), but the wave comment is ‘poor’ through and through. It’s clean, but it’s gutless. Not worth paddling out for unless you just want a float.

Things start to perk up a bit around September 9th and 10th. On the 9th, we see the swell bumping up to 4 ft to 5 ft from the east, with period still short at 6 to 7 seconds. Combined energy is moderate, hitting 176 to 222. Still, the wind is howling from the east at 16 mph, and it’s cross-off, so the wave quality remains poor. The 10th morning is more of the same, but Thursday afternoon on September 10th – that’s the one small window worth mentioning. The swell hits 5 ft from the east, period bumps to 8 seconds, and combined energy jumps to 432. It’s still labelled “marginal,” but that’s the most juice we see in the whole run. For a reef break like Caballos, a bit of east swell with that moderate energy might just produce a few lined-up runners. The wind stays cross-off from the east-southeast at 16 mph, so it’s not glassy, but it’s workable for the experienced surfer. This spot is for advanced riders only, and with crowds listed as ‘sometimes’, you might have a few friends out, but it shouldn’t be a circus.

After that, from September 11th right through to the 20th, it’s back to the doldrums. Heights drop to 1 ft to 3 ft, periods are all over the place – 5 to 9 seconds – and the combined energy rarely gets above 100, often dropping into the 20s and 30s. It’s clean, but there’s nothing to ride. The wind stays a steady east or east-southeast cross-off at 12 to 16 mph, which just pushes the knee-high slop around. For the final week, from mid-September onward, the swell direction wobbles between northeast and east, but the energy is too scattered to get excited about.

So if you’re jonesing, your best bet is that Thursday afternoon on September 10th at Caballos. It’s not perfect, but it’s the only time in the next 16 days where the swell shows some real weight and the reef might come alive. Bring your patience and your biggest board for the rest of it.

Stay wet,
Rusty.

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