Domes (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a pretty grim stretch ahead for our beloved Domes (Rincon). For a spot that’s usually consistent, the forecast has a huge gap of nothing really worth paddling out for, stretching from now all the way into the second week of July. The water temp is sitting at a balmy 84°, about a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, which is nice for a paddle but doesn’t help the waves.

The first real flicker of life doesn’t pop up until Thursday afternoon, July 9th. We see a little bump of 4 ft from the NE with a short, weak 7-second period. The combined energy is only moderate (107), but with a clean cross-off breeze from the east, it might be just about surfable for a very patient beginner. The conditions are described as "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions", so set the bar real low.

Then we go again into another quiet spell. Day after day of tiny, gutless swells and poor conditions. It’s not until much later, Saturday afternoon, July 18th, that we see another potential window. The swell edges up to 3 ft from the NE at 7 seconds (68 combined energy) and with a light cross-off wind from the east, it’ll be clean. Again, we’re looking at "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions". Not great, but on a stretch this bare, you take what you can get.

The final note in this outlook is on Sunday afternoon, July 19th. We get a 4 ft NE swell with a 7-second period and a combined energy that’s moderate (101). The wind is a glassy cross-off from the east, making for clean faces. But again, for a spot that likes a proper NW groundswell, this is small, short-period windswell. It’s about as marginal as it gets for a "standout".

So, to be straight with you: there’s nothing here that screams "go time". The best of a bad bunch is that Thursday afternoon on July 9th, and the Saturday/Sunday on July 18th and 19th, thanks to the clean winds. For beginners, those tiny waves might be okay, but for anyone looking for a proper wave, it’s a real struggle. The break is often crowded, so if you do go, don’t expect empty lineups. Honestly, with this much weak swell and light winds over a beach setup, it looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer right now.

Stay patient, folks. The forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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