Domes (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this stretch is a flat spell. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead, but don’t expect to be waxing up much. The whole run is a bust.

Right off the bat, we’re looking at a long, quiet gap. The first few days are all showing tiny, weak swell with combined energy barely ticking over – 23 (moderate wave energy) is as high as it gets early on, and that’s with a 1ft NE windswell at 7 seconds. That’s just not enough to push a wave at Domes (Rincon). The water temp is sitting at 85°F, which is 1°F above average, so it’s pretty normal for this time of year – warm, but not freaky.

The pattern doesn’t shift. Day after day, we get these tiny swells from the NE or NNE, all under 2ft, and periods are mostly short – 4 to 8 seconds. The wind is often glassy in the mornings, which is a tease, but there’s just no muscle behind the ocean. The combined energy values are mostly in the single digits or low teens, which is weak. You can’t surf on air.

Even when we get a little bump around the 9th of September, with a touch more energy (53 – moderate wave energy), the swell is 3ft from the NE at 6 seconds. That’s a messy, short-period windswell, and the afternoon cross-onshore breeze will chop it up. Not worth the drive.

The second week is more of the same. We see a few 1ft pulses from the north, with periods creeping up to 10 seconds, and combined energy touching 30 or 50 (moderate wave energy). But it’s still tiny. The morning glass-offs are nice, but without a decent swell, it’s a lake. The best we see is on the 13th of September, with a 2ft N swell at 8 seconds and a clean cross-off wind in the afternoon, but even then, the energy is only 50 (moderate). That’s a long way off, and it’s still a marginal day at best.

Look, the honest truth is there are no standout days here. Not one. The surf is flat, the energy is weak, and the swells are too small and short-period to do anything. If you’re desperate for a paddle, you might find a knee-high ripple on a glassy morning, but that’s it. For a point break that’s usually consistent, this is a real dry spell. The forecasts can change, but right now, this is a solid two-week wait.

Rusty.

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