Domes (Rincon) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, let’s talk about what’s happening at Domes (Rincon). I’ve looked over the charts, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a rough stretch ahead. We’ve got a long 16-day window but the opening act is pretty grim.

Right from Saturday the 15th through to the end of the month, we’re looking at a whole lot of nothing. For the first few days, the water out there is a warm 84.7°, which is about average for this time of year, not that it’ll make up for the lack of waves.

Saturday morning the 15th is flat as a pancake with a stiff 22 mph cross-off wind – not even worth paddling out. That afternoon sees a 7.9 ft swell from the NE, but with a wind howling at 28 mph, it’s just messy. The combined energy is moderate at 492, but the conditions are poor.

Sunday the 16th morning has a tiny 3.6 ft swell from the NE, but it’s gutless with a period of only 6 seconds and energy at 117. The wind is light but cross-off, so it’s ridable but not inspiring. That afternoon, the wind swings cross and it turns into a total write-off.

The rest of the first week and into the second is just tiny, weak lumps. We’re talking swell heights mostly under 2.0 ft, all from the NE or NNE, with short periods of 6 to 10 seconds. The combined energy is low, often under 30, and the wind is a mixed bag of cross, cross-off, and sometimes glassy. The waves might be clean at times, especially Thursday the 20th morning with glassy conditions, and Friday the 21st morning with glass, but the swell is so small it’s barely a ripple. For the experienced surfers, there’s nothing to sink your teeth into.

We do see a few moments of hope. Sunday the 23rd morning has a glassy 2.0 ft NE swell, but again, the energy is only 26. Tuesday the 25th afternoon has a 3.3 ft NE swell, but it’s a 4-second period – that’s pure wind chop. The best looking energy comes on Wednesday the 26th morning with 1.3 ft from the ENE and a 10-second period, giving us 59 in energy, but the wind is cross. That afternoon, the energy bumps to 62 with a 1.6 ft NE swell at 9 seconds and a clean cross-off wind – it’s the closest we get to something decent, but it’s still tiny.

Honestly, for this entire period, the name ‘Domes’ is a point break, and the optimum swell direction is from the NNW, but we don’t get any of that. All the swell is from the NE or NNE, which isn’t going to wrap in well. There are no standouts here. It’s a tough run. The surf is just too small and weak for any real fun.

Stay patient, keep an eye on the charts, but don’t expect much.

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