Ajo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. We’ve got a bit of a slow start for Ajo, but there’s some interesting stuff if you’re patient.

The water here is sitting at about 71°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might get away with a thinner suit.

The first real chance to paddle out is Sunday morning, September 6th. It’s not a standout, but the swell is a clean 5ft from the NW with a 12-second period, giving us a moderate energy level of 549. Winds are light and cross, so it’s rideable but nothing to write home about. The afternoon deteriorates quickly with rising wind.

Monday morning, September 7th, is a bit of a tease. The swell drops to 2ft, but it’s a glassy NW groundswell with a 15-second period and light offshore winds. That’s super clean but tiny. Not really going to get you going unless you’re on a log.

Things get a little more interesting mid-week. Wednesday morning, September 9th, we see a bump in size: 6ft from the NNW, but it’s a short period of 8 seconds and cross-on winds. The combined energy is moderate at 457, but the wind is messy. Not great. By Wednesday afternoon the period lengthens to 11 seconds and the wind drops to almost nothing, making for a cleaner look, but it’s still cross-on.

Now, Thursday morning, September 10th, is the first real highlight. We’ve got 5ft of NW swell with a 10-second period, glassy conditions, and calm winds. The energy is a solid 401. This is the pick of the first week: clean, fun-sized, and should be a good session for intermediate surfers. Crowds are possible here at Ajo, so get in early.

Friday and Saturday are smaller and wind-affected, so not worth chasing. Sunday September 13th brings a jump in energy, with 5ft of NW swell and a 12-second period giving us 670 energy, but the wind is up from the ENE at 12 mph, making for a cross-shore chop. It’s messy.

The following week sees a lot of cross-on winds and onshore flow. Monday September 14th through Thursday September 17th is mostly poor surf conditions. Swell hangs around 3ft to 5ft, but the winds are from the NE and NW, often fresh. There’s a period of rain showers and lumpy seas mid-week that’s better for kites than paddle surfing.

Friday September 18th shows some potential: 5ft from the NW, 12-second period, strong energy at 687, and light winds in the afternoon. The morning is cross-on, but the afternoon goes lighter. It’s a marginal call, but could offer some bigger, lumpy waves.

Saturday September 19th is a write-off with moderate ENE winds.

Then, Monday September 21st is the standout of the whole forecast. The swell is 4ft from the NW at 11 seconds, with glassy conditions and ENE winds at just 3 mph. The energy is solid at 421, and the conditions are expected to be good. This is the session to target: clean, consistent, and fun.

Overall, Thursday the 10th and Monday the 21st are your best bets. The rest is a mix of wind-affected, small, or marginal. Don’t hold your breath for the middle of the second week.

Rusty

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