Ajo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at what’s shaping up for the Ajo area. I gotta be straight with you—the next week and a half is pretty grim. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with barely a ripple. The first real chance of anything rideable doesn’t pop up until Monday the 20th of July, and even then, it’s a marginal call.

The water temperature here is about average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

For the first eight days, from Sunday the 12th through to Sunday the 19th, it’s a total write-off. Swell heights are tiny, mostly under 3 ft, and the period is short and weak. The combined energy is low, often in the double digits, so there’s just no power in the water. Winds are mostly light, but they’re onshore or cross-onshore, making for bumpy, gutless conditions. Don’t bother paddling out.

Then we get to Monday the 20th of July. The swell finally shows a pulse, with 5 ft to 6 ft from the NW, and the period comes up to a mediocre 7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to moderate, but the wind is messy—a light cross-shore in the morning turning into a moderate cross-shore chop in the afternoon. The rating is poor; it’s a marginal day at best. Not worth getting excited about.

Now, Tuesday the 21st of July is the one true standout in this whole 16-day window. The swell builds to 8 ft from the NW, with a 9-second period. The combined energy gets strong. Here’s the kicker: the morning has a light cross-onshore breeze, but the afternoon sees a cross-offshore wind from the WSW at 28 mph, cleaning the faces up nicely. The scores for that afternoon are high. But here’s the catch—8 ft is big for this break, and it says the swell is predicted to be too big for Ajo. This is strictly for experts only. If you’re a seasoned charger, that Tuesday afternoon could be the session. Everyone else, stay on the beach.

After that, Wednesday the 22nd sees leftover swell at 6 ft, but the wind swings onshore and gets fresh, ruining it. The rest of the week drops back into the doldrums with small, weak, onshore windswell right through to Monday the 27th.

So, bottom line: the only real window is Tuesday the 21st of July, for experts only. The rest is a long, flat wait. The area is very consistent, so this blank run is a bit of a bummer, but forecasts can change. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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