Ajo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Ajo has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough one. The whole 16-day window is looking pretty grim. We’re talking about a long stretch of poor conditions, with only a handful of days that are even marginal. The first real chance of anything rideable doesn't come around until Monday, 27 July.

For the first few days, from Friday 24 July right through Sunday 26 July, the wind is a problem. It’s a solid cross-shore and cross-onshore breeze, blowing 12 to 22 mph. That’s creating lumpy, choppy, poor surf. The swell is tiny and weak, with combined energy values barely hitting 34 to 290. Honestly, for those days, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The first glimmer of hope comes on Monday morning, 27 July. We get a bit of a pulse with a 4ft swell from the NNW, and the period bumps up to 10 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell. The combined energy jumps to 367 (moderate energy). The real kicker is the wind: it’s a light 3 mph offshore from the NNE. That’s glassy. It’s only a marginal call, but that’s the best we’ve got. The wave comment says "questionable tide conditions," but with that clean wind, it’s worth a look. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Tuesday, 28 July stays marginal with a similar 4 to 4ft NNW swell and a 10-second period, and the wind is light cross-shore. It’s not great, but it's surfable if you’re desperate. The energy is moderate (261 to 234).

Then we hit another dry spell. From Wednesday, 29 July through to Saturday, 1 August, the swell drops right off. We’re looking at 2ft to 3ft dribble with combined energy values under 100 (weak energy). The wind is mostly cross-onshore, so it’s messy and small. Not worth paddling out for.

We get another little bump on Sunday, 2 August. A 5ft to 5ft NW swell with a long 11-second period rolls in. The combined energy is strong, hitting 475 to 590. The wind is light cross-shore in the morning, but turns cross-onshore in the afternoon. It’s another marginal day, but that long period groundswell could offer some decent shape at the right bank. The 5ft size is pushing it for beginners.

Monday, 3 August is similar – a 4ft to 5ft NNW swell, long period, and light morning winds. Again, it’s marginal, but one of the better options on offer. The 5ft swell is solid.

After that, it’s back to the pits. From Tuesday, 4 August, right through to the end of the forecast on Saturday, 8 August, the swell is non-existent. We’re talking 0.6ft to 3ft of junk, with weak energy, and often strong winds. Ajo is exposed to the NW, and the optimum swell direction is NW, so the direction is right, but the size and wind just aren't cooperating.

The standout here, if you can call it that, is Monday morning, 27 July. That 4ft swell with the 10-second period and the 3 mph offshore wind is the cleanest window we get. The combined energy is moderate at 367. It’s not going to be pumping, but it’s the only shot at a clean, glassy wave in the whole stretch. For a beginner, it’s a good size.

The other nod goes to Sunday, 2 August. That 5ft NW swell with an 11-second period is the biggest and most powerful swell of the period, with strong energy (590). The wind is light in the morning, so it could be clean. This one is for the more experienced crew, as anything over 5ft can be a handful.

This is a pretty blank run for Ajo. It’s just one of those stretches where the forecast is a bust. But don’t lose hope – it tends not to stay this poor for long, and forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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