Ajo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the outlook for the next two weeks is a total flat spell. There’s nothing on the cards that’s even worth paddling out for, so don’t be in a rush to wax up.

Looking at the whole 16-day window, we’ve got a long stretch of poor surf conditions. The only day that even teases a bit of life is Sunday afternoon, July 12th, where we get a brief moment of "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions" with a score that barely registers. That’s it. For the rest of the period, it’s all "poor surf conditions" with tiny, weak swell.

The combined energy of all swells is mostly in the low double digits, with just a few blips into the low triple digits (like 101 on Saturday afternoon, July 11th, or 129 on Saturday morning, July 18th). Even those are too weak to make anything of it, especially with the wind being cross-shore or cross-onshore the whole time. The wind is never clean offshore, so you’re looking at chop and ripples, not lined-up waves.

Ajo break is a beginner spot, very consistent, exposed to NW swell, and the optimum swell direction is NW. The problem is the swell never gets big enough or clean enough to care. The best we see is a 5ft NW swell on Sunday morning, July 19th, but that’s accompanied by rain showers and a moderate cross-shore wind, so it’s messy. The wave energy there is 278, which is moderate, but the conditions are listed as poor. It’s just not surfable.

You’ll have to wait until the second week for any kind of bump in size, but it’s all the same story: onshore breezes and poor quality. There’s a groundswell on Friday afternoon, July 24th, with a 14-second period and moderate energy (219), but the wind is a moderate cross-onshore, so it’s not going to be clean. That’s a long way out, too, and not worth planning around.

In short, there’s a big gap of nothing from now until the end of the outlook. The only faint highlight is that scrap of surfable waves on Sunday the 12th, but even that’s a stretch. Don’t get your hopes up—this is a classic blank run for this spot. Leave the board in the car and go do something else.

Rusty.

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