Ajo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. I’ve been staring at the charts for the next 16 days, and it’s a real quiet stretch. The swell is barely registering, and the wind is rarely playing nice. It’s not looking good for a decent paddle.

The only spot we’re talking about is Ajo. It’s a beginner-friendly wave, very consistent, and it likes the swell from the northwest. The water temp is about what you’d expect for this time of year.

Through the first week, the swell is tiny. We’re looking at 2ft of NW swell with a short period of 10 seconds, and the energy is weak (51). The wind is a light cross-onshore, so it’s bumpy and small. This continues through the 11th of July, with the swell staying under 2ft and the wind never cleaning up. Saturday the 11th has a bit more energy (96), but it’s still a weak, choppy mess.

We hit a real lull from the 14th of July through the 19th. The swell drops to almost nothing – 0.7ft to 1ft – with periods all over the place. The energy is in the single digits or low teens. The wind is light, but there’s no push.

Around the 20th of July, we see a tiny bump: 2ft to 3ft of NW to NNW swell, but the period is still short (5-7 seconds), and the energy stays weak (under 90). The wind is mostly cross-shore or cross-onshore, so it’s not going to be clean. It’s more of a windswell bump than anything you’d want to get out for.

The best of the run, if you can call it that, is the morning of the 21st of July. We’ve got 3ft of NNW swell, 6-second period, with a light cross-shore breeze. The energy is still weak (66), but it’s the best we’ll see. The water is glassy on the morning of the 18th, but with only 0.7ft of swell, it’s not surfable.

Honestly, for the whole 16 days, none of these breaks are offering a good session. The swell is too small, the periods are short, and the wind is rarely working in our favor. For a beginner spot like Ajo, the swell never gets over 5ft, so it’s never too big, but it’s also never big enough to be fun. With the short-period, weak swell on a beach break, it’s going to be a lot of closeouts.

If you’re a kite surfer, you might find some action on the afternoons of the 22nd of July when the wind hits 18 to 22 mph, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a lean period. The good news is that Ajo is very consistent, so it tends not to stay this flat for long, and forecasts can change. But for now, you’re better off taking a break.

Rusty.

Read more