Ajo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on offer for Ajo over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough outlook. The surf is small and the conditions are messy for most of the run. The water is sitting at 74°F which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice silver lining for a paddle.

We start off with a real dry spell. From Saturday the 15th right through to late on Saturday the 22nd, the waves are just too poor to recommend. You’re looking at tiny, short-period slop with cross-shore or onshore winds. Not worth wetting the wetsuit.

The first real sniff of something rideable comes on Monday the 17th, early morning. It’s small, only 2ft from the NNW, but the wind goes glassy. Those are the kind of conditions where a log can still be fun. The energy is weak (45), so don’t expect power, but it’s clean. That’s a rare window.

Then we get another gap. The next time anything shows up is on Thursday the 20th. The swell picks up a bit – 3ft from the NW with a period of 11 seconds – that’s groundswell, which is promising. The energy is moderate (156). But the wind is cross-on, and the report says poor. So, still not a goer.

The standout, if you can call it that, is the morning of Friday the 21st. Swell size hits 5ft from the NNW, with a period of 11 seconds. That’s the biggest wave of the outlook, and the energy is strong (510). The wind is cross-shore from the east at 9 mph. It’s described as “marginal,” which means it’s the best of a bad bunch. The break is Ajo, a beginner-friendly spot that’s very consistent and exposed to the NW swell. It is often crowded. For a more experienced surfer, this is the only session that might offer a proper wave, but keep your expectations in check.

After that, it’s back to small, choppy, or onshore junk for over a week. There’s a tiny window on Wednesday the 26th morning – 3ft from the NW with a very long period of 12 seconds (groundswell). The energy is strong (363), and the wind is light cross-shore. Could be a sneaky clean session if you’re a longboarder, but it’s marginal.

The last little glimmer is on Friday the 28th and Saturday the 29th mornings. Both mornings offer glassy conditions with tiny 2ft to 2ft waves from the NW. The energy is weak (87 and 73). These are true small-wave days for the log or the soft-top.

So, the honest truth: don’t plan a trip around this. If you’re local, keep an eye on Friday the 21st morning for the best chance at a proper wave, and maybe the glassy mornings on the 17th, 28th, and 29th for a fun, clean but small session. The rest is a write-off.

Rusty.

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