Ajo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty coming to you from Ajo. Let's look at what we've got on the table for the next couple of weeks. Honestly, it's a pretty grim stretch. We're looking at a long dry spell of poor conditions before a glimmer of something worthwhile shows up.

The water temp here is sitting at 73°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

For the first week, through the 13th to the 19th, it's all small, weak surf and messy winds. We're talking tiny waves, and a lot of cross-onshore and onshore wind. The combined swell energy is pathetically low, mostly under 100 (36, 52, 65). There's a bump in energy around the 16th with 3 ft from the NW and a 4 ft on the 16th afternoon, but the winds are all wrong, either cross-off or onshore, keeping the quality in the gutter. It's a real write-off. Don't bother paddling out.

That quiet stretch runs for almost ten days. Finally, the pattern shifts into the back half of the second week. The standout moment of the entire outlook hits on the morning of the 27th of August. The conditions finally line up. We've got a clean 4 ft NW swell, a 10-second period, and combined energy of 233 (moderate wave energy). The wind is glassy, dead calm. This is the only time the forecast gives us "expect good surf conditions." For a break that is very consistent, that glassy morning will be a gift. Get it while it's there; the afternoon goes back to a light cross-onshore breeze.

There's another possible window the morning of the 21st with a 4 ft NNW groundswell and a 10-second period, but conditions are labeled "marginal" and the wind is onshore. The 26th also has some bump in energy, but the winds are strong and lumpy. It's not worth the gamble compared to that glassy morning on the 27th.

So, keep your eyes on the 27th. That's your shot. Everything else is a bust.

Rusty.

Read more