Ajo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the upcoming weeks for Ajo. It’s a beginner-friendly, very consistent spot that’s exposed to the swell. Thing is, for a long stretch here, it just ain’t happening. We’ve got a real dry spell on our hands.

The water’s sitting at about 73°, which is a touch warmer than we normally see for this time of year. It’s notable, but not crazy.

Looking at the first week, from Thursday the 13th to Saturday the 22nd of August, it’s pretty much a write-off. The wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, and the swell is tiny—barely scraping 1ft to 4ft. The combined energy is weak, usually under 100. The wave comments are all saying the same thing: poor surf conditions. It’s a long, flat spell.

Now, things start to get a pulse around Sunday the 23rd. Sunday morning you’ve got glassy conditions with a 3ft NW swell, but it’s only a 5-second period. The energy is still low at 74, and the comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” That’s not a great look. Sunday afternoon the swell jumps to 5ft but it gets cross-shore and the comment is back to poor.

The real standout is on Monday the 24th of August. Morning brings a 8ft NW swell with a 9-second period and a cross-shore wind. The energy is cranking at 951—that’s moderate energy. The afternoon gets even bigger: 8ft NW swell, 10-second period, with energy blowing up to 2305. That’s strong to very strong energy. However, the catch here is that the forecast is saying the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. For a beginner spot, 8ft is already pushing your limits, and 8ft is expert territory. The wind is cross-shore, so it’s not going to be clean for a paddle. This setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Tuesday the 25th morning is your best bet if you don’t want a battle. You’ve got glassy conditions, a 4ft NW swell with a 9-second period, and moderate energy at 249. The comment says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s the pick of the whole forecast. It’s clean, it’s manageable size, and the wind is off. After that, it drops off again into tiny, ordinary surf with cross-onshore wind right through to the end of the period on the 28th.

So, to sum it up: a long, dull first week and a half. Monday the 24th has the biggest swell, but it’s too much for this spot. Tuesday the 25th morning is your window for a clean, fun session. The rest is a wait-and-see game.

Rusty.

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