Waiehu beach park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this stretch of Maui’s North Shore is looking pretty grim for a while. The surf is on offer, but it’s just not working for us.

The whole 16-day window kicks off Friday, August 28th, with some waves on the table, but the wind is a constant problem. We’ve got a solid trade wind pattern locked in from the ENE, blowing cross-on shore at Waiehu beach park. That means choppy, bumpy conditions. The swell is there, but it’s short-period, wind-driven stuff, never getting above a 8-second period, which means weak, crumbly waves. The combined energy stays moderate throughout the first week, hitting 405 on Wednesday, September 2nd, but it’s all messy.

This pattern holds for the first week and a half. The swell size hangs around 4 ft to 6 ft, which is a fun size for a beginner spot like Waiehu, but with that constant cross-on wind, it’s a struggle. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The only glimmer of hope comes way out there, over a week away. On Monday, September 7th, the morning session shows a shift. The wind turns light and onshore from the NNE at only 6 mph, and the swell period jumps to 11 seconds. That’s a groundswell, and it brings a lot more energy, with the combined energy reading 660. The swell is 5 ft from the ENE. This is the best on offer, but it’s still only a marginal forecast. The light wind will make it glassy, but the long period at a beach/reef/point break like Waiehu can make it break a little straight. Tuesday, September 8th, also has decent morning potential with similar light winds and a 5 ft NE swell, but again, it’s marginal.

Then on Thursday, September 10th, we see the biggest swell of the period, hitting 6 ft in the morning and 7 ft in the afternoon from the NE, with a clean 10-second period. The offshore wind is light from the N, so it could be clean. The combined energy jumps to 706 and 808 – that’s moderate wave energy with some push. This is a standout for the more experienced crew. It’s not massive, but it’s the best we’ll see. The morning of Friday, September 11th, has the biggest swell of the whole run at 8 ft from the NE, but the wind goes cross-on again, so it’s back to being choppy. That one is for experts only, as it’s over 8 ft and bumpy.

So, if you’re a beginner, you’re out of luck for the first 10 days, but the window around September 10th and 11th is worth watching. Remember, the long-range stuff is promising but less certain. For now, the board stays in the van.

Rusty.

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