Vari Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this is a grim picture for the next two weeks at Vari. We’ve got a long, empty stretch of ocean ahead, so let’s not waste time.

Right now, and for the next week, it’s pretty much flat. Total energy is zero (0), and the water temperature is sitting at a warm 80°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year—that’s about 5° above average. But warmth doesn’t put waves under you. From Thursday the 10th through to Wednesday the 16th, there’s nothing doing. Poor surf conditions day after day, with clean skies but no swell to speak of. A few mornings offer glassy or offshore wind, but without any height, it’s just a nice view.

There’s a tiny bit of hope on Thursday the 17th. We finally see some faint life: a 0.3ft to 0.7ft south swell creeping in with a 6-second period. The combined energy is pitifully weak (1 to 3), and it’s still flagged as poor surf. Offshore wind from the NNW will keep it clean, but you’d need a longboard and a lot of patience. This is inconsistent at best, and for a beginner spot like Vari, that’s about right—it’s just not breaking properly.

After that, another dry spell. From Friday the 18th all the way through Tuesday the 22nd, it goes back to nothing. No swell, clean mornings, but flat. The 22nd sees a tiny 1ft south swell creep in with a 3-second period and combined energy of only 2. That’s barely a ripple, and with a light cross-shore wind, it’s not worth paddling out for.

Then, on Wednesday the 23rd, we finally get something worth talking about. A 2ft swell from the SSW with a 4-second period, combined energy of 32 (moderate), and a solid offshore wind from the north at 16 mph. That’s the standout of the entire outlook. The wind will keep it clean, and the moderate offshore will hold the faces up. The swell direction is from the SSW, which lines up okay with Vari’s exposure to S swells. It’s still not big, but for this break, that’s as good as it gets in this window. Keep in mind, it’s a beach setup and the period is short, so it’ll be a bit crumbly and sectiony—more of a fun session than a classic.

After that, Thursday the 24th fades back to 1ft with strong offshore wind, and then it’s flat again through to the end of the forecast on the 25th.

So, the only real window to get wet is Wednesday the 23rd. Morning will be the cleanest. If you’re desperate, the 17th offers a small bump, but don’t get your hopes up. For now, Vari is a kite-surfing option if the wind swings, but for paddle surfing, it’s mostly a waiting game.

Rusty.

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