Vari Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a good hard look at what Vari has on offer for the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. The models are showing a long, frustrating flat spell with barely a ripple worth paddling for across the entire 16-day window. The water is sitting at 79°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, but that’s about the only thing that’s mildly interesting.

Looking at the whole run, we start off with nothing. From Tuesday the 11th of August right through to the morning of Monday the 18th of August, it’s a complete desert. Not a single wave of consequence. The wind is howling out of the north most days, sometimes hitting 25 to 31 mph, which is more kite-surfing weather than anything else. For most of that first week, the swell energy is zero, absolutely flat. There’s a gap of nearly seven days with no surf at all.

Finally, on the morning of Tuesday the 18th of August, we see a tiny bump. A 0.7 ft swell from the south, but with a short period of only 4 seconds and a combined energy of just 1, it’s barely a breath on the water. Still, the wind is light and variable, and conditions look clean. It won’t be worth your wetsuit, but it’s something. The afternoon turns onshore and messy again.

We get another little tease on the morning of Thursday the 20th of August – again 0.7 ft from the south, period 4 seconds, energy still only 1. But the wind is a fresh 19 mph from the north, cross-offshore. Clean but ridiculously small.

Friday the 21st of August morning has some offshore wind but no swell at all. The afternoon brings the tiniest pulse: 1.0 ft from the south, with a period of just 2 seconds – that’s wind chop, not a groundswell. Energy is still only 1.

Saturday the 22nd of August morning is the only glimmer of hope in this whole outlook. A 0.7 ft swell from the SSW with a period of 6 seconds and a combined energy of 3. It’s still tiny – beginner-friendly and honestly more of a splash – but the wind is light offshore from the north, and the afternoon turns glassy. If you’re absolutely desperate for a float, that Saturday morning is the pick of a very poor bunch.

After that, from Sunday the 23rd of August onward, we’re back to flat and clean mornings or onshore afternoons right through to Wednesday the 26th of August. The energy stays at zero for most of it.

Look, Vari is inconsistent at the best of times, and this is one of those classic blank runs. There’s simply no real swell on the cards. The one standout, if you can call it that, is that Saturday morning the 22nd of August – tiny, clean, offshore breeze, but don’t expect to get wet over your knees. For now, keep the board in the garage and the wax in the cupboard. Forecasts can change, but right now it’s grim.

Rusty.

Read more