Tanchet Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk surf. Looking at the whole sixteen-day window, it’s a pretty quiet stretch for Tanchet. We’ve got a lot of small, weak swell and choppy conditions to wade through, so patience is the name of the game. The few moments where things clean up are fleeting, but there’s one morning that might just be worth the drive.

Water temperature is sitting at 69°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We kick off Wednesday the 2nd through to Friday the 4th with nothing to get excited about—waves are only 2 ft to 2 ft, weak energy (35 to 74), and mostly cross or cross-onshore winds. It’s pretty flat and messy. Saturday morning the 5th sees a little bump– 3 ft from the WNW, period 9 seconds, with a gentle offshore NNE breeze at 9 mph. Energy jumps to 183 (moderate), and it cleans right up. It’s surfable, but just barely ordinary. Still, if you’re desperate, that’s your window. The afternoon gets choppy again.

Sunday the 6th through to Wednesday the 10th is a mixed bag. Sunday morning is clean but tiny at 2 ft. Monday the 7th sees a long-period 15-second swell roll in at 2 ft, moderate energy (263), but it’s cross-shore and choppy—not great shape for a reef break. Tuesday morning the 8th is your standout moment: 4 ft from the W, 11-second period, a gentle cross-offshore NNW breeze at 9 mph, and clean conditions. Energy is solid at 296 (moderate). This is the best of the run—clean, with enough push for a fun session. Just know that crowds are possible here.

We then hit a rough patch from the 9th through the 16th. Waves bounce between 0.7 ft and 5 ft, but winds are mostly cross or onshore, and energy drops off. Wednesday the 9th afternoon sees a 4 ft swell but with a fresh 22 mph cross wind—lumpy and tough. The 12th afternoon throws up a 5 ft swell from the WSW with a short 6-second period and strong cross-wind—choppy and hard to surf, better left alone.

There’s a long gap from the 12th afternoon until the morning of the 17th where there’s nothing worth paddling out for. Most mornings are clean but tiny, and that one bigger push on the 12th is a mess.

Now for a late bright spot: Thursday morning the 17th. We get 3 ft from the W, 11-second period, with a gentle offshore NE breeze at 9 mph. Energy is 194 (moderate) and it’s clean. It’s not big, but it’ll be fun and lined up. A decent way to close out the period.

So, bottom line: Tuesday morning the 8th is the clear winner—clean, moderate energy, offshore flow. Thursday the 17th is a worthy second pick for those who can wait. Everything else is small, weak, or windy. Hang in there.

Rusty.

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