State Line Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The next couple of weeks at State Line are a bit of a mixed bag, with some real power showing up but a lot of it being too big or messy for the average paddle. We’ll see a few standout windows, but you’ll need to pick your moments.

First off, the water temperature is running 53°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year. That’s a wetsuit and booties situation from the get-go.

The first real chance to surf comes Wednesday morning, July 8th. We’ve got a 3ft SSW groundswell, with a very long 18-second period, and cross-shore NW winds at 9 mph. The combined energy is strong at 1080 – that’s a lot of push for a head-high wave. That long period is going to make it a bit tricky at the beach break, but the set gaps will be nice. It’s a morning session only though, because Wednesday afternoon sees a jump to 10ft of sloppy, short-period NW windswell, way too big and raw for this spot.

The real standout, and the one to circle on your calendar, is Thursday afternoon, July 9th. The swell is a solid 12ft from the NW, with an 8-second period, and the wind swings around to a clean cross-off from the NNW at 16 mph. The combined energy is massive at 1762. That’s expert territory only – heavy, powerful, and lined up. For the experienced crew, this is the session of the fortnight.

After that, the rest of the first week and into the second week is mostly marginal. We see a lot of 3ft to 8ft swell, mostly NW, but with persistent cross-shore winds and a constant cross-chop reported. The combined energy drops into the 400-750 range – moderate, but the conditions are just not clean enough for a good time. Friday morning July 10th is a write-off, and Saturday morning July 11th through Sunday July 12th looks tough.

Then, looking long-range, keep an eye on Sunday afternoon, July 19th. It’s a bit of a dark horse, but you’ve got 6ft NW swell, an 8-second period, and glassy conditions with west winds at only 3 mph. The combined energy is 809 – moderate, but with clean, glassy faces, it’ll be a fun, manageable wave. That’s the one for the weekend warriors.

The final week sees a return of bigger energy, with Tuesday July 21st morning showing a 8ft NW swell, 10-second period, and combined energy of 1485, but it’s still cross-shore wind. Not a total write-off, but not the gem we get on the 9th.

So, to sum it up: Thursday afternoon July 9th is the big-dog session – experts only, huge swell, clean offshores. Sunday afternoon July 19th is the sleeper pick for a fun, glassy, medium-sized wave. Everything else is a grind or a wait-out.

Keep an eye on the forecast, because it tends not to stay poor for long here.

Rusty.

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