State Line Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be honest from the get-go: the next sixteen days at State Line are a real mixed bag, and for the most part, not a whole lot to get excited about. We’re dealing with a bit of a frustrating pattern where the swell shows up with some size, but the winds and conditions are working against us. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

First proper swell window to talk about arrives this Sunday, the 2nd of August. Sunday morning is a bit early with 7ft of NW swell and a 7-second period, which is short and a bit junky, but the clean sideshore-offshore breeze will at least make it surfable. The real standout, the only true highlight in this whole outlook, is Sunday afternoon. That's when it gets big, with 12ft of NW swell rolling in. The energy is substantial (1508), and the wind is clean out of the NNW. Now, let’s be straight up: 12ft is proper, expert-level territory. This is not a day for the faint of heart or a learner. The period is short at 8 seconds, so it'll be a bit of a beast and a paddle battle, but for the crew who know what they’re doing, it could be a memorable session. Expect crowds to be a factor though, as everyone will be eyeing this one.

After that, we slide into a long, dry spell. From Monday the 3rd of August all the way through to Saturday the 9th of August, the wave heights drop right off into the 1.0ft to 2ft range, and the quality is just not there. The wind stays messy or the swell is tiny with long periods that won't break properly here. It’s a proper gap with nothing worth paddling out for.

There’s another flicker of hope on Saturday the 8th of August afternoon. Just like the previous Sunday, 12ft of NW swell (1796 energy) shows up with clean wind. But again, it’s simply too big for this spot. The same goes for Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th of August afternoons, when we see 10ft and 12ft of NW swell respectively with favorable offshore winds. It’s a cruel pattern: plenty of power, but the size is just overwhelming for State Line, making it an expert-only affair. The rest of the days in the second week are filled with tiny, weak swells and poor conditions.

So, to wrap it up: Wait for Sunday afternoon (the 2nd of August) for your one big shot, if you’ve got the skill and the nerve. It’s the standout. After that, keep your board in the car and your eyes on the forecast, because most of this run is a write-off.

Rusty

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