State Line Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at State Line over the next 16 days.

Honestly, this stretch is a bit of a tough nut. The first few days are pretty average. Saturday morning, July 11th, we’ve got a weak 3ft SSW swell with a 14-second period, but the wind is cross and it’s just messy. The combined energy is moderate (484), but the quality is poor. That afternoon, the swell jumps to 6ft from the NW, but the period drops to 10 seconds and the wind stays cross – it’s marginal at best. Sunday and Monday are similar: cross-wind, short-period NW swell in the 5ft to 7ft range, with combined energy staying moderate (483-815). Nothing to get excited about. The water temp is 56°, which is about average for this time of year.

The real standout doesn’t show up until Wednesday, July 15th, in the afternoon. That’s when we see an 12ft NW swell with a combined energy of 1546 – that’s getting into strong territory. Problem is, it’s too big for this break, and the wind is a strong cross-breeze at 25 mph. This is more for the kite surfers than paddle surfers. The morning of Thursday, July 16th, is a bit better: 8ft NW swell, cross-off wind, and the energy is still strong (1339). The waves will be clean, but it’s still a big, powerful swell that’s really only for experienced surfers. The afternoon holds 10ft NW swell with a clean cross-off breeze – again, powerful and big.

From Friday, July 17th, through to Sunday, July 19th, the swell sits around 6ft to 7ft with cross-winds, and the energy drops back to moderate-high (824-1303). It’s a bit of a grind. Then, from Monday, July 20th, to Tuesday, July 21st, the swell flattens right out to 2ft with a long-period SW groundswell (16 seconds), but the energy is low (307-383) and the wind is cross. It’s a dead period.

The next little pulse comes Wednesday, July 22nd, with 6ft NW swell, but the cross-wind keeps it marginal. The afternoon of Thursday, July 23rd, has an 8ft NW swell with a clean cross-off wind – that’s the best looking window in the second week. The energy is moderate-high (965), and the waves will be clean. It’s still a bit on the bigger side, but for intermediates and up, it’s the pick. The following days, July 24th and 25th, see 7ft to 10ft NW swell, with the afternoon of the 25th having a 10ft swell, light cross-wind, and strong energy (1213) – but again, that’s too big for this break.

The final day, July 26th, has a 10ft NW swell in the afternoon with light cross-wind and strong energy (1037), but it’s too big for most.

So, the best of the window is Thursday, July 16th, morning and afternoon, with clean, powerful 8ft to 10ft NW swell for experienced surfers, and the afternoon of Thursday, July 23rd, for a cleaner 8ft NW swell. Crowds are possible at State Line, so keep an eye out.

Rusty.

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