State Line Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let's have a look at what's on the table for State Line over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, mate, the outlook is a bit of a mixed bag with a whole lot of "not quite right" in there. The water temp is sitting at a balmy 59.5°, which is a couple of degrees warmer than usual for July – you'll notice it when you paddle out, that's for sure.

We kick things off on Wednesday morning, July 29th. There's a solid 3.9ft of SSW groundswell pushing in with a long 16-second period. The energy readings are high at 1118, so there's plenty of push. The wind is cross from the NW at 9 mph, which puts a bit of a chop on it. The crew is saying it's marginal, so you might be fighting the tide a bit. By the afternoon, the wind picks up to 12 mph and the swell drops a notch, making it pretty ordinary.

Thursday isn't any better. The swell drops further to 3.3ft on the morning, and the wind swings cross-on from the WNW. It's just not clean. From there, we head into a real flat spell. Friday through Sunday offer very little – small, weak swell with messy winds. The weekend of the 1st and 2nd of August sees a NW windswell pop up, with a super short period of 6-8 seconds and strong cross-winds hitting 28 mph. That 7.5ft to 11.5ft of swell is just a lumpy, choppy mess – far better for the kite crew than us paddle surfers.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Monday, August 3rd, in the morning. The wind goes cross-offshore from the NNW at 16 mph, cleaning things right up. You've got a 7.2ft NW swell with a short 8-second period, so the wave energy is moderate at 721 (moderate). The break is exposed to the swell, and the direction is pretty much right on the money. It's a bit on the bigger side for a learner, but for a confident intermediate, this is the best call of the first week. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

After that, we get a run of massive, unruly swell. Tuesday the 4th through Thursday the 6th of August sees consistent 8ft to 11.5ft NW swells, but they're too big for this spot, and the wind stays cross or strong cross-off. Tuesday afternoon and Thursday afternoon especially are pumping with energy readings over 1444 (very strong), but it's a case of too much of a good thing – only for the very experienced.

We drop right off again into a tiny, weak, long-period SSW groundswell from the 7th through the 8th, nothing doing there.

Looking into the second week, there's another pulse building. Sunday, August 9th in the afternoon sees a 11.5ft NW swell roll in with an 8-second period. The energy is strong at 1457 (strong), but again, it's predicted to be too big for the break. It's a clean-up set day for the big wave chargers only.

Then things get interesting again on Monday, August 10th. The morning has a slightly smaller 5.9ft NW swell, but the real standout is the afternoon session. You've got a 8ft swell with a short 7-second period, but the wind drops to a gentle 9 mph cross-shore breeze. The energy is solid at 1059 (moderate to strong). It's still big for this break, but the calm wind will make it look a lot cleaner than it has been. A promising call for the brave.

Tuesday the 11th stays similar with 4.9ft to 8ft NW windswell and light winds. Not perfect, but ridable. The end of the run on Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th goes flat and sloppy again with tiny SW groundswell and cross-winds.

So, to sum it up: There's no flawless, epic swell window on the cards. The standout picks are the cleaner, smaller windows with offshore flow. Monday morning August 3rd is the best of the first week for clean, manageable waves, and Monday afternoon August 10th is your best bet in the second week for a bigger, cleaner wave if you've got the skills. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too big.

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